Scribd
Upload
116 views6 pages

Chapter 6 - Build Exponential Functions and Models PDF

The document describes modeling the spread of epidemics like COVID-19. It provides data on reported COVID-19 cases in Maryland in the first month after initial cases were recorded. It instructs on creating a scatter plot of this data with time on the x-axis and cumulative cases on the y-axis, and drawing a trend line. This would show an exponential relationship, as infectious diseases often spread exponentially at first due to person-to-person transmission. The document also describes exploring US COVID-19 data on a CDC website to graph cases over time for different states and variables.

Uploaded by

api-514709417
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
116 views6 pages

Chapter 6 - Build Exponential Functions and Models PDF

The document describes modeling the spread of epidemics like COVID-19. It provides data on reported COVID-19 cases in Maryland in the first month after initial cases were recorded. It instructs on creating a scatter plot of this data with time on the x-axis and cumulative cases on the y-axis, and drawing a trend line. This would show an exponential relationship, as infectious diseases often spread exponentially at first due to person-to-person transmission. The document also describes exploring US COVID-19 data on a CDC website to graph cases over time for different states and variables.

Uploaded by

api-514709417
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Chapter 6: Build Exponential Functions and Models

Modeling Epidemics
On December 31, 2019, health authorities in China
reported an outbreak of a pneumonia-like sickness to
the World Health Organization, noting that many of
the ill had visited an animal market in Wuhan. On
January 21, the first case of this sickness, a novel
“coronavirus,” was found in the U.S. As of November
22, 2020, 12,189,797 cases of COVID 19 have been
confirmed in the U.S. (256,533 deaths), with
58,483,683 cases worldwide (1,385,499 deaths).

The following data table shows the change in cumulative COVID-19 cases in
Maryland for the first month after the initial positive cases were recorded (on
March, 5, 2020).

1. Using the information in the table and the grid on the next page, create a
scatterplot of the data. Include a title and axis labels (note: measurements of
time typically go on the x-axis).
Chapter 6: Build Exponential Functions and Models

2. What kind of relationship appers to exist between the two variables on the
graph? Draw a trend line to model the data.

3. Based on you answer to 2, what conclusions can you draw about the early
stages of an epidemic? Why might infectious diseases spread in this way?
Chapter 6: Build Exponential Functions and Models

If you have access to a device, go to this website: [Link]


cb36/visualization (or search, “United States COVID-19 Cases and Deaths by State
over Time,” click on “Visualize,” and then “Create Visualization”). This tool,
provided by the CDC, allows you to create your own graph of COVID-19 data. To
create a visualization, follow the instructions below.

Step 1) Look for this bar at the top of your screen, and click the
“scatter chart” icon.

Step 2) Under the “Data


Selection” bar (on the left of
your screen), set your x-axis
equal to “submission_date”
and your y-axis equal to
“tot_cases.”

Step 3) Now, look to the top right corner


of your screen. Under “Filters,” “Add
Filter,” select “State.” Then, enter the US
state which you would like to examine
with your graph.
Chapter 6: Build Exponential Functions and Models

Step 4) Next, add a filter to narrow down the time


frame of the data. Under “Add Filter,” select
“submission_date,” and then select the bounds for your
data (you may want to look up when the first case was
recorded in your state so that you choose an
appropriate time frame). Your graph should appear on
the screen.

Note that a table containing the relevant data, along


with other information associated with the time frame
you selected, will show up below the graph. A key
explaining the meaning of each column can be found on
the original webpage (before you clicked on “Visualize”)
under the subtitle “Columns in this Dataset.”
Chapter 6: Build Exponential Functions and Models

Extension Questions:

1. What type of relationship did you observe in the data (was it linear,
exponential, or something else?)

2. How does this data compare to the graph you created at the beginning of the
activity?

3. Go back to your graph and change the y-axis value to “new_case” (new cases),
“new_death” (new deaths), or “tot_death” (total deaths). How does this change
the graph/data?
Chapter 6: Build Exponential Functions and Models

Learn More

[Link]

[Link]

[Link]
Deaths-by-State-o/9mfq-cb36

[Link]

Image URLs

[Link]

[Link]
Deaths-by-State-o/9mfq-cb36

You might also like