Presentation on Annual Plan 2012-13 and Five Year Plan 2012-17

Planning Department, Government of Maharashtra

29th May, 2012
1

Structure of Presentation
Title State Economy State Public Finance Annual Plan 2012-13 Agriculture & Allied Services Irrigation MG-NREGA Power Roads/ Rural Roads Railway, Ports & Airports Industry Textile Housing Health, Women & Child Development Water Supply & Sanitation Education Regional Imbalance Human Development Index Urban Infrastructure Strategy for XII FYP & Expectations from Planning Commission Slide No. 3-7 8-12 13-16 17-19 20 21 22-26 27-28 29-31 32-34 35 36-37 38-39 40 41-42 43 44 45-47 48-51 2

State Economy

GSDP
(Rs. lakh crore)

14 13 12 11 10 GSDP 9 8 7 6 5 4

12.5 10.7 8.7

13.4

At current prices

8.7 7.5 6.8 6.7 5.9 6.1 7.4 8.1

At constant prices

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11

* 2011-12

$ 2012-13

*Advance

estimates

$ Projected 4

GSDP & GDP : Growth rates (XI FYP)

12 10 8 Per cent 6 4 2 0
9.3

11.3 9.2

11.3 8.4 6.7 8.4

GSDP
8.5 6.9

GDP
2.6

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11

2011-12 *

Advance estimates

Link

Link

Per Capita Income : Maharashtra & Selected States

120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Haryana Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Karnataka Punjab * Gujarat Kerala Andhra Pradesh West Bengal
60,972 49,831 31,206

(Rs.)

Per capita State Income (2011-12)

1,01,314

Per capita State Income (2006-07)

Per capita National Income (2011-12) Per capita National Income (2006-07)

* (2010-11)

Link

Growth Rates, Share in GDP : Maharahshtra & Selected States

State Growth Rate (XI FYP) 8.3 9.6 9.1 8.0 8.0 Per capita income (Rs.) (2011-12) 71,540 75,115 1,09,227 69,493 83,725

(Per cent)
Share in GDP (2011-12) 7.8 7.5 3.4 5.7 4.0

Andhra Pradesh Gujarat* Haryana Karnataka Kerala

Maharashtra
Punjab Tamil Nadu West Bengal GDP
* 2010-11

8.6
6.9 8.3 7.3 7.9

1,01,314
78,171 84,058 55,864 60,972

15.4
3.0 8.2 6.5 Link
7

Note : In 2006-07, Maharashtras share in GDP was 15%

State Public Finance

OWN TAX REVENUE : Growth Rates (X & XI FYP) (Per cent)

Particulars Sales Tax Stamps & Registration Fees State Excise Duty Electricity Duty Tax on Vehicles

X Plan 15.7 22.8 14.2 8.2 18.3

XI Plan 16.9 13.1 21.0 13.2 16.9

Total Own Tax Revenue

15.1
Link

16.1
Graph
9

Taxation Measures
Rationalisation of stamp duties Special provision for part payment in appeals Provision for tax collection at source for evasion prone items System for online verification of Input Tax Credit is planned VAT on LPG, Bidis Motor vehicle tax (Diesel Passenger vehicles) increased
10

Revenue Expenditure : Composition (XI FYP)

Others 30%

Salary & Wages 35%

Others 30%

Salary & Wages 37%

Subsidies 8% Interest Payments 20% Pension 7%

Subsidies 9% Interest Payments 14% Pension 10%

2007-08

2011-12 (RE)

11

States Debt Stock

Year GSDP (at current prices) (2) 8,67,866 10,68,327 Debt stock Debt stock to GSDP (%) (4) 20.9 (27.1) 19.0 (26.6) 18.3 (26.1) 18.8 (25.5) Interest Payments (5) 14,838 15,648 Interest Payments to Revenue Receipts (%) (6) 17.1 14.8

(Rs. crore)
Fiscal deficit to GSDP (%) (8) 3.0 (2.8) 1.8 (2.6)

(1) 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 (RE) 2012-13 (BE)

(3) 1,81,447 2,03,097

12,48,453*

2,28,590

17,311

13.8

1.7 (2.5)

13,43,268

2,53,085

18,523

13.6

1.7 (2.5)

Note : Figures in brackets indicate Consolidated Fiscal Reforms Path as recommended by 13th F.C. * Advance estimates Graph Link Link

12

Annual Plan 2012-13

13

Sectorwise XII FYP and Annual Plan 2012-13 (Proposed) (Rs. crore)
Sector Agriculture and Allied Services Rural Development Irrigation and Flood Control Energy Industry and Minerals Transport Social and Community Services Other Programmes Total XII FYP Proposed Annual Plan 2012-13 21,917 9,089 47,990 20,695 2,175 33,855 1,19,700 19,580 2,75,000
Link

3,258 1,504 7,614 3,063 353 5,575 20,406 3,228 45,000

Link Link
14

Financing of XII FYP & Annual Plan 2012-13 (Proposed) (Rs. crore)
Source of Funds States Own Resources States Borrowings Central Assistance Total XII FYP 1,03,260 (38%) 1,21,425 (44%) 50,315 (18%) 2,75,000 AP 2012-13 14,102 (32%) 22,651 (50%) 8,247 (18%) 45,000

15

Growth Targets Proposed for XII FYP

(Per cent)

Sector

National Target
(Planning Commission)

State Target
(As presented to NDC)

Revised State Targets 4.0 11.0 11.0 10.5

Agriculture Industry Services Total

4.0 11.0 - 12.0 10.0 9.0 - 9.5

5.0 11.0 - 12.0 12.0 11.2

Link

16

Sectoral Issues

17

Agriculture : Area, Production & Yield of Major Crops (XI FYP)

Crop Item Area (lakh ha.) Production (lakh MT) Yield (kg./ha.) Area (lakh ha.) Pulses Production (lakh MT) Yield (kg./ha.) Area (lakh ha.) Foodgrains Production Link (lakh MT) Yield Yield (kg./ha.) 2007-08 91.3 124.6 1,366 40.6 30.2 745 131.8 154.9 1,175 2008-09 83.3 95.2 1,144 30.9 16.6 537 114.2 111.9 980 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 87.4 102.2 1,170 33.8 23.7 702 121.1 125.9 1,040 89.9 123.2 1,371 40.4 31.0 767 130.3 154.2 1,184 74.8 96.9 1,296 31.6 21.2 672 106.4 118.1 1,110 Link Requirement * . 131.90 . . 12.32 . . 144.22 .
18

Cereals

Source : Commissionerate of Agriculture, GoM * - Based on estimates of NSS 66 th round and 2011 population

ADF
FYP Year Milk (lakh MT) Target Achievement 62.51 Eggs (crore) Target Achievement 329 Meat (lakh MT) Target Achievement 2.19

2002-03 X 2006-07

62.35

329

2.20

69.76

69.78

367

340

2.51

2.43

2007-08 XI 2011-12*
* Expected Source: ADF, GoM

72.97 84.50

72.10 84.34

347 436

346 430

2.50 5.75

5.25 5.70

19

Irrigation Potential - Created and Utilised

(Lakh Ha.)
70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Total Major Medium Minor 35.4 26.7 19.3 8.5 4.5 11.6 28.5

63.7

Created up to 30.6.2011

Utilised during 2010-11

Source : Water Resources Dept., GoM

Link

Link

20

MGNREGA : Performance (XI FYP)

Particulars Total Expenditure incurred (Rs. crore) Number of works completed Person (Employment) Days (crore) Average Employment per household (days) Share of SCs in Employment ( per cent) Share of STs in Employment ( per cent) Share of women in Employment ( per cent) Cost of generating one day of employment (Rs.)
Source EGS & Water Conservation Dept., GOM

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 189 4,778 1.9 39 18.4 38.5 40.0 102 362 5,928 3.2 46 16.5 44.2 46.2 112 321 5,837 2.7 46 25.6 33.2 33.7 117

2010-11 346 6,979 1.9 41 22.0 25.6 45.9 179

2011-12 1,587 7,479 6.5 47 23.1 17.3 46.0 244

21

Power : Installed Capacity

(MW)

Particulars State Central Private Total

Installed Capacity * 10,246 (41%) 6,365 (25%) 8,554 (34%) 25,175

Type Thermal Hydro Non-conventional Other Sources Total

Installed Capacity * 14,242 (57%) 3,568 (14%) 3,456 (14%) 3,909 (15%) 25,175

* As on 31.3.2012 Link Link

22

Power : Average Demand & Supply (MSEDCL)

13500 13000 12500 12000 11500 11000 10500 10000 9500 9000 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 9435 10060 10663 11776 12304 12433

13175
Demand (MW)

11687
Availability (MW)

2011-12

Coal MOU

FSA

Gas

23

Power : Load Shedding Scenario

Greater Mumbai : No load shedding Rest of Maharashtra : No load shedding in

Industrial feeders Waterworks IT Parks Utilities on express feeder In 94 out of 142 divisions having DCL below 34%

Rest of Maharashtra : Agriculture Assured 3 phase supply to pumps in rotation either

o o

10 hrs. (night) or 8 hrs. (day)

Link 24

Power : Losses (XI FYP)

(Per cent)

Item

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11

2011-12 (up to Dec.) 15.5

Distribution losses Transmission losses Total T&D losses Collection efficiency AT&C losses
Source: Energy Dept., GoM

24.1

22.0

20.6

17.3

4.7 28.8 97.4 31.0

4.9 26.9 96.6 29.6

4.6 25.2 99.0 25.9

4.3 21.6 98.6 22.3

4.0 19.5 98.6 19.5

25

Power : Non-Conventional Energy (XI FYP)

3,500 3,500 3,000 3,000 2,500 2,500

MW 2,000 1,627 1,627MW 2,000 1,500 1,500

3,227 MW 3,227

1,000 1,000 500 500 0 0 2007 2007 2012 2012

26

Roads : Road Length in Selected States

State Area (lakh sq.km.) 2.75 1.96 0.44 1.92 0.39 3.08 0.50 1.30 Road Length Road Length (lakh km.) per 100 sq. km. area (km.) 2.03 74 1.15 58 0.24 55 2.10 110 1.55 400 2.37 77 0.55 109 1.94 149
(As on 31st March, 2011) 27

Andhra Pradesh Gujarat Haryana Karnataka Kerala Maharashtra Punjab Tamil Nadu

Source : Indian Infra Roads & Bridges Directory and Year Book 2011

Roads : Rural Connectivity (PMGSY)

Road length (km.) Region Konkan Pune Nashik Aurangabad Amravati Nagpur Total
Source : RDD, GoM

Sanctioned 1,667 4,700 4,332 4,944 2,996 4,569 23,208

Completed 1,507 4,361 4,057 4,670 2,941 3,800 21,336

Balance 160 339 275 274 55 769 1,872

28

(Upto 31st Mar., 2012)

Railways : Projects with State Contribution

Project name Estimated cost (Rs. crore) 1,039 1,605 State Contribution (Rs. crore)

Projects Sanctioned Ahmednagar-Beed-Parli Vaijnath Wardha-Nanded-Yavatmal-Pusad Approvals awaited from GoI Manmad-Indore-Malegaon-ShirpurShendna Wadsa Desaiganj-Gadchiroli Manikgarh-Nanded-Adilabad Pune-Nashik Karad-Chiplun

520 (50%) 642 (40%)

1,751 232 300 1,900 928

876 (50%) 116 (50%) 150 (50%) 950 (50%) 464 (50%)

Total

7,755

3,718

29

Ports
Revised Port Policy declared in 2010 Development on Build, Own, Operate, Share & Transfer (BOOST) basis Agreements signed : Ratnagiri District - Dhamankhol-Jaigad & Angre Raigad District - Rewas-Aware & Dighi Sindhudurg District - Vijaydurg & Redi Proposed investment of Rs.14,200 crore; already invested Rs. 3,500 crore. Cargo handling : 20 MTPA to 170 MTPA by 2020.
30

Airports : Fund Requirement (XII FYP)

(Rs. crore) Airport (District) Total Project Cost (Land+Const.) 7,574 5,494 409 66 375 373 278 96 383 347 15,395 Projected Expenditure (2012-17) 3,530 2,699 351 33 188 187 139 96 334 269 7,825
Link
31

International Nagpur Rajgurunagar (Pune) Domestic Amravati Phaltan (Satara) Chandrapur Dhule Gadchiroli Karad (Satara) Boramani (Solapur) Shirdi (Ahmednagar) Total

Industry : States Contribution

FDI since 2000 33.4% Industrial output 16.7% Employment 12.8% MSME output Rs. 1.1 lakh crore Mega projects approved - 324 (75% in backward talukas) with Rs. 2.7 lakh crore investment & 3 lakh employment generation SEZs 63 notified (24 operational with Rs. 17,830 crore investment & 86,000 employment generation)

Link

32

Industry : FDI in Selected States (XI FYP)

(US$ Million)

14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 06-07 07-08 08-09
Gujarat Tamil Nadu

Maharashtra

09-10

10-11

11-12

Andhra Pradesh Maharashtra

Karnataka

Source: FDI Statistics," February 2012, . DIPP website

33

Industry : IEMs Signed in Selected States

2010 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Andhra Pradesh 86 86 56 50 19 22 27 28 87 2011 120

Source: "SIA Statistics," February 2012, DIPP website

Link

Link

34

Textiles
2nd largest producer of cotton (about 70 lakh bales) Mainly produced in backward regions of Marathwada & North Maharashtra Only 20% of produce processed in the State New Textile Policy recently announced Investment of Rs. 40,000 crore with 11 lakh employment generation expected Programmes under the policy linked to restructured TUF Scheme Restructured TUF Scheme should continue in the XII Five Year Plan without any change
35

Vidarbha,

Housing : JNNURM

Sub-Mission

Approved Dwelling Units (DUs) 1,52,223 1,16,668 2,68,891

Project Cost (Rs. crore)

Expenditur e incurred (Rs. crore)

DUs completed as on 30.4.2012 54,557 16,788 71,345

BSUP (62 DPRs) IHSDP (128 DPRs) Total

6,241 2,672 8,913

2,797 324 3,121

36

Housing : Indira Awas Yojana

Year 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Target 1,15,879 1,15,869 2,23,653 1,55,052 1,51,063

Houses Completed 1,25,241 1,13,945 2,05,862 1,58,027 1,53,185

Percentage to the target 108 98 92 102 101

37

Health : Indicators
Item IMR (2010) MMR (2007-09) TFR (2009) Institutional Deliveries ( 2009) Malnutrition of Children (03 years) Anaemia among women (15-49 years)
* Source - RGI
+

Unit Per thousand live births Per lakh live births Children / woman Per cent Per cent Per cent

Target for XI FYP 17 50 2.1 24.8 24.3

Present status 28* 104* 1.9* 81.9@ 41.6+ 48.4+

National Rank 3 3 3 5 3

NFHS-III (2005-06)

@ Family welfare Statistics in India, 2011

Link

38

Health : Normal Children (No Malnutrition)

(Per cent)

90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 43.9

84.5

2012
39

Source : Women & Child Development Deptt., GoM

Water Supply & Sanitation

Financial support requested for bulk & retail water meters Integrated Low Cost Sanitation Scheme may be reintroduced in XII FYP For cleaner environment in rural & urban areas Rs. 500 crore is requested.

40

Education : Enrollment upto Junior College (12th Std.)

Type Enrollment 2010-11 Primary Secondary Higher secondary Junior college 106.3 56.0 42.9 8.2 2011-12 107.3 56.6 43.3 8.2

(Lakh)

Link

Link

41

Education : Enrollment in Higher & Technical

Stream Enrollment 2010-11 General Education Technical Education Medical Education Veterinary and Fishery Science Agriculture Total 17.84 7.77 0.17 0.02 0.10 25.89 2011-12

(Lakh)

17.69 9.09 0.17 0.02 0.11 27.08

42

Per Capita Income : Districts (2010-11)

(Rs.)

Nandurbar 52923 Dhule 58575 Amravati 63270 Akola 58627 Washim 52075 Hingoli 49470 Parbhani 50716 Beed 52177 Pune 127176 Osmanabad 48887 Latur 81557 Nanded 44978 Wardha 61391 Yavatmal 63469 Nagpur BhandaraGondiya 96458 50042 57094

Jalgaon 68900 Buldana 45699 Aurangabad 84295

Nashik 84982

Chandrapur 67641 Gadchiroli 43058

Thane 125562
Mumbai (Suburban) 141138 Mumbai

Jalna 50262

Ahmadnagar 71054

Raigad 96468

District Income
Ratnagiri 66921 Satara 67134 Sangli 71196 Kolhapur 84095 Sindhudurg 69552 Solapur 70465

Less than per capita National Income 53,331 (11 districts) Above Per capita National income but below per capita State income (18 districts) More than per capita State Income 87,686 (6 districts)

Link

Link

43

Human Development Index

State Andhra Pradesh Gujarat Haryana Karnataka Kerala Maharashtra Punjab Tamil Nadu West Bengal India
Source: IHDR, 2011

2001 0.368 0.466 0.501 0.432 0.677 0.501 0.543 0.480 0.422 0.387

2011 0.473 0.527 0.552 0.519 0.790 0.572 0.605 0.570 0.492 0.467
44

Urban Development - JNNURM

Sr. No.

Particulars

UIG+ Bus+ eGovernance 5 94 12,366 5,493 4,134

UIDSSMT

1 2 3 4 5

Number of urban agglomerations where Projects are approved Number of Projects Approved Total Approved Cost (Rs. crore) Government of India share committed (Rs. crore) Government of India Share released to PIA (Rs. crore)

5 92 2,760 2,208 1,851

Link

Link

45

Urban Development - JNNURM

Upto 2011-12, 28 projects completed, 105 projects halfway through Remaining projects to be completed in 2 years JNNURM may be continued

46

Development of Mumbai
Development of Mumbai as an IFC should be a specific goal under the XII FYP, considering its importance in the context of national economy Projects like

MTHL (Rs. 9,600 crore) Vasai-Alibag Multi Modal Corridor (Rs. 9,300 crore) Mumbai Coastal Road (Rs. 6,000 crore) Navi Mumbai Airport (Rs. 14,000 crore) Dhamanganga-Pinjal River Linking Project (Rs. 3,500 crore)

should be treated as National Projects & should receive separate targeted support both financial & policy level, from GoI
47

Strategy for XII FYP

Proposed outlay - Rs. 2,75,000 crore Sectors which will contribute to higher GSDP Water Conservation Completion of irrigation projects Manufacturing Port, Rail & Air connectivity Quality urban infrastructure for growth of industry & service sector

48

Strategy for XII FYP

(contd...)

Rainfed Agriculture & Allied Sector

Interventions to protect dry land farming Consistent & predictable policy regime for pricing,
marketing & export Transformation of Mumbai Metropolitan Region into world class urban agglomerate Special window for mega cities to upgrade transport, housing & environment infrastructure Inclusion of Pune & Nagpur region in mega cities infrastructure development
49

We expect.

Financial support for dry land farming Timely release of AIBP funds Central participation (or increased participation) in

Rail projects Civil aviation projects Non-major port connectivity State sponsored Rajiv Gandhi Jeevandayee Yojana

PMGSY - 2 for upgradation of rural roads

50

We expect

JNNURM 2 for other cities & semi-urban towns Low cost sanitation scheme in Total Sanitation Campaign for rural & urban areas Continuation of TUF for textile sector Increased central share in Indira Awas Yojana Introduction of National Projects for Mega Cities Green Bonus for forest areas

51

Thank You

52

We welcome the Chief Minister of Maharashtra and his delegation to the Annual Plan 2012-13 Discussions

29 May 2012 Government of India, Planning Commission

DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS Overall Sex Ratio (2011) Maternal Mortality Ratio (2007-09) Neonatal Mortality Rate (2010) Infant Mortality Rate (2010) Child Mortality Rate (U5MR) (2010) Female Male Sex Ratio at Birth (2008-10) Child Sex Ratio (0-6 years) 2011 2001 Lowest Child Sex Ratio (2011) Steepest fall in CSR (2001-2011)

Maharashtra 925 104 22 28 33 35 31 895 883 913 801 (Bid) 93 (Bid)

India 940 212 33 47 59 64 55 905 914 927 774 Jhajhar

210 Pulwama

2001

Child Sex Ratio in Age Group 0-6 years 2011

Our Census, Our Future

Action Points - 2

Child Sex Ratio Trends - Maharashtra

Child Sex Ratio (0-6 yrs) -Maharashtra

12.8 million children under 6 years (2011) in Maharashtra 6.8 m are boys Only 6 m are girls Child Sex Ratio falls from 913 to 883 (2001- 2011) Fall in child sex ratio by 30 points- steepest after J&K (82), Dadra NH (55 ) and Lakshadweep (51) Reduction in Child Sex Ratio in 31 districts By 50-99 points: 7 districts By 30-50 points: 10 districts By 9-30 points: 13 districts Rural: 880

Child Sex Ratio (2011) Urban : 888

Increase in Sex Ratio at Birth in Maharashtra From 879 in 2004-06 to 895 in 2008-10 (SRS 2010)

Child Sex Ratio 2001-2011: Maharashtra Districts

Planning Commission

http://planningcommission.gov.in