0% found this document useful (0 votes)
2K views27 pages

Calendar Spread

This document provides an overview of calendar spreads, which involve buying and selling options on the same underlying asset but with different expiration dates. It discusses key aspects of calendar spreads such as maximum loss/gain, breakeven points, payoff diagrams, how volatility and theta impact the trade, and risks. The document also compares calendar spreads to other strategies and provides examples of winning and losing scenarios.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
2K views27 pages

Calendar Spread

This document provides an overview of calendar spreads, which involve buying and selling options on the same underlying asset but with different expiration dates. It discusses key aspects of calendar spreads such as maximum loss/gain, breakeven points, payoff diagrams, how volatility and theta impact the trade, and risks. The document also compares calendar spreads to other strategies and provides examples of winning and losing scenarios.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 27

Contents

 Introduction
 Maximum Loss
 Maximum Gain
 Breakeven Price
 Payoff Diagram
 Risk of Early Assignment
 How Volatility Impacts The Trade
 How Theta Impacts The Trade
 The Greeks
 Risks
 Calendar Spread vs Diagonal Spread
 Calendar Spread vs Iron Butterfly
 Calendar Spread vs Short Straddle
 Trade Management
 Short-Term vs Long-Term Calendar Spreads
 Winning Examples
 Losing Examples
 FAQ
 Summary

Introduction
A calendar spread is an option trade that involves buying and selling an option on the
same instrument with the same strikes price, but different expiration periods.
It is sometimes referred to as a horiztonal spread, whereas a bull put spread or bear call
spread would be referred to as a vertical spread.
A standard set up would involve selling the front-month option and buying an option in
the next expiry period or further out in time. The trade can also be set up using weekly
options.
The further out in time the trader goes to buy the option, the more expensive the trade
will be.
Usually traders would set this as an at-the-money spread, but they can also be set up
as directional trades with either a bullish or bearish outlook.
Generally if trading a bullish spread I would use calls and for a bearish calendar spread
I would use puts. This helps reduce the risk of early assignment.
A calendar spread is a long volatility trade so tends to benefit from rising volatility after
the trade is placed.
When the market is in Backwardation can be a good time to enter calendar spreads
because the front month volatility is higher than the back month.
In some respects at-the-money calendars are a bit of an oxymoron because it’s a
neutral trade that does well if the stock stays flat, but it’s also a long volatility trade
which benefits from increased volatility.
The main premise with the trade is that the short-dated options that are sold will
experience faster time decay than their longer-dated counterpart. As long as the
underlying asset stays inside the profit zone, the trade should do well.

Maximum Loss
A calendar spread is a debit spread and as such the maximum that the trader can lose
is the amount paid to enter the trade.
The sold option is shorter-dated and therefore cheaper than the long-dated option that
is being bought which results in a net debit for the trader.
A calendar spread has a similar shaped payoff diagram to a short straddle but the
maximum loss is limited whereas the maximum loss on the short straddle is theoretically
unlimited.
With a calendar spread, the underlying stock would need to make a pretty big move for
the trade to suffer a full loss.
Looking at this example on AXP, the stock would need to have a 30% down move or
25% up move before suffering the maximum loss. Usually traders would adjust or close
long before then.
Maximum Gain
The maximum gain on a calendar spread can’t actually be worked out in advance
because it’s impossible to know what the back-month option will be trading for when the
front-month option expires.
This is due to changes in implied volatility.
The ideal scenario for the trade is that the stock ends near the short strike at the
expiration of the near-term option.
Ideally this would be associated with an increase in implied volatility in the back-month
option.
The increase in implied volatility in the back-month helps to offset any negative effects
from time decay.
Some traders like to hold the long call as a stand-alone trade after the short call expires.
The expired short call helps offset the cost of the long call.
Another idea is to make the trade a “campaign calendar” where the bought option is 3-4
months out and the trader gets the chance to sell 2-3 at-the-money calls over the life of
the trade.

Breakeven Price
Like the maximum gain, the exact breakeven price can’t actually be calculated but we
can estimate it.
Looking this SPY example, we can see that the breakeven points are estimate around
$267 and $305

One theory with calendar spreads is to ensure that the premium paid for the long call is
no more than 40% more expensive than the sold option when the strikes are one month
apart.

Payoff Diagram
Calendar spreads have a tent shaped payoff diagram similar to what you would see for
a butterfly or short straddle.
This sort of shape results in high gamma near expiry which we’ll look at in more detail
shortly.
However, the losses tend to flatten out a bit more along the expiration line for calendar
spreads vs a butterfly or short straddle.
The payoff diagram below shows a standard setup for an SPY calendar trade. You can
see that the total potential profit is estimated at around $700 and the maximum loss is
$475.
The T+0 zero line is relatively flat and losses don’t really kick in until about $270 on the
downside and $305 on the upside.

One thing I tend to do with calendar spreads and setting either an adjustment point or a
stop loss is to look at the T+7 line and see where is cuts through the zero line on the x-
axis.
That’s where I set my stop loss or adjustment point.
In this case that would also be around the $270 and $305 level.

Risk Of Early Assignment


There is always a risk of early assignment when having a short option position in an
individual stock or ETF.
You can mitigate this risk by trading Index options, but they are more expensive.
Usually early assignment only occurs on call options when there is an upcoming
dividend payment. Traders will exercise the call in order to take ownership of the share
before the ex-date and receive the dividend.
Short puts can also be assigned early. The important thing to be aware of is that early
assignment generally happens when a short option is in-the-money.
For this reason, if I’m trading directional calendars I use puts for bearish bets and calls
for bullish bets. That way the short options are likely to stay out-of-the-money which
significantly decreases the chance of early assignment.
ACCESS 9 FREE OPTION BOOKS

How Volatility Impacts The Trade


Calendar spreads are long vega trades, so generally speaking they benefit from rising
volatility after the trade has been placed.
Vega is the greek that measures a position’s exposure to changes in implied volatility. If
a position has negative vega overall, it will benefit from falling volatility.
If the position has positive vega, it will benefit from rising volatility. You can read more
about implied volatility and vega in detail here.
Looking at the SPY example above, the position starts with a vega of 16. This means
that for every 1% rise in implied volatility, the trade should gain $16.
The opposite is true if implied volatility drops – the position would lose $16.
Below is an estimate of what the new payoff diagram looks like assuming a 30%
increase in implied volatility. Notice that the maximum gain is now estimated at $1,050
rather than $700.
Of course, the opposite would happen if volatility dropped by 30%.

How Theta Impacts The Trade


Calendar Spreads are positive Theta trades in that they make money as time passes,
with all else being equal.
This is due to the fact that the short call suffers faster time decay than the bought call.
This is especially true if the bought call is much further out in time (I.e. more than just
one month).
In our SPY example, the trade has positive Theta of 7. This means that, all else being
equal, the trade will gain $7 per day due to time decay.
Notice that the positive time decay on the short-term sold call is higher than the time
decay being suffered on the longer-dated long call.
We can see this even more if we extend the long call out further in time. This position
has overall positive theta of 14 because the December call is only losing $6 per day
compared to the June call which was losing $13 per day.

The trade off here is that the December call option costs a lot more requiring the trader
to allocate more capital to the trade. But they can turn the trade into a campaign
calendar and sell calls against the long call position every month.

The Greeks
DELTA
Standard calendar spreads are delta neutral, or close to, if placed at-the-money.
The calendar can also be placed with a bullish or bearish bias by placing the spread
above or below the current stock price.
Our initial SPY position above had a delta of exactly 0. There is no directional exposure
at the initiation of the trade. Of course, that will change as the stock starts to move.
If the stock rallies, the spread will then be below the current price resulting in negative
delta.
If the stock falls, the spread will then be above the current price resulting in positive
delta.

GAMMA
Calendar spreads are negative gamma. Generally any trade that has a profit tent above
the zero line will be negative gamma because they will benefit from stable prices.
Gamma is one of the lesser known greeks and usually, not as important as the others.
I say usually, because you’ll see further down in this post why it can be really important
to understand gamma risk.
Calendar spreads maintain a bit of a natural hedge because they are negative gamma,
but positive vega.
The ideal scenario is that implied volatility rises (good for positive Vega) but realized
volatility remains low (good for negative Gamma).
In other words you want the stock to stay relatively flat, but show a rise in implied
volatility (the expectation of future big price moves).
In our SPY example the initial calendar with the long call in June had 0 gamma while
the position that used the December long call had gamma of -1.
As you can see, the initial impact of delta and gamma on a calendar spread are pretty
low, but that can change as time passes and the stock starts to move.

Risks
It goes without saying that as a neutral trade, we have a risk that the price of the
underlying will rise or fall sharply causing an unrealized loss, or a realized loss if we
close the trade.
Some other risks associated with calendars:

ASSIGNMENT RISK
We talked about this already so won’t go into too much detail here and while this
doesn’t happen often it can theoretically happen at any point during the trade.
The risk is most acute when a stock trades ex-dividend.
If the stock is trading well below the sold call, the risk of assignment is very low. E.g. a
trader would generally not exercise his right to buy SPY at $280 when SPY is trading at
$270 purely to receive a $0.50 dividend.
The risk is highest if the stock is trading ex-dividend and the short call is in the money.
One way to avoid assignment risk is to trade stocks that don’t pay dividends, or trade
indexes that are European style and cannot be exercised early.
However, this should not be the primary factor when determining which underlying
instrument to trade.
Otherwise, think about closing your calendar before the ex-dividend date if they are
close to being in-the-money.

EXPIRATION RISK
Leading into expiration, if the stock is trading just above or just below the short call, the
trader has expiration risk.
The risk here is that the trader might get assigned and then the stock makes an adverse
movement before he has had a chance to cover the assignment.
In this case, the best way to avoid this risk is to simply close out the spread before
expiry.
While it might be tempting to hold the spread and hope that the stock drops and stays
below the short call, the risks are high that things end badly.
Sure, the trader might get lucky, but do you really want to expose your account to those
risks?

VOLATILITY RISK
As mentioned on the section on the greeks, this is a positive vega strategy meaning the
position benefits from a rise in implied volatility.
If volatility falls after trade initiation, the position will likely suffer losses.
The other risk with volatility relates to the volatility curve.
Generally speaking, when volatility rises or falls it has a similar impact across all
expiration periods.
However, you could potentially run into a scenario where volatility in the front month
rises (bad for the short call) and volatility in the back month drops (bad for the long call).
That would result in a double whammy for the trade.
That scenario may not be that common but it could happen and it’s important that
traders understand volatility term structure when placing trades that span different
expiration periods.

Calendar Spread vs Diagonal Spread


The main difference in a calendar vs a diagonal spread is that you are not trading the
same strike price although you are still trading different expiration periods.
A calendar is also a neutral trade, whereas a diagonal spread will have a directional
exposure. That could be positive delta or negative delta depending on how the trade is
set up.
Looking at the diagonal spread below there is delta of 27 and delta dollars of 7,654.
Vega is slightly higher and theta is slightly lower on the diagonal spread vs the calendar.

Calendar Spread vs Iron Butterfly


Calendar spreads and butterfly spreads have quite similar payoff diagrams in that they
have the tent shape, but there are slight differences.
The main difference between the two is that butterflies (whether using calls, puts or
both) use options in the same expiration period.
For this reason, the maximum gain for a butterfly spread is always known in advance,
whereas it’s not possible to know for a calendar because of the potential variation in
implied volatility.
A couple of other things to notice when comparing the calendar spread vs the iron
butterfly:
1. The profit potential is much higher on the iron butterfly
2. The breakeven points are slightly closer in for the butterfly
3. Even though the iron butterfly is at-the-money, it has slightly negative delta
4. The calendar is positive vega while the iron butterfly is negative vega

Calendar Spread vs Short Straddle


Calendar spreads and short straddles also have the tent shaped profit zone but like a
butterfly, the main difference is that the short straddle uses options in the same
expiration period.
A short straddle is effectively a butterfly spread without the protection of the wings.
Calendar spreads are considered lower risk than a short straddle because the losses
are limited to the premium paid for the spread whereas a short straddle has potentially
unlimited losses.
A couple of other points to note comparing the calendar spread vs the short straddle:
1. The profit potential on the calendar spread is lower than the short straddle.
2. The breakeven points are further out for the short straddle
3. The short straddle has slightly negative delta
4. Calendar spreads are also positive vega whereas a short straddle is negative vega

Trade Management
Just like I said in my Ultimate Guide To Bear Call Spreads article, I could spend an
entire month talking about trade management for calendar spreads, but let’s at least
look at some of the basics here.
As with all trading strategies, it’s important to plan out in advance exactly how you are
going to manage the trade in any scenario.
What will you do if the stock rallies? What about if it drops? Where will you take profits?
Where and how will you adjust? When will you get stopped out?
Lots to consider here but let’s look at some of the basics of how to manage calendar
spreads.

PROFIT TARGET
First and foremost, it’s important to have a profit target.
That might be 30% of the potential profit or you may plan on holding to expiration
provided the stock stays within the profit tent.
That’s the first decision.
One nice rule of thumb that I use – if I’ve made 50% of the profit potential in less than
50% of the duration of the trade, I take the profit.
So you may want to think about including a time factor in your trading rules.
How long do you plan on holding the trade if neither your profit target or stop loss have
been hit?
Another profit taking rule you might consider is – closing when the short call drops to
$0.10.
Sometimes the opportunity cost of tying up your margin for the sake of squeezing the
last few dollars out of the trade is not worth it.

STOP LOSS
Having a stop loss is also important, perhaps more so than the profit target.
With calendar spreads, you can set a stop loss based on percentage of the capital at
risk.
Some traders like to set a stop loss at 20% of capital at risk. Others might set it as 50%.
If your profit target is 50% and your stop loss is 50%, then any success rate greater
than 50% will see you come out ahead.
Then it’s just a numbers game and making sure you have enough trades to make sure
the statistics play out.
Whatever you decide, make sure it is written down and mapped out in your trading plan.

ADJUSTMENTS
With calendar spreads, I like to adjust before the stock reaches the breakeven price.
Once the stock gets past the break even price, losses can start to run away from you if
the stock keep trending in that direction.
If the stock reaches the break even price and my stop loss has not been hit, I like to add
a second calendar to turn it into a double calendar.
That does add more capital to the trade but it also extends the profit zone and can allow
you to stay in the trade for longer.
Some people place the second calendar spread at-the-money, but I like to go slightly
out-of-the-money which helps to further widen the profit zone.

Short-Term vs Long-Term Calendar


Spreads
We talked about this a little bit earlier with the main difference being the cost of the
trade.
Long-term trades have lower time decay or theta because the bought option that is
further out in time decays at a much slower rate than a shorter-term option.
Longer-term trades have a higher vega exposure, but that doesn’t necessarily mean
that they will be more profitable in the event of a rise in implied volatility because each
month on the curve is impacted differently.
Generally speaking a volatility spike will impact shorter-term options much more than
longer-term options.

Winning Examples
Let’s go through a couple of examples of calendar spreads and see how they
progressed over the course of the trade.

JPM EXAMPLE
This trade was on JPM entered on April 1st. We sold the April 24th $85 put for $7.10
and bought the September 18th $85 put for $13.07.
The April 24th puts with only 3 weeks until expiry were very high in value (good to be a
seller) given that earnings were set for April 14th.
Remember that when an options falls after an earnings release there is a lot of
uncertainty and therefore volatility.
Note that the April puts were trading with implied volatility of 73% compared with IV of
52.5% for the September puts.
That’s a great situation for calendar spreads where you are selling high vol and buying
lower vol.
The trade had nice breakevens on the upside and downside.

My plan was to close the trade just before earnings no matter what and I ended up
getting out when the stock was trading at $102 with a $90 loss.
I didn’t want the risk of holding over earnings as that’s wasn’t part of my trading plan.
But, if I had held on until April 16th when JPM had dropped back to $91, the trade would
have been in the black to the tune of $250.
An important thing to notice here is that the front month volatility dropped after earnings
from 73% to 61% while the back-month volatility stayed pretty steady and only dropped
from 52.5% to 51.99%.
That’s the beauty of calendar spreads!
JOIN THE 5 DAY OPTIONS TRADING BOOTCAMP

FB EXAMPLE
The next example is a FB bullish calendar spread entered on April 15th.
At the time, FB was trading at $175.71.
The chart looked bullish and was showing high levels of accumulation.
The thesis with the trade was that FB was likely to push higher and I had a profit target
of $190.
Sure enough, by April 24th, FB hit $190 right on the spot and the calendar spread was
showing a profit of $268 which was a 79% return on the initial risk of $338.
GS EXAMPLE
The next example if on Goldman Sachs from August 2020. This was a neutral trade
when GS was trading at $203.55.
Entry date was July 23rd and adjustment points were set at 192 and 217.
By August 13th, the trade was looking good at +96 or 35% which was above my profit
target. I decided the stay with it because I felt there was a good chance GS would drop
down to 205 again.
Four days later, GS pulled back to 203 and the trade was +$132 or 49.25%. Definitely
time to close it out.
HD BEARISH CALENDAR EXAMPLE
With this one, HD was showing some negative divergence after an extended run and
looked like it might pull back. My target was the 270 level. Trade date was August 31st
when HD was trading at 287.28.
The trade worked perfectly with the HD coming right down to the zone by September
3rd. The beauty of this is we gain from the delta and the vega due to the volatility spike.
Total profits of +$222 or 31.53%.

Losing Examples
JPM EXAMPLE
This calendar trade was from August 20th, 2020 on JPM which was trading at 97.58 at
the time. Here’s the trade:
I set an adjustment point at 102 and a stop loss of 30%. By August 28th the stock was
at 103.35 and had broken through the adjustment point and the stop loss level.
Total loss was $82 per contract or 36.94%.
FAQ
What Is A Calendar Spread?
A calendar spread is an options trading strategy that involves buying and selling two
options with the same strike price but different expiration dates.
The goal is to profit from the difference in time decay between the two options.

How Does A Calendar Spread Work?


A calendar spread profits from the time decay of options.
The trader buys a longer-term option and sells a shorter-term option with the same
strike price.
The idea is that the shorter-term option will expire worthless, while the longer-term
option will retain more value due to its longer time until expiration.

What Are The Risks Of Trading A Calendar


Spread?
The main risk of a calendar spread is that the underlying asset moves against the
position, causing losses.
Additionally, volatility can also impact the profitability of the trade.
Traders should also be aware of the potential for early assignment of the short option,
which can complicate the trade and require additional management.

What Are Some Tips For Trading Calendar


Spreads?
Some tips for trading calendar spreads include choosing the right strike price, selecting
options with appropriate expiration dates, managing risk with stop-loss orders, and
being aware of earnings announcements and other potential volatility events that could
impact the trade.

Can Calendar Spreads Be Used In Any


Market?
Yes, calendar spreads can be used in any market, including stocks, ETFs, and futures.
They are particularly useful in markets with low volatility and a well-defined trend.

Summary
Calendar spreads are a neutral trade that make a nice addition to any option income
trader’s portfolio.
The nice thing about them is that that are fairly low risk (unlike short straddles) and they
have another benefit of being long vega.
Given that the position contains options across multiple expiration dates, it’s important
to have a solid grasp of implied volatility including how volatility changes impact options
with different expiration periods.
Calendar spreads have less risk but also less profit potential when compared with short
straddles and are also positive vega rather than negative vega.

Common questions

Powered by AI

Calendar spreads benefit from positive vega and positive theta. They are long vega trades, meaning they profit from rising implied volatility. For every 1% increase in implied volatility, the trade gains, exemplified by the SPY example where a 1% increase in volatility results in a gain of $16 . Additionally, they are positive theta trades due to faster time decay of the short option than the long one, profiting from time decay, as shown in the SPY example with a theta of 7, gaining $7 per day due to this decay .

To manage the risk of early assignment in calendar spreads, a trader can trade index options, which are more expensive but eliminate early assignment risks. Additionally, using calls for bullish spreads and puts for bearish spreads helps ensure the short options remain out-of-the-money, significantly reducing early assignment chances. Early assignment typically occurs with in-the-money short options, especially before dividend payouts, so ensuring options stay out-of-the-money mitigates this risk .

A calendar spread provides a limited risk profile compared to a short straddle, as its maximum loss is the net debit paid to enter the trade whereas a short straddle carries an unlimited loss potential. However, the profit potential of a calendar spread is also capped, unlike the potential for high profits in a short straddle. Calendar spreads benefit from increased implied volatility (positive vega), while short straddles require stable or declining volatility (negative vega), making them suitable in different volatility environments .

A trader might choose a long-term calendar spread due to its lower time decay or theta because the long-term option decays at a slower rate compared to a short-term option. Long-term spreads also have higher vega, indicating greater sensitivity to volatility changes, which can be advantageous if a rise in implied volatility is anticipated. However, while short-term options may react more significantly to a volatility spike, longer-term strategies spread the risk over time and can accommodate adjustments more flexibly .

A calendar spread is particularly advantageous when the market is experiencing low volatility with a potential for an increase, as calendar spreads are long volatility trades and benefit from rising implied volatility once the trade is placed. Additionally, trading in a market experiencing backwardation, where the front-month volatility is higher than back-month, can also be beneficial for entering calendar spreads because it allows traders to sell high volatility and buy lower volatility, enhancing the profit potential .

If the underlying asset reaches the breakeven price and the stop loss has not been triggered, a trader might adjust the calendar spread by adding a second calendar, creating a double calendar spread. This addition requires more capital but extends the profit zone, allowing the trader to stay in the trade longer. Placing the second spread slightly out-of-the-money can help widen the profit zone further, providing more room for the underlying asset's movement before incurring losses .

A calendar spread might initially appear losing if the underlying asset price moves unfavorably. However, if the volatility spikes unexpectedly or the asset's price returns to the predicted zone, the spread can turn profitable. For instance, in the JPM calendar spread example, the trade initially hit a loss before an earnings announcement, but if held until volatility stabilized or the underlying price adjusted back to a favorable range, such as moving up after returning from an initial drop, the trade would become profitable .

To determine the optimal time to exit a calendar spread, traders often use rules-based methods, such as closing the trade when 50% of the maximum potential profit is reached, especially if achieved in less than 50% of the trade duration. Another rule might be closing when the short call's value drops to an insignificant amount, like $0.10, to avoid tying up margin for diminishing returns. Setting and adhering to these profit targets and stops is crucial for efficient trade management .

The performance of calendar spreads is heavily influenced by changes in implied volatility due to their long vega nature. When implied volatility increases, the value of the long option tends to increase more significantly than the short option's loss, potentially improving the spread's profit. For example, a 30% rise in implied volatility increased the maximum potential gain on a calendar spread by $350 . Conversely, a decrease in implied volatility could erode the value of the long option, leading to losses . The balance of these effects determines whether the trader achieves a profit or incurs a loss.

The payoff diagram of a calendar spread has a tent shape similar to that of a butterfly or short straddle, but losses in a calendar spread flatten out more along the expiration line compared to the steep potential losses of a short straddle. This indicates a limited risk associated with calendar spreads, as the maximum loss is the net debit paid for entering the trade, compared to an unlimited potential loss in a short straddle. However, the profit potential of a calendar spread is also capped, which is a trade-off for less risk .

You might also like