The ascending triangle is a price consolidation pattern after a bullish or bearish move in the
price. It is formed between two trend lines where the upper trend line should be horizontal and
the lower trend line slopes up and meets the horizontal trend line at some point. The ascending
triangle starts wider like a usual triangle and then contracts as it moves towards its end. Price
should make at least two
minor highs and two minor
lows within the triangle. This
pattern can be formed after a
downtrend or uptrend and it
usually breaks upward.
Although it can break down
as well, the odds of breaking
up are higher than breaking
down.
One of the major reasons for this formation is a big investor who has spotted a better
opportunity and wants to exit from a current asset at a price not lower than e.g. $20. He will
keep selling slowly whenever it reaches that price over and over while other investors still see a
potential in the asset and keep buying it on every drop after making a minor high.
Let’s summarize the requirement of this pattern.
● The pattern can be formed after a bear or bullish move both
● The price consolidates between a flat and rising trend line
● The pattern starts wider and contracts afterward
● The price should make at least two minor highs and two minor lows
● The volume decreases during the formation of the triangle and spikes up during
breakout
Statistics
It is always interesting to know the past performance of the pattern to adjust your position size
and SL accordingly. A study suggests that 62% of the time this pattern makes a bullish exit and
75% of the cases this pattern works as a price continuation pattern. The study further suggests
that 75% of the cases price reaches the first target after a breakout and 60% of the time price
makes a throwback on the trend line.
Trading an ascending triangle
As an ascending triangle pattern is a continuation pattern, it gives you the ability to long or buy
the asset after its breakout. You can enter on the breakout or on throwback if you missed the
initial chance of entering. Your first profit target will be equal to the size of the triangle as
shown in the chart above. You can use Fibonacci levels to measure the further profit targets
and also make sure to place the stop loss below the lower trend line of the triangle.