Sino Russian War leads to Extinction
Sharavin 1 [Alexander Sharavin, head of the institute for political and military analysis, 10/1/2001 The
Third Threat [Link]
Russia may face the "wonderful" prospect of combating the Chinese army, which,
if full mobilization is called, is comparable in size with Russia's entire population, which
also has nuclear weapons (even tactical weapons become strategic if states
have common borders) and would be absolutely insensitive to losses (even a loss
of a few million of the servicemen would be acceptable for China). Such a war would be more
horrible than the World War II. It would require from our state maximal
tension, universal mobilization and complete accumulation of the army
military hardware, up to the last tank or a plane, in a single direction (we would
have to forget such "trifles" like Talebs and Basaev, but this does not guarantee success either). Massive
nuclear strikes on basic military forces and cities of China would finally be the
only way out, what would exhaust Russia's armament completely. We have not got
another set of intercontinental ballistic missiles and submarine-based missiles, whereas the general forces would be
extremely exhausted in the border combats. In the long run, even if the aggression would be
stopped after the majority of the Chinese are killed, our country would be
absolutely unprotected against the "Chechen" and the "Balkan" variants both,
and even against the first frost of a possible nuclear winter.