Angola - 1 NDC - 2020
Angola - 1 NDC - 2020
The contributions of Angola to this INDC are in the framework of the National Strategy for the
Implementation of UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol, the Strategy to Fight Poverty (SFP), the
National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA) and Long Term Strategy for Development of
Angola (2025).
Angola is committed to take part in the aspiration set at International level to fight against the
phenomenon of climate change, thus contributing to global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions. For this, Angola‟s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) encompasses for
Mitigation purposes both unconditional and conditional measures for the reduction of GHG. The
country is committed to stabilize its emissions, and contribute to climate change mitigation by 2030,
targeting the following sectors:
Angola plans to reduce GHG emissions up to 35% unconditionally by 2030 as compared to the
Business As Usual (BAU) scenario (base year 2005). In addition, it is expected that through a
conditional mitigation scenariothe country could reduce an additional 15% below BAU emission
levels by 2030. In achieving its unconditional and conditional targets Angola expects to reduce its
emissions trajectory by nearly 50% below the BAU scenario by 2030 at overall cost of over
14.7billion USD.
Given to its extreme vulnerability to Climate Change impacts in some key economic sectors,
Angola‟s INDC also includes priority Adaptation actions that will enable the strengthening of the
resilience of the country towards the attainment of the Long Term Strategy for Development of
Angola (2025).
The Angolan economy has been hit hard by the impact of climate change expressed as prolonged
drought, damaging flash floods, forest fires, reduced crop production, reduced water resources,
impacted fishing resources, etc. Many of the economy sectors of Angola have been impacted by
climate variability in the last thirty years. However, there are economy sectors which are extremely
vulnerable to impacts resulting from the extreme events and which will pose not only serious
livelihood and direct health risks but can also affect the economic potential and national food
security. Therefore within the context of this INDC, Angola prioritises the implementation of
Adaptation measures in the following main sectors:
Agriculture
Coastal Zone
Land-Use, Forests, Ecosystems and Biodiversity
Water resources
Health
Angola acknowledges that climate change adaptation requires unconditional as well as conditional
actions in order to reduce the vulnerability of communities against the expected Climate Change
impacts. The overall cost of implementing both the unconditional and conditional actions amounts to
around 1billion USDacross sectors up to 2030.
Given the time constraint, thisreport on theINDCcould not beexhaustive, and it is of adynamic
natureand thus willbe refinedin the light ofnew data and information.
1. NATIONAL CONTEXT
The Republic of Angola with a size of 1.25m sq km (481,354 sq miles) is located in SW Africa and
extremely vulnerable to climate change impacts such as drought and floods particularly in the
southern regions. Projections of mean annual rainfall averaged over the country from different
models indicate a wide range of changes in precipitation for Angola. Furthermore, IPCC scenarios
(SRES A1B scenario as shown in the IPCC 4th Assessment Report) have projected an increase of
mean annual temperature in the region by 1.2 to 3.2°C by the 2060s, and 1.7 to 5.1°C by the 2090s.
Climate models predict that over the next 50 to 100 years, Angola will experience increased
temperatures, more extreme weather events, an expansion of arid and semi-arid regions, seasonal
shifts in rainfall, localized floods, increased wildfires, sea level rise, increased rainfall in the northern
parts of the country, changes in river flows and changes in sea and lake temperatures. According to
the Angolan NAPA (2011), the major expected climate change threats and impacts are: floods, soil
erosion, drought episodes, rise in sea-level. The main sectors identified as affected by climate
change are: agriculture and food security; forest and biodiversity; fisheries; water resources; human
health; infrastructures; coastal zones; energy.
In response to decisions adopted at the 19th and 20th sessions of the Conference of the Parties to
the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), as a demonstration of its
commitment to take part in the aspiration set at International level to fight against the phenomenon
of climate change, thus contributing to global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions,
Angola has embarkedon the process of preparation of its intended determined contributions through
a participatory approach. This document therefore presents Angola‟s Intended Nationally
Determined Contribution (INDC) which encompasses for Mitigation purposes both unconditional and
conditional measures for the reduction of GHG. Given to its extreme vulnerability to Climate Change
impacts in some key economic sectors, Angola‟s INDC also includespriority Adaptation actions that
will enable the strengthening of the resilience of the country towards the attainment of the Long
Term Strategy for Development of Angola (2025).
1
ENERDATA, 2015
For the year 2005, GHG emissions amounted to 66.8 million tons of CO2e, of which over 95%
stemmed from the fossil fuel consumption. The baseline structure (2005) of GHG emission of
Angola by sector shown below indicates the dominance of Energy fuel combustion sector followed
by the Agriculture and Change in Land-Use Change and Forestry sectors. In addition, the
contribution of the fugitive emissions in the energy sector is clearly evident.
Baseline structure (2005) of GHG emission of Angola by sector and emissions in the energy sector
Contribution level
Therefore, the country is committed to stabilize its emissions by reducing GHG emissions up to 50%
below BAU emission levels by 2030 through unconditional and conditional actions targeting the
following sectors:
Unconditional Reduction
The level of reduction planned unconditionally is expected to be up to 35% by 2030 as compared to
the Business As Usual (BAU) scenario, taking 2005 as the reference year.
Conditional Reduction
In a conditional mitigation scenario Angola plans to reduce further its emissions. Therefore, the
mitigation options identified in this scenario are expected to reduce an additional 15% below BAU
emission levels by 2030. In total, in achieving its unconditional and conditional targets Angola
2
JoergenFenhann, UNEP DTU Partnership, e-mail [email protected]
expects to reduce its emissions trajectory by nearly 50% below the BAU scenario across sectors by
2030.
200.000
-35%
150.000
ktCO2e/yr
100.000 -15%
50.000
0
2005 2020 2025 2030
BAU Conditional scenario Unconditional scenario
Baseline scenario and projections of Unconditional and Conditional mitigation scenarios for Angola
Emissions – BAU scenario (ktCO2e) 125 778 155 819 193 250
For metrics and methodologies Global Warming Potential on a 100 year timescale is used in
accordance with the IPCC's 4th Assessment Report. The contribution is to be developed into an
emissions budget for the period 2021 to 2030.
Promotion of Even though Angola is an oil-producing country, the potential for renewable
renewable energy energy is significant. With the growing energy demand in Angola, this type of
project is seen as priority in the Angolan energy sector strategy. Being an
environmentally friendly technology, the renewable-energy projects contribute
to sustainable development of the country and will serve as an example for
the expansion of this technology locally and nationally. In addition, the
production of renewable energy and the dispatching of the entire production
to the Angolan electrical system will not only reduce emissions of greenhouse
gases (GHGs) but also will mitigate local pollution caused by atmospheric
emissions from burning fossil fuel. On the economical perspective, the
projects will lead to a reduction on demand from fossils fuels, which are a
very expensive item within the national economy. Below are identified some
examples of renewable energy projects that are being developed and/or
implemented in Angola:
Key available projects that are expected to maximize the amount of avoided emissions, while
concurrently minimizing the level of required upfront investment have been selected as potential
mitigation options to be developed conditionally.These mitigation options identified in this scenario
are expected to reduce an additional 15% below BAU emission levels by 2030. By undertaking
3
Personal Communication.Forest Development Institute of Angola (IDF).
these actions Angola will achieve the potential conditional target of 50 % emissions reductionbelow
BAU emission levels by 2030.For this, the Government of Angola will pursue international support to
utilize existing and emerging climate finance mechanisms and will encourage investments in green
growth development initiatives. These projects are briefly described below and several of them are
already on the agenda or subjected to feasibility assessments.
The total funds required for the implementation of these projects are roughly about 14.7billion USD
to reach the mitigation target.
The power sector:As part of the project“Mapping of the Winds and Solar of Angola” (Implementing
Angolan Ministry: Ministry of Energy and Water. National Directorate of Renewable Energy), which
aimed at identifying the most suitable sites for the development of endogenous energy resources,a
potential of 8,491MW of renewable sources were identified
Considering that Angola installed generating capacity was 2,388 MW in the first semester of 2015,
of which 41.7% is hydroelectric and 58.3% diesel-generated, and that less than 20% of Angola's
population has access to electricity, with most depending on wood or charcoal, the objective is to
promote access to renewable energy. The table presents the list of renewable energy projects to be
considered under a conditional contribution by the Angola to the international climate regime.This
projects are in the early stages of feasibility assessment. Developing this portfolio of renewable
power projects will stabilize the CO2 emissions by 2030 from the power sector, as these projects
enable to respond to the needs of the increasing demand. Considering an investment of 1,138
US$/kW for a large-scale hydropower connected to main grid, 4,500US$/kW for a small-scale
hydropower connected to main grid, 1300US$/kW forwind turbines connected to main grid (on-
shore) (GACMO), 3,396US$/kW for biomass projectsand 1,500 US$/kW for PV solar.
Under evaluation
1. The use of biomass as energy source: In Angola about 80% of the population, depend on
biomass for their everyday energy purposes, i.e. water heating, cooking and lighting the majority of
which are living in rural areas and utilizing biomass as firewood. The demand for wood for charcoal
is, therefore, also a significant driver of forest degradation and, subsequently, the release of GHG
emissions. Biomass consumption (wood-energy and agricultural residues) remains the main source
of domestic energy, and energy in small-scale commercial sectors. This intense cutting of trees to
produce and supply charcoal to the urban and periurban areas is putting an extreme pressure on
the local resources. Two-thirds of the population in Luanda are living in periurban areas, and
approximately 270,000 tons of charcoal are utilized in the capital city annually. Reducing the
demand for firewood is, therefore, an important strategy to reduce drivers of deforestation and an
exhaustion of Angola‟s natural resources. Considering that about 1 million tons of charcoal may be
used annually in the country, the potential emission reduction from the production of charcoal is
estimated at more than 750,000 tCO2/year and at approximate cost of around 300 million
USD4.
2. The agriculture sector: In addition to efforts to mitigate GHG emissions from the agriculture
sector, the country intends to promote the use of biofuels, by producing ethanol and sugar, using
the experience from Brazil. The objective is to cultivate and harvest 34 thousand hectares of
sugarcane in the province of Malange, to process a capacity of 2.25 million tons of raw material per
season. The country intends to produce 23 million liters of ethanol and 170 GW of power through
co-generation by 2019. The budget is between 540 million and 1 billion USD.
3. The Forest Carbon Options: Angola possesses significant opportunities for initiating large-
scale afforestation/reforestation activities, which hold several economic, social and environmental
advantages while alleviating the pressure on natural forests. Afforestation and Reforestation of
degraded forest lands and mangrove habitats have a strong potential for mitigation purposes.
Angola is currently undertaking legislative reforms in the forestry sector, while FAO is assisting the
Government of Angola in carrying out a national forestry assessment with the aim of producing
comprehensive information on the state of forests in the country. Several large scale afforestation
initiatives are currently being planned which includes 50 000ha to be planted in the 10 years;
140 000ha of eucalyptus to be planted in Huila province; 60 000ha of eucalyptus to be planted in
the Province of Kuando-Cubango and 25 000ha about to be planted in Malange province in the next
five years. Considering that the current cost of planting 1000 ha = 6 250 000 USD the approximate
cost of these afforestation initiatives will amount around 2 billion USD.
4. Presently, the potential income from REDD+ projects in the country is considered to be
substantial. Calculating the potential emission reductions from REDD+ activities in Angola
demonstrates that there is mitigation potential if deforestation is avoided completely. Assuming that
4
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the baseline is entirely based on historical emissions, avoided emissions are calculated by
multiplying the annual deforestation in Angola, estimated to be 124,800 ha per year (based on
numbers from the period 1990-2010), by 82 tC/ha, which is the approximate amount of tons of
carbon stored per ha in the country‟s forests. Avoiding deforestation, alone, in Angola has the
potential to contribute to more than 35 million tons in CO2 emission reductions every year. The
budget required is above 500 million USD.
The Republic of Angola recognizes the roll that Carbon Market can play for the mobilization of
resources and promotion of the development and transfers of climate friendly technology.
3. ANGOLA’S ADAPTATION CONTRIBUTION
This Adaptation Intended Contribution is included for the purposes of Information of other Parties
and the Public that this is part of the country‟s intended climate actions, and it does not constitute
international obligations of the country.
The Angolan economy has been hit hard by the impact of climate change expressed as prolonged
drought, damaging flash floods, forest fires, reduced crop production, reduced water resources,
impacted fishing resources, etc. Many of the economy sectors of Angola have been impacted by
climate variability in the last thirty years, namely the Agriculture, Coastal Zone, Land-Use, Forests,
Ecosystems andBiodiversity, Water resources, Health. However, there are economy sectors which
are extremely vulnerable to impacts resulting from the extreme events and which will pose not only
serious livelihood and direct health risks but can also affect the economic potential and national
food security. The need for adaptation seems thus obvious. The vulnerability increases for higher
temperature increases, so adaptation needs will depend on the expected temperature rise.
The Republic of Angola ratified the UNFCCC in 2000 and the Kyoto Protocol in 2007. Angola
completed its National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA) in 2011. In 2012 Angola submitted
its Initial National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCC). Among the priorities identified in the NAPA, two policy measures are noteworthy: revise
sectoral laws for proactive adaptation; national institutional mechanism for adaptation planning and
mainstreaming. Accordingly, Angola has developed in recent years various national plans and
strategies which include activities relevant to climate change, including the:
and, above all, the Strategy of Long-term Development for Angola (2025). Many of the actions
envisaged in these plans and strategies, particularly in the energy sector, are linked to both
adaptation and mitigation.
Within the context of this INDC, Angola prioritises the implementation of Adaptation measures in the
following main sectors:
1. Agriculture
2. Coastal Zone
3. Land-Use, Forests, Ecosystems and Biodiversity
4. Water resources
5. Health
Angola acknowledges that climate change adaptation requires unconditional as well as conditional
actions in order to reduce the vulnerability of communities against the expected Climate Change
impacts. The unconditional actions (current) are listed below and its implementation costs amounts
to around 500 million USD at current price.
Project Title Description Sector
Integrating Climate The project aims to strengthen the climate resilience of the Agriculture and
Resilience into agropastoral production systems in the key vulnerable areas of food security.
Agricultural and Angola of the Central Plateau (Bie, Huambo and Malanje). This Capacity
Agropastoral includes mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into building
Production agricultural and environmental sector policies, programmes
Systems through and practices, building capacity and promoting CCA through
Soil Fertility soil fertility and sustainable land management (SLM) practices
Management in by using the Farmers Field School (FFS) approach.
Key Productive
Total project cost (US $ million): 32.143
and Vulnerable
Areas Using the Implementing GEF agency: FAO
Farmers Field
School Approach
Promotion of To reduce the current unsustainable and GHG-intensive Renewable
Sustainable biomass production and utilization from Angola‟s Miombo energy.
Charcoal in Angola woodlands via an integrated suite of interventions in the Forestry
through a Value country‟s charcoal value chain.
Chain Approach Total project cost (US $ million): 17.884
Implementing GEF agency: UNDP
The "Solar Village" The "Solar Village" Programme, launched by the Executive Renewable
Programme under the National Development Plan (PND) 2013-2017, energy.
allowed to date the electrification of 48 villages in different
regions of the country, benefiting 100,000 families. The goal of
the Executive is to produce by 2025 about 100 megawatts of
solar power to all rural areas, an investment estimated at $ 150
million.
Total project cost (US $ million): 150 (to 2025)
Implementing Angolan Ministry: Ministry of Energy and
Water. National Directorate of Renewable Energy.
Construction of Construction of hydroelectric and thermal power plants Energy
hydroelectric and (CaculoCabaça, Soyo …) that will generate about five
thermal power thousand megawatts, during the period 2013/2017.
plants Implementing Angolan Ministry: Ministry of Energy and
Water. National Directorate of Renewable Energy.
Energy and Water A characterisation of the two sub-sectors, including Energy.
Sector Action Plan infrastructure and the institutional component, which result in Water
2013-017 commonalities, e.g. the undersizing and operational resources
inefficiency of the systems, the economic-financial imbalance
of public enterprises and a lack of skills.
Total project cost (US $ million): 29,170
In addition, Angola is the third-largest economy in Sub-Saharan Africa and a net exporter of fossil
fuels, and by now the second largest oil producer in sub-Saharan Africa after Nigeria. According to
the country‟s Initial National Communication (INC) report to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) released in 2012 (but based on emission inventory
statistics from 2005) Angola only contributed approximately with 66.8 million tons of CO2e of
Greenhouse Gas Emissions to the atmosphere. This contribution is meagre and represents a small
percentage of current global GHG emissions. However, though showing an insignificant
contribution, at 0.1% of the total global emissions, while the per-capita emissions are 4.15
tons of CO2e in 20055compared to the global average6.Angola recognises that in order to meet
the 2 degree objective all countries will need to undertake mitigation measures. In fact the
Government of Angola has enacted a considerable amount of Laws and Policies as well has
developed important sectoral studies which gives an idea of how determined the Government
Authorities are to take the country to the forefront of African countries reducing their GHG
emissions.Angola‟s approach focuses on avoiding an increase of emissions per capita beyond the
current level, while pursuing its development goals.Through this INDC Angola is determined to
reduce its emissions trajectory by nearly 50% below the BAU scenario by 2030. In selecting the
actions outlined above, Angola has prioritised those which fit with the growth priorities set out in its
national development plans in particular the Angola 2025 Policy Document. In addition, Angola has
captured the synergies between mitigation and adaptation, not only by prioritising those adaptation
activities with significant mitigation co-benefits but also by seeking to minimise the carbon footprint
of its adaptation portfolio as a whole. Angola is therefore putting forward Mitigation actions as well
as Adaptation measures with mitigation benefits amounting over 15,7 billion USDthat align with a
low carbon development pathway, which to be fully implemented would require additional
international support in the form of finance, technology transfer and capacity building.
5. MEANS OF IMPLEMENTATION
Angola‟s contribution will be implemented following the Government strategy set of pursuing the
enforcement/execution of the already enacted laws and policiesso to reduce the gap between the
recent vigorous legislative activity and the real implementation of mitigation measures. Within this
framework Angola has already engaged with Clean Development Mechanism by submitting a
number of important large scale projects. This action will be complemented by the continuation of
climate change mitigation/adaptation mainstreaming into the National Plans and Policies as well as
the implementation of the National Strategy for the Implementation of UNFCCC and the Kyoto
Protocol. This framework comprises: generating reports and inventories about GHG emissions in
5
Ministry of Environment.Angola Initial National Communication.(2011) Under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC).194 p.
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GHG time series 1990-2012 per capita emissions for world countries http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/overview.php?v=GHGts_pc1990-
2012
Angola and their impact on the environment and public health; producing programmes and projects
with measures to mitigate climate change; developing technical and professional training actions in
areas related to climate change; fostering international co-operation within the context of climate
change, particularly in terms of transfer of knowledge, experience and technology. Therefore,Angola
will address the clear shortness of human and technical capacity to keep abreast with the real
situation of GHG emissions in the various sectors for which Angola will require support to implement
capacity building and training at various level and sectors.
The overall preliminary cost of implementing the proposed Mitigation and Adaptation contributions
amount to over 15.7 billion USD across sectors up to 2030. Some of this amount has already
been provided by the Government of Angola within the Unconditional Mitigation and Adaptation
scenario. Therefore, the implementation of all the Conditional mitigation and adaptation
contributions that the country endeavour to deliver will require international support in form of
finance, investment, technology development and transfer, and capacity-building to fully accomplish
the intended contributions.
6. SOCIO-ECONOMIC BENEFITS
The accomplishment of the mitigation and adaptation contributions being proposed in the Angolan
INDC will undoubtedly bring important benefit for the wider communities and to the rural
communities in particular, namely:
- The climate resilience program includes increasing hydropower plants and other renewable
energy sources to provide electricity to rural communities and businesses, replacing diesel
fuelled off grid generation.
- The implementation of the proposed contribution carries a huge potential of youth job
creation in the country either through the local manufacturing/assembly of renewable energy
machines/parts or through the forestation and afforestation programmes which demand for
labour will be certainly a source of employment for the rural communities.
- The eventual support provided by the international community to Angola will strengthen the
technical capacity of the country‟s human resources through assisted training and capacity
building programmes.
- Finally, overall, both the mitigation and the adaptation actions offered as contribution in the
Angolan INDC will certainly enhance the adaptive capacity of the rural population and
consequently augmenting their resilience to climate change impacts.
7. GENDER PERSPECTIVE
The underlining policies supporting the implementation of the INDC mitigation and adaptation
contributions and the actions to be implemented in this context include cross-cutting issues which
are gender sensitive and therefore will take into account women as important decision makers
regarding energy consumption in particular. Systematically, mitigation and adaptation measures
offered in the Angolan INDC emphasize the importance of their implementation avoiding
exacerbation of the impacts of climate change that already have disproportionate adverse effects
based solely on gender, in particular in the agriculture, water resources and biomass energy
sectors.