Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 4, 2010
NAME LEAGUE W L SV HLD BSV SO RS WHIP ERA PR ∆
1 Ubaldo Jimenez NL 17 2 135 7.07 1.11 2.61 49.09 1
2 Adam Wainwright NL 15 6 147 6.40 1.02 2.19 44.38 2
3 Roy Halladay NL 13 8 158 4.90 1.02 2.17 41.67 4
4 Heath Bell NL 5 0 30 3 58 0.00 1.28 1.99 35.85 5
5 Josh Johnson NL 10 4 151 6.12 1.03 1.96 35.54 3
6 David Price AL 14 5 117 7.27 1.23 2.90 34.84 9
7 Mat Latos NL 11 5 119 5.75 0.99 2.47 32.85 7
8 Chris Carpenter NL 11 3 128 6.38 1.17 2.93 32.49 12
9 CC Sabathia AL 13 5 127 7.35 1.26 3.19 32.30 6
10 Tim Lincecum NL 11 4 152 7.12 1.27 3.10 31.77 17
11 Rafael Soriano AL 2 1 31 2 36 0.00 0.89 1.85 30.89 18
12 Jon Lester AL 11 6 150 6.80 1.14 3.05 30.86 8
13 Jered Weaver AL 10 7 162 5.90 1.09 3.04 30.72 19
14 Cliff Lee AL 9 5 118 4.47 0.92 2.51 30.46 10
15 Clayton Kershaw NL 10 6 144 5.62 1.23 2.94 30.02 14
16 Brian Wilson NL 2 1 31 3 66 0.00 1.31 2.28 29.75 11
17 Justin Verlander AL 12 6 138 6.86 1.21 3.74 29.55 15
18 Carl Pavano AL 13 7 87 5.94 1.06 3.32 29.09 13
19 Billy Wagner NL 5 2 25 5 66 0.00 0.90 1.77 28.92 16
20 Tim Hudson NL 12 5 77 6.66 1.14 2.36 28.60 32
21 Mariano Rivera AL 3 1 22 2 36 0.00 0.63 0.93 27.69 20
22 Johnny Cueto NL 11 2 98 7.08 1.26 3.24 27.47 26
23 Trevor Cahill AL 11 4 73 6.09 0.99 2.72 27.31 42
24 Yovani Gallardo NL 10 5 142 7.69 1.27 2.71 27.19 24
25 Francisco Liriano AL 10 7 150 6.68 1.19 3.18 27.01 29
26 Ricky Nolasco NL 12 7 124 6.49 1.21 4.28 26.12 NR
27 Neftali Feliz AL 2 2 29 3 2 48 0.00 0.99 3.57 25.91 31
28 Andy Pettitte AL 11 2 90 8.48 1.20 2.88 25.10 22
29 John Danks AL 11 8 109 5.90 1.14 3.40 25.05 21
30 Felix Hernandez AL 7 8 149 4.08 1.14 2.90 24.64 23
31 Phil Hughes AL 13 4 107 9.76 1.21 3.96 24.15 43
32 Joakim Soria AL 0 2 30 2 49 0.00 1.18 2.20 24.12 37
33 C.J. Wilson AL 10 5 100 6.41 1.22 3.11 24.08 33
34 Matt Cain NL 9 8 113 4.77 1.13 2.98 24.06 NR
35 Clay Buchholz AL 11 5 78 7.22 1.23 2.59 24.04 28
36 Jeff Niemann AL 10 3 102 7.83 1.17 3.12 23.63 NR
37 Ryan Franklin NL 6 1 19 1 25 0.00 1.05 2.95 23.23 45
38 Colby Lewis AL 9 8 134 5.64 1.16 3.45 23.12 30
39 Matt Garza AL 11 5 1 106 7.56 1.22 4.11 22.95 34
40 Ricky Romero AL 9 7 128 5.76 1.31 3.37 22.85 41
41 John Axford NL 6 1 16 1 1 42 0.00 1.17 2.83 22.75 NR
42 Leo Nunez NL 4 2 26 5 49 0.00 1.08 2.64 22.70 39
43 Shaun Marcum AL 10 5 112 7.42 1.18 3.44 22.56 NR
44 Johan Santana NL 8 6 105 4.31 1.24 3.20 22.49 25
45 Ervin Santana AL 10 7 119 6.42 1.29 3.65 22.27 38
Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 4, 2010
DROPPED FROM RANKINGS:
27 Jaime Garcia
35 Brett Myers
36 Jose Valverde
40 Hong-Chih Kuo
44 Fausto Carmona
ESPN Cy Young Predictor Ross Clites Pitcher Rating
AL NL AL NL
2002 Barry Zito Randy Johnson Barry Zito Randy Johnson
2003 Keith Foulke Mark Prior Roy Halladay Eric Gagne
2004 Johan Santana Eric Gagne Johan Santana Eric Gagne
2005 Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter
2006 Johan Santana Brandon Webb Johan Santana Brandon Webb
2007 CC Sabathia Jake Peavy CC Sabathia Jake Peavy
2008 Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum
2009 Felix Hernandez Adam Wainwright Felix Hernandez Tim Lincecum
Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that
same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting.
The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano
Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04.
The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer
too much and another not enough.
A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished
seventh in the vote, Prior taking third.
Ubaldo Jimenez pitches in the altitude of Coors Field on a regular basis and is 17-2. How can he not be the NL Cy Young
favorite right now? ESPN Cy Young Predictor has Wainwright ahead, and by a substantial margin no less.
2010 ESPN Cy Young Predictor 2010 Ross Clites Pitcher Rating
AL NL AL NL
1ST David Price Adam Wainwright David Price Ubaldo Jimenez
2ND CC Sabathia Ubaldo Jimenez CC Sabathia Adam Wainwright
3RD Rafael Soriano Roy Halladay Rafael Soriano Roy Halladay
4TH Carl Pavano Heath Bell Jon Lester Heath Bell
5TH Andy Pettitte Tim Hudson Jered Weaver Josh Johnson
6TH Neftali Feliz Josh Johnson Cliff Lee Mat Latos
7TH Trevor Cahill Billy Wagner Justin Verlander Chris Carpenter