Edwards Deming
Edwards Deming
Edwards Deming
Born
October 14, 1900
Sioux City, Iowa, USA
Died
December 20, 1993 (aged 93)
Washington DC, USA
Fields
Statistician
Alma
mater
University of Wyoming, University of
Colorado
Influences
Walter A. Shewhart
W. Edwards Deming
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
William Edwards Deming (October 14,
1900 December 20, 1993) was an
American statistician, professor, author,
lecturer and consultant. He is perhaps
best known for his work in Japan. There,
from 1950 onward, he taught top
management how to improve design (and
thus service), product quality, testing, and
sales (the last through global markets)
[1]
through various methods, including the
application of statistical methods.
Deming made a significant contribution
to Japan's later reputation for innovative
high-quality products and its economic
power. He is regarded as having had
more impact upon Japanese
manufacturing and business than any
other individual not of Japanese heritage.
Despite being considered something of a
hero in Japan, he was only just beginning
to win widespread recognition in the U.S.
at the time of his death.
[2]
Contents
1 Overview
2 Family
3 Early life and work
3.1 Work in Japan
3.2 Honors
3.3 Later work in
the U.S.
4 Deming philosophy
synopsis
Deming advocated that all managers need to have what he called a System of Profound Knowledge,
consisting of four parts:
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Appreciation of a system: understanding the overall processes involving suppliers, producers,
and customers (or recipients) of goods and services (explained below);
1.
Knowledge of variation: the range and causes of variation in quality, and use of statistical
sampling in measurements;
2.
Theory of knowledge: the concepts explaining knowledge and the limits of what can be known
(see also: epistemology);
3.
Knowledge of psychology: concepts of human nature. 4.
Deming explained, "One need not be eminent in any part nor in all four parts in order to understand
it and to apply it. The 14 points for management in industry, education, and government follow
naturally as application of this outside knowledge, for transformation from the present style of
Western management to one of optimization."
"The various segments of the system of profound knowledge proposed here cannot be separated.
They interact with each other. Thus, knowledge of psychology is incomplete without knowledge of
variation.
"A manager of people needs to understand that all people are different. This is not ranking people.
He needs to understand that the performance of anyone is governed largely by the system that he
works in, the responsibility of management. A psychologist that possesses even a crude
understanding of variation as will be learned in the experiment with the Red Beads (Ch. 7) could no
longer participate in refinement of a plan for ranking people."
[23]
The Appreciation of a system involves understanding how interactions (i.e., feedback) between the
elements of a system can result in internal restrictions that force the system to behave as a single
organism that automatically seeks a steady state. It is this steady state that determines the output of
the system rather than the individual elements. Thus it is the structure of the organization rather than
the employees, alone, which holds the key to improving the quality of output.
The Knowledge of variation involves understanding that everything measured consists of both
"normal" variation due to the flexibility of the system and of "special causes" that create defects.
Quality involves recognizing the difference to eliminate "special causes" while controlling normal
variation. Deming taught that making changes in response to "normal" variation would only make
the system perform worse. Understanding variation includes the mathematical certainty that variation
will normally occur within six standard deviations of the mean.
The System of Profound Knowledge is the basis for application of Deming's famous 14 Points for
Management, described below.
Key principles
Deming offered fourteen key principles to managers for transforming business effectiveness. The
points were first presented in his book Out of the Crisis. (p. 23-24)
[24]
Although Deming does not use
the term in his book, it is credited with launching the Total Quality Management movement.
[25]
Create constancy of purpose toward improvement of product and service, with the aim to
become competitive, stay in business and to provide jobs.
1.
Adopt the new philosophy. We are in a new economic age. Western management must awaken
to the challenge, must learn their responsibilities, and take on leadership for change.
2.
Cease dependence on inspection to achieve quality. Eliminate the need for massive inspection
by building quality into the product in the first place.
3.
End the practice of awarding business on the basis of a price tag. Instead, minimize total cost.
Move towards a single supplier for any one item, on a long-term relationship of loyalty and
trust.
4.
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Improve constantly and forever the system of production and service, to improve quality and
productivity, and thus constantly decrease costs.
5.
Institute training on the job. 6.
Institute leadership (see Point 12 and Ch. 8 of "Out of the Crisis"). The aim of supervision
should be to help people and machines and gadgets do a better job. Supervision of
management is in need of overhaul, as well as supervision of production workers.
7.
Drive out fear, so that everyone may work effectively for the company. (See Ch. 3 of "Out of
the Crisis")
8.
Break down barriers between departments. People in research, design, sales, and production
must work as a team, in order to foresee problems of production and usage that may be
encountered with the product or service.
9.
Eliminate slogans, exhortations, and targets for the work force asking for zero defects and new
levels of productivity. Such exhortations only create adversarial relationships, as the bulk of
the causes of low quality and low productivity belong to the system and thus lie beyond the
power of the work force.
10.
a. Eliminate work standards (quotas) on the factory floor. Substitute with leadership.
b. Eliminate management by objective. Eliminate management by numbers and numerical
goals. Instead substitute with leadership.
11.
a. Remove barriers that rob the hourly worker of his right to pride of workmanship. The
responsibility of supervisors must be changed from sheer numbers to quality.
b. Remove barriers that rob people in management and in engineering of their right to pride of
workmanship. This means, inter alia," abolishment of the annual or merit rating and of
management by objective (See Ch. 3 of "Out of the Crisis").
12.
Institute a vigorous program of education and self-improvement. 13.
Put everybody in the company to work to accomplish the transformation. The transformation
is everybody's job.
14.
"Massive training is required to instill the courage to break with tradition. Every activity and every
job is a part of the process."
[26]
Seven Deadly Diseases
The "Seven Deadly Diseases" include:
Lack of constancy of purpose 1.
Emphasis on short-term profits 2.
Evaluation by performance, merit rating, or annual review of performance 3.
Mobility of management 4.
Running a company on visible figures alone 5.
Excessive medical costs 6.
Excessive costs of warranty, fueled by lawyers who work for contingency fees 7.
"A Lesser Category of Obstacles" includes
Neglecting long-range planning 1.
Relying on technology to solve problems 2.
Seeking examples to follow rather than developing solutions 3.
Excuses, such as "our problems are different" 4.
Obsolescence in school that management skill can be taught in classes
[27]
5.
Reliance on quality control departments rather than management, supervisors, managers of
purchasing, and production workers
6.
Placing blame on workforces who are only responsible for 15% of mistakes where the system
designed by management is responsible for 85% of the unintended consequences
7.
Relying on quality inspection rather than improving product quality 8.
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Deming's advocacy of the Plan-Do-Check-Act cycle, his 14 Points, and Seven Deadly Diseases have
had tremendous influence outside of manufacturing and have been applied in other arenas, such as in
the relatively new field of sales process engineering.
[28]
Quotations and concepts
In his later years, Dr. Deming taught many concepts, which he emphasized by key sayings or
quotations that he repeated. A number of these quotes have been recorded.
[29]
Some of the concepts
might seem to be oxymorons or contradictory to each other; however, the student is given each
concept to ponder its meaning in the whole system, over time.
"There is no substitute for knowledge." This statement emphasizes the need to know more,
about everything in the system. It is considered as a contrast to the old statement, "There is
no substitute for hard work" by Thomas Alva Edison (18471931). Instead, a small
amount of knowledge could save many hours of hard work.
"In God we trust; all others must bring data. [Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and
Jerome Friedman, co-authors of The Elements of Statistical Learning in their Preface to
the Second Edition have a footnote which reads: "On the Web, this quote has been widely
attributed to both Deming and Robert W. Hayden; however Professor Hayden told us that
he can claim no credit for this quote, and ironically we could find no 'data' confirming
Deming actually said this."]
"The most important things cannot be measured." The issues that are most important, long
term, cannot be measured in advance. However, they might be among the factors that an
organization is measuring, just not understood as most important at the time.
"The most important things are unknown or unknowable." The factors that have the
greatest impact, long term, can be quite surprising. Analogous to an earthquake that
disrupts service, other "earth-shattering" events that most affect an organization will be
unknown or unknowable, in advance. Other examples of important things would be: a
drastic change in technology, or new investment capital.
"Special Causes and Common Causes": Dr. Deming considered anomalies in quality to be
variations outside the control limits of a process. Such variations could be attributed to one
-time events called "special causes" or to repeated events called "common causes" that
hinder quality.
Acceptable Defects: Rather than waste efforts on zero-defect goals, Dr. Deming stressed
the importance of establishing a level of variation, or anomalies, acceptable to the recipient
(or customer) in the next phase of a process. Often, some defects are quite acceptable, and
efforts to remove all defects would be an excessive waste of time and money.
The Deming Cycle (or Shewhart Cycle): As a repetitive process to determine the next
action, the Deming Cycle describes a simple method to test information before making a
major decision. The 4 steps in the Deming Cycle are: Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA), also
known as Plan-Do-Study-Act or PDSA. Dr. Deming called the cycle the Shewhart Cycle,
after Walter A. Shewhart. The cycle can be used in various ways, such as running an
experiment: PLAN (design) the experiment; DO the experiment by performing the steps;
CHECK the results by testing information; and ACT on the decisions based on those
results.
Semi-Automated, not Fully Automated: Dr. Deming lamented the problem of automation
gone awry ("robots painting robots"): instead, he advocated human-assisted semi-
automation, which allows people to change the semi-automated or computer-assisted
processes, based on new knowledge. Compare to Japanese term 'jidoka' (which can be
loosely translated as "automation with a human touch").
"A system must be managed. It will not manage itself. Left to themselves in the Western
world, components become selfish, competitive. We can not afford the destructive effect of
competition."
[23]
"The worker is not the problem. The problem is at the top! Management!"
[30]
Managements job. It is managements job to direct the efforts of all components toward
the aim of the system. The first step is clarification: everyone in the organization must
understand the aim of the system, and how to direct his efforts toward it. Everyone must
understand the damage and loss to the whole organization from a team that seeks to
become a selfish, independent, profit centre."
[23]
"They realized that the gains that you get by statistical methods are gains that you get
without new machinery, without new people. Anybody can produce quality if he lowers his
production rate. That is not what I am talking about. Statistical thinking and statistical
methods are to Japanese production workers, foremen, and all the way through the
company, a second language. In statistical control, you have a reproducible product hour
after hour, day after day. And see how comforting that is to management, they now know
what they can produce, they know what their costs are going to be."
[31]
"I think that people here expect miracles. American management thinks that they can just
copy from Japanbut they don't know what to copy!"
[31]
"What is the variation trying to tell us about a process, about the people in the
process?"
[23]
Dr. Shewhart created the basis for the control chart and the concept of a state
of statistical control by carefully designed experiments. While Dr. Shewhart drew from
pure mathematical statistical theories, he understood that data from physical processes
never produce a "normal distribution curve" (a Gaussian distribution, also commonly
referred to as a "bell curve"). He discovered that observed variation in manufacturing data
did not always behave the same way as data in nature (Brownian motion of particles). Dr.
Shewhart concluded that while every process displays variation, some processes display
controlled variation that is natural to the process, while others display uncontrolled
variation that is not present in the process causal system at all times.
[32]
Dr. Deming
renamed these distinctions "common cause" for chance causes and "special cause" for
assignable causes. He did this so the focus would be placed on those responsible for doing
something about the variation, rather than the source of the variation. It is top
managements responsibility to address "common cause" variation, and therefore it is
managements responsibility to make improvements to the whole system. Because "special
cause" variation is assignable, workers, supervisors or middle managers that have direct
knowledge of the assignable cause best address this type of specific intervention.
[9]
(Deming on Quality Circles) "That's all window dressing. That's not fundamental. That's
not getting at change and the transformation that must take place. Sure we have to solve
problems. Certainly stamp out the fire. Stamp out the fire and get nowhere. Stamp out the
fires puts us back to where we were in the first place. Taking action on the basis of results
without theory of knowledge, without theory of variation, without knowledge about a
system. Anything goes wrong, do something about it, overreacting; acting without
knowledge, the effect is to make things worse. With the best of intentions and best efforts,
managing by results is, in effect, exactly the same, as Dr. Myron Tribus put it, while
driving your automobile, keeping your eye on the rear view mirror, what would happen?
And that's what management by results is, keeping your eye on results."
[2]
"The most important figures that one needs for management are unknown or unknowable
(Lloyd S. Nelson, director of statistical methods for the Nashua corporation), but
successful management must nevertheless take account of them."
[24]
Deming realized that
many important things that must be managed couldnt be measured. Both points are
important. One, not everything of importance to management can be measured. And two,
you must still manage those important things. Spend $20,000 training 10 people in a
special skill. What's the benefit? "You'll never know," answered Deming. "You'll never be
able to measure it. Why did you do it? Because you believed it would pay off. Theory."
Dr. Deming is often incorrectly quoted as saying, "You can't manage what you can't
measure." In fact, he stated that one of the seven deadly diseases of management is
running a company on visible figures alone.
See also
Common cause and special cause
Analytic and enumerative statistical studies
Statistical process control
Sales process engineering
Control chart
Shewhart cycle
Joseph M. Juran
Continuous improvement
Toyota Production System
Myron Tribus
Notes
^
a
b
Deming's 1950 Lecture to Japanese Management ([Link]
[Link]) . Translation by Teruhide Haga. Accessed: 2011-07-10.
1.
^
a
b
Deming of America ([Link] (Documentary). Cincinnati, OH:
The Petty Consulting/Productions. 1991. [Link]
2.
^ Aguayo, Rafael (1991). Dr. Deming: The American Who Taught the Japanese About Quality. Fireside.
pp. 4041.
3.
^ The Man: His Music ([Link] . W. Edwards Deming Institute. Accessed: 2006-
06-16.
4.
^ Institute History ([Link] . W. Edwards Deming Institute. Accessed: 2008-10-
15.
5.
^
a
b
c
The Man: Biography ([Link] W. Edwards Deming Institute. Accessed:
2006-06-17.
6.
^ Deming, Judson Keith (1904). John Deming and His Descendents. Dubuque, Iowa: Press of Mathis-
Mets Co.. p. 4. OCLC 2285125 ([Link] .
7.
^ [Link] 8.
^
a
b
A Brief History of Dr. W. Edwards Deming British Deming Association SPC Press, Inc. 1992 9.
^ The Man: Articles: "The Three Careers of W. Edwards Deming." ([Link] W.
Edwards Deming Institute. Accessed: 2008-10-15.
10.
^ Deming WE, Stephan F (1940). On a least squares adjustment of a sampled frequency table when the
expected marginal totals are known. [Annals of Mathematical Statistics] 11, (4), 427-444.
doi:10.1214/aoms/1177731829
11.
Page 12 of 15 W. Edwards Deming - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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^ Editor's Preface Elementary Principles of Statistical Control Quality The Union of Japanese Scientists
and Engineers (transcript of Deming's 1950 lectures in Japan)
12.
^
a
b
c
Noguchi, Junji (October 1995). "The Legacy of W. Edwards Deming". Quality Progress 28 (12):
3538.
13.
^ "What is the Deming Prize?" ([Link] . The W. Edwards Deming
Institute.. [Link] Retrieved 2010-05-20.
14.
^ Thibaud, Jean-Marie (December 2007). "L'Ordre du Trsor sacr (The Order of the Sacred
Treasure)" ([Link] (in
French). L'Harmattan. [Link]
navig=catalogue&obj=article&no=8245.
15.
^ "Red beads on display at ASQ headquarters". Deming Interaction 9 (1): 2. Spring 2005. 16.
^ Salsburg (2002) page 254 17.
^ Deming and his statistical methods are profiled by Salsburg(2002, Chapter 24) 18.
^ Walton, Mary (1986). The Deming Management Method. Penguin Group. pp. 138139. 19.
^ Ford Embraces Six-Sigma Quality Goals. ([Link]
&&20012513&ND&&SME&) Accessed: 2006-07-31.
20.
^ Quality Control Pioneer W. Edwards Deming Dead at 93 ([Link]
[Link]) Knight Ridder/Tribune Business News; 1993-12-20. Accessed 2010-05-20.
21.
^ Dr. Deming's Management Training. ([Link]
Accessed: 2006-06-18.
22.
^
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i
Deming, W. Edwards. 1993. The New Economics for Industry, Government, Education,
second edition.
23.
^
a
b
Deming, W. Edwards (1986). Out of the Crisis. MIT Press. 24.
^ Cohen, Phil. "Deming's 14 Points" ([Link]
[Link]) . Realisation. [Link]
Retrieved 25 June 2011.
25.
^ Reilly, Norman B. (1994). Quality: What Makes it Happen?. Van Nostrand Reinhold. p. 31. ISBN 0-
442-01635-2.
26.
^ Walton, Mary (1986). The Deming Management Method. Penguin Group. p. 94. 27.
^ Selden, Paul H. (1997). Sales Process Engineering: A Personal Workshop. Milwaukee, WI: ASQ
Quality Press. pp. 6074.
28.
^
a
b
c
"The Man: Articles: Four Days with W. Edwards Deming" ([Link]
content=653) . W. Edwards Deming Institute. [Link] Retrieved 2008-
10-15.
29.
^ Cultural Transformation Discussion Guide.
([Link] The Deming Library.
Accessed 2006-06-18.
30.
^
a
b
If Japan Can...Why Can't We (white paper), broadcast by NBC in 1980. 31.
^ "Why SPC?," British Deming Association SPC Press, Inc., 1992 32.
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External links
[Link] ([Link] W. Edwards Deming Institute
Page 14 of 15 W. Edwards Deming - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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[Link] ([Link]
deming/) W. Edwards Deming Founder of Statistical Process Control for Quality
Management.