Population Growth: Haber Process
Population Growth: Haber Process
Contents
History Absolute increase in global human population per
Haber process year[1]
Thomas McKeown hypotheses
Population growth rate
Logistic equation Population[6]
Years passed Year Billion
Human population growth rate
– 1800 1
Growth by country
127 1927 2
Growth comparison between Africa and Europe
33 1960 3
Into the future
14 1974 4
See also
13 1987 5
References
12 1999 6
External links
12 2011 7
12 2023* 8
History 14 2037* 9
World population has been rising continuously since the end of the Black Death, around the year 18 2055* 10
1350.[7] Population began growing rapidly in the Western world during the industrial revolution. The 33 2088* 11
most significant increase in the world's population has been since the 1950s, mainly due to medical
*World Population Prospects 2017
advancements[8] and increases in agricultural productivity.[9] (United Nations Population Division)
Haber process
Due to its dramatic impact on the human ability to grow food, the Haber process served as the "detonator of the population explosion",
enabling the global population to increase from 1.6 billion in 1900 to 7.7 billion by November 2019.[10]
Some of the reasons for the "Modern Rise of Population"[11] were particularly investigated by the British health scientist Thomas
McKeown (1912-1988). In his publications, McKeown challenged four theories about the population growth:
1. McKeown stated that the growth in Western population, particularly surging in the 19th century, was not so much caused
by an increase in fertility, but largely by a decline of mortality particularly of childhood mortality followed by infant
mortality,[12][13]
2. The decline of mortality could largely be attributed to rising standards of living, whereby McKeown put most emphasis on
improved nutritional status,
3. His most controversial idea, at least his most disputed idea, was that he questioned the effectiveness of public health
measures, including sanitary reforms, vaccination and quarantine,[14]
4. The sometime fierce disputes that his publication provoked around the "McKeown thesis", have overshadowed his more
important and largely unchallenged argument that curative medicine measures played little role in mortality decline, not
only prior to the mid-20th century[12] but also until well into the 20th century.[15]
Although the McKeown thesis has been heavily disputed, recent studies have confirmed
the value of his ideas.[16] His work is pivotal for present day thinking about population
growth, birth control, public health and medical care. McKeown had a major influence on
many population researchers, such as health economists and Nobel prize winners Robert
W. Fogel (1993) and Angus Deaton (2015). The latter considered McKeown as "the
founder of social medicine".[17]
Logistic equation
where
As it is a separable differential equation, the population may be solved explicitly, producing a logistic function:
For further information regarding Human Population Growth, one could see
the works of Al Bartlett, Hans Rosling, John Lovelock, Paul R. Ehrlich as
well as Cleric Thomas Robert Malthus.
Growth by country
According to United Nations population statistics, the world population grew
by 30%, or 1.6 billion humans, between 1990 and 2010.[29] In number of
people the increase was highest in India (350 million) and China
(196 million). Population growth rate was among highest in the United Arab
Emirates (315%) and Qatar (271%).[29]
Many of the world's countries, including many in Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, South Asia and South East Asia, have seen a sharp
rise in population since the end of the Cold War. The fear is that high population numbers are putting further strain on natural resources,
food supplies, fuel supplies, employment, housing, etc. in some of the less fortunate countries. For example, the population of Chad has
ultimately grown from 6,279,921 in 1993 to 10,329,208 in 2009,[31] further straining its resources. Vietnam, Mexico, Nigeria, Egypt,
Ethiopia, and the DRC are witnessing a similar growth in population.
38,114,160
Sudan 14,355,000†[35] 25,204,000† [36] 27,361,000†[32] 42,272,000†[33] 50†[34] 27,917,000
(2003)†
10,329,208
Chad 3,410,000[35] 5,679,000[36] 6,183,000[32] 9,253,493(2003) 47[34] 6,919,205
(2009)[31]
10,790,352 15,306,252
Niger 3,546,000[35] 7,732,000[36] 8,846,000[32] 44[34] 11,760,252
(2001) (2009)[38]
Mauritania 1,050,000[35] 2,025,000 [36] 2,211,000[32] 2,667,859 (2003) 3,291,000 (2009)[31] 54[34] 2,241,000
13,711,597
Senegal 3,607,000[35] 7,327,000[36] 8,102,000[32] 9,967,215 57[34] 10,104,597
(2009)[40]
11,833,126 32,818,500
Algeria 25,012,000[36] 27,325,000 [32] 34,895,000[37][41] 74[34] 23,061,874
(1966)[35] (2003)
The 55,225,478
16,353,000[35] 35,562,000[36] 42,552,000[32] 70,916,439 [37][42] 54[34] 54,563,439
DRC/Zaire (2003)
30,083,419 70,712,345 79,089,650
Egypt 53,153,000[36] 58,326,000[32] 72[34] 49,006,231
(1966)[35] (2003) [37][43][43]
Réunion
(overseas
418,000[35] N/A[36] N/A[32] 720,934 (2003) 827,000 (2009) [33] N/A[34] 409,000
region of
France)
The Falkland
Islands
(British 2,500[35] N/A[36] N/A[32] 2,967 (2003) 3,140(2010)[44] N/A[34] 640
Overseas
Territory)
45,925,397
Colombia 19,191,000[35] 32,987,000[36] 34,520,000[32] 41,088,227 73[34] 26,734,397
(2010)[45]
103,400,165 112,322,757
Mexico 45,671,000[35] 86,154,000[36] 93,008,000[32] 76[34] 66,651,757
(2000) (2010)[47]
476,727
Fiji 765,000[36] 771,000[32] 844,330 (2001) 849,000[41] (2010) 70[34] 372,273
(1966)[35]
6,050
Nauru 10,000[36] N/A[32] 12,329 9,322 (2011)[48] N/A[34] 3,272
(1966)[35]
38,626,349 38,192,000
Poland 31,944,000[35] 38,180,000[36] 38,554,000[32] 75[34] 6,248,000
(2001) (2010)[52]
8,226,564
Bulgaria 8,980,000[36] 8,443,000[32] 7,707,495(2000) 7,351,234 (2011)[54] 73[34] -875,330
(1965)[35]
1,028,610,328 1,210,193,422
India# 511,115,000[35] 843,931,000[36] 918,570,000[32] 69[34] 699,078,422
(2001) (2011)[59]
1,956,000 3,003,000 (1990) 82
Singapore 2,930,000 (1994)[32] 4,452,732 (2002) 5,076,700 (2010)[60] 3,120,700
(1967)[35] [36] (2008)[34]
183,000
Sikkim# N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
(1967)[35]
24,000 29,000 (1990)
Monaco N/A (1994)[32] 31,842 (2000) 35,586[61] (2010) (2008)[34] 11,586
(1967)[35] [36]
Italy
52,334,000 57,662,000 57,193,000 56,995,744 60,605,053[80] 80
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (1994)[32] (2002) (2011) (2008)[34]
774,000 1,075,000 75
Mauritius 1,104,000 (1994)[32] 1,179,137 (2000) 1,288,000 (2009)[41] 514,000
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (2008)[34]
4,717,000 9,197,000 10,322,000 12,974,361 70
Guatemala 13,276,517 (2009) 8,559,517
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (1994)[32] (2000) (2008)[34]
8,033,000 10,609,000 10,960,000 11,177,743 11,239,363 77
Cuba
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (1994)[32] (2002) (2009)[81] (2008)[34]
246,000 255,000 (1990) 73
Barbados 261,000 (1994)[32] 250,012 (2001) 284,589 (2010)[31] 18,589
(1967)[35] [36] (2008)[34]
131,377 164,000 (1990) N/A
Samoa 164,000 (1994)[32] 178,173 (2003) 179,000 (2009)[33]
(1967)[35] [36] (2008)[34]
7,765,981 8,559,000 (1990) 81
Sweden 8,794,000 (1994)[32] 8,920,705 (2002) 9,354,462 (2009)
(1967)[35] [36] (2008)[34]
4,664,000 4,986,000 (1990) N/A
Finland 5,095,000 (1994)[32] 5,175,783 (2002) 5,374,781 (2010)
(1967)[35] [36] (2008)[34]
9,440,000 10,525,000 10,355,824 10,647,763[82] N/A
Portugal 9,830,000 (1994)[32]
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (2001) (2011) (2008)[34]
7,323,981 7,712,000 (1990) N/A
Austria 8,031,000 (1994)[32] 8,032,926 (2001) 8,404,252 (2011)
(1967)[35] [36] (2008)[34]
1,738,000 4,545,000 77
Libya 5,225,000(1994)[32] 5,499,074 (2002) 6,420,000 (2009)[33]
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (2008)[34]
12,385,000 21,550,000 27,949,639 70
Peru 23,080,000(1994)[32] 29,496,000 (2010)
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (2002) (2008)[34]
Angola
5,203,066 10,020,000 10,674,000 10,766,500 18,498,000[41][83] 38
(1967)[35] (1990)[36] (1994)[32] (2003) (2009) (2008)[34]
Notes
* Eritrea left Ethiopia in 1991.
† Split into the nations of Sudan and South Sudan during 2011.
‡ Japan and the Ryukyu Islands merged in 1972.
# India and Sikkim merged in 1975.
The German Foundation for World Population reported in December 2019 that the global
human population grows by 2.6 people every second, and could reach 8 billion by 2023.[94]
Irruptive growth
List of countries by population growth rate
Natalism and antinatalism
Population bottleneck
Population decline
Population dynamics
World population
World population estimates
World Scientists' Warning to Humanity
The majority of world population growth
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External links
World Population Prospects (https://web.archive.org/web/20170711032459/https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.html),
Website of the United Nations Population Division
Probabilistic Population Projections, 2nd Revision (https://web.archive.org/web/20131004212919/http://esa.un.org/unpd/
ppp/index.html), Website of the United Nations Population Division
2008 Essays on Population Growth (https://archive.today/20071009065232/http://www.populationpress.org/publication/in
dex.html) Blue Planet United — Population Press
World population growth and trends 1950-2050 (https://web.archive.org/web/20100707175239/http://www.census.gov/ip
c/www/idb/worldpopinfo.php) US Census
World population: focus on youth (http://www.worldpopdata.org/chart), Annual World Population Data Sheet, Population
Reference Bureau
UN University annual "State of the Future" report, including updates on Millennium Project goals including balancing
global population growth & resources (https://web.archive.org/web/20060813212234/http://www.acunu.org/millennium/so
f2006.html)
The story of B. The Great Forgetting (http://inspireseattle.org/StoryOfB.html) (history and cause of population growth) by
Dr Daniel Quinn
BBC News - Birth rate 'harms poverty goals' (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/6219922.stm) - 08/12/06
Tsirel, S. V. 2004. On the Possible Reasons for the Hyperexponential Growth of the Earth Population (https://web.archive.
org/web/20160304034147/http://www.mmsed.narod.ru/articles/artTsirel.ps). Mathematical Modeling of Social and
Economic Dynamics / Ed. by M. G. Dmitriev and A. P. Petrov, pp. 367–9. Moscow: Russian State Social University, 2004.
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Nedelman, Michael (9 November 2018). "Fertility rates cut in half since 1950 -- but the population is still growing" (https://
www.cnn.com/2018/11/08/health/global-burden-disease-fertility-study/index.html). CNN. Retrieved 2018-11-17.
"An Introduction to Population Growth" (https://www.nature.com/scitable/knowledge/library/an-introduction-to-population-
growth-84225544/). Sunny B. Snider (College of Agriculture, California State University, Chico) & Jacob N. Brimlow
(College of Agriculture, California State University, Chico). Nature Education Library, 2013.
"Human Population Numbers as a Function of Food Supply" (http://www.oilcrash.com/articles/populatn.htm). Russell
Hopfenberg (1 Duke University, Durham, NC, USA;)* and David Pimentel (2 Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA).
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