Trends and Issues Module 2
Trends and Issues Module 2
OVERVIEW
OBJECTIVES
At the end of the lesson, you are expected to:
a. identify the types and components of human rights;
b. discuss the history and human rights violations; and
c. explain the importance of human rights
d. compare the theories of poverty; and identify its causes and effects
e. describe global concerns on environment;
f. discuss the effects of greenhouse warning; and illustrate the causes of La Nina
and El Nino Phenomena
g. discuss ways in order to support the UN Conference on Environment.
LEARNING TASK/S
TASK 1: INTERPRETING AN EDITORIAL CARTOON
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Process Questions:
1. What are your thoughts upon seeing the picture?
2. How will you describe human rights in the Philippines?
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Known today as the Cyrus Cylinder, this ancient record has now been
recognized as the world’s first charter of human rights. It is translated into all six official
languages of the United Nations and its provisions parallel the first four Articles of the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
Documents asserting individual rights, such as the Magna Carta (1215), the
Petition of Right (1628), the US Constitution (1787), the French Declaration of the
Rights of Man and of the Citizen (1789), and the US Bill of Rights (1791) are the written
precursors to many of today’s human rights documents.
In 1215, after King John of England violated a number of ancient laws and
customs by which England had been governed, his subjects forced him to sign the
Magna Carta, which enumerates what later came to be thought of as human rights.
Among them was the right of the church to be free from governmental interference, the
rights of all free citizens to own and inherit property and to be protected from excessive
taxes. It established the right of widows who owned property to choose not to remarry,
and established principles of due process and equality before the law. It also contained
provisions forbidding bribery and official misconduct.
Widely viewed as one of the most important legal documents in the development
of modern democracy, the Magna Carta was a crucial turning point in the struggle to
establish freedom.
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Philosophically, the Declaration stressed two themes: individual rights and the
right of revolution. These ideas became widely held by Americans and spread
internationally as well, influencing in particular the French Revolution.
The Constitution of the United States of America (1787) and Bill of Rights (1791)
Written during the summer of 1787 in Philadelphia, the Constitution of the United States
of America is the fundamental law of the US federal system of government and the
landmark document of the Western world. It is the oldest written national constitution in
use and defines the principal organs of government and their jurisdictions and the basic
rights of citizens.
The first ten amendments to the Constitution—the Bill of Rights—came into effect
on December 15, 1791, limiting the powers of the federal government of the United
States and protecting the rights of all citizens, residents and visitors in American
territory.
The Bill of Rights protects freedom of speech, freedom of religion, the right to keep and
bear arms, the freedom of assembly and the freedom to petition. It also prohibits
unreasonable search and seizure, cruel and unusual punishment and compelled self-
incrimination. Among the legal protections it affords, the Bill of Rights prohibits
Congress from making any law respecting establishment of religion and prohibits the
federal government from depriving any person of life, liberty or property without due
process of law. In federal criminal cases it requires indictment by a grand jury for any
capital offense, or infamous crime, guarantees a speedy public trial with an impartial
jury in the district in which the crime occurred, and prohibits double jeopardy.
The Declaration proclaims that all citizens are to be guaranteed the rights of
“liberty, property, security, and resistance to oppression.” It argues that the need for law
derives from the fact that “...the exercise of the natural rights of each man has only
those borders which assure other members of the society the enjoyment of these same
rights.” Thus, the Declaration sees law as an “expression of the general will,“ intended
to promote this equality of rights and to forbid “only actions harmful to the society.”
The main principles laid down in the Convention and maintained by the later
Geneva Conventions provided for the obligation to extend care without discrimination to
wounded and sick military personnel and respect for and marking of medical personnel
transports and equipment with the distinctive sign of the red cross on a white
background.
In April 1945, delegates from fifty countries met in San Francisco full of optimism
and hope. The goal of the United Nations Conference on International Organization was
to fashion an international body to promote peace and prevent future wars. The ideals
of the organization were stated in the preamble to its proposed charter: “We the peoples
of the United Nations are determined to save succeeding generations from the scourge
of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to mankind.”
The Charter of the new United Nations organization went into effect on October 24,
1945, a date that is celebrated each year as United Nations Day.
Types of Rights
1. Natural Rights
Many researchers have faith in natural rights. They stated that people inherit
several rights from nature. Before they came to live in society and state, they used to
live in a state of nature. In it, they appreciated certain natural rights, like the right to life,
right to liberty and right to property. Natural rights are parts of human nature and
reason. Political theory maintains that an individual enters into society with certain basic
rights and that no government can deny these rights.
The modern idea of natural rights grew out of the ancient and medieval doctrines
of natural law, but for other scholars, the concept of natural rights is unreal. Rights are
the products of social living. These can be used only in a society. Rights have behind
them the recognition of society as common claims for development, and that is why the
state protects these rights. John Locke (1632–1704), the most influential political
philosophers of the modern period, argued that people have rights, such as the right to
life, liberty, and property that have a foundation independent of the laws of any
particular society. Locke claimed that men are naturally free and equal as part of the
justification for understanding legitimate political government as the result of a social
contract where people in the state of nature conditionally transfer some of their rights to
the government in order to better ensure the stable, comfortable enjoyment of their
lives, liberty, and property. Since governments exist by the consent of the people in
order to protect the rights of the people and promote the public good, governments that
fail to do so can be resisted and replaced with new governments.
2. Moral Rights
Moral Rights are based on human consciousness. They are supported by moral
force of human mind. These are based on human sense of goodness and justice. These
are not assisted by the force of law. Sense of goodness and public opinion are the
sanctions behind moral rights.
If any person disrupts any moral right, no legal action can be taken against him. The
state does not enforce these rights. Its courts do not recognize these rights. Moral
Rights include rules of good conduct, courtesy and of moral behaviour. These stand for
moral perfection of the people.
Moral rights were first acknowledged in France and Germany, before they were
included in the Berne Convention for the Protection of Literary and Artistic Works in
1928. Canada recognized moral rights in its Copyright Act. The United States became a
signatory to the convention in 1989, and incorporated a version of moral rights under its
copyright law under Title 17 of the U.S. Code. There are two major moral rights under
the U.S. Copyright Act. These are the right of attribution, also called the right of
paternity and the right of integrity.
3. Legal Rights
Legal rights are those rights which are accepted and enforced by the state. Any
defilement of any legal right is punished by law. Law courts of the state enforce legal
rights. These rights can be enforced against individuals and also against the
government. In this way, legal rights are different from moral rights. Legal rights are
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equally available to all the citizens. All citizens follow legal rights without any
discrimination. They can go to the courts for getting their legal rights enforced.
Not only that, but women and children in particular are marginalized in numerous
ways, the press is not free in many countries, and dissenters are silenced, too often
permanently. While some gains have been made over the course of the last six
decades, human rights violations still plague the world today.
To help inform you of the true situation throughout the world, this section provides
examples of violations of six Articles of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights
(UDHR):
In Uganda, 1,500 people die each week in the internally displaced person camps.
According to the World Health Organization, 500,000 have died in these camps.
Vietnamese authorities forced at least 75,000 drug addicts and prostitutes into 71
overpopulated “rehab” camps, labeling the detainees at “high risk” of contracting
HIV/AIDS but providing no treatment.
ARTICLE 4 — NO SLAVERY
“No one shall be held in slavery or servitude; slavery and the slave trade shall be
prohibited in all their forms.”
In northern Uganda, the LRA (Lord’s Resistance Army) guerrillas have kidnapped
20,000 children over the past twenty years and forced them into service as soldiers or
sexual slaves for the army.
In Guinea-Bissau, children as young as five are trafficked out of the country to work in
cotton fields in southern Senegal or as beggars in the capital city. In Ghana, children
five to fourteen are tricked with false promises of education and future into dangerous,
unpaid jobs in the fishing industry.
In Asia, Japan is the major destination country for trafficked women, especially
women coming from the Philippines and Thailand. UNICEF estimates 60,000 child
prostitutes in the Philippines.
ARTICLE 5 — NO TORTURE
“No one shall be subjected to torture or to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or
punishment.”
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“1. Everyone has the right to freedom of movement and residence within the borders of
each State.
“2. Everyone has the right to leave any country, including his own, and to return to his
country.”
In China, Falun Gong practitioners were singled out for torture and other abuses
while in detention. Christians were persecuted for practicing their religion outside state-
sanctioned channels.
In Kazakhstan, local authorities in a community near Almaty authorized the destruction
of twelve homes, all belonging to Hare Krishna members, falsely charging that the land
on which the homes were built had been illegally acquired. Only homes belonging to
members of the Hare Krishna community were destroyed.
“Everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression; this right includes
freedom to hold opinions without interference and to seek, receive and impart
information and ideas through any media and regardless of frontiers.”
SUMMARY
Human rights exist, as embodied in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights
and the entire body of international human rights law. They are recognized—at least in
principle—by most nations and form the heart of many national constitutions. Yet the
actual situation in the world is far distant from the ideals envisioned in the Declaration.
To some, the full realization of human rights is a remote and unattainable goal. Even
international human rights laws are difficult to enforce and pursuing a complaint can
take years and a great deal of money. These international laws serve as a restraining
function but are insufficient to provide adequate human rights protection, as evidenced
by the stark reality of abuses perpetrated daily.
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LESSON 5: POVERTY
What Is Poverty?
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Theories of Poverty
Nonetheless, there are several theories of poverty, each explaining the reasons
why individuals or communities lack the capacity to meet and maintaining a minimum
standard of living. These theories of the causes of poverty also provide different
frameworks for developing and implementing poverty alleviation strategies.
There are two major theories or schools of thought explaining the causes of
poverty: individualistic theories and structural theories. The individualistic perspective
generally considers poverty as a condition resulting from the shortcomings of
impoverished individuals while the structural perspective trace the roots of impoverished
conditions from the deficiencies in social structures and systems.
There is a group of theories arguing that poverty results from the deficiencies of
individuals or the shortcomings of poor people. These theories are collectively called the
individualistic theories of poverty.
Under the individualistic theories are more specific theories of the causes of
poverty. These theories include the biogenic theory of poverty and inequality, the
human capital theory, and the cultural theory of poverty.
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As one of the theories of the causes of poverty, structural theory presents the
concept of structural poverty. The theory argues that macro-level factors such as
demographic vulnerabilities, labor market opportunities, and resource distribution can
determine the susceptibility of individuals and communities to poverty. There are more
specific theories under the structural perspective of poverty.
The book “The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life” by
psychologist Richard J. Herrnstein and political scientist Charles Murray provides the
foundational contentions related to the biogenic theory of poverty and inequality.
Accordingly, the intelligence of an individual can better predict his or her financial
income and job performance, among other personal dynamics. The primary force that
creates and divides modern social classes is not family background but inherited
cognitive ability. Hence, the upper class and the lower class represent a distinction
between the class of intelligent people and the class of those who lack relevant
intelligence levels.
Thus, the biogenetic theory of poverty and inequality argues that native
intelligence, rather than social status, influence the life prospect of an individual. Nature
essentially determines the socioeconomic status of an individual. People with a high
level of intelligence are destined to become rich while those with a lower level of
intelligence are naturally fated to become poor. Granted that all things are equal except
for level of intelligence, this argument has been evident in inequalities in educational
attainment, occupational performance, and other social outcomes.
Scottish economist Adam Smith introduced the concept in the 18th century while
American economists Gary Becker and Theodore Schultz first introduced its modern
and more definite conceptualization during the 1960s and 1970s.
When considered as a theory for explaining the causes of poverty, human capital
provides a model for illustrating the relationship between the decision of an individual to
invest in education or training and the pattern of his or her lifetime earnings. The
different levels of investment in human capital can also determine different levels of
earnings.
The concept can also illustrate the relationship between age and earnings.
Younger individuals are more likely to become poor because they have not yet
accumulated enough human capital. However, older adults are also likely to become
poor either because they are too late to acquire human capital or are not equipped with
time-relevant set of competencies.
3. Cultural Theory
Similar to the biogenic theory, the cultural theory of poverty blames the
prevalence of socioeconomic inequality not on the social structures or systems but on
the deficiencies of impoverished individuals. If the biogenic theory specifically argues
that poor people lack intelligence or cognitive ability, the cultural theory claims that they
lack the motivation to achieve because of their negative values.
An interesting aspect of the cultural theory of poverty is that it does not only
affect a particular individual but also the generations preceding and succeeding him or
her. In the book chapter “Culture of Poverty” published in 1969, Lewis explained that the
subculture of the poor has mechanisms that perpetuate poverty. For example, children
growing up in impoverished communities will internalize feelings of desperation or
dependence, thus making them unable to capitalize on opportunities when they grow
up.
affluent members of the community have cultures or values that are very different from
their impoverished counterparts.
In his book, political science professor David Brady argues that poverty is not
simply a result of the inability of an individual. Poverty tends to be prevalent in
vulnerable demographic environments and troubled labor market circumstances.
Hence, the greater the number of people living under these circumstances, the higher
the prevalence of poverty.
Brady specifically explains that poverty results from the failure of the society to
collectively take responsibility for promoting the economic security of its citizens through
the instrument of the welfare state. Hence, welfare programs are collectively the best
tool for reducing poverty.
Sociology professor Edward Royce also argues that in the United States, despite
being a rich country, poverty remains rampant not because of the individual failings of
the poor but because of the failings of the American social system, especially of its
political economy.
2. Marxian Theory
The works of German economist and sociologist Karl Marx provided the
fundamental basis for the body of ideas called Marxism. These ideas generally
represent a criticism of capitalism, specifically arguing that inequality is a necessary
component of a capitalistic economic system.
Note that the separate works of Brady and Royce also explained the role of
inequality in perpetuating poverty. They each noted that modern social structures
promote an imbalance of power and thus, promote inequality. Hence, Marxism is a
specific theory within the general structural theory of poverty.
Of course, true to the assertions of classical Marxism, the Marxian theory asserts
that the cause of poverty is intentional due to the class struggle between the capitalist or
owners of the means of production and the laborers. Essentially, the capitalists
intentionally exploit their laborers and try to prevent them from gaining socioeconomic
advancements as much as possible to maintain their control over the means of
production.
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The restricted opportunity theory explains that poverty results from the
circumstances that are beyond the control of an impoverished individual. These
circumstances generally center on the absence of opportunities or the lack of access to
such opportunities.
Central to the theory is an argument that poor people lack suitable and relatively
abundant access to economic opportunities. They cannot avoid poverty or would not be
able to get out of their impoverished conditions unless their economic opportunities
improve.
CAUSES OF POVERTY
2. CONFLICT
Conflict is one of the most common forms of risk driving poverty today. Large-
scale, protracted violence that we’ve seen in areas like Syria can grind society to a halt,
destroying infrastructure and causing people to flee (often with nothing but the clothes
on their backs). In its tenth year of conflict, Syria’s middle class has been all but
destroyed, and over 80% of the population now lives below the poverty line.
But even small bouts of violence can have huge impacts on communities that are
already struggling. For example, if farmers are worried about their crops being stolen,
they won’t invest in planting. Women also bear the brunt of conflict, which adds a layer
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The first 1,000 days of a child’s life (from womb to world) are key to ensuring
their future health and likelihood of staying out of poverty. If a mother is malnourished
during pregnancy, that can be passed on to her children, leading to wasting (low weight
for height) or stunting (low height for age). Child stunting, both physical and cognitive,
can lead to a lifetime of impacts: Adults who were stunted as children earn, on average,
22% less than those who weren’t stunted. In Ethiopia, stunting contributes to GDP
losses as high as 16%.
For some women, pregnancy and childbirth can be a death sentence. In many of
the countries where Concern works, access to quality maternal healthcare is poor.
Pregnant and lactating mothers face a multitude of barriers when seeking care, from not
being allowed to go to a clinic without a male chaperone to receiving poor or even
abusive care from a doctor. This is especially true for adolescent girls aged 18 and
under, leaving mothers-to-be and their children at increased risk for disease and death.
6. CLIMATE CHANGE
Climate change creates hunger, whether through too little water (drought) or too
much (flooding), and its effects contribute to the cycle of poverty in several other ways
including disproportionately affecting women, creating refugees, and even influencing
conflict. One World Bank estimates that climate change has the power to push more
than 100 million people into poverty over the next decade.
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Many of the world’s poorest populations rely on farming or hunting and gathering
to eat and earn a living — for example, Malawi is 80% agrarian. They often have only
just enough food and assets to last through the next season, and not enough reserves
to fall back on in the event of a poor harvest. So when climate change or natural
disasters (including the widespread droughts caused by El Niño) leave millions of
people without food, it pushes them further into poverty, and can make recovery even
more difficult.
7. LACK OF EDUCATION
Not every person without an education is living in extreme poverty. But most of
the extremely poor don’t have an education. There are many barriers to education
around the world, including a lack of money for uniforms and books, a bias against girls’
education, or many of the other causes of poverty mentioned here.
But education is often referred to as the great equalizer, because it can open the
door to jobs and other resources and skills that a family needs to not just survive, but
thrive. UNESCO estimates that 171 million people could be lifted out of extreme poverty
if they left school with basic reading skills. Poverty threatens education, but education
can also help end poverty.
savings and loans can offset unemployment due to conflict or illness. Proper food
storage systems can help if a drought or natural disaster ruins a harvest.
People living in extreme poverty usually don’t have these means available. This
means that, when a risk turns into a disaster, they turn to negative coping mechanisms,
including pulling children out of school to work (or even marry), and selling off assets to
buy food. That can help a family make it through one bad season, but not another. For
communities constantly facing climate extremes or prolonged conflict, the repeated
shocks can send a family reeling into extreme poverty and prevent them from ever
recovering.
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Solutions to Poverty
Nearly half of the world’s population lives at or below the poverty line; out of the
2.2 billion children in the world, one billion of them live in poverty. Though this issue
may not be as prevalent or visible in the U.S., it is an issue that affects everyone. Small
steps can be taken to better this problem, leading to possible solutions to global
poverty.
Preventable diseases such as pneumonia claim the lives of nearly two million
children per year. Without proper planning, which includes allocating enough time,
money and volunteer work, global poverty will continue to exist. Currently, the U.S.
spends only about one percent of the federal budget on foreign aid. By creating detailed
plans and projects aimed at helping other nations, global poverty will begin to lessen.
Enacting policy is not the only solution to global poverty, as policy often does not
affect those suffering directly. As previously stated, efforts must come from both local
and federal domains. Essentially, while policy is created to change legislation, local
organizations enact the changes, directly helping those in need. On top of that, working
with entire communities instead of specific individuals has been proven to be more
effective.
D. Creating Jobs
By raising the minimum wage in existing jobs, companies would combat recent
inflation in both developed and developing countries. This change in the states (in
places such as Seattle and Washington) has been shown to reduce poverty.
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Unpaid medical bills are the leading cause of bankruptcy. Having access to free
or affordable healthcare would allow families to allocate the money they would normally
spend on healthcare elsewhere.
F. Empowering Women
G. Microfinancing
Paid maternal and paternal leave allows families to save money after childbirth,
as having a child is a leading cause of economic hardship. Furthermore, giving workers
paid sick days allows them to properly get over their illness without worrying about
missing a paycheck or receiving a paycheck with fewer funds than normal.
Closing the wage gap between men and women would reduce 50 percent of
poverty experienced by women and their families. This would also add money to the
nation’s gross domestic product.
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These five megatrends present major global threats for planet Earth — problems that
must be solved if the world is to remain a supportive habitat for humans and other
species. DW looks at causes and possible solutions.
energy future is feasible with existing technology now. But the bad news is that even
though renewable energy infrastructure - solar panels, wind turbines, energy storage
and distribution systems - are already widespread, and getting cheaper and more
efficient all the time, experts say we're not applying them quickly enough to prevent
catastrophic climate disruption. Barriers in policy and finance remain to be overcome.
2. Deforestation.
Problem: Species-rich wild forests are being destroyed, especially in the tropics,
often to make way for cattle ranching, soybean or palm oil plantations, or other
agricultural monocultures.
Today, about 30 percent of the planet's land area is covered by forests - which is about
half as much as before agriculture got started around 11,000 years ago. About 7.3
million hectares (18 million acres) of forest are destroyed each year, mostly in the
tropics. Tropical forests used to cover about 15 percent of the planet's land area; they're
now down to 6 or 7 percent. Much of this remainder has been degraded by logging or
burning.
Not only do natural forests act as biodiversity reserves, they are also carbon sinks,
keeping carbon out of the atmosphere and oceans.
3. Species extinction.
Problem: On land, wild animals are being hunted to extinction for bushmeat,
ivory, or "medicinal" products. At sea, huge industrial fishing boats equipped with
bottom-trawling or purse-seine nets clean out entire fish populations. The loss and
destruction of habitat are also major factors contributing to a wave of extinction -
unprecedented in that it is caused by a single species: humans. The IUCN's Red List of
threatened and endangered species continues to grow.
Not only do species inherently deserve to exist, they also provide products and
"services" essential to human survival. Think bees and their pollinating prowess -
necessary for growing food.
are being damaged. About 12 million hectares of farmland a year get seriously
degraded, according to UN estimates.
5. Overpopulation.
Problem: Human population continues to grow rapidly worldwide. Humanity
entered the 20th century with 1.6 billion people; right now, we're about 7.5 billion.
Estimates put us at nearly 10 billion by 2050. Growing global populations, combined
with growing affluence, is putting ever greater pressure on essential natural
resources, like water. Most of the growth is happening on the African continent, and in
southern and eastern Asia.
According to the IPCC’s most recent report (in 2007), Earth’s average surface
temperatures have risen about 0.74 degrees Celsius (1.33 degrees Fahrenheit) during
the past 100 years. The increase is greater in northern latitudes. The IPCC also found
that land regions are warming faster than oceans. The IPCC states that most of the
temperature increase since the mid-20th century is likely due to human activities.
Greenhouse gases let the sun’s light shine onto the Earth’s surface, but they trap
the heat that reflects back up into the atmosphere. In this way, they act like the
insulating glass walls of a greenhouse. The greenhouse effect keeps Earth’s climate
comfortable. Without it, surface temperatures would be cooler by about 33 degrees
Celsius (60 degrees Fahrenheit), and many life forms would freeze.
Since the Industrial Revolution in the late 1700s and early 1800s, people have
been releasing large quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. That amount
has skyrocketed in the past century. Greenhouse gas emissions increased 70 percent
between 1970 and 2004. Emissions of carbon dioxide, the most important greenhouse
gas, rose by about 80 percent during that time. The amount of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere today far exceeds the natural range seen over the last 650,000 years.
Most of the carbon dioxide that people put into the atmosphere comes from
burning fossil fuels such as oil, coal, and natural gas. Cars, trucks, trains, and planes all
burn fossil fuels. Many electric power plants also burn fossil fuels.
Another way people release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere is by cutting
down forests. This happens for two reasons. Decaying plant material, including trees,
releases tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Living trees absorb carbon
dioxide. By diminishing the number of trees to absorb carbon dioxide, the gas remains
in the atmosphere.
All of these human activities add greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, trapping
more heat than usual and contributing to global warming.
Even slight rises in average global temperatures can have huge effects. Perhaps
the biggest, most obvious effect is that glaciers and ice caps melt faster than usual.
The meltwater drains into the oceans, causing sea levels to rise and oceans to become
less salty.
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Ice sheets and glaciers advance and retreat naturally. As Earth’s temperature
has changed, the ice sheets have grown and shrunk, and sea levels have fallen and
risen. Ancient corals found on land in Florida, Bermuda, and the Bahamas show that the
sea level must have been 5 to 6 meters (16-20 feet) higher 130,000 years ago than it is
today. Earth doesn’t need to become oven-hot to melt the glaciers. Northern summers
were just 3 to 5 degrees Celsius (5-9 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer during the time of
those ancient fossils than they are today.
Glaciers and ice caps cover about 10 percent of the world’s landmass today.
They hold about 75 percent of the world’s fresh water. If all of this ice melted, sea levels
would rise by about 70 meters (230 feet). The IPCC reported that the global sea level
rose about 1.8 millimeters (0.07 inches) per year from 1961 to 1993, and 3.1 millimeters
(0.12 inches) per year since 1993.
Rising sea levels could flood coastal communities, displacing millions of people
in areas such as Bangladesh, the Netherlands, and the U.S. state of Florida.
Forced migration would impact not only those areas, but the regions to which the
“climate refugees” flee. Millions more people in countries like Bolivia, Peru, and India
depend on glacial meltwater for drinking, irrigation, and hydroelectric power. Rapid loss
of these glaciers would devastate those countries.
Glacial melt has already raised the global sea level slightly. However, scientists
are discovering ways the sea level could increase even faster. For example, the melting
of the Chacaltaya Glacier in Bolivia has exposed dark rocks beneath it. The rocks
absorb heat from the sun, speeding up the melting process.
Many scientists use the term “climate change” instead of “global warming.” This
is because greenhouse gas emissions affect more than just temperature. Another effect
involves changes in precipitation like rain and snow. Patterns in precipitation may
change or become more extreme. Over the course of the 20th century, precipitation
increased in eastern parts of North and South America, northern Europe, and northern
and central Asia. However, it has decreased in parts of Africa, the Mediterranean, and
parts of southern Asia.
Future Changes
Nobody can look into a crystal ball and predict the future with certainty. However,
scientists can make estimates about future population growth, greenhouse gas
emissions, and other factors that affect climate. They can enter those estimates into
computer models to find out the most likely effects of global warming.
The IPCC predicts that greenhouse gas emissions will continue to increase over
the next few decades. As a result, they predict the average global temperature will
increase by about 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade. Even if
we reduce greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions to their 2000 levels, we can still
expect a warming of about 0.1 degree Celsius (0.18 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade.
The panel also predicts global warming will contribute to some serious changes
in water supplies around the world. By the middle of the 21st century, the IPCC predicts,
river runoff and water availability will most likely increase at high latitudes and in
some tropical areas. However, many dry regions in the mid-latitudes and tropics will
experience a decrease in water resources.
2
What We Can Do
The biggest effort so far has been the Kyoto Protocol, which was adopted in
1997 and went into effect in 2005. By the end of 2009, 187 countries had signed and
ratified the agreement. Under the protocol, 37 industrialized countries and the European
Union have committed to reducing their greenhouse gas emissions.
There are several ways that governments, industries, and individuals can reduce
greenhouse gases. We can improve energy efficiency in homes and businesses. We
can improve the fuel efficiency of cars and other vehicles. We can also support
development of alternative energy sources, such as solar power and biofuels, that don’t
involve burning fossil fuels.
Some scientists are working to capture carbon dioxide and store it underground,
rather than let it go into the atmosphere. This process is called carbon sequestration.
Trees and other plants absorb carbon dioxide as they grow. Protecting existing
forests and planting new ones can help balance greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
-end-
Prepared by:
ALMIRA S. BERSABE
Instructor