0 ratings0% found this document useful (0 votes) 62 views8 pagesNon-Linear Regression Problem Solving QA
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1.
Identify the most likely logarithmic linearisation and the corresponding
model for each scatter diagram, or state that logarithmic linearisation
should not be used and give a reason.
(a) (b)
(d) es2, ‘The specific weight of water varies with temperature according to the
data given in Table 19.11.
(a) Generate a scatter diagram for this data and describe the association
between temperature and specific weight.
(b) Give a reason why linearisation using logarithms should not be used
for this data,
(©) Use your GDC to find an appropriate model for this data, with w as
specific weight in terms of temperature T.
(4) Use your model to predict the specific weight of water at 12°C to
4 significant figures.
(©) Use your model to predict the maximum specific weight of water
and the temperature at which this occurs,
3. Do faster aeroplanes use more fuel? ‘The tables contain data on the
average speed and fuel consumption of different aeroplanes on mid-
range journeys.
[Speed (an) | 836 | woz | 779 | va | 762 | 770 | 765 | 723 | 687
Fuel consumption |
Gitrespermimurey {224 | 140 | 138 | 94 | 100] 95 | 7 | «2 | 79
[Speedkmh=) | 670 | 665 | 609 | 679 | «25 | seo | 607 | 605
Fuel consumption
(Gitres per minute)
s6 | 45 | 4 | 70 | st | a0 | st | 48
(a) Generate a scatter diagram and describe the association between
speed and fuel consumption,
(b) Linearise the data using logarithms to find the best-fit model for this
data, using » for speed and F for fuel consumption.
(©) Interpret your model and R? in context.
(d) Use your model to predict the fuel consumption of a journey with
an average speed of 700km h~*,
4, Some researchers drove a compact car at various speeds around a racing
track to see if fuel consumption relates to speed. Their data are given in
Table 19.12.
(a) Generate a scatter diagram for this data.
(b) Give a reason why linearisation using logarithms should not be used
for this data,
(©) Use your GDC to find an appropriate model for this data, with fuel
consumption C in terms of speed r.
(4) Use your model to predict the fuel consumption of this car at
95kmh-*.
man) Sree
£0 | acim
0 | 950
er | 90s
1 9.9057
4 068
10 | 28010
a
2097990
“Table 19.1 Data for question 2
Fuel
Speed | consumption
(mh-) | (litres per
100km)
50 96
w a9
70 83
80 80
0 al
100) a7
no) 38
120
104
fable 19.12 Data for question +(6) Give a reason why it is not reasonable to use this model to predict
the fuel consumption at 140 km h~!
(6) Use your model to predict the best fuel efficiency (minimum fuel
consumption) and the speed at which this occurs. Comment on the
reasonableness of this prediction.
Medical researchers are interested in how long it takes the body to
remove a certain drug from the bloodstream, In one experiement,
4 patient is given a drug and the patient’ blood is tested at regular
intervals to determine the concentration in millimoles per litre
(mmol L~). The patient is tested just before being given the drug, then
twice in 30 minutes, then every six hours. The data for this experiment
are given in the table.
piieas sence ay | & [025] 05] & | 12 | 18 | 24 | 30 | 36 | 42 | a
Concentration
GamolL-} 0 |38|80/ 49/32/17] 13] 06] 03] 02] oa
(a) Generate a scatter diagram for the data. Describe the feature of the
data that makes linearisation difficult.
(b) Hence, consider an appropriate subset of the data. Given the form of
the scatter diagram, what model is likely to be appropriate? Which
linearisation via logarithms should be used?
(©) Hence, perform an appropriate linearisation via logarithms, based
‘on your answer to part (b), and find an appropriate least-squares
‘model for concentration C in terms of time f.
(d) Write down a suitable domain for your model.
(€) Interpret your model in context.
(6) Find and interpret the value of R,
(g) Use your model to predict the blood concentration of this drug,
hours after itis given.
(h) The half-life of a drug is the length of time that it takes the body to
remove half of the drug from the bloodstream. Use your model to
find the half-life of this drug.
The orbital period for
aplanetisrelatedto 2 Z
the planets distance 22
from the Sun. Use 28
the scatter diagram = 9
to answer the
10 100100010000
questions. “Mean distance from Sun (millions km)
(a) Estimate the average distance from the Sun and orbital period
for Jupiter.a
(b) Estimate the average distance from the Sun and orbital period
for Mercury.
(©) Write down what type of non-linear model appears to be
appropriate for this data and give a reason for your answer.
‘The data from question 6 is often expressed in different units:
Astronomical units (1 AU is equal to the mean distance from the Earth
to the Sun) and the number of Earth years as given in the tables.
Planet ‘Mercury [ Venus | Earth | Mars
Mean distance fromSun(AU) | 0390 [0.723 1 152
Orbital period (Earth years) 0281 [0616 1 188
Planet Jupiter | Saturn | Uranus | Neptune
Mean distance fromSun(AU) | 5.20 | 958 | 192 | 301
Orbital period (Earth years) ns [26 | 4 165
(a) Generate a scatter diagram and describe the association between.
average distance from the Sun and orbital period.
(b) Linearise the data using logarithms to find the best-fit model, using
P for orbital period and D for average distance from the Sun.
(c) Interpret your model and R? in context.
(@) ‘There isa large gap between Mars and Jupiter. The largest object in
this region is the dwarf planet Ceres, located 2.77 AU from the Sun.
Use your model to predict the orbital period of Ceres.
(e) The actual orbital period of Ceres is 4.60 Earth years. Calculate the
percentage error of your prediction.
“The tables give the temperature in a growing chamber at various times
since midnight.
Hourssince midnight | 0 | 2 [ 4 [| 6 | 8 | 10 | 2
‘Temperature CC) 233 | 237 | 242 [247 | 249 | 250 [247
Hourssince midnight | 14 | 16 | is | 20 | 22 | 24
‘Temperature (C) 243 [238 | 233 | 230 | 231 | 233
(a) Generate a scatter diagram for the data and describe it.
(b) Give a reason why logarithms should not be used to linearise
these data.
(6) Hence, use your GDC to find an appropriate model for temperature
Tin terms of hours since midnight h.
(a) Based on your model, write down the average temperature in the
‘growing chamber.
(©) Use your model to predict the temperature at 17:00.9. The torque produced by an engine is dependent on the rotational speed
(RPM; revolutions min“). The tables give data for a Chevy 350 engine.
RPM. 1500_| 2000 [| 2500 | 3000 | 3500
Torque (Nm) 380, 461 475, 508) 529
RPM 4000 | 4500 | so00 | 5500 | 6000
‘Torque (Nm) 515 488 475, 420 339
(a) Generate a scatter diagram for the data and describe it.
(b) Give a reason why logarithms should not be used to linearise this data.
(c) Hence, use your GDC to find an appropriate model for torque N in
terms of RPM.
(d) Based on your model, predict the rotational speed that produces
maximum torque.Exercise 19.4
1, (a) log(y) vs x; exponential model
(b)_yvs log(x); logarithmic model
(c) logarithmic linearization should not be used since data
appears to have a turning point
(a) log(y) vs log(x); power model3. (a) The associ
2. (0) A cater diagram with an spproprite model is
shown below
CTT RRS aa SH
emp
(8) The data does not appear tofitan exponential,
logarithmic or power mode the data has a turning
Point, o linearization with logarithms cannot be used.
(©) The data appears to havea quadratic frm, so we will
use quadiatcregresion, The quadratic model is
w= 0.000069 7° + 0.000574 + 9.40512,
(a) 9802
(@) According to our model, the maximum specifi weight
least at 415°C
ions strong, postive, and noalinea. There
ae no dramatic outliers.
o
‘Speed
log( fue) vs speed produces the best ineatzation, with
log) = 0.0024 + 0192 F = 1.554.00556".
®
speed (ha)
(©) The model suggests that fue consumption increases by
(556% fr each additional kmh increase in speed
The inal value (F-intercept) of 245 isnot meaningfl
inthis context iti an extrapoltion and it doesnot
sake sense to have fuel consumption aa speed of.
62; 86.2% ofthe variation in fuel consumption
is predicted by the exponential model with speed asthe
‘explanatory variable
(@ 753Lmin
4. (a) seater dlagram wih an appropriate models shown
Bo eb To 8 Sb alo Hoe
Speed
() The data appears to havea quadratic form, so we wll
tae quadeatcregrestion
(©) The quadratic model is
C= 00016199" ~ 0.261667 + 18669.
(@) [Link] 100k
(©) 140kmA- is outside the ange of observed values,
hence the prediction would bean extraplaion.
(According to our model, maximum fl effiiency
(oninimum fuel consumption of 8.11 per 100m
‘curs at 80.8 kmh, This seems reasonable although
itshould be noted tht the observed data includes
value of SOL per 100m, which iless than the
thcoretical minimum fuel consumption.
5 (a) Te data appears to havea strong negative nonlinear
form, excep fr the fist two data pois. This is
probably because this isthe time immediately afer the
“drags given 0 blood concentration ofthe digi
inereasng doing this time
Ao
bs wEAS HS oS
‘ime
‘Thedata has a lear turning point at 0.5 hours
increasing up antl that ine and decreasing afer. A
‘exponential model appears appropiate
() Werwll se the data with > 05. An exponential
mode! appears appeopriat, so we will usea logy) v8
linearization,(©) helincarized scatter diagram is shown below.
“Tine sinceadiitation
Te linear model x
ogi) = 003981 + 0960-5 € = 9.909121,
(12035
() For each adltional hour the blood concentration of
this drug decreases by 8.8%.
(0) RE = 0.594; 99.4% of the variation in the Blood
concentration s predicted by the exponential model
‘using time asthe explanatory variable
(@) 631mmolL~*
(7.52 hours
(a) Average distance fom sun ~ 800 million km, length of
year = 4000 days
(8) Average distance fom sun ~ 60 milion km, length of
year = 90 days
(©) A power model appears tobe appropriate since the
data appears linear on a log-tog graph
7. (a) There sa strong, positive nonlinear association
between average distance from the Sun an the orbital
period.
30
i
B20
EF
ao.
i
°.
Tod eine
Nosn distance
() the best incarzation is given by the log-log scatter
ddagrom:
ee
Ee eo
oa
mee
Temodd? = De
(0) Thee prio of cq the cae othe ae
ace yee deerme
Wh = 100380, this mode pede 1008 athe
Yaron inl period wing Sere ene
Tibeorlanaory rab
@ topos
ov
v3
(a) There appears to be a strong sinusoidal association
between temperature and time,
Terie tniaaaa|
ine
(b) The pattern appears sinusoidal there are turning
points
(©) T= 203 sivo263¢ ~ 0.780) + 240
2
2c
9. (a) There appears to bea strong nonlinear relationship
between RPM and torque.
#
Torque
eee
Tso0” 2300” 3800” 430" 5800
em
(8) There isa turning point inthe data,
(©) N= 0.000809"? + 02234 + 122
(@) Maxirnm torque 523 Nm at 3610 RPM.