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Regression Analysis and Inflation Metrics

The document contains information about statistical analysis of data related to age and cost of cars. It includes calculations of correlation coefficient, regression equation, purchasing power and inflation. Tables and charts are also presented.

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ashleigh chaka
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
43 views10 pages

Regression Analysis and Inflation Metrics

The document contains information about statistical analysis of data related to age and cost of cars. It includes calculations of correlation coefficient, regression equation, purchasing power and inflation. Tables and charts are also presented.

Uploaded by

ashleigh chaka
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Question 1

a)
age x 8 3 6 5 5 2 8 10 9 8 2 3 2 2
cost 6 18 1 7 1 16 3 3 7 9 11 1 15 2
0 1 0 0

n ∑ xy−∑ x ∑ y
r=
√ n ∑ x 2−(∑ x)2 ¿¿ ¿
❑ 2
∑y ∑x ∑y ∑ xy
2 ❑
∑x ❑

146 493 1880 595 73

n ∑ xy−∑ x ∑ y
r=
√ n ∑ x 2−(∑ x)2 ¿¿ ¿

14 ( 595 ) 73(146)
r=
√ 14 ( 493 )−73 ¿ ¿ ¿
2

−2328
r=
√(1573)(5004 )

r =−0.82977427

The coefficient of determination is r 2


∴ → -0.82977427
r
2
=0.6885
68.85% of the variation in estimated price is explained by the
age of the car.
There is positive association between the age and cost is positive
and fair.

b) y=a+bx

∑ y−b ∑ x
a=
n

146−(−1.4799745671 )
a=
14

254.0381437
a=
14

a = 18.14558169

n ∑ xy−∑ x ∑ y
b= 2
∑ n x −¿ ¿
14(595)−106.58
= 14 (493)−(73)²
8330−10659
= 1573
−2328
= 1573

b = 1.479974571
equation is = y = 18.1456 + (1.479974571) x
y = 18.1456 – 1.4794
cost of a four-year-old car
y when x = 4 ∴ y = 18.1456 + (1.479974571) (4)
y = 18.1456 – 5.9196
y = 12.226
the cost of a four car is 12.226
the slope coefficient of the regression equation they contain a
negative relationship as ‘b’ represents the coefficient of the
equation.

Question 2
a)

toothpaste
shampoo
coughdrops
toilet-paper
∑ PnQo
Laspeyre price index. LPI = ¿
∑ PoQo 100

53.91
= ¿
36.35 100

= 147.0941337

∑ PnQn
Paasche price index PPI = ¿
∑ PoQn 100

65.08
= ¿
43.32 100

= 150.2308403

Fisher idel index = √ LP ⁰¹ +¿ PP ⁰¹ ¿


√ 147.09+¿ 150.2308 ¿

= 145.6
b)
i. The cpl of 1445.21 show there was a high rate of infla-
tion from 2019 to 2020
ii. The purchasing power of the ZWL$ in June 2020,
based on the period February 2019

38.8
Change in the Cpl ¿ 2

100
= 1445.2
∗100

= 0.069194575 * 100
= 6.919457515%
= 6.9195%

Purchasing power = 100-6.9193


= 93.0805%

This means that the dollar has 93.0805% less purchas-


ing power in 2018 compared to February 2019
You will need $1445.5 to purchase what cost $1 in
2019
1445.5
= 100 ∗21

iii. The employee’s real monthly income for June 2020

12000
= 1445.21
∗100

= 830.33
This show that there are high rates of inflation and
there are low levels of living standards as compared to
2019.

QUESTION 3
a) H ₀: P=0
H ₁: P ≠ 0

We use t distribution
Critical value: two tailed tes

t 0.5(14-2) = t (12) = 0.78


00.5
r
t 0.05=
√( 1−r )−1 n−2
2

−0.82977427
¿
√0.311474661/12

0.82977427
= 0.161109347

= -5.15037945
= -5.1504
we accept H ₀ since -5.1504 ˂ 1.78
conclusion: the age and cost are not correlated.
b)
(165.28 )−21(46.95)
b=
6 ( 91 )−(441)
5.73
= 546−441
5.73
= 105

= 0.054571428
= 0.0546

∑ y−b ∑ x
a=
n
49.95−0.0546(21)
6
49.95−1.1466
6
45.8034
6
= 7.6339
7.6339 + 0.054571 x
^y = 7.6339 + 0.054571 x

c) y when x=2
y = 7.63 + 0.0546(2)
= 7.739

y when x=6

= 7.63 + 0.0546(6)
= 7.957
(2:7.739)
(6:7.957)

Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017


sales 7.45 7.83 8.07 7.94 7.76 7.90

Data
Chart Title
8.2
8.07
0

8 7.94
0
7.9
0
7.83
0
7.8 7.76
0

7.6
7.45
0
7.4

7.2

7
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

y=a+bx

∑ x=¿21
∑ x = 91
2

∑ xy = 165.28
∑ y=¿ 46.95
(∑ x )² = 441

n ∑ xy−∑ x ∑ y
b= 2
n ∑ x −¿ ¿

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