CLASSIC BULLISH/BEARISH EXPANSION WEEKLY PROFILE:
: every other type of weekly profile will be derivative of the classic
expansion weekly profile
Characteristics of weekly candles:
profile conditions for any type of week:
__you need to frame some short of LTF dynamic in the bottom area of a weekly
candle (where the weekly low s most likely to form)
__you will need to determine the direction dynamically with week progressive
based on the conditions - you won’t know what type of weekly profile market
will play until your conditions are met (you need to see some sort of
conditions that could form the low of the week)
__mainly you will focus on H4 or greater PDA (where price will tap and make
the low/high of the week) ( ERL to IRL )
__keep in mind: swing high/low’s/rejection block one of the strongest PDA –
they starts every single move in the market
__price will less likely to expand until the news day that’s why if news on
Thursday or end of the week then that week s more likely to consolidate ~ you
can use the economic calendar to anticipate the weekly profile
__weekly profilin with combination of MMXM model
__HTF delivery FROM a PDA TO the PDA in LTF
THE MMXM CURVE:
__BUY model curve: frame the OG consolidation -> sellside accumulation -> SMR
-> buyside distribution -> purgin the OG consolidation
__SELL model curve: frame the OG consolidation -> buyside accumulation -> SMR
-> sellside distribution -> purgin the OG consolidation
FOUR weekly profiles:
__CR = consolidation to reversal
__MR = midweek reversal
__CE = classic expansion
__SD = seek and destroy
classic buy weekly profile:
__you need to find H4 or greater PDA at the lows which will frame a context
for a weekly reversal (forms the low and then starts to expand higher to make
the high of the week) – need to frame LTF dynamic in the bottom area of a
weekly candle to determine markets future direction – could be a H4 ERL or
IRL or rejection block or swing high low – frame a context for a weekly
reversal (from low to the high)
__in a classic buy week price manipulates open to the low and expands from
low to the high until close
bullish weekly profilin conditions:
1 bullish profile: HTF PDA got to frame the SMR and price needs to engage
with the h4 or greater HTF PDA on a Monday/Tuesday (price needs to engage to
the HTF PDA and form the SMR on Monday/Tuesday) ~ LOW of the week to be
formed on one of these two days ~ to qualify a classic buy weekly profile,
need to wait for Monday or Tuesday to engage with the HTF PDA and confirm the
low of the week
2 once engaging the H4 or greater PDA, you need to see a H1 mss or H4 CISD
(ideally both) (in a classic buy week after price engages with the HTF PDA at
the lows which’s manipulation – wait for low formation and after that you
need to wait for mss and CISD both for entry)
3 you ideally need to see a SMT at the bottom in the PDA to qualify an SMR
Above profile conditions needs to be met to qualify for a classic buy week
what possibly could give insights into a classic buy week occurrin?
__Economic calendar (what days are the HIN on?)
__red folder news can play the part of manipulation makin the low of the week
and then next day starts to expand upwards
__if Tuesday Red folder news -> Good candidate – If let’s consider Thursday
first HIN -> Worse candidate
you need to align your weekly profile with the weekly calendar
what can cause the reversal/expansion upwards?
__SMR ~ SMT ~ HTF inefficiencies ~ HIN ~ CISD
what qualifies a SMR?
__SMT at the top in the HTF PDA to qualify a SMR - SMT at the swing low/high
confirms valid reversal
how do you play it?
__after price engages into the HTF PDA ~ you need to frame MMXM model ERL to
IRL or IRL to ERL around the buy weekly profile
__for H4 PDA engagement (ERL to IRL or IRL to ERL), you will need to frame a
M15 internal MMXM model – the sell curve to buy curve will have MMXM model ~
H4 to H4 PDA vice versa (H4 PDA -> M15 internal dynamics = MMXM)
__entry only on H4 OB and BISI
__manipulation into the HTF PDA at the lows will be cappin off with a sell
curve and then will have a buy curve
how the buy curve MMXM will play out?
__BUY model curve: frame the OG consolidation -> sellside accumulation -> SMR
-> buyside distribution -> purgin the OG consolidation
how it’s played?
__Monday consolidates, Tuesday makes the low of the week (engages with the
HTF PDA and forms the low and next day starts to reverse expansion upwards to
make the high of the week) (if Monday makes the low of the week then Tuesday
will push up and if Tuesday makes the low of the week then Monday will
consolidate and Wednesday will start to push up), Wednesday starts to expand
upwards, Thursday expansion upwards and makes the high of the week and price
caps off the range in afternoon Thursday, Friday closes within the range
classic sell weekly profile:
__you need to find H4 or greater PDA at the highs which will frame a context
for a weekly reversal (forms the high and then starts to expand downwards to
make the low of the week) – need to frame LTF dynamic in the top area of the
weekly candle to determine markets future direction – could be a H4 ERL or
IRL or rejection block or swing high low – frame a context for a weekly
reversal (from high to the low)
_in a classic sell week price manipulates open to the high and expands from
high to the low until close
bearish weekly profilin conditions:
1 bearish profile: HTF PDA got to frame the SMR and price needs to engage
with the H4 or greater HTF PDA on a Monday/Tuesday (price needs to engage to
the HTF PDA and form the SMR on Monday/Tuesday) ~ high of the week needs to
be formed on one of these two days
2 once engaging the H4 or greater PDA, you need to see a H1 mss or H4 CISD
(ideally both) (in a classic sell week after price engages with the HTF PDA
at the highs which’s manipulation – wait for high formation and after that
you need to wait for mss and CISD both for entry)
3 you ideally need to see a SMT at the top in the PDA to qualify an SMR
Above profile conditions needs to be met to qualify for a classic sell week
what possibly could give insights into a classic sell week occurrin?
__Economic calendar (what days are the HIN on?)
__red folder news can play the part of manipulation makin the high of the
week and then next day starts to expand downwards
__if Tuesday Red folder news -> Good candidate – If let’s consider Thursday
first HIN -> Worse candidate
you need to align your weekly profile with the weekly calendar
what can cause the reversal/expansion upwards?
__SMR ~ SMT ~ HTF inefficiencies ~ HIN ~ CISD
what qualifies a SMR?
__SMT at the bottom in the HTF PDA to qualify a SMR - SMT at the swing
low/high confirms valid reversal
how do you play it?
__after price engages into the HTF PDA ~ you need to frame MMXM model ERL to
IRL or IRL to ERL around the sell weekly profile
__for H4 PDA engagement (ERL to IRL or IRL to ERL), you will need to frame a
M15 internal MMXM model - the buy curve to sell curve will have MMXM model ~
H4 to H4 PDA vice versa (H4 PDA -> M15 internal dynamics = MMXM)
__entry only on H4 OB and SIBI
__manipulation into the HTF PDA at the highs will be cappin off with a buy
curve and then will have a sell curve
how the sell curve MMXM will play out?
__SELL model curve: frame the OG consolidation -> buyside accumulation -> SMR
-> sellside distribution -> purgin the OG consolidation
how it’s played?
__Monday consolidates, Tuesday makes the high of the week (engages with the
HTF PDA and forms the high and next day starts to reverse expansion downwards
to make the low of the week) (if Monday makes the high of the week then
Tuesday will push downwards and if Tuesday makes the high of the week then
Monday will consolidate and Wednesday will start to push down), Wednesday
starts to expand downwards, Thursday expansion downwards and makes the low of
the week and price caps off the range in afternoon Thursday, Friday closes
within the range
CR = consolidation reversal
__accumulation in the market on the parallel channel in H4 or greater
timeframe (can look like a bear/bull flag)
how it’s played?
__price rallyin upwards/downwards could be comin from previous week days –
current weeks Monday consolidation, Tuesday consolidation/low of the week,
Wednesday manipulation, Thursday starts to expand towards the DOL, Friday
expansion and closes with in the weekly range
MWR = midweek reversal
how it’s played?
__bullish case: Monday consolidates, Tuesday consolidates, Wednesday low of
the week, Thursday starts to expand, Friday expansion and caps off within the
range
__bearish case: Monday consolidates, Tuesday consolidates, Wednesday high of
the week, Thursday starts to expand, Friday expansion and caps off within the
range
STDV theory:
~ in the 1-1.5 region you want to see reaccumulation
~ in the 2-2.5 region you want to observe if there’s a retracement/reversal
happenin
~ the 4th STDV’s considered to be the weekly terminus
All STDV projection levels should be mapped to liquidity or imbalances so
that there’s logic associated with these levels
checklist:
how do you approach the market?
__start to analyse the chart from weekly to daily and down to H4 timeframe –
mark out the inefficiencies of HTF PDA (inefficiencies that are in premium
and discount area of the range) – market bullish or bearish in HTF? – prev
weeks inefficiencies to be marked out
__mark out the ERL and IRLs
__determine which weekly profile would play out in the current week?
__do the market engage with the HTF PDA alignin with the weekly profile?
__do the market form CISD out of the HTF PDA?
__can you frame Internal timeframe MMXM model around the SMR PDA?
timeframe:
__for a daily PDA -> wait for H1 mss and H4 CISD (more important)
__Daily PDA engagement/SMR -> H1 MMXM
__H4 PDA engagement/SMR (ERL to IRL or IRL to ERL) -> M15/H1 MMXM
draft MAIN TIMEFRAME
~ monthly ERL purged that means monthly chart will be goin to the monthly IRL
~ weekly ERL purged and will be headin to weekly IRL
~ daily ERL (swing high tapped) purged that means daily will need to rally
towards the daily IRL (bisi)
what happened after the monthly weekly and daily ERL purge?
> H1 turned bearish first along with H4 CISD > H1 H4 assisted price to reach
daily IRL (after ERL purged)
>
after BIG timeframes objective’s filled, price starts to fill in lower
timeframes objective and steadily completes timeframes one by one objective
to then ends up fillin BIG timeframes objective again
in line: Monthly ERL to IRL -> first: Daily ERL to IRL -> second: Weekly ERL
to IRL -> monthly IRL reached
~ monthly IRL to ERL -> first daily IRL to ERL -> second: weekly IRL to ERL -
> monthly ERL reached
after monthly hit the ERL, it’s next objective’s to reach monthly IRL ->
price first: completes daily timeframes objective (daily ERL to IRL) which’s
to reach daily IRL (as daily have also purged daily ERL), after daily reaches
the daily IRL price now completes daily objective -> second: next price fills
the weekly objective (weekly ERL to IRL) -> monthly objective filled
conclusion: monthly objective filled (ERL to IRL) -> daily objective filled
(ERL to IRL) -> weekly objective filled (ERL to IRL) -> monthly objective
completed
weekly objective’s filled with H4 MMXM
Daily objective’s filled with H1 MMXM
Monthly objective’s filled with daily MMXM
timeframes from ICTs YT:
Daily -> Weekly -> Monthly objective filled
H1 -> H4 -> Daily objective filled
M15 -> H1 -> H4 objective filled
M5 -> M15 -> H1 objective filled
MMXM models timeframe:
Monthly objective -> daily MMXM – need daily mss/CISD
Daily objective -> H1 MMXM – need H1 mss H4 CISD
Weekly objective -> H4 MMXM – need H4 mss CISD
H4 objective -> M15 MMXM – need M15/H1 mss H4 CISD
CISDs are must
for monthly objectives to be filled -> market will first fill in daily
objectives -> after daily objective’s filled market will secondly fill in
weekly objectives -> after weekly objective’s filled market will fill in
monthly objective
what’s the objective? objective’s to rally from ERL to IRL to IRL to ERL
how the market cycle works?
> for price to complete Monthly objective: market first starts to complete
objectives of lower timeframes – MONTHLY target hit -> DAILY objectives ->
WEEKLY objectives
