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Statics Ass.

The document summarizes the calculation of probabilities related to the finish times of marathon runners. It provides the mean and standard deviation of finish times, and calculates the probabilities that a runner finishes in under 3 hours, between 3-4 hours, and in over a certain time based on the normal distribution.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
180 views3 pages

Statics Ass.

The document summarizes the calculation of probabilities related to the finish times of marathon runners. It provides the mean and standard deviation of finish times, and calculates the probabilities that a runner finishes in under 3 hours, between 3-4 hours, and in over a certain time based on the normal distribution.

Uploaded by

kebedeajeme
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Let X be the normal variant denoting the finish time of the marathon runners.

Given the mean µ = 195 and s.d σ = 25 

(a) P(X ≤ 3 hours) 


= P(X ≤ 180 minutes) 
= P(Z ≤ (180 - 195)/25) 
= P(Z ≤ -0.6) 
By symmetry 
P(Z ≤ -0.6) 
= P(Z ≤ 0.6)
= 0.5 – P(0 ≤ Z ≤ 0.6) 
= 0.5 – 0.2258  = 0.2742 
(i.e) Probability of a runner taking less than 3 hours is 0.2742

(b) Given the probability is 8% = 0.08 


P (Z ≥ z) = 0.08 
0.5 – P(0 ≤ Z ≤ z) = 0.08 
P(0 ≤ Z ≤ z) = 0.42 
z = 1.41 (from normal tables) 
Hence = (X - 195)/25 -1.41 
X = 25 (-1.41) + 195 
= 159.75 
= 160 minutes

(c) P(3 hours < X < 4 hours) 


= P (180 min < X < 240 min) 
= P( 180 - 195)/25 < Z < (240 - 195)/25) 
= P(-0.6 < Z < 1.8) = P (-0.6 < Z < 0) + P (0 < Z < 1.8) 
= P(0 < Z < 0.6) + P(0 < Z < 1.8) 
= 0.2258 + 0.4641 
= 0.6899 
Hence the proportion of runners taking between 3 hours and 4 hours is 68.99%

Draw all possible samples of size 3 without replacement from the finite
population 8, 10, 12, 14, 16 and 18. Find the sampling distribution of sample
means and calculate its Mean, Variance and Standard Error. Also find the
Mean, Variance and Standard Deviation of the Population and Verify the
Results.
Expert's answer
Solution:
We have population values 8, 10, 12, 14, 16 and 18. , population size N=6 and sample
size n=3.
Thus, the number of possible samples which can be drawn without replacement is
\binom{N}{n}=\binom{6}{3}= 20(nN)=(36)=20

Following table gives 20 combinations and their sample mean.


To find mean ,Variance and sd for sample:
for the mean values we have , following table is constructed.

mean= \frac{\sum fx}{n}=\frac{256.67}{20}= 12.8335n∑fx=20256.67=12.8335


Sample variance is calculated as follows:
S^2= \frac{\sum f*x^2-\frac{\sum (f*x)^2}{n}}{n-1}\\=\frac{\3357.8357-\
frac{256.67^2}{20}}{20-1}\\=\frac{3357.8357-3293.9744}{19}\\=\frac{6386.13}
{19}\\= 3.36S2=n−1∑f∗x2−n∑(f∗x)2=20−1\3357.8357−20256.672=193357.8357−3293.9744=196386.13=3.36

Sample sd = \sqrt{variance}= \sqrt{3.3611}= 1.833variance=3.3611=1.833

Mean and sd of population is computed as follows:


Mean= \mu = \frac{{\sum X}}{N}μ=N∑X =\frac{8+ 10,+12+ 14+16 +18}
{6}=1368+10,+12+14+16+18=13

sd= \sigma = \sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \mu)^2} {n}}σ=n∑i=1n(xi−μ)2 =\sigma


= \sqrt{\frac{(8-13)^2+(10-13)^2+(12-13)^2+(14-13)^2+(16-13)^2+(18-13)^2}
{6}}σ=6(8−13)2+(10−13)2+(12−13)2+(14−13)2+(16−13)2+(18−13)2
=\sqrt{\frac{70}{6}}=\sqrt{11.667}=3.42670=11.667=3.42

Variance= sd^2= 3.42^2= 11.67


\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\sqrt {\frac{{N – n}}{{N – 1}}} = \frac{{3.42}}{{\sqrt
3 }}\sqrt {\frac{{6 – 3}}{{6 – 1}}} = 1.529nσN–1N–n=33.426–16–3=1.529 .

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