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Banamex 120-Hour Case Forecast

This document contains a forecast of COVID-19 cases in an unnamed location from March 15, 2020 to May 30, 2020 with predictions extending to the end of May. It includes a graph plotting the actual reported cases against the forecasted cases with confidence intervals. A linear regression formula is provided with an R2 value of 0.8033, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted cases. The forecast provides a predicted number of cases each date with upper and lower confidence bounds.

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27 views3 pages

Banamex 120-Hour Case Forecast

This document contains a forecast of COVID-19 cases in an unnamed location from March 15, 2020 to May 30, 2020 with predictions extending to the end of May. It includes a graph plotting the actual reported cases against the forecasted cases with confidence intervals. A linear regression formula is provided with an R2 value of 0.8033, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted cases. The forecast provides a predicted number of cases each date with upper and lower confidence bounds.

Uploaded by

dong
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Forecast as of April 29, 2020

- Felix C. Chavez Jr., Bio, Msci, PhD

500

400
R² = 0.8033
300

200

100

-100

Cases Forecast(Cases)
Lower Confidence Bound(Cases) Upper Confidence Bound(Cases)
Log. (Cases)

Date Cases Forecast(Cases) Lower Confidence Bound(Cases) Upper Confidence Bound(Cases)


15-Mar 1
16-Mar 1
17-Mar 1
18-Mar 1
19-Mar 1
20-Mar 1
21-Mar 1
22-Mar 3
23-Mar 3
24-Mar 6
25-Mar 6
26-Mar 6
27-Mar 6
28-Mar 30
29-Mar 48
30-Mar 50
31-Mar 59
1-Apr 61
2-Apr 69
3-Apr 73
4-Apr 77
5-Apr 80
6-Apr 80
7-Apr 84
8-Apr 86
9-Apr 87
10-Apr 87
11-Apr 90
12-Apr 90
13-Apr 90
14-Apr 92
15-Apr 95
16-Apr 96
17-Apr 99
18-Apr 99
19-Apr 105
20-Apr 108
21-Apr 113
22-Apr 114
23-Apr 114
24-Apr 115
25-Apr 120
26-Apr 124
27-Apr 126
28-Apr 129
29-Apr 129 129 129.00 129.00
30-Apr 131.0905259 122.18 140.00
1-May 133.1755009 118.93 147.42
2-May 135.2604759 115.74 154.78
3-May 137.3454509 112.39 162.30
4-May 139.4304258 108.79 170.07
5-May 141.5154008 104.93 178.10
6-May 143.6003758 100.80 186.40
7-May 145.6853508 96.40 194.97
8-May 147.7703257 91.74 203.80
9-May 149.8553007 86.82 212.89
10-May 151.9402757 81.65 222.23
11-May 154.0252507 76.24 231.81
12-May 156.1102257 70.60 241.62
13-May 158.1952006 64.72 251.67
14-May 160.2801756 58.62 261.94
15-May 162.3651506 52.29 272.44
16-May 164.4501256 45.76 283.14
17-May 166.5351005 39.01 294.06
18-May 168.6200755 32.06 305.18
19-May 170.7050505 24.91 316.50
20-May 172.7900255 17.56 328.02
21-May 174.8750004 10.02 339.73
22-May 176.9599754 2.29 351.63
23-May 179.0449504 -5.63 363.72
24-May 181.1299254 -13.73 375.99
25-May 183.2149004 -22.01 388.44
26-May 185.2998753 -30.46 401.06
27-May 187.3848503 -39.09 413.86
28-May 189.4698253 -47.88 426.82
29-May 191.5548003 -56.85 439.96
30-May 193.6397752 -65.98 453.26

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