FICCI Report - V080319 PDF
FICCI Report - V080319 PDF
of opportunity
India's Media &
Entertainment sector
March 2019
Foreword
Global Goes Indian!
A heartfelt welcome to the 2019 edition of the FICCI–EY Media
& Entertainment (M&E) report.
With this thought in mind, I thank all those who have helped in
bringing this report to the fore and sincerely hope that readers
shall find it useful.
India is one of the largest and perhaps the most diversified
content producers in the world. At heart it aims to entertain,
while at the same time the industry has embraced diversity
and has continued to innovate. Be it our movies or any form
of content across platforms, news, sports, Indian content has
already left an indelible mark on the world.
The M&E product will always remain relevant for a young country
like India, thirsting for escapism and knowledge. The growth of
digital infrastructure is enabling Indians to fulfil their need for
personal content consumption, and the M&E sector has responded
by producing more content than ever before – across languages
and genre. We estimate that India produced and licensed around
750,000 hours of content in 2018, a majority of which was made
in India. We expect the amount of content being produced to keep
increasing.
52 Print
72 Filmed entertainment
Radio 29 31 34 39 8.0%
Music 13 14 16 19 10.8%
All figures are gross of taxes (INR in billion) for calendar years | EY analysis
Television 12.1%
Music 10.1%
Radio 7.5%
Print 0.7%
►► Online gaming grew across real money gaming Value was driven by direct-to-
(including fantasy and e-Sports) as well as casual
gaming, on the back of a 52% growth in online gamers customer (D2C) capabilities
who reached 278 million in 2018
For a while in May 2018, Netflix was valued more than Walt
►► Advertising budgets continued their inexorable Disney1. This is a clear indication that valuation is being
shift towards digital media where, despite fears of driven by D2C capabilities – mainly access to deep customer
advertising fraud, the segment grew 34% to command data and the ability to interact with customers accordingly
21% of total advertising spends – an area where Netflix excels. Disney has focused on D2C
with the launch of its proposed OTT platform Disney+2, as
►► Digital subscription grew by over 250% with Indians well as the proposed acquisition of Fox’s assets like Hotstar
opening their purse strings to pay for online content and Hulu.
►► Animation and VFX continued to grow on the back In India, too, media buyers have started shifting budgets
of India’s cost-effective talent pool and growing to segments with more D2C capabilities and the segmental
participation in an international film and digital growth rate chart is representative of this. Some advertisers
content market that is producing more content than have started investing in their own D2C capabilities, to build
ever before communities and subscription product sales. There is a
huge opportunity for media companies to assist brands in
►► Live events continued to grow in scale and size on their D2C initiatives. Traditional media companies spent
the back of weddings, sports, government spends and 2018 building their customer data through second-screen
large format concerts and theatricals interactive propositions, polls, house-to-house surveys,
integration of third-party data, etc. We expect this (small)
►► The film segment crossed INR100 billion in domestic data to lay the foundation for more (big) data initiatives in
theatrical revenues, and was further supported by the the coming two to three years.
growth in Indian film exports, particularly to China,
and increasing values for digital rights
►► Television, the largest segment, grew at the industry Advertising outpaced subscription
average on the back of a strong performance by growth
regional brands, multiple sporting events and impact
properties Advertising and subscription revenues
1. https://money.cnn.com/2018/05/24/investing/netflix-disney-comcast-
market-value/index.html
2. https://www.adweek.com/tv-video/disney-announces-the-name-of-its-
much-anticipated-ott-service/
Media and entertainment
Advertising grew 12.7% in 2018, while subscription grew Digital subscription grew 262%
11.2%. Advertising revenues comprised 51.2% of the total
in 2018 and are expected to grow to 52.4% of the total by Indians started to pay for online content – well, more than
2021. they used to. We estimate that the number of Indians
who paid for any content in 2018 (not including those
Advertising got over the effects of demonetization and
who consumed content through bundled telco offerings)
caution necessitated due to the implementation of GST,
increased from 7.5 million in 2017 to 12-15 million in
which had impacted it for more than half of 2017. Growth
2018. The digital subscription market accordingly grew
was led by digital advertising (which grew 34% over 2017)
262% to reach INR14.2 billion, of which the majority was
and television advertising (which grew 14% over 2017) on
video subscription. Telco bundling remained key, with an
the back of sporting events, more impact properties, several
estimated 60% of consumption coming from such offerings.
state elections, and growth in regional advertising.
3. https://www.forbes.com/sites/danafeldman/2018/07/09/netflixs-
content-budget-is-updated-to-13b-in-2018/#33114c812b8c
13
The customer lifetime value While the Indian economy grew its nominal GDP by 10.2%4,
the Indian M&E sector grew 13.4%. Advertising, which had
equation refused to balance on dropped below the nominal growth rate in 2017 due to
digital platforms demonetization and implementation of GST, recovered and
grew 12.7%. The M&E sector is seeing the fruits of continued
For most OTT platforms – video, news or audio – the cost of economic growth and India’s rising per-capita nominal GDP,
content and customer acquisition continued to be higher which is estimated to have grown by 10.6% in 20185, a five-
than the revenues earned per customer. While subscription year high growth rate.
growth has begun, advertising rates are already at levels
much higher than those charged by traditional media.
Programmatic advertising – expected to grow from 20% in Sector consolidation continued
2018 to 50% by 2021 – could further impact advertising
revenue yield. Consequently, the formula for success Deal value doubled to US$2.8 billion in 2018. Indian media
will depend on massive growth in reach and more paying companies saw 41 large deals in 2018, led by PVR Cinemas
subscribers. Till such time as the customer lifetime value acquiring SPI Cinemas, Reliance acquiring Hathway and Den
equation balances, we can expect to see a high amount of Networks, etc. Deals were driven by scale, market share and
content syndication by platforms to recover content costs. access to technology. Investments in technology start-ups
and content creators continued.
13.1% 13.4%
12.7%
11.8%
10.9% 10.2%
4. Growth (Basic data): First Revised Estimates, NAS dated 31 Jan 2019
and Advance Estimates, NAS dated 07 January 2019, CSO, MoSPI
Customer
segment
Tactical digital 6 Mn 12 Mn 25 Mn
Source: EY analysis
Customer segments:
The key growth will come in digital only, tactical digital and
bundled digital customer segments. Telco bundling will drive
consumption for a majority of Indian OTT audiences.
Indian economy
and its impact on
M&E
India remained the growth
leader in 2018
India has been the growth leader amongst major economies including
Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (EMDEs) over the last
five years (Chart 1). It surpassed China in terms of real GDP growth
in 2014 and has remained higher since. The recently released first
revised estimates for FY18 combined with the advanced estimates
for FY19, imply a fall in the real GDP growth in 2018-19. However,
these numbers are likely to be revised upwards. India is thus expected
to remain the global growth leader for 2018.
9.0
8.0 8.2
8.0 7.4
7.2
7.0
5.9
6.0 5.5 6.4 6.0
5.0 4.9
4.0
3.6
3.0
2.0
1.7
1.0
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
United
2,810 7 3,145 9
Kingdom
Source: IMF
Forward estimates of growth are 2020. They have the potential of raising consumption
demand in the economy and correspondingly advertising
positive spends, since the relatively lower income groups tend to
have a higher marginal propensity to consume.
Interim Budget 2020: Providing a
Further, this fiscal stimulus is likely to have a stronger
consumption-based push
positive effect on growth rather than inflation since food
The Interim Budget 2020 of the Government of India has inflation in December 2018 was contracting at (-) 2.5% y-o-y
given a consumption-based push to the economy. First, and the overall CPI inflation was quite low at 2.2%.
in the form of direct transfers to farmers, a budgetary
commitment for INR200 billion in FY19 and INR750 billion in Crude prices are expected to remain low in
FY20 has been provided. Secondly, the standard deduction 2019
for salaried employees has been raised from INR40,000
to INR50,000, which would increase their disposable The fall in crude prices from their peak level of US$76.7/
income. Third, a tax relief has been given to the low and barrel in October 2018 to US$56.6/barrel in January
middle income groups with a taxable income of less than 2019 significantly contributed to the fall in Consumer Price
INR500,000 which may be claimed as a rebate. Index (CPI ) based inflation to an 18-month low of 2.2% in
December 2018 (Chart 3). Further, as per the IMF2, crude
These programs are likely to add to the private disposable prices are expected to remain low in 2019 and 2020, closer
incomes of low to middle income segments in 2019 and to the current levels. If this were to materialize, it would likely
exert a benign effect on inflation and also provide additional
disposable income in the hands of consumers through lower
domestic fuel prices. The print segment would also benefit
through lower newsprint prices and logistics costs.
5.5 85
4.9
5.0 76.7 80
4.5 75
4.0 70
3.5 65
3.0 56.6 60
2.5 55
2.2
2.0 50
1.5 45
1.0 40
Note: Crude price represents the simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai Fateh
Exchange rate fluctuations are expected to FDI policy initiatives are driving
be muted investment
Starting January 2018, India’s exchange rate had
The Indian government has focused on liberalizing the FDI
depreciated to an all-time low averaging INR73.7/US$ in
regime for both telecom and media and entertainment
October 2018 partly due to foreign portfolio outflows and
sectors, to attract investment for adequate infrastructure
the impact of higher crude prices on India’s import bill
development. FDI limits for the telecom sector were eased in
(Chart 4). Since then, however, the Rupee has recovered and
20134 while those for the media and entertainment sector
stood at INR 70.7/US$ in January 2019. It is expected to
were eased in 2015 and 2016. More recently, in June 2016,
remain close to this level for the remaining part of the year
FDI limits in teleports, DTH, cable networks, mobile TV,
as well3.
headend-in-the sky broadcasting service and cable networks
Chart 4: Exchange rate movement were completely lifted allowing 100% FDI through the
automatic route.
63.0 63.6
69.0
Telecommunications
70.7 Telecommunication • FDI up to 49%:
services (basic, automatic route
72.0 cellular, internet,
national, • F
► DI beyond 49%
100% and up to 100%:
73.7 international long
75.0 distance, etc.) approval route,
i.e., prior approval
May-18
Aug-18
Nov-18
Jun-18
Mar-18
Dec-18