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10-2) ferent he production er ext one eat shen we pel
-fon quand ty er lagt lo years 7s ax Bllews.
Yoo, BAS, AF, AYO ASH, Bho RSS, IIS, QAO) WH
US +the Rte 7 J :
cary metheds and Comment results
G> Simple avevoge i) Moving Averoge iw) Exponenktal &nocthi "4
Cryens on Seen) fov B= 0-3 and O-F.
Salt Gitven, .
+ Pyoduekfon fev \axt le yerrS ane:
Yoo, AT, Qayv, Bo, WS Yoo sass, FS, gre, 241
G) . Moving Average method ¢
Moy Average = Eee
- Qoot Qs + YU + Wo 4 ASK + YWojQbS + WMI]
jo
= guys & aso
fore cork Sox the yeas is “gro?
QW Weighted _Movirg Averoga Mekhed |
WMA For Byeors’s ,
axa tax ee + HEM .Qq1.e & ae
[HAND
Assignment = 2k /PPe
WMA =
WMA for © yearss
TAH EWR TB xO QxQUES+ Vor]
WMA = TH Ut Bratt
Jo
- Mos’ . Q40
is iii) Expomanligl Smoothing rasthed +
Sorecast Lox petbd (tar) ts given ry:
fy = Fp 4 aw C-£y) a
Pevtod Hre(Z] Adval Rerand [ fowceste )__]
Coy 2a =o}
' i ee
Q WV Qoo Qoo
3 gas Qn QXyr
u Que QRo Axs
c ar. Qs) Aso |
6 Abo QYo ATF
7 QEr aus | 96a
g Qas [asx [224
4 Yo ago | RAR
lo 9a Qa Q\
1 est | O91
[aes
ThereKxe, the Cove cask foe" Ges is
for, wos, in = 266
for, wed, Fe = WH ) The coll Ry ghandard Zed long distance phone call hod heen
decveasirg over time. Ube the Follorstng cto Ro dhe bat @ yews:
x)a a ace eae en
Pome pe stat EP EY
Sends | 320 | ve gute | 248] BU | Ree] RAH | VST)
\ Cost ‘| 4 |
O) Use Lareax segression to Compute an expression Ry Ye ost
O% a fineay finelton x tere.
w Use the above equation, predict the standordezed cost fay
the yen lo.
SoL:O Were , ind ependent vaviakle fs yer>
Hence, by selecting % properly, the comprrtaliore|
Yeduced 45 0 gues extent, os Shown elovs-
eshte $$ varying oni foondy ’
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yeas ea y) yt | ike XY 1
1 | aoe [a ua aa |
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fo WIS Se age ayer -®
fox ‘od ts gy = Not bd% -&
Wy solving hath eyatious
be Nay SEY (ge by PM
w §xt - (XD
ye Oye es - 0 068
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i)
oo (ha. beneav exvation TS 2
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ii) Cot tov Yeay, to *)
the “Y vdle Be your wo TW?
lot's assume
Qobeishtte the “w' valve in above ayodttous
=> Va AAOK
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