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34個答錯的詞語
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1/34
定義 詞語
F1 = a +bt used to develop linear trend equation
forecasts when trend is present
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對 錯
2/34
定義 詞語
wavelike variations lasting more cycle
than one year
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對 錯
3/34
定義 詞語
short-term regular variations seasonality
related to the calendar or time
of day
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對 錯
4/34
定義 詞語
a statement about the future correlation
value of a variable of interest
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對 錯
正確的定義
forecast
5/34
定義 詞語
a visual tool for monitoring correlation
forecast errors
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對 錯
正確的定義
control chart
6/34
定義 詞語
the average absolute forecast mean absolute percent error
error
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對 錯
正確的定義
mean absolute deviation
7/34
定義 詞語
difference between the actual bias
value and the value that was
predicted for a given period
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對 錯
正確的定義
error
8/34
定義 詞語
1 determine the purpose of the steps in forecasting process
forecast
2 establish a time horizon
3 obtain, clean, and analyze
appropriate data
4 select a forecasting technique
5 make the forecast
6 monitor the forecast errors
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對 錯
9/34
定義 詞語
percentage of average or trend mean squared error
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對 錯
正確的定義
seasonal relative
10/34
定義 詞語
the average absolute percent mean absolute deviation
error
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對 錯
正確的定義
mean absolute percent error
11/34
定義 詞語
a measure of the scatter of correlation
points around a regression line
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對 錯
正確的定義
standard error of estimate
12/34
定義
a time-ordered sequence of observations taken at regular intervals
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time series regression
exponential smoothing delphi method
13/34
定義
variation of exponential smoothing used when a time series exhibits
a linear trend
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associative model correlation
trend-adjusted exponential error
14/34
定義
a moving average positioned at the center of the data that were
used to compute it
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averaging techniques centered moving average
exponential smoothing weighted average
15/34
定義
a weighted averaging method based on previous forecast plus a
percentage of the forecast error
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delphi method exponential smoothing
time series moving average
16/34
定義
a forecast for any period that equals the previous period's actual
value
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moving average judgmental forecasts
naive forecast reorder point
17/34
定義
persistent tendency for forecasts to be greater or less than the
actual values of a time series
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error bias
trend measurement error
18/34
定義
a long-term upward or downward movement in data
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cycle random variations
seasonality trend
19/34
定義
caused by unusual circumstances, not reflective of typical behavior
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correlation irregular variation
trend random variation
20/34
定義
the average of squared forecast errors
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exponential smoothing mean absolute deviation
mean squared error mean absolute percent error
21/34
定義
an iterative process in which managers and staff complete a series
of questionnares, each developed from the previous one, to achieve
a consensus forecast
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Exponential smoothing Time series
Delphi method Tracking signal
22/34
定義
forecasting technique that uses explanatory variables to predict
future demand
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delphi method associative model
exponential smoothing sesonal variation
23/34
定義
timely, accurate, reliable, meaningful units, in writing, simple to
understand and use, cost effective
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decision environments: elements of a good forecast
naive forecast approaches to forecasting
配對問題
24-34/34
點擊詞語以將它和定義配對
variables that can be used to predict values of the variable of interest
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predictor variables
minimizes the sum of the squared vertical deviations around the line
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least squares line
techniques that averages a number of recent actual values, updated as new value
become available
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moving average
forecasts that project patterns identified in recent time-serires observations
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time-series forecast
technique for fitting a line to a set of points
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regression
more recent values in a series are given more weight in computing a forecast
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weighted average
a measure of the strength and direction of relationship between two variables
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correlation
forecasts that use subjective inputs such as opinions from consumer surveys, sales
staff, managers, executives, and experts
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judgmental forecasts
the ratio of cumulative forecast error to the corresponding value of MAD, used to
monitor a forecast
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tracking signal
residual variations after all other behaviors are accounted for
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random variations
regularly repeating movements in series values that can be tied to recurring events
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sesonal variation