Name: ___________________________
Assignment 1
MYP 2
Probability Tree Diagram
Instructions
• Use black ink or ball-point pen.
• Answer all questions.
• Answer the questions in the spaces provided
– there may be more space than you need.
• Diagrams are NOT accurately drawn, unless otherwise indicated.
• You must show all your working out.
Information
• The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
1 Tina has two bags of counters, Bag A and Bag B.
There are 5 red counters and 3 blue counters in bag A.
There are 4 red counters and 5 blue counters in bag B.
Tina takes at random a counter from each bag.
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram.
Bag A Bag B
Red
Red
Blue
Red
Blue
Blue
(2)
(b) Work out the probability that Tina takes two blue counters.
(2)
(Total for question 1 is 4 marks)
2 Hannah is going to play one game of chess and one game of backgammon.
The probability she will win the game of chess is 0.6
The probability she will win the game of backgammon is 0.7.
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram.
Chess Backgammon
Hannah
wins
Hannah
wins
Hannah does
not win
Hannah
wins
Hannah
does not
win
Hannah does
not win
(2)
(b) Work out the probability that Hannah will win both games.
(2)
(Total for question 2 is 4 marks)
3 Rachel has two bags.
In the first bag there are 4 red balls and 6 green balls.
In the second bag there are 3 red balls and 5 green balls.
Rachel takes at random a ball from the first bag.
She then takes at random a ball from the second bag.
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram.
First Bag Second Bag
Red
Red
Green
Red
Green
Green
(2)
(b) Work out the probability that Rachel takes two green balls.
(2)
(Total for question 3 is 4 marks)
4 Jo is going to play one tennis match and match of squash.
4
The probability she will win the tennis match is
5
7
The probability she will win the squash match is
10
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram.
Tennis Squash
Jo wins
Jo wins
Jo does
not win
Jo wins
Jo does
not win
Jo does
not win
(2)
(b) Work out the probability that Jo will win both matches.
(2)
(Total for question 4 is 4 marks)
5 Each day Paul wears either a black tie or a red tie to work.
5
On any day the probability he wears a black tie is
9
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram for Monday and Tuesday.
Monday Tuesday
Black
Tie
Black
Tie
Red
Tie
Black
Tie
Red
Tie
Red
Tie
(2)
(b) Work out the probability Paul wears different coloured ties on Monday and Tuesday .
(2)
(Total for question 5 is 4 marks)
6 Jon plays a game where he can win, draw or lose.
The probability Jon wins any game 0.5.
The probability Jon draws any game is 0.3
Jon plays two games.
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram
First game Second game
Win
Win Draw
0.5 Lose
Win
0.3
Draw Draw
Lose
Win
Lose Draw
Lose
(b) Work out the probability Jon wins both games. (2)
(2)
(Total for question 6 is 4 marks)
7 Bradley gets the bus on Saturday and Sunday.
The probability that Bradley’s bus will be late on any day is 0.2
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram.
Saturday Sunday
Bus is
late
Bus is
late
Bus is
not late
Bus is
late
Bus is
not late
Bus is
not late
(2)
(b) Work out the probability that Bradley’s bus is late on at least one of these days.
(2)
(Total for question 7 is 4 marks)
8 Felicity is going to play one game of chess and one game of draughts.
The probability she will win the game of chess is 0.8
The probability she will win the game of draughts is 0.6
Work out the probability that Felicity will win exactly one of these games.
(Total for question 8 is 3 marks)
9 Mimi has two bags.
In the first bag there are 3 red balls and 7 green balls.
In the second bag there are 4 red balls and 5 green balls.
Mimi takes at random a ball from the first bag.
She then takes at random a ball from the second bag.
Work out the probability that Mimi takes two green balls.
(Total for question 9 is 3 marks)
10 Lola plays a game where she can win, draw or lose.
The probability Lola wins any game 0.6
The probability Lola draws any game is 0.1
Lola plays two games.
Work out the probability Lola wins exactly one game.
(Total for question 10 is 3 marks)
