Stock Valuation Methods Explained
Stock Valuation Methods Explained
Stock Valuation
Instructor’s Resources
Chapter Overview
This chapter focuses on equity—distinctions between equity and debt, different forms of equity, and
approaches to valuing equity instruments. The basic model for valuing equity is presented as an example of
the asset-valuation framework introduced in Chapter 5 and applied to bonds in Chapter 6. Specifically, the
value of a share or common of preferred stock is the present value of expected future cash flows from that
share, where the cash flows here are dividends. When capital markets are efficient, stock price should equal
the present value of expected dividends, and news about changes in risk or expected cash flows will be priced
immediately. The discussion then expands the common-stock valuation framework to accommodate different
assumptions about expected dividend growth. Other approaches to equity-valuation—ranging from variations
on dividend-discounting like the free-cash-flow model to models based on market benchmarks like
price/earnings multiples—are also compared and contrasted with the expected-dividend model. The chapter
ends with discussion of interrelationships among financial decisions, expected return, risk, and firm value.
7-2 A corporation’s owners are the common stockholders. As residual claimants, these stockholders are
not guaranteed a return, only what is left after other claims on firm income and assets have been
satisfied. Any funds invested are at risk; the only guarantee is that losses are capped at the purchase
price of the common stock. Given the significant uncertainty about earnings, common stockholders
expect relatively high returns in the form of dividends and capital gains.
7-3 Rights offerings are financial instruments that allow existing stockholders to purchase additional shares
of new stock issues below market price, in direct proportion to the number of shares they own. Rights
offerings protect current shareholders against dilution of their voting power.
7-4 Authorized shares are the maximum number of shares a firm can sell without approval from existing
shareholders; this limit is stated in the corporate charter. Authorized shares sold to and held by the
public are called outstanding shares. Shares repurchased by the firm from the public are classified as
treasury stock; this stock is not considered outstanding because it is not held by the public. Issued
shares are shares of common stock that have been put into circulation and include both outstanding
shares and treasury stock.
7-5 Issuing stock outside their domestic markets can benefit corporations by broadening the investor base
and facilitating integration into the local economy. Specifically, a local stock listing increases
community press coverage, thereby raising awareness about the firm. Locally traded stock also
facilitates acquisitions. American depository shares (ADSs) are dollar-denominated receipts for stocks
of foreign companies held by U.S. financial institutions overseas. American depository receipts (ADRs)
are securities that permit U.S. investors to hold shares of non-U.S. companies and trade them in U.S.
markets. ADRs are issued in dollars and subject to U.S. securities laws; they offer U.S. investors an
opportunity to diversify internationally.
7-6 Preferred stockholders have a fixed claim on firm income and assets behind creditors but ahead of
common stockholders.
7-7 Cumulative preferred stock gives the holder the right to receive any dividends in arrears prior to
dividend payment to common stockholders. A call feature allows the issuer to retire outstanding
preferred stock within a certain time period at a pre-specified price. Call price is normally set at or
above the initial issuance price but may decrease according to a predefined schedule. Firms use the call
feature to escape the fixed-payment commitment of preferred stock.
7-8. The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says, in equilibrium, the price of a stock or other security is an
unbiased estimate of its true value. Thus, in equilibrium, security prices are neither overvalued nor
undervalued. For a concrete example of what this means, suppose investors learn new information
about a company that suggests its stock is worth more than its current price. In such a case, the security
is undervalued, and expected return exceeds required return (i.e., “appropriate” return based on the
security’s risk). Increased demand for the security from investors with this new information will bid up
the security’s price (market value) and reduce its expected return until the two are equal. Similarly,
investors will sell overvalued securities (those for which expected return falls short of required return),
causing their prices to fall until expected equals required returns. In an efficient market, this process
takes place very quickly, so misvalued securities are rare. For this reason, the text uses the terms
expected return and required return interchangeably.
c. Investors should not waste time searching for mispriced (over or undervalued) securities.
EMH is generally accepted as holding for securities traded on major exchanges and as framework for
thinking about security pricing. But proponents of behavioral finance, or behaviorists; have challenged
EMH, arguing the key underlying assumption—investor rationality—is false. They point to going body
of research showing markets can be driven by reluctance to recognize losses, desire to follow the herd,
tendency to compartmentalize investments, and overweighting of recent performance.
7-10 a. The zero growth model of common-stock valuation assumes constant dividends through time, so .
stock is valued as a perpetuity with today’s value (price), P0, depending on the perpetual dividend,
D1 and required return r as follows:
∞
1 1 D
P0 = D1 × ∑ = D1 × = 1
t=1 (1+ r )
t
r r
b. The constant growth model assumes dividends will grow at a constant rate, g, from D1. Again,
required return is denoted by r:
D1
P0 =
r−g
c. The variable growth model assumes dividends grow at a variable rate. The stock with a single
change in the growth rate is valued as the present value of dividends in during the initial growth
phase plus the present value of the price of stock at the end of the initial growth phase. Specifically:
7-11 The free-cash-flow valuation model discounts future free cash flows rather than expected dividends.
Because this discounted value represents total firm value, the market value of total debt and preferred
stock must be subtracted to obtain the value of the firm’s common stock. Dividing the value of
common stock by outstanding shares gives stock price. The free-cash-flow model differs from the
dividend-valuation model in two ways (i) total firm cash flows are discounted, not just dividends, and
(ii) the discount rate is the firm’s cost of capital, not the required return on stock. This approach is
appealing when valuing startups, firms with no dividend history, or an operating unit or division of a
larger public company.
7-12 Book value per share is the hypothetical amount common shareholders would receive if firm assets
were sold at book (accounting) value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were paid off at book value,
and the remainder divided by shares of common stock outstanding. Liquidation value is the amount
each common stockholder would expect to receive if firm assets were actually sold, creditors and
preferred stockholders were actually paid, and any remainder divided among the common stockholders.
Here, market rather than book values of assets and liabilities are used. Under the price-earnings-
multiples approach, share value is estimated by multiplying expected earnings per share by the
average price/earnings ratio for the industry. Of the three approaches to valuation, the price/earnings
multiples approach is considered the best because it considers expected earnings.
7-13 A useful way to think about the impact of financial decisions on the firm is with the constant-growth
stock-valuation model: P0 = D1 ÷ (r – g). Actions of financial managers affect stock price (and hence
firm value) through their impact on expected dividends (either the next expected, D1, or the expected
growth of dividends, g) or risk (which shows up in required return). Any action that increases expected
dividends will boost stock price, and any action that increases risk will depress stock price.
7-14 A useful way to analyze the impact of events on stock price is to start with the constant-growth stock-
valuation model and assign hypothetical initial values. Accordingly, let the next expected dividend (D1)
be $5, expected rate of dividend growth (g) be 3%, and required rate of return (r)be 8%:
P0 = D1 ÷ (r – g) = $5 ÷ (0.08 – 0.03) = $100
a. Now, required return (r) = risk-free rate (RF) + risk premium (RP). So, an increase in RP means an
increase in r. Suppose r rises from 8% to 9%, but expected dividends (D1 and g) do not change:
$5 ÷ (0.09 – 0.03) = $83.33. In words, stock price will fall from $100 to $83.33.
b. Suppose r falls from 8% to 7%, but nothing else changes: $5 ÷ (0.07 – 0.03) = $125.00. Stock
price will rise from $100 to $125.
c. Suppose the dividend expected next year (D1) rises from $5 to $6, but nothing else changes:
$6 ÷ (0.08 – 0.03) = $120.00. Stock price will rise from $100 to $120.
d. Suppose expected dividend growth (g) rises from 3% to 4%, but nothing else changes:
$5 ÷ (0.08 – 0.04) = $125.00. Stock price will rise from $100 to $125.
Student answers will vary. Examples for discussion: (i) regret theory may hold true for social situations in
which a person makes a mistake and subsequently focuses on avoiding embarrassment at all costs; (ii) fear of
regret can sometimes be rationalized away with “everyone else is doing it” (herding theory), thereby
explaining why some people do silly things at parties; and (iii) students may react to grades as investors react
to news, placing more importance on recent events without recognizing the overall trend (anchoring).
Now, suppose you manage a large index fund, what responsibility (if any) do you have for ensuring the
companies in your portfolio maximize shareholder wealth?
As fund manager, your fiduciary duty is to your investors; they gave you money believing you will construct
a portfolio to mimic a market index at the lowest possible fees. So monitoring and disciplining the
management of firms in your portfolio is not your first concern. How much effort you spend monitoring
depends on the availability of good substitutes and expected net benefits of monitoring. Devoting few
resources to monitoring a company makes sense if monitoring costs are high, expected benefits are low
(because firm management is entrenched), and investing in a similar company is easy. Moreover, other
shareholders (or more likely blocks of shareholders) can do the necessary monitoring and alert you to serious
governance issues. As a large shareholder, the threat you might ally with disgruntled shareholders might be
sufficient to keep management focused on stockholder wealth.
Solutions to Problems
P7-1 Authorized and available shares (LG 2; Basic)
a. Maximum shares = Authorized shares – Shares outstanding = 2,000,000 – 1,400,000 = 600,000.
b. Total shares needed = $48,000,000 ÷ $60 = 800,000 shares, meaning 200,000 additional shares
must be authorized to raise needed funds.
c. Aspin must seek approval through a vote of current shareholders.
P7-11 Personal finance: Common stock value- Constant growth (LG 4; Intermediate)
Let P0 be current price of common stock, D1 the next expected dividend, r the required return, and g
the expected dividend growth rate; stock price is given by P0 = D1 ÷ (r − g). In the problem, D1 is
$1.35, today’s share price is $114, and required return is 15.8%. Plugging these values in the stock-
price equation and solving for expected dividend growth (g):
$114 = $1.35 ÷ (0.158 – g) = $43.80 → g = 0.158 – ($1.35 ÷ $114) = 0.1462 = 14.62%.
Step 2: Present value of price of stock at end of initial growth period—given dividend at the end of
year 4 period of $4.31, expected dividend growth of 10%, and required return of 14%:
At end of year 4, next expected dividend, D5, is $4.31 × (1.10) = $4.74. So, stock price at the
end of year 4, P4 = [D5 ÷ (r − g)] = $4.74 ÷ (0.14 − 0.10) = $118.50. Finally, present value of
stock price at end of year 4 is $118.50 ÷ (1 + 0.14)4 = $70.16.
Step 3: Add present value of dividends during initial growth period to present value of stock price at
end of growth period: P0 = $10.81 + $70.16 = $80.97.
P7-16 Personal finance: Common stock value—Free cash flow models (LG 4; Challenge)
a. Firm has no debt or preferred stock, so firm value (Vc) is present value of expected free cash flow
(FCF). If current FCF is not expected to change (FCF0 = FCF1), and required return (r) is 18%:
VC = FCF1 ÷ r = $42,500 ÷ 0.18 = $236,111
b. Free cash flow next year, FCF1 = $42,500 × 1.07 = $45,475. Now, because FCF is expected to
grow at a constant rate, VC can be found using the stock-valuation framework for constant
dividend growth, where FCF1 is substituted for D1, and g represents constant FCF growth:
VC = FCF1 ÷ (r – g) = $46,750 ÷ (0.18 – 0.07) = $413,409.09
c. VC = Present value of FCF in first growth period + Present value of FCF after first growth period.
Step 1: Present value of FCF during initial growth period—given FCF0 = $42,500, expected FCF
growth of 12% for two years, and required return of 18%:
n FCF0 × 1.12n = FCFn × 1/(1.18)n = Present Value of FCFn
0 $42,500
1 $42,500 1.1200 $47,600 0.8475 $40,338.98
2 $42,500 1.2554 $53,312 0.7182 $38,287.85
Total = $78,626.83
So, stock price at end of year 2, P2 = [FCF3 ÷ (r − g)] = $53,312 ÷ (0.18 − 0.07) =
$518,580.36. Finally, the present value of P2 = $518,580.36 ÷ (1.18)2 = $372,436.34.
Step 3: Add present value of free cash flow during initial growth period to present value of stock
price at end of growth period: VC = $78,626.83 + $372,436.34 = $451,063.17.
Note: Student answers may vary by a few cents because of rounding.
P7-18 Personal finance: Using the free-cash-flow valuation model to price an IPO (LG 5; Challenge)
a. The value of the firm’s common stock may be found in four steps:
Step 1: Find present value in 2023 of free cash flow (FCF) from 2024 to infinity:
FCF2024 = $1,100,000 × (1.02) = $1,122,000.
Present value of FCF2024 to infinity in 2023= $1,100,000 ÷ (0.08 − 0.02) = $18,700,000.
Step 2: Add step 1 to given FCF2023: $18,700,000 + $1,100,000 = $19,800,000.
Step 3: Discount FCF from 2020 through 2024 to today to obtain total value of the firm (VC):
Year Years from Now (n) FCFn × 1/(1.08)n = Present Value
2020 1 $ 700,000 0.925926 $648,148.15
2021 2 $ 800,000 0.857339 $685,871.06
2022 3 $ 950,000 0.793832 $754,140.63
2023 4 $19,800,000 0.735030 $14,553,591.09
Total Value of Firm = $16,641,750.92
Step 4: Find value of common stock per share:
VS = VC – VD – VP = $16,641,750.92 – $2,700,000 - $1,000,000 = $12,941,750.92.
Value per share of common stock = Total value of common stock ÷ Common shares
= $12,941,750.92 ÷ 1,100,000 = $11.77.
b. IPO is overvalued by $0.73 ($12.50 − $11.77), so you should not buy the stock.
c. New value of common stock may be found in four steps:
Step 1: Present value in 2023 of FCF from 2024 to infinity:
FCF2024 = $1,100,000 × (1.03) = $1,133,000.
Present value of FCF2024 to infinity-in 2023 = $1,133,000 ÷ (0.08 − 0.03) = $22,660,000.
Step 2: Add step 1 to given FCF2023: $22,660,000 + $1,100,000 = $23,760,000.
Step 3: Discount FCF from 2020 through 2024 back to today.
Year Years from Now (n) FCFn × 1/(1.08)n = Present Value
2020 1 $ 700,000 0.925926 $648,148.15
2021 2 $ 800,000 0.857339 $685,871.06
2022 3 $ 950,000 0.793832 $754,140.63
2023 4 $23,760,000 0.735030 $17,464,309.30
Total Firm Value (VC) = $19,552,469.14
Step 4: Find value of common stock per share:
VS = VC – VD – VP = $19,552,469.14 − $2,700,000 − $1,000,000 = $15,852,469.14.
Value per share of common stock =VS ÷ Common shares
= $15,852,469.14 ÷ 1,100,000 = $14.41.
The IPO is undervalued by $1.91 ($14.41 − $11.77), so you should buy the stock.
b. Liquidation value:
Assets Liquidation Value for Common Stock
Cash $40,000 Liquidation Value–Assets $722,000
Marketable Securities 60,000 Less:
Accounts Receivable (0.90 × $120,000) 108,000 Current Liabilities (160,000)
Inventory (0.90 × $160,000) 144,000 Long-Term Debt (180,000)
Land and Buildings (1.30 × $150,000) 195,000 Preferred Stock (80,000)
Machinery & Equipment (0.70 × $250,000) 175,000 Available for
Liquidation Value of Assets $722,000 Common Stockholders $302,000
Liquidation value per share = Value available for common stockholders ÷ common shares
= $302,000 ÷ 10,000 = $30.20.
c. Book values reflect historical prices/costs, not current market value, so it is no surprise
liquidation and book value differ for Gallinas Industries. Here, book exceeds liquidation value (as
is the norm), so estimated value of common shares based on book value exceeds the estimate
based on liquidation value.
Step 2: Given a 12.5% required return (r) and a 4.5% risk free return (RF), solve for risk premium
(RP) on stock:
r = RF + RP
0.125 = 0.045 + RP → RP = 0.08 or 8.0%
In this case, students will assess the potential impact of risky project on a hypothetical firm’s stock.
a. To find the current value per share of Suarez common stock, first obtain the dividend growth rate (g),
which is expected to equal recent historical experience:
𝟒 𝟏.𝟗 𝟒
g= – 1 = √𝟏. 𝟒𝟔𝟏𝟓𝟒 – 1 = 0.0995 = 9.95%
𝟏.𝟑
Now, given g is 10%, the next expected dividend (D1) is $2.09, and required return is 14%, solve for
stock price: P0 = D1 ÷ (r – g) = $2.09 ÷ (0.14 – 0.0995) = $51.63 per share.
Now, given g is 10%, the next expected dividend (D1) is $2.09, and required return is 14%, solve for
stock price: P0 = D1 ÷ (r – g) = $2.09 ÷ (0.14 – 0.0995) = $51.63 per share.
b. If Suarez makes the risky investment, next year’s dividend (D1) will rise to $2.15 per share, the dividend
growth rate (g) to 13%., and required return to 16%. The new value of common stock is: P0 = D1 ÷ (r – g)
= $2.15 ÷ (0.16 – 0.13) = $71.67 per share. Stock price jumps $20.04 (38.8%).
c. Suarez should undertake the proposed project. Higher dividend growth more than compensates for the
impact of project risk on required return, thereby boosting stock price and shareholder wealth.
d. Now, dividends will grow 13% per year for three years (from the last dividend of $1.90); then, growth
will slow to the historical growth rate of 9.95%. Stock price will equal the present value of dividends
during 13% growth period plus the present value of stock price at the end of that period.
Step 1: Find the present value of dividends during the 13% growth period – given the last dividend (D0)
of $1.90, and required return of 16%:
D1 = $1.90 × (1.13) = $2.15 D3 = $2.43 × (1.13) = $2.74 D2 = $2.15 × (1.13) = $2.43
n Dn × 1/(1.16)n = Present Value of Dividends
0 $1.90
1 $2.15 0.8621 $1.85
2 $2.43 0.7432 $1.80
3 $2.74 0.6407 $1.76
Total = $5.41
Step 2: Now, find the present value of price of stock at end of 13% growth period (when 9.95% growth
resumes). At the end of year 3, the next expected dividend (D4) is $2.74 × 1.0995 = $3.01,
expected dividend growth is 9.95%, and required return is 14%,, so stock price is:
P3 = [D4 ÷ (r − g)] = $3.01 ÷ (0.16 − 0.0995) = $49.84. Finally, present value of stock price at
end of year 3 is $49.84 ÷ (1 + 0.16)3 = $31.93
Step 3: Add present value of dividends during 13% growth period to present value of stock price at end
of 13% growth period: P0 = $5.41 + $31.93 = $37.34.
Suarez should not undertake the risky project because share price would fall $14.29 (from $51.63 to
$37.34). Additional dividends do not compensate for the impact on of additional risk on required return.
Spreadsheet Exercise
Answers to Chapter 7’s Azure Corporation spreadsheet problem are available on
[Link]/mylab/finance.
Group Exercise
Group exercises are available on [Link]/mylab/finance.
The semester began with the fictitious firms about to become public corporations. Out of necessity, few
details were given. Now groups will begin to fill in the blanks. Specifically, using details from recent IPOs,
each group will write a detailed prospectus following the example in the text. Students should quickly see
similar patterns. Most IPOs, for example, are priced between $10 and $30 with few shares available at the
offer price, forcing the public to pay a premium on and around the issuance date. The final group task is
obtaining the most recent information on its shadow firm, including current market numbers and any recent
news/analyses. Students will find much of the news fairly innocuous. Instructors can note the tendency in
recent regulation for public companies to disclose more and more information. Class discussion can then
explore the costs and benefits of erring on the side of over-disclosure.
e. (1) Given a 6% constant dividend growth, the next dividend is $4 × (1.06) = $4.24. Stock price (P0)
with 6% constant dividend growth (g), 16% required return (r), and $4.24 next dividend (D1) is:
P0 = D1 ÷ (r – g) = $4.24 ÷ (0.16 – 0.06) = $42.40.
(2) Stock price when dividends grow 8% for two years then 6% forever may be found in three steps:
Step 1: Present value of dividends in the 8% growth period, given last dividend (D0) was $4, and
required return is 16%:
First note: D1 = $4.00 × (1.08) = $4.32 and D2 = $4.32 × (1.08) = $4.67. So,
n Dn × 1/(1.16)n = Present Value of Dividends
0 $4.00
1 $4.32 0.8621 $3.72
2 $4.67 0.7432 $3.47
Total = $7.19
Book value has no relevance to the true value of the firm. Of the remaining methods, the most
conservative estimate is given by the zero-growth model. Based on this estimate of stock value, wary
analysts may advise paying no more than $25 per share—a figure hardly more than book value. The
most optimistic prediction, the variable-growth model, estimates at $43.98, not far from the market
value. The market appears to be more optimistic about Encore International’s future than wary analysts.