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ATFM Daily Plan - Friday 03 November 2023

ADP Version 3
Airport Planned GDPs Total Arr/Dep Affected Flights Total Ground Delay Av. Ground Delay 36 Hr Synoptic Forecast

YSSY YSSY GDP-A 1900-1100 954 336 3,688 11.00

YMML YMML GDP-A 1900-1100 750 254 2,439 9.60
YBBN* YBBN GDP-A 0400-1300^ 618 172 5,573 39.00
YPPH-A NONE 431 n/a 0 0.00 Synoptic not AVBL
YPPH-D YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030 71 410 5.80 Please see BOM Website
Totals 2753 833 12,110 15.18
* denotes a revision has taken place

ATFM Daily Plan Summary Notes

Highly compacted GDP during evening peak period due to thunderstorm conditions anticipated over the west of terminal area from late afternoon as well as showers in the evening

YSSY Midday Update: Cloud 2500-5000ft. Afternoon showers and storms mostly far W & E TMA. SE'ly winds turning E to ENE during the afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 585 (293A/292D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Drizzle with associated low cloud anticipated for morning peak period leading to a highly compacted GDP. Nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

Midday Update: Cloud 2000-4000ft. S'ly winds varying between SSW and SSE.
YMML
ATC ADVICE: 448 (233A/215D) movements remaining. GDP in place with minimal spare capacity from 05z to 08z.

Slight risk of oversubscription during evening peak period after X-factor for staffing restrictions, nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

YBBN Midday Update: Patchy cloud above 3000ft. Chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms in far W/S TMA. E to NE winds.
ATC ADVICE: 408 (229A/179D) movements remaining. Down 2.5 shifts this evening in BN TCU resulting in activation of an ad hoc GDP with no spare capacity from 05z until after
1130z.

Gusty winds and turbulence anticipated throughout most of the day, nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

YPPH Midday Update: Likely CAVOK. Moderate and gusty E to NE winds, easing during the afternoon. Turbulence likely after mid-evening.
ATC ADVICE: 334 (201A/133D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Refer NOTAM for latest estimated airborne traffic delay advice.

Other Significant

[07:35pm] Version 1: Initial.

Change Summary: [12:02pm] Version 2: morning
[12:02pm] Version 3: midday

Teleconference Details
CAP THREAT: 022030 - 022229 &
1800 062 923 PRM: NOT REQ
Participant Code 7207 9651 030615 - 030829
Guest Code 3064#

NCC: 1800 020 626 YMEN SLOT SCHEME: NO

atfmu@[Link]

Issues expected to impact service delivery

Location Issue/NOTAM Details

YSSY C2764/23 RWY 07/25 CLOSED DUE WIP EXC WITH 40MIN PN ACFT TAXIING PERMITTED FROM 10 082000 TO 12 230600 MON-FRI 2000/0600

Report generated by the NCC at 12:11 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Network Weather Overview

From now to +72 hours
Friday 03 November 2023
Weather Overview
Mean Sea Level Pressure Satellite Picture Rainfall Outlook for today

Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website

Weather impact risk assessment Major Airports

Brisbane Melbourne Perth Sydney

Cloud 2500-5000ft. Showers inland,

Likely CAVOK. ENE winds turning
Cloud above 2500ft, lowering to possibly spreading to the coast in
Patchy cloud above 3000ft. Chance E to ESE in the evening. Aloft E to
2000ft in the late evening. Moderate the evening. Possible
PM Friday of afternoon showers/storms in W
S’ly winds, gusty at times, easing
ESE winds increasing 25-35 knots
thunderstorms about the far W TMA
TMA. Moderate E to NE winds. with increasing turbulence and
during the evening. in the afternoon. Light to moderate
wind shear during the evening.
E to NE winds.

Cloud 1500-2000ft lifting above

CAVOK. Fresh to strong and gusty
Cloud 2000-3000ft. Showers. Light 3000ft during the morning. Chance Cloud 1000-2000ft. Showers. Mostly
AM Saturday to moderate NE winds. of light showers. Light to moderate
ENE winds with severe turbulence.
E to SE winds.
E to NE winds 40-55 knots aloft.
S to S winds.

Cloud 2500-3500ft. Showers and Patchy cloud around 3000ft. Slight chance of a high-based Cloud 1500-2000ft. Showers.
PM Saturday thunderstorms inland, small chance Moderate winds varying SSW to shower or thunderstorm. Moderate Chance of a thunderstorm, mainly
at the airport. Moderate NE winds. SSE. to fresh NE winds easing. inland. Moderate SE winds.

Cloud 2500-3000ft. Showers

Patchy early fog. Light W to SW CAVOK. Light NE winds turning Cloud 1500-2500ft. Showers.
AM Sunday developing. Light to moderate NE
winds turning SE late morning. WNW late morning. Moderate SE winds.
winds.

Cloud 2000-3000ft. Showers, Cloud 2000-3000ft, lifting to 3000ft

Patchy cloud 3000-4000ft. Light SE CAVOK until late evening cloud
PM Sunday chance of a thunderstorm.
winds. 1000-1500ft. W’ly winds.
later. Showers easing. E to SE
Moderate E to NE winds. winds.

Showers. Cloud 2000-3000ft Light showers in the TMA easing

Likely CAVOK. moderate N’ly winds Chance of fog and low cloud in the
lowering 1000-2000ft in showers. and clearing. Cloud 3000-5000ft
AM Monday becoming gusty. 20-35 knots N’ly TMA. Light and variable winds
Light E to ENE winds becoming lower in showers. Light to
wind aloft easing. becoming SW late morning.
moderate. moderate E’ly winds.

Significant other phenomena potentially affecting Australian FIRs

Volcanic Ash (VA) ≥ FL200 Nil current.
Space Weather Nil current.
Potential Tropical Cyclones Nil current.

Weather risk assessment provided by NCC Meteorological Unit – Bureau of Meteorology

Contact NCCMET for further detail or advice

Phone: 02 6268 4448

Email: nccmet@[Link]

Detailed advice from major Airport MET CDM products available at Airservices NOC Portal, [Link]

Report generated by the NCC at 12:11 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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SYDNEY - YSSY GDP-A 1900-1100 Friday 03 November 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2159: A ridge offshore with a deepening trough over inland NSW. Cloud mainly around 2500ft. There is the small chance of light showers in the area and slightly lower cloud near/just
below 2000ft realising ILSA conditions. Generally an ENE flow aloft, light E to SE surface winds are forecast though there is a small chance of being light WNW or even VRB which could favour
RWY 34 instead. Have proposed RWY 16 given the wind aloft and lower MET CDM rate.
[2] 2200-0859: Cloud generally 2500-3000ft. Surface winds may turn more NE mid to late morning before settling into a generally moderate E or ENE wind in the afternoon. Have continued to
propose RWY 16 for simplicity here but there is the small chance of winds instead favouring RWY 34 from mid-morning and continuing into the afternoon. Showers inland. Instability nearer to the
trough about the Blue Mountains may generate thunderstorms from about 03Z (x-factor applied), more likely from 04 or 05Z (TS > 20nm MET CDM rate proposed). Relatively weak steering and
the easterly airstream throughout most of the TMA should keep these confined to the far west of the TMA.
[3] 0800-1159: Cloud 2000-2500ft. Increasing moisture and instability within the onshore airstream in the evening with showers generally increasing and the chance of isolated thunderstorms at
sea. ILSB MET CDM rate proposed. Winds turning more NE late evening to favour RWY 34.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] Concur

GDP Notes
Highly compacted GDP during evening peak period due to thunderstorm conditions anticipated over the west of terminal area from late afternoon as well as showers in the evening

Midday Update: Cloud 2500-5000ft. Afternoon showers and storms mostly far W & E TMA. SE'ly winds turning E to ENE during the afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 585 (293A/292D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 021900 022000 022100 022200 022300 030000 030100 030200 030300 030400 030500 030600 030700 030800 030900 031000 031100 0

Runway Mode 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 34 DVAA 34 DVAA 34 DVAA 34 DVAA 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 16 DVAB 34 ILSA 34* ILSA* 34* ILSA*

Rate 34 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 36 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 29

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2&3 3 3 3 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:11 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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MELBOURNE - YMML GDP-A 1900-1100 Friday 03 November 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-0059: Southerly flow bringing the risk of low stratus and some light showers/drizzle in the early hours. Showers more likely in the southern TMA about the bay. Cloud most likely 1200-1600ft at first, lifting to
2000-2500ft by mid-morning. Sustained IMCB conditions with cloud below 1200ft more likely to occur before 19Z, if at all, so the MET CDM discussion has proposed ILSA as the most likely approach with a small x-
factor in the 19Z hour to account for any lingering lower cloud/uncertainty. Light SW winds at this time to favour RWY 16/27.
[2] 0100-0859: Cloud lifting to around 3000ft by late morning and then becoming more sparse in the afternoon. With a ridge strengthening to the southwest RWY 16 has been proposed in the afternoon due to the
increased southerly winds, which will likely vary to the SSE at times.
[3] 0900-1259: S winds easing in the evening, tending a little more SW later. Cloud developing around 2500ft, may lower to 1800-2000ft from 12Z.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Drizzle with associated low cloud anticipated for morning peak period leading to a highly compacted GDP. Nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

Midday Update: Cloud 2000-4000ft. S'ly winds varying between SSW and SSE.
ATC ADVICE: 448 (233A/215D) movements remaining. GDP in place with minimal spare capacity from 05z to 08z.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 021900 022000 022100 022200 022300 030000 030100 030200 030300 030400 030500 030600 030700 030800 030900 031000 031100 031200
16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27
Runway Mode
IMCB IMCB VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCB VMCB VMCB
Rate 22 23 24 25 27 27 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:11 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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BRISBANE - YBBN GDP-A 0400-1300^ Friday 03 November 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 2200-0659: Reviewed: A ridge offshore and a trough over inland Queensland, NE low-level airstream over the southeast of the state. Cloud above 3000ft. ESE surface winds turning E to ENE
during the morning.
[2] 0500-1259: Reviewed: With a weakening upper trough moving over NSW and the southern border area late in the day, there is chance of some weakened thunderstorm activity/rain moving
into the far west and south of the TMA late afternoon/early evening thus, TS > 20nm MET CDM rate proposed. A few showers are likely to develop within the NE airstream in the TMA and
combined with some lowering of the cloud near 2000-2500ft; ILS conditions likely during the evening.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] 0500-1259: Reduced rate due to staffing BN TCU

GDP Notes

Slight risk of oversubscription during evening peak period after X-factor for staffing restrictions, nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

Midday Update: Patchy cloud above 3000ft. Chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms in far W/S TMA. E to NE winds.
ATC ADVICE: 408 (229A/179D) movements remaining. Down 2.5 shifts this evening in BN TCU resulting in activation of an ad hoc GDP with no spare capacity from 05z until after 1130z.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 022000 022100 022200 022300 030000 030100 030200 030300 030400 030500 030600 030700 030800 030900 031000 031100 031200

Runway Mode 19 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC

Rate 34 34 34 28 28 28 28 28 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1&2 1&2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:11 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Nil GDP
PERTH Arrivals - YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030
Friday 03 November 2023
ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 2200-0359: A large high pressure system over the Southern Ocean will combine with a trough and low pressure system off the western WA coast to produce a strong low-level E to NE
airstream across the area. CAVOK. E to NE winds aloft 35-45 knots, decreasing to 25-35 knots after about 00Z and 15-25 knots from about 04Z. X-factor applied for winds aloft at/below 3000ft
exceeding 35 knots until 02Z. Note: With RWY 06/24 closed from 2330Z as per NOTAM C728/23, expect significant cross wind gusts well above 20 knots on the available RWY 03 in this period.
If RWY 06 were to be available, the MET CDM would continue to recommend RWY 06 VMC with an x-factor of -2 (AAR 20).
[2] 0400-0959: After 04Z surface winds are expected to ease and also turn more NE. This is expected to reduce the overall cross wind on RWY 03 though there is a small risk of cross wind gusts
remaining above 20 knots during this time. RWY 06/24 closed until 0730Z as per NOTAM C728/23. Likely CAVOK, though with the approach of an upper trough there is the small chance of high-
based thunderstorms within the northern and southern fringes of the TMA (being steered away to the SSE).
[3] 1000-1359: Winds aloft and at the surface trend more E to ESE in the evening. RWY 06 proposed again from 10Z with the increased risk of cross wind gusts again exceeding 20 knots on
RWY 03/21. X-factor applied from 11Z as winds aloft at/below 3000ft increase to 35-45 knots with increasing turbulence and wind shear.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Gusty winds and turbulence anticipated throughout most of the day, nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

Midday Update: Likely CAVOK. Moderate and gusty E to NE winds, easing during the afternoon. Turbulence likely after mid-evening.
ATC ADVICE: 334 (201A/133D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 22100 022200 022300 030000 030100 030200 030300 030400 030500 030600 030700 030800 030900 031000 031100 031200 031300

Runway Mode 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC

Rate-Arrs 20 22 22 22 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 22 20 20 20

Rate-Deps 35 35 35 35

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 12:11 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.