Grit and Self-Discipline As Predictors of Effort and Academic Attainment
Grit and Self-Discipline As Predictors of Effort and Academic Attainment
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a
Laboratory of Self-Regulation and Health Psychology and Behavioural Medicine Research
Group, School of Psychology, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia
email: [Link]@[Link]
b
School of Applied Psychology and Menzies Health Institute Queensland, Griffith University,
Brisbane, Australia, [Link]@[Link]
c
Faculty of Sport and Health Sciences, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland
Full citation: Hagger, M. S., & Hamilton, K. (2019). Grit and self-discipline as predictors of
effort and academic attainment. British Journal of Educational Psychology, 89, 324-342. doi:
10.1111/bjep.12241
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 2
1 Abstract
2 Background. Beyond ability, traits related to perseverance, such as grit and self-discipline, are
3 associated with adaptive educational outcomes. Few studies have examined the independent
5 Aims. The present study estimated parameters of a process model in which grit perseverance of
6 effort (grit-effort) and consistency of interest (grit-interest) dimensions and self-discipline were
7 independent predictors of students’ science grades. The effect of the grit-effort on grades was
9 learning activities.
11 Methods. The study adopted a correlational design with measures taken on three occasions.
12 Students completed self-report measures of grit and self-discipline early in the semester and
13 effort on optional out-of-school learning activities five weeks later. Students’ science grades
14 were collected at the end of the semester. Data were analysed using Bayesian path analyses
16 Results. Consistent with predictions, we found effects of grit-effort on science grades mediated
17 by effort, and self-discipline on grades. Contrary to predictions, we also found an effect of self-
18 discipline on grades mediated by effort. Zero was a credible value for direct effects of grit-
21 activities linked to better grades. The direct effect of self-discipline on grades suggests that it
23
24 Key words: perseverance of effort; consistency of interest; self-control; science education; goal
26
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 3
1 Introduction
3 two sets of factors; those related to ability (e.g., general intelligence, executive functioning)
4 and those related to perseverance (e.g., motivation, personality). The literature on intellectual
5 traits as predictors of attainment is vast (e.g., Kuncel, Hezlett, & Ones, 2004; Rohde &
6 Thompson, 2007), while research on perseverance factors has tended to lag behind by
8 the pervasive effect of factors relating to perseverance on academic attainment (Dumfart &
9 Neubauer, 2016; Richardson, Abraham, & Bond, 2012). Prominent among these factors are
10 traits that determine long term persistence on tasks to attain distal goals, such as self-discipline
11 and grit (Duckworth, Matthews, & Kelly, 2007; Duckworth & Seligman, 2005). Both of these
12 factors have been associated with adaptive outcomes in educational contexts (Duckworth et al.,
13 2007; Duckworth & Seligman, 2005; Zimmerman & Kitsantas, 2014). While research has
14 indicated that self-discipline, and allied traits such as self-control and conscientiousness, and
15 grit are strongly correlated (Credé, Tynan, & Harms, 2017; Duckworth et al., 2007; Oriol,
16 Miranda, Oyanedel, & Torres, 2017), there has been a recent focus on their conceptual and
17 empirical distinction, and discussion over the extent to which they may differentially determine
18 outcomes (Duckworth & Gross, 2014). However, to date, few studies have examined the
19 independent effects of these factors on outcomes and none have tested the mechanisms
20 involved. The current research aimed to estimate parameters of a process model in which self-
21 discipline and grit were proposed as independent predictors of science grades in a sample of
22 secondary school students. In addition, the effect of grit on grades was proposed to be mediated
24 advance knowledge of the effect of perseverance factors on academic attainment, and role of
1 Self-discipline and grit are individual difference variables associated with effortful
5 dominant responses in favour of an alternative action that is strategic and services a long-term
6 or higher-order goal (Allom, Panetta, Mullan, & Hagger, 2016; Tangney, Baumeister, &
7 Boone, 2004). Self-discipline is closely aligned with similar constructs such as trait self-control
8 (Duckworth & Kern, 2011; Dumfart & Neubauer, 2016; Zimmerman & Kitsantas, 2014). From
10 effectively manage conflicts between momentary impulse-driven goals with small, gratifying
11 short-term gains and long-term goals with larger gains that require greater effort and
12 persistence (Duckworth & Gross, 2014; Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990; Tangney et al., 2004).
13 People with high self-discipline are also able to employ a number of strategies to help them
14 manage situations where they may succumb to impulse-driven responses (Friese, Hofmann, &
15 Wiers, 2011; Quinn, Pascoe, Wood, & Neal, 2010; Trope & Fishbach, 2000). Research has
16 demonstrated that self-discipline is associated with better academic performance even when
17 controlling for measures of ability such as intelligence (Duckworth & Seligman, 2005).
19 for long-term goals” (Duckworth & Quinn, 2009, p. 168). Grit is, therefore, conceptualised in
20 terms of sustained motivation, effort, and interest on tasks to achieve long-term goals. It has
22 through its focus on sustained effort and focus on specific long-term goals, even in the face of
23 failure, and the absence of positive feedback or goal progress (Lucas, Gratch, Cheng, &
24 Marsella, 2015; Zimmerman & Kitsantas, 2014). From a mechanistic perspective, ‘gritty’
25 individuals are likely to invest considerable sustained effort on, and retain interest in, tasks and
26 behaviours required to attain long-term goals (Bowman, Hill, Denson, & Bronkema, 2015;
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 5
1 Duckworth, Kirby, Tsukayama, Berstein, & Ericsson, 2011; Silvia, Eddington, Beaty,
2 Nusbaum, & Kwapil, 2013). For example, studies have demonstrated that individuals with
3 higher scores on grit scales are more likely to engage in deliberate practice on tasks, which
5 2011).
6 Duckworth and Gross (2014) provide a conceptual basis for grit and self-discipline as
7 distinct constructs. They propose that self-discipline relates to individuals’ capacity to regulate
8 actions and inhibit prepotent responses at a subordinate goal level, such as a generalised
9 capacity to resist the temptation to eat palatable but unhealthy foods when on a diet. Such
10 actions require effortful engagement to resolve conflict between goal-directed behaviours. Grit
11 on the other hand relates to focused engagement in goal-directed action to attain higher-order,
12 long term goals and to structure behavioural efforts toward those goals accordingly. Gritty
13 individuals are therefore apt at engaging in focused recruitment of resources and actions to
15 Two independent dimensions of grit have been identified, perseverance of effort (grit-
16 effort) and consistency of interest (grit-interest). Research has indicated that the grit
17 dimensions achieve discriminant and predictive validity (Bowman et al., 2015; Duckworth &
18 Quinn, 2009). Consistent with the distinction, effort and sustained interest are expected to be
19 candidate mediators of the effects of the grit-effort and grit-interest dimensions, respectively,
20 on long-term outcomes.
23 and self-control, raised some questions over the two-factor structure of the construct, its
24 predictive validity, and its discriminant validity with conscientiousness (Credé et al., 2017).
25 Credé et al. (2017) demonstrated that combining grit-interest with grit-effort in an overall grit
26 score resulted in substantive loss in predictive validity of the construct, and that the grit-effort
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 6
1 construct had the greatest utility in predicting academic-related outcomes. They also suggested
2 that the overall grit construct may not achieve discriminant validity from conscientiousness,
3 but found that the grit-effort dimension predicted unique variance in academic outcomes
4 independent of conscientiousness. They also revealed large correlations between overall grit
5 and self-control, but did not report separate relations between grit-effort and this construct.
6 Overall, the researchers concluded that the grit-effort component is the most useful component
7 of grit and may have utility in determining academic performance alongside traits related to
8 conscientiousness.
10 Duckworth and Gross’ (2014) framework suggests that individuals with high self-
11 discipline will be effective in managing specific instances requiring response inhibition and
12 resolution of goal conflict, and may be useful in day-to-day management of goal conflicts. In
13 contrast, they suggest that attaining long-term adaptive outcomes such as attaining a high grade
15 propose a set of predictions derived from their framework in a model that outlines the
16 processes by which self-discipline and grit impact long-term outcomes. We propose to test this
18 end-of-semester grades. Our model is outlined in Figure 1 and the accompanying set of
19 predicted effects, segregated into direct and indirect effects, are outlined in Table 1. Next we
21 Prior research has indicated that ‘gritty’ individuals are more likely to engage in
22 focused practice toward a singular, long-term outcome with a comparatively large ‘payoff’.
23 Consistent with this premise, we predict that the effect of grit on students’ science grades will
24 be mediated by the self-reported effort they invest in activities likely to relate to attaining long-
25 term success in science. In the current study this is manifested in students’ self-reported effort
26 on optional out-of-school science learning activities set by their teacher. Students’ reports of
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 7
1 their engagement in such activities is assumed to reflect the kind of focused practice suggested
2 to attain long-term educational goals (Duckworth et al., 2011). We also make the assumption
3 that self-reports of trying hard on out-of-school learning activities would reflect actual effort on
4 the activities, from which we infer the mediating role that effort plays in the relationship
5 between grit and academic attainment. However, this assumption would need confirmation
6 through measures of actual effort. In addition, research testing the multidimensionality of the
7 grit construct, has shown stronger, more consistent effects of the grit-effort dimension on
8 academic outcomes relative to the grit-interest dimension (Bowman et al., 2015; Credé et al.,
9 2017).
10 Given this previous research, we predict that the grit-effort dimension will have a
12 science learning activities (represented by path P1, in Table 1 and Figure 1), and effort on the
13 learning activities will be related to students’ science grades (P7). Consistent with the proposed
14 process, we predict that the effect of grit-effort on grades will be mediated by effort (P11). In
15 contrast, we propose that the effect of grit-interest on effort (P2) would be zero, consistent with
16 research demonstrating weak or null effects for this dimension on outcomes (Bowman,
17 Gortmaker, Ebbeling, Pereira, & Ludwig, 2004) and issues surrounding its validity (Credé et
18 al., 2017). We therefore expect the indirect effect of grit-interest on grades through effort to be
19 zero (P12). Consistent with the mediation predictions, we expect the direct effects of grit-effort
20 (P4) and grit-interest (P5) on science grades to be zero. As self-discipline reflects individuals’
21 capacity to manage individual goal conflicts, we predict that it will be implicated in the
22 attainment of long-term goals, but the effects may not be mediated by effort on activities aimed
24 students’ science grades (P6). Research has also linked self-discipline with effort, so we
25 propose to include this effect in our model (P3), but propose that zero will be a plausible value
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 8
1 for the indirect effect of self-discipline on grades through effort (P13). Finally, we expect the
4 Although there is no research to date that has simultaneously examined relations among
5 grit, self-discipline, self-reported effort, and long-term educational outcomes consistent with
6 our proposed process model, there is research supporting individual relations among the
7 component constructs (e.g., Credé et al., 2017; Duckworth & Seligman, 2005; Meriac, Slifka,
8 & LaBat, 2015; Richardson et al., 2012). The research provides useful reference data for the
9 proposed effects in the process model against which new observations can be compared. By
10 adopting a Bayesian analytic approach we aim to incorporate this existing knowledge into the
11 test of our process model in the form of informative ‘prior’ values. In doing so, the analysis
12 will provide updated estimates of the proposed relations among model constructs, and,
13 importantly, the distribution of possible values of the effects based on the priors and new
16 proposed model against prior tests of model effects, even though the parameters of the model
17 have not been previously estimated. We will derive informative priors from previous research
18 testing the component effects of the model independently and evaluate them against our
19 observations in the Bayesian analysis. If our priors are a good representation of the true model
20 effects and their distributions, then the posterior distributions of the model parameter estimates
21 from the Bayesian analysis will be reduced and the estimates more precise. If the priors are a
22 poor representation, the analysis will yield less precise, highly variable posterior distributions
23 for the model parameters. The posterior distribution of the model estimates will be represented
24 by 95% credible intervals about the parameter estimates. Consistent with the parameter
25 estimation approach in Bayesian analysis (Rouder, Haaf, & Vandekerckhove, 2018), we aim to
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 9
1 provide the most precise estimates possible of the effects among constructs in our proposed
4 The purpose of this study was to estimate the effects of grit dimensions, self-discipline,
5 and self-reported effort on optional out-of-school science activities and science grades, as
6 proposed in our process model in a sample of high school students. The study is expected to
7 provide evidence of the processes by which grit, particularly grit-effort, and self-discipline
8 relate to science attainment based on Duckworth and Gross’ (2014) goal framework. We focus
11 focus on science attainment due to the documented shortfall in students selecting science and
12 maths in high school and tertiary education (NCES, 2012; Thomson, Wernert, O’Grady, &
13 Rodrigues, 2016). Science education has been identified as an important driver of economic
14 growth in many nations, so knowledge of the correlates science engagement may inform
15 science education policy and interventions. Consistent with the parameter estimation approach
16 from Bayesian analyses (Rouder et al., 2018), we aim to provide the most precise estimates
17 possible of model effects and their distribution from the current data by incorporating
19 informative priors (Bowman et al., 2015; Duckworth & Seligman, 2005; Meriac et al., 2015;
20 Richardson et al., 2012; Wolters & Hussain, 2015). We will use the credible intervals based on
21 the posterior distribution about the parameter estimates to evaluate whether or not zero is a
23 Methods
24 Participants
25 School students (N = 117; girls n = 59; boys, n = 58) were recruited from a coeducational
26 government secondary school in metropolitan Brisbane, Australia. Students were aged between
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 10
1 12 and 14 years and in school grades 7, 8, and 9. General demographic characteristics of the
2 school catchment area and student population were obtained from the school’s annual report
3 and the My School website ([Link] The majority of students were born
4 in Australia, with most of the students’ parents reported employment in technical and trade
5 occupations, with a few employed in administrative and professional jobs. The index of
7 computed for each school across Australia, for the school was just below the national average
8 (ACARA, 2016).
9 Research design
10 The University ethics committee and local educational authority approved the study prior
11 to data collection. The study adopted a correlational three-wave design as part of a larger study
14 Five-weeks later they self-reported their effort on optional out-of-school science learning
15 activities set by their science teacher. Students’ final end-of-semester science grades
16 comprising their averaged mark across all in-class science assignments for the semester were
18 Measures
19 Grit. Students completed the eight-item short grit scale (Duckworth & Quinn, 2009).
20 The scale comprises two subscales, perseverance of effort (grit-effort; e.g., “I finish whatever I
21 begin”) and consistency of interest (grit-interest; e.g., “I often set a goal but later choose to
22 pursue a different one”). Responses were provided on 5-point scales (1 = not like me at all and
25 International Personality Item Pool HEXACO scales (Ashton, Lee, & Goldberg, 2007). The
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 11
1 scale comprises ten items (e.g., “I have difficulty starting tasks”) of which five are reverse
2 scored. Reponses were provided on 5-point scales (1 = not at all and 5 = very much).
4 activities set by their science teacher was measured on five items (e.g., “During the last 5
5 weeks, how hard did you try to do your science activities at home?”) with responses made on
6 7-point scales (1 = did not try at all and 7 = tried extremely hard). Prior to completing these
7 items, students were reminded that “science learning activities” referred to the “assignments
8 you are given by your teacher in science lessons for you to do outside of school such as solving
9 science problems, writing up science experiments, science activities on the internet, and
10 studying for science exams”1. We focused on effort toward out-of-school science learning
11 activities set by the teacher because such activities are aimed at supporting the school
12 curriculum and students engaging these activities are likely to report better retention of
13 knowledge and skills learned in class (Trautwein, Ludtke, Kastens, & Koller, 2006;
16 the mean average of grades on in-school science assignments, was collected at the end of the
17 semester from their science teacher. The grade represented the average grade across all
18 coursework, two class tests, and final examination for the semester expressed as a percentage.
19 Full details of measures used in the current study are provided in the Supporting
21 Data Analysis
22 Data were analyzed using Bayesian path analysis using the Mplus 7.31 statistical
23 software (Muthén & Muthén, 2015). Psychological constructs were manifest variables
1
It is important to note that the out-of-school learning activities in the current study should not be considered
formal assessed homework. Students did not receive formal assessed homework for science. Instead, they were
provided with regular learning activities by their science teacher to complete in their spare time outside of school.
Engagement in the activities was not compulsory. Teachers would refer to these activities in subsequent lessons,
but not evaluate whether or not students had performed the activities.
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 12
1 computed from the mean of the scale items pertaining to each construct. Proposed direct and
2 indirect effects among the grit, self-discipline, self-reported effort, and grades variables in the
3 proposed model summarised in Table 1 and Figure 1 were set as free parameters in the model.
4 We controlled for effects of age and gender by setting them to predict all other variables in the
5 model. Bayesian path analyses were estimated using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
6 simulation process using Gibbs’ algorithms (Muthén & Asparouhov, 2012). We specified
7 100,000 iterations of which the first half were used as a ‘burnin’ phase and the remaining
8 posterior draws used to estimate model inferences. We adopted the Gelman and Rubin’s (1992)
9 criterion to determine the convergence of the Bayesian estimates with a strict potential scale
10 reduction (PSR) value of 1.01. Two models were estimated. The first was estimated using non-
11 informative prior values for model parameters using the standard default values offered in the
12 Mplus software for regression analysis: each parameter estimate is assigned a prior that
13 specifies a normal distribution with mean = 0 and variance = infinity2. Estimating the Bayesian
14 model using these default priors will return estimates close to an analysis using a frequentist
16 The second adopted informative prior values for key parameters in the model derived
17 from previous research. While our process model has not been tested previously, its component
18 effects have been estimated in separate research studies. Priors were identified from a search of
19 previous studies testing relations between grit, self-discipline, self-reported effort, and
20 academic attainment. Our informative priors were derived from meta-analytic and primary
21 research testing relations among constructs in our proposed model in samples with a close
22 match to the current sample and context (secondary school pupils). Prior values expressed as
24 source data for the values are summarised in Table 1. In cases where the standard deviations of
2
In this case the variance is set at a number sufficiently large to approximate infinity. According to Muthén &
Muthén (2012), “for the normal distribution default, infinity is ten to the power of ten” (p. 698).
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 13
2 were specified (SD = 0.10) to account for possible heterogeneity between current data and the
3 studies used as sources for the priors (Yuan & MacKinnon, 2009). We could not identify
4 studies reporting relations between self-discipline and the separate perseverance of effort and
5 consistency of interest grit dimensions. However, there were several tests of the total grit scale
6 and self-discipline (Credé et al., 2017; Dumfart & Neubauer, 2016; Oriol et al., 2017), so we
7 used the median value from these studies as prior values for relations between grit-effort and
9 Fit of the Bayesian models was assessed using posterior predictive checking using two
10 recommended criteria based on the usual goodness-of-fit chi-square comparing the proposed
11 model with the observed data across the replications in the Bayesian simulation (Gelman et al.,
12 2013): (a) the 95% confidence intervals (CI95) of the chi-square value, which should include
13 zero and have a large negative lower bound, and (b) the posterior predictive p-value (PPP),
14 which should exceed .05 and preferably approach .50 for a well-fitting model. For each free
15 parameter in the Bayesian model, a credible interval (CrI) is computed which should exclude
16 the value of zero to indicate a true effect. We also generated estimates of indirect effects in the
17 Bayesian models using Yuan and MacKinnon’s (2009) method. If, as expected, the prior
19 anticipated that the path model adopting informative priors would exhibit increased precision
22 variability of model parameter estimates was evaluated by examining the extent to which the
23 width of the credible intervals for each parameter decreased across the models with informative
25 Results
3
Mplus analysis scripts and output are available from [Link]
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 14
1 Participants
2 There was minimal attrition across the two data collection occasions (n = 7) resulting in a
3 final sample size of 110 (girls = 55, boys = 55; M age = 12.80, SD = 0.72). Descriptive
4 statistics, omega reliability coefficients (McNeish, 2017), and intercorrelations for study
7 The Bayesian path analyses with non-informative (PPP = .464, 95% CrI [-21.56,
8 24.20]) and informative priors (PPP = .370, 95% CrI [-18.31, 26.99]) exhibited satisfactory
9 goodness-of-fit with the data according to the posterior predictive checking criteria. Parameter
10 estimates for the analyses with non-informative priors and informative priors are provided in
11 Table 3, and illustrated in Figures 1a and 1b. The path model adopting informative priors
12 resulted in a narrowing of the credible intervals about all model parameter estimates, as
13 indicated by the percentage change in the intervals across the models (Yuan & MacKinnon,
14 2009). This suggests that the data and the prior distribution were closely matched. We therefore
15 report the effects for the model with informative priors. Credible intervals associated with
16 parameter estimates reflect the posterior distribution of probable values for the parameter and
17 whether zero is a credible value based on the prior and sampling distributions.
18 Focusing on model direct effects, we found positive, non-zero direct effects of grit-
19 effort (P1; β = 0.214, 95% CrI [0.045; 0.380]) and self-discipline (P3; β = 0.297, 95% CrI
20 0.126; 0.459]) on self-reported effort, consistent with model predictions. In addition, self-
21 discipline (P6; β = .090, 95% CrI [0.022; 0.162]) and effort (P7; β = .369, 95% CrI [0.187;
22 0.524]) were directly related to grades, as predicted. Credible intervals indicated that zero was
23 a credible value for the effect of grit-interest on effort (P2; β = 0.051, 95% CrI [-0.100; 0.199]),
24 and the effects of grit-effort (P4; β = .044, 95% CrI [-0.010; 0.100]) and grit-interest (P5; β =
25 0.018, 95% CrI [-0.024; 0.061]) on grades, consistent with model predictions.
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 15
2 grades through self-reported effort (P11; Β = 0.749, 95% CrI [0.140; 1.608]). However, zero
3 was a credible value for indirect effect of grit-interest on grades through effort (P12; Β = 0.193,
4 96% CrI [-0.405; 0.912]). We also found a positive, non-zero indirect effect of self-discipline
5 on grades through effort (P13; Β = 0.910, 95% CrI [0.303; 1.762]), a finding which was
6 contrary to predictions4.
7 We also found some differences when comparing model posterior distributions of the
8 models using non-informative priors and informative priors. Specifically, the credible intervals
9 for the direct effects of self-discipline on effort (P3) and grades (P6), and the indirect effect of
10 self-discipline on grades through effort (P13) included zero as a probable value in the model
11 using non-informative priors, while the intervals for these parameters did not include zero in
12 the model using informative priors. These variations can be attributed to the increased
13 precision of the estimates in the model using informative priors through the narrowing of the
14 credible intervals about the estimates. This illustrates an advantage of adopting a Bayesian
15 approach as the increased accuracy of the estimates using informative priors meant that some
16 important effects would have been missed if conclusions were based on the model adopting
17 uninformative priors. The width of the credible intervals for the two parameters that differed
18 across the models was narrowed by the most substantial margin (Yuan & MacKinnon, 2009).
19 Discussion
20 We tested a process model based on Duckworth and Gross’ (2014) goal framework in
21 which factors relating to perseverance, grit and self-discipline, predicted high-school students’
4
We noted the large correlation between the self-discipline and grit-effort constructs (r = .643 in the model with
non-informative priors). The large correlation may have been due to overlap and redundancy in the measures of
these constructs. Based on the advice of an anonymous reviewer, we re-estimated our models using a revised self-
discipline measure that omitted items that overlapped with the grit-effort measure (“I am always prepared”, “I
often waste my time”, “I tend to carry out plans”). Differences in the correlations between the self-discipline and
grit-effort constructs across models with the original and revised self-discipline measure were modest (r = .643 vs.
r = .604 for the model with non-informative priors) with overlapping CrI. Model fit and patterns of effects in the
process model were also near identical. These analyses suggest that the large correlation between these constructs
cannot be attributed to particular items, but rather a more fundamental overlap in the measures, and, by inference,
the conceptualization of the constructs. Mplus analysis scripts and output for these ancillary analyses are available
from [Link]
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 16
1 self-reported effort and attainment in science using Bayesian path-analytic models with non-
2 informative and informative priors. Consistent with our model, we found positive, non-zero
3 direct effects of grit-effort on effort, and effort and self-discipline on science grades. In
4 addition, the effect of grit-effort on grades was mediated by effort consistent with model
6 discipline on grades mediated by effort. Including informative priors in the analysis had the
8 Current findings have important theoretical and practical implications for the effects of
9 grit and self-discipline on long-term outcomes and the processes involved. The indirect effect
10 of grit-effort on academic attainment is consistent with Duckworth and Gross’ (2014) proposal
11 that the process by which gritty individuals pursue long-term goals is through consistent effort
12 on goal directed tasks and behaviours. In particular, we found that high-grit students’ effort on
14 science in the long-term. This finding indicates that gritty students’ academic success is, in
15 part, attributable to their tendency to invest effort in out-of-school activities intended to support
16 in-class learning. Although engaging in these activities is not the only determinant of long-term
17 academic performance, it likely plays a key role, consistent with the mediated effect.
18 That zero was a probable value for the effect of grit-interest on effort provided further
19 support for the differential predictive validity of grit scale dimensions. Although much of the
20 research on grit has tended to adopt the global scale (e.g., Duckworth et al., 2011; Eskreis-
21 Winkler, Duckworth, Shulman, & Beal, 2014; Lucas et al., 2015), studies that have made
22 distinction between the two dimensions have indicated stronger effects for the grit-effort
23 dimension on outcomes (e.g., Bowman et al., 2015; Silvia et al., 2013; Suzuki, Tamesue,
24 Asahi, & Ishikawa, 2015; Von Culin, Tsukayama, & Duckworth, 2014). Our data corroborate
25 findings of a recent meta-analysis, which identified grit-effort dimension as the most consistent
26 predictor of academic outcomes (Credé et al., 2017). Taken together, this emerging pattern
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 17
1 indicates that the grit-effort dimension, reflecting sustained effort on goal-directed tasks to
2 bring about long-term outcomes, is the component of grit that determines academic success.
3 However, further validation across multiple samples in a wider range of contexts is needed to
4 provide converging evidence for the differential prediction of the grit dimensions.
6 however the effect self-discipline effect would not be mediated by effort. This prediction is
7 based on Duckworth and Gross’ (2014) hypothesis that self-discipline is more related to
8 capacity to resolve immediate conflicts rather than long-term goal pursuit. In contrast with
9 expectations, however, we found positive non-zero values for the direct effect of self-discipline
10 on grades, and the indirect effect mediated by effort. A possible reason for the indirect effect is
12 required, also contributes to long-term goal pursuit. For example, self-discipline may assist
13 individuals in managing short-term obstacles that might derail effort on behaviours that
15 The direct effect of self-discipline on attainment suggests that capacity for response inhibition,
17 unmeasured in the current study, that determine academic attainment. For example, self-
18 discipline may lead to greater capacity for resisting temptations or managing distractions that
19 might derail in-class studying activities or attention. These interpretations of the effects of self-
20 discipline are speculative – we cannot corroborate these proposals from current data because
21 we did not measure obstacles to out-of-school learning or in-class effort. Current results,
22 therefore, suggest that both grit-effort and self-discipline are implicated in the process that
24 It is important to note the similarities and variations in effects across the model estimates
25 using non-informative and informative priors. The majority of model effects were consistent
26 across the two models. However, the narrowing of credible intervals due to specifying
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 18
1 informative priors meant that the intervals about the direct effects of self-discipline on self-
2 reported effort and grades and, as a consequence, the indirect effect of self-discipline on
3 science grades via effort, no longer included zero as a credible value. This demonstrates the
4 importance of including prior values for these effects. However, an important issue for the
5 priors used for these effects was that we used a weakly informative prior for the variance
6 estimate (SD = 0.10) because no variance estimate was available from the source data
7 (Duckworth & Seligman, 2005). We tested whether this variance estimate had a substantial
8 bearing on differences across models. Re-estimating the model with informative priors and
9 varying the prior estimate for variance for these effects (SD range 0.01 to 1.00) revealed that
10 the credible intervals did not encompass zero in any case, and did not, therefore, affect our
11 conclusions. Taken together, these effects provide additional corroboration for the role of self-
12 discipline in predicting grades directly, and via the mediation of self-reported effort.
13 Current findings have important practical implications for educators and teachers. Given
14 that students’ self-reports of greater effort on optional out-of-class science activities was
15 related to science attainment, it seems that encouraging students to try hard on these activities
16 could be important for success in science. Similarly, current findings also indicate that a reason
17 why ‘gritty’ students, and those with high self-discipline, attain higher grades is partly due to
18 the effort they invest in activities likely to improve their learning. Affecting change in
19 relatively stable, trait-like constructs like grit and self-discipline is difficult. However,
20 implementing means to address some of the specific deficits in motivation and long-term
21 persistence indicated by low grit and self-discipline is a viable option for educational practice.
22 Educators may seek to foster students’ motivation to persist on activities outside of school,
24 Reeve, Bolt, & Cai, 1999). Such strategies might include setting autonomous goals, providing
25 choice and experiences of success in tasks, deferring responsibility to students, and giving task-
26 related feedback (McLachlan & Hagger, 2010; Pihu, Hein, Koka, & Hagger, 2008). Such
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 19
2 well as academic attainment (Su & Reeve, 2011), and has also been shown to foster motivation
3 toward educational activities outside of school (Hagger, Sultan, Hardcastle, & Chatzisarantis,
6 The present study has a number of strengths including the use of a sound theoretical
7 basis, adoption of an appropriate correlational design with three data collection occasions, use
9 measure of academic attainment. The use of a Bayesian analytic approach that incorporated
10 prior research findings was a further strength. It is also important to note some pertinent
11 limitations. First, the correlational design precludes inference of causality in model effects;
12 inferences of directionality are inferred from theory not the data. Second, despite the
13 theoretical and conceptual arguments for self-discipline and grit-effort as separate constructs
14 (Duckworth & Gross, 2014), the high correlation between the measures of the constructs in the
15 present study is indicative of considerable overlap in these constructs at the empirical level, a
16 finding noted elsewhere (Credé et al., 2017; Oriol et al., 2017). While each construct accounted
17 for independent variance in grades and effort in our conceptual model, there was considerable
18 redundancy. The limited evidence for an empirical distinction also presents a problem for
19 theory (Credé et al., 2017), and future research is needed to provide measures capable of
20 reliably distinguishing between these constructs at the empirical level, and test their effects
21 within the our model (see Hagger, 2014). Third, we did not measure each construct of our
22 model at each time point, which meant we could not estimate reciprocal or residualized change
23 in model effects over time. Fourth, we did not control for students’ previous academic
26 definitive control for these constructs would provide confirmatory evidence. Fifth, with the
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 20
1 exception of students’ grades, measures of constructs in the present study were based
3 accuracies in measures of psychological traits and effort to introduce error variance in the
4 relations tested in our model. Sixth, as in other research in education, we assumed that students
5 have long-term goals to succeed in science, or, at least, a generalised goal for learning in
7 educational goals. Finally, the present study was conducted on students from a single school,
8 and replications are needed to corroborate these effects in representative samples in multiple
9 educational contexts.
10 While current data provide an initial test of our process model, a number of avenues for
11 future research are important to further corroborate the proposed effects. For example, model
12 predictions should be estimated in diverse samples of students, from multiple schools, and in
14 so that current data could be used as priors in keeping with the advocated imperative for using
15 cumulative data to arrive at greater precision in model effects. It would also be important to
16 adopt longitudinal panel designs measuring self-discipline, grit, effort, and grades at multiple
17 time points. Such a design would permit better evaluation of the pattern of effects, including
18 directional and reciprocal effects, and the modelling of change in these constructs over time. In
19 addition, it would be important to include variables relating to ability and actual effort. Ability
20 measures might include general intelligence, executive functioning, cognitive ability, and
21 specific abilities relevant to science such as mathematics and problem solving proficiency, and
22 could be included as covariates in the process model. Including such measures would be
23 expected to explain additional variance in grades, but, consistent with theory on perseverance
24 traits (Duckworth et al., 2007; Zimmerman & Kitsantas, 2014) and the predictions of our
25 process model, we would expect effects of ability and traits on academic attainment to be
26 independent. Finally, in our model, the role of effort as a mediator between grit and self-control
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 21
1 traits and grades was inferred from self-reported effort. However, this would need
2 corroboration using actual measures of effort. Measures of effort might include actual time
3 spent on out-of-school learning activities, perhaps through parental report or time spent on
4 specific internet activities. We envisage ‘actual effort’ serving as a mediator of the relationship
6 Conclusion
7 Current findings provide preliminary evidence for the processes by which grit and self-
8 discipline predict long-term educational outcomes. We found that high-school students’ self-
9 reported effort on optional out-of-school science activities set by teachers mediated the effects
10 of the perseverance of effort dimension of grit and self-discipline on science grades. Consistent
11 with theory, our model suggests that traits related to perseverance, particularly to the resolution
13 sustained effort on activities likely to bring about long-term success in science. Adoption of a
14 Bayesian analytic approach demonstrates the value of including prior knowledge in the testing
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RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 26
Table 1
Summary of Predicted Direct and Indirect Effects in the Process Model of Grit Subscales, Self-
Discipline, Effort, and Academic Attainment and Proposed Informative Prior Estimates for
Bayesian Path Analysis
Correlations
Indirect effects
Table 2
Descriptive Statistics and Intercorrelations for Grit Subscales, Self-Discipline, Effort, Science
Grades, and Demographic Variables
Variable ω M SD 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Table 3
Parameter Estimates with 95% Credible Intervals for Hypothesised Effects from the Bayesian Path Analyses of the Grit Subscales, Self-
Discipline, Effort, and Science Attainment Process Model
Correlationsa
Indirect effectsb
P11 Grit–Effort→Effort→Science Grades 1.036** 0.168 2.392 0.749** 0.140 1.608 -75.60
P12 Grit–Interest→Effort→Science Grades -0.146 -0.980 0.537 0.193 -0.405 0.912 -20.00
P13 Self-discipline→Effort→Science Grades 0.499 -0.043 1.451 0.910** 0.303 1.762 -3.50
Note. H = Hypothesis; 95% CrI = 95% credible interval of parameter estimate; LL = Lower limit of 95% CrI; UL = Upper limit of 95% CrI;
%diff = Percent difference in 95% CrI of parameter estimates using informative priors compared to analysis using non-informative priors
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 29
(negative numbers indicate a narrowing of credible intervals when using informative priors); Grit–Effort = Grit – Perseverance of Effort; Grit–
Interest = Grit – Consistency of Interest. aValues are standardised estimates; bValues are unstandardised estimates.
*
p < .05 **p < .01 ***p < .001
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 30
Figure 1a. The proposed grit, self-discipline, effort, and academic attainment process model. Solid lines
reflect free parameters (P) predicted to have positive and non-zero values and broken lines represent free
parameters expected to have zero as a credible value. Indirect effects expected to have non-zero values not
illustrated in the diagram: Indirect effect of grit-perseverance of effort on science grades via effort (P11).
Indirect effects expected to be trivial or zero not illustrated in the diagram: Indirect effect of grit-consistency
of interest on science grades via effort (P12) and indirect effect of self-discipline on science grades via effort
(P13).
Grit–
Consistency of
Interest
P8 P5
P2
Grit–
Perseverance
of Effort P4
P10
P1
P7 Science
P9 Effort
Grades
P3
P6
Self-
Discipline
RUNNING HEAD: Grit, Self-Discipline, Academic Attainment 31
Figure 1b. Process model including parameter estimates and 95% credible intervals from Bayesian path
analysis with non-informative prior values. Parameter estimates for indirect effects not illustrated in the
diagram: Indirect effect of grit-perseverance of effort on science grades via effort, B = 1.036 [0.168, 2.392];
Indirect effect of grit-consistency of interest on science grades via effort, B = -0.146 [-0.980, 0.537]; Indirect
effect of self-discipline on science grades via effort, B = 0.499 [-0.043, 1.451].
Grit–
Consistency of
Interest
Grit–
Consistency of
Interest
Effort During the last 5 weeks, how hard did you try to... [common stem] 1 = Did not try at
…do your science activities at home? all, 7 = Tried
….maintain your willpower to do your science activities at home? extremely hard
….be self-disciplined and do your science activities at home?
…spend time in planning to do your science activities at home?
… expend a lot of mental energy in doing your science activities at home?
Science Students’ final semester science grade calculated as an average of grades on in-
school science assignments over the semester. –
grades
Note. (R) = Item is reverse scored.