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Ebeling, dn Introduction to Reliability and Maietaieabilitv Engineering, 2" ed
Vaveland Press, Inc., Copyright £2009
CHAPTER 4
4L
a) R@)=e > =912
{ia\P
b) Bl Rig) =e °° =99
tg = o(-In( 99))! = 20575 days
c) METF = 6.T(1+1/g) =550-F(1+1/ 14) = 550-T(171) = 550.910572
do -e{rq+2 p)-{ra+i py}= so {r(142 14)-[r@ up}
50081 days
{re 43) -[ra7}) P}
= 550°{1267032- (910572)'}
os = Al)" = $50(-
=@(1-1/ py * =5500-1/14)"
ain RY! = 550(—1n¢.90))'* = 110.22 days
o= Vo =36395 days
R(100+200) _
RQ00)
b) (100 /200) =
4.3 The power supply has a Weibull failure distribution with B=2.1 and #=| ¥7(1/ ,)* |
7 ot
4 | dan | | = 932898 hrs
1
odl(atal Atal Lote
( 12000 18500 \ 21500
MIIF = @.T(1+1/ 8) =9328.98(.885633) = 8262 05 hrs
.
Rt,)= 9 5 tz =6-(-In(9))7) = 932898(—In(.9))}*** = 3194.79 hrs
44
a) R(t)= +> Rd50)=2¢ =9989
b) MIFF =i, +6-T(141/f)=50+8500.P(1+1/ 154) = 50+8500.9 = 7700hrs
©} tyyg =p + (—In.50)'* =50 + 8500(.69315)'** = 67498 brs
® cee {+2 )-[ra+t py} =sso0{ra +2 154)-[5f}
= $500°{r(230)- 81} 25772442 4 gs
+A-MR}F > tg = 50+8500(—-In( 98)?
A Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2" ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
4.5 For 2 redundant components,
ro=rfi-e "T= Rao =1-fi-e"
7 =992
— RD
For tings. Set Rtas)
and solve for tas: OTtnea | tuca =53 1 yes, by trial and ecror
47 Ra)=
as) ons 20 is
| sooa)
MTTF=P-Td+1/5) a
T(L77) = 998177-923763 = 922.08 hrs
4.8 Failure time is Weibull with F-1.5 and T=500.
f
a) RGO)=e
bv) t= Tiny = = ty, = 500(—In(.90))*? =11154 hes
¢) MITF=7-T(1+1/ 4) =500-Td+2/3)=500-903=45 15 brs
= 9438
96887
a2 Ebeling. 4 Introchiction to Reliability aru? Mamainabilin: Engineering. ed.
‘Waveland Press, Inc, Copyright © 2009
<2au} 90 Plies <2 o=-200-235 La198
1645
210235)
= =1-(-117) =1-121=879
af 2128 a)
t, =(-232)2128 + 235= 18563 hrs
232 >
&, RCLO/ 200) = A+ 200) __R(210)___879 __ 8 _o96
R(200) Lal 1-@(-164) 9495
4.10
a) tetra? > ty = 223607
» Resta iat
s med
z 1 30)
R(S weeks) = R(840 hrs) =1- 6 — In | = 1-@(-239) =99158
See) PEO) ai BoE) oH MEAS
Therefore probability of failure = 1 - 99158 = 00842
4
c) MIIF }32.06 hrs
4) o =hye Ce” -1) = 22362" (e** -1) = 108275422 + 97 =104055 hrs
2236
Sa =189002 hrs
43 Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2" ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
ail
aD RO=e PF R500) =e IMO = 9599
b) BI— Rét,,)=99
tog = R-tn(99)7' F =
Bl typ = 999
t a¢q = 12000(—In(.999))'*! = 44742 brs:
e) MTTF= FT (1+1/ £E) =12000-T (148) = 12000-88574 = 1062896 hrs
V-7Q0+2/4-[ra+i/ Hf t=12000 @a9s)-[raasyt
2000*IBhossi-(335747F1=2812708829 — W=530358 hrs
0 toy = tae = A-In( 5))' = =12000(—In(5))*** = 10078.22 hrs
taste — A1-1/B)* =1200001-1/ 20
fick
e) F (1 yr)= F (8760 hrs) =1- R(8760)=1-e “P"™ —4033
4.12 without bum - in: ty, = 2450(—1n(90))' ° =17896
vith burn-in: RG/30) = BEA30) _ RO430) _ REE3O): op
RGO) 9776
e
R(t +30) =90(.9776) = 8798
30
oak =8798 — £=2450(—In(8798)y' -30 =19.453 days
Burn-in testing increases design life by 194.53-178.96=15.57 days; may not be worth it.
&
Lt
=1399.757 hrs
4.13
a) The 4 belt system has a Weibull failure distribution with E-134 & T= Ne
re[b 25008 +b s4008* +b sooo +b 61008
F (72) =1—R(72) =1-e BBE" = os = 019
»)
F (72/4000) =1- R72 / 4000) =
ora 8" «994
1- Re72 +4000
R(4000)
where R(t/T,)=
“4 ” Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright 2 2009
427
(a) R(2000) jh ap ONS
z =1-) € .851)=.80234
41.7 85007 eS
1 t 2350.
zaltgeqg 7253 of 1-850? =161.87 161 landing
428 .
ay _
(a) G0) =e een Ie) ee
(8)R(50| 50) = 200) - 87706 «go 44
R(s0) 9519
(©) MIF gag = 1 2 22; MITF,
‘nay = (8939.43) (1710/7) =11,315.7
MITF sper-oy, = 2000 7 =216.6
4.29 This is a gamma distribution with the shape parameter of 2.4. (a) Using trial and error and the
Chapter 4 spreadsheet or the course software, Dis found to be approximately 5865. (b) R(5,000) =
872443, (c) MTTF = 14,076, (¢) tia 12,176.67, (d) 1 - [1 - .872443]*= 98373
430)
Manufacturer RZ) MTTF tues
7250
RWT Space Division S11 415 330.4 seis
Rockweed-Smarton 9276 S85 443.7 9202
(©) R&t}50) = RO+50VRGSO) = .95;; solve (trial and error) for t= 39.5 thr.
49 Ebeling, 4n Duroduction to Reliability and Maimrainability Engineering. 2 ed
Waveland Press, Inc, Copyright © 2009
414
Be
a) = R,(5000)=2e° pk _ ee =9784
6) MITF =P-TQ+1/ -(2-2"£]=12000-T(148) {1281]=136171 hrs
ok __-HEK =163
— =t=4100 hrs
¢) Fd yx)= F(8760 brs)=
d) Finds such that 2e-
4.15
a) R(,)=1-) Bk Fe“ feo»
Ol = -164 = 2
25
25(-12325) +10=4.19 days
») ) Ray=1-) FELYE1-) 36) -1-00016 = 90088
ii) RQ)=1-) Boke, —) (-32)=1-.00069 =99931
iit) RG) -1- » fe ) (-2)= 1-02275=97725
= 7816.60 cycles
=78166¢ ? =17 y (high variability)
—1) = 7816.67 e'* (eo 099,124.041: 1=33153 cycles
= 9075
1-) (-109)
95 Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2“ ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
x10":
2107? and b=1
4.17 Ttis Weibull with F=2 and 7:
a} A(t) =
E fe_[_2
PEER fg ois
re Va \oao™ *
A(t)=2=10™ where E=2 and T=1x10°
bo) MITR= niles) 5g 100000 -I'(15) = 100000 886227 = $8622.7 hrs
MITE, =1/ 4 =1/.000011=909091 hrs — Based only on MITF, Apreferred.
c) R(2/3 yr) =R(5840 hrs)
R(5840) = MY 5997 2 RY SEO) =e
Based only on warrantly costs, motor B is preferred.
g
=713 ; RQ/1)=e4
oy z
RO /)=
Motor Bwill reduce replacement costs.
hot r
4.18 average failure rate = AFR=
sax!
P=100 +12(2.32)=127.84 hrs
4.20
a) tg = MTTF-e* * =3600e* =487.21 hrs
R(100) =1- a ee 79) =785
b) R(100 /100)=
: ik
= 888
o} R(100/ 200)=
4) This is a decreasing Hilo rate (DFR) so do not replace until a failure occurs. Operating
past the maximum point on the hazard rate curve:
46 Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineenng, “ed.
‘Waveland Prees, Ine., Copyright © 2009
At) = f() / RO)
0.0035.
0.003 +
0.0025
0.002
0.0015.
0.001
0.0005
0
0 40 m 3am aa re 1)
4.21
a)
ote = rere 1/ 2g s6419-1 b+ 1/298 56419 -1(15) = 56419-896027 = 5 yrs
»)
F (12 months) =F (1 year) =1- RQ) =1-e% O31
c)
cages ap ROD oy BO) Ses
F(/1)=1-R0/. ae a 5H ae
d)
Expected value of first year warranty: $500(.031)-$15.3
Expected value of second year warranty: $500(.09)=$45
‘Warranty costs: $25 and $40 respectively.
First year warranty should not be purchased. Second year warranty should be purchased.
2)
‘Value if both must be purchased: ($500}(1-R(2))=($500)(1--88)=$60
‘Warranty costs: $25+$40=$65
‘Warranties should not be purchased.
422
Knotsew, Dell Eye | Ima Goode
%@) RU10,000 hours) S61 281 OH
() MITE DLE O17) [97454 | 126.666
(c) The mode 40.867 28.915 0
(d) The median time to failure 76,967 65,000 111,299 ‘Waveland Press, ic, Copyuigat © 2009
(© The 90 percent design life 20,040 248 [193500
@ The reliability for the next 9368 ois | 947
10,000 hours if it has survived the
first 10,000 hours.
(@ characterize the hazard tate | IFR IERDFR | IFR
function as DFR, CFR, or IFR.
4.23 Weibull distribution with beta = 1.2 and theta = 10,000
(@RU,000 brs)
(@ The median time to failure 7368
(© The 90 percent design life 1533
(@ The conditional reliability to get to a
1000 hours given it survives 500 hr. 965
(© characterize the hazard rate function me
as DFR, CFR. IFR, or combination
® “Average failure rate from 0 to 5,000 Hiei
4.24 Lognormal distribution with tmed = 10,000 and s = 1.2
G)R(1_000 his) 9725
(6) MTTF (in hrs) 20544
(© The mode (in hours) 2369
(@ The median time to failure 10,000
(©) The 90 percent design life 2140
(® The conditional reliability to get to
1000 hours given it survives 100 hr.
(@ characterize the hazard rate function
as DFR. CFR, JFR, or combination Eee.
(i) Average failure rate from 0 to 5.000
hrs
662x 10°
4.25 (@) R(S000) = 9885,
(@ 1 - [L- R(S000/5000)]
tooo = 4773, (©) R(5000|5000) = R(10,000) / R(S000) = 4884
‘383
4.26 gamma distribution with 7 = 1.8 and c= 10,000 hr. (a) MTTF = 17,000 br., (b) std. dev. = 13,038
tor,, (¢) tta= 13,807 br., (d) trace — 7,000 (e) toss = 2420 hir., (e) R(S,000) = 8534, (£) RU,000)5,000) =
R(6000) / R(5000) = .9511, (g) IFR Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2“ ed
‘Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright @ 2009
4:10
