India’s Climate Policy: Past to Future
India’s Climate Policy: Past to Future
net/publication/352364698
CITATIONS READS
0 769
2 authors, including:
Manoranjan Ghosh
Symbiosis School for Liberal Arts (SSLA)
23 PUBLICATIONS 0 CITATIONS
SEE PROFILE
All content following this page was uploaded by Manoranjan Ghosh on 13 June 2021.
ABSTRACT
It has been proven that the development of any nation is correspondingly
related to increasing greenhouse gases and per capita energy demand and
uses. In India, approximately nineteen thousand eight hundred villages are
still without electricity, and at the same time, India is the world's third-
largest greenhouse gas emitter. Soon, greenhouse gas emissions and energy
demand will be more than double in India. Therefore, India needs an effective
and inclusive climate policy to handle high greenhouse gas emissions and
meet energy demand. In this article, looking into the past of the Indian
domestic climate policy, it has appeared that the country's climate policy is
changing over time, especially from 2009 onwards. After briefly examined
major achievements and shortfalls of India’s domestic climate policy,
especially, National Action Plan on Climate Change, it has cleared that not
all the national missions effectively successful. For example, the National
Mission on Sustainable Habitat only reframes some existing laws; there are
no particular plans for rural habitats in the context of climate change.
National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency and National Mission for
Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem achievements are negligible. Moreover,
INTRODUCTION
Any nation's development is correspondingly related to increasing
greenhouse gases and per capita energy uses (Narain et al., 2009; The World
Bank, 2010). The more energy signifies more greenhouse gas emissions; the
more greenhouse gas means more threat to the planet earth. It is because
greenhouse gases are the prime reason for anthropogenic climate change.
Therefore, the world development report on ‘Development and Climate
Change’ (2001) has rightly mentioned that climate change policy should
carefully focus on economic development and climate change mitigation
strategies. Focusing on India, still, 19766 villages are without electricity, and
at the same time, India is the world's third-largest greenhouse gas emitter
(NITI Aayog and IEEJ, 2017; Srinivasan, 2012; World Bank, Ecofys, and
Vivid Economics, 2017). It has also predicted that greenhouse gas emission
and energy demand will be more than double in India's near future (Thaker
and Leiserowitz, 2014). Therefore, India needs an effective and inclusive
climate policy to handle high greenhouse gas emissions and meet energy
demand (Rajamani, 2012; Thaker and Leiserowitz, 2014). Looking into the
past of the Indian domestic climate policy (Table: 1), it has cleared that the
country's climate policy is changing over time. This article's main objective is
to revisit India’s past climate policies and mark the sifting trend, which
helped mitigate the country’s climate threats. Secondly, briefly examine
India’s domestic climate policy along with major achievements and
shortfalls. Third, there is also a focus on possible future strategies. We have
critically pointed out the important event related to climate change policy,
which will help shape the future strategy of concerned areas. To analyze the
past and present of India’s domestic climate policy, various published and
unpublished academic and non-academic articles, public and private
institutional reports, archive information, and world prominent newspaper
interview have used as information and data sources. The article will be
filling the void of essential historical analysis of the domestic climate policy
of India.
The paper has organized as follows. The second section deals with the
climate change trend and related vulnerability in India because it is
168 ANNALS OF NAGI
million people (Kulp and Strauss, 2019). The coastal cyclone in India's
eastern coast and flood on both sides Indian coasts are the severe threat to
the poor people in this region in the context of climate change (Sankari, et
al., 2015). As India has a long 7000 km coastal line with a high population
density, thirty-six million people will be pushed for displacement in West
Bengal and coastal Odisha (Rawat, et al., 2016). The sea-level rise and
population displacement and resettlement will be the severe conflict and
challenge for governance. Besides, the climate change-driven coastal
disturbance has also impacted the coastal tourism, fisheries, and port
infrastructure, which has impacted the regional economy and related
livelihoods of the people.
The Asian countries are the most vulnerable due to climate change-
driven sea-level rise; 70% of global coastal vulnerable people live in eight
Asian countries3. At the same time, population growth rate is also very high
in these countries. Therefore future population exposure to sea-level rise and
coastal flooding estimate that more than double people will be threatening by
climate change-driven sea-level; India will be the fourth largest victimized
country (Neumann, et al., 2015). Table: 3 shows the share of projected
Apart from the new activism in the Indian parliament, in the year 2009,
for scientific knowledge and the impact of climate changes within the
country, the Indian Network on Climate Change Assessment8 (INCCA) has
formed. The main objectives of INCCA was to study science, impacts,
vulnerability, mitigation and adaptation aspects of climate change in the
country (Sharma and Chauhan, 2011). The INCCA has made a common
platform of one hundred twenty academic and research institutions and over
220 scientists from different disciplines to discuss the science, impacts,
vulnerability, mitigation and adaptation’ dimensions of climate change. In
November 2010, INCCA published a comprehensive report namely ‘Climate
Change and India: A 4x4 Assessment - A Sectorial and Regional Analysis for
2030s’ focused on four major vulnerable sectors such as water, agricultural,
human health, and forest, and four major vulnerable regions, such as the
Himalayan Region, Western Ghats, North-Eastern Region, and Coastal
Region. In continuation of the new active wave in Indian climate policies,
‘Prime Minister's Council on Climate Change of India’ has been formed. The
council published the national and state climate action plan within a few
years. Michaelowa and Michaelowa, (2012) have mentioned that during the
years 2007 to 2011, Indian’s international and domestic climate policy move
from rigid defensive strategies to mixed dynamic strategies. The national
and state action plan on climate change shaping the domestic emission
scenario has been discussed in detail in the next section.
The NAPCC and the state-level climate action plan have been rigorously
criticised. Table: 4 shows that the national mission concentrated on a
relatively chosen field rather than a wide variety. National Mission for
Enhanced Energy Efficiency and National Mission for Sustaining the
Himalayan Ecosystem achievements are negligible. Byrvan and Rajan (2012)
rightly mentioned that it was made undemocratically and a little discussion
with the expert community; it is repackaging of existing and programs.
Careful looking at the published NAPCC report, it can be stated that it is
just an overview, not considering the severe problems of climate
vulnerabilities and no solutions for small and marginal farmers and other
vulnerable communities. There is a lack of coordination between the
institution and ministerial level to implementing the eight national mission
in a whole stick way; also the lack of formal coordination mechanism in
climate change finance management (Dubash and Joseph, 2016; Jha, 2014).
There are skewed distributions of financial allocation in terms of state-wise
performances on the implementation of eight national missions. However, all
10. One of the main principles for preparation of state climate change action plan
was to emphasis on agro-climatic zone and district wise identification of
vulnerable sectors and groups.
176 ANNALS OF NAGI
Table 4: National Mission under NAPCC and Its Key Goals and
Achievements
National Mission Key goals Achievements
National Solar To developed 100GW solar Increased the country's solar
Mission power and 20 Million solar finance, Allocate money for 62
lighting system in rural India by solar cities across the country
2022. (Table:4). Achieved 20 million
sq. meters’ solar thermal
collector area. To busting solar
energy, India has double the
coal tax from _50 to _100 per ton
(NITI Aayog and IEEJ, 2017)
National Mission To develop the energy Only reframe some existing laws
on Sustainable efficiency and recycling of and framed transport and
Habitat construction waste, compulsory energy-efficient building plan
rainwater harvesting, housing (Centre for Development
for all. Finance, 2014).
National Mission To achieve efficient energy use From 2012 to 2015, the missions
for Enhanced and meet the demand of the achieve 5635-megawatt energy
Energy Efficiency country, reduced greenhouse saving, which reduced 31 million
gas emission. tonnes of CO 2 emission (Data
accessed from Ministry of
Science and Technology,
Government of India;
website:https://dst.gov.in/).
National Mission To develop knowledge Established seven climate
for Sustaining the institutions for the Himalayan change studies centreonly in the
Himalayan ecosystem, which hold the Himalayan states (Ministry of
Ecosystem institutional capacity for studies Forest, Environment And
on the Himalayan ecosystem, Climate Change
climate, and people livelihoods. Website,http://moef.gov.in/).
National Water To conserve water resources, Created 1,082 new Ground
Mission reduce water waste, and Water Monitoring Wells.702 new
ensure pure drinking water Hydrological Observation
facilities, integrated river basin Station, 275 real-time flood
management isa prime goal. forecasting stations, and only
1,237 water bodies have
restored out of 10000 targets till
2017 (Centre for Development
Finance, 2014).
National Mission To improve forest cover, forest- Little increased of forest cover of
for a Green India based livelihoods, plantation of the country. New policy initiative
trees on barren land, like Nagar Vana Udyan Yojana
wasteland, cold desert, and has taken for urban forestry
mangrove areas. creates 25 hectares of urban
forests (Ministry of Forest,
INDIA’S DOMESTIC CLIMATE POLICY: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE STRATEGIES 177
1250 3.5
Emission CO2e/person/year
1050 3
GDP INR Trilion
850 2.5
650 2
450 1.5
250 1
50 0.5
2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047
Figure: 1 Future Prediction of Percapita Emission and GDP Growth in India
Apart from the domestic energy demand, there is an urgent need to find
a suitable climate policy that is globally acceptable. Sometimes, India needs
a sophisticated climate policy to negotiate world politics and foreign relations
(Barua, 2017; Rajamani, 2012; Thaker and Leiserowitz, 2014). India has
been participating in the entire climate change global summit and
contributing to framing the global climate policies11. For many reasons, one
of the important driving causes is that Indian climate policy is directly linked
to India’s claim to the permanent position in the United Nations Security
Council (Rastogi, 2011). This section will focus on India’s possible future
strategies related to global and domestic climate policies. Some important
issues that can mitigate India’s greenhouse gas emissions, solve the
increasing energy demands, and future strategy to become a ‘deal maker’ in
global climate change negotiations.
First, it has been found that eradicating extreme poverty is possible
(US$1.9 PPP per day) without compromise with greenhouse gas emission. In
India, the socio-economic challenges are huge: poverty, hunger, illiteracy,
inequality, and displacement. For example, 30.9 % of the rural population
lives below the poverty level (Planning Commission, 2009), and many rural
women are illiterate (41.2 %). Apart from that, many people have low
resource rights and assert ownership, which makes them more vulnerable to
climate changes (Yadav and Lal, 2018). Therefore, to build resilience for
11. India participated in the 1972 Stockholm Conference, the then prime minister
Indria Gandhi made the influential speech to shape the global environment
policies, then in 1992, Rio Conference, India’s remarkable influence was
“Global Warming in Unequal World: An Environmental Colonialism” which is a
paradigm shift in the global climate change policy thinking.
180 ANNALS OF NAGI
Natural Gas, 2017; Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell, 2018). Whereas,
these imported fossil fuels are the primary source of greenhouse gas
emissions. Therefore, shifting to renewable energy sources, such as solar
power would be the best option. It has been estimated that India’s solar
energy possibility is more than 10,000 Giga Watts (NITI Aayog, 2015). India
needs to invest more in the solar energy sector to reduce fossil fuel emissions.
Table:6 shows the possible proposed solar cities in India. Considering the
solar city development strategy, recent prediction shows that the renewable
energy sector can generate three Lakh new green jobs in India (Kwatra,
2017). The country has many young populations and generates employment
for this young workforce is one of the prime challenges. Therefore, moving to
renewable energy sources can create more green jobs.
Third, India's natural resource extraction level is high, and these
natural resource extractions are directly linked with India’s climate policy
(Adve, 2010; Bidwai, 2009). The global research found that natural
vegetation and soils absorb near about 40% of global anthropogenic CO2
emissions (The Royal Society, 2001) and play a significant role in mitigating
climate change (Hendrick and Black, 2007). Noticeably, India has less than
33% of forest cover to its total geographical area. Considering upcoming
climate change vulnerabilities, India needs to increase and protect its
natural vegetation covers. As we mentioned in Table: 3, green India's
national mission achieves little compared to its expectation. Therefore, there
is a need to redesign the national and state policy regarding the increase of
natural vegetation.
CONCLUSION
There are disagreements among scholars regarding Indian climate policy
and per capita greenhouse gas (1.02 metric tons per year, which is much
below from world average) emission dilemma. The multiple stakeholders at
various levels in multiple sectors have engaged with the climate policy
framing. Those influence the domestic as well as global climate policy of the
country. In continuation of greenhouse gas emission and policy change,
Kanitkar et al., (2009) raise the question of whether India needs to cut its
emission level? India is aware of its emission cut along with its economic
growth. A comprehensive and viable strategy has been taking over a long
time to secure Indian economic growth, energy demand and mitigate climate
change (NITI Aayog, 2015a). Presently, India is aware of its energy demand
considering its booming entrepreneurial economy and global leadership
aspiration. India has developed its own energy and emission scenario based
on energy demand and supply using the India Energy Security Scenarios,
182 ANNALS OF NAGI
2047 (IESS, 2047)12, a robust energy scenario building tool that will help,
domestic climate change policy framing. India is putting the climate change
policy at the heart of development strategies, particularly in energy security
and economic development.
REFERENCES
Adve, N. (2010). India’s Climate Policy: Development and Equity, XLV(18), 31–33.
Barua, M. (2017). India’s Environmental Strategy in the Global Climate
Negotiations. International Studies, 51(1–4), 195–211.
Bidwai, P. (2009). An India That Can Say Yes: A Climate-Responsible Development
Agenda for Copenhagen and Beyond. Delhi: Heinrich Boll Stiftung.
Byrvan, S., & Rajan, S. C. (2012). An evaluation of India’s National Action Plan on
Climate Change. Centre for Development Finance, Indian Institute of
Technology Madras.
Centre for Development Finance. (2014). National Mission For Sustainable
Agriculture.
Chettri, M. (2017). Ethnicity and democracy in the Eastern Himalayan Borderland:
constructing democracy.
Chowdhury, K., & Behera, B. (2018). Is declining groundwater levels linked with
the discontinuity of traditional water harvesting systems (tank irrigation)?
Empirical evidence from West. Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 7
(April), 185–194.
Dubash, N.K. (2019). India in a Warming World. Oxford University Press.
Dubash, Navroz K, & Joseph, N. B. (2016). Evolution of Institutions for Climate
Policy in India. Economic & Political Weekly, 51(3), 44–54.
Hendrick, E., & Black, K. G. (2007). Forests, Carbon and Climate Change - Local
and International Perspectives.
IPCC. (2001). The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
[Houghton, J.T.Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K.
Maskell, and C.A. Johnson (eds.)]. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York,
NY, USA. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
Jha, V. (2014). The coordination of climate finance in India. New Delhi.
12. The ‘India Energy Security Scenarios (IESS), 2047’ is an open source
energy scenario building tool which generates energy demand and
supply scenarios for India leading up to the year 2047 developed by
NITI Aayog. The IESS, 2047 shows the macro energy scenario of all
sectors in a five-year interval up to 2047 the year 2012 as a base year.
The year 2047 will be the hundreds year of India’s independence. See
Annexure 2:
INDIA’S DOMESTIC CLIMATE POLICY: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE STRATEGIES 183
Krishnan, & Sanjay, J. (2017). Climate Change over India: An Interim Report,
INCCA.
Kulp, S. A., & Strauss, B. H. (2019). New elevation data triple estimates of global
vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flood. Nature Communications, (2019).
Kwatra, S. (2017). Why Acting on Climate Change Is Good Strategy for India.
Lee, M., Villaruel, M. L., & Gaspar, R. (2016). Effects of Temperature Shocks on
Economic Growth and Welfare in Asia. Manila.
Michaelowa, K., & Michaelowa, A. (2012). India as an emerging power in
international climate negotiations. Climate Policy, 12(5).
Mohan, A. (2017). From Rio to Paris: India in Global Climate Politics (No. 130).
New Delhi.
Mohan, A., & Wehnert, T. (2018). Is India pulling its weight? India’s nationally
determined contribution and future energy plans in global climate policy.
Climate Policy, 1–8.
Narain, S., Ghosh, P., Saxena, N., Parikh, J., & Soni, P. (2009). Climate
Change: Perspectives from India. United Nation Development Programme.
Navroz K Dubash, D Raghunandan, Girish Sant, A. S. (2013). Indian Climate
Change Policy. Economic & Political Weekly, XLVIII(22), 47–62.
Neumann, B., Vafeidis, A. T., Zimmermann, J., & Nicholls, R. J. (2015). Future
Coastal Population Growth and Exposure to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal
Flooding - A Global Assessment. PLOS ONE, 10(3), 1–34.
NITI Aayog and IEEJ. (2017). Energizing India, A Joint Project Report of NITI
Aayog and IEEJ.
PIB (2021). Press Information Bureau Government of India Ministry of Petroleum &
Natural Gas.
Rajamani, L. (2012). The reach and limit of principle of common but differentiated
responsibilities and respective capabilities in climate change regime. In Navroz
K Dubash (Ed.), Handbook of Climate Change and India: Development, Politics
and Governance (1st ed.). New Delhi: Oxford University Press.
Rastogi, N. P. (2011). Winds of change: India’s emerging climate strategy.
International Spectator, 46(2), 127–141.
Rattani, V. (2018). Coping with Climate Change: An Analysis of India’s National
Action Plan On Climate Change. Agriculture (Vol. 1). New Delhi.
Rawat, N., Babu, U. M. S., & Nautiyal, S. (2016). Climate Change and Sea-Level
Rise_: A Review of Studies on Low-Lying and Island Countries. Bangalore.
Rocha, M., Krapp, M., Gütschow, J., Jeffery, M. L., Hare, B., & Schaeffer, M.
(2015). Historical Responsibility for Climate Change - from countries emissions
to contribution to temperature increase, 51.
Sankari, T. S., Chandramouli, A. R., Gokul, K., Surya, S. S. M., &
Saravanavel, J. (2015). Coastal Vulnerability Mapping Using Geospatial
Technologies InCuddalore-Pichavaram Coastal Tract, Tamilnadu, India. Aquatic
Procedia, 4, 412–418.
184 ANNALS OF NAGI
Saran, S., & Jones, A. (2017). India’s Climate Change Identity: Between Reality
and Perception (1st ed.). Palgrave Macmillan UK.
Sengupta, S. (2012). International climate negotiations and Indian’s role. In Navroz
K Dubash (Ed.), Handbook of Climate Change and India: Development, Politics
and Governance. Oxford University Press.
Sharma, S. K., & Chauhan, R. (2011). Climate change research initiative: Indian
network for climate change assessment. Current Science, 101(3), 308–311.
Shrestha, U. B., Gautam, S., & Bawa, K. S. (2012). Widespread Climate Change
in the Himalayas and Associated Changes in Local Ecosystems, 7(5), 1–10.
Srinivasan, J. (2012). Impact of Climate Change on India. In K. N. Dubash (Ed.),
Handbook of Climate Change and India: Development, Politics and Governance
(pp. 29–40). Oxford University Press.
Thaker, J., & Leiserowitz, A. (2014). Shifting discourses of climate change in
India. Climatic Change, 123(2), 107–119.
The World Bank. (2010). World development report 2010: Development and
Climate Change. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development_:
The World Bank (Vol. 1942). Washington DC.
World Bank, Ecofys, & Vivid Economics. (2017). State and Trends of Carbon
Pricing. Washington DC: International Bank for Reconstruction and
Development/The World Bank 1818.
Yadav, S. S., & Lal, R. (2018). Vulnerability of women to climate change in arid
and semi-arid regions: The case of India and South Asia. Journal of Arid
Environments, 149, 4–17.
INDIA’S DOMESTIC CLIMATE POLICY: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE STRATEGIES 185