AFM Updated File
AFM Updated File
Bridgeford
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
$'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000
Investment -2000
Salvage Value 50
Sales 2625 3308 4052 4254 3829
Material Costs -550 -726 -932 -1025 -966
Labour Costs -825 -1089 -1464 -1611 -1611
Overhead Costs -315 -386 -405 -425 -447
Contribution -2000 935 1107 1251 1193 805
Tax Payments -327.3 -387.3 -437.8 -417.7 -281.9
TAD 175 131 98 74 204
Working Capital -200 -75 -88 -102.85 -46.585 512.435
Net Cash flows -2200 860 866 892 808 1024 -78
NPV 946
WORKING:
1 2 3 4 5 6
Book Value 1500 1125 844 633 50
Depreciation 500 375 281 211 583
TAD 175 131 98 74 204
Depreciation Working
1 2 3 4 5 6 BAL
Allowance 500 375 281.25 210.94 582.81 2000
Tax Saving 175 131.25 98.44 73.83 203.98 1367.19
632.81
50
582.81
ADVANCED INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
Q FERNHURST ( SEP/DEC 16)
Year 0 1 2 3
Sales Units 132,500 159,000 206,700
Sales Revenue 13,250,000 16,695,000 22,788,675
Less: Variable Cost - 5,787,600 - 7,292,376 - 9,954,093
Contribution 7,462,400 9,402,624 12,834,582
Less: Fixed Cost - 900,000 - 945,000 - 992,250
Less: Marketing Expense - 1,500,000
Cash flows 5,062,400 8,457,624 11,842,332
Tax Payments - 1,265,600 - 2,114,406 - 2,960,583
Investment - 16,000,000
Tax Allowance 800,000 640,000 512,000
Working Capital - 1,025,000 - 41,000 - 53,300 - 55,965
Net Cashflows - 17,025,000 4,555,800 6,929,918 9,337,784
Discount Rate 11%
NPV 7,797,990
Decision : The NPV is positive , which represented the project should be undertaken because it is physically viable
Professional marks
1: Use the spread sheet functions and avoid long structure workings
2: Workings structure : Formatted
3: Workings should be labelled
Payback
3 Years 0.044
Comment
The result represents the weighted average 2.78 Years time period for the project
recover the investment with the consideration of time value and all the cash inflows
associated with investment.
4 TAX DEPRECIATION 1 2 3
206,700 3200000 2560000 2048000
23,928,109 800000 640000 512000
- 10,451,798
13,476,311
- 1,041,863
Working Capital 0 1 2
12,434,448 1025000 1066000 1119300
- 3,108,612 -1025000 -41000 -53300
2,048,000
1,175,265
12,549,101
Workings 1 2 3
Contribution
Sale price 100 105 110.25
variable cost -43.68 -45.864 -48.1572
Contribution/ unit 56.320 59.136 62.093
Units 132.5 159 206.7
Contribution 7462.40 9402.62 12834.58
4
13,476 Tax depreciation 1 2 3
- 1,042 3200 2560 2048
- 8,192
4,242 Working Capital 0 1 2
- 1,061 1025 1066 1119.3
8,192 -1025 -41 -53.3
1,175
12,549
e it is physically viable
Duration
0.17
0.45
0.83
1.33
2.78
4 BALANCING FIGURES
8192000 16000000
2048000
3 4
1175265
-55965 1175265
115.7625
-50.56506
65.197
206.7
13476.31
4
8192
3 4
1175.265
-55.965 1175.265
WACC/DR/Cost of capital
WACC= Calculation = With view point of investor
Valuation method
WACC
Capital structure
E= market value of equity 57.3 (mv of share should be ex dividend )
D= market value of debts 5.171 Debts
62.5 1: Non mkt= bank loan =BV=MV
Capital structure 2: MKT
E= market value of equity 92% redeemable =kd by IRR
D= market value of debts 8% irredeemable =kd= interest / MV of debts
ke 13.0%
kd 7.65%
WACC 12.38%
IRR 7.65%
ke 13.02%
nt / div base )^(1/n)-1
WACC WITH CAPM
EXPANSION B) DIVERSIFICATION
ANSWER BY SIR HQ
Kd By CAPM Ba=(Be*(E/E+D(1-t))+(Bd*(D(1-t)/E+D(1-t))
Kd=Rf+(Rm-Rf)*Bd
Exam Point: If the Bd is given with the question then use CAPM for KD
otherwise other methods
CAPM=SYS RISK
BETA ASSET
BASIC EXAMPLE
Ungeared Beta which doesn’t contain financial risk
Capital Structure
E 60
D 40
Tax Rate 25%'
Ba 0.93
Be ?
Basic Example
Be 1.4
E 60
D 40
Tax rate 25%
A-PLC
EXP DIV Investment Opportunities
WACC 15.15% 12.4% [Link] No Change in Financial risk
RETURN
Ke 17.6% 14% 2. Diversification
EXPANSION: Chemical
Ke=Rf+(Rp)*Be
Cost of Equity 17.6%
Be=Chemical 1.45
Ba= Chemical Industry 1.21 Geared to Ungeared Beta
Diversification :Food
Kd By IRR
12% Bonds
MV Bonds 0 -108
Interest 1 12
Interest 2 12
Interest 3 12
Interest+ Red 4 112
NPV 3.347
Adjusted Present Value (APV)
Exam Scope:
1. Core area examine with this topic for both 25 and 50 marks questions
2. Main focus calculation
3. Theory can not be ignored
About topic
The APV method is only relevant where, capital structure going to change due to investment opportunity.
Ke Ungeared Calculation
1. By CAPM (Ke UG=Rf+Rp*Ba)
2. MM proposition 2
Be 0.92
Ke UG 15.55%
Rounding Plc
NET Issue Cost GROSS
Debts =2% 40% 320 6.5 326.5
Equity=4% 60% 480 20.0 500.0
800
Issue Cost Yr 0
Equity -20.0 No tax Adjustment
Debts -4.376 Tax allowable Expense
-24.38
Tax Shield
Tax saving from interest
Debts*Interest*Tax Rate*DF(RF or KD)
DEBTS 326.5
Int 10% 32.65
will arrange with net amount & no effect on tax shield Tax ben/YR 33% 10.78
will arrange with gross amount & its part of tax shield DF= Annuity 2.487 10%, Simple Annuity= Yr1-Yr3
APV Concept
Base Case NPV= Value of Project as ungeared
Financing SE= Value of Debt financing
10%, Simple Annuity= Yr1-Yr3
oject as ungeared
Tax Shield: Complications
1. What if Tax= with delays= Annuity Factor with delays
2. Compound Interest= Tax shield calculations with discount table
EXAMPLE
ANSWER
Annual Installments= EAC= Borrowings/Annuity 160836
DEBT CAPACITY
Theoritical Debt Capacity $2m
Actual Debt Arrange $1.50m
Tax Shield will calculate on theoritical debt capacity $2M
Subsidised Loan
Project Specific Benefit= Subsidised Financing from Govt.
For eg
Debt finance 100 M
Bank Offer 10% Kd
Govt. offer Sub Loan 4%
Subsidy 6%
Be 1.368
Ba 1.2
Ke UG 16.00%
Years 0 1 2 3
Operating Cashflows 220,000 220,000 220,000
Tax Depreciation - 315,000 - 67,500 - 67,500
Taxable Income - 95,000 152,500 152,500
Tax Payment 28,500 - 45,750 - 45,750
Tax Depreciation 315,000 67,500 67,500
Investment - 450,000
Net Cashflows - 450,000 248,500 174,250 174,250
DR 0
NPV 5,355
Issue Cost Yr 0
Equity - 14,211 No tax adjustment
Debt - 1,286 Tax Allowable expense
- 15,496
Tax Shield
3% subsidised Loan: 90 Simple Loan
D*IR*TR*AF 2,014
SUBSIDISED LOAN
3% Subsidised Loan
Subsidy (10-3) 0
SL*SUBSIDY*(1-TR)*AF 10,968
BURUNG CO.
Years 0 1 2 3 4 5
Sales Revenue 24.86 42.69 61.81 36.92
Direct Project Cost -14.37 -23.75 -33.12 -19.05
Tax Depreciation -8.00 -2.00 -1.50 -1.13
Taxable Income 2.49 16.94 27.20 16.75
Tax Payment -0.50 -3.39 -5.44 -3.35
Tax Depreciation 8.00 2.00 1.50 1.13
Investment -38
Salvage Value 4.00
Working Capital -4.97 -3.57 -3.82 4.98 7.38
Net Cash flow -42.97 6.43 11.73 28.24 25.91
Discount factor 12.00%
Base Case NPV 8.676
Tax Shield
Subsidised Loan 0.077
Normal Loan 0.138
0.215
Annuity 3.63
Tax Shield 0.780
Working Capital 0 1 2 3 4
4.97 8.54 12.36 7.38
-4.97 -3.57 -3.82 4.98 7.38
SR 2.50%
AMBERLE CO
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Operating Cash flow 28.5 36.7 44.4 50.9
Investment -150
Reliasable Value 45
Working capital -6 -0.48 -0.39 -0.34 7.21
Net Cash Flows -156 28.02 36.31 44.06 103.11
Discount Factor 12.0%
Base Case NPV -5.07
Tax Shield
Normal Bank Loan
EAC= 19.28
1.
Ke 12%
Debt Ratio 20
Equity 80
Kd 4%
Tax 30%
Ke i 10.81%
2.
Ke 12.40%
Tippletine Co.
Ke UG ?
1. Ke i 8.97%
ISSUE COST As it is arrange from Internal Source of finance Issue Cost is always relevant and based on this calcu
Subsidised Loan -1224 -1275
ISSUE COST
Issue cost is based on gross finance= Loan/net%*Issue cost%
Internal Source
Issue cost= External= Incorporate/ Effect on the tax shield & sub Loan working
Issue cost= Internal= Not to Incorporate/ Effect on the tax shield & sub Loan working
Discussion
Investment Support= issue of Convertible Loan Notes?
Question Facts:
Verb: Discuss: Plus & Minus
With View point of other shareholders
CL= Issue to some of the directors
Convertible loan notes Vs Subsidised Loan
Drafting Steps:
1. Knowledge Recall
2. Understanding of the requirement & identify the facts from the question
3. PSM
Basis Point
Example: 100 Basis point is equal to 1 percent (1%)
Working Capital 0 1 2 3 4
Total 3000 3240 3434.4 3606.12
Incremental -3000 -240 -194.4 -171.72 3606.12
BY NPV METHOD:
2 Extreme points
1. Future cash flows= foreign currency
2. Final answer= NPV or APV= LC
Complications:
1. Foreign Exchange= Estimations
By Purchasing power Parity Theory Based on INFLATION (Preference)
Or
By interest rate parity Theory Based on INTEREST
If inflation rate not given in the question then use IRPT
Exchange rate estimation= Spot Rate Now*(1+Inf a OR Int a)/(1+inf b OR Int b)
Example
Spot Rate (NOW) PKR/USD 224.5/US$
Inflation rate Pak 5% and USA 3.5%
Inflation will constant over three years
3. Tax Implications
Bilateral Tax Treaty
Case 1 Case 2
Tax Rates Tax Rates
Pakistan 35% 35%
Turkey 30% 40%
Extra Tax 5% 0%
E 820 85%
D 144 15%
964 100%
Ke 16%
Kd 7.80%
WACC 14.43%
0 1 2 3 4
Total 25 27.5 30.25 33.28
Incremental -25 -2.5 -2.75 -3.025 33.275
Working 4: Units
1 2 3 4
Transfer Price 10 10.4 10.61 10.82
Less: Man. Cost -2 -2.08 -2.12 -2.16
Contribution 8 8.3 8.5 8.7
FIA BY APV
Base Case NPV:
Operating Cash Flows
FC
LC
Financing Side Effects
Issue Cost
Tax Shield What if the external finance: FC based
Sub Loan
HW:
1. Review topic and Question: Novoroast
2. Colvin (AFM Specimen)
3. Youtube Video Link: Communication
4. Tramont Question: Self Attempt
Tramont Co.
Appendix 1 APV
Additional Cash flows in USA (Including any opportunity Cost & Closure CF)
0 1 2 3 4
Additional Contribution After Tax) 33.6 63.45 139.61 183.58
Additional Tax: Gamal IT 10% (W5) 0 0- 59.04 - 136.72
Opportunity Cost -560 -448 -358.4 -286.72
Closure Cost (Now) 600
Net Cash Flows 600 -526.4 -384.55 -277.83 -239.86
Cost Of Capital (Given) 7%
Base Case NPV ( Local) -637.624
1 2 3 4
Tax Shield 3240 3240 3240 3240 =(270*IR* sub Rate)6%*TRG 20%
Subsidised Loan 15120 15120 15120 15120 270*IR saving7%*tax adjust 80%
18360 18360 18360 18360
Exchange Rate 58.20 61.59 65.18 68.98
Financing SE Benefits $ 315.44 298.08 281.67 266.17
DR 5% 5%
PV of FSE 1,033
Workings:
Contribution (W1)
1 2 3 4
Selling Price (US$ 70) 4074.27 4311.61 4562.77 4828.56
Variable Cost Local -1350 -1471.5 -1603.935 -1748.28915
Variable Cost Imported -407.43 -444.10 -484.06 -527.63
Contribution Per Unit 2316.84 2396.01 2474.77 2552.64
Units (000) 12 22 47 60
Contribution (W1) 27802.14 52712.27 116314.21 153158.58
Project Related Ba
Geared To Ungeared
Be (given) 1.17
E 60000
D 57120
Tax Rate USA 30%
Beta Asset 0.70
Project specific Ba 1.10
Ke UG BY CAPM 9.61%
51801.16
MIRR
Investment Appraisal
By IRR Method
IRR means= Investment Potential
Decision Making = Project Accept if IRR> DR
IRR is a point where NPV become zero
Example:
Years CFs DR 10% PV DR 20% PV
0 -200 1.00 -200 1.00 -200
1 50 0.91 45.45 0.83 41.67
2 60 0.83 49.59 0.69 41.67
3 90 0.75 67.62 0.58 52.08
4 70 0.68 47.81 0.48 33.76
5 30 0.62 18.63 0.40 12.06
29.10 -18.77
IRR 16% IRR
a= DR lower 10%
IRR b= DR higher 20%
1. Spreadsheet Function A= NPV Lower -18.77
2. Trail and error Method B= NPV Higher 29.10
3. Graphical
IRR= a+(A/A-B)*(b-a)
IRR 16.17%
IRR Limitations
1. Multiple IRR
2. Mutually Exclusive Projects
3. Re- Investment Rate
1. Multiple IRR
Years CFs 000
0 -200
1 50
2 -60
Non Convential Cash Flows
3 90
4 70
5 30
NPV BY IRR
DR=IRR=17% 1 0.853 0.727 0.620 0.528
-200 59.676 58.143 55.763 26.411 0.0 NPV
MIRR 9.52% Through mathematical Formula and negative sign would not incurred
MIRR 9.52% Through Spreadsheet Formula
17%
Option Valuation
Exam Scope:
1. Integrate with any investment appraisal or other part of syllabus.
2. Part of 50 Marks question or 25 marks question
3. Calculation+ Theory
4. Recent change: ????
About Topic
Option Valuation
Basic Discussion: Investor Rights Issue: Share Option (Option Holder)
Now 1 1 Year 2 3
MV of Shares 100 100 100
Exercise Price 80 100 110
Intrinsic Value 20 0 0
Time Value 5 12 10
Value of Option 25 12 10
Option Holder:
[Link] to BUY= CALL Option
2. Contract to SELL= PUT Option
Now 1 Year
Market Price= Pa 100
Exercise Price= Pe 80 Future Value Example
FCF 120
DR 10%
Option Value PV=Now Time 1 Yr
PV 109.0909
FCF 120
Exponential (Constant) 2.7183
FCF*e^(-r*t) 108.5804
Cathlynn Plc
Option Valuation By BSOP
Pa= MV of Shares 3.5
Pe= Exercise Price 3.3
Time = 3Months 0.25
DR= Rf 0.08
Standard Deviation 0.35
d1 0.54
N(d1) Table Values 0.5 0.2054 0.7054
d2 0.37
N(d2) Table Values 0.5 0.1443 0.6443
MV of Share 3.5
Exercise Price 3.3
Int Value 0.2
Time 0.185
Call Option 0.385
AVT Co.
Part A
Evaluate the bonus scheme:
1. Cash Form $5000 to 7000
2. 5000 share options
d1 0.77
N(d1) Table Values 0.5 0.2852 0.7852
d2 0.39
N(d2) Table Values 0.5 0.1591 0.6591
MV of Share 5.9
Exercise Price 5.0
Int Value 0.9
Time 0.637
Call Option 1.501
0.346
Call Option (Holder)= Right to Buy shares = Align with shareholder's objective
Put Option (Holder)= Right to sell Shares= For manager= is not making sense as it contradict with the objectives of the shareho
Share Value 6.1
Less: expected Dividend during exercise time 0.2 PV of future dividend
Pa 5.9
as it contradict with the objectives of the shareholders as the managers wanted to reduce the share price to earn more
Real Options
4. Switch
1. Expansion/Follow on
NPV( Conventional) X
Option Valuation X
Strategic NPV X
3. Withdraw/Sell/Option to Withdraw
Put Option
Right to Sell
Case 1 Case 2
Int Value NO 10
Conventional NPV
Years 0 1 2 3 4
NPV -16.133
NPV with the option of 1 year delay= Strategic NPV
Time 1
Rf 8%
SD 50%
Int Value 0
Project Chi.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Contribution (W1) 15 16 17 18
Fixed Cost (8.70) (8.96) (9.23) (9.51)
Tax Depreciation (2.40) (2.40) (2.40) (4.80)
Taxable Income 3.90 4.70 5.58 4.12
Tax Payment (0.78) (0.94) (1.12) (0.82)
Tax Depreciation 2.40 2.40 2.40 4.80
Investment (12)
Net Cash flows (12) 5.52 6.16 6.86 8.10
Discount Rate 12%
NPV 7.87
Working
Working 1: Contribution 0 1 2 3 4
Sales Units (000) 3 3.15 3.308 3.473
Contribution Per Unit 5 5.1 5.202 5.306
Contribution 15 16.065 17 18
Furlion Co.
Pa Pe r t s
10.68 15 0.04 3 0.3
d1 -0.164
d2 -0.683
Nd1 0.435
Nd2 0.247
c 1.355
p 3.983
Technical Marks
Professional Marks
1. BSOP Calulation
2. Final Comments
3. Assumption
4. Other Factors
2. Final Comments
Relevant facts/values/ Strategic NPV
However
More information= Option to delay, option to switch
3. Assumption
A. BSOP
1. Pa= MV of Shares= Does INV. Have the MV??
2. Constant Variable= Rf/SD
3. Returns Volatility= ND Table
B. REAL OPTIONS
Project = Int Value= 0
But expecting to generate more inflows
in future (Pa) considering all uncertainities.
Management will response accordingly
4. Other Factors
Land Reclamation
Finance
Paradise Villa Co.
Pa Pe r t s
28.00 24 0.05 2 0.25
d1 0.896
d2 0.542
Nd1 0.815
Nd2 0.706
c 7.480
p 1.196
Conventional NPV 4
Strategic NPV with option to delay 7.480
More Explanation
The conventional present value is 4 if the project starts immediately and the strategic NPV with option to delay
is 7.480 which shows the project should be accepted.
Answer By Sir
Intrinsic value $4m (if the projects starts immediately)
The time value represents the additional value of being
able to "wait and see" what the decision the government
makes.
Conclusively the value of the project = Expected NPV (IV) & Time
value of option to delay=4+3=7.48
with option to delay
Formex Ltd.
20 5 5 5
Pa Pe r t s 10%
18.95 20 0.07 5 0.3 -1.046
d1 0.777
d2 0.106
Nd1 0.781
Nd2 0.542
c 7.168
p 2.308
B&H Company= Divisional Based Company= Telecom Business & Investment Market
B&H Company= Systematic Risk= 2 Industries
B&H Co.= Ba Weighted Average= (Ba TC*65%)+(Ba IM*35%) 1.006 It incorporates the risk of both the different mark
Capital Structure= E70%+D30%
Tax Ratee 30%
B&H Co= Beta Equity What will be the Ke What will be the WACC
Ba=Be*E/E+D(1-t) Rf= 6% Kd 7%
Be 1.3078 Rp= 4% WACC 9.3% That WACC cannot be used for specifi
Ke 11.23%
Be 1.3078
By formula
Geared to Ungeared
Ba 1.006
Equity Proportion: 65% Telco & 35% Inv. Market
Ba= IM=1.24
CC cannot be used for specific project as it contain weighted average beta assets
Tisa Co.
Part B:
Appendix 1
Process Omega
Investment -3800
Cash flows 1220
Cash flows 1153
Cash flows 1386
Cash flows 3829
IRR 27%
MIRR 23%
Mine ;)
The internal rate of return has some limitations i.e Non conventional Cash flows
mutually exclusive projects and re-investment project and here MIRR eliminate those
deficiencies as a result MIRR is preferrable rather than IRR however, sensitivity analysis
should be performed for all significant variables.
Working of WACC (W1)
Appendix 1
Capital Structure of Tisa
Equity 18 83% Be Tisa Co 1.89
Debt 3.6 17% Ke 14%
21.6 100% WACC 12.78%
Be 1.4
Ba WA 1.22
Equity 480 83%
Debt 96 17%
576 100%
Be 1.08 Be 1.25
Ba WA 1.22 (1.08*75%)+(Ba Comp*25%) Ba 1.08
Ba 1.64
Geared Beta
Topic: Acquisition Merger
Investment:
Appraisal:
Investment -100000
PV of FCF 120000 Value of Investment
NPV 20000
Acquisition
Investment
Value of Investment= Target Company Business:
Business Valuation Total Assets Total Debt
1. Equity Valuation Total Equity
2. Debt Valuation
EQUITY VALUATION:
1. Net Assets Method (Balance Sheet Approach)
Realisable Value of (Total Assets less Total Liabs.) To determine the minimum value of the business
Ignore: Goodwill & Intangible Assets Having no Realisable Value
and if we divide with the no of shares we can calculate the Per share Value.
Ke= Do/Po
Po=Do/Ke Without Growth
Po=Do(1+g)/Ke-g With Growth
ii) Free Cash Flow Method
a) Free Cash Flow
b) Free Cash flow Firm/ Equity= 1 Year
c) Free Cash Flow Valuation = Firm/ Equity
Example 1;
A Business expects to generate a free cash flow for equity of $140,000 in the next
accounting period. The WACC is 9%, the cost of equity is 10% and the free cash flow
for equity is expected to grow 5% per year to infinity.
What is the value of the equity of the business?
Answer
Free CF (1 Year) 140000
Growth Rate 5%
Ke 10%
Free Cash Flows Valuation = Complex Issues The right way sir HQ Performed.
FRANCESCA CO.
Working for Free Cash flows Value of Business/ Firm'
Delayed Perpetuity Appendix 1
Valuation of Business/Firm
Yr1 to Yr3
Yr 3 Onwards
FRANCESCA CO.
Free Cash flow-Equity Value of Debts
Appendix 1 Value of Equity
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Sales revenue 85,000 92,000 102,000 Sales revenue
Costs Excluding DEP - 45,000 - 49,000 - 58,000 Costs Excluding DEP
Cash flows 40,000 43,000 44,000 Cash flows
Tax Payments - 12,000 - 12,900 - 13,200 Tax Payments
Necessary C.E - 3,000 - 32,000 - 5,000 Necessary C.E
Finance Cost - 11,000 - 11,000 - 11,000 Free cash flow firm
Free cash flow-E 14,000 - 12,900 14,800 WACC
DF 14% 0.877 0.769 PV
PV 12,281 - 9,926 138,582
Value of Business 140,936 Yr 3 Onwards
Value of Debts -70000 Delayed Perpetuity
Value of Equity 70,936
[Link] VALUATION
Non Marketable= Bank Loan
Marketable= Bank Issue
Business/ Firm'
of Business/Firm
39,845
242,883
- 70,000
212,728
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
85,000 92,000 102,000
- 45,000 - 49,000 - 58,000
40,000 43,000 44,000
- 12,000 - 12,900 - 13,200
- 3,000 - 32,000 - 5,000
25,000 - 1,900 25,800
11%
39,845
242,883
Paxis
Part A
Synergy Why Synergy Creates?
Value of individual company Cost Synergy
Paxis W1 38558.48 Revenue Synergy
Wragger W2 50997.69 Financial Synergy
Total Value 89556.17
Value: Combine Co W3 105143.9 Exam Point: Expertise required for Explanation &
Synergy (If CV>TV) 15587.8 Application Refer the Notes
Year 1 to 4 7478.42
Year 4 Onwards 31080.062
Total Value 38558.48
WACC
Capital Structure
Equity 70%
Debt 30%
Ke (CAPM) 12.26%
Kd 6%
WACC 9.84%
Year 1 to 4 1 2 3 4
PBIT 3360 3528 3704.4 3889.6
Tax: Operating Profit -1008 -1058.4 -1111.32 -1166.9
Tax Depreciation 1522.5 1598.625 1678.556 1762.5
Cap Ex -1680 -1764 -1852.2 -1944.8
Free Cash Flow 2194.5 2304.225 2419.436 2540.4
DR: WACC 9.84%
Valuation Yr1-Yr4 7478.42
Wragger W2
Year 1 to 4 6998.71
Year 4 Onwards 43998.974
Total Value 50997.69
WACC
Capital Structure
Equity 45%
Debt 55%
Ke (CAPM) 13.66%
Kd 7.5%
WACC 9.03%
Year 1 to 4 1 2 3 4
PBIT 3035.25 3232.5 3442.656 3666.4
Tax: Operating Profit -910.575 -969.8 -1032.797 -1099.9
Tax Depreciation 1171.5 1247.6 1328.745 1415.1
Cap Ex -1320.6 -1406.4 -1497.858 -1595.2
Free Cash Flow 1975.575 2104.0 2240.747 2386.4
DR: WACC 9.03%
Valuation Yr1-Yr4 6998.71
Paxis Perpective:
Wragger: Market Value 15360
Paxis Offer to Wragger:Value 19072
Premium Offer 3712
The reason for offering premium is due to synergy of 15328
Mode Of Consideration
Acquirer Perspective Acquiree Perspective
CASH CASH
[Link] up the business w/o [Link] Value what we are getting
acquire S/Hs involvement [Link] Flexible
DEBTS DEBTS
1. Gearing Level Increase 1. Fixed Return= Interest
All Above analysis also need to consider ROI for each mode of consideration
or Explanation &
WACC (Combine)
Paxis Paxis
Equity 31% 20.86 Ke 12.26%
Debt 13% 8.94 Kd 6.00%
Wragger Wragger
Equity 28% 19.072 Ke 13.66%
Equity Related to debt 15.36 Kd 7.50%
Debt 28% 18.77
67.65
Year 1 to 4 1 2 3 4
Sales 24096.98 25542.8 27075.37 28699.89
Operating Profit 30% 7229.094 7662.84 8122.61 8609.967
Taxation -2168.7282 -2298.852 -2436.783 -2582.99
Tax Depreciation 2703 2865.18 3037.091 3219.316
Cap Ex -3010.4 -3191.024 -3382.485 -3585.435
Free Cash Flows 4752.9658 5038.144 5340.432 5660.858
WACC 9.64%
Valuation yr1-yr4 16494.18398
ation
Sigra Co. Working
Mode of Consideration Dentro Equity Valuation: P/E Ratio Method
% Gain: Dentro (Target Co.) EPS*P/E ratio 4.5
Cash Offer 11.11%
Shares Offer 21.46% EPS(DENTRO) P/E Ratio
2% Bonds Offer 29% PAT 625 Assumption: P/E Of Sigra
No of Shares 1250 Value Per Share
Cash Offer EPS(DENTRO) 0.5 EPS
Per Share: PAT
Receive 5 No of Shares
Forgone 4.5 EPS
Total Gain 0.5 P/E Ratio of Sigra
Gain In percentage 11.11% P/E Ratio with adjustment (
Calculation for KD
2% Bonds Offer Yr 0 1 2
Receive 93.01 C.F -104 6 6
Forgone 72.00 IRR 5%
Gain 21.01
Gain Per Share 1.31
Gain In percentage 29%
Value of 2% Bonds Yrs C.F D.F
Interest 1-3 2 2.747
Redemption 3 100 0.875
Assumption: P/E Of Sigra ACQUIRER PERSPECTIVE
Value Per Share 3.6 Given
Synergy Allocation Dentro
4950 Cash Offer 37%
No of Shares 11000 Shares Offer 72%
0.45 2% Bonds Offer 97%
P/E Ratio of Sigra 8.00
P/E Ratio with adjustment (12.5%) 9.00
Cash Offer
Synergy 1687.5
Dentro Premium/Gain 625
Balance:Sigra 1062.5
Shares Offer
(Applied Below) Synergy 1687.5
Dentro Premium/Gain 1206.9
Balance:Sigra 480.6
2% Bonds Offer
Synergy 1687.5
Dentro Premium/Gain 1641.7
Balance:Sigra 45.8
3
106
PV
5.49
87.52
93.01
ERSPECTIVE
37%
63%
72%
28%
97%
3%
Example CW
CIV METHOD
Similar Company
Operating Profit 315
Asset Employed 1583
ROA 19.9%
Cash Offer
Per Share
Receive 5.72
Forgone 4.77
Gain 0.95
Gain % 20%
and immediate,
provide the
sh plus bonds offer where strand co.
gain is also nearest
t later which is after
n’t dilute their shareholding in the company.
Opao Co.
Appendix 1
Part C
Opao Co. Tai Co.
Value of equity before
Acquisition 5,000 1,000
Value of equity After Acquisition
6719
Tai Co.
From Free Cash Flow-Equity
(Million)
Profit before interest and tax 132
Add: Depreciation 27.4
Tax On operating Cash flows - 26.40
Less: Investment and Working Capital - 24.3
Free Cash Flow-Equity 108.7
PV of Cash Flows 1,400
Market Value of Debts - 400
Value of Equity before Acquisition 1,000
Year 1-4 1 2 3 4
Sales Revenue 7,351 7,720 8,108 8,515
Pre-Tax Profit Margin 1,132 1,189 1,249 1,311
Tax On Operating Cash flows - 226.41 - 237.78 - 249.71 - 262.25
Necessary Capital Expenditure - 109 - 114 - 120 - 126
Free Cash Flow 797 837 879 923
Combine WACC 10%
Valuation Yr1-Yr4 2706.21
Cash Payment
Shares MV Pre Acq Shares
Opao Co. 2,000 5,000 2,000
Tai Co. 263 1,000
6,000
2 Opao Co. offered its two shares in exchange Tai co. 1 share
Futures Contracts
Sell Now: Buy Later
June Contracts
No. Of Contracts 98.4
Under Hedging 50
Lock In Rate
June Futures 1.0369
BR Remaining -0.0011
Effective Rate 1.0358
Total Receipts 12740.34
Options
Exercise Price 1.0375
Buy June Put Option
No. Of Contracts 98.4
Under Hedging 50
Premium Payment 105.35
Outcome
Exercise Price 1.0375
Est. Forward 1.0358
Assume the options will be excercised
Net Outcome
Exercise 12709.375 Spot 12740.34
Premium Payment -105.35 Premium Payment -105.35
Under Heding 50 12634.99
Total Receipts 12654.0
NUBO CO.
Part A
Sell off (Super Market) 581 We will assume to go with Sell off
Divest (Super Market) 511.07
Divest
Proportion of Assets belongs to super Market Division
Non Current Asset 385
Current Assets 85.4
Relisable Value
Sale of Assets 511.07
Sell Of
Value of Super market Division by P/E Ratio.
PAT (50% of total Business) 83
P/E Ratio (Supermarket Division) 7 Times
Sell of 581
Although both the above options generate sufficient funds to pay off for the
liabilities, the sale of the supermarket division as a going concern would generate
higher cash flows and the spare or remaining cash flows of (581-482)=$99m
can be used by Nubo Co for reinvestment in Aircraft Division
Debt Capacity
Debt Capacity based on downsized company equals to Aircraft Division only.
Before After
Ba 0.6111 0.75 Systematic Risk
Financial Risk High Low
Be 1.1 0.9 Financial Risk
Ke 10.60% 9.60%
WACC 7.27% 8.23% Debt As Cheaper finance as compare to equity, Low pr
1. Value of 5.2% Bond by Red. Yield Method
42613.836
0.75
0.93
ance as compare to equity, Low proportion
Newimber Co.
Business Reorganisation
Unbundling:
Bento Co.
Part B
1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4
Equity 15,965 23,144 31659.49 41649.21
Debt 43342.38 36152.14 28386.69 20,000 Working 8% Compound Int
Total 59,308 59295.88 60046.18 61649.21 EAC
Yrs
Projected: MBO PAT & Res 1 2 3 4 1
Operating Profit 13542 15031.62 16685.1 18520.46 2
Finance cost 3
6% Conv Loan (simp Loan) - 1,200 - 1,200 - 1,200 - 1,200 4
8% Compound Int - 2,400 - 1,867 - 1,292 - 671
Profit Before Tax 9,942 11,964 14,193 16,650
Taxation - 1,988 - 2,393 - 2,839 - 3,330
PAT 7,954 9,571 11,354 13,320
Dividend 25% - 1,988 - 2,393 - 2,839 - 3,330
Profit to RE 5,965 7,179 8,516 9,990
Comment:
The gearing covenant is forecast to be reached in the second year only, and by a marginal amount.
it is forcast to be in all other years and it is unlikely that Dofu Co. will be too concerned about the
covenant breach.
Part C:
Answer Planning
1. Evaluate the offer made by Bento $60M
2. How, by comparing valuation of business
3. Business Valuation/ Equity Valuation
1. NA Based Valuation 57440
2. Dividend Valuation 58372.16
4. Other Points
Dividend Yr1-Yr4
Years Dividend DF PV
1 1,988 0.893 1,775.36
2 2,393 0.797 1,907.56
3 2,839 0.712 2,020.45
4 3,330 0.636 2,116.21
7,819.58
Years 4 onwards
Delayed Perpetuity With Growth
Value 50552.58
Working 8% Compound Int
9057.624
Bal OP Int Inst Bal End
30000 2400 9057.624 23342.38
23342.38 1867.39 9057.624 16152.14
16152.14 1292.171 9057.624 8386.689
8386.689 670.9351 9057.624 -
Do(1+g)/Ke-g
Growth with perpetuity
Yr4 Onwards
Kawa Co.
Appendix 1
Kawa Equity Value: Demerged Co. (By Free Cash Flow)
Value of the Business
Year 1-Year 4 494.27
Year 4 Onwards 1388.589
Total Value 1882.86
Value of Equity 75% 1412.15 Kawa Cap structure remains same
KAWA No of Shares 2000
Per Share Value: As Demerge 0.71
Per Share Value: Now 0.60
Gain in case of Demerger 0.11
Gain In % 17.68%
Year 1- Year 4 1 2
Sales Revenue 954.00 1011.24
Operating Profit 200.34 212.36
Tax Payment 20% -40.07 -42.47
Additional Cap Ex -13.5 -14.31
Free Cash Flows 146.77 155.58
DR 0.11
NPV 494.27
Appendix 2
Additional Equity Value: Combine Company: KAWA and Lahla
Value as Independent Company
KAWA 1200
Lahla W4 2402.379
Total Value 3602.379
Equity Value : Combine W5 4253.88
Additional Value= Synergy 651.50
Appendix 3:
% Gain to each of Lahla's Co and Kawa Co's Shareholder
Appendix 4
Impact on Lahla Capital Structure under each payment Method
Debt
Now 40%
If,
Cash Offer W9 47%
Share Offer W10 32%
ap structure remains same after unbundling
3 4
1071.91 1136.23
225.10 238.61
-45.02 -47.72
-15.17 -16.08
164.91 174.81
Equity
60%
53%
68%
Workings
W1: Cost of Capital (KAWA)
Market Value of Equity 1200.5 75%
Market Value of Debts 400 25%
1600.5
Be 1.46
Kd Post Tax 3.52%
Ke 13.5%
WACC 11.0%
P/E Ratio
Lahla ( As Above) 14.049
Kawa 10.252
Mid Point 12.150
Cash Offer W6
Kawa
Receive: Cash Per Share 0.66
Forgone: Value per share 0.60
Gain per Share 0.06
Gain % 10%
Lahla
Value of Equity Now 2402.379
Synergy Allocation
Total Synergy 651.50
Less: Premium to KAWA -120
Balance: Synergy to Lahla 531.50
Gain% 22%
Share Offer W7
Kawa
Receive post Acq est W8 2.28
Receive: KAWA per Share 0.76
Forgone 0.6
Gain 0.16
Gain% 27%
Lahla
Value of Equity Now 2402.379
Synergy allocation
Total Synergy 651.50
Less; premium -319.24
Balance Synergy 332.26
Gain % 14%
Cash Offer W9
Debt Now:
Equity Value of Lahla: 60% 2402.379
Total Value 4003.965
Debt Now: 1601.586
Kawa Loan B 400
Cash Offer Value 1320
Total Debts after Acquisition 3321.586
Total equity: Before Acq 2402.38
Synergy Allocation [Link] offer 531.50
Total Equity After Acq 2933.88
Financial Reconstruction:
Total Assets Balance Sheet Restructure
1. Debt to Equity= SWAP
2. Equity (Par Value OR Nos) Restructure
3. Balance Sheet = Going Concern Basis= RV
bts
Equity Structure (Revise)
ments 1. Previous Share Holder= Holding
/Supplier/Customer) 2. VC= New= Holdings
areholders. 3. Debt to Equity SWAP = Holdings
4. Management Part of Equity= Holdings
Debt Structure
Financial Gearing
Interest Cover
Cash Position
Profitability
Existing Shareholders
In case of Liquidation=Receive=NIL
In case of Restructure= offer to receive =0.28/share
Venture Capital
In case of Restructuring
1. Equity Stake 39%
Investment 1 Million
Returns
EPS 1st 2 Years 0.185
EPS after 2 Years 0.124
ROI
1st 2years 129.5 13%
After 2 years 86.765 9%
8% Convertible Loans
Equity Stake (600) 33%
Investment 1000 Incase of liquidation
Returns
EPS 1st 2 Years 0.185
EPS after 2 Years 0.124
ROI
1st 2years 111 11%
After 2 years 74.4 7%
Management
Job secure but they have to invest
but they become equity holders in the company
2000 260
500 45 Income Positions: After Restructing
620 62 1st 2 Years After 2yrs
PBIT 750 750
Interest Cost -417 -417
500 50 PBT 333 333
Taxation 0 -109.89
3620 417 PAT 333 223.11
940
P/E Ratio
Industry P/E Ratio 12 Times Potential
3620
2693 P/E (Potential) Dricom
Price of shares 1.5 1.5
134% EPS 0.185 0.124
1.80 P/E (Potential) Dricom 8.11 12.10
Share Holders
Venture Capital
l Requirement
Floating Able to Sold
Fixed Not able to sold
Floating Able to Sold
2. Risk Management
STRATEGIES:
Transfer Avoid
Insured Avoid Travelling 100%
Reduce Accept
Reduce ActivityDo Nothing for Risk Management
Strategies:
1. Currency Invoicing = FC Transaction but invoice based on LC
2. leading and Lagging = Lead means Upfront payments & lag means delay the payments.
3. Netting = Transaction net (cut off), payments and receipts ( Condition: Timings & currency shou
4. Bilateral & Multilateral Netting
Matching
6. Money Market Hedging
Hedge Instruments
7. Forward Contract OTC
8. Future Contracts MSC
11. SWAP
ans delay the payments.
dition: Timings & currency should be same)
Forward Contract
Basic Example
FC Exposure
Total Payments
1. After 2 months ABC co will take up the physical delivery $10000 @265 from bank
2. After 2 months ABC co will settle the forward rate on net basis (Betting Contract)
PKR
al Payments 2650000
PKR
al Payments 2650000
2650000 PKR
Forward Contract:
Customise Contract:
a) Nature of Currency
b) Volume of Currency
Future Contract
Basic Example
LC: PKR & FC US$
Pakistan Based Company
FC Exposure
Now 1/1/23
FC Payment after 2 Months 1/3/2023: $10,000
Spot Rate Now: 260
Risk: PKR will weak in future
Now 1/1//23
Risk Management = Future Market Spot
Forex Market : March Futures
PKR/US$ Basis Risk
Spot Market 255
Future Market
March Futures 261
Case 1: What will be out come if the estimated spot 1/1/23 become
1. PKR 262/USD
Case 2: What will be out come if the estimated spot 1/1/23 become
1. PKR 252/USD
Outcome 1/3/2023
Future Market Close
01/01/2023: Buy $ 261 Low
1/3/2023: Sell $ 264 High
Gain 3 Gain on Futures
Transac. Date
Now 1/1//23 3/1/2023
Spot 255 EST. SPOT 252
March Futures 261 EST. Futures 254
Basis Risk -6 BASIS RISK REM -2
Outcome 1/3/2023
ing Months 1
2640000
20000
2620000
262
ment Date
Settlement Date
3/31/2023
Example:
Importer = FC US$ Buy = $2000 = how much need to pay in PKR = $2000/0.0037/$
Exporter = FC US$ Sell = $800 = how to will receive in PKR = 800/0.0038/$
Code = FC Denomination
t Code = LC Denomination
ew point of Bank/Exchanger
PKR
in PKR = $2000/0.0037/$ 540000
R = 800/0.0038/$ 212000
KYT INC
Now 1/ July
LC US$: FC YEN
FC Exposure: Yen140m = Payment by 1st September
Total Estimated Payment with future Contract
Spot Market
Buy YEN 140m 1,166,667
Futures Gain 57,224
Net Payment 1,109,443
Effective Rate 126.19
Solution By Lock In rate Y/$
Sept Futures Now 125
Basis Risk Remaining (1/Sept) 0.97
Effective Rate 126.20
EXAM Solution
September future Contract
Buy Yen now and sell later
11 Contracts
Hedge Efficiency
Spot Market Loss
Now 1,097,980
01/Sept 1,166,666.67 68,687
Futures Gain 57,224
Hedge Efficiency 83%
If the basis risk is reduce gradually then you can use lock in rate
UP OR LC $ Down Working Y/$
Now 1/July
Spot 128
1 Contracts Sep: Futures 125
dged Risk Basis Risk 3
Working Y/$
Now 1/July Trans Date 1/September
Spot 128 Est Spot
Sep: Futures 125 EST futures
Basis Risk 3 Basis Risk
Trans Date 1/September
Est Spot 120
EST futures 119
Basis Risk 0.97
Date 1/September
120
119
0.97
Allbrit Co.
FC Hedging
Forward Contract 443,377
Future Contract 443,304
Future Contract
Which Contract
December Futures (sterling) Contract
Sell Pounds Now: Buy Pounds later (Short Positioning)
Contracts 7.16 7 Contracts
Under Hedging 14,563 $
Detailed Solution
Outcome
Future Market $ FC
Sell Now 654,938 Low
Buy Later 685,453 High
Loss On Futures - 30,516
Spot Market
Buy 443,048
Effective Rate ($/P) 1.51
Spot 1.55 1.552
Premium - 0.04000 - 0.03950
1.5100 1.5125
Note:
1. Future/Option Contract = Based on LC= Outcome= FC
2. Vice Versa
is based on local currency
31/Oct
Est Spot 1.58
Est. Futures 1.567
BR Remaining 0.01325
Example 1
LC= $
FC= Pound FC Denominator= Direct Code
Buy Euro Now; Sell Euro later
Payment 720,000
Contract 5.76
Under Hedging 95,000
Working
Lock In Rate Spot
Future December 0.9245 D Futures
BR Remaining - 0.00120 BR
Effective Rate 0.9233
We as Contract Holder
Situation:
Option:
LC = Pound
FC= $
Option Market
Exam Solution
Contracts 9.33
Exam Solution
Contracts 9.66
Net Outcome
251,808
ome (30 June) Local C Pounds
233,440
18,367
1.39
251,435
ome (30 June) Local C Pounds
236,327
15,109
1.39
Pongo PLC
Payment
Indirect Code
Put Option
Contracts 9.33
Premium 18,367
Exam Handling Points
1. If est. Spot is not given in the question, then use forward rate as estimated spot
Spot
Forward (2 Months)
Forward (7 Months)
Forward (5 Months)
Lammer PLC.
Indirect Code
LC Pound
FC $
Netting $ 1,150,000
Futures
Payment 1,150,000
Contracts 9.7
Lock In Rate
Forward Contract
Type of Contract
Exercise Value - -
Under Hedging - -
Payment Case
260
263
268
266
1.9200
19.2
10,000
0.0655
20,302
1.9029
Exercise
593,750
5,255
20,302
619,307
EXAMPLE
P S CAN 3 2.00
P R USS 5 3.13
Q R USS 4 2.50
Q S CAN 7 4.67
R S CAN 2 1.33
R P USS 6 3.75
S Q EUR 12 10.00
S P CAN 5 3.33
Amount Paid By
Amount Paid to P Q R S
P 3.13 2.00
Q 2.50 4.67
R 3.75 1.33
S 3.33 10.00
become reduces:
Here S needs to pay
To R 0.54
To Q 2.83
To P 1.96
Kenduri Co.
Part A
Kenduri Foreign Currency Exposure with Lakama
$
Payment In 3 Months 4,500,000
Receive In 3 Months 2,100,000
Net Payment in 3 Months 2,400,000
Option Contract
Exercise Price 2 Exercise Price
3 Months Option Contract 3 Months Option Contrac
Buy Put option Buy Put option
Contracts 24 Contracts
Premium (Pounds) 19,576 Under Hedging
Outcome with Option Contract Premium (Pounds)
Forward Rate 2 Outcome with Option Con
Exercise Price 2 Forward Rate
Exercise Price
Exercise Value 1,500,000
Premium 19,576 Exercise Value
Total Payments 1,519,576 Premium
Under Hedge By Forward
Total Payments
Case 2
Spot Market 762,680
Premium Paid 12,300
774,980
Comment:
1. Forward & Money Market Comparison
2. Option= 100% not to ignore
3. Final Comments
0.775
2
nths Option Contract
ut option
24
Hedging 71,250
um (Pounds) 30,846
me with Option Contract
rd Rate 2
2
se Value 1,437,500
30,846
Hedge By Forward 44,542
Payments 1,512,888
Amount Paid to
Amount Paid By K G J L
K 0.70 2.82
G 2.04 0.88
J 2.17 0.94
L 1.32 2.41
Total Payment -3.52 -2.92 -3.11 -3.73
Total Receipt 3.48 2.41 2.74 4.64
Net R/P -0.04 -0.51 -0.37 0.91
Here L Has to Pay
To K - 0.04
To G - 0.51
To J - 0.37
Gogarth Co.
Netting $000
Receive 37,400
Payment - 14,500
Receive 22,900
Futures 96,461.67
Options 96,132.23
Forward Contract
Futures Contracts
Contracts 192.60
Lock In Rate
Options
Call Option
Contracts 193.41
Net Outcome
MR LC
US$ FC
Muhammad Hannan:
It is always calculate
using the selling rate
as it is provided by the
bank
using the selling rate
as it is provided by the
bank
Bollain Co.
Forward Contract 16235.940
Currency Futures 16271.540
Options Contract 16178.280
Forward Contract
Forward Rate 0.8729
Total Est. Receipts 16235.94
Currency Futures
September Contract
Call Option
Buy Now and Sell Later
Contracts 81.422
Under Hedging 96.36
Lock In Rate
September Contract 1.1422
Basis Risk Remaining 0.0009 1.1485
Effective Rate 1.1431
Total Est. receipts 16271.5
Options Contract
Exercise Price 1.1420
Call Option 0.0077
Contracts 81.436
Under Hedging 99.6
Premium Payment 108.66
Net Outcome
Exercise Value 16200
Under Hedge 86.9
Premium Payment -108.66
Total est Receipts 16178.280
Workings
Direct Code
Euro LC
US$ FC
Contract LC
Call Option
Interest Rate Risk Management
Hedging Strategies
OTC
Forward Contract= FRA
1. Rate Fix
2. Position Indifferent = Predefine Rate
Chances= Gain/ Loss
MSC
Note
1. Interest Rate= As commodity
Value of Bonds & Interest Rate = Inverse Relationship
Market Term Interest= As Commodity= For Eg 4% (100-4=96)
[Link] Solution either by % OR Amount
Net Outcome
Est. Spot 7%
Gains on Futures -2%
Effective Rate 5%
Sopoph Company
June Contract
Sell Now; Buy Later
Contracts 2 By Default 3 months contracts
Lock In rate
June Futures Now 95.48
Basis Risk Remaining -0.08
95.4
Interest Rate Conversion 4.6
Spread Adjustment 0
Effective Interest Rate 4.6
Outcomes
Option Contract Exc. Price 95 Exc. Price 94.75
Exercise Price 95 5% 5.25%
Est. Futures 93 7% 7%
Gain On Futures Option -2% -1.75%
Net Outcome
Spot Market adj with Spread 7.50% 7.50%
Premium 0.65% 0.18%
Option Gain (if Any) -2% -1.75%
Effective Interest Rate 6.15% 5.93%
Interest Rate Guarantee
1. FRA= Option Contract
2. Position=
Favourable = Interest Rate Inc= Option Exercise
Un Fav Movt= Option Lapse
No chances of Loss
3. Upfront Premium Payment
7.50%
1.12%
-2.25%
6.37%
Borrowing Case
Risk = IR Increase = Bond Value = Decrease
Sell Now; Buy Later Future Contract
Buy Put Option Option Contract
Lending Case
Risk = IR Decrease = Bond Buy = Bond Value Increase
Buy Now; Sell Later Future Contract
Buy Call Option Option Contract
Borrower
Put Option Holder
Call Option Writer
Collars:Borrower
Put Option Buy 8% (Set Cap/ Max Limit =Holder
Spot 7%
At that time, Sell Call Option 4% (Set Floor/Lower Limit= Writer)
Collars Outcomes
Gain OR Lapse OR Loss
Basic Example
Collars: March Contract
Buy Put (Set Cap) 92
Sell Call (Set Floor) 93
Premium
Buy Put (Set Cap) Premium Pay
Sell Call (Set Floor) Premium Receive
Net Payment
Lender Borrower
Put Option Writer Buy put Option
Call Option Holder Holder
Premium Pay
Lender
Buy Call Option
Holder
Premium Pay
Premium Pay
Premium Receive
Net Premium
Outcome:
Case 1: If IR increase: Est Futures = 9.8%
8%
7% Exercise Price
Est. Futures
We as Borrower Gain/ Lapse
0.2
-0.15 Net Outcome
0.05 Est. Spot (L+2%)
Premium Pay
Gain On Collars
Lender
Sell Put Option
Writer
Premium Receive
Borrower
Sell Call Option
Writer
Premium Receive
Collars
Outcome
Est Futures = 9.8% Case 2: If IR Increases: Est Futures=3.9%
8% Exercise Price 7
9.8% Est. Futures 3.9
-1.800% Counter Party Lender Loss
Loss 3.1
Net Outcome
11.5 Est. Spot (L+2%) 6.5
0.05 Premium Paid 0.05
-1.8 Loss on Collars 3.1
9.75 9.65
From Us
From Market
Loss/Lapse
Interest Rate Risk Management
Collars
Premium Receive
Premium pay
Alecto Co.
Now 1st January
Transaction date 1 May
Duration 5 Months
IR Futures
June Future Contract
Sell Now; Buy Later
37 Contracts 36.67 (Rounding Up due to some reason)
Lock In Rate
June Futures 96.16
BR Remaining 0.18
96.34
IR Conversion 3.66
Spread 0.8
Effective IR 4.46
IR Futures Options
June Put Option
Contracts 36.67
Exercise Price 96 4
Premium 15077.5
IR UP 0.5% IR Down 0.5%
Option Outcome
Exercise Price 4% 4%
Est. futures 3.98 2.98
Gain Or Lapse Lapse Lapse
Net Outcome
Estimated Spot (L+0.8%) 4.6 3.6
Premium 0.163 0.163
Option Gain 0 0
Effective IR 4.763 3.763
IR Futures Options
June Put Option
Contracts 36.67
Exercise Price 96.5 3.5
Premium 53742.5
Net Outcome
Estimated Spot (L+0.8%) 4.6 3.6
Premium 0.581 0.581
Option Gain -0.48 0
Effective IR 4.701 4.181
Collars
June Contract
Buy Put 96 4
Sell Call 96.5 3.5
Premium
Buy Put Premium Pay 0.163
Sell Call Premium Receive -0.09
Net Pay 0.073
ome reason)
Outcome Outcome
Case 1: If IR increases Est Futures= 3.98% Case 2: If IR Decreases [Link]
3.5
2.98
Loss
arty Lender 0.52
3.6
0.073
0.52
4.193
IR UP 0.5% IR Down0.5%
96.2 3.8 97.2 2.80
96.02 3.98 97.02 2.98
0.18 0.18
Awan Co.
IR Futures
March Future Contract
Buy Now; Sell Later (Long Positioning)
Contracts 32
Lock In Rate
March Futures 94.76
BR Remaining 0.46
95.22
Interest Rate Conversion 4.78
Less: Spread -0.2
Effective Rate 4.58
IR Futures Options
March Call Option
Contracts 32
Exercise Price 94.5
Premium 6912
Premium
Sell Put Premium Payment 0.121
Buy Call Premium Receive 0.119
Net Payment 0.002
4.41
4.67
4.788
Exercise Price 5
Est. futures 3.65
We as Lender/ Gain 1.35
Net Outcome
Est Spot 2.99
Premium Pay -0.002
ulated above Gain 1.35
Effective rate 4.34
Working
Now 1/Jan
Spot 95.91 4.09
June Futures 94.76 5.24
Basis Risk 1.15
Loss/ Pay
SWAP
Hedging Strategies: Majority Long Term but Short Term Also
OTC
Classification
Interest Rate SWAP
1. With Counter Party= Most Fovourable Topic of AFM Examiner
2. With Bank/ Financial Intermediary
Currency SWAP
1. Investment/ Principal Only
2. Interest Only (Same as Interest Rate SWAP)
3. Forex Swap
Interest Rate SWAP: Counter Party
Comparative Advantage 2% 1%
Game will start by stronger and the weaker will be against him and they wouldn’t cha
Stronger Weaker
Sameer Hussain
Example 1:
Fixed Floating
Comparative advantage 2% 1%
Sinclair Walford
Swap
Sinclair Walford
Swap
Sameer Hussain
Swap
IR Example
SWAP
Receive R -Fixed
Payment P Floating
Part A
SWAP
Receive -L
Payment 8.5
Effective IR 9.5
nd they wouldn’t change their places means stronger remains stronger and weaker remains w
Sameer Payment:
Floating Payment
L+1%
Less: 1%*50%= 0.5%
L+0.5%
enefit= 1%
Sinclair Payment
Floating Payment
L+2%
L+1.5%
enefit= 1%
Sinclair Payment
Floating Payment
L+2%
L+1.5%
Bank Charges
1. Yearly Basis
2. One Off
3. Both
Sameer Payment:
Fixed Payment
9.50%
9.25
enefit= 0.5%
Example
Floating
-Floating
Fixed
Part B
10% 7.5%
11% 8.50%
-10% -7.50%
8.50% 8.50%
9.5% 9.50%
weaker remains weaker
Part A:
Now: 1st May WORKING
Interest rate exposure: Lurgshall need to borrow $84 M NOW 1/MAY
by 1st September for the duration of 6 months SPOT
Evaluation of Hedging Techniques SEP FUTURES
Forward Contract 5.38 BASIS RISK
Futures Contract 5.6 BR TOTAL
SWAP 5.45
Future Option Contracts 5.571
Option Evaluation %
Exercise Price (95.25) 4.75
Estimated Future Options 5.19
Intrinsic Value YES BORROWING CASE = IF EST FUTURES IR > EX PTICE IR = INT V
GAIN 0.44
Borrowing
Future Contract Sell Now: Buy Later
Option Contract Buy Put Option
Swap Arrangement
Actual Borrowing 5%
SWAP
Receive -4.90%
Pay Libor
Example 3
Swap Arrangement
Actual Borrowing Libor+0.15
SWAP
Receive -L
Pay Fix 4.95%
EIR 4.95%
Currency SWAP
3. Forex Swap
0 1
Investment -270
FCF 290
Remittance -1 0.967
DR
0 1
Investment -20
Returns 25
DR 10%
Investment Appraisal
With Forward Contract
0 1
Investment -800
Returns 1000
DR 15% 15%
NPV 0.41
Investment Appraisal
0 1
Investment -800
Returns 1000
DR 15%
NPV 1.05
Currency SWAP
SWAP IN Rate
0 1
Investment -20
Returns 25
DR 10%
BORROWINGS
Foreigner ko borrowings mhengi milengi as compared to nationals
UK National
UK National B 4%
PKR B 8%
Pakistan National
PKR B 7%
UK STERLING 5%
Example 1
Comparative Advantage
Fixed Rate (1.5-1.2) 0.3
Floating Rate 0.1
Total CA 0.4
SWAP
IR SWAP 1 SOFR -SOFR
Bank Charges 0 0
IR SWAP 2 -0.7 0.7
Effective IR with SWAP SOFR+0.5 1.2
IR without SWAP SOFR+0.6 1.5
Difference 0.1 0.3 0.4
1st SWAP settle Floating Rate
Balancing Figure
=Total CA
Buryecs CO.
Currency Swap: B (i)
Benefits Of SWAP Buyrecs Count. Party
Fixed Rate 4 5.8
Floating W+0.6 W+0.4
Gain On SWAP:60:40 1.2 0.8
Bank Charges 0.3 0.2
Gain on SWAP after Bank Chrgs 0.9 0.6
SWAP Arrangement
Actual Borrowings 4 W+0.4
SWAP
Buyrecs Payment W -W
Buyrecs Receive -4.6 4.6
EIR with SWAP Before Bank Chrgs W-0.6 5
Bank Chrgs -0.3 -0.2
EIR with SWAP After Bank Chrgs W-0.3 5.2
Forex SWAP: B (ii)
Investment Appraisal (With SWAP Arrangement)
0 1
Cash Flows (FC $)
License Fees -5000
Annual Income 600
Realisable Value
Net Cash Flows -5000 600
Exchange Rate E/$ 0.143 0.1472
Remittance
SWAP In -715
SWAP out
Remaining CFs 88.30
Net Cash Flows LC E -715 88.30
DR 14%
NPV $185.64
Benefit Currency SWAP:
1.8 1. SWAP of Borrowings
0.2 2. SWAP: Interest Rate
2 3. Forex SWAP: To support Foreign Investment
0.5
1.5
2 3
600 600
7500
600 8100
0.1417 0.1315
715
85.03 407.65
85.03 1122.65
Bond Valuation
1. Borrower Perspective
1. Borrower Perspective
Marketable Loans
Methods:
CAPM
Yield Method
Yield Method
1 3.8 0.2
2 4.4 0.6
3 5.6 0.4
4 6.5 0.5
4%: PV 100 1 4 4
Redemption 4 Years 2 4 5
Redeem at Par 3 4 6
Value of Bonds 4 104 7
Kd
DF PV
0.9615 3.8462
0.9070 3.6281
0.8396 3.3585
0.7629 79.3411
90.1739