: Peogagiity THE oy
Probability ; Phebabilits ii is Q Concept whieh pamericallly,
mensuve, Lhe chypre oe uncerdri nity and
4 oefove. , 4 curtalraily 4 the. otturrence. evict:
of an even’ A can opps un wt ha we a
ibn n ways , all these. Ways being wally Lely
LU, ne the probalstl 5 Copel Jy FCA tc
Kawber. of favourable cases
teh ap. of mutuedly exclusive and ej ually ikea
ri ey Wo. A davowranhe oubcomes
vies ” Pte) nb- gq possible. cube owes
rt te Pilg. ae
and Pik 2
ss le Space. He at § al oultones a experiment
i ce Jawa. Lpacé and te
Aempte oh Bie
eome$ > The. “nese a Sandon expeximent
ane. cabled ‘Ue “outcomes. When tus coins
bested. , the possible. oultomes are. HH, TL 47TH.
Thiel and Eve Ene Perfprnanes He Sandpnr experins
ie cabled a trick: and oulzome is bermec|
: Tsing Ob a Cein is a brie! band the_furns
or r teil if an evyexts a oh 3 bap dro, hab te tne prob that 7
aN ‘ : aie as 12 on dice, whic
is not it pecsible Mette #
compe wi events Ke indevseclm tow evoubp
A ancl B, clevsted by ANG
AB, ts called combound eveut Zhrk.
Bquaky Likely Everts. Tise- even ooo hard te
m Can net io as
EE fifo
other.
1 pe dtaud— cod from well thapftedl
1 We wnt Casal, ther He
In ais a dice, all the six paces
One equal
Phe nally Exclusive Eveuls! Two- evens ane ote
be mufiall exclushve,
phon the Occurence ones thom ex Whee |
dhe. ocenyvence- of the ster. (of he iwhksecbten 4
By hoe ewul ts ie Ey bar---2 En ana ENE agp!
S= flab 45 63, A= $13 2 SB aS 2 103
Ann= § onctrally excclushye. event. oe On tossma_ a com, eithes- We gt
| head oy tad , but not both
Exhaustine Evewth. Event, To- evel Ne. Sorel be be
Sameer
| then necessarily. eceurs- In other words , Liee-
te ane exhaustive 4 thery uvlou he
46 —> even oA ,
See B= 31,3, 3 5 odd ua.
es eve. CRESS CR gresbr tome |
Ne AOR H$UUsyS6P~S ss exhuche eyot |
AoBUC = FUYBY, S835 6-5 ale exhaudye eet
any, ARDS
ety Fad te prot. of trou
ath
. ) 5, () aw even why with an ordinary Ay fad du.
Blac (9) Thom ava 6 pth cys wht tia die. com ful
and thane is any ome ey of Pooaig ©.
Poh. = _l0- & fevewralle von) a
rb ua. of enuely Ll ah 6 dew,
) Prob-= 2 “pS No - of conys ellovg 2,4 623 ;
oe Find the path. of thowing 9 var tar Lica,
pe Tatall ne g porsibde opt § tered wg Atop gee i
AG: Co coups peg Vie, (ats), (4s), (SHH), (43) =
Meee lg se oplee py
3b i) ae
SE fran a peck FR cools, omets clyrun. ok vennclon-
find the Pro ge gellng a keg «
$M Keg com bechiten te Y asa’.
eh cede Se Aa
$k IS
Bee baht is Whe Prof. thet Meoilp telectal ot Bend
Gite a Neo Hear , select Ont
BP) sll conde 5 -cunleys. (err > (,
gh Stra a teab year bas seg day which rooms 52 Week
and tus extra day Gk, S66= PARED.
osost i) Bee fair) Sam aud Mon, (v) Mon and Toe WV) He
owk wed, fui) wed ow Thur jlvif) Thur ad fri
i
1 Raa tre erent vp will Aeffon if tre tet ave days
4 he Ausf year ave eithy, Sab ad Send oy Sun aol Mor.
1, Fovoenhe wl ~ Q ebnentary evens ag
Seog cita) Prd ee On a weak, Hncrr
3 F tee i "age ) : hilipaet ee op EES
Deft bat -- tEnd> PCA) +PLE IF ~~ -+PcEn))
shoe P(E.) = 2 nee N > Tetal no- deiole
whe RES Be, MED whee 1 TE OE empl
4 fp event Ey , ain
by 0
a4 An um contains To black and lo while balls. Find the
a probalstthy of alsausivg fey balls 4 the Aame colons -
she Total wo- of balls = lotle = 20
Nw chow bells con be chown tne, ways .
But eo pa, & dhevoing- two back halle =! en
Re,
and Pri- of dhawing to whily balle a
+ Prob. 45 drawing twe- ball & the Kame colduy
= lee, he z
Ve, ee o i ONT ft
exe A bag contadrs ms while and ter black halle and
a -decond cotaine thee % ech cohuy. A fs
Adlieted odl ronthon , and a ball ts thon abvauen at vourdony
front re bag chicen. Lab is the Prob thot tte ball ofaenn
is white?
So. Thea ene tur onelually exclusive eases ,
(BD thar tae fist bag ts chacen
(I) Whe the Accord beg teehee BE
Dab. chasing Gat began , ond if tu beg 1
Chosen, the a drawi vg a while bald ts 4 (ured nb-G_
balls = ©), ey ears
Hence. the. pod. of feasng a while bal) frot # vy
Similarfy the prob. f araving- awhile ball prom setod
“BE ty
s the evewh aye rnubialy exlusive , te Aaguibced pool.
Hh 8 ts
DASS ‘he fe,
b Thyeo muthines L, BD awd I manupa chive despe F
ia Ie ase ; he total procluclen . The. percentage: of
i clu cool 1,2 wd is By oA A
defedivo items” pro ba ea
percent Aespectiody, for an thin chpsen ob yandom , whol
HA the pooh it te defeclie?
auc Te defecBire ilam produce by machine £ =H se 2 08
” ” ”
oD
u
4 uv ZL = o0-sxy ee
78
|
a 0 TE = OKI =o
au 4 uw “
(ae
[a
The tated defebre hia froduaal by machines 3,2, 27
= Gt 2b] ayboa?
jo fv Ta
oe feguited fra = 0-089 20/089 Ass
Ont +540") :
Cy thse 3 machines are deferded evach athe) - Mubiblicaliar Lao of Probabidtty:
PCABI= PLAY-PCD
where PUAD= ZL P(E me
mth) 7 MMe
tone (AB ave thee IWebedext eveucle-
ok, fin avetiche. wenuf actives boy a combat conidy ti
0
ports fh and B- TH Ue. Process 4 monfeclive of Pot
Ay 1 out fo ave Likely be defedive . Srwitely, Soak
Jo are. Dikely 1 bo defective io te maupaclive g pat 8.
Calculate the proiccbiltty tot the assembled avttob. ail vst.
be. dafeclive (assuring that the eves of frdiig the pal
# non dehacline and that of B ave indefe leu).
foe Pb, that part A sll be defeclie = 4.
eh Set Se vw =
[0
Noos Pook Uset Part A at) wet be defectve. = M2 = a
1 18
” Fie = pe QUT AM ot? ea hE = 40
i a
+, Prob that tre asrembled aniteh ill nob be obfecluc. CIO
= 6B61S-
(we wulbirly veeg Rae orcnd.) m Uh) I
( Protehilily :
Condition
¢
Let A and B be Pan ewende
POWYTO © Then cond) Hewat prob ef
deweted by PONIBD » 1 defied by
p(may= LENG
pny
Theoem s ep the wveitt a ond B defined on 4 ample 4 spac =
2 $ a ranch cupertient ae. twtopenddeat , tre
pen /) =P | pralny=F
Profs ¢ A and B ave, gies ‘do ho trdof-evsdeat avons >
P Chanda) = PMD+ PCB)
>. PCB) = PLANR = PCA andé
PCR) wo f(A aedB >
pce)
a Semple fever. s ad bob
tie event” giver hy
ee PUNY, PUB)”
ma
: plan) = PCAMAY 4» plB>- PCA
Pn) p(n)
> [rai=R®.]
Bares THEOREM + Af 61, Br, C3 ,-~ ~ by are.
ve event, wilh PCB SHO , (ial %->-24) ofs
experiment then gor awy arbitvary event A fe the sample
crface. of, “Ue above ase alih PUN)>0, we dove.
p(Blny= PCBs) PR/ Rr)
a P(By) P(AIB))
mally exclusive.
a Jawitom EXLW fn ton Yocmlans 3 Me ms 5 “ar er ey
ie piece ae whi. on 6 sed hulle, one ball is dyqum
at -yaudent gro ow & the wens ie: dnd ae
ashile. Find the pre thet TE tons cram foot unt -
oie) os |
Solu AE) tthe bal te dyawn for vin S ss Be
ie ee ee : 3
Eee Me ee chek : =
> wokate ball dynes
Fe hue & find PCO /0S=7
by Bay's Heertet ,
wh
phe il 7
Ploye> = PCO» P Cwloy
PO). P(WID YE Pls): P27 0s) m0)
ve P(O)=Y Pl U2)=Y_
7. p(le/ 01) = Pla while ball ts drawn ~ a8
= 3
F
P( 2/02) — PCa web ball ts cbeaar Wu DY
= = fo
Neus pon 0,
P(v/wy= £* >
(0,/t0y ame Sar
Et oF wtan
p(UIb) = 33
Be] the
> Grdilion tnbBe et to fi doi, Ae ay oe “"Astewabic Defathen of Probailily: :-—
dt 8 be Ue ~Smpple Ape and A be an evect associated) with a
Jambo erpevmer. ie Pre peebstalily of Woe eveut A, denited)
by RIA, Ae pel OS A Beal warber Aadiapring. the
delodvy ax ows.
t) oS PAYS)
(> PED=H s
a 8 ene nitiedly o*
yh ean cone ontally exdusive
w) €y, Ae far Aue - - OYE % at of maliially exdbsh-e,
p(B 10 BDH — VU An== 3) PERO PRD Pan
exdisdve te ANB=S)
dusiee eves POPS =permrerre
ovewts, PLAI®* pcre ®
events >
3
far- & wamber fs selected Lyon wm first 2c ndreal
seamless, tohek he prebabilsty tak gt wold be
divisibotg Y ov 72
ge dae Wo bate eeu Hthrok the winder selected would lao
Awisile by Yo and 8 tthe event thet the seloched
yugaber rood be abtvisibbe by 7. .
Then BOB clenlic We eqeuc “Bae the weber would va
divisible wy y ol.
Neat» We nek ‘dwt
A=$u, #121620 2b oma B=§ 7,1) 213
wWhues Ss 3143 ie as.
Roe, Ang rll sb—d =O, “ie the crab Rand @ one mull oxchive ond
os duchy wee have
pravad= PEAT ® —W)
pead= Wd /nes> > E0257
P(By=_nlB/ nl = aps
ee freO > we ove.
PRU B= 6 + 3 =r dhs |
Bored Te privelily Hae tmpossible event is ze08 , ‘es
if fg ts tes Cevet) onteng ne sale pent,
PL f)=o-
Pref — Ke certain eles Com
the tmbersifle overt ¢ one waduadls exchulve.
es cone no Seamfete Ply ie wots, is ene in $& 5 ty yell
pr p (sof) =P t PCP) ( AxioaGit>)
rect thet 3s cottain te tebben) S ond
bt = SOF = S
psd = p(S> +P) Erisopra mrttn Fs
~ AF =e Grea
Therma 2-4 A the composters event of A, At
P(A) =1- PCM SI.
Profs — A awk Ro ove vwiltualy esihasie: event , ab Avhes
PC ava) = F CFS tek) at te
=) CAxiow iy] Seth
» peayaP@d=1 — CAxion i)
PUD = IH PCAY "PLAS 0, it flows thet
‘ prA< 1) Os elt
‘e ran BE
2 -P(AND < PcAy+PCB),
Pack s—“A §o The ation f the ynithial exclusive eles AZ ad AB
aw & is the uion of the vaithelly oxluine event
AG avk AB.
i PLAD= PLA +PCAR) [LL Ariew' iv)
and PE®D=PLAB* PAH [Adonliti)]
puar+P B= CPLA PAOE PAS 4POB) J ag
= PCALB)+P (ANG « aCe?
Fe Sesull fellows » Clady, aD
Prarsecad— p(ane) —PrAe PC AS)
=PC8&)
Toro 94 Baa , BYS PCH)
Pook i~ B and AT ore oudliolly exclusive -eventt gt
RURB =A.
PCavAg)= P(A “
We CRF ACRE D =PLAD = [ Pom ith] (®),
pra? S PCA)
