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Statistics
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Premier12‘Copyright © 2003 New Age International (P) Ltd., Publishers
Second Edition : 2003
Reprint : 2005
NEW AGE INTERNATIONAL (P) LIMITED, PUBLISHERS.
4835/24, Ansari Road, Daryaganj,
‘New Delhi - 110 002
Visit us at : www.newagepublishers.com
Offices at:
Bangalore, Chennai, Cochin, Guwahati, Hyderabad, Jalandhar,
Kolkata, Lucknow, Mumbai and Ranchi.
‘This book or-any part thereof may nob be-reprodiiced in'any form
without the written permission of the publisher.
This book cannot be sold outside the country to which it is consigned
by the publisher without the prior permission of the publisher.
Rs. 275.00
ISBN : 81-224-1458-3
. 345678910
Published by New Ago International (P) Ltd.,
4835/24, Ansari Road, Daryaganj, New Delhi-110 002 and
printed in India at Taj Press, New Delhi-110 064
typesetted at Pagetek, Delhi-110 092.Contents
Preface to the Second Editian v
Preface ta the First Edition vii
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Statistics 1
Short essay type questions on:
Definitions of =
s istics
Statistical prospective 2
Divi oT 2
Funeti f statist
Methods of collection of data _3
Types of statistical data 3
Statistical survey 3
(Questionnaire and schedule 3
Kinds of statistical investigation 4
Erors_4
Laws_¢
Approxitmayoncofvalues 5.
‘Printary ‘and setondary data 5.
Editing of data_ 5
Bilin the blanks 6
Multiple choice questions 7
Answers JO
Suggested reading
Classification, Tabulation and Frequency Distribution 12
Short essay type questions on:
Classification 12
Grouping of data_/3
Grouping error 13
Tabulation _/4
Frequency J/5Cumulative frequency 15
‘Types of series {5
Stem and leaf display of data_15
Fill in the blanks 15
Multiple choice questions 17
Answers 20
Suggested reading 20
‘Chapter 3 Diagramatic and Graphical Representation 21
Short essay type questions on:
Advantages of diagrams _2/
Bar di 24
Sub-divided bar diagram 27
Multiple bar diagram _22
Deviation bar diagram 22
Duo-directional bar diagram 22
Paired bar diagram 23
‘Sliding bar diagram 23
Broken bar diagram 23
Line diagram 24
Pic chart 24
Histogram 25
Frequency polygon _25
Frequency curve 25
Semi ‘ithmic 26
us B26 World,
Pictograms _27 woes Voice of India
WW eas Bre OE 7S WENworld
Overlapping bar chart_28
Fillin the blanks 29
Multiple choice questions 30
Answers 35
Suggested reading 35
‘Chapter 4 Measures of Central Tendency 36
Properties of central tendency _36
Classification of averages 36
Functions 26
Arithmetic mean 37
Weighted mean 38
Moving average 38
Progressive average 38
Urheberrechtlich geschitztes MaterialChapter 5
‘Composite average 38
Pooled mean 39
Harmonic mean 40
Relation between A.M., G.M. and H.M. 4!
Quadratic mean__ 47
Median 42
Mode 42
Quartiles 43
Deciles 43
Percentiles 43
EilLin the blanks 44
Multiple choice questions 47
Answers $4
Suggested reading 59
Measures of Dispersion, Skewness and Kurtosis
‘Concept and statements 60
Requisites of a good measure 6
Uses 61
Range 6)
Coefficient of range 61
Interquartile range 6
Percentile range 6/
ust wartile deviation 6 World:
Chapter 6
Voice of India
rg/SWENworld
Probable error 65 .
Empirical relation between §.D..Q.D. and M.D._ 65
Skewness 66
Kurtosis 67
Sheppard's corrections _68
Ellin the banks 69
Multiple choice questions 72
Answers 8
Suggested reading 8?
Elementary Probability
Short essay type questions on:
Concept 83 .
83
Urheberrechtlich geschitztes Material‘Chapter 7
CONTENTS
Events 84
complementary 83
simple 84
equal 84
compound 84
mutually exclusive 84
primary 4
derived 84
Impossible event _ 85
Exhaustive 25
Pairwise independent events 85
Definitions of probability:
classical 85
statistical _86
Additive law of probability 86
Conditional probability 86
Bayes" probability 87
D’ Alembert’s paradox _87
Fillin the blanks 88
Multiple choice questions 90
Answers /OJ
Suggested reading 105
Random Variable, Mathematical Expectation
andProbability Distributions) SOT tg
Random variable 106
istics L207.
continuous 107
Distribution function 107,
Cumulative distribution function 107
Probability mass function _/07
Step function _J07
Probability density function 107
Probability density curve _/07
Mathematical expectation _/08
Cauchy-Schwartz inequality /09
109
Gurland’s inequality on expectation 109
Moment generating function 109
Characteristic function 109
Probability generating function 110
uniform__2/0‘CONTENTS
‘Chapter 8
Bernoulli //0
Binomial //0
Poisson H12
Negative 113
Geometric {14
Polya's JIS
Hypergeometric 15
——
Continuous distributions:
uniform or rectangular 1/7
exponential 1/8
Laplace or double exponential 1/9
normal //9
lognormal 423
Cauchy 123
beta distributions of Land Hkind 123
gamma J25
logistic 126
Pareto 126
Weibull 126
Circular 126
Pearsonian 126
Sampling distributions:
Chi-square /27
Student’s-t 128
Pearson's Chi-square 128
Chi 128
Fisher's-z 131
Fil, oni the bl inks) 10%
Multiple choice questions 138
Answers 160
Suggested reading 162
Bivariate Random Variable and Distributions
Short essay type questions on:
Bivari jahle: 163
discrete 163
continuous J65
int distribution funetis 6
Joint probability mass function /64
Joint probability density function /64
Marginal probability functions 164
Conditional variable 165
Conditional probability density function 165
Independence of random variables /65
163Chapter 9
Conditional expectation 165,
Conditional variance 166.
Conditional covariance 167,
Joint moment generating function _/67
Joint raw moments _/67
Joint central moments _/67
Fill in the banks 172
Multiple choice questions 174
Answers {82
Suggested reading /83
Sampling Methods
Short essay type questions on:
Sampling vs. Complete enumeration _/84
Population /84
finite 185
infinite 185
teal [85
hypothetical /85
Sampling frame _/85
Random sampling /85
Simple random sampling 486
Principles of sampling methods _/86
“Sampling and non-sampling errors 186
usieneeS VV" World,
Voice of India
wwii one.o jane.arg/ SWE Nao nd
Sample size /87
Sample mean 18 mean 188
Sample variance _/88
Standard error _J59
Finite population correction _J89
Sampling fraction _/89
sample size _J9F
sampling procedure _/9F
Allocation:
equal_/91
Proportional 197
CONTENTS
184
Urheberrechtlich geschitztes Material‘Chapter 10
optimum 197
Neyman 197
Formulae for mean and variance _/92
‘Two way stratification _/93
Controlled selection 193
Systematic sampling 193
linear 104
circular _J94
Formulae for mean and variance 194
Double sampling 195
Cluster or area sampling _/95,
Multistage sampling _/96
‘Two stage sampling /96
Inverse sampling 196
Sampling with probability proportional to size /98
Non-response_/98
Multiple chaice questions 202
Answers 2/2
Suggested reading 213
Theory of Estimation 214
Short Short camay type type questions on:
Urabe as S., World)
‘consistency 2/5 sss Voice of India
www.aiittadd. erg /SWENWworld
mean squared consistency 2/6
Crammer-Rao inequality 2/6
Best asymptotically normal estimator _ 2/7
Efficiency 2/7
Sufficiency 2/7
Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem 2/8
Completeness 2/8
Rao-Blackwell theorem 2/3
Invariance property of estimators 2/9
Admissibility of an estimator 2/9
maximum likelihood estimation 2/9
least square estimation 2/9
tncthod of moments 2/9
Best fi "
Urheberrechtlich geschitztes Material‘Chapter 11
Minimum variance quadratic estimator 224
Gauss-Markov theorem _224
Method of Minimum Chi-squares 225
Bayes’ estimators 227
Mini - 27
Confidence region 237
One sided confidence interval 23
Fill 232
Multiple choice questions 236
Answers 247
Suggested reading 248
Testing Parametric Hypotheses
Short essay type question on:
Hypothesis 249
nullalternative 250
simple» 250
composite 250
‘Types of errors:
type Leeror 250:
type Terror 250
Power of atest 250
Level of significance 250
Size of atest 25/
Best critical region 257
One and two tailed test 257
Nonrandomized and randomized test 251
Degrees of freedom 251
Critical function 257
Optimum test 252
Most powerful test 252
Neyman-Pearson lemma 252
Minimax test 254
Unbiased test 254
Uniformly most powerful unbiased test 255
Admissible west 255
Likelihood ratio test 256CONTENTS
Chapter 12
xvii
Student's rest 257
Cochran's approximate t-test 258
Paired rest 260
Z-test for properties
iation_258
Chi-square test in multinomial distribution 264
Contingency table 265
Incomplete contingency table _ 265
Structural and random zeros 265,
Explanatory variable 266
‘Test of independence of attributes _266
Yates’ correction _ 266
Fisher's exact test 268
Coefficient of contingency 268
Bartletts’ test 269
Fatest 269
Test of equality af wo population variances 269
test of equality of several population means 269
Analysis of variance 270
Bayes’ test 270
Sequential probability ratio test 270
Fill in the blanks | 27/
Multiple choice questions \ 277,
Answers 289
Suggested reading | 290
Nonparametric Statistical Methods 292
Short essay type_questioas om:
General discussion 292
Asymplotic relative efficiency 293
Power efficiency 293
Tied observations 293
Kolmogorov-Smimov test for one sample _295
ordinary sign test_ 295
Wilcoxon's signed rank test_296
Run test 297
Kolmogorov-Smirnov two sample test 298
Wilcoxon's test for matched pairs 298
Median test 298
Wald-Wolfowitz run test 307
Mann-Whitney U-test JO/
Mcnemar’s test 303
Mood's test 304xviii
‘Chapter 13
CONTENTS
Moses’ test. 305
Cochran's Q-test 306
Kruskal-Wallis one way analysis 307
Friedman's two way analysis of variance 309
Multiple comparisons in Friedmans’ test 309
Jonckheere-Terpstra test 3/0
Page’s test 321
Spearman's rank correlation 3/2
Kendall's rank correlation 3/2
Coefficient of concordance 3/4
Nonparametric approach in regression analysis 316
Brown and Mood’s test 3/7
Confidence band 3/9
Fill in the blanks 3/9
Multiple choice questions 323
Answers 335
Suggested reading 336
Regression and Correlation Methods 338
Short essay type questions on;
General discussion 333
Regression model 348
Scatter dideram 339
Estimation of parameters of a regreassion line 340
Properties of regression coefficients 340
Two regression tines:
Point otimleséectiGns BIT
angle between two regression lines 34/
Coding 342
‘Test of significance of regression coefficient 342
‘Test of significance of the intercept 342
Regression function 343
confidence limits of Band a 343
Test of linearity of regression 344
‘Weighted regression 345
‘Curvilinear regression 346
ing of orthogonal polynomial 347 “
Correlation 347CONTENTS
Chapter 4,
Properties of correlation coefficient_ 350
Probable error 351
Confidence limits for P_352
‘Test of significance of:
come Miclent 252
aspecified value of P_ 352
Equality of two corr. cocffs. 352
Equality of more than two corr cocffs 352
Coefficient af concurrent deviation 353
Correlation coefficient using variance of the difference 355,
Correlation cocfficient by the method of Icast squares 356
Correlation ratio 357
Intraclass correlation 357
Biserial correlation 358
Tetrachoric correlation 358
Multiple linear regression 359
‘Test of significance of partial regression coefficient(s) 361
Regression in trivariate population 363
Partial correlation 364
Past correlation 365
Spurious correlation 366
Fill in the blanks 366
MullipleichiGite questions 372
Answers 387
Suggested reading 388
Measures of Associasion of Attributes,
Short essay type questions on:
General discussion and notations 390
Order of a class 390
Class frequency 392
Inconsistency of data 392
Kinds of association 392
Methods of measuring association:
Proportion methad 393
Method of probability 393
Yule's coefficient of association 394
Coefficient of colligation 394
Partial association 394
Ilusory association 394
Coefficient of contingency 395
Tschuprow’s cocfficient 395
Fill in the banks 395
390Chapter 15-
Chapter 16
Muhiple choice questions 393
Answers 404
Suggested reading 404
Interpolation and Extrapolation 405
Short essay type questions on:
a ii 7 0S
Assumptions and uses 405
Interpolation methods:
graphical method 406
binomial expansion method 406
parabolic curve method 406
Finite differences 408
Divided differences 408
Diagonal difference table 408
‘Central difference table 408
Divided difference table 409
Newton's formula of advancing differences 4/0
Newton's backward formula 41]
Newton-Gauss forward formula 4//
Newton-Gauss backward formula 4#//
Newton's method of backward differences 42
Newton's method of divided differences #/2
Lagrange’s interpolation formula 4/2
Inverse interpolation:
Lagrange’s interpolation formula 412
Central interpolation 4/3
Sterling's formula 4/3
Besseljsformuia_ 4/4
Tnverse interpolation:
Lagrange’s method 415
Iterative method 4/5
Successive approximation method 4/5
Fill in the blanks 4/6
Multiple choice questions 478
Answers 42¢
Suggested reading 424
Time Series Analysis - 425
Short essay type questions on:
Defini F
Editing of data_426
Secular trend 426
Segsonal variation 427
Cyclic variation 427
Irregular variations 427CONTENTS
Chapter 17
;
Methods of measuring linear trend:
graphic method 428
semi-average method 428
Moving average method 428
Least square method 429
Shift of origin 430
Curvilinear end 434
Methods of measuring seasonal variations:
simple average method 433
ratio to trend method 433
ratio to moving average method 433
specific and typical seasonals 434
link relative method 434
Methods of measuring cyclic variations:
residual method 435
first difference method 435
percentage ratio method 435
direct method 435
reference cycle analysis 435
harmonic analysis 435
Measurement of irregular variations 436
Fill in the blanks 437
Multiple choice questions 440.
Answers, 446
Stiggested reading 447
Index Numbers
Short essay) type questidns(Gny
Definitions 448
Uses 449
Limitations and lecunae 449
Price index numbers 450
Value and diffusion index 450
Problems involved in the construction of index numbers 450
Laspeyre’s index number 45/
Paasche's index number 452
Drobish-Bowley index number 452
Walsh (Fisher's ideal) index number 452
Marshall and Edgeworth index number 452°
Kelly's fixed weight formula 453
Eonmula error 453
Homogeneity error 454
Time reversal test 454
Factor reversal test 454
Circular test_455,Chapter 18
Chapter 19
Chain base method 455
Base shifting 456
Splicing 457
Consumer price index 459
Explicit and implicit weights_ 467
‘Whole-sale price index 46
Index of industrial production 462
Gross national product_ 462
Eillin the blanks 464
Multiple choice questions 467
Answers 474
Suggested reading 475
Business Forecasting
Short essay type questions on:
‘Definitions 426
Historical analysis 476,
Analysis of current economic conditions 477
Methods of forecasting:
Naive method 477
specific historical analogy method 477
lead-lag relationship 477
Diffusion index 478
action-reaction theory 478
factor listing method 479
¢ross-cut analysis theary 479
opinion polling 480
exponential smoothing 480
econometric method 481
Poredasting agencies! @8y'
Fill in the blanks 482
Multiple choice questions 483
Answers 486
Suggested reading 487
Statistical Techniques in Quality Control
Short essay type questions on:
Chance factor 48:9
Assignable causes 488
Shewhart control charts:
X-charr 490
o-chan 490
R=chari_ #97
Control charts for fraction defectives (p-chart)_ 495
‘ontral s for efects (c- 496,
476
488CONTENTS
‘Chaptey/20,
Advantages of statistical quality control 499
——
Specification limits _ 499
Acceptance sampling plan 500
Inspection by attributes 50/
Inspection by variables 50/
Definitions and explanations for:
major defect 50f
minor defect S507
P * tisk 50
ci "s tisk 502
Acceptance quality level_502
Lot tolerance percentage defective 502
Average outgoing quality 502
Blind sampling 502
Average sample number and curve 502
Operating characteristic function and curve 503
Single sampling inspection plan 503
Dodge and Roming OC curves 504
Double sampling inspection plan 505
Sequential sampling plan 505
Sequential probability ratio test 505
EilLin.the blanks 303
MaltiplélctiGite questions S17
Answers 512
Suggested reading 518
Nitahand P6pulatows tatistics
Short essay type questions on:
Uses_$20
Collection of vi istics 520
registration method 52
census enumeration method 522
survey method 522
sampling registration system 522
Formulae for estimation of population 523
Mital rates $24
Crude death rate "52.5
Specific death rate 525
Standardised death rate 525
Crude birth rate 527
Age specific fertility rate 528
General marital fertility rate 528
ood
519