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Dr, RIAYKUMAR AR.
MODULE -3 -
STATISTICAL METHODS AND CURVE FITTING
Pearson's coefficient correlation and
Tines of regression, problems.
fitting the curves of the forms
Statistical Methods: Correlation and Regression-Karl
rank correlation, problems. Regression analysis,
Curve Filling: Curve fitting by the method of least squares,
¥ +b, y = ax? and y = ax? + bx +e.
Method of Solving problems on Statistical Methods
‘Method/In Questions Formula | Working Procedure ae
16 7
Find Comelation oF pete — | pit findmean ofeandy. || * 12 Fee] 5=9|% 1" 12
Comet Govasen ve] "JOKER | Const the prope able
Karl Pearson's Coefficient ‘Substitutes the XY, EX*
tas normal) ae le ee)
Cortlation
Identify the Byy and By i
‘When two regression r= tyDoPrx the two given Equations and
Mean ofxandy~ | sobstimiein r= +YPabox wh
No Table
lines are given. Two
Find mcan of x and y
Find the correlation
coefficient
Take xandy sf and
Tinthe sverige | Take xandy as €and J in
cree ane or | tegiven two equations and
Tandy see
Fit find mean of x and y
Regression line yon x | Construct the proper Table,
yaBEx Substitutes the XY, X=
Ee and ¥? in formula YandX | x
obwintetneot | Reo ney ons | Sie wo : es
Cprotnccrston |= EY trot es
pee Seiten onde in i
the two obrained regression
Fines and substitute in
r= tbody
xlylaes—y |
ay tfiey sven ak et
rasksonetn | DG uincale ie
‘and find Sd? , then
Sistine oma
rhe are not gen ak
celica naesendng |
order, perform a).
Rank correlation
coefficient
a
R, |y | Ry
@ scanned with OKEN ScannerDr. AIAYKUMAR AR.
Method of Solving problems on Curve fitting
Method/Question | Formula/Normal equations —_[ Table
dys ayx enh
Straight line ae aSx? + byx
tee oe
Dixy = ape + by x*
Dy = abe + BEE tne
Second degree | 2AY = @BA* t UAT + ce
Parabola Batya ake +80 + ee
y=axt+brte| Or
= §] dy = na+ yrs cx
Ya at bet ce eae?
ty = ax? + bY +6
“Taking fog on both side we get
togey = loge + bloger
=log.a
yrax?
BY =na+bEx
SAY = aDX + UX?
Working Procedure for Problems
‘+ We first write the normal equations appropriate to the curve of best fit.
© We prepare the relevant table and find the value of all ‘the summations present in the
normal equations.
‘© We substitute these value to arrive at a system of equations in the unknowt
parameters.
© We find the parameters by solving the system of equations and substitute in thy
equation y = f(x) which being the curve of best ft.
@ scanned with OKEN ScannerDr. AJAYKUMAR AR
STATISTICAL METHODS
ection, classification, and analysis of
onable decisions. It has
tal data, etc.
Statistics deals with the methods for coll
numerical data for drawing valid conclusions and making reas
meaningful applications in production engineering, in the analysis of experimen
Measures of Central Tendeney and Dispersion
‘Measures of Central Tendency
‘The collection of data constitues the starting point of any statistica’ investigation.
fone can be made about the data by analyzing and interpreting its A frequency
‘ofthe data around some central value. Finding this
1e most representative value of the
Dei
distribution in general shows clustering
central value or the average is of importance as it gives th
whole group. Different methods give different averages which are known a the Measures
of Central Tendency, A measure of Central Tendency gives us a rough idea about where
the data points are centered. Mean, Median, Mode, Geometrical mean and Harmonic mean
are the commonly used measures of central tendency.
Mean (Arithmetic Mean)
xy psx, %y ate the set ofr values of a variate, then the arithmetic
mean (or simply mean) is given by
Ry txptxa tito
n
‘Measures of Dispersion
“Two distributions may have the same mean and same total frequency, yet they may differ
in the extent to which the individual values may be spread about the average. The magnitude
Of such a variation is called dispersion. Dispersion is the degree of scattering or variatior
of the variable about the central value. Range, Quartile deviation, Mean deviation anc
Standard deviation are the important measures of dispersion.
‘Standard Deviation (S.D.)
‘The most important and the most powerful measure of dispersion is the standarv
deviation (S.D.). It is generally denoted by a. It is computed as the square root of the meat
of the squares of the differences of the variate values from their mean,
‘Thus, the Standard Deviation (S.D.) is given by the formula.
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2)
Dr. AIAYKUMAR AR.
wher is i
here N is the total frequency ¥ fi
Note: Th
he square of the standard deviation is known as the Varianes
es, ice., when the changes in one
CORRELATION
mndent variabl
is called correlation. Such a data
. a simultaneous variation of two indeper
ee are associated or followed by changes inthe other, i
ecting two variables is called bivariate population.
Examples:
Marks of individuals in two su
Height and weight of individuals
Rainfall and yield of crops
Tf'an increase (or decrease) in the
decrease) in the other, the correlation
eight and weight, rainfall and yield of crops are
in the values of one variable corresponds to a deer
the correlation is said to be negative
‘odity and the decreas
ibjects
alues of one variable corresponds £0 22 increase (oF
is said to be positive.
positively correlated.
cease (OF
Example: H
Ian increase (oF decrease)
increase) in the other,
he price of a comm f¢ in its demand leads t0
they are said to be
4 between the variables,
Example: Increase in 4
negative correlation
Note: If there is 0 relationship indicate
jndependent oF uncorrelated.
Marks of individuals in 60 subjects are uncorrelated
exampl
relation (known
FICIENT O)
cal measure of col
ficient of corre
J CORRELATION
the coefficient of ¢0!
lation is calle
fined by the relation
dis de!
rel
COE!
Jation) an
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deviation from the mean &,
deviation from the mean F,
2Y and n is the number of values o
[1-9 — standard deviation of x,
standard deviation of y
the two variables.
Note:
1) The coefficient of correlation r numerically
That is, -1 <7 <1.
does not exceed unity
2) Ifr = +1, then the correlation is perfect and positive.
Ifr = =1, then the correlation is perfect and negative.
Ifr =O, then there is no correlation between the variables.
3) The alternative formula for the correlation coefficient is
n(ixy)-(ENEy)
(ne*)-29?)x[ner4)-er"]
Regression
Regression is an estimation of one independent variable in terms of the other. If x & y
are correlated, the best fitting straight line in the least square sense gives reasonably a good.
relation between x & y.
The line of best fit the form y = a + bx (x being the independent variable) is called the
regression line of on x and is given by
(7-9) = Dyx(x — that is, ¥ x
Where X =x-3,¥=y-y,2=2% y= 22
and by, = =“ = regressi icie
yx = 57 = Fegression coefficient of y on x.
@ scanned with OKEN ScannerDr. AIAYKUMAR AR
O-9) =H) bye =
The line of best fit of the form x = a + by (y being the independent variable)
is called the regression line of x on y and is given by
. per
(&—%) = byy(y J), thats, X = Fz
yeali gilt
Where X =x-3,¥=y-J,¥= y= 2
and Dyy > regression coefficient of x on y.
(- 3) = 27), Dye = FS
Note:
1) The correlation coefficient r is the geometric mean of the regression coefficients.
That is, r= +/ByyByy
The sign of r will be positive or negative according as the regression coefficients are both
positive or both negative.
2) The point (@, 3) lies on both the regression lines.
3) The slope of the regression line of y on x is by and the slope of the regression line of x on
Vis byy.
RANK OF CORRELATION
‘Spearman’s rank correlation
‘The Spearman’s correlation coefficient is defined as the Pearson correlation coefficient
between the rank variables, and it will be denoted by the symbol p (row).
Suppose ‘x’ and ‘y’ are two variables, let Ry and R,, are the ranks of variable x and y
respectively, and d; = Ry, ~ Ry, be the difference of the ranks then Spearman rank correlation
is given by
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Fad the Covrelahon coefgrcted ee fee foloet
lew,
BC 1
3 a
Here, nes.
a] 3
s| 3
H. TE, wat stnrs, ig > [223]
Ss
Ys ZY. atest 3e8tt_ ar oy fyes
j= EY. 3 ao fies)
We Conshraud ates. folldcing dable.
xe | yr xN
W 4 6
! C o
3 13 } “2 ° 4 o
4 18 ' 3 ! 9 3
Sot a a H 4 4
ar 7 Ixts [Lys |rxys
| . tO | a6 Lis
ey Ws
ey
VERS
ce
Gey ca)
13
260
the forrelehon co-efficient a gen by
(3
(62H ST
= 0.80
92 sq nq se 33 a1 1° 6% 3a gy
qq 68 8S SH 32
Nea SiGe sco ols
kkse n=to
zx, 750 [z- as)
- ZY. An 2)
n o . le
Conphod tte felloory fab
7 Xe xz] Y
a AS B
86 It 1) asqy | 176
83 14 u “196 yal
a. 12 19 iy | él
+4 u s 1al as a
68 & 4 ou 16 “38
as 2 13 4H 164
se 7s 18 as | aan |
BA “12 ip ra | wee | 22
3F “AR “35 he | i985] a0
oF . ras as bas gas | 2as |
PERE Tyee | LAY =
BOT6 | RF6R | 1FB
The cpvreldhion co-efft cxew? 2 qe by
wpe EY
VEEN)
73H _ 184 = o,
ee = “guoeor ~ CoS”
\ 0b x 2962
Thug fhe @urelalon Coofficxe <0-FHIS.
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ae were eupp Heed’ do to shack on to felto5
a 4 showr dtrod dea indellrged vce ax
wedto. Coleedie dre co“ g(ccred ay cores HO
5
Tela} ato etete le le &
| s 7 Tal wl It tA
Jd er) spam
toy | to2 | fol
(03 | (00| 48
2 tO | os f -t | eas] ol oS |
= os ' 4:
y LS O°
= ae mi Le |
The
oe = Er +089 S
fadcten coe Dives Nas 0:60)
Tht qtr Cove
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Nshion ¢
S Find fee Coefficrewd of conte
deDet as
fa fen f fas ead ab =
: 26l
= ws Ig lo | eA | 6 30 | z|
Avs SF 0-60
pera ay (ees
8S) tind tte Cooreldhon coe fpecred L/w fr
dee folfocer ~ : |
fr 1 “S r 613 | q_| af my
Pe] t 3 | 5 ta]
\ ate fete a
ly | ites dng, 201}
) ay pron
D Find the Covseloion coe ffrere blw qr
ri
[oes af
[y_[ias | 138
dts presi dla F: Safi ;
er:
Nervous berg wy
) Ten peop® 4 :
ue Pipe eset hoe lelfer# Boks a
as Yard dizdanice The number a tebber
Corre ty wcod a below.
gt in perf sl mae Ss a eeh
roles [eae pa
6.)
Aw: ys -0.08S
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to sdededdg marver © oe
Peor zon’ x cowppecre? ry Cove to
aget
Aye 9 haabowd a3 ar rs 29 30
> j wife 13 2? 23 74 ze
1a
to) Finck do coeffere? e
export ,
pro cducton ale
Podude?
Tee thins)
Exons ae) OD 25) 2f| oF
pir fats do
aqe
Colerrtve
Corseletion bf
aig tO ge
SS; AS Gye SB oe.
27
Coco) Ee
iar
pf dher
2) 3 = 36
os haat
aos
24
32
wo ee pcutbed)
fowiny dela
go 60 60
ng RS nS
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Dd The hve veqre sion
wank Y are Ser (BIB O°
Find 1) mean of 20'S
Ww dte @rreloien coeff’
ai"
= We have the, reqre*
Be 1UIB —0-BF¥ =O
Ye (len 0. so Se 1 ->@,
clearly fle veqression
bay > - 0-84 aud
equation’
er Capron
4 die Varrabl
say ame fe 1 64-0.50%
and
uy mean oy ae
cred
Cnet
(Raqrenrion Cu 4
n bn oe wees
raha ton
0 Rogreb we
coegprre™ are
by oe 70" sO
pote fee rege
Since toe poh (zp) Ofer
One, We rate
Qe
qos Ubu - 0.se
above
x 40.8499 21%!
Thus meansop 2%
mean of WP
The Cosreladion Coegoeter? rv aa
52 tl bay by x
=o 2 14.13 —0-874
ca
4
equeiem poten FL
3
ver ey
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= + 0.66
Smee bode 1s wegren Hien co egrore* are
neqhive , we hove we 0-66
Thus, dhe Coscelaion cogected we 066.
clenfoyed Laboratory record)
wz andy teny
renpion 39 ee
avd goxt-W*
ae SY 4 337°
ens coeffecte
> nwo portally
only die Cres of
avorGbl
wey
Hw
fale 2,4
are
for, PE ppeciuely. Caleu
ef cosrelaren peeee ant #
gion Lined
ae
Zr We howe tre weT™
Hoe- s¥ + 3gso 7 SH yee
gox - AY = 104 => gor = ot TY
Revndtivy to Giese gan
Vis 660+ 080% 20
ae eee vom 2®
Cleon Joe wegen ere f
pay = Oks ond byx = 0-80:
smce tht pow (2,9) lie en bod. dos regre # tier
lina, “we have
nt =e 22>
gox -17 = 07
oboe © ucony , we a
and Teel.
@ scanned with OKEN ScannerThe correlahion coef{rereud a aver boy
622 Sbay byx
= t J 6us) Co)
Y= + 0.6
Since boda foe regres ston
we hove yeab.
are oxi
Co ef ore wy
ploles. sim plefeing fhe Ropexton lin oe
dis qe rene B tre
bile simpbfyiry ohn
take alley loxge co-efferod 4 afy on
Ber ecamipl = Refer Goble D
. He a
Nal -SVWe-3B > sye +33 ae Seared gon
e 2D goxrz= ort
20K - IY =lOF
eee 825-12 EY
ig Hoe e- 33° ST 2 , _
D ye - sT 4 2222 > always lea
amd bye are qreser am one
C effrcrert pitt be orl
o-
Seoppoxe
Tye -10F 420%
becausey op bay
ghan dee eq Conrelatre
rho rod pos eibls. Alor Zo, te, ~l4rel.
“f ocony ax Co efferet QD
lorsyacred- Phan
M co effrcre”
i dee quer tow
byx 9 Pogreaon Gis qd Y onx [# y Co-effiecend &
larger doar 2 Co-effecred im foo quen tre J
boxy 2 Raqre pion equ bibs
@ scanned with OKEN ScannerCones 4 foo Mom
equations of regression
Saget a eee t 43
= Yo psig x + 33-435 | Wz O-Slay+
tnd ft Correlation Coegprererd and dhe meame
xX and y, :
sol”
We haye die reqrex dion Gra
Goo.SI6X + 33-43
= 0.SIaY + 3a.SA
Cleawly te weqrespion co -efproved# are
BaGeroisre enced yarn ors °
: ns the
Since, dus poir (#7) been ca
veqrex4sien Cun, CWE ala MONE
= OSIEXEY =BS.93
Xe — 0.29 = BAS2
; 5
Sokuvy chal abbeys aqudlow, WE BS
; ee.6s |
Gizepea] ws [LE
Thur, die mmean”o a avk.Y,
The Correlation Coeppretent
poet J bay byx
= t fo.si2 xo.St6
Be oh qo Ly
y
at 0. SIH
bode fee reqreneten Gefecredx a
fave, Ye o-s1y
Since
posite , we
on, tte Gr elon Cepecen = O-StY
@ scanned with OKEN Scanner» Follow nay yecordp~, ave oxtailaok. Reqrcwos i
SX joy + 66 =0- Moxey 22, SAF 3.
Find © mean valeec 4 = nude y)
Oaoy
® coegfrered 4 Corr 07
0
We hee dts wegrension Cred
Soe - (0Y +66 50 2 l0y 2466 +B
Hox -1wy-21y 0 = HOF gin +i8y
Sunply fying dee abee equtiet
Yr 66 406%
He saspousy coin
ety gpven epee
Atal TEITE
D Snce tee pot Pern ood ee “7
Gre, we have
oY 266+ O% 7
2 Hox -18y = 24
nox = 2tH +18Y
sSelWing ths above equstony, WE yt ze)
Dd The, Covreiadion covetivetend 1 DH yer by
wed foxy by oF fousxoe = t06
Since bette dix veyrertlon co-effrcseds or% aatt
we hone freo-6 I
by
roy TOY
b oe U8Y = — aby > ONE
Wet, Sad ao =a Y Y
> bz -oY 66
) Tegud ey
Ov O8K3
O-6
oye 4 |
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The ;
euont
aud y ae } eypseccion Ciny too Newrdllel
ten ¢ t YS ©. Si6x4 33.93 2 O.SILY + 22182,.6
wervelahon og Gfficred — aurch fe Vitcrmt ey x
” t, ;
We be 7
ANE tts weereuron Gnu
: SIE X + 32.3%
x °
SIZ ¢ 32.52
CHeseby dua trtemeuton, ce eppecrerde an
leoyoe= O-s16) and [bey = o.srd
Th worrelebros Coeprcet a qrver by
lo.st2 xo.Ste
ees Ov Si hy
Rae V boy byx 5
Since boda due
ea e
qreuto 5 netewy are
Posrks yreuton Co-eff *
og ede ve
We bere
sy
Smee tos pow (CS) (ieee ek ee
Cfo (OSS Serene Gye we have
OsIbe-Y =~ 32.43
% -0.5125 fae SS? 5
Sclumg tr ateve equation ,
[2-69.63] and
We sab
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D mean yatue of x and ¥ q
aeV4
® tes ;
FOS Co- efferent a CovwelSion . Avs
2 -0-%6b
DD The do vepreuton eyettont ay fer Vawrabler
oud Y ave wea yes-2 and Yoox +23
Final > mean ef x audy
D correthon Co-efprered
> Two random varabl. have te
Brrry= 26 and Ext 4 #2! Find toa mean Ve
aud fe @-efpcrerd of Covrelateon Ofro HRY,
Bu fen, Yo R THOS
deBoyed laboratory dele.
2 wegrewon Yen + a
x on ¥ are Lvtar la bl or FxX-1bYtTLO
aud sy 4-3 FO wecpemruely, Culouldde
x, 9 cd Me looper 4 Covrelaon
bdveer x AY,
Dare comgaty ae
et ea
lines
only ew
Aw 2% 20-1034
Y= o-ssar
Ts 0:9381IT AO
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? Obketn die Grete) vesrennion aud hence de
Tee conretadior Congyrene wd for doe elton dale
ect! 12,3 fHis
Siefs [3 [sa] 4
so}
eh Here, snes. cs)
Ze De, oesenes, 1S a l/B@
oe se [Gee
GF. YL gAtspsrxwey . 2H 2
2 fist athe
We comadract die qeltesing deble
SET Rew s f yes-3 | x | Y
ze-3 | eyes | +
; 3
i 2 -2 =) f o
2 2 °
3 ‘i ° a2 o n
3 1 9
GI & \ |
2 y | A
a2 7
<4 [exe | Zy'eas | B="
; suen bs
The equolront y vegreastion bna ase aver y
ton Line ay Mt ONF
vespeseion une “4 Yon mee BE IO 4
=A
yea
Cy-4) = zxY (2-2) (x)= BLO 9)
— 13 Cy-9)
G@-s) = 43 4-3) &- 3) = Be u
yes = 103 (t-3) mo BF os (4-5)
ye Bde BTS me os - as +>
Sele Vist ede wee OrS 4oSY
sus, Ye PP e326 and oer 0-S40-Sy are Tus
Weqy ce ARON Gnex.
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bag FOS amd bye = 13 :
TH Covveladion coegfiered 7 9 Ye 79
wet Jb, byx eatJfosKrs 2% 08062 t
Smee post the wre spreanion coopierewla ane po (
Weheve ars 0-806.
nd fh
D Oblain tea Gwr ef veqrersion aid ds of
covreldhion effected fer 7 ge!
rep ye ppals[e] 4)
(a [st [zs [ol a [3 4]
ss Here, O24 -
g- te. ao feen | 41"
=
ng tate,
We Conghud dus qplleers 4
a
4
Teel ea |
Feasts
T | 4 =3 | ass | H | 6 |
a 8 abi) 73 4 a | 6 |
13 | to et | -) 1 \o4 | \ |
A 12 ° \ ° | \ oO |
js iu \ 0 1 | 0 | o |
6 13 2 2 4 | # ojo |
404 3 3 a |
Ze=93 |TPsas | rRyras
[
_|—_—__——_____
Fla reqreazron Lig are quen b ;
were sBIon line You DO G sweqre pate Gre 2
. LRKY ~ 2xY
Vielen ie Xe Se y
Ce) = ERY Gx) (x-%) = EXY cy.
x? xt
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eu s
lore sa
Yoo oqgx-3-42 +0 we or tsy
AS
Yoo Has 40.93% cen bras torts
Thuy, Yr Arepodaxe go xe gaz rorsy are te
“Peqrenx ren Gre
Clearly, dae veqrenaion coeffrcreWa awe lomeg= 0-43
aud byx = 0-93
Th Correldhion coegecred s B giver oy
Bet Vbay bye = + [043x093 = £ O13
Since bed das veqrension coeffrereds awe post tive
We heave x2 0-93
—
anol 0x)
dwo
hughand
> The following doe giver dos are af nee
and fire age ef wife Cy) Dm Years. Form dhe
weqresgion Unr curd Coleulote dea age of
Corre ponding do lb Yearg age 4 wife-
x] st [a3 [ar] as] as[ar| 30 [31 | 33] 35°
ic ar| 18 [ao |aalar|ar [aq | ar| aq| av
zi Here mz10 xy
= _ FX _ 300 = fry aa
we os Te Ppee30 ay rs
Re cConghud dee ellos dabl.
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| “= [Vewal x2) ye lay | ;
36 ~ easy is | ¥ | 1
aq 4 36 | Ve | aH }
Qazi = ny | na [Ra
A | g0 ss | | as | ts |
as | aa on H | 4 | 6 \
2s | ay Tn |
7 | al ‘ ro) te | 4 |
so | aq rn o | te | 6 |
3) | at i Ho] 2 |
33 | ag a a | a |
3s | as Ss as” A | is \
Lt bang av Be
The | equotions ofp teqrenzion bia ore gave oo
Th, Beqremwion bis Yons & reqreazron hiv & cad
ys ZRY x2 BY y
Txt ay
Ce-G)= 257. wx-2) cx-#) = EXY Cy -9)
LK zYy*
@-as) - B3 (x- 30) 30 = 123. (y-as)
@ ) 138 mx-30 164 c
FE OBA BE FAIS as ovasy - L3-ASH2
Ga Hb ORIN mes the 24 DO FY
Ths , Gee sroBW Lo xa thrsto.ay ave due
weqTe BRON Gre,
pe ned do find fe value 4 x when qe
So we moy vse die equetkon pes 124 O-ASY ho
fered oc phew Yate.
clearly vel Yar6, we obbeun
= Ure + 0-980) = 23-a5Y%Q3
Thur ta age 4 Aug band YW 83 Veors rhe dia oge qh,
eo Peter ence,
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Comrettien yor ste ellos ade
=a)
|
a eRe} 8 | 10 | 4 )
Om aie | -10 geet [sn
mH | 1a | 6 Saale aa | 6
1s | an “2 3 | 4p Tl 0
a2 | 6 2 -s | H | pas” =a
ab | 30 6 4 36 | sl 5
30 | 36 10 is -| 100 | aas_| 'S 1
rt Fea rae Ea |
The Lwa 4 veqression ore .
weqrension Cus of Y ont a “- q~ a
Ye oe x x= a ze YY ;
Cy-4) 2 ZEL ce-8) cx)> Eee cia)
Ext a
year = 8S (x-20) (xt- po) = BSR C4 an)
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