Value Relevance of Derivatives in Nigerian Banks
Value Relevance of Derivatives in Nigerian Banks
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ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.10, No.17, 2018
Abstract
The usefulness of accounting information to the investors can be measured by the relevance of such information.
In literatures relevance is operationalized by the value relevance which is the extent to which accounting
information summarises the information in stock prices. The primary objective of this paper was to ascertain the
relevance of financial derivates instruments. The paper uses a sample of fourteen quoted banks in the Nigerian
stock Exchange over the period 2012 to 2015. Using a modification of the standard Ohlson model which
regresses earnings and book value deflated by shares outstanding at year end, the variables of financial derivative
assets and liabilities are in included in the standard model. The paper employes a Panel regression method to
accommodate the heterogeneity of the sample data. Findings in this study indicate that derivative assets do not
have a statistical significant association with share prices of listed commercial banks in Nigeria. The analysis
reveals that except for the variable of earnings per share and firm size, all other independent variables of
derivative assets, derivative liabilities and book value per share did not show any significance value relevance in
the Nigerian commercial banks during the period of under consideration. Premised on this, the study
recommends that investors should pay close attention to the book value per share in the financial statements
rather than the net derivatives with a view to maximizing wealth
Keywords: Derivatives, Value Relevance, Ohlson Model, Panel Regression
INTRODUCTION
Following the Financial Crises that occurred in the Asian continent during the period of 1997/98 in addition to
the global financial crises of 2008, the relevance of financial derivatives in hedging the adverse impact of
interest and exchange rates on firm’s risk and value became more glaring (Paligorova & Staskow 2014).
Incredibly notable, even after manifest concerns from regulators and policy makers about substantial losses
arising from the use of derivatives, non-financial firms still employ financial derivatives for managing firm’s risk
(Fabin 2010). The increase in the use of financial derivatives as a channel to curb financial risk, has diverted the
interest of practitioners and academicians from the traditional perspective of finding solutions to risk
management. More importantly is the question as to the value relevance of financial derivates, the extent to
which such financial derivates are associated with firm value.
In defining financial derivatives, Fabin (2010) considered market imperfections and pointed out that
derivative usage for hedging firm’s exchange rate and interest rate risk will reduce firm’s risk thereby maximize
firm’s value. From a different perspective, Black and Scholes (1973) noted that corporations employ financial
derivative instruments for risk taking. However, in situations where firm’s value for equity holders matches the
payoff pattern of the out-of the money option, managers are more likely to increase the risk of the firm in order
to maximize the value of their option thereby resulting in a negative firm value. In the cases of highly levered
firm, Meckling (1976) stated that an incentive to shift funds from bondholders to equity holders requires
undertaking highly risky projects which may invariably put up an upward and downward pressure on firm’s risk
and its value respectively.
Hull (2009) described derivatives as financial instruments whose intrinsic value depends on the value of a
number of underlying variables. Usually the variables underlying derivatives are the prices of the traded assets.
These instruments are basically designed to achieve results that are economically viable when there is a price
movement on the underlying security, index, interest rate or commodity. Futures are seen as standardized
contracts in which the purchaser is allowed to buy or sell a specific quantity of a commodity, financial
instrument or index at a specified price. A swap is an exchange of payment streams among two parties for a
certain period of time (Crawford et al. 1997). According to International Accounting Standards (IAS) 32 -
Financial Instruments Presentation, a financial instrument can be defined as “any contract that gives a rise to a
financial asset of one entity and a financial liability or equity instrument of another entity” Mirza & Holt, (2011).
IAS 39 (Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement) requires derivatives to be measured at fair value
to provide more useful information in the balance sheet Mirza & Holt, (2011). IFRS 13 (Fair Value
Measurement) defines fair value as a “price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in
an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date” IFRS 13, (2011). As indicate by
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Mirza & Holt, (2011) the best evidence of fair value may be found in a published price quotation in an active
market. For assets and liabilities that are not quoted in active markets, fair value is determined by different
valuation techniques, such as discounted cash flow models.
Following Omokhudu & Ibadin (2015) value relevance of accounting information addresses the degree to
which accounting information summarizes the information that is impounded on financial variables. But Barth,
Beaver & Landsman (2001) defined value relevance as the capacity of financial statement information to hold or
summarize information that influences share value.
Prior research study on value relevance concentrated extensively on stock markets of UK and US. (Barth &
Clinch, 1996; Barth et al., 1999; Barth, 1994) but due to the rising importance with more demand for financial
reporting within the international capital markets, subsequent related research studies have examined the value
relevance of financial reporting in stock exchanges considered to be non-US developed markets Graham et al.,
(2000), while recent times studies have been conducted in other emerging markets (Chen et al., 2001; Kargin,
2013; Mironiuc et al., 2015; Umoren & Enang, 2015; Păşcan, 2015).
While a number of empirical studies on the value relevance of financial statements, have addressed
traditional accounting information of earnings, book value, such items as the value relevance of derivative
transactions in the financial statements have not been given attention. Empirical research studies involving firm
value relevance in relation to financial derivatives in developing countries like Nigeria, is relatively scarce. More
so, most studies that examine value relevance of firms in relation to derivatives in developed countries have
documented mixed, inconclusive and quite conflicting findings. While there is a extensive literature as to why
corporate firms use derivatives, there is a dearth of empirical research into the motivation for banks and other
financial institutions to use derivatives in developing countries like Nigeria. An indebt understanding as to the
workability of financial derivatives is very important so as to give light to how and why banks employ them in
its operations. Against this back drop, the study seeks to examine value relevance of accounting derivatives in
listed Nigerian commercial banks.
This study adopted stock price regression model introduced by Ohlson (1995), and often employed in value
relevance studies after detailed empirical test validation (Barth et al., 2001; Gordon, 2001; Mechelli & Cimini,
2014). This paper using the Ohlson (1995) model establishes the value relevance of financial derivative
instrument, using share prices as dependent variables and the explanatory variables of earnings, book values and
derivative assets and liabilities and the variable of firm size as a control variable. The remainder of the paper is
organized as follows: In section II we provide appropriate conceptual clarifications and prior literature on value
relevance of accounting derivatives. Section III reviews an appropriate framework for the study. This will be
followed by section IV which provides a discussion of research method with the analysis of results. We end with
a conclusion and proffer some recommendations.
2. Literature Review
The 19th century accounting system was shaped by industrial capitalism, while the end of the twentieth century
was considerably dominated by the expansion of financial claims. Both financial and operating assets involve
varying processes in creating value. The value of operating assets is shaped through a firm’s operations, whereas,
for financial assets the returns and risks are subject to larger risks caused by changes in the market environment
and determined by market expectations and macroeconomic trends. Recently fair valuation of certain financial
instruments is fast becoming a leading trend, but no particular theory have been able to recognize and measure
the value and returns of financial assets – which are entirely different from tangible assets such as plant, property
and equipment – and how to present them accurately in the balance sheet and income statement. For these
reasons, valuation and income recognition of financial assets need not be approached by an extension of the
traditional accounting framework and concepts; hence it requires a different framework in order to provide
useful information on the underlying economic activity. With this kind of framework, the effectiveness of
corporate governance, efficiency of capital markets, and the level transparency and faithfulness of financial
transaction will rise. Ishikawa, (2005)
The frame work of the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) has it that, useful financial
information relies on relevance and faithful representation. The quality of usefulness is complete if it is
comparable, verifiable, timely and understandable. According to IFRS Framework 2010, the dual factors of
relevance and faithful representation are the basic qualitative characteristics in financial reporting.
Landsman (2007) reveals that disclosed and recognized fair values are powerful information for investors,
but the height of in formativeness is influenced by the amount of measurement error and by the source of the
estimates – i.e. from management or external appraisers. In practice, fair value is well defined when an active
market for the asset or liability exist, in this scenario, it becomes difficult to separate an asset or liability’s fair
value from its value-in-use to the business entity. For example, the estimated fair value of a non-traded swap
instrument to a bank depends on the existing assets and liabilities on the bank’s balance sheet Landsman, (2007).
Blakespoor et al. (2013) prove that the fair values of banks’ investment securities, loans, and derivatives are
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informative for their historical cost equivalents in explaining share prices. Their findings demonstrate that the
relationship between credit risk and leverage becomes stronger as the number of financial instruments measured
at fair value increases, and fair values are most highly associated with credit risk determinations.
The study, carried out by Ayzer & Cema (2013) reveal that both book values and earnings are statistically
significantly value relevant in deciding stock prices in the Turkish Stock Markets. Both variables of book values
and earnings were shown to be individually significantly value relevant, but the book values had higher
explanatory power than earnings. In a related study Halonen, Parlovic & Pearson (2013) employ a simplified
Ohlson’s (1995) model, to investigate value relevance and noted that during the period of analysis, value
relevance of book values had increased but the value relevance of earnings had decreased.
Following Ball & Brown (1968) value relevance research study is the use of price or return data to identify
value drivers that impact prices or returns on the market value of stocks. Researchers throughout history of
empirical investigation have a common understanding that value relevance research empirically investigates the
usefulness of accounting information to stock investors (Collins et.al, 1997; Barth, Beaver, & Landsman, 1998;
Chen, Chen, & Su, 2001; Gjerde et al., 2005; Francis & Schipper, 1999;).
Pereia & Thrikawala (2010) reveals that earnings per share, earnings yield and return on equity have not
declined in value relevance. Glezakos, Mylonakis, & Kafouros (2012) sampled 38 listed companies in the
Athens Stock Market for the period 1996-2008. They examined the link between profit per share and book-value
and shares value and concluded that the EPS and book-value significantly influence on the share price.
Habib & Elhamaney (2009) examine the value relevance of accounting information in Egyptian equity
market. A positive correlation between cash flow and equity market values in Egypt was evident. The study of
Dahmash, Durand & Watson (2009) presents clear evidence that identifiable intangible assets, including the
intangible assets of goodwill, are value relevant but not reliable.
Bhat (2008) examine the variance contribution of fair value gains and losses relative to net income in
driving stock returns by employing uses variance decomposition analysis. The study finds that fair value gains
and losses are statistically significant in explaining the volatility of unexpected returns and observed that relative
importance of fair value gains and losses to net income is a direct function of disclosure.
In the empirical study of Ng, Gul & Mensah (2007) their finding show that value relevance of earnings per
share for all three sub-periods in which the sample of observations was partitioned is statistically significantly
different. The study analyses the effect of value relevance on accounting earnings. Furthermore, Berk &
DeMarzo (2007) emphasized that book value of equity do not accurately assess the actual value of the firm’s
equity. They highlighted that market value of a stock dose not dependent on the historical cost of a firm’s assets.
The study claims that market value of stocks is dependent on what investors expect the underlying assets to
produce in the future.
In examining the value relevance of accounting earnings and components in the Tunisia Stock Exchange,
Ayed & Abaoub (2006) employed a data sample set of 262 firm-years; over the period 1997 to 2004. Empirical
evidence portray that the variable of operating income before taxes, special items and income taxes are value
relevant for firm valuation but cash flow from operation and accruals were seen not to be value relevant.
Following the empirical study of Ahmed et al., (2006) their findings provide supporting evidence that the
fair values of cumulative financial instruments are value relevant and the fair value gains and losses are
positively associated with contemporary stock prices. The extant evidence indicates that fair value information of
investment securities and loans are value relevant.
Aboody & Lev (1998) examined the value relevance of intangible assets in the case of software
capitalization. Empirical revelation indicates that intangible assets are significantly associated with capital
market variables and future earnings. They further conclude that software capitalization summarizes information
relevant to investors.
The study of Nelson (1996) provides evidence that fair value disclosures have no incremental power
relative to book value, with the exception of investment securities, but Venkatachalam (1996) finds that banks’
derivative fair value disclosures are value-relevant. Both studies corroborated Barth (1994) which investigated
how disclosed fair value estimates of banks' investment securities, and securities gains and losses are reflected in
share prices. Findings reveal that fair value estimates of investment securities provide significant explanatory
power beyond that provided by historical costs.
Theoretical Framework
The study adopts the Ohlson (1995) valuation model due to its relevance and wide popularity. The Ohlson
Model is hinged on the fundamental analysis principles of which are a combination of the discounted cash flow
approaches, and the book value of assets methods. The model employs book value of assets, abnormal earnings
and other information to determine the value of a firm. It expressed the market value of a firm as a linear
function of its book value, abnormal earnings together with another information dynamics variable. Ohlson
model was described under the following assumptions:
(a) The Present Value Relation Assumption: This implies that the market value of the firm's equity equals
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to the present value of its expected future dividends discounted at the risk-free interest rate, and this assumption
was based on the original classic dividend discount model.
(b) The assumption of Clean Surplus Relation: This follows that all changes in the book value of equity
are reported either as accounting earnings or dividends. Accordingly, the relationship between book value of
equity, earnings, and dividends can be expressed as follows:
… … … … … .. 1
Where bt = book value of equity at date t; χt = earnings for period t; dt = dividends paid at date t. According to
Ohlson, book value of equity at date t-1 multiplied by the risk free rate is considered as the normal earnings of
the firm. Then the earnings for the period t minus the normal earnings can be defined as abnormal earnings.
……………………………….. 2
Where χªt = abnormal earnings for period t
(c) The Assumption of Linear Information Dynamics: This assumption is the most controversial
assumption which imposed a time-series structure on the abnormal earnings (that is, the relationship between the
current and the next period's abnormal earnings) as linear and stationary. Ohlson defines this abnormal relation
as the difference between accounting earnings and normal earnings. Here, normal earnings are the net book
value of equity multiplied by the risk free rate. The linear information dynamic (models) which assumes a time-
series structure on the abnormal earnings are as follows:
3
Where 4
χ ªt : Abnormal earnings of year t (χªt= χt – rbt)
υt : Other information variable at time t
ω11 : Persistence of abnormal earnings (0< ω11<1)
έ1t, έ2t: Error terms.
Furthermore, Ohlson (1995) show that with the standard assumptions underlying the dividend discount model
together with the above mentioned Equations (1) and (2), the model equation can be written as follows:
Pt = bvt +α1χªt+ α2Vt (5)
Where:
Pt = the market value of the firm's share equity for the fiscal year-end t,
bvt = the book value of the firm's share equity at the end the fiscal year-end t,
χªt = the abnormal earning per firm's share during the year t, (defined as above),
Vt = other non-accounting value relevant information for the fiscal year-end t,
α1, α2, = coefficients taking values that are a function of the linear information dynamics models and the risk free
rate for the firms.
3. Methodology
3.1 Sample Selection and Data Collection
This study basically seeks to investigate the value relevance of accounting derivatives in Nigerian listed money
deposit banks. The population of this study consists of 19 listed Nigerian money deposit banks, but sampled only
14 Nigerian listed money deposit banks due to availability of relevant data. A period of 5 years (2012-2016) is
being considered; hence all the data collected from the 14 listed money deposit banks will be analyzed within
this period. The resulting data was finally compiled by Machame Ratios.
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4. Empirical Results
Descriptive Statistics
The Table below shows the descriptive statistics of the listed banks that make up the sample of study.
Table 2: Descriptive Statistics
SPF EPS BVPS DAR DLR FSIZE
Mean 7.93 1.29 0.23
9.36 0.11 9.11
Median 0.90 0.00
4.90 9.09 0.00 9.07
Maximum 28.68 4.67 22.44 4.48
1.41 9.68
Minimum -2.99 0.00
0.50 0.11 0.00 8.39
Normality (P-value) 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Observations
56 69 69 69 69 69
The mean value of share price (proxy for firm value relevance) of the sampled listed banks is 7.93, while its
median value is 4.90. The maximum value of share price is 28.68 while the minimum value is 0.50. This indicate
that all the banks used in this study offer their stocks for sale at a certain price that is higher than 0.50. The mean
value for earnings per share (EPS) is 1.29 while its median value is 0.90. This suggest that banks with EPS more
than or equal to 1.29 on the average are more profitable than banks with EPS less than 1.29. The maximum value
of earnings per share is 4.67 while its minimum value is -2.99 which implies that some banks were observed to
be far more profitable in terms of average EPS value while other banks encountered losses.
The mean book value per share (BVPS) is 9.36 while its median value is 9.09 revealing that banks with
BVPS of 9.36 and above has high number of assets as compared to its liabilities. The maximum value of BVPS
is 22.44 while its minimum value is 0.11 connoting that some banks held very high assets than its liabilities. The
descriptive statistics showed that on the average the value of derivative assets (DAR) is 0.23 while its median
value is 0.00. Based on the result obtained from the statistics, the mean value of derivative liabilities (DRL) is
0.11 while its median value is 0.00. Firm size (FSIZE) revealed a mean value of 9.11 and the median value of
9.07 implying that banks with firm size of 9.11and above on the average are considered to have to be big banks
or larger players. The Normality p-value of less than 5% shows that all the variables where normally distributed
and may be harnessed for regression analysis without any transformation.
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is reached as a result of the corresponding coefficient and significant level of the variable of Earnings per share
(OLS =5.25(0.00) ***). This finding supports the empirical result of Velnamby (2010) and Pushpa & Sumangala
(2010)
From the result, findings reveal that the variable of book value per share does not significantly influence
firms’ value relevance neither at one nor five percent level of significance during the period of analysis. Book
value per share (OLS =0.48(0.06)) as an independent variable to banks share prices (SPF) appears to have a
positive and insignificant influence on share price which disagrees with the findings of Glezakos, Mylonakis, &
Kafouros (2012) who found a significant positive relationship between book value per share and value relevance
employing data from the Athens stock market. In analyzing the relationship between the variable of firm size and
firm value relevance, the empirical analysis reveals a significant positive relationship between firm size and
value relevance of accounting derivatives in the Nigerian banking sector (Firm Size OLS =8.59(0.03)*) which
suggest that as firm size increases the magnitude of value relevance also increases.
CONCLUSION
This study provides evidence for value relevance of accounting derivatives in Nigerian listed commercial banks
for a sample of 14 money deposit banks; data w collected from the annual report of each sampled bank. The
method of analysis is pooled regression analysis because the data has to do with a cross section of banks over a
period of time. The study includes determining the influence of derivatives assets, derivative liabilities, and
accounting derivatives as a whole in relations to share prices. The study stated the various types and purposes of
derivatives, how they should be represented in the financial statement of banks and whether or not the
presentations of derivatives in financial statement have an impact on the price of shares. The value relevance of
accounting information derivatives as it relates to listed Nigerian banks, tends to determine whether the use of
derivatives affect the banks, as well as to determine if the use of derivatives will increase the profitability of the
bank in terms of its share price. The derivatives assets and derivatives liabilities were evaluated to ascertain
whether they influence the financial statement of listed banks.
After a careful analysis, finding suggests that the variable of derivative assets and derivative liabilities do
not have significant effect on the price value of stocks among Nigerian commercial banks during the period of
analysis. The analysis also suggest that only the variables of accounting derivative of earnings per share (EPS)
and firm characteristic of firm size (FSIZE) has a significant relationship with firm stock price.
RECOMMENDATION
Against the backdrop of these findings, the researcher carefully proffers the following recommendations:
• Investors and shareholders that are interested in the firms share price should pay less attention to
accounting derivatives including: derivative liabilities, and derivative assets. Investors and shareholders
should pay no close attention to them bearing on the fact that they do not affect the prices of stocks of
the banks in concern.
• Also since the variable of book value per share reveals an insignificant effect on share prices of
commercial banks in Nigeria under review, investors and shareholders may need to pay less attention
on it in a case where the financial statement of the company is to be analyzed.
• The study recommends that key concern should be placed on the variable of firm size which implies
that investors and shareholders should keep a watchful eye over what values are represented in the
financial statements because they can significantly and positively affect the prices of shares of banks
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European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.10, No.17, 2018
54