L 3 Formulasheetjune 2016 Sample
L 3 Formulasheetjune 2016 Sample
Reading 14: Linking Pension Liabilities to 5. Shrinkage estimator of Cov matrix = (Wt 16. Expected Capital gains R = Expected
Assets of historical Cov × Historical Cov) + (Wt nominal earnings grate + Expected
of Target Cov × Target Cov) repricing R
$%
1. Value of liability = 𝑉" = ) &'( %
%
6. Vol in Period t =σ2t = βσ2t-1 + (1 – β) ε2t 17. Asset’s expected return E (Ri) = Rf +
where, Bt = Benefit payments at time t
(RP) 1 + (RP) 2 + …+ (RP) K
CFt 7. Multifactor Model: R on Asset i = Ri = ai +
2. Value of an asset = VB = ∑
t (1 + rt ) t bi1F1 + bi2F2 + … + biK FK + εi 18. Expected bond R [E (Rb)] = Real Rf + Inf
premium + Default RP + Illiquidity P +
8. Value of asset at time t0 Maturity P+ Tax P
3. Intrinsic value of Future wage liability =
= 12
3)
)456
)
=
B ((1+ g)s −1) × ((1+ r)d−s −1) )>& &'7489:;<)
(3)6 %
19. Inf P = AvgInf rate expected over the
VL−FW = ×
r−g (1+ r)d maturity of the debt + P (or discount) for
9. Expected RoR on Equity =
?@A
BCD
EFGDC
GH
H@IC
J
(&'LM
N
DGHC)
the prob attached to higher Inf than
where, s = yrs till retirement + LT g rate expected (or greater disinflation)
PQDDCRH
EFGDC
BD@SC
d = yrs till demise and subsequent = Div Yield + Capital Gains Yield
termination of the obligation 20. Inf P = Yield of conventional Govt. bonds
10. Nominal GDP = Real g rate in GDP + (at a given maturity) – Yield on Inf-
Reading 15: Capital Market Expectations Expected long-run Inf rate indexed bonds of the same maturity
1. Precision of the estimate of the population 11. Earnings g rate = Nominal GDP g rate + 21. Default RP = Expected default loss in yield
mean ≈ 1 / no
of
obvs Excess Corp g (for the index companies) terms + P for the non-diversifiable risk of
default
7
2. Multiple-regression analysis: A = β0 + β1 B 12. Expected RoR on Equity ≈ - ∆S + i + g
T
+ β2 C + ε 22. Maturity P = Interest rate on longer-
+ ∆PE
maturity, liquid Treasury debt - Interest
-∆S = Positive repurchase yield
3. Time series analysis: A = β0 + β1 Lagged rate on short-term Treasury debt
+∆S = Negative repurchase yield
values of A + β2 Lagged values of B + β2 23. Equity RP = Expected ROE (e.g. expected
∆PE = Expected Repricing Return
Lagged values of C + ε return on the S&P 500) – YTM on a long-
13. Labor supply g = Pop g rate + Labor force
term Govt. bond (e.g. 10-year U.S.
participation g rate
4. Shrinkage Estimator = (Wt of historical Treasury bond R)
estimate × Historical parameter estimate) + 14. Expected income R = D/P - ∆S
(Wt of Target parameter estimate × Target 24. Expected ROE using Bond-yield-plus-RP
parameter estimate) method = YTM on a LT Govt bond +
15. Expected nominal earnings g R = i + g
Equity RP
FinQuiz Formula Sheet CFA Level III 2016
25. Expected ROA E (Ri) = Domestic Rf R + ⎛ σ 1 × ρ (1, m) ⎞ 40. GDP g = α + β1Consumer spending g +
(βi) × [Expected R on the world market 31. Beta of asset 1 = ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟ β2Investment g
portfolio – Domestic Rf rate of R] ⎝ σ m ⎠
41. Consumer spending g = α + β1Lagged
Where,βi = The asset’s sensitivity to R on the ⎛ σ 2 × ρ (2, m) ⎞ consumer income g + β2Interest rate
world mktportf = Cov (Ri, RM) / Var (RM) 32. Beta of asset 2 = ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟
⎝ σ m ⎠ 42. Investment g = α + β1Lagged GDP g+
26. Asset class RPi= Sharpe ratio of the world β2Interest rate
market portfolio × Asset’s own volatility 33. GDP (using expenditure approach) =
(σi) × Asset class’s correlation with the Consumption + Invst + Δ in Inventories + 43. Consumer Income g = Consumer spending
world mktportf (ρi,M) Govt spending + (Expo- Impo) growth lagged one period
RPi = (RPM / σM) × σi × ρi,M
34. Output Gap = Potential value of GDP – Reading 16: Equity Market Valuation
Where, Sharpe Ratio of the world market Actual value of GDP
portfolio = Expected excess R / S.D of the 1. Cobb-Douglas Production Function Y =
world mktportfà represents systematic or non- 35. Neutral Level of Interest Rate = Target Inf A× Kα× Lβ
diversifiable risk = RPM / σM Rate + Eco g
Where,Y = Total real economic output
27. RP for a completely segmented market 36. Taylor rule equation: Roptimal =Rneutral + [0.5 A = Total factor productivity (TFP)
(RPi) = Asset’s own volatility (σi) × Sharpe × (GDPgforecast – GDPgtrend)] K = capital stock
ratio of the world mktportf + [0.5 × (Iforecast – Itarget)] α = Output elasticity of K
L = Labor input
28. RP of the asset class, assuming partial 37. Trend g in GDP = g from labor inputs + g β = Output elasticity of L
segmentation = (Degree of integration × from Δ in labor productivity
RP under perfectly integrated markets) + 2. Cobb-Douglas Production Function Y
({1 - Degree of integration} × RP under 38. g from labor inputs = g in potential labor (assuming constant R to Scale) = ln (Y) =
completely segmented markets) force size + g in actual labor force ln (A) + αln (K) + (1 – α) ln (L)
participation Or
29. Illiquidity P = Required RoR on an illiquid ∆V ∆X ∆[ ∆L
≈
+α +
1 −
α
V X [ L
asset at which its Sharpe ratio = mkt’s 39. g from Δ in labor productivity = g from
Sharpe ratio – ICAPM required RoR capital inputs + TFP g* 3. Solow Residual = %∆TFP = %∆Y – α
• TFP g = g associated with increased (%∆K) – (1 – α) %∆L
30. Cov b/w any two assets = Asset 1 beta × efficiency in using capital inputs.
Asset 2 beta × Var of the mkt
FinQuiz Formula Sheet CFA Level III 2016
4. H-Model: Value per share at time 0 = 9. Yardeni estimated fair value of P/E ratio = Reading 17: Asset Allocation
?J
× 1+ P0 1
?@ES^QRH
DGHC_LM
EQEHG@R`aC
?@A
N
DGHC
= 1. Req R = [(1 + Spending rate) × (1 +
LT
sustainable
Div
g
rate + E1 yB − d × LTEG Expected Inf %) × (1 + Cost of earning
mQBCD
R^DIGa
N
BCD@^n
× Invst R)] – 1
o
ST
higher
Div
g
rate − 10. Fair value of equity mkt under Yardeni 2. Risk-adj Expected R = Expected return for
LT
sustainable
Div
g
rate E1 mix ‘m’* – (0.005 × Investor’s risk
Model (P0) = P0 = aversion × Var of R for mix ‘m’*)
yB − d × LTEG
5. Gordon g Div discount model: Value per 3. Risk Penalty = 0.005 × Investor’s risk
?s × &'N 11. Discount/weighting factor (d) = aversion × Var of R for mix ‘m’*
share at time 0 =
D_
N
E1 *expressed as % rather than as
yB − decimals
6. Forward justified P/E = P0
d=
tRHD@RE@S
AGaQC
LTEG 4. Safety First Ratio =
VD
GFCGn
CuBCSHCn
vGDR@RNE
vuBCSHCn
z^DH|^a@^
{_
MFDCEF^an
aCACa
z^DH|^a@^
m.?.
12. 10-year Moving Average Price/Earnings [P
7. Fed Model:
/ 10-year MA (E)] = 5. Include asset in the portfolio when:
wxn
yBCDGH@RN
vGDR@RNE
v&
=Long-term US {CGa
^D
tR|_Gn}QEHCn∗ m&T
€JJ
T(496
•<‚6ƒ
Œ •Ž•• _•‘
>
tRnCu
LCACa
zJ
„^A@RN
XAN
^|
BDCSCn@RN
&J
…DE
^|
{CGa
^D
tR|
Gn}
vGDR@RNE ’Ž••
Treasury securities Œ •Ž•• _•‘
𝐶𝑜𝑟𝑟 𝑅<6˜
, 𝑅š
’Ž••
*The stock index and reported earnings are
E1 adjusted for Inflation using the CPI 6. Contribution of Currency risk =
8. Yardeni Model: = = yB − d × LTEG
P0 Vol
of
asset
R
in
domestic
¢
–
Vol
of
asset
R
in
local
¢
Where Vol = volatility
Where,E1/P0=Justified (forward) earnings yield 13. Real Stock Price Index t = (Nominal SPIt ×
on equities CPI base yr) / CPI t 7. Funding Ratio =
„GD¢CH
†GaQC
^|
zCRE@^R
XEECHE
yB=Moody’s A-rated corporate bond yield
14. Real Earnings t = (Nominal Earnings t × zDCECRH
†GaQC
^|
zCRE@^R
L@G`@a@H@CE
LTEG= Consensus 5-yr earnings g forecast for
the S&P 500 CPI base year) / CPI t+1 8. 𝑈5 ¤"¥
= 𝐸 𝑆𝑅5 − 0.005𝑅¤ 𝜎 o 𝑆𝑅5
¤"¥
d=Discount or Weighting factor that represents • 𝑈5 = Surplus objective function’s
„†^|
nC`H'„†
^|
C‡Q@H…
the weight assigned by the market to the 15. Tobin’s q = expected value for a particular asset
{CBaGSCICRH
S^EH
^|
GEECHE
earnings projections v‡Q@H…
„[H
PGB mix m, for a particular investor with
Equity q = =
ˆCH
‰^DHF the specified risk aversion.
zD@SC
BCD
EFGDC
×
ˆ^
^|
mFGDCE
y/m
{CBaGSICRH
S^EH
^|
GEECHE_„†
^|
a@G`@a@H@CE
FinQuiz Formula Sheet CFA Level III 2016
• E (SRm)= Expected surplus return for 6. CF at settlement = Original contract size × 15. Long Straddle = Long atm put opt (with
asset mix ‘m’ = (All-in-fwd rate for new, offsetting fwd delta of -0.5) + Long atm call opt (with
∆
@R
GEECH
AGaQC_∆
@R
a@G`@a@H…
AGaQC position – Original fwd rate) delta of +0.5)
tR@H@Ga
XEECH
†GaQC
• σ2 (SRm) =Varof the surplus R for the
7. Hedge Ratio = 16. Short Straddle = Short ATM put opt (with
asset mix m in %. ˆ^I@RGa
†GaQC
^|
nCD@AGH@ACE
S^RHDGSH delta of -0.5) + Short ATM call opt (with
• RA=Risk-aversion level „†
^|
HFC
FCnNCn
GEECH
delta of +0.5)
9. Human Capital (t)
ATM = at the money
M vuBCSHCn
vGDR@RNE
GH
GNC
} 8. RDC =(1 + RFC)(1 + RFX)–1
= }>H opt = option
&'n@ES^QRH
DGHC «¬-
t = current age T = life expectancy
9. RDC (for multiple foreign assets) =
17. Long Strangle: Long OTM put option +
n
Reading 18: Currency Management: An Long OTM call opt
Introduction
∑ω (1+ R ) (1+ R ) −1
i FC,i FX,i
OTM = out of the money
i=1
1. Bid Fwd rate = Bid Spot exchange (X) rate 10. Total risk of DC returns =
+
®@n
wxn
B^@RHE 18. Long Risk reversal = Long Call opt +
&J,JJJ
o 𝜎 o 𝑅21 + 𝜎 o 𝑅2¸ + Short Put opt
= 𝜎 𝑅71 ≈
2𝜎 𝑅21 𝜎 𝑅2¸ 𝜌 𝑅21 , 𝑅2¸
2. Offer Fwd rate = Offer Spot X rate + 19. Short Risk reversal = Long Put opt + Short
y||CD
wxnn
B^@RHE
&J,JJJ 11. % Δ in spot X rate (%∆SH/L) = Interest rate Call opt
on high-yield currency (iH) – Interest rate
EB^H
¯
DGHC_(
°±²
³´-µ
) on low-yield currency (iL) 20. Short seagull position = Long protective
¶s,sss
3. FwdPrem/Disc % = –1 (ATM) put + Short deep OTM Call opt +
EB^H
¯
DGHC
w»/¼ _m»/¼ Short deep OTM Put opt
12. Forward Rate Bias = =
4. To convert spot rate into a forward quote m»/¼
-
when points are represented as %, @» _@¼
½¾s
21. Long seagull position = Short ATM call +
-
Spot X rate × (1 + % prem) &'@¼
½¾s
Long deep-OTM Call opt + Long deep-
Spot X rate × (1 - % disct) OTM Put opt
13. Net delta of the combined position =
5. Mark-to-MV on dealer’s position = Option delta + Delta hedge 22. Hedge ratio =
mCHHaCICRH
nG…
Pw zD@RS@BGa
|GSC
AGaQC
^|
HFC
nCD@AGH@ACE
- S^RHDGSH
QECn
GE
G
FCnNC
&'?@ESH
DGHC∗
· 14. Size of Delta hedge (that would set net zD@RS@BGa
|GSC
^|
HFC
FCnNCn
GEECH
23. Min or Optimal hedge ratio = ρ (RDC; RFX) b) Contribution of each period’s CFs to 11. Spread D of a Portfolio = Market wgtdavg
! S.D (RDC ) $ portfolio D = D of each period × Wght of of the sector spread D of the individual
×# & index CFs in specific period securities
" S.D (RFX ) %
c) Benchmark’s PVD = 12. Net safety rate of return (Cushion Spread)
Reading 19: Market Indexes and Benchmarks P^RH
^|
CGSF
BCD@^n’E
PwE
H^
B^DH|^a@^
?
= Immunized Rate – Min acceptable R
EQI
^|
Gaa
HFC
BCD@^nE’
?
S^RH
1. Periodic R (Factor model based) = Rp = ap 13. Dollar safety margin = Current bond
+ b1F1 + b2F2+…+ bKFK+ εp 2. Active R = Portfolio’s R – B Index’s R
portfolio value - PV of the required
terminal value at new interest rate
2. For one factor model Rp = ap + βpRI + εp 3. Tracking Risk = S.D of Active R =
¶
Where,RI = periodic R on mktindex XSH@AC
{_„CGR
XSH@AC
{ À À 14. Economic Surplus = MV of assets – PV of
ap = “zero factor” R_&
liabilities
βp = beta = sensitivity
4. Semi-annual Total R =
εp = residual return ¶ 15. Confidence Interval =Target Return +/- (k)
M^HGa
wQHQDC
?^aaGDE
Ž × (S.D of Target R)
−
1
wQaa
zD@SC
^|
HFC
®^Rn
3. MV of stock = No of Shares Outstanding × where, k = number of S.D around the expected
Current Stock Mkt Price target R
5. Dollar D = D × Portfolio Value × 0.01
?É _zÉ
13. Hedge ratio = × Conversion
?^aaGD
?
^|
yan
®^Rn ?Ê·Ë zÊ·Ë
4. New bond MV = ×100 20. Payout to Opt Buyer or Opt value = MAX
?QDGH@^R
^|
ˆCx
®^Rn factor for CTD Issue × Yield Beta
[(Strike value – Value at maturity), 0]
5. New bond Par value = 14. Interest rate Swap (fixed-rate
?^aaGD
?
^|
yan
®^Rn 21. Credit spread call Opt value/Payoff = Max
×100 receiver/floating rate payer) = Long a
ˆCx
?^aaGD
?
BCD
®^Rn [(Spread at the opt maturity – Strike
fixed-rate bond + Short a floating-rate
spread) × NP × Risk factor, 0]
ˆ^
^|
^`E
`Ca^x
HFC
MGDNCH
{
bond
6. Shortfall risk =
M^HGa
ˆ^
^|
y`ECDAGH@^RE
22. Credit Forward Payoff = (Credit spread at
15. $ D of a swap for a fixed-rate receiver
the forward contract at maturity –
7. Target dollar D = Current dollar D without (floating rate payer) = $ D of a fixed-rate
Contracted credit spread) × NP× Risk
futures + Dollar D of futures position bond − $ D of a floating-rate bond
factor
OR
8. No of Futures Contracts = $ D of a swap for a fixed-rate receiver ≈ $
MGDNCH
$
?_PQDDCRH
$
?
x@HF^QH
|QHQDCE 23. Change in Foreign bond Value (In terms of
D of a fixed-rate bond
$
?
BCD
|QHQDCE
S^RHDGSH change in foreign yield only) = Duration ×
∆ Foreign yield × 100
16. Interest Rate Swap (fixed-rate
9. Dollar duration of futures contract =
payer/floating rate receiver) = Long a
$
D
of
Cheapest
to 24. Change in Foreign bond Value (when
×CF
for
CTD
Issue floating-rate bond + short a fixed-rate bond
Deliver
issue domestic rates change) = Duration × Yield
10. Hedge Ratio = beta × ∆ Domestic yield × 100
wGSH^D
CuB^EQDC
^|
HFC
17. $ D of a swap for a fixed-rate payer = $ D
`^Rn
B^DH|^a@^ H^
`C
FCnNCn
of a floating-rate bond − $ D of a fixed-
wGSH^D
CuB^EQDC
^|
ÈCnN@RN
@REHDQICRH
25. ∆ Yield Foreign = α + Yield beta or country
rate bond
or beta (β) (∆ yield Domestic) + ε
OR
Hedge Ratio =
?QDGH@^R
^|
HFC
`^Rn
H^
`C
FCnNCn
× $ D of a swap for a fixed-rate payer ≈ −$ D
26. Estimated % ∆ Value Foreign = Yield beta ×
zD@SC
^|
HFC
`^Rn
H^
`C
FCnNCn
× of a fixed-rate bond
?QDGH@^R
^|
HFC
PM?
`^Rn
× ∆ Domestic yield
zD@SC
^|
HFC
PM?
(Conversion factor for CTD bond) 18. $ D of a portfolio that includes a swap = $
27. D Cont of Domestic Bond = Wght of
D of assets − $ D of liabilities + $ D of a
domestic bond in Portfolio × D of
swap position
Domestic Bond
11. Basis = Cash (spot) price – Futures price
19. D for an Option = Delta of Option × D of
28. D Cont of Foreign Bond = Wght of foreign
12. Yield on bond to be hedged = a + (Yield Underlying Instrument × (Price of
bond in Portfolio × D of Foreign Bond ×
Beta × yield on CTD Issue) + Error underlying) / (price of Opt instrument)
Country beta
where Opt = Option