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Project Management Analysis

The critical path for the project network is A->B->C->E->G->J. The expected time to complete the project is 193 days. The probability of meeting the 200-day deadline is 91.47%.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
43 views3 pages

Project Management Analysis

The critical path for the project network is A->B->C->E->G->J. The expected time to complete the project is 193 days. The probability of meeting the 200-day deadline is 91.47%.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Most

Optimistic Pessimistic
Probable

Immediate
Activity a m b t σ^2
Predecessor/s

A - 43 48 53 48 2.78
B A 24 35 40 34 7.11
C B 32 40 48 40 7.11
D C 24 26 28 26 0.44
E C 22 30 38 30 7.11
F A 10 11 12 11 0.11
G D, E, F 2 6 10 6 1.78
H F 4 6 8 6 0.44
I H 20 22 24 22 0.44
J G, I 33 35 37 35 0.44

Q1 Construct the Project Network


Q2 Compute the variance for each activity
Q3 Find the Critical Path
Q4 What is the expected length of the project
Q5 What is the probability of meeting the 200-day deadline

Critical Path: (Q3)


A-->B-->C-->E-->G-->J
Time to Complete the Project: (Q4)
= 48 + 34 + 40 + 30 + 6 + 35 = 193

σ^2 = 2.78 + 7.11 + 7.11 + 7.11 + 1.48 + 0.44


26.03
σ 5.10

Solve for the value of z-test


z = T - E(t) / = 200 - 193 / 5.10
σ 1.37
Value on table 0.4147
0.5 Fixed
0.9147 91.47% (Q5)
H 59 65 I 65 87
6 130 136 22 136 158
71 71

F 48 59 G 152 158
11 119 130 6 152 158
71 0
D 122 148
26 132 158
10

A 0 48 B 48 82 C 82 122
48 0 48 34 48 82 40 82 122
0 0 0

E 122 152
30 122 152
0
J 158 193
35 158 193
0

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