Flash Memory, Inc.
Exhibit 1 Income Statements, 2007 - 2009 ($000s except earnings per share)
2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E
Net sales $77,131 $80,953 $89,250 $120,000 $144,000 $144,000
Cost of goods sold $62,519 $68,382 $72,424 $97,320 $116,784 $116,784
Gross margin $14,612 $12,571 $16,826 $22,680 $27,216 $27,216
Research and development $3,726 $4,133 $4,416 $6,000 $7,200 $7,200
Selling, general and administrative $6,594 $7,536 $7,458 $10,032 $12,038 $12,038
Operating income $4,292 $902 $4,952 $6,648 $7,978 $7,978
Interest expense $480 $652 $735 $937 $1,323 $1,565
Other income (expenses) -$39 -$27 -$35 -$50 -$50 -$50
Income before income taxes $3,773 $223 $4,182 $5,661 $6,604 $6,363
Income taxes (a) $1,509 $89 $1,673 $2,264 $2,642 $2,545
Net income $2,264 $134 $2,509 $3,396 $3,963 $3,818
Earnings per share $1.52 $0.09 $1.68 $2.28 $2.66 $2.56
(a) In years 2007 and after, Flash's effective combined federal and state income tax rate was 40%.
Assumptions
COGS as % of sales 81.06% 84.47% 81.15% 81.10% 81.10% 81.10%
Research and development as % of sales 4.83% 5.11% 4.95% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
SGA as % of sales 8.55% 9.31% 8.36% 8.36% 8.36% 8.36%
Flash Memory, Inc.
Exhibit 2 Balance Sheets, 2007 - 2009 ($000s except number of shares outstanding)
December 31, December 31,
2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E
Cash $2,536 $2,218 $2,934 $3,960 $4,752 $4,752
Accounts receivable $10,988 $12,864 $14,671 $19,726 $23,671 $23,671
Inventories $9,592 $11,072 $11,509 $13,865 $16,638 $16,638
Prepaid expenses $309 $324 $357 $480 $576 $576
Total current assets $23,425 $26,478 $29,471 $38,031 $45,637 $45,637
Property, plant & equipment at cost $5,306 $6,116 $7,282 $8,182 $9,082 $9,982
Less: Accumulated depreciation $792 $1,174 $1,633 $2,179 $2,793 $3,474
Net property, plant & equipment $4,514 $4,942 $5,649 $6,003 $6,289 $6,508
Total assets $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $44,034 $51,926 $52,145
Accounts payable $3,084 $4,268 $3,929 $4,799 $5,759 $5,759
Notes payable (a) $6,620 $8,873 $10,132 $14,305 $16,914 $13,324
Accrued expenses $563 $591 $652 $876 $1,051 $1,051
Income taxes payable (b) $151 $9 $167 $226 $264 $255
Other current liabilities $478 $502 $554 $744 $893 $893
Total current liabilities $10,896 $14,243 $15,434 $20,951 $24,881 $21,282
Common stock at par value $15 $15 $15 $15 $15 $15
Paid in capital in excess of par value $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980
Retained earnings $9,048 $9,182 $11,691 $15,087 $19,050 $22,868
Total shareholders' equity $17,043 $17,177 $19,686 $23,082 $27,045 $30,863
Total liabilities & shareholders' equity $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $44,033 $51,926 $52,145
Balance Sheet Check $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Number of shares outstanding 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662
(a) Secured by accounts receivable.
(b) To avoid a penalty for underpayment of income taxes, Flash made equal estimated tax payments quarterly on the 15th of
April, June, September, and December of each year. The total of these four quarterly payments was required to equal at
least the lesser of (a) 90% of the taxes that would actually be incurred in the same year, or (b) 100% of the taxes due
on income of the prior year.
For informational purposes only:
Notes payable / accounts receivable 60.2% 69.0% 69.1%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 38.8% 51.7% 51.5%
Notes payable / total capital 28.0% 34.1% 34.0%
Flash Memory, Inc.
Exhibit 3 Key Forecasting Assumptions and Relationships for 2010 Through 2012
Line Item Assumption or Ratio
Cost of goods sold 81.10% of sales
Research and development 5.0% of sales
Selling, general and administrative 8.36% of sales
Interest expense Beginning of year debt balance × interest rate
Other income (expenses) $50,000 of expense each year
Cash 3.3% of sales
Accounts receivable 60 days sales outstanding
Inventories 52 days of cost of good sold
Prepaid expenses 0.4% of sales
Property, plant & equipment at cost Beginning PP&E at cost + capital expenditures
Accumulated depreciation Beginning A/D + 7.5% of beginning PP&E at cost
Accounts payable 30 days of purchases
Purchases 60% of cost of goods sold
Accrued expenses 0.73% of sales
Income taxes payable 10% of income taxes expense
Other current liabilities 0.62% of sales
Flash Memory, Inc.
Exhibit 4 Selected Financial Information for Flash Memory, Inc., and Selected Competitors, 2007 through 2009
Flash Memory, Inc. Micron Technology
2007 2008 2009 30-Apr-10 (a) 2007 2008 2009 30-Apr-10 (a)
Sales ($ millions) 77 81 89 120 5,688 5,841 4,803
EPS ($) 1.52 0.09 1.68 2.28 -0.42 -2.10 -2.29 1.46
Dividend per share ($) -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Closing stock price ($) n/a n/a n/a n/a 7.25 2.64 10.56 9.35
Shares outstanding (millions) 1.492 1.492 1.492 1.492 769.1 772.5 800.7 847.6
Book Value per share ($) 11.43 11.52 13.20 15.47 10.08 8.00 5.81 6.61
ROE 13.28% 0.78% 12.75% 14.71% -4.13% -26.21% -39.43% 21.00%
Capitalization (book value)
Debt 28% 34% 34% 38% 24% 31% 40% 33%
Equity 72% 66% 66% 62% 76% 69% 60% 67%
Beta coefficient n/a 1.25
SanDisk Corporation STEC, Inc.
Sales ($ millions) 3,986 3,351 3,567 189 227 354
EPS ($) 0.84 -8.82 1.83 3.71 0.20 0.09 1.47 1.29
Dividend per share ($) -- -- -- -- -- --
Closing stock price ($) 33.17 9.60 28.99 39.84 8.74 4.26 16.34 13.90
Shares outstanding (millions) 227.7 225.3 227.4 229.3 49.8 50.0 49.4 50.3
Book Value per share ($) 22.64 15.27 17.18 18.13 3.72 3.63 5.65 5.48
ROE 3.70% -57.74% 10.63% 17.87% 5.40% 2.36% 26.06% 18.90%
Capitalization (book value)
Debt 15% 22% 21% 19% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Equity 85% 78% 79% 81% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Beta coefficient 1.36 1.00
(a) Security analyst estimates for year-end EPS $ and Return on Equity; actual data on April 30, 2010, for all other items.