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Chapter 7 - History Matching

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92 views23 pages

Chapter 7 - History Matching

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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Chapter Outline

 Introduction
 Characteristics of History Production Data
 Principles of History Matching (HM)
 History Matching Workflow
 Assisted History Matching (AHM)

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Introduction

 What is HM? The process of adjusting/modifying the


existing reservoir model in such a way as to achieve a
better fit to the observed data.
 Why HM? To make sure the reservoir model is reliable
representation of the real reservoir before it is used for
future performance prediction.
 How? To solve an inverse problem to minimize the
difference between the calculated and observed data in a
sense of

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Introduction

11/22/2024 Dr. Mai Cao Lan - Faculty of Geology & Petroleum Engineering, HCMUT 175
Introduction

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Pure History Matching - Not Really Good!

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History Matching with Flow Characteristics –
Better Result!

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HM in Reservoir Simulation Workflow

Static Model Dynamic


Model

Production History
Forecasting Matching
Strategic Plan

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Characteristics of History Production Data

 Data source from surface and/or bottom-hole (permanent


downhole gauge - PDG)
 Historical production is observed as time-series data.
 Time-series data characteristics: Trend, seasonality,
cyclicity, and noise.

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Characteristics of History Production Data

11/22/2024 Dr. Mai Cao Lan - Faculty of Geology & Petroleum Engineering, HCMUT 181
Characteristics of History Production Data

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Principles of History Matching

 Select response to be matched (production data, pressure


data, etc.)
 Select parameters and their range to vary to obtain match.
 Identify important parameter – those which are highly
uncertain and which affect the reservoir response to be
matched.

11/22/2024 Dr. Mai Cao Lan - Faculty of Geology & Petroleum Engineering, HCMUT 183
Methods of History Matching

History
Matching

Automatic History Manual History


Matching Matching

 Construct a mathematical model


 Define an objective function
 Apply a minimization algorithm

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Quantification of the variables level of
uncertainty
 Variables are often considered to be indeterminate (high
uncertainty): pore volume, permeability, transmissibility,
kv/kh ratio, rel. perm. curves, aquifer properties, etc.
 Variables are often considered to be determinate (low
uncertainty): porosity, gross thickness, net thickness,
rock compressibility, capillary pressure, etc.

11/22/2024 Dr. Mai Cao Lan - Faculty of Geology & Petroleum Engineering, HCMUT 185
History Matching Workflow
3. Determine the historical
1. Set the objectives of 2. Determine the production data to be
the history-matching method to use in matched and the criteria to be
process. the history match. used to describe a successful
match.

4. Determine the reservoir


6. Compare the results
5. Run the simulation data that can be adjusted
of the history match
model with the best during the history match
run with the historical
available input data. and the confidence range
production data chosen
for these data.
in Step 3.

7. Change the reservoir 8. Continue with Steps 5


data selected in Step 4 through 7 until the criteria
within the range of established in Step 3 are
confidence. met.

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History Matching Prediction Workflow

Interpreted geology, geophysics,


petrophysics Sensitivity runs
Produce results for risk
evaluation and economics
Static reservoir description

Construction of simulation grid Prediction runs


Modification
 Existing of static
wells or dynamic
continue to
until actual and model
produce and are worked match
Assign fluid model and rock physics over logically
function  New well drilling can be
Tuning runs implemented

Petrel simulation model Modify properties until  EOR options can be tested
model and historical
data match
Make history strategy
(actual production and pressure)
Sensitivity runs
NO
Identify uncertain parameters
Simulate production and pressure

Solution found
YES

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History matching improvement tool

 Production Data Integration

― Automated methods of incorporating production data into


geologic models.

 Experimental Design

― Identifying key variables

 Assisted History Matching

― Using the unique data in streamlines to aid history


matching

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Assisted History Matching (AHM)

 Assisted history matching is the process of accelerating the


matching process.

 The simulation engineer specifies the parameters to vary to


obtain a match, and the response to be matched.

 A computer program (like CMOST-CMG) is then given the


task of finding the values of the match parameters which
give the best history match.

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Why are we interested in Assisted History
Matching?
Global Flow Unit
(Fault Block)
Individual
Layer
Individual
Well

History matching
frequently comes down to
local changes
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When to use Assisted History Matching

 To refine the match obtained by manual history matching.

 After identifying the most important unknown parameters.

 Assisted history matching methods work better (and run


faster) when given a smaller number of parameters to
match.

 Do not include parameters that have little or no effect


on the desired response. Some methods may fail entirely
for under-determined problems.

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Assisted History Matching method

 Most methods involve some variation of least squares.

 Seek parameters α that minimize the objective function:

n 2

F  j     y  t   y  t 
obs i sim i
i 1

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ECLISPE keyword for HM
WCONHIST
 Specific to production wells in history matching
 Sets the observed rates, per phase, in surface conditions
 Calculates the production rate depending on the chosen
control mode
WHISTCTL:
 Allows to change only the control mode; for example, to pass
from a reservoir rate control to a surface oil rate control
WCONINJH: for injection wells
*This keywords can be created with SCHEDULE application.

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ECLISPE keyword for HM
EXAMPLE
WCONHIST
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-name stat ctrl Qos Qws Qgs VFP Qgl THPobs BHPobs
‘P1’ 'OPEN' 'RESV' 255 15 1000 0 1* 1* 150 /
/
WHISTCTL
-- 1 2
--new status BHP action
‘ORAT’ 'NO' /

WCONINJH
-- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
--name phase stat Qinj BHPobs THPobs VFP Rs/Rv
‘I1’ 'WATER' 'OPEN' 1000 1* 300 2 1* /
/
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