Strategic Sourcing & Risk Management
Strategic Sourcing & Risk Management
Sourcing Management
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Strategic Sourcing Process
Sourcing Market
Preparation
# Analysis
Strategy # Engagement # Implementation
Internal Sourcing Go To
Preliminary Deployment
Analysis Strategy Market
Analysis
Client
Negotiations
Mobilisation Requirements
Market Business
Analysis Allocation
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Strategic Sourcing Process
Sourcing Market
Preparation
# Analysis
Strategy # Engagement # Implementation
Internal Sourcing Go To
Preliminary Deployment
Analysis Strategy Market
Analysis
Client
Negotiations
Mobilisation Requirements
Market Business
Analysis Allocation
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Sourcing Management
Strategy Phase – Purpose
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Sourcing Management
Consider “Risk” and “Reward
Reward (Value) includes:
• Importance to company (total purchase $)
• Recognized opportunity for economic benefit
• High leverage opportunity in the marketplace
• non price-based, yet tangible services
Risk includes:
• Critical to our business operations
• Single supplier by choice or market circumstance
• Unique specification or capability
• 1-time issues or “crisis” requires urgent action
Sourcing Strategy Analysis
Leverage Strategic
High
•Often products/services •Strategic to profitability and
approaching maturity or decline in operations
the product life cycle
•Few qualified supply sources
Value •Many potential sources of supply
•High impact to business
•Suppliers compete on price
Routine Bottleneck
Easy Difficult
Supply Market Challenge
HIGH
Bottleneck Strategic
Reduce risk and exposure to Maximise supplier value-add
price increases/supply Ensure long-term availability
disruption of supply
Secure sources of supply, Focus on relationship building
search for substitutes, etc and process integration
Supply Market
Complexity
Usually a function of porters 5
forces
Non Critical Leverage
Simplify purchasing process Use competitive advantage to
to achieve efficiency reduce total costs
Reduce number of suppliers Volume used as negotiation tool
and simplify replenishment
process
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Sourcing Management
Types of Commodities
Competitive differentiation
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Sourcing Management
Purchasing Chessboard
– Supplier consolidation
– Market consolidation
– Rising energy costs
– Increased uncertainty and volatility
– Increased consumption of resources from developing and
emerging markets
Purchasing Chessboard – 4 Basic Strategies
Create
Competitive Bottleneck Strategic
Advantage
Exploit
Buying
Routine Leverage
Power (Non critical) (Commodity)
[Link]
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Sourcing Management
Purchasing Chessboard – 16 Levers
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Sourcing Management
Purchasing Chessboard – 64 Methods
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Sourcing Management
Managing Supply Risk is a Key Role
• Most companies lack a strategic approach to supply risk
management or have metrics / procedures for assessing and
managing supply risks all at a time when supply risks are
increasing
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Sourcing Management
Supply Disruptions Occur Due To:
• Supply market instability
• New Regulatory requirements
• Terrorist attacks
• Natural disasters
• Etc.
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Sourcing Management
There are Four Categories of Risk
• Supply market risks
• Supplier risks
• Regulatory risks
• Supply strategy risks
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Sourcing Management
Regulatory Risks
• New regulatory mandates for improved financial
reporting and controls
• Environmentally responsible products
• Security screening require enterprises to more
thoroughly assess their supply management
processes, employees, and suppliers to ensure
compliance.
• Some procurement executives report that their
companies’ customers are now requiring them to
report on compliance and risk of their sub-tier
suppliers.
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Sourcing Management
Supply Strategy Risks
• Ironically, the most widely accepted supply chain “best practices” have made
enterprises more vulnerable to supply disruption eg
• Supplier rationalization
• Outsourcing
To manage the area of risk in procurement we can use the following four
step process:
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Sourcing Management
Risk Identification
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Sourcing Management
Step 2 – Risk Evaluation
Once we have identified potential risks to a company we need to:
1. Evaluate the probability (exposure) of the impact
2. Evaluate the consequences of the impact
3. Prioritize the risks
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Sourcing Management
Risk Evaluation Tool – Probability
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Sourcing Management
Risk Evaluation Tool – Consequences
The consequences of an event occurring:
•None – zero business disruption
•Minor – very limited product quality / availability issues, low risk of
customer complaints
•Moderate – broader product quality / availability issues with increased
scope for customer complaints and possibly limited media coverage
•Major – extended product quality / availability issues with increasing
numbers of complaints and broader media coverage. Reduced customer
confidence.
•Catastrophic – product quality / availability failure with serious complaints
and widespread (possibly international) media coverage. Loss of customer
confidence.
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Sourcing Management
Segmentation – the Risk Evaluation Matrix
Consequence of Occurrence
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Sourcing Management
Risk Response Planning
In this phase you define the required mitigation activities for each of the
prioritized risks to minimize the severity of impacts and probabilities, following
the four steps listed below:
1. Develop mitigation strategy
2. Plan required actions
3. Allocate resource
4. Anticipate potential obstacles to mitigation
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Sourcing Management
Contingency Action Planning Template
Consequenc Responsibl
Risk No. Risk Description Probability e Risk Mitigation Strategy e
Flooding at supplier Hold reserve stock of key
0001 distribution centre Possible Major High materials. PDG
Risk Monitoring and Control
This phase aims to use the risk response plan as a fundamental
perspective of project management. From this point onwards, risks
should be monitored and controlled as any other operational indicator.
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Sourcing Management
Risk Analysis
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation Strategy
• The purpose of this stage is to execute negotiations with the
selected suppliers using the prepared tactics and techniques.
It may be repeated a number of times.
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Sourcing Management
It Takes Two to Agree!
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation & Supplier Selection
Negotiation Definition:
Main Characteristics :
– Negotiation is structured to achieve a specific outcome, usually in the form of an agreement.
– Mutuality of wants, resolved by exchange.
– Negotiation carries with it the constant possibility of success or failure – meaning you might
not get what you want or you may fail to reach an agreement at all.
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Sourcing Management
Preparation
Plan Do Review
Determine Construct
Establish Collate Plan the Conduct Follow On/
Style, tactics Negotiation Close Out
Team Research environment Negotiation Enforcement
& approach Plan
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation & Supplier Selection)
Planning Negotiation:
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Sourcing Management
The Negotiation Plan
Consider the following areas and formulate them into a plan;
Objectives – What do you want from the negotiation?
Most Desirable Agreement (MDA) – What is your highest expectation from the
supplier? What do you expect them to offer against each objective?
Least Acceptable Agreement (LAA) – What is your bottom line? Barring the
emergence of a better option, settling for anything less than this is not a viable business
proposition
Supplier’s Expectations – What is the most desirable outcome for the supplier? Collate
internal intelligence on previous dealings with the supplier and assess the type of relationship
they hold with the company.
Agree the areas you are NOT prepared to compromise on and stick to them
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Negotiation & Supplier Selection)
When a negotiator has a strong BATNA, they also have more power because they possess
an attractive alternative that they could resort to if an acceptable agreement is not achieved.
A well conceived and clearly defined BATNA gives a negotiator the advantage to break off
the negotiation if it becomes clear that a beneficial outcome is not possible. The negotiator
would then know the consequences should the negotiation fail. The 'willingness' of a
negotiator to break off a negotiation allows the negotiator to adopt a more firm and forceful
stance when proposing ideas and interests as the basis for an agreement.
Two objectives:
To protect you against making an agreement you should reject
To help you make the most use of your assets.
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation Approach
HIGH
Low Value/High Risk High Value/High Risk
Risk / Market Complexity
Bottleneck Strategic
Commodity Leverage
LOW HIGH
Reward / Opportunity $$$
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation – Guiding Principles
• All offers must be conditional
– A good negotiator never concedes anything at all unless they can get a concession in
return
• Effective negotiators never think on their feet
– Proposals can come quickly but an effective negotiator will take time to consider the
proposal
• Effective negotiators are capable of strict self-discipline
– Although we all think we have it few actually do!
• Effective Negotiators give a considerable amount of time to planning, test assumptions and
sustain high aspirational levels throughout the negotiation
• Effective negotiators take control of the negotiation before it begins
– It is more difficult to take control once the negotiation has begun
• Effective negotiators create room to maneuver
– Use an opening position and use a range of issues both critical and trivial
• Effective negotiators are seldom the first to move
– When they do they move fewer times than the other party and in ever decreasing
amounts
Always change any rules, structures, policies, time scales or conditions presented
if it is in your interest
Negotiation & Supplier Selection)
• Coerce. Insist that the other side meets your demands ‘or else’.
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Guiding Principles (Cont.)
Human Nature: Power:
– Become students of human
nature - especially understand – Put on your poker face and
human weaknesses - to don't show your emotions.
understand the players in the
negotiation process. Home field:
– Negotiate on your home field.
80/20:
– Spend 80 percent of the time Goals/Objectives:
listening and only 20 percent – Don't lose sight of your goals
talking. and objectives.
Issues vs. People: No Contest:
– Separate the issues from the – Don't think of negotiations as a
people. contest.
Control: Yes/No:
– Control the negotiation through – Never say yes to the first offer,
questions. don’t be afraid to say “NO!”
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Negotiation & Supplier Selection)
Material cost sensitivity: Refers to the emphasis the buying firm places on reducing the
total cost of its purchases.
Uniqueness of the buying firm’s specification: The extent to which the
products/components that are designed and manufactured Solely for a particular buying firm
and require the use of special manufacturing materials, processes, and/or equipment for their
production.
Supplier Competition:. Supplier competition is a characteristic of the purchase situation
and is defined as the degree to which several qualified vendors have a strong interest in
receiving the purchase contract.
Buyer’s Cooperation orientation:. Maximizing the benefits subject to providing suppliers a
fair return (versus the goal of unrestricted maximization of benefits irrespective of the effects
on suppliers).
Buyer’s preparedness:. Buyer’s availability of negotiation-relevant information and
preparation in terms of structured planning of the objectives, settlement range etc.
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation & Supplier Selection)
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation Tactics
Take-it or leave-it: One party makes the call without any concessions. Not in line with
negotiation principles but used as a tactic.
Bogey: The buyer approaches the supplier in a friendly way and proposed to adjust
the offer to a specific need. Example: There is an agreement about the price, but the
buyer then informs the seller that transportation is the latter’s responsibility.
Chinese Crunch: Supplier is informed that the agreement is possible, if he solves just
one little problem. Tactic is just to sink the agreement and then ask for an additional
service.
Dutch Auction: Buyer makes the supplier explain why they should do business
together. Lot of information obtained without efforts.
Good guy- bad guy: The purpose of this tactic is to dim the other party’s expectation.
Russian Front: Two choices are offered, of which one is so bad that you choose the
second, less awful, option
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation Tactics
• The no win situation: They present you with only two options, one being so bad
that you agree to the other – don’t accept either option
• Wipe their proposal off the table without saying no: Agree to their outrageous
offer providing they meet your condition which should be equally ridiculous .
• Trojan Horse: Beware of Greeks bearing gifts – be wary of the offer that is too good
to refuse, look for hidden problems or disadvantages e.g. the seller gratefully
accepts a fixed price for 12 months then the market price suddenly falls!
• Split the Difference: This is very “accommodating”. Most people believe if both
parties give equal amounts that they have given equally, but have they really?
• Higher Authority: If you can reduce the price by 3% I am sure I can get my boss to
agree to the go ahead
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation Tactics (Cont.)
• Silence: Use silence don’t be used by it! Many people faced by silence will
go on offering concessions
• Guilty Party: Make the others feel guilty by suggesting that they are
breaking some code or agreement
• Good guy/Bag Guy: This is a tactic for team negotiations – one member
makes a very high demand another takes over and has a more reasonable
attitude
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Sourcing Management
Listening is Vital Bad Listener
– Works out their own position while you
are talking
– Cant wait for you to stop talking before
butting in
Effective Listener – Seems to be agreeing too easily with
everything you say
– Determines what is being said – Has wandering eyes and inconsistent
– Determines what is not being said body language
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Sourcing Management
Negotiation Deadlock
Review
– Summarize progress and common areas of agreement to date
– Take Time out
– Ask for an off the record meeting
Create
– Introduce new options which offer mutual gain
– Trade conditional concessions
Change
– Change the shape of the packages
– Change negotiator
– Change location
– Introduce a third party facilitator
Threat
– Point to the consequences of no deal
– Use time pressures to force decisions
– Restate your offer, shut up and wait
– Consider walking away
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Sourcing Strategy – Negotiation Strategy
Mobilisation
Client
Requirements
Sourcing
Strategy
Negotiations Tracking It is also essential to agree on roles before and during the
negotiation phase with the stakeholder and ensure information
Plan
Market
Analysis
Negotiation
Strategy
Business
Allocation is contained and channeled.
Tools / Templates
Negotiation template
Negotiation strategy
Baseline & Strategy Gate
Sourcing Market
Analysis Phase - a summary of the key facts & figures and
Preparation
# Analysis
Strategy # Engagement # Implementation
insights drawn.
Baseline - A detailed overview of the Baselines that will be
Preliminary
Internal
Analysis
Value Drivers
Go To
Market
Deployment
used to calculate the value added by Agrega. The key focus
Analysis
PGDSCM
Sourcing Management
Q&A ???????????