2009 Strategy Guide
2009 Strategy Guide
W
elcome to our 2009 Edition of In addition to giving you tons of great CLAYTON G RAY
the Footballguys Strategy Guide. information for your draft, it’s our goal for SENIOR EDITOR:
JASON WOOD
We are completely stoked about the magazine to give you a taste of what
this new CD format but I’d be lying if I we do with the website. For instance, we STATISTICIAN:
said I wasn’t at least a little conflicted. On have a few Player Spotlights and Face-offs DOUG DR I N E N
one hand, we’re bummed to be leaving the in the magazine. On the website, we’ll have ART DIRECTOR:
KEVI N U LR ICH
print media for the magazine where we’ve more than 200 of these. In the magazine,
been recognized as one of the best fantasy each player will have four or five sentences CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS:
DAVE BAKE R
magazines in the country. But with rising written about him. On the website, every SIG M U N D B LOOM
printing costs, mailing costs, and a decline player has entire sections and tabs of ANTHONY BOR B E LY
J E N E B RAM E L
in print advertising, we felt the need to content (career stats, game logs, news, M I KE B ROWN
change course here. And like everything we overview, outlook, game summaries, etc) JOE B RYANT
do at Footballguys, when we change gears, devoted to them. Our website has more free DAVI D DODDS
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we go full throttle. Instead of creating a information than many premium sites have MARC FALETTI
print magazine, we have opted to produce paid content. Our message board had more WI LL G RANT
J E FF HASE LEY
this CD that will include not only the than 2 million posts last season. In other B R UCE H E N DE RSON
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J E FF TE FE RTI LLE R
So instead of seeing this as the end of getting some work done. MAU R I LE TR E M B LAY
our print magazine, we’re looking at it as Regular Footballguys readers know I MATT WALDMAN
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JASON WOOD
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t Footballguys.com we take fantasy football seriously. ated format of our full depth charts that appear on the web site.
Our depth charts are updated on a daily basis during Please visit www.footballguys.com to view the full version of our
the regular season and throughout most of the offsea- NFL depth charts, including individual defensive players (IDPs)
son as well. The depth charts presented here represent an abbrevi- and a more complete listing of backups at each position.
INJURY RECAP
P
ro football players often suffer injuries
that linger from one season into the next.
Below is a review of the most significant
injuries that fantasy relevant skill position players
are afflicted with entering the 2009 training
camps. For the latest and most complete injury
news (and other news), check out the player
pages and news blogger at Footballguys.com.
+ QUARTERBACKS +
Cleveland QB Derek Anderson did not have
offseason surgery on the knee injury he suffered
last season. The injury healed naturally.
New England QB Tom Brady is
participating fully in the team’s offseason
workouts and is working without limitations on
his surgically repaired knee (ACL, September
2008). He is expected to be at full speed for
training camp.
Buffalo QB Trent Edwards is rehabbing a
shoulder injury but should be ready for the start
of training camp.
Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck said his
offseason weight training regimen has been
successful (April 7th), and he participated fully
in the team’s first minicamp in April. So far, his
injured back looks to be at 100 percent.
Cincinnati QB Carson Palmer avoided
ICON SMI
further surgery on his injured right elbow early Darren McFadden
this year and as of April 26 was said to be ready
to participate full speed in offseason OTAs. He’s
said to have a “chip on his shoulder” and is eager to prove + RUNNING BACKS +
he’s back to 100 percent. Denver RB J.J. Arrington was unable to participate in May
Cleveland QB Brady Quinn was reportedly near 100 mini-camp as he continues to recover from a torn meniscus
percent recovered from finger surgery as of February 2009. “It cartilage in his knee. He may be on the bubble if he can’t get
feels great,” he said. “It’s amazing. This is what I was born to into action soon.
do and it feels great to be throwing again. I’m pain-free and Dallas RB Marion Barber’s dislocated pinkie toe (an issue
everything was 100 percent successful.” Quinn should be at full at the end of last season) is apparently healed – he’s been doing
speed for training camp. strenuous offseason workouts with no reported problems.
Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers played through a sprained New Orleans RB Reggie Bush is said to be recovering well
throwing shoulder since week 4 of 2008, but did not require from his late December knee surgery (microfracture surgery/
offseason surgery as of mid-May. knee cartilage repair). The team hopes he’ll be ready to go for
San Francisco QB Alex Smith threw in minicamps during the start of training camp.
April but was seen holding his sore throwing arm shoulder NY Giants RB Ahmad Bradshaw suffered a minor ankle
(surgically repaired last November). It remains to be seen if he sprain while stepping off a street curb on April 2. He resumed
can get to 100 percent healthy in time for training camp. full participation in OTAs on April 21.
Arizona QB Kurt Warner had surgery in mid-March Chicago RB Matt Forte reports that the sore toe that
to repair a torn labrum in his left hip. As of May 4, he was bothered him at the end of 2008 has completely healed during
participating in minicamp on a limited basis and appears to be the offseason.
on schedule to return to full participation by training camp. Tampa Bay RB Earnest Graham suffered a high ankle
sprain with ligament damage back in November NY Giants WR Ramses Barden suffered a hamstring injury
of 2008, but he is expected to be able to participate during minicamp in early May. The injury isn’t considered
in OTAs/training camp. On May 8 his agent Drew serious, but nagging hamstring injuries have dogged more than
Rosenhaus asserted that Graham is fully healed. one WR so we’ll keep an eye on his recovery.
Indianapolis RB Mike Hart is said to be “on schedule” Arizona WR Anquan Boldin was sent for an MRI after
for returning from a torn ACL (suffered last October). He reporting a hamstring injury at the mandatory 3-day minicamp
may be on the bubble with the Colts since they drafted Donald in early May. It appears the “hamstring” complaint may have
Brown. had more to do with his contractual squabble with the team than
Dallas RB Felix Jones is apparently 100 percent recovered an actual injury, however.
from his surgically repaired turf toe (November 2008 surgery Seattle WR Nate Burleson is running pass patterns again
on ligaments attached to his left big toe). He has been running without any problem. Burleson, eight months removed from
and cutting in workouts and looks solid. reconstructive knee surgery, is catching “everything thrown
Tennessee RB Chris Johnson reported in early April that his way” and is said to be running effortlessly. He should
his injured ankle was 95 percent healed and that he expects to participate fully in training camp.
participate in minicamps and training camp at 100 percent. He’s Seattle WR Deion Branch had arthroscopic knee surgery
been working out extensively with a speed and performance after the 2008 season and was seen in street clothes at the
expert. teams’ first minicamps. The team hopes he’ll be ready for
Cleveland RB Jamal Lewis is recovering from an training camp.
arthroscopic procedure on his ankle performed in February – no San Diego rookie WR Demetrius Byrd (seventh round pick,
rookie RBs were picked in the 2009 Draft, so the Browns are once considered a first round prospect), is recovering from a
presumably comfortable with Lewis’ health. serious car accident suffered just days before the NFL draft.
New England RB Laurence Maroney believes he is 100 He’s been released from the hospital and continues his rehab.
percent recovered from his troublesome shoulder injury of last Miami WR Greg Camarillo is recovering from late-season
October. We’ll see when training camp rolls around. ACL/meniscus surgery in his knee. He hopes to be ready for
Oakland RB Darren McFadden is said to be 100 percent training camp, but that goal may be tough only six months
recovered from an arthroscopic shoulder surgery performed in removed from knee surgery as of mid-May.
January. He should be fine for training camp. New Orleans WR Marques Colston is recovering well from
Baltimore RB Willis McGahee revealed in May he had arthroscopic knee surgery. The Saints hope he’ll participate
arthroscopic surgery on an ankle, not on the knee that has been at some point during their OTAs, targeting a June return. He
troubling him in the past (as the team first indicated, in error). should be 100 percent for training camp.
He expects to be fully recovered for the start of training camp San Francisco WR Michael Crabtree is recovering from a
in late July. foot injury. He is expected to get in the mix by the end of May
Pittsburgh RB Rashard Mendenhall has participated in and should be ready for training camp.
offseason sessions and minicamps and looks fully recovered Dallas WR Patrick Crayton had arthroscopic ankle surgery
from last September’s broken shoulder. in January, but he is expected to be healthy for training camp.
Kansas City RB Kolby Smith did not participate in the Philadelphia WR Kevin Curtis had sports hernia surgery
first minicamp as his sprained knee is still an issue early in the in mid-April (a follow-up to last year’s surgery, performed in
offseason. August 2008). Curtis is expected to be up to speed by training
New England RB Fred Taylor suffered a minor wrist camp, hopefully.
(sprained left wrist) injury in early May while lifting weights. San Diego WR Craig Davis is expected to be 100 percent
He should be fine well before training camp opens. for training camp after rehabbing a groin injury that landed him
San Diego RB LaDainian Tomlinson participated fully in on IR last year.
May minicamps and appears 100 percent recovered from the Arizona WR Larry Fitzgerald played with a broken left
groin injury that sidelined him during the playoffs at the end thumb and torn cartilage in his left hand between his middle
of last season. “No, I wasn’t restricted and I did everything. and ring fingers during 2008. “My hands are so messed up right
Of course you are always concerned because it is the first now,” he said in February. “I’m just glad I don’t have to catch
time back on the field and especially after being injured. But I a ball again for a couple months. I can mend up.” Fitzgerald is
wasn’t restricted at all and it was great.” Tomlinson commented. expected to be fine for training camp.
Denver RB Ryan Torain suffered an ACL tear in early Buffalo WR James Hardy is coming off a torn ACL suffered
November and wasn’t able to participate in May mini-camps. last season and may not be ready for the start of training camp
He’ll likely begin the season on the PUP list. as of mid-May 2009. He said in March (two months after knee
Philadelphia RB Brian Westbrook talked about his surgery) that he hopes to play in the last preseason game.
recent arthroscopic knee surgery on April 9th and said for the Oakland rookie WR Derrius Heyward-Bey sat out of
first time in years, he doesn’t feel any pain heading into an Sunday, May 10th’s workout due to a sore hamstring. The injury
offseason. He should be ready for the start of training camp. isn’t considered serious but does bear watching as nagging
hamstring injuries are the sort of injury that can dog a player.
+ WIDE RECEIVERS + Green Bay WR James Jones battled a torn PCL throughout
St. Louis WR Donnie Avery played 2008 with a cracked hip last season, but he is expected to be fine for training camp.
– he was told at the end of the season he’d need 8-10 weeks of Washington WR Malcolm Kelly is recovering from
rest to heal. He should be ready for training camp. offseason (March) knee surgery. He may not be ready for the
start of training camp. Fellow 2008 draft pick Devin Thomas is coming off a broken foot suffered in the Alamo Bowl. It’s
was coming along nicely in mini-camp, but then injured his unclear if he will be able to participate in training camp.
hamstring. The team hopes Thomas will be able to participate in San Diego TE Antonio Gates sat out May minicamp due to
June OTAs. soreness in his injured big toe, and lingering effects from a late
Baltimore WR Derrick Mason underwent surgery to fix the season high ankle sprain. “I don’t know how I got through last
scapula and the labrum in his left shoulder in March, and may season,” Gates said. “The toe bothered me for months and then
miss all of training camp as a result: “It turned out to be more I hurt the ankle. But, somehow, I made it through.” The toe is
than we anticipated,” he said in early May. “But great doctors said to be “structurally” fine, but pain management is obviously
find a way to mend you back.” He expects to be in the Week 1 part of the package for Gates with this injury. He should be
starting lineup, but he turns 35 this year and his recovery may ready for training camp.
not go as smoothly as planned. Missing training camp may Baltimore TE Todd Heap was still struggling with his sore
mean that he’ll get off to a slow start in 2009. back as of minicamps. It remains to be seen if he’ll be able
Denver WR Brandon Marshall continues to recover from to participate fully in OTAs and minicamps, let alone training
early April hip surgery. He may not be ready for the start of camp.
training camp, although in recent comments he indicated his Cleveland TE Steve Heiden had ACL and MCL surgery in
hip is feeling “great.” The Broncos are installing a new offense December – he probably won’t be ready for training camp and
during the offseason and minicamps, and Marshall won’t get may not contribute much for the first half of the season.
any reps in the new system until training camp. Philadelphia rookie TE Cornelius Ingram may need
New Orleans WR Lance Moore tore the labrum and additional surgery to repair a damaged ACL in his knee. If so,
dislocated his left shoulder working out in mid-April. He had he’ll probably sit out the 2009 season.
surgery to repair the damage but may be iffy for the start of St. Louis TE Randy McMichael, who broke a bone in his
training camp as of mid-May. The team is hopeful he’ll be lower right leg Sept. 28 vs. Buffalo (also tearing a tendon in
ready for the start of regular season. his leg), and landed on IR as a result. As of May 8, agent Drew
Washington WR Santana Moss missed May minicamp due Rosenhaus asserts that McMichael is 100 percent recovered and
to shin splints – he’s expected to be fine for training camp. ready to play ball in 2009.
St. Louis WR Derrick Stanley suffered a torn ACL and Oakland TE Zach Miller had offseason sports hernia
cartilage damage in his knee during mid-December and surgery (he disclosed this in early May). He may not participate
underwent surgery to repair the damage. It is unclear if he’ll be in June practices, but is hopeful to be in action for training
ready for training camp. camp. Keep an eye on how Miller progresses once training
New England WR Brandon Tate (#83 pick in the 2009 camp begins as groin injuries are notorious for causing
Draft) is recovering from ACL and MCL (October 2008) injuries continuing problems even after surgical intervention (see
in his knee. He may not contribute to the Patriots this season. Philadelphia Kevin Curtis above, and Baltimore L.J. Smith,
Washington WR James Thrash missed May minicamp due below).
to a neck injury of unspecified type. He is expected back for Detroit TE Brandon Pettigrew had a minor issue with a
June minicamps. tight hamstring in his first practices with Detroit, but he was
Pittsburgh WR Hines Ward is recovering from offseason held out more due to an abundance of caution rather than an
shoulder surgery (torn rotator cuff). He won’t participate in actual injury.
OTA/minicamps but is expected to be back for training camp. Carolina TE Dante Rosario underwent lower back surgery
Oakland WR Javon Walker surprised the Raiders in early in early May. He may be ready for training camp, but that is up
May by revealing he had further knee surgery on the right in the air as of mid-May.
knee originally repaired in 2007 (while he was with Denver) New Orleans TE Jeremy Shockey is said to be fully healed
– the team didn’t know about the procedure until a mandatory from last season’s sports hernia and is “anxious” to have a big
minicamp, when Walker was unable to participate. HC Tom year with the Saints in 2009.
Cable doesn’t expect Walker to be ready for the start of training Baltimore TE L.J. Smith sat out of early May practices due
camp, but he looks very dicey for 2009. to ongoing groin problems due to his sports hernia surgery
Baltimore WR Demetrius Williams recently indicated his performed a couple of years ago. He’s battled pain from the
80 percent recovered from a late-October/early-November injury/procedure for years now.
Achilles/ankle injury/surgery. He has been running in practices, Arizona TE Steven Spach had surgery to repair the ACL,
but still walks with a limp so we’ll see if he’s 100 percent by MCL and meniscus in his knee in late January. He’ll have a
training camp. hard time getting on the field for the start of regular season.
Dallas WR Roy Williams is apparently over his late-season Baltimore Quinn Sypniewski was signed to a one-year, $1
plantar fascia foot injury and the Cowboys are reportedly million contract in early April despite missing last season with
“elated” with his progress this offseason in the team’s offensive an ACL injury (suffered last April). He appears to be recovered
system. from the injury.
T
he NFL is a demanding league, and the coaching carou-
sel never stops spinning. This offseason was particularly Baltimore Ravens
tumultuous. Nine teams hired new head coaches, and Head Coach: John Harbaugh
two more – Oakland and San Francisco – removed the interim Offensive Coordinator: Cam Cameron
tags from 2008 midseason coaching replacements. Defensive Coordinator: Greg Mattison (replaces Rex Ryan)
Four teams replaced Super Bowl winning head coaches:
Denver (Mike Shanahan), Indianapolis (Tony Dungy), Seattle What to expect on defense: Fans have to be nervous about
(Mike Holmgren), and Tampa Bay (Jon Gruden). The Broncos the state of the Ravens vaunted defense. Rex Ryan, a fixture
looked outside the organization for Shanahan’s replacement, but on the defensive staff since joining the team in 1999, has taken
the other three teams promoted from within. the Jets head coaching job, and brought a number of assistant
Although the head coaching turnover is what grabs headlines, coaches with him. The Ravens promoted linebackers coach
the changing landscape among assistant coaches remains vitally Greg Mattison, a surprising move after just one season on the
important to NFL fans and fantasy football owners. This year, an staff. Mattison has 36 years of collegiate coaching experi-
astounding 21 defensive coordinators were replaced; in one case, ence but had never coached in the NFL before last season. He
by the team’s head coach (Wade Phillips in Dallas). That’s clearly and John Harbaugh coached together under Jack Harbaugh in
a sign of the times, as defenses struggle to keep up with explosive the 80s, so there is a trust level there. Realistically, Mattison
offenses the NFL rules committee seems to be so intent on pro- won’t change much about the scheme; an aggressive 3-4 defen-
ducing. On the offensive side, 11 new coordinators are in place. sive front. He has enormous shoes to fill, but his cupboard is
Just remember, the smartest hires in February can look like the stocked with groceries.
worst in December; and the guys everyone assumes will struggle
are just as likely to emerge from the pack.
Carolina Panthers
Head Coach: John Fox
Arizona Cardinals Offensive Coordinator: Jeff Davidson
Head Coach: Ken Whisenhunt Defensive Coordinator: Ron Meeks (replaces Mike Trgovac)
Offensive Coordinator: Russ Grimm & Mike Miller (replace Todd Haley)
Defensive Coordinator: Bill Davis (replaces Clancy Pendergast) What to expect on defense: One of the more surprising
coaching changes this offseason for a number of reasons. Mike
What to expect on offense: The Cardinals offense won’t Trgovac had been with Carolina for seven seasons, coming
look much different this year under the watchful eyes of Russ aboard with John Fox. Despite a late season defensive swoon,
Grimm and Mike Miller. Whisenhunt will call the plays on the Panthers offered Trgovac a contract extension but ultimately
game day, and work closely with Grimm and Miller to game he opted to depart. Meeks steps in after his own seven-year
plan. Grimm, who has worked alongside Whisenhunt for a long stint in Indianapolis; where his defenses were known for being
time in Pittsburgh and Arizona, will serve as the run game coor- undersized but productive. Meeks will continue to run a 4-
dinator. Miller, the WR coach last season, will be the passing 3 defensive front that emphasizes consistent pressure on the
game coordinator. Expect a renewed emphasis on the ground outside. It’s less clear whether Meeks plans to implement the
game. The team drafted Chris “Beanie” Wells in order to inject Cover-2 – a hallmark of the Tony Dungy coaching tree that will
life and balance into the playcalling. depend on what Meeks sees from his players in camp.
What to expect on defense: Hopefully, improvement. The
Cardinals made the Super Bowl last year despite allowing
almost 27 points per game defensively. Clancy Pendergast was Cleveland Browns
let go in favor of Bill Davis, the Cardinals linebackers coach. Head Coach: Eric Mangini (replaces Romeo Crennel)
Although it’s hard to argue change was warranted, it’s unclear Offensive Coordinator: Brian Daboll (replaces Rob Chudzinski)
whether Davis will have more success. Davis struggled as the Defensive Coordinator: Rob Ryan (replaces Mel Tucker)
49ers defensive coordinator before joining the Cardinals staff,
and the Cardinals haven’t done much to improve the defensive What to expect on offense: We know that the organization
roster. will run through Eric Mangini, and very little will be said by
Dallas Cowboys
Head Coach: Wade Phillips
Offensive Coordinator: Jason Garrett
Defensive Coordinator: Wade Phillips (replaces Brian Stewart)
ICON SMI
playcalling from Brian Stewart last year and it became an easy
Josh McDaniels
decision to let the DC go this offseason. Interestingly, Jerry
Jones opted not to hire a replacement, instead letting Phillips
handle both roles. Being an NFL head coach is a daunting task, tor. Nolan was inconsistent as the 49ers head coach but has
as is being the defensive play-caller. Needless to say, Phillips is vast experience as an NFL coordinator; serving as DC with the
going to have to rely heavily on his defensive assistants during Giants, Jets, Redskins and Ravens. The Broncos will need to be
the week to help game plan. patient, as their personnel isn’t ideally suited for a 3-4 yet.
best remembered for his dual stints in Kansas City, it was his Williams has carved out an impressive career in a number of
time in Tennessee coaching alongside Schwartz that landed NFL stints, he simply wasn’t a good fit with Jack Del Rio and
him this job. Cunningham has promised an aggressive, blitz- the Jaguars. Mel Tucker joins the Jaguars staff from Cleveland,
happy defensive approach, and will look to use man coverage where he served as defensive coordinator last season and
much more than he did in Kansas City under Herm Edwards. coached defensive backs from 2005-2007. Tucker’s inexperi-
The defense will be built around the linebacking corps of Ernie ence, particularly in a 4-3 scheme signals that Jack Del Rio will
Sims, Julian Peterson, Larry Foote and Jordan Dizon. be taking a more hands on approach this year.
What to expect on defense: The Texans fired Richard Smith What to expect on offense: Todd Haley takes over for Herm
after another uninspiring defensive campaign and promoted Edwards fresh from a run to the Super Bowl as the Arizona
from within, naming Frank Bush to his first defensive coordina- Cardinals offensive coordinator. Haley opted to retain Chan
tor post. Bush coached the defensive line the last two seasons Gailey as offensive coordinator, signaling that he’s serious
and plans on using more deception, and running a lot of differ- about the holistic requirements of the head coaching position.
ent blitzes out of the base 4-3 formation. In addition to adding Retaining Gailey doesn’t mean the offense won’t look differ-
wrinkles to the existing playbook, Bush has to integrate a num- ent this year. The team traded for QB Matt Cassel, and you
ber of projected new starters. He expects to put more players in can be sure the Chiefs will throw the ball more than they did
the box to stop the run, and that will put pressure on the defen- under Herman Edwards. It’s unlikely the Chiefs have the offen-
sive backs to cover downfield. Bush also wants his defensive sive personnel to run the 3- and 4-WR sets Haley utilized in
lineman to push upfield; he never wants them going sideways. Arizona, but they should have a more effective rushing attack
now that Larry Johnson is back in the team’s good graces.
What to expect on defense: The Chiefs are going to run
Indianapolis Colts a 3-4 front this year and drafted Tyson Jackson with the third
Head Coach: Jim Caldwell (replaces Tony Dungy) overall pick to expedite the transition. The Chiefs don’t have
Offensive Coordinator: Clyde Christensen (replaces Tom Moore) the linebackers in place to fully leverage the flexibility of a 3-4
Defensive Coordinator: Larry Coyer (replaces Ron Meeks) defense, so expect Clancy Pendergast to play a relatively close
to the vest scheme in his first season. Pendergast joins Haley
What to expect on offense: A seismic changeover occurred from Arizona, where he served as defensive coordinator until
this offseason as HC Tony Dungy, OC Tom Moore and OL being fired after the Super Bowl. Chiefs fans have a right to be
Coach Howard Mudd all retired. Dungy was the least surpris- skeptical about Pendergast’s appointment, the Cardinals finished
ing, and the Colts had his replacement formally in place. Jim no better than 26th in points allowed over the last four seasons.
Caldwell takes over the head reins, and Clyde Christensen
will transition to OC following eight seasons as an offensive
assistant. On one hand, Tom Moore was the only OC Peyton
New England Patriots
Head Coach: Bill Belichick
Manning’s ever known, on the other hand, for years Manning
Offensive Coordinator: Vacant (no one replaces Josh McDaniels)
has been taking three plays into the huddle and making the call
Defensive Coordinator: Dean Pees
himself. It’s tough to say how the players will react to the loss
of Dungy, Moore and Mudd, but don’t underestimate the pre-
What to expect on offense: For those who argue Josh
paredness and resiliency of this veteran group.
McDaniels wasn’t a product of Bill Belichick’s system, the fact
What to expect on defense: While the Colts defense had a
the Pats aren’t going to hire a coordinator in his place should
reputation for giving up big chunks of yardage under former
give them pause. Can you really be irreplaceable when the team
DC Ron Meeks, the fact remains that Meeks’ defenses were
doesn’t bother to replace you? Offensively things won’t change
among the stingiest and most aggressive in the AFC under his
in New England regardless of who calls the plays. As long as
watch. Regardless, Meeks opted out after Tony Dungy retired,
Tom Brady is healthy, the Pats will have a potent offense.
and the Colts have brought in Larry Coyer as his replacement.
Schematically, Coyer is cut from the same Cover-2 cloth that
Dungy and Meeks are, but he had the tendency to blitz more New Orleans Saints
while calling the defensive plays in Denver a few seasons ago. Head Coach: Sean Payton
Offensive Coordinator: Pete Carmichael (replaces Doug Marrone)
Jacksonville Jaguars Defensive Coordinator: Gregg Williams (replaces Gary Gibbs)
Head Coach: Jack Del Rio
Offensive Coordinator: Dirk Koetter What to expect on offense: When Doug Marrone decided
Defensive Coordinator: Mel Tucker (replaces Gregg Williams) to accept the head coaching position at Syracuse University,
the Saints wasted no time in promoting Pete Carmichael to
What to expect on defense: When Mike Smith left to take offensive coordinator. Carmichael has been the team’s QB
the Falcons head coaching job, the Jaguars thought they had coach the last three seasons and has an excellent working rela-
found the best replacement possible in Gregg Williams. While tionship with Drew Brees. Sean Payton will continue calling
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16 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
the plays, but Carmichael will be more involved in the game- What to expect on offense: The Raiders are going to play
planning now. Al Davis’ style of ball, and he’s going to put coaches in place to
What to expect on defense: Payton’s tenure has been charac- make sure of it. Tom Cable took over as interim head coach last
terized by explosive offenses paired with meandering defenses. year, and the team’s play improved under his watch. An offen-
Gregg Williams hopes to change that by bringing the most sive line coach by nature, Cable will try to bring consistency
aggressive zone-blitzing scheme to the Big Easy. Williams and toughness to the zone-blocking scheme. He will call the
has been defensive coordinator in Jacksonville, Tennessee and plays but rely heavily on Passing Game Coordinator Ted Tollner
Washington and will be asked to get more out of the Saints and QB coach Paul Hackett for game-planning. Tollner, a jour-
front seven. Williams likes to use a lot of man coverage so he neyman coordinator if there ever was one, has experience in
can blitz from all over the field, but the Saints defensive backs both the West Coast offense and the Air Coryell system.
aren’t particularly well suited to play on an island. What to expect on defense: Rob Ryan outlasted three
Raiders head coaches and has finally moved on to Cleveland
New York Giants as his contract had run out. John Marshall has big shoes to fill,
but the Raiders defense ranked 24th and 26th in points allowed
Head Coach: Tom Coughlin
over the last two seasons. Marshall has nearly 30 years of NFL
Offensive Coordinator: Kevin Gilbride
coaching experience, including stints as defensive coordinator
Defensive Coordinator: Bill Sheridan (replaces Steve Spagnuolo)
in San Francisco, Carolina and Seattle. The Raiders will use a
4-3 defensive front under Marshall, and will play a read-and-
What to expect on defense: Giants fans knew this day
react 2-gap system.
was coming, but they hoped it wouldn’t be so soon. Steve
Spagnuolo, whose arrival in New York coincided with the
team’s return to elite status, has taken the head coaching job
in St. Louis. The Giants opted to promote from within, nam-
San Diego Chargers
Head Coach: Norv Turner
ing linebackers coach Bill Sheridan to the post. Sheridan has Offensive Coordinator: Clarence Shelmon
enormous shoes to fill, but benefits from an absolutely stacked Defensive Coordinator: Ron Rivera (replaces Ted Cottrell)
roster. His main job will be maintaining the status quo, while
integrating new pieces like Michael Boley, Rocky Bernard and What to expect on defense: The Chargers fired Ted Cottrell
Chris Canty. last October and promoted LB coach Ron Rivera. Rivera had
been a successful defensive coordinator in Chicago before wear-
New York Jets ing out his welcome by flirting with too many head coaching
opportunities. Rivera is a versatile coach and acquitted himself
Head Coach: Rex Ryan (replaces Eric Mangini)
Offensive Coordinator: Brian Schottenheimer well last year in a 3-4 scheme. But he prefers a 4-3 front and the
Defensive Coordinator: Mike Pettine (replaces Bob Sutton) Chargers are going to mix up their front seven looks this year to
encompass Rivera’s experience calling both schemes.
What to expect on offense: New head coach Rex Ryan is
a defensive guy through and through, and he was impressed
enough with incumbent OC Brian Schottenheimer to retain his
San Francisco 49ers
Head Coach: Mike Singletary (replaces Mike Nolan)
services. Schottenheimer is a disciple of both the West Coast Offensive Coordinator: Jimmy Raye (replaces Mike Martz)
offense and the Air Coryell offense and leverages a power run- Defensive Coordinator: Greg Manusky
ning attack to set up downfield passing. The biggest question
for Schottenheimer is getting the team’s young QBs ready to What to expect on offense: Mike Singletary has far more
play, as either first rounder Mark Sanchez or inexperienced notoriety for his achievements as a player than he does in his
Kellen Clemens will be under center. brief coaching career. Singletary is going to heavily rely on
What to expect on defense: One word – aggression. Ryan’s his assistants in his first full season as the 49ers head coach.
defenses in Baltimore were ferocious, combining unbridled Offensively, Jimmy Raye will call the shots. Raye is from the
aggression with world-class preparation and scouting. Even Coryell School, but he’s much more conservative than Mike
though Ryan’s defenses look chaotic, it’s actually the disci- Martz. The good news is Raye has been an NFL offensive
plined roles each man maintains that allow for such attacking coordinator for six different teams. The bad news is he’s lasted
play. The Jets will likely undergo a bit of a transition period, less than two seasons per stop. Raye’s first order of business is
but this is a team loaded with quality defensive personnel. Plus, choosing a quarterback - no easy feat with this roster.
the additions of LB Bart Scott, S Jim Leonhard and CB Lito What to expect on defense: On the surface, not much has
Sheppard will speed up the process. Mike Pettine will serve as changed in San Francisco. Manusky was Mike Nolan’s defen-
Ryan’s right hand man, just as he did in Baltimore coaching the sive coordinator and Singletary was a defensive assistant, too.
outside linebackers. So what’s changed from this time last year? Nolan is gone
and so is the propensity to play a complex hybrid system that
morphs back and forth between 3- and 4-man fronts. Once
Oakland Raiders Singletary took over last year, Manusky ditched the hybrid
Head Coach: Tom Cable (replaces Lane Kiffin) approach for a pure 3-4 and simplified the playbook. The result
Offensive Coordinator: Ted Tollner (replaces Greg Knapp) was a nearly 10-point improvement in points allowed. Expect
Defensive Coordinator: John Marshall (replaces Rob Ryan) more of the same in 2009.
E
very year, some journeyman
turns into a star simply because
he’s got a new address. Is it
due to a new system? The weather?
Something in the water? The answers to
these are: probably, probably not, usu-
ally.
Some situations may upgrade a player
for obvious reasons. For instance, if
someone was a backup before but now
he’s going to start, the chances are pretty
ICON SMI
good that he’ll be more valuable. But Derrick Ward
how do we know which players will turn
into stars? And how do we know how
worked wonders when he was in Arizona.
the stars (I’m looking at you, Jay Cutler) QUARTERBACK The bad news is that Kansas City doesn’t
will respond to a change of scenery?
That’s where we come in. have many proven weapons, particularly
1. Jay Cutler - Chicago (from Denver)
We’ve broken down each key situa- following the trade of future Hall of
What happened: Once it became clear
tion by position to give a comprehensive Fame TE Tony Gonzalez to Atlanta.
that new head coach Josh McDaniels
look at all that has gone on this offsea- coveted Matt Cassel to run his offense,
son in the fantasy world. Our team of 3. Sage Rosenfels - Minnesota (from Houston)
the coach and Cutler didn’t see eye to
writers has managed to steal playbooks What happened: After three seasons
eye. Bears GM Jerry Angelo pulled the
for all 32 teams to see exactly how backing up Matt Schaub in Houston,
trigger on a bold move that gives the
these players will be utilized. And even Rosenfels was traded to Minnesota
Bears their best signal caller in decades,
if certain aspects of that last sentence to compete for the starting role with
if not ever.
are complete fabrications, just know Tarvaris Jackson.
What it means: Bears fans will now
that you’re in good hands here with our What it means: Rosenfels is a gun-
find out if they really have been a
evaluation and analysis. slinger who brings a startlingly different
quarterback short of a title these last
Even if you don’t take our suggestions approach to the position than Jackson.
few years. Cutler will solidify the posi-
to the bank, be aware that all of these On one hand, Rosenfels completes a high
tion and should dramatically improve
players are in the unique position of percentage of passes. On the other hand,
Chicago’s passing attack.
having just about everything you knew he’s a turnover machine (29 intercep-
about them basically tossed out the tions in 453 attempts). If he wins the
2. Matt Cassel - Kansas City (from NE)
window. We simply can’t guarantee with job, Rosenfels could be a fantasy sleeper
What happened: Cassel stepped in
any certainty how one player adjusts or in leagues that don’t penalize turnovers
for an injured Tom Brady last year and
adapts to his new surroundings, espe- harshly. Of course, all of this goes out the
played quite well. Scott Pioli obtained
cially this early in the offseason. But window if Favre comes to town.
the rights to Cassel, who will serve as
that’s what makes this part of fantasy the cornerstone of the Chiefs rebuilding
football so much fun. It’s also why 4. Byron Leftwich - Tampa Bay (from Pittsburgh)
effort.
you’d do well to read what is below, and What happened: Leftwich played
What it means: Cassel will be the
then follow up with us on our website well in limited action last year as Ben
unquestioned starter for a team in des-
throughout the summer months to see Roethlisberger’s backup, and parlayed
perate need of offensive cohesion. The
exactly how each player is adjusting. that into a two-year contract with Tampa.
good news is that head coach Todd Haley
decent upside to be a serviceable fantasy and is a large, punishing lineman. He to leave and sign with Miami.
backup. doesn’t have great quickness and can be What it means: He is a very talented
exposed by speed rushers but his addi- player, and the Dolphins believe his
5. Robert Royal - Cleveland (from Buffalo) tion, along with fellow newcomer Jason upside outweighs the likelihood for
What happened: The Browns traded Peters, ensures the Eagles offensive line injury. The Dolphins gave up a talented
Kellen Winslow to Tampa Bay and added will be big and physical in 2009. young center in his own right in Samson
Royal via free agency. Satele, so Grove needs to play exception-
What it means: Cleveland looks to be 4. C Matt Birk - Baltimore (from Minnesota) ally well and stay healthy this season.
a team in turmoil with so many changes What happened: The Ravens lost tal-
on offense for 2009. Royal may have the ented young center Jason Brown to the 9. T Tra Thomas - Jacksonville (from Philadelphia)
inside track to start at tight end but is Rams in free agency this offseason, but What happened: Jacksonville suffered
unlikely to be a major contributor as a somewhat made amends by signing vet- through horrible injury woes along the
receiver. eran center Matt Birk to a four-year deal. offensive line last season. In an attempt
What it means: Birk has 11 years of to stabilize the offensive line and return
OTHER NOTABLE TIGHT ENDS WHO experience. While he may not be the to dominance, the Jaguars picked up
CHANGED TEAMS: player he once was, his veteran savvy and Thomas.
Alex Smith - New England (from Tampa Bay)
talent will definitely fill the hole in the What it means: Thomas is getting a
Anthony Becht - St. Louis (from Arizona)
Dan Campbell - New Orleans (from Detroit) middle of the Ravens offensive line. little long in the tooth at 34, but should
Michael Gaines - Chicago (from Detroit) still have another good season or two and
Will Heller - Detroit (from Seattle) 5. G Derrick Dockery - Washington (from Buffalo) is certainly an upgrade at the right tackle
Tony Curtis - Kansas City (from Dallas) What happened: Dockery played well, position.
but the Bills could not justify his salary
OFFENSIVE LINE and released him. The Redskins had a 10. T Orlando Pace - Chicago (from St. Louis)
hole at the guard position and welcomed What happened: The Bears signed
1. T Jason Peters - Philadelphia (from Buffalo) Dockery back with open arms. formerly-elite lineman Orlando Pace in
What happened: The Bills traded their What it means: He has played with the an attempt to shore up a weakness at left
former franchise LT to Philadelphia other starting linemen in the past, and he tackle.
because of a contract dispute. The Eagles will have an easy transition back into the What it means: At the top of his game,
gave up three picks (including the 28th Redskins fold. Pace was truly dominant. He has been
overall pick this season) for the rights to injury prone for a few seasons now, how-
Peters. 6. T Marvel Smith - San Francisco (from Pittsburgh) ever, and has not been as effective as he
What it means: Peters has become What happened: Smith was a very was early in his career. Still, his arrival
one of the more dominant left tackles in good player early on in his career, but alone is a boon for the offensive line as
the game. He has the speed and quick- a nagging back injury has derailed his he’ll give them a strong, veteran pres-
ness to deal with the speed rushers and productivity. Now he is looking to regain ence. Pace has had a Hall of Fame career,
the strength to punish defenders in the his reputation as a top tackle with a new and if he can come even close to his past
running game. He is an upgrade for the franchise. production, he could have a Pro Bowl
Eagles over longtime starter Tra Thomas. What it means: If Smith can put injury season for the club.
woes behind him, he can step into a start-
2. C Jason Brown - Saint Louis (from Baltimore) ing role and do a good job. It is just as OTHER NOTABLE OFFENSIVE LINE-
What happened: The Rams needed a likely, however, that his bad back will MEN WHO CHANGED TEAMS:
lot of offensive line help and landed a persist for the rest of his career, limiting T Khalif Barnes - Oakland (from Jacksonville)
huge piece in revamping it this offseason his effectiveness. G Mike Goff - Kansas City (from San Diego)
when they inked Brown. C Geoff Hangartner - Buffalo (from Carolina)
T Daniel Loper - Detroit (from Tennessee)
What it means: Brown is a talented, 7. C Samson Satele - Oakland (from Miami)
T Frank Omiyale - Chicago (from Carolina)
young center who will become the leader What happened: A few weeks after T Erik Pears - Oakland (from Denver)
of an offensive line looking to improve signing Jake Grove, the Dolphins traded G Duke Preston - Green Bay (from Buffalo)
this season. He is just 25 and entering his their gifted, young center Samson Satele T Kevin Shaffer - Chicago (from Cleveland)
fifth season in the league. Having played to the Raiders for a draft choice. T John St. Clair - Cleveland (from Chicago)
in all 16 games each of the last two sea- What it means: Satele had shoulder G Floyd Womack - Cleveland (from Seattle)
sons, he is a great player to re-build a surgery to repair a torn labrum but
team around. should be back to full health by the start DEFENSIVE LINE
of the season. He is a strong, intelligent
3. T Stacy Andrews - Philadelphia (from Cincinnati) player and the Raiders will be very happy 1. DT Albert Haynesworth - Washington (from Tennessee)
What happened: It is going to be the to have him manning the interior of their What happened: The league’s most
Andrews brothers show in 2009 after offensive line. dominant defensive tackle left the Titans
Stacy signed a six-year deal to join his and signed with the Redskins for seven
brother Shawn on the right side of the 8. C Jake Grove - Miami (from Oakland) years.
Eagles offensive line. What happened: Grove was unable to What it means: Haynesworth has yet
What it means: Andrews has played in stay healthy throughout his five seasons to play a full 16-game season, but over
29 of 32 games over the last two seasons in Oakland, and the Raiders allowed him the past couple of years he has clearly
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FOOTBALLGUYS.COM 23
emerged as one of the best fantasy near the size or strength of Haynesworth, a breakout season in 2007. Although he
defensive tackles in the game. He will Haye is one of the quickest defensive played SLB in Atlanta and wasn’t always
certainly help solidify the interior of the tackles in the league. The Titans will a three-down player, he’ll likely be
Redskins defensive line and should make likely use a committee approach to try moved to WLB with the Giants and play
things much easier for pass rushers like and fill Haynesworth’s shoes, but Haye in all downs and situations. With all the
Andre Carter and rookie Brian Orakpo. could become a serviceable starter in DT- talent the Giants have on the defensive
required leagues. line and an aging Antonio Pierce at MLB,
2. DE Antonio Smith - Houston (from Arizona) Boley is in a great situation and could
What happened: Smith left Phoenix OTHER NOTABLE DEFENSIVE produce like a LB3 for fantasy owners.
and signed a five-year contract to play LINEMEN WHO CHANGED TEAMS:
DT Rocky Bernard - NY Giants (from Seattle)
opposite Mario Williams. 4. ILB Kevin Burnett - San Diego (from Dallas)
DT Shaun Cody - Houston (from Detroit)
What it means: A former fifth-round DT Colin Cole - Seattle (from Green Bay)
What happened: Burnett joins a very
pick with just 15.5 career sacks, Smith DT Rod Coleman - New Orleans (from Atlanta) strong LB group in San Diego after sign-
was the best pass rusher available in free DE Demetric Evans - San Francisco (from ing a two year contract.
agency this year. Playing opposite Mario Washington) What it means: Although Burnett was
Williams along with the switch from a DT Grady Jackson - Detroit (from Atlanta) never able to emerge as a starter dur-
3-4 to a 4-3 defense should boost his DT Tank Johnson - Cincinnati (from Dallas) ing his four years in Dallas, he proved
DT C.J. Mosley - Cleveland (from NY Jets)
numbers and could make him a Top 20 to be a very strong nickel linebacker.
DT Cory Redding - Seattle (from Detroit)
fantasy defensive end. DE Darrell Reid - Denver (from Indianapolis) The Chargers have not gotten a lot of
DE Darrell Robertson - Kansas City (from New production from Matt Wilhelm and Tim
3. DE Chris Canty - NY Giants (from Dallas) England) Dobbins at ILB, so they should give
What happened: The Giants added a Burnett a chance to win that job. Given
versatile player for their defensive line by LINEBACKER his strength in coverage, there is a good
signing Canty from Dallas to a six-year chance that Burnett could emerge as a
deal. 1. ILB Bart Scott - New York Jets (from Baltimore) three-down linebacker alongside Stephen
What it means: Canty’s numbers in What happened: Scott signed a six- Cooper.
Dallas were not that impressive (10 year contract to follow Rex Ryan out of
career sacks in 64 games), but he is mov- Baltimore and join him with the Jets. 5. OLB Angelo Crowell - Tampa Bay (from Buffalo)
ing to a much better situation. The Giants What it means: Ryan signed Scott What happened: After spending last
have the league’s best collection of pass to become a focal point of the new year on injured reserve, Crowell left the
rushers, which should create a lot of one- defense. Scott has often been overshad- Bills and signed a one-year contract with
on-one situations. Canty could see a lot owed by Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs in Tampa.
of snaps at defensive tackle, but he can Baltimore, but he’ll combine with David What it means: Crowell has been a
also play end on run downs and the con- Harris to give the Jets a very strong ILB very productive fantasy linebacker in
tract he signed should ensure that he gets tandem. While he may not live up to the Buffalo, but he may be limited to a two-
plenty of playing time. huge contract, Scott should see a bump in down role in Tampa. Initial indications
his production and wind up as a Top 20 are that Jermaine Phillips will be moved
4. DE Kenyon Coleman - Cleveland (from NY Jets) fantasy LB. from safety to WLB replace Derrick
What happened: In a draft day trade, Brooks, which would leave Crowell at
the Jets shipped Kenyon Coleman and 2. OLB Julian Peterson - Detroit (from Seattle) SLB. He’s an athletic and versatile line-
a package of players and picks to the What happened: Peterson refused to backer, but he may need some breaks to
Browns for the chance to draft Mark take a salary cut, so the Seahawks traded become a quality fantasy starter again.
Sanchez. him to Detroit for Cory Redding and a
What it means: Coleman has been an fifth round pick. OTHER NOTABLE LINEBACKERS
effective starter for the past two years WHO CHANGED TEAMS:
What it means: The Seahawks felt
OLB Tully Banta-Cain - New England (from San
and should make a quick adjustment Peterson’s skills were on the decline and Francisco)
playing in the same scheme under Eric that he was no longer worth the money ILB Eric Barton - Cleveland (from NY Jets)
Mangini. Look for him to start at DE on he was due. Peterson should provide ILB Keith Brooking - Dallas (from Atlanta)
a strong defensive line. Although he has a big boost to the Lions defense. He’s ILB Andra Davis - Denver (from Cleveland)
limited upside as a pass rusher, Coleman expected to line up at SLB in the base OLB Cato June - Houston (from Tampa Bay)
is a reliable fantasy option due to his sur- package but could also see plenty of time OLB Niko Koutouvides - Tampa Bay (from Denver)
prisingly high tackle numbers. OLB Mike Peterson - Atlanta (from Jacksonville)
as a DE in passing situations after aver-
ILB Pat Thomas - Buffalo (from Kansas City)
aging eight sacks per year over the last ILB Zach Thomas - Kansas City (from Dallas)
5. DT Jovan Haye - Tennessee (from Tampa Bay) three seasons. OLB Mike Vrabel - Kansas City (from New
What happened: After losing Albert England)
Haynesworth in free agency, the Titans 3. OLB Michael Boley - New York Giants (from Atlanta)
signed Haye to a four-year contract.
What it means: Haye broke out in 2007
What happened: Boley left the Falcons DEFENSIVE BACK
to sign a five-year contract with the
and finished as the top fantasy defensive Giants. 1. S Gibril Wilson - Miami (from Oakland)
tackle, but he struggled with injuries for What it means: Boley was a three- What happened: One year after sign-
much of 2008. While he doesn’t have year starter for the Falcons and enjoyed ing a big contract, the Raiders released
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24 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
Wilson and he quickly signed a five-year 5. S James Butler - St. Louis (from NY Giants) Rayner’s sixth stop in the NFL. He previ-
contract with the Dolphins. What happened: Butler signed a four- ously played for Indianapolis, Green Bay,
What it means: Wilson has been one year contract to be the Rams strong Kansas City, San Diego and Cincinnati.
of the most consistent fantasy defensive safety. What it means: Rayner, whose strength
backs in the league over the last five What it means: Butler’s production is on kickoffs, will compete with incum-
seasons. Although he is at his best play- with the Giants was not that impressive, bent Shaun Suisham. Suisham struggled
ing up in the box, the Dolphins already but he was often splitting time with oth- last year and missed 10 field goal
use Yeremiah Bell in that role. Therefore, ers. He has ideal size for strong safety attempts (although some of that has been
Wilson is expected to start out at free and should see plenty of time up in the attributed to his holder, punter Ryan
safety. His tackle numbers will likely box as O.J. Atogwe patrols the deep sec- Plackemeier - who is no longer with the
take a hit, but he could also see a cor- ondary. With rookie James Laurinaitis team).
responding bump in big plays. He should playing in front of him, Butler could be
remain a top ten safety. headed for a breakout season. Note: As of press time, three high-profile kick-
ers (John Carney, Martin Gramatica, and Matt
2. S Sean Jones - Philadelphia (from Cleveland) OTHER NOTABLE DEFENSIVE Stover) remained unsigned.
What happened: Jones left the Browns BACKS WHO CHANGED TEAMS:
to sign a one-year contract with the S CC Brown - New York Giants (from Houston) RETURNER
CB Phillip Buchanon - Detroit (from Tampa Bay)
Eagles.
S Josh Bullocks - Chicago (from New Orleans) 1. CB Chris Carr - Baltimore (from Tennessee)
What it means: Jones has proven to be CB Chris Carr - Baltimore (from Tennessee)
one of the league’s best playmaking safe- After several years of quantity with
S Sean Considine - Jacksonville (from
ties, with 14 interceptions over the past Philadelphia) the Raiders, and a year of quality with
three seasons. Although he played strong CB Travis Daniels - Kansas City (from Miami) the Titans in 2008, Carr landed with the
safety in Cleveland, he’s expected to CB Drayton Florence - Buffalo (from Jacksonville) Ravens. He’ll take over on both kickoff
compete for the free safety spot vacated CB Domonique Foxworth - Baltimore (from and punt returns. WR Yamon Figurs
Atlanta) gradually lost both jobs last year due to
by Brian Dawkins. He’ll get competition CB Andre Goodman - Denver (from Miami)
for the starting spot from Quintin Demps, injury and ineffectiveness.
CB Eric Green - Miami (from Arizona)
but Jones is a physical presence and a CB Jabari Greer - New Orleans (from Buffalo)
ballhawk who should be an excellent fit CB Anthony Henry - Detroit (from Dallas) 2. RB J.J. Arrington - Denver (from Arizona)
in the Eagles aggressive defense. S Renaldo Hill - Denver (from Miami) Eddie Royal was drafted by the
CB Corey Ivy - Cleveland (from Baltimore) Broncos last year to be their return spe-
CB Eric King - Detroit (from Tennessee) cialist but quickly emerged as a starting
3. S Brian Dawkins - Denver (from Philadelphia)
S Jim Leonhard - NY Jets (from Baltimore) wide receiver. So, his special teams work
What happened: The longtime Eagle CB Bryant McFadden - Arizona (from Pittsburgh)
left Philadelphia by signing a five-year was scaled back to just punt returns.
CB Karl Paymah - Minnesota (from Denver)
contract with the Broncos. CB Hank Poteat - Cleveland (from NY Jets)
Arrington emerged as a decent threat on
What it means: Dawkins has been one S Gerald Sensabaugh - Dallas (from Jacksonville) kickoff return with the Cardinals, and
of the best safeties in the league and a S Darren Sharper - New Orleans (from Minnesota) should step into that role for Denver.
great leader for the Eagles over the years. CB Lito Sheppard - NY Jets (from Philadelphia)
CB Shawn Springs - New England (from 3. WR Mark Jones - Tennessee (from Carolina)
At 35, he’s probably lost a step, but he’ll
Washington) Jones has evolved into a journeyman
be a great addition for a Broncos defense CB Donald Strickland - NY Jets (from San
that struggled to stop anybody last year. return specialist. He grew into the role
Francisco)
While he may not get as many opportuni- with Tampa before getting injured. Last
year, the Panthers brought him in after
ties to blitz in Denver, he should remain
a reliable fantasy option as long as he is
KICKER WR Ryne Robinson was injured. This
healthy. year, he’ll take over the job for the Titans
1. Mike Nugent - Tampa Bay (from NY Jets)
after Chris Carr landed in Baltimore.
What happened: After suffering a quad
4. CB Leigh Bodden - New England (from Detroit) injury in Week 1, Nugent did not play
What happened: After a disappointing 4. WR Glenn Holt - Minnesota (from Cincinnati)
the remainder of the year. Jay Feely then Holt will compete for a spot on the
season in Detroit, Bodden signed a one- kicked well enough to keep the job even
year deal with the Patriots. roster as starting kickoff returner and
after Nugent was healthy. Nugent made backup wide receiver. The Vikings have
What it means: Bodden finished 2007 the decision of which kicker to keep a
as the highest scoring fantasy cornerback had a different annual leading kickoff
relatively easy call by opting to test free returner for 11 consecutive years.
in the league, but struggled in 2008 after agency.
a trade to Detroit. There were reports that What it means: The Bucs signed OTHER NOTABLE RETURNERS WHO
the Patriots offered a multiyear deal, but Nugent to compete with incumbent Matt CHANGED TEAMS:
it appears that Bodden hopes to turn his Bryant. Bryant, meanwhile, had a strong CB Phillip Buchanon - Detroit (from Tampa Bay)
career around with a big 2009 and then scoring year in 2008, although he did RB Correll Buckhalter - Denver (from Philadelphia)
sign an even bigger contract next season. miss some long range kicks, which con- WR Bobby Engram - Kansas City (from Seattle)
Bodden is a physical cornerback who CB Ellis Hobbs - Philadelphia (from New England)
tinues to be his weak area.
excels in man-to-man coverage, and the WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh - Seattle (from
Patriots system should be a great fit. Cincinnati)
2. Dave Rayner - Washington (from Cincinnati) RB Derrick Ward - Tampa Bay (from NY Giants)
What happened: Washington is
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FOOTBALLGUYS.COM 25
2009 Preseason
2009
J
ust because games aren’t being
played doesn’t mean there isn’t
a tremendous amount of football
activity afoot. Between scouting,
the draft, free agency, mini-camps,
training camp, preseason games and the
occasional holdout or trade demand,
there’s almost always something worth
discussing or analyzing regardless of the
time of year.
At Footballguys.com we strive
to provide fantasy leaguers with all
the relevant information in a timely
manner, and we’ll give you our honest
assessments every step of the way.
Below you’ll find a compilation of
some of the situations we’re watching
as the preseason turns into training
camp. With new developments arising
daily, remember that this is merely a
STARTING POINT. To find up-to-date
information and analysis that looks at
these situations and hundreds more,
be sure to visit www.footballguys.com
and take advantage of our Daily Email
Updates, industry-best News Blogger,
best-in-class message boards and our
thousands of pages of analysis and
statistical data.
ICON SMI
Matthew Stafford
Quarterback Situations to Watch Bowl. Jay Cutler is the best QB they’ve Kyle Orton will start, but Chris Simms
had in a long time, if not ever, will he is healthy and will give him a run for his
• How good can Trent Edwards be
really be the missing piece? money.
(Buffalo)? — Edwards completed almost
66 percent of his passes last year and • Can Palmer stay healthy • When does Stafford play (Detroit)?
now gets Terrell Owens added to his (Cincinnati)? — Carson Palmer missed — Matthew Stafford will start sooner
arsenal. With the promise of a no huddle the majority of last season with a torn rather than later, but will he get the green
offense, can Edwards become a reliable elbow ligament but avoided Tommy John light in Week 1?
fantasy starter? surgery. Will that decision come back to
• Will Tom Moore’s retirement affect
haunt him?
• Was Delhomme’s contract Manning? (Indianapolis)? — Peyton
extension a good idea (Carolina)? • Is Romo as good without Owens Manning lost the only OC he’s known
— Jake Delhomme had one of the worst (Dallas)? — The Cowboys believe in the NFL to retirement. Will there be a
playoff games in league history and waiving Terrell Owens was addition by period of adjustment to worry about?
was then rewarded with a hefty new subtraction, but the fact is QBs enjoy
• Will we see the Garrard of 2007 or
extension. Does the 34-year old justify their career seasons with him in the
2008? (Jacksonville)? — Garrard’s TD
his new deal? lineup. Can Romo find new weapons and
rate was cut in half last year and his sack
remain a top fantasy passer?
• Is Jay Cutler the missing piece total doubled, with the additions of WR
(Chicago)? — Bears fans have long • Kyle Orton or Chris Simms Torry Holt and two new bookend rookie
believed they were a QB short of a Super (Denver)? — The consensus believes tackles put him back on track?
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26 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
• How much work will Donald • Will the Jets appease Thomas the short yardage hammer last year while
Brown take from Joseph Addai Jones and Leon Washington (New York Chris Johnson did everything else. Are
(Indianapolis)? — The Colts drafted Jets)? — Thomas Jones wants a new those roles constant?
Donald Brown in the first round, and deal. Leon Washington wants a new deal.
• Will Clinton Portis outperform his
he’ll definitely play a large role. The Rookie Shonn Greene wants to take their
ADP again (Washington)? — Every
question is how will he eat into Joseph jobs. Will NY get their vet tandem signed
year it’s the same old story. Teams bet
Addai’s workload? and sealed?
Clinton Portis will wear down and then
• Is Maurice Jones-Drew ready to be • Is Darren McFadden a go-to he goes out and puts up another monster
THE man (Jacksonville)? — MJD has weapon (Oakland)? — McFadden ran season. Is it possible to be drafted too
been an all-purpose weapon for years, for less than 50 yards in all but one game low nearly every year of your career?
but this year he’s in line for a dramatic last year, but he should be healthy and
increase in his workload following the ready for a larger role this season. Is he a
Wide Receiver Situations to Watch
release of Fred Taylor. Is he up to the task major weapon or a fantasy tease?
or will the Jags need to find someone to
• Is Brian Westbrook still an elite RB
pair him with? • Can the Cardinals bring Anquan
(Philadelphia)? — Brian Westbrook saw
Boldin back into the fold (Arizona)?
• Has Larry Johnson mended fences his YPR and YPC drop last season, and
— The trade rumors were rampant this
(Kansas City)? — With a new regime his ability to stay on the field is always
offseason, but it appears the Cardinals
aboard, Larry Johnson seemed a good a worry. Is Brian Westbrook nearing the
want to keep Boldin for another run at
bet to be cut or traded. Yet his quiet end of his time as one of the NFL’s most
the title. Can they make peace in the
offseason appears to have appeased the explosive runners?
absence of a new long-term contract?
new brass, and LJ now looks to be a
• Does Rashard Mendenhall play
focal point of the offense. • How will Roddy White adjust to
a big role (Pittsburgh)? — Rashard
Tony Gonzalez (Atlanta)? — Roddy
• Does Ronnie Brown have to share Mendenhall was supposed to be a short
White was Matt Ryan’s top option in
the load with Ricky Williams (Miami)? yardage bell cow last year before getting
2008. Will the addition of a HOF tight
— Ronnie Brown is ultra-productive as hurt. Will he lock down an important role
end make things easier for him, or will
both a runner and receiver when he’s this year or can Fast Willie Parker eek out
he need to adjust to fewer targets?
healthy. But he’s always nicked up it another solid season?
seems, and Ricky Williams played hard • Are the Ravens happy going to war
• Will LaDainian Tomlinson have
in 2008. Will the Fins make them share with this WR corps (Baltimore)? —
to share carries (San Diego)? —
the role again? The Ravens were rumored to be pursuing
Tomlinson had to redo his deal to stay in
Anquan Boldin, yet they ignored the
• Is 2,000 yards within reach for San Diego and has plenty of competition
position in the draft. Are they confident
Peterson (Minnesota)? — When you for touches. Will LT have the chance to
in the guys behind Derrick Mason?
run for 1,760 yards as a second-year regain his 20-carry form?
player, is 2,000 yards really out of • Will Terrell Owens presence help
• Is Glen Coffee going to spell
the question? If anyone can do it, it’s Lee Evans (Buffalo)? — We know
Frank Gore from time to time (San
Peterson especially if the Vikings can get Owens will get his, and that he’ll help
Francisco)? — Frank Gore is the
the QB situation settled. Trent Edwards. But will T.O.’s presence
centerpiece but third round rookie Glen
help or hurt Evans?
• Is Fred Taylor the new Corey Dillon Coffee needs to contribute, as well. Will
(New England)? — The Patriots have a the 49ers integrate Coffee immediately? • Can Muhsin Muhammad keep
trove of RBs on the roster, but none have fighting father time (Carolina)?
• Can Steven Jackson stay on the
Fred Taylor’s career numbers. Will the — Muhsin Muhammad had 923 yards
field (St. Louis) — Jackson has missed
Pats give Taylor a major role as they did receiving last year at 35 years old.
eight games in the last two seasons,
with Corey Dillon? Is there any reason to worry he can’t
keeping him from a spot atop the fantasy
maintain that level as a 36-year old?
• Will Pierre Thomas build off his elite. Is this the year he regains his
strong second half (New Orleans)? premiere form? • Defining the WR pecking order
— The Saints cut Deuce McAllister and (Chicago) — The Bears have a
• How will Earnest Graham and
ignored RB in the draft; which bodes gunslinger now, but Jay Cutler needs
Derrick Ward split the touches (Tampa
well for Pierre Thomas. Can he build off people to throw to. Will Devin Hester
Bay)? — The Bucs wasted little time
his late season heroics or will we look start? Is Earl Bennett ready to emerge?
this offseason signing Derrick Ward to a
back on them as a fluke? Will the rookies contribute?
long-term deal following his 1,000-yard
• Can Ahmad Bradshaw replace season in New York. Is Ward the clear • Integrating Laveranues Coles
Derrick Ward (New York Giants)? cut starter or will the Bucs find a role for (Cincinnati) — The Bengals lost T.J.
— Derrick Ward ran for 1,000 yards as Earnest Graham, too? Houshmandzadeh in free agency but
a backup, can Ahmad Bradshaw step in signed Laveranues Coles to a multi-year
• Are Chris Johnson and LenDale
and provide the necessary complement to deal. Will he quickly integrate into the
White satisfied with their two-headed
bruising Brandon Jacobs? fold, and how will Chad Ochocinco
approach (Tennessee)? — White was
handle his new running mate?
ICON SMI
situation. But who starts opposite CJ this
TJ Houshmandzadeh
year is very much in question. Bryant
Johnson, Ron Curry, Adam Jennings and
Derrick Williams all have designs on the
• Who starts opposite Dwayne • How long will Lance Moore be out
job.
Bowe (Kansas City)? — The (New Orleans)? — Lance Moore was
• Will Donald Driver have to share rebuilding Chiefs lost Tony Gonzalez set to test the free agent waters after a
more time (Green Bay)? — GM Ted and they need a number of receivers breakout season, but he tore his labrum
Thompson believes Driver remains to emerge as complements to Dwayne lifting weights and now must play under
an elite talent, but the Packers have a Bowe. Does Bobby Engram have gas a one-year deal in New Orleans. How
number of talented young receivers who left in the tank? Is Mark Bradley an long will his rehab take?
deserve playing time, too. Will Driver NFL starter?
• Replacing Plaxico and Toomer
remain a full-time starter?
• Sorting out the pecking order (New York Giants) — The Giants need to
• Does Kevin Walter have a higher (Miami) — The Dolphins drafted two replace both Plaxico Burress and Amani
ceiling (Houston)? — Kevin Walter receivers and have Ted Ginn, Davone Toomer - no small feat. Will Steve Smith
delivered a Top 20 season last year, but Bess, Greg Camarillo and Brandon and Domenik Hixon hold down the jobs
many believe he’s capable or more than London all vying for roles. No one’s job or will rookies Hakeem Nicks and Ramses
60 catches and 899 yards. Does he have should be considered secure entering Barden push for time immediately?
more upside or was 2008 a career year? camp.
• Who is going to catch the ball
• Can Anthony Gonzalez replace • Will Percy Harvin start besides Jerricho Cotchery (New York
Marvin Harrison (Indianapolis)? immediately (Minnesota)? — The Jets)? — Jerricho Cotchery is the
— Anthony Gonzalez regressed in his Vikings need Percy Harvin to provide clear cut WR1, but the Jets have major
second season, yet he will be counted on offensive versatility, and he will be on the question marks beyond him. Is David
to replace Marvin Harrison in the starting field quickly. But is he a polished enough Clowney or Chansi Stuckey ready to start
lineup. Is Gonzalez up to the task? receiver to start in Week 1? full-time?
• Is Torry Holt still an impact • Who fills Jabar Gaffney’s spot • Who starts in Oaktown (Oakland)?
receiver (Jacksonville)? — Torry Holt (New England)? — Jabar Gaffney — Javon Walker had another knee
was cut by the Rams and signed with played a lot more offensive snaps than operation and seems unlikely to
Jacksonville – filling a desperate need for the typical WR3 but left for Denver in start. Is rookie first rounder Darrius
the Jaguars. But is Holt still an impact the offseason. Is Joey Galloway a lock to Heyward-Bey polished enough to start
receiver or have age and injury caught up fill that role or will a younger receiver immediately, and can Chaz Schilens hold
to him? surprise? off Johnnie Lee Higgins?
• What do the Eagles have planned • Is Devin Thomas or Malcolm Kelly • How do you replace Tony Gonzalez
for Jeremy Maclin (Philadelphia)? — ready to contribute (Washington)? — (Kansas City)? — You simply can’t
The Eagles didn’t draft Jeremy Maclin Antwaan Randle El shouldn’t be starting, replace a HOF tight end, but the Chiefs
19th overall to sit him on the bench, but the Redskins need at least one of will need to start someone in his old
but where does he fit? Is he a starter last year’s rookie WRs to emerge in their spot. Will Brad Cottam, Sean Ryan, Tony
opposite DeSean Jackson or better suited second season. Curtis or Jake O’Connell get the nod?
for the slot?
• Is Visanthe Shiancoe legit
Tight End Situations to Watch
• Does Limas Sweed earn a role (Minnesota)? — Visanthe Shiancoe
(Pittsburgh)? — Ward and Holmes are came out of nowhere to post a Top 5
the starters, but there’s an opportunity • Will Tony Gonzalez adjust to his fantasy finish in 2008, was that a sign of
for Limas Sweed to step into the role new surroundings (Atlanta)? — Tony things to come or a fluke born out of his
vacated by Nate Washington. Can he Gonzalez finds himself starting anew in seven TDs in 42 catches?
win the coaches over, or will veteran his 13th season. Will he be able to step
• Defining roles for the new
Shaun McDonald fill the slot? into the same kind of go-to role as an
additions (New England)? — The
Atlanta Falcon?
• What does Vincent Jackson do Patriots never sit idly by, and this year
for an encore (San Diego)? — Vincent • Defining Todd Heap and L.J. they targeted upgrading the TE position
Jackson broke out last year with 1,098 Smith’s roles (Baltimore) — Todd by signing Chris Baker and trading
yards and seven TDs. Was that the start Heap is great when healthy, and L.J. for Alex Smith. How will they fit into
of great things, or will we look back on Smith started for most of his career in the rotation, and does this mean Ben
that as his career best? Philadelphia, where John Harbaugh Watson’s days are numbered?
coached before Baltimore. How will the
• How good can Michael Crabtree • Can Jeremy Shockey re-establish
Ravens divide the touches between these
be (San Francisco)? — The 49ers re- himself (New Orleans)? — Jeremy
two talented but inconsistent players?
signed Isaac Bruce and signed Brandon Shockey missed four games and was
Jones, but then Michael Crabtree fell • Does Greg Olsen emerge as an hobbled for most of last season. Will
into their laps on draft day. Crabtree elite playmaker (Chicago)? — Greg full health and a training camp to work
should start immediately; will he live up Olsen was a Top 10 fantasy TE last year with the offense allow him to reestablish
to the mountainous expectations? despite starting only seven games. This himself as an elite TE?
year, he’ll start right away and have Jay
• Can T.J. Houshmandzadeh • Finding depth beyond Dustin
Cutler throwing him passes. Watch out.
be the top Hawk (Seattle)? — T.J. Keller (New York Jets) — Dustin Keller
Houshmandzadeh has lived in Chad • Replacing Kellen Winslow is going to catch a lot of passes this year,
Ochocinco’s shadow for a long time but (Cleveland) — The Browns cut ties but the Jets are woefully undermanned
is now set to be the Seahawks new top with Kellen Winslow and can’t possibly at the position. Right now Bubba Franks
receiver. Is he ready for the attention that replace him with any one player. Will and undrafted free agent J’Nathan
brings from opposing defenses? the combination of Robert Royal, Steve Bullock are the most likely backups.
Heiden and Martin Rucker be enough?
• Who starts opposite Donnie Avery • Can the veterans hold off
(St. Louis)? — Donnie Avery is an • Can Jason Witten lead the league Cornelius Ingram (Philadelphia)? —
emerging star, but someone needs to in receptions (Dallas)? — With Terrell Matt Schobel and Brent Celek wouldn’t
start alongside him. Will it be Laurent Owens gone, Jason Witten is almost start for many teams and are the weak
Robinson, Keenan Burton or Derek assured of being the most targeted TE links in a stellar offensive cast. Can
Stanley? in the league. Might he lead the NFL in rookie Cornelius Ingram overtake them
receptions? this season?
• Will Bryant and Clayton earn
their new paydays (Tampa Bay)? • Does Tony Scheffler have a future • How is Antonio Gates’ ankle
— Antonio Bryant resurrected his career with the Broncos (Denver)? — Tony (San Diego)? — Antonio Gates wasn’t
last season and was franchised, and Scheffler has allegedly been on the himself last year rehabbing a bum toe,
Michael Clayton was given a monster trading block ever since Josh McDaniels and then hurt his ankle come playoff
new contract in spite of pedestrian took over. If they don’t trade him, will time. He admitted to lingering pain
numbers. Can they live up to their new they make use of his receiving prowess in the ankle at mini-camp. Is that an
contracts or will these deals be ridiculed or has the sun set on his time as a ominous sign for the league’s most
this time next year? Bronco? explosive TE?
• Have the Titans done enough at • Are expectations too high for • Kellen Winslow gets a new lease
WR (Tennessee)? — The Titans signed Brandon Pettigrew (Detroit)? — on life (Tampa Bay) — Winslow was
Nate Washington in the offseason and Brandon Pettigrew was the cream of the traded to Tampa Bay and then signed to
then drafted Kenny Britt in the first rookie TE crop, and his future is bright. a monster new deal. Will the fire still
round. Are those additions enough But are expectations too big for the burn bright in his new digs, and how
to improve the Titans weak link on rookie on a team desperate to erase the good can he be now that he’s back in
offense? memories of an 0-16 season? Florida?
BUFFALO BILLS CLEVELAND BROWNS GREEN BAY PACKERS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Sep 14 @ New England 7:00pm Sep 13 Minnesota 1:00pm Sep 13 Chicago 8:20pm Sep 13 @ Baltimore 1:00pm
Sep 20 Tampa Bay 4:05pm Sep 20 @ Denver 4:15pm Sep 20 Cincinnati 1:00pm Sep 20 Oakland 1:00pm
Sep 27 New Orleans 4:05pm Sep 27 @ Baltimore 1:00pm Sep 27 @ St. Louis 1:00pm Sep 27 @ Philadelphia 1:00pm
Oct 4 @ Miami 4:05pm Oct 4 Cincinnati 1:00pm Oct 5 @ Minnesota 8:30pm Oct 4 NY Giants 1:00pm
Oct 11 Cleveland 1:00pm Oct 11 @ Buffalo 1:00pm Week 5 Bye Oct 11 Dallas 1:00pm
Oct 18 @ NY Jets 4:15pm Oct 18 @ Pittsburgh 1:00pm Oct 18 Detroit 1:00pm Oct 18 @ Washington 1:00pm
Oct 25 @ Carolina 4:05pm Oct 25 Green Bay 1:00pm Oct 25 @ Cleveland 1:00pm Oct 25 San Diego 1:00pm
Nov 1 Houston 1:00pm Nov 1 @ Chicago 1:00pm Nov 1 Minnesota 1:00pm Week 8 Bye
Week 9 Bye Week 9 Bye Nov 8 @ Tampa Bay 1:00pm Nov 8 @ Jacksonville 1:00pm
Nov 15 @ Tennessee 1:00pm Nov 16 Baltimore 8:30pm Nov 15 Dallas 4:15pm Nov 15 @ Oakland 4:05pm
Nov 22 @ Jacksonville 1:00pm Nov 22 @ Detroit 1:00pm Nov 22 San Francisco 1:00pm Nov 22 Pittsburgh 1:00pm
Nov 29 Miami 1:00pm Nov 29 @ Cincinnati 1:00pm Nov 26 @ Detroit 12:30pm Nov 29 @ San Diego 4:05pm
Dec 3 NY Jets 8:20pm Dec 6 San Diego 4:05pm Dec 7 Baltimore 8:30pm Dec 6 Denver 1:00pm
Dec 13 @ Kansas City 1:00pm Dec 10 Pittsburgh 8:20pm Dec 13 @ Chicago 1:00pm Dec 13 Buffalo 1:00pm
Dec 20 New England 1:00pm Dec 20 @ Kansas City 1:00pm Dec 20 @ Pittsburgh 1:00pm Dec 20 Cleveland 1:00pm
Dec 27 @ Atlanta 1:00pm Dec 27 Oakland 1:00pm Dec 27 Seattle 1:00pm Dec 27 @ Cincinnati 1:00pm
Jan 3 Indianapolis 1:00pm Jan 3 Jacksonville 1:00pm Jan 3 @ Arizona 4:15pm Jan 3 @ Denver 4:15pm
MINNESOTA VIKINGS NEW YORK JETS ST. LOUIS RAMS TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Sep 13 @ Cleveland 1:00pm Sep 13 @ Houston 1:00pm Sep 13 @ Seattle 4:15pm Sep 13 Dallas 1:00pm
Sep 20 @ Detroit 1:00pm Sep 20 New England 1:00pm Sep 20 @ Washington 1:00pm Sep 20 @ Buffalo 4:05pm
Sep 27 San Francisco 1:00pm Sep 27 Tennessee 1:00pm Sep 27 Green Bay 1:00pm Sep 27 NY Giants 1:00pm
Oct 5 Green Bay 8:30pm Oct 4 @ New Orleans 4:05pm Oct 4 @ San Francisco 4:15pm Oct 4 @ Washington 1:00pm
Oct 11 @ St. Louis 1:00pm Oct 12 @ Miami 8:30pm Oct 11 Minnesota 1:00pm Oct 11 @ Philadelphia 1:00pm
Oct 18 Baltimore 1:00pm Oct 18 Buffalo 4:15pm Oct 18 @ Jacksonville 1:00pm Oct 18 Carolina 1:00pm
Oct 25 @ Pittsburgh 1:00pm Oct 25 @ Oakland 4:05pm Oct 25 Indianapolis 1:00pm Oct 25 New England 1:00pm
Nov 1 @ Green Bay 1:00pm Nov 1 Miami 1:00pm Nov 1 @ Detroit 1:00pm Week 8 Bye
Week 9 Bye Week 9 Bye Week 9 Bye Nov 8 Green Bay 1:00pm
Nov 15 Detroit 1:00pm Nov 15 Jacksonville 1:00pm Nov 15 New Orleans 1:00pm Nov 15 @ Miami 1:00pm
Nov 22 Seattle 1:00pm Nov 22 @ New England 4:15pm Nov 22 Arizona 4:05pm Nov 22 New Orleans 1:00pm
Nov 29 Chicago 1:00pm Nov 29 Carolina 1:00pm Nov 29 Seattle 1:00pm Nov 29 @ Atlanta 1:00pm
Dec 6 @ Arizona 4:15pm Dec 3 @ Buffalo 8:20pm Dec 6 @ Chicago 1:00pm Dec 6 @ Carolina 1:00pm
Dec 13 Cincinnati 1:00pm Dec 13 @ Tampa Bay 1:00pm Dec 13 @ Tennessee 1:00pm Dec 13 NY Jets 1:00pm
Dec 20 @ Carolina 8:20pm Dec 20 Atlanta 1:00pm Dec 20 Houston 1:00pm Dec 20 @ Seattle 4:15pm
Dec 28 @ Chicago 8:30pm Dec 27 @ Indianapolis 4:15pm Dec 27 @ Arizona 4:05pm Dec 27 @ New Orleans 1:00pm
Jan 3 NY Giants 1:00pm Jan 3 Cincinnati 1:00pm Jan 3 San Francisco 1:00pm Jan 3 Atlanta 1:00pm
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS OAKLAND RAIDERS SAN DIEGO CHARGERS TENNESSEE TITANS
Sep 14 Buffalo 7:00pm Sep 14 San Diego 10:15pm Sep 14 @ Oakland 10:15pm Sep 10 @ Pittsburgh 8:30pm
Sep 20 @ NY Jets 1:00pm Sep 20 @ Kansas City 1:00pm Sep 20 Baltimore 4:15pm Sep 20 Houston 1:00pm
Sep 27 Atlanta 1:00pm Sep 27 Denver 4:15pm Sep 27 Miami 4:15pm Sep 27 @ NY Jets 1:00pm
Oct 4 Baltimore 1:00pm Oct 4 @ Houston 1:00pm Oct 4 @ Pittsburgh 8:20pm Oct 4 @ Jacksonville 1:00pm
Oct 11 @ Denver 4:15pm Oct 11 @ NY Giants 1:00pm Week 5 Bye Oct 11 Indianapolis 8:20pm
Oct 18 Tennessee 4:15pm Oct 18 Philadelphia 4:05pm Oct 19 Denver 8:30pm Oct 18 @ New England 4:15pm
Oct 25 @ Tampa Bay 1:00pm Oct 25 NY Jets 4:05pm Oct 25 @ Kansas City 1:00pm Week 7 Bye
Week 8 Bye Nov 1 @ San Diego 4:05pm Nov 1 Oakland 4:05pm Nov 1 Jacksonville 4:05pm
Nov 8 Miami 1:00pm Week 9 Bye Nov 8 @ NY Giants 4:15pm Nov 8 @ San Francisco 4:15pm
Nov 15 @ Indianapolis 8:20pm Nov 15 Kansas City 4:05pm Nov 15 Philadelphia 4:15pm Nov 15 Buffalo 1:00pm
Nov 22 NY Jets 4:15pm Nov 22 Cincinnati 4:15pm Nov 22 @ Denver 4:15pm Nov 23 @ Houston 8:30pm
Nov 30 @ New Orleans 8:30pm Nov 26 @ Dallas 4:15pm Nov 29 Kansas City 4:05pm Nov 29 Arizona 1:00pm
Dec 6 @ Miami 8:20pm Dec 6 @ Pittsburgh 1:00pm Dec 6 @ Cleveland 4:05pm Dec 6 @ Indianapolis 1:00pm
Dec 13 Carolina 1:00pm Dec 13 Washington 4:05pm Dec 13 @ Dallas 4:15pm Dec 13 St. Louis 1:00pm
Dec 20 @ Buffalo 1:00pm Dec 20 @ Denver 4:05pm Dec 20 Cincinnati 4:05pm Dec 20 Miami 1:00pm
Dec 27 Jacksonville 1:00pm Dec 27 @ Cleveland 1:00pm Dec 25 @ Tennessee 7:30pm Dec 25 San Diego 7:30pm
Jan 3 @ Houston 1:00pm Jan 3 Baltimore 4:15pm Jan 3 Washington 4:15pm Jan 3 @ Seattle 4:15pm
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Sep 13 Detroit 1:00pm Sep 13 @ Carolina 1:00pm Sep 13 @ Arizona 4:15pm Sep 13 @ NY Giants 4:15pm
Sep 20 @ Philadelphia 1:00pm Sep 20 New Orleans 1:00pm Sep 20 Seattle 4:05pm Sep 20 St. Louis 1:00pm
Sep 27 @ Buffalo 4:05pm Sep 27 Kansas City 1:00pm Sep 27 @ Minnesota 1:00pm Sep 27 @ Detroit 1:00pm
Oct 4 NY Jets 4:05pm Week 4 Bye Oct 4 St. Louis 4:15pm Oct 4 Tampa Bay 1:00pm
Week 5 Bye Oct 11 Tampa Bay 1:00pm Oct 11 Atlanta 4:05pm Oct 11 @ Carolina 1:00pm
Oct 18 NY Giants 1:00pm Oct 18 @ Oakland 4:05pm Week 6 Bye Oct 18 Kansas City 1:00pm
Oct 25 @ Miami 4:15pm Oct 26 @ Washington 8:30pm Oct 25 @ Houston 1:00pm Oct 26 Philadelphia 8:30pm
Nov 2 Atlanta 8:30pm Nov 1 NY Giants 4:15pm Nov 1 @ Indianapolis 1:00pm Week 8 Bye
Nov 8 Carolina 4:05pm Nov 8 Dallas 8:20pm Nov 8 Tennessee 4:15pm Nov 8 @ Atlanta 1:00pm
Nov 15 @ St. Louis 1:00pm Nov 15 @ San Diego 4:15pm Nov 12 Chicago 8:20pm Nov 15 Denver 1:00pm
Nov 22 @ Tampa Bay 1:00pm Nov 22 @ Chicago 8:20pm Nov 22 @ Green Bay 1:00pm Nov 22 @ Dallas 1:00pm
Nov 30 New England 8:30pm Nov 29 Washington 1:00pm Nov 29 Jacksonville 4:05pm Nov 29 @ Philadelphia 1:00pm
Dec 6 @ Washington 1:00pm Dec 6 @ Atlanta 1:00pm Dec 6 @ Seattle 4:15pm Dec 6 New Orleans 1:00pm
Dec 13 @ Atlanta 1:00pm Dec 13 @ NY Giants 8:20pm Dec 14 Arizona 8:30pm Dec 13 @ Oakland 4:05pm
Dec 19 Dallas 8:20pm Dec 20 San Francisco 1:00pm Dec 20 @ Philadelphia 1:00pm Dec 21 NY Giants 8:30pm
Dec 27 Tampa Bay 1:00pm Dec 27 Denver 1:00pm Dec 27 Detroit 4:05pm Dec 27 Dallas 8:20pm
Jan 3 @ Carolina 1:00pm Jan 3 @ Dallas 1:00pm Jan 3 @ St. Louis 1:00pm Jan 3 @ San Diego 4:15pm
GRADING SYSTEM
erview
A Excellent
B+ Very Good
B Good
C+ Fair
C Average
D Poor
F Terrible
Arizona Cardinals
Overall Grade: C+ / Overall Rank 14th
2009 Grades
Run blocking: C Cohesion: A
Pass blocking: B+ Experience: A
Depth: C Potential: B+
Projected Starters
LT Mike Gandy – 16 starts in 2008 / 8th season
LG Reggie Wells – 16 starts in 2008 / 7th season
C Lyle Sendlein – 16 starts in 2008 / 3rd season
RG Deuce Lutui – 16 starts in 2008 / 4th season
RT Levi Brown – 16 starts in 2008 / 3rd season
ICON SMI
Steve Hutchinson
Team Notes
• New Additions: T Herman Johnson
• Key Losses: None Projected Starters
• Yet to sign: None
Baltimore Ravens LT Langston Walker – 16 starts / 8th season
Overall Grade: C / Overall Rank 20th LG Kirk Chambers – 4 starts / 6th season
Atlanta Falcons
C Geoff Hangartner – new addition / 5th season
2009 Grades RG Brad Butler – 13 starts / 4th season
Overall Grade: B+ / Overall Rank 8th RT Demetrius Bell – 0 starts / 2nd season
Run blocking: B+ Cohesion: C
Pass blocking: C Experience: B
2009 Grades Key Backups: C/G Seth McKinney, C Eric Wood
Depth: A Potential: B
Run blocking: A Cohesion: B [R], T Jonathon Scott, T Chris Denman, G Andy
Pass blocking: A Experience: B Levitre [R]
Projected Starters
Depth: C Potential: A
LT Jared Gaither - 15 starts in 2008 / 3rd season
LG Ben Grubbs – 16 starts in 2008 / 3rd season Team Notes
Projected Starters • New Additions: G/C - Seth McKinney
C Matt Birk – new addition / 12th season
LT Sam Baker – 5 starts in 2008 / 2nd season (Cleveland), C/G - Geoff Hangartner (Carolina), C
RG Marshall Yanda- 5 starts / 3rd season
LG Justin Blalock – 16 starts in 2008 / 3rd season Eric Wood [R], G Andy Levitre [R]
RT Michael Oher – rookie (first round pick)
C Todd McClure – 16 starts in 2008 /10th season • Key Losses: LT Jason Peters (traded to
RG Harvey Dahl- 16 starts in 2008 / 4th season Philadelphia), C/G Duke Preston (Green Bay), G
Key Backups: G/C Chris Chester, T Adam Terry
RT Tyson Clabo – 16 starts in 2008 / 3rd season Derrick Dockery (Washington)
Team Notes
Key Backups: C/G Ben Wilkinson, G Brett
• New Additions: Center Matt Birk (Minnesota), T
Romberg, T Garrett Reynolds [R]
Michael Oher [R]
Team Notes
• Key Losses: Jason Brown (St. Louis) Carolina Panthers
• Yet to Sign: None Overall Grade: B+ / Overall Rank 9th
• New Additions: Brett Romberg, T Garrett
Reynolds [R]
• Key Losses: None Buffalo Bills 2009 Grades
• Yet to Sign: Harvey Dahl (RFA) Overall Grade: F / Overall Rank 32nd Run blocking: A Depth: B
• Center Todd McClure has not missed a start Pass blocking: A Cohesion: C
since 2001 2009 Grades Experience: B Potential: A
Run blocking: D Cohesion: F
Pass blocking: D Experience: C Projected Starters
Depth: C+ Potential: D LT Jordan Gross – Pro Bowl – 15 starts / 7th season
Sig
nU
p To
E E ates
Da
OVERALL
RANKINGS
RANKINGS
Tefertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Henry
Wood
OVERALL
Hicks
Gray
Avg
( ( ( ( ( ( ( (
( ( ( ( ( (
September 4-6, 2009
LIVE DRAFTS AT:
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RANKINGS
N
o matter if you are a Here are the experts that contrib- Rookie-Only Rankings: Sigmund
first-time player or uted to this feature: Bloom, Anthony Borbely, Jene Bramel,
a longtime fantasy Offensive Rankings: Joe Bryant, Jeff Haseley, Bob Henry, John Norton,
shark, it’s always nice David Baker, Sigmund Bloom, Jeff Pasquino, Aaron Rudnicki, Jeff
to compare your efforts to experts Anthony Borbely, Clayton Gray, Tefertiller, Matt Waldman and Jason
in the industry. We asked 23 of our Jeff Haseley, Bob Henry, Mike Wood.
staff experts to rank the positions Herman, Andy Hicks, John Norton, IDP Rankings: David Baker,
you see in these pages. We have cut Jeff Pasquino, Aaron Rudnicki, Jeff Sigmund Bloom, Anthony Borbely,
some of these lists off at 50 play- Tefertiller, Maurile Tremblay, Mark Jene Bramel, Bob Magaw, John
ers, but you can find the full rank- Wimer, and Jason Wood. Norton, Jeff Pasquino, and Aaron
ings at Footballguys.com. Rudnicki.
Terfertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Baker
Henry
Wood
QUARTERBACKS
Hicks
Gray
Avg
Tefertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Henry
Baker
Wood
RUNNING BACKS
Hicks
Gray
Avg
Tefertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Henry
Baker
Wood
WIDE RECEIVERS
Hicks
Gray
Avg
Tefertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Henry
Baker
Wood
TIGHT ENDS
Hicks
Gray
Avg
NFL TRIVIA
????
Question 1: Kurt Warner threw for 4,582 yards last
season at 37 years old. Only two QBs in league his-
tory have thrown for 4,000+ yards at an older age,
can you name them? Answer on page 52
KICKERS
Terfertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Herman
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Henry
Baker
Wood
KICKERS
Hicks
Gray
Avg
NFL TRIVIA
????
Question 2: In 2008, the Cardinals had three 1,000-yard
receivers: Larry Fitzgerald (1,431 yards), Anquan Boldin
(1,038 yards) and Steve Breaston (1,008 yards). This has
happened only four other times in league history; can
you name the teams and receivers? Answer on page 52
RANKINGS
Tefertiller
Pasquino
Tremblay
Rudnicki
Haseley
Borbely
Norton
Wimer
Bryant
Bloom
Henry
Baker
Wood
DEFENSES
Hicks
Gray
Avg
TRIVIA ANSWERS
????
Answer 1: Warren Moon (he did it twice as a 38 and 39 year old)
and Brett Favre (38 years old in 2007)
Answer 2: •1980 San Diego Chargers (John Jefferson, Charlie Joiner,
Kellen Winslow) • 1989 Washington Redskins (Gary Clark, Art Monk, Ricky
Sanders) • 1995 Atlanta Falcons (Eric Metcalf, Bert Emanuel, Terance
Mathis) • 2004 Indianapolis Colts (Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison,
Brandon Stokley)
Tefertiller
Waldman
Pasquino
Pasquino
Rudnicki
Rudnicki
Average
Average
Haseley
Borbely
Borbely
ROOKIE-ONLY ROOKIE-ONLY
Bramel
Norton
Norton
Bloom
Bloom
Wood
(OFFENSE) (DEFENSE)
Pasquino
Pasquino
Rudnicki
Rudnicki
Average
Average
Borbely
Borbely
IDP DEFENSIVE
Bramel
Bramel
Magaw
Norton
Norton
Bloom
Bloom
Baker
OVERALL LINEMEN
Pasquino
Rudnicki
Rudnicki
Average
Average
Borbely
Borbely
DEFENSIVE
Bramel
Magaw
Bramel
Magaw
Norton
Norton
Bloom
Bloom
LINEBACKERS
Baker
Baker
BACKS
QUARTERBACKS (BYE) PTS RUNNING BACKS (BYE) PTS WIDE RECEIVERS (BYE) PTS DEFENSES (BYE)
1. Drew Brees, NO (5) 326 1. Adrian Peterson, Min (9) 253 1. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari (4) 198 1. Pittsburgh Steelers (8)
2. Tom Brady, NE (8) 322 2. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac (7) 241 2. Andre Johnson, Hou (10) 192 2. Minnesota Vikings (9)
3. Peyton Manning, Ind (6) 307 3. Michael Turner, Atl (4) 234 3. Randy Moss, NE (8) 191 3. Baltimore Ravens (7)
4. Aaron Rodgers, GB (5) 306 4. Ladainian Tomlinson, SD (5) 232 4. Calvin Johnson, Det (7) 191 4. New York Giants (10)
5. Donovan McNabb, Phi (4) 303 5. Steven Jackson, StL (9) 229 5. Reggie Wayne, Ind (6) 186 5. Philadelphia Eagles (4)
6. Philip Rivers, SD (5) 298 6. Matt Forte, Chi (5) 226 6. Steve Smith, Car (4) 185 6. San Diego Chargers (5)
7. Kurt Warner, Ari (4) 291 7. Clinton Portis, Was (8) 226 7. Roddy White, Atl (4) 174 7. Chicago Bears (5)
8. Tony Romo, Dal (6) 275 8. DeAngelo Williams, Car (4) 222 8. Greg Jennings, GB (5) 173 8. New England Patriots (8)
9. Jay Cutler, Chi (5) 273 9. Steve Slaton, Hou (10) 210 9. Marques Colston, NO (5) 172 9. Tennessee Titans (7)
10. David Garrard, Jac (7) 269 10. Frank Gore, SF (6) 206 10. Dwayne Bowe, KC (8) 162 10. Dallas Cowboys (6)
11. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit (8) 267 11. Brian Westbrook, Phi (4) 205 11. Anquan Boldin, Ari (4) 160 11. Carolina Panthers (4)
12. Matt Schaub, Hou (10) 261 12. Chris Johnson, Ten (7) 201 12. Terrell Owens, Buf (9) 157 12. New York Jets (9)
13. Matt Ryan, Atl (4) 255 13. Brandon Jacobs, NYG (10) 198 13. Brandon Marshall, Den (7) 154 13. Green Bay Packers (5)
14. Carson Palmer, Cin (8) 253 14. Ronnie Brown, Mia (6) 187 14. Braylon Edwards, Cle (9) 150 14. Miami Dolphins (6)
15. Matt Hasselbeck, Sea (7) 248 15. Marion Barber, Dal (6) 186 15. Chad Ochocinco, Cin (8) 148 15. Jacksonville Jaguars (7)
16. Matt Cassel, KC (8) 247 16. Darren McFadden, Oak (9) 185 16. DeSean Jackson, Phi (4) 147 16. Indianapolis Colts (6)
17. Trent Edwards, Buf (9) 238 17. Pierre Thomas, NO (5) 185 17. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea (7) 145 17. Houston Texans (10)
18. Eli Manning, NYG (10) 237 18. Reggie Bush, NO (5) 180 18. Wes Welker, NE (8) 144 18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8)
19. Joe Flacco, Bal (7) 232 19. Kevin Smith, Det (7) 180 19. Donnie Avery, StL (9) 142 19. Buffalo Bills (9)
20. Shaun Hill, SF (6) 228 20. Ryan Grant, GB (5) 170 20. Antonio Bryant, TB (8) 142 20. Arizona Cardinals (4)
21. Jason Campbell, Was (8) 227 21. Marshawn Lynch, Buf (9) 170 21. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ (9) 139 21. Washington Redskins (8)
22. Chad Pennington, Mia (6) 224 22. Thomas Jones, NYJ (9) 163 22. Santonio Holmes, Pit (8) 137 22. Oakland Raiders (9)
23. Jake Delhomme, Car (4) 215 23. Cedric Benson, Cin (8) 161 23. Santana Moss, Was (8) 137 23. Atlanta Falcons (4)
24. Kyle Orton, Den (7) 215 24. Derrick Ward, TB (8) 158 24. Vincent Jackson, SD (5) 135 24. San Francisco 49ers (6)
25. Mark Sanchez, NYJ (9) 196 25. Larry Johnson, KC (8) 156 25. Eddie Royal, Den (7) 133 25. New Orleans Saints (5)
26. JaMarcus Russell, Oak (9) 195 26. Knowshon Moreno, Den (7) 155 26. Hines Ward, Pit (8) 132 26. Seattle Seahawks (7)
27. Matthew Stafford, Det (7) 189 27. Chris Wells, Ari (4) 138 27. Roy Williams, Dal (6) 130 27. Cleveland Browns (9)
28. Kerry Collins, Ten (7) 182 28. Joseph Addai, Ind (6) 136 28. Anthony Gonzalez, Ind (6) 129 28. Cincinnati Bengals (8)
29. Marc Bulger, StL (9) 181 29. LenDale White, Ten (7) 134 29. Laveranues Coles, Cin (8) 128 29. Denver Broncos (7)
30. Sage Rosenfels, Min (9) 176 30. Jamal Lewis, Cle (9) 131 30. Torry Holt, Jac (7) 127 30. Kansas City Chiefs (8)
31. Brady Quinn, Cle (9) 142 31. Jonathan Stewart, Car (4) 130 31. Donald Driver, GB (5) 124 31. Detroit Lions (7)
32. Byron Leftwich, TB (8) 132 32. Willie Parker, Pit (8) 128 32. Lee Evans, Buf (9) 124 32. St. Louis Rams (9)
33. Luke McCown, TB (8) 84 33. Julius Jones, Sea (7) 128 33. Michael Crabtree, SF (6) 122 KICKERS (BYE)
34. Derek Anderson, Cle (9) 68 34. Leon Washington, NYJ (9) 127 34. Bernard Berrian, Min (9) 121 1. Stephen Gostkowski, NE (8)
35. Chris Simms, Den (7) 65 35. Donald Brown, Ind (6) 123 35. Derrick Mason, Bal (7) 121 2. Nate Kaeding, SD (5)
TIGHT ENDS (BYE) PTS 36. Darren Sproles, SD (5) 118 36. Devin Hester, Chi (5) 120 3. Rob Bironas, Ten (7)
1. Antonio Gates, SD (5) 132 37. Chester Taylor, Min (9) 118 37. Ted Ginn Jr., Mia (6) 115 4. Mason Crosby, GB (5)
2. Jason Witten, Dal (6) 130 38. Ray Rice, Bal (7) 117 38. Steve Breaston, Ari (4) 113 5. Jason Elam, Atl (4)
3. Tony Gonzalez, Atl (4) 123 39. Fred Taylor, NE (8) 110 39. Lance Moore, NO (5) 110 6. Nick Folk, Dal (6)
4. Dallas Clark, Ind (6) 114 40. Ricky Williams, Mia (6) 106 40. Kevin Walter, Hou (10) 109 7. Garrett Hartley, NO (5)
5. Kellen Winslow, TB (8) 109 41. Earnest Graham, TB (8) 103 41. Hakeem Nicks, NYG (10) 105 8. David Akers, Phi (4)
6. Owen Daniels, Hou (10) 100 42. Fred Jackson, Buf (9) 102 42. Chris Chambers, SD (5) 104 9. Kris Brown, Hou (10)
7. Greg Olsen, Chi (5) 97 43. Le'Ron McClain, Bal (7) 101 43. Muhsin Muhammad, Car (4) 104 10. Neil Rackers, Ari (4)
8. Chris Cooley, Was (8) 96 44. Jerious Norwood, Atl (4) 97 44. Steve Smith, NYG (10) 104 11. Ryan Longwell, Min (9)
9. Zach Miller, Oak (9) 88 45. Willis McGahee, Bal (7) 97 45. Mark Clayton, Bal (7) 98 12. Adam Vinatieri, Ind (6)
10. John Carlson, Sea (7) 87 46. Kevin Faulk, NE (8) 96 46. Michael Jenkins, Atl (4) 97 13. Robbie Gould, Chi (5)
11. Dustin Keller, NYJ (9) 86 47. Sammy Morris, NE (8) 95 47. Justin Gage, Ten (7) 94 14. John Kasay, Car (4)
12. Jeremy Shockey, NO (5) 77 48. Rashard Mendenhall, Pit (8) 94 48. Earl Bennett, Chi (5) 92 15. Shayne Graham, Cin (8)
13. Visanthe Shiancoe, Min (9) 75 49. Felix Jones, Dal (6) 92 49. Domenik Hixon, NYG (10) 91 16. Jeff Reed, Pit (8)
14. Bo Scaife, Ten (7) 75 50. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG (10) 92 50. Plaxico Burress, FA 89 17. Lawrence Tynes, NYG (10)
15. Heath Miller, Pit (8) 72 51. LeSean McCoy, Phi (4) 79 51. Isaac Bruce, SF (6) 86 18. Josh Scobee, Jac (7)
16. Tony Scheffler, Den (7) 70 52. Edgerrin James, FA 74 52. Nate Washington, Ten (7) 85 19. Josh Brown, StL (9)
17. Anthony Fasano, Mia (6) 70 53. Tim Hightower, Ari (4) 74 53. Antwaan Randle El, Was (8) 79 20. Joe Nedney, SF (6)
18. Vernon Davis, SF (6) 65 54. Mewelde Moore, Pit (8) 70 54. Chaz Schilens, Oak (9) 79 21. Rian Lindell, Buf (9)
19. Kevin Boss, NYG (10) 60 55. Brandon Jackson, GB (5) 70 55. Chris Henry, Cin (8) 79 22. Dan Carpenter, Mia (6)
20. Todd Heap, Bal (7) 60 56. Jamaal Charles, KC (8) 68 56. Kevin Curtis, Phi (4) 79 23. Jason Hanson, Det (7)
21. Marcedes Lewis, Jac (7) 58 57. T.J. Duckett, Sea (7) 66 57. Deion Branch, Sea (7) 76 24. Phil Dawson, Cle (9)
22. Donald Lee, GB (5) 58 58. Michael Bush, Oak (9) 66 58. Jeremy Maclin, Phi (4) 75 25. Matt Prater, Den (7)
23. Randy McMichael, StL (9) 57 59. Justin Fargas, Oak (9) 65 59. Miles Austin, Dal (6) 74 26. Jay Feely, NYJ (9)
24. Brent Celek, Phi (4) 56 60. Maurice Morris, Det (7) 63 60. Michael Clayton, TB (8) 73 27. Olindo Mare, Sea (7)
25. Brandon Pettigrew, Det (7) 51 61. Correll Buckhalter, Den (7) 60 61. Devery Henderson, NO (5) 68 28. Mike Nugent, TB (8)
26. Robert Royal, Cle (9) 50 62. Laurence Maroney, NE (8) 57 62. Bryant Johnson, Det (7) 67 29. Shaun Suisham, Was (8)
27. Desmond Clark, Chi (5) 46 63. Jerome Harrison, Cle (9) 55 63. Dennis Northcutt, Jac (7) 65 30. Sebastian Janikowski, Oak (9)
28. David Martin, Mia (6) 45 64. Ladell Betts, Was (8) 53 64. Bobby Engram, KC (8) 63 31. Steve Hauschka, Bal (7)
29. L.J. Smith, Bal (7) 41 65. Justin Forsett, Sea (7) 53 65. Patrick Crayton, Dal (6) 63 32. Ryan Succop, KC (8)
A twelve-team league where each team starts one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one PK, and one Team Defense/ST.
Passing: 1 point per 20 yards, 4 points per TD, -1 point per interception thrown • Rushing/Receiving: 1 point per 10 yards, 6 points per TD
PPR
QUARTERBACKS (BYE) PTS RUNNING BACKS (BYE) PTS RECEIVERS (BYE) PTS DEFENSES (BYE)
1. Drew Brees, NO (5) 326 1. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac (7) 296 1. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari (4) 292 1. Pittsburgh Steelers (8)
2. Tom Brady, NE (8) 322 2. Matt Forte, Chi (5) 286 2. Andre Johnson, Hou (10) 290 2. Minnesota Vikings (9)
3. Peyton Manning, Ind (6) 307 3. Adrian Peterson, Min (9) 278 3. Calvin Johnson, Det (7) 279 3. Baltimore Ravens (7)
4. Aaron Rodgers, GB (5) 306 4. Steven Jackson, StL (9) 277 4. Reggie Wayne, Ind (6) 276 4. New York Giants (10)
5. Donovan McNabb, Phi (4) 303 5. Ladainian Tomlinson, SD (5) 274 5. Steve Smith, Car (4) 272 5. Philadelphia Eagles (4)
6. Philip Rivers, SD (5) 298 6. Brian Westbrook, Phi (4) 262 6. Randy Moss, NE (8) 270 6. San Diego Chargers (5)
7. Kurt Warner, Ari (4) 291 7. Clinton Portis, Was (8) 260 7. Roddy White, Atl (4) 258 7. Chicago Bears (5)
8. Tony Romo, Dal (6) 275 8. Reggie Bush, NO (5) 255 8. Dwayne Bowe, KC (8) 252 8. New England Patriots (8)
9. Jay Cutler, Chi (5) 273 9. Frank Gore, SF (6) 255 9. Marques Colston, NO (5) 252 9. Tennessee Titans (7)
10. David Garrard, Jac (7) 269 10. Steve Slaton, Hou (10) 254 10. Greg Jennings, GB (5) 251 10. Dallas Cowboys (6)
11. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit (8) 267 11. Chris Johnson, Ten (7) 246 11. Anquan Boldin, Ari (4) 246 11. Carolina Panthers (4)
12. Matt Schaub, Hou (10) 261 12. DeAngelo Williams, Car (4) 245 12. Wes Welker, NE (8) 237 12. New York Jets (9)
13. Matt Ryan, Atl (4) 255 13. Michael Turner, Atl (4) 242 13. Brandon Marshall, Den (7) 237 13. Green Bay Packers (5)
14. Carson Palmer, Cin (8) 253 14. Marion Barber, Dal (6) 236 14. Terrell Owens, Buf (9) 229 14. Miami Dolphins (6)
15. Matt Hasselbeck, Sea (7) 248 15. Ronnie Brown, Mia (6) 226 15. Chad Ochocinco, Cin (8) 228 15. Jacksonville Jaguars (7)
16. Matt Cassel, KC (8) 247 16. Darren McFadden, Oak (9) 225 16. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea (7) 227 16. Indianapolis Colts (6)
17. Trent Edwards, Buf (9) 238 17. Pierre Thomas, NO (5) 220 17. DeSean Jackson, Phi (4) 221 17. Houston Texans (10)
18. Eli Manning, NYG (10) 237 18. Kevin Smith, Det (7) 220 18. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ (9) 220 18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8)
19. Joe Flacco, Bal (7) 232 19. Brandon Jacobs, NYG (10) 216 19. Braylon Edwards, Cle (9) 220 19. Buffalo Bills (9)
20. Shaun Hill, SF (6) 228 20. Marshawn Lynch, Buf (9) 211 20. Donnie Avery, StL (9) 219 20. Arizona Cardinals (4)
21. Jason Campbell, Was (8) 227 21. Derrick Ward, TB (8) 200 21. Antonio Bryant, TB (8) 214 21. Washington Redskins (8)
22. Chad Pennington, Mia (6) 224 22. Ryan Grant, GB (5) 191 22. Santana Moss, Was (8) 213 22. Oakland Raiders (9)
23. Jake Delhomme, Car (4) 215 23. Thomas Jones, NYJ (9) 191 23. Eddie Royal, Den (7) 210 23. Atlanta Falcons (4)
24. Kyle Orton, Den (7) 215 24. Cedric Benson, Cin (8) 184 24. Hines Ward, Pit (8) 204 24. San Francisco 49ers (6)
25. Mark Sanchez, NYJ (9) 196 25. Knowshon Moreno, Den (7) 180 25. Laveranues Coles, Cin (8) 203 25. New Orleans Saints (5)
26. JaMarcus Russell, Oak (9) 195 26. Leon Washington, NYJ (9) 178 26. Santonio Holmes, Pit (8) 202 26. Seattle Seahawks (7)
27. Matthew Stafford, Det (7) 189 27. Larry Johnson, KC (8) 172 27. Anthony Gonzalez, Ind (6) 200 27. Cleveland Browns (9)
28. Kerry Collins, Ten (7) 182 28. Joseph Addai, Ind (6) 163 28. Torry Holt, Jac (7) 197 28. Cincinnati Bengals (8)
29. Marc Bulger, StL (9) 181 29. Chester Taylor, Min (9) 163 29. Vincent Jackson, SD (5) 195 29. Denver Broncos (7)
30. Sage Rosenfels, Min (9) 176 30. Darren Sproles, SD (5) 155 30. Roy Williams, Dal (6) 194 30. Kansas City Chiefs (8)
31. Brady Quinn, Cle (9) 142 31. Julius Jones, Sea (7) 152 31. Derrick Mason, Bal (7) 194 31. Detroit Lions (7)
32. Byron Leftwich, TB (8) 132 32. Ray Rice, Bal (7) 152 32. Donald Driver, GB (5) 191 32. St. Louis Rams (9)
33. Luke McCown, TB (8) 84 33. Donald Brown, Ind (6) 146 33. Lee Evans, Buf (9) 184 KICKERS (BYE)
34. Derek Anderson, Cle (9) 68 34. Willie Parker, Pit (8) 144 34. Michael Crabtree, SF (6) 182 1. Stephen Gostkowski, NE (8)
35. Chris Simms, Den (7) 65 35. Kevin Faulk, NE (8) 143 35. Steve Breaston, Ari (4) 180 2. Nate Kaeding, SD (5)
TIGHT ENDS (BYE) PTS 36. Jamal Lewis, Cle (9) 143 36. Devin Hester, Chi (5) 177 3. Rob Bironas, Ten (7)
1. Jason Witten, Dal (6) 210 37. Chris Wells, Ari (4) 143 37. Bernard Berrian, Min (9) 176 4. Mason Crosby, GB (5)
2. Antonio Gates, SD (5) 200 38. LenDale White, Ten (7) 142 38. Ted Ginn Jr., Mia (6) 174 5. Jason Elam, Atl (4)
3. Tony Gonzalez, Atl (4) 196 39. Ricky Williams, Mia (6) 140 39. Kevin Walter, Hou (10) 168 6. Nick Folk, Dal (6)
4. Dallas Clark, Ind (6) 186 40. Jonathan Stewart, Car (4) 140 40. Lance Moore, NO (5) 168 7. Garrett Hartley, NO (5)
5. Kellen Winslow, TB (8) 175 41. Fred Jackson, Buf (9) 135 41. Steve Smith, NYG (10) 167 8. David Akers, Phi (4)
6. Owen Daniels, Hou (10) 166 42. Jerious Norwood, Atl (4) 129 42. Hakeem Nicks, NYG (10) 163 9. Kris Brown, Hou (10)
7. Chris Cooley, Was (8) 161 43. Earnest Graham, TB (8) 126 43. Muhsin Muhammad, Car (4) 159 10. Neil Rackers, Ari (4)
8. Greg Olsen, Chi (5) 157 44. Fred Taylor, NE (8) 124 44. Chris Chambers, SD (5) 157 11. Ryan Longwell, Min (9)
9. Zach Miller, Oak (9) 143 45. Willis McGahee, Bal (7) 117 45. Michael Jenkins, Atl (4) 150 12. Adam Vinatieri, Ind (6)
10. Dustin Keller, NYJ (9) 140 46. Le'Ron McClain, Bal (7) 116 46. Mark Clayton, Bal (7) 147 13. Robbie Gould, Chi (5)
11. John Carlson, Sea (7) 139 47. Sammy Morris, NE (8) 110 47. Justin Gage, Ten (7) 144 14. John Kasay, Car (4)
12. Bo Scaife, Ten (7) 125 48. Felix Jones, Dal (6) 110 48. Earl Bennett, Chi (5) 142 15. Shayne Graham, Cin (8)
13. Jeremy Shockey, NO (5) 123 49. Mewelde Moore, Pit (8) 109 49. Domenik Hixon, NYG (10) 141 16. Jeff Reed, Pit (8)
14. Visanthe Shiancoe, Min (9) 120 50. Rashard Mendenhall, Pit (8) 106 50. Isaac Bruce, SF (6) 135 17. Lawrence Tynes, NYG (10)
15. Heath Miller, Pit (8) 117 51. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG (10) 103 51. Plaxico Burress, FA 134 18. Josh Scobee, Jac (7)
16. Tony Scheffler, Den (7) 108 52. Brandon Jackson, GB (5) 100 52. Antwaan Randle El, Was (8) 131 19. Josh Brown, StL (9)
17. Anthony Fasano, Mia (6) 108 53. LeSean McCoy, Phi (4) 99 53. Nate Washington, Ten (7) 126 20. Joe Nedney, SF (6)
18. Vernon Davis, SF (6) 99 54. Jamaal Charles, KC (8) 98 54. Kevin Curtis, Phi (4) 123 21. Rian Lindell, Buf (9)
19. Todd Heap, Bal (7) 98 55. Tim Hightower, Ari (4) 89 55. Chris Henry, Cin (8) 121 22. Dan Carpenter, Mia (6)
20. Kevin Boss, NYG (10) 96 56. Edgerrin James, FA 82 56. Chaz Schilens, Oak (9) 120 23. Jason Hanson, Det (7)
21. Marcedes Lewis, Jac (7) 93 57. Maurice Morris, Det (7) 82 57. Deion Branch, Sea (7) 118 24. Phil Dawson, Cle (9)
22. Donald Lee, GB (5) 93 58. Michael Bush, Oak (9) 82 58. Michael Clayton, TB (8) 116 25. Matt Prater, Den (7)
23. Randy McMichael, StL (9) 92 59. Justin Fargas, Oak (9) 77 59. Miles Austin, Dal (6) 116 26. Jay Feely, NYJ (9)
24. Brent Celek, Phi (4) 91 60. Jerome Harrison, Cle (9) 75 60. Jeremy Maclin, Phi (4) 114 27. Olindo Mare, Sea (7)
25. Robert Royal, Cle (9) 84 62. T.J. Duckett, Sea (7) 73 61. Bryant Johnson, Det (7) 108 28. Mike Nugent, TB (8)
27. Brandon Pettigrew, Det (7) 81 61. Leonard Weaver, Phi (4) 73 62. Bobby Engram, KC (8) 105 29. Shaun Suisham, Was (8)
26. Desmond Clark, Chi (5) 81 63. Correll Buckhalter, Den (7) 69 63. Dennis Northcutt, Jac (7) 103 30. Sebastian Janikowski, Oak (9)
28. David Martin, Mia (6) 73 64. Ladell Betts, Was (8) 68 64. Greg Camarillo, Mia (6) 103 31. Steve Hauschka, Bal (7)
29. L.J. Smith, Bal (7) 69 65. Justin Forsett, Sea (7) 65 65. Keenan Burton, StL (9) 103 32. Ryan Succop, KC (8)
A twelve-team league where each team starts one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one PK, and one Team Defense/ST.
Passing: 1 point per 20 yards, 4 points per TD, -1 point per interception thrown • Rushing/Receiving: 1 point per 10 yards, 1 point per reception, 6 points per TD
QUARTERBACKS (BYE) PTS RUNNING BACKS (BYE) PTS RECEIVERS (BYE) PTS DEFENSES (BYE)
1. Tom Brady, NE (8) 113 1. Adrian Peterson, Min (9) 84 1. Randy Moss, NE (8) 78 1. Pittsburgh Steelers (8)
2. Drew Brees, NO (5) 106 2. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac (7) 84 2. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari (4) 72 2. Minnesota Vikings (9)
3. Peyton Manning, Ind (6) 105 3. Ladainian Tomlinson, SD (5) 84 3. Calvin Johnson, Det (7) 60 3. Baltimore Ravens (7)
4. Aaron Rodgers, GB (5) 101 4. Michael Turner, Atl (4) 78 4. Reggie Wayne, Ind (6) 60 4. New York Giants (10)
5. Philip Rivers, SD (5) 101 5. DeAngelo Williams, Car (4) 78 5. Marques Colston, NO (5) 60 5. Philadelphia Eagles (4)
6. Donovan McNabb, Phi (4) 97 6. Steven Jackson, StL (9) 72 6. Andre Johnson, Hou (10) 54 6. San Diego Chargers (5)
7. Kurt Warner, Ari (4) 96 7. Matt Forte, Chi (5) 72 7. Steve Smith, Car (4) 54 7. Chicago Bears (5)
8. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit (8) 87 8. Brandon Jacobs, NYG (10) 72 8. Greg Jennings, GB (5) 54 8. New England Patriots (8)
9. Jay Cutler, Chi (5) 82 9. Clinton Portis, Was (8) 66 9. Anquan Boldin, Ari (4) 54 9. Tennessee Titans (7)
10. Tony Romo, Dal (6) 80 10. Brian Westbrook, Phi (4) 66 10. Terrell Owens, Buf (9) 54 10. Dallas Cowboys (6)
11. Matt Hasselbeck, Sea (7) 80 11. Pierre Thomas, NO (5) 66 11. Roddy White, Atl (4) 48 11. Carolina Panthers (4)
12. Eli Manning, NYG (10) 79 12. Steve Slaton, Hou (10) 60 12. Dwayne Bowe, KC (8) 48 12. New York Jets (9)
13. Matt Ryan, Atl (4) 75 13. Frank Gore, SF (6) 60 13. Brandon Marshall, Den (7) 48 13. Green Bay Packers (5)
14. David Garrard, Jac (7) 74 14. Chris Johnson, Ten (7) 60 14. Braylon Edwards, Cle (9) 48 14. Miami Dolphins (6)
15. Carson Palmer, Cin (8) 73 15. Ronnie Brown, Mia (6) 60 15. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea (7)48 15. Jacksonville Jaguars (7)
16. Matt Cassel, KC (8) 71 16. Reggie Bush, NO (5) 60 16. Chad Ochocinco, Cin (8) 42 16. Indianapolis Colts (6)
17. Trent Edwards, Buf (9) 71 17. LenDale White, Ten (7) 60 17. Wes Welker, NE (8) 42 17. Houston Texans (10)
18. Matt Schaub, Hou (10) 68 18. Marion Barber, Dal (6) 54 18. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ (9) 42 18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8)
19. Kyle Orton, Den (7) 67 19. Darren McFadden, Oak (9) 54 19. Santonio Holmes, Pit (8) 42 19. Buffalo Bills (9)
20. Shaun Hill, SF (6) 62 20. Kevin Smith, Det (7) 54 20. Vincent Jackson, SD (5) 42 20. Arizona Cardinals (4)
21. Jake Delhomme, Car (4) 62 21. Cedric Benson, Cin (8) 54 21. Hines Ward, Pit (8) 42 21. Washington Redskins (8)
22. Joe Flacco, Bal (7) 61 22. Larry Johnson, KC (8) 54 22. Roy Williams, Dal (6) 42 22. Oakland Raiders (9)
23. Jason Campbell, Was (8) 61 23. Marshawn Lynch, Buf (9) 48 23. Torry Holt, Jac (7) 42 23. Atlanta Falcons (4)
24. Chad Pennington, Mia (6) 61 24. Thomas Jones, NYJ (9) 48 24. Michael Crabtree, SF (6) 42 24. San Francisco 49ers (6)
25. Mark Sanchez, NYJ (9) 52 25. Knowshon Moreno, Den (7) 48 25. DeSean Jackson, Phi (4) 36 25. New Orleans Saints (5)
26. JaMarcus Russell, Oak (9) 52 26. Chris Wells, Ari (4) 48 26. Donnie Avery, StL (9) 36 26. Seattle Seahawks (7)
27. Matthew Stafford, Det (7) 51 27. Jonathan Stewart, Car (4) 48 27. Antonio Bryant, TB (8) 36 27. Cleveland Browns (9)
28. Kerry Collins, Ten (7) 50 28. Le'Ron McClain, Bal (7) 48 28. Santana Moss, Was (8) 36 28. Cincinnati Bengals (8)
29. Sage Rosenfels, Min (9) 48 29. Ryan Grant, GB (5) 42 29. Eddie Royal, Den (7) 36 29. Denver Broncos (7)
30. Marc Bulger, StL (9) 42 30. Joseph Addai, Ind (6) 42 30. Anthony Gonzalez, Ind (6) 36 30. Kansas City Chiefs (8)
31. Brady Quinn, Cle (9) 41 31. Jamal Lewis, Cle (9) 42 31. Laveranues Coles, Cin (8) 36 31. Detroit Lions (7)
32. Byron Leftwich, TB (8) 28 32. Donald Brown, Ind (6) 42 32. Donald Driver, GB (5) 36 32. St. Louis Rams (9)
33. Luke McCown, TB (8) 20 33. Derrick Ward, TB (8) 36 33. Lee Evans, Buf (9) 36 KICKERS (BYE)
34. Chris Simms, Den (7) 20 34. Chester Taylor, Min (9) 36 34. Bernard Berrian, Min (9) 36 1. Stephen Gostkowski, NE (8)
35. Derek Anderson, Cle (9) 19 35. Fred Taylor, NE (8) 36 35. Devin Hester, Chi (5) 36 2. Nate Kaeding, SD (5)
TIGHT ENDS (BYE) PTS 36. Sammy Morris, NE (8) 36 36. Lance Moore, NO (5) 36 3. Rob Bironas, Ten (7)
1. Antonio Gates, SD (5) 48 37. Rashard Mendenhall, Pit (8) 36 37. Derrick Mason, Bal (7) 30 4. Mason Crosby, GB (5)
2. Tony Gonzalez, Atl (4) 42 38. Willie Parker, Pit (8) 30 38. Ted Ginn Jr., Mia (6) 30 5. Jason Elam, Atl (4)
3. Jason Witten, Dal (6) 36 39. Leon Washington, NYJ (9) 30 39. Steve Breaston, Ari (4) 30 6. Nick Folk, Dal (6)
4. Dallas Clark, Ind (6) 36 40. Darren Sproles, SD (5) 30 40. Kevin Walter, Hou (10) 30 7. Garrett Hartley, NO (5)
5. Kellen Winslow, TB (8) 30 41. Ricky Williams, Mia (6) 30 41. Hakeem Nicks, NYG (10) 30 8. David Akers, Phi (4)
6. Greg Olsen, Chi (5) 30 42. Willis McGahee, Bal (7) 30 42. Chris Chambers, SD (5) 30 9. Kris Brown, Hou (10)
7. Chris Cooley, Was (8) 30 43. Felix Jones, Dal (6) 30 43. Muhsin Muhammad, Car (4) 30 10. Neil Rackers, Ari (4)
8. John Carlson, Sea (7) 30 44. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG (10) 30 44. Steve Smith, NYG (10) 30 11. Ryan Longwell, Min (9)
9. Owen Daniels, Hou (10) 24 45. T.J. Duckett, Sea (7) 30 45. Plaxico Burress, FA 30 12. Adam Vinatieri, Ind (6)
10. Zach Miller, Oak (9) 24 46. Julius Jones, Sea (7) 24 46. Mark Clayton, Bal (7) 24 13. Robbie Gould, Chi (5)
11. Dustin Keller, NYJ (9) 24 47. Ray Rice, Bal (7) 24 47. Michael Jenkins, Atl (4) 24 14. John Kasay, Car (4)
12. Jeremy Shockey, NO (5) 24 48. Earnest Graham, TB (8) 24 48. Justin Gage, Ten (7) 24 15. Shayne Graham, Cin (8)
13. Visanthe Shiancoe, Min (9) 24 49. Fred Jackson, Buf (9) 24 49. Earl Bennett, Chi (5) 24 16. Jeff Reed, Pit (8)
14. Bo Scaife, Ten (7) 24 50. Jerious Norwood, Atl (4) 24 50. Domenik Hixon, NYG (10) 24 17. Lawrence Tynes, NYG (10)
15. Heath Miller, Pit (8) 24 51. Kevin Faulk, NE (8) 24 51. Isaac Bruce, SF (6) 24 18. Josh Scobee, Jac (7)
16. Tony Scheffler, Den (7) 24 52. LeSean McCoy, Phi (4) 24 52. Nate Washington, Ten (7) 24 19. Josh Brown, StL (9)
17. Anthony Fasano, Mia (6) 24 53. Tim Hightower, Ari (4) 24 53. Chaz Schilens, Oak (9) 24 20. Joe Nedney, SF (6)
18. Vernon Davis, SF (6) 24 54. Edgerrin James, FA 18 54. Chris Henry, Cin (8) 24 21. Rian Lindell, Buf (9)
19. Kevin Boss, NYG (10) 24 55. Mewelde Moore, Pit (8) 18 55. Kevin Curtis, Phi (4) 24 22. Dan Carpenter, Mia (6)
20. Todd Heap, Bal (7) 18 56. Brandon Jackson, GB (5) 18 56. Deion Branch, Sea (7) 24 23. Jason Hanson, Det (7)
21. Marcedes Lewis, Jac (7) 18 57. Michael Bush, Oak (9) 18 57. Jeremy Maclin, Phi (4) 24 24. Phil Dawson, Cle (9)
22. Donald Lee, GB (5) 18 58. Correll Buckhalter, Den (7) 18 58. Antwaan Randle El, Was (8) 18 25. Matt Prater, Den (7)
23. Randy McMichael, StL (9) 18 59. Laurence Maroney, NE (8) 18 59. Miles Austin, Dal (6) 18 26. Jay Feely, NYJ (9)
24. Brent Celek, Phi (4) 18 60. Leonard Weaver, Phi (4) 18 60. Michael Clayton, TB (8) 18 27. Olindo Mare, Sea (7)
25. Brandon Pettigrew, Det (7) 18 61. Kevin Jones, Chi (5) 18 61. Devery Henderson, NO (5) 18 28. Mike Nugent, TB (8)
26. Robert Royal, Cle (9) 12 62. Greg Jones, Jac (7) 18 62. Bryant Johnson, Det (7) 18 29. Shaun Suisham, Was (8)
27. Desmond Clark, Chi (5) 12 63. Jamaal Charles, KC (8) 12 63. Dennis Northcutt, Jac (7) 18 30. Sebastian Janikowski, Oak (9)
28. David Martin, Mia (6) 12 64. Justin Fargas, Oak (9) 12 64. Bobby Engram, KC (8) 18 31. Steve Hauschka, Bal (7)
29. L.J. Smith, Bal (7) 12 65. Maurice Morris, Det (7) 12 65. Greg Camarillo, Mia (6) 18 32. Ryan Succop, KC (8)
A twelve-team league where each team starts one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one PK, and one Team Defense/ST.
Passing: 4 points per TD, -1 point per interception thrown • Rushing/Receiving: 6 points per TD
A twelve-team league where each team starts one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one PK, and one Team Defense/ST.
Salary cap = $200 per team, minimum bid = $1 • Passing: 1 point per 20 yards, 4 points per TD, -1 point per interception thrown • Rushing/Receiving: 1 point per 10 yards, 6 points per TD
DEFENSIVE BACKS (BYE) PTS DEFENSIVE LINEMAN (BYE) PTS LINEBACKERS (BYE) PTS
1. SS Adrian Wilson, Ari (4) 193 1. DE Trent Cole, Phi (4) 167 1. MLB Barrett Ruud, TB (8) 234
2. FS Eric Weddle, SD (5) 183 2. DE Jared Allen, Min (9) 166 2. ILB Karlos Dansby, Ari (4) 233
3. CB Charles Tillman, Chi (5) 181 3. DE Mario Williams, Hou (10) 158 3. MLB Jon Beason, Car (4) 226
4. SS Yeremiah Bell, Mia (6) 181 4. DE Justin Tuck, NYG (10) 152 4. ILB Patrick Willis, SF (6) 225
5. CB Antoine Winfield, Min (9) 178 5. DE John Abraham, Atl (4) 144 5. MLB Curtis Lofton, Atl (4) 224
6. FS Gibril Wilson, Mia (6) 175 6. DE Kyle Vanden Bosch, Ten (7) 143 6. ILB D.J. Williams, Den (7) 224
7. SS Chris Horton, Was (8) 175 7. DE Robert Mathis, Ind (6) 139 7. ILB Ray Lewis, Bal (7) 220
8. SS Troy Polamalu, Pit (8) 174 8. DE Justin Smith, SF (6) 139 8. OLB James Harrison, Pit (8) 216
9. SS Kevin Payne, Chi (5) 174 9. DE Aaron Schobel, Buf (9) 136 9. MLB Kirk Morrison, Oak (9) 211
10. SS Quintin Mikell, Phi (4) 173 10. DE Julius Peppers, Car (4) 136 10. ILB Bradie James, Dal (6) 211
11. CB Richard Marshall, Car (4) 172 11. DE Adewale Ogunleye, Chi (5) 128 11. MLB Jonathan Vilma, NO (5) 209
12. SS Bernard Pollard, KC (8) 172 12. OLB Aaron Kampman, GB (5) 127 12. ILB Lawrence Timmons, Pit (8) 209
13. CB Chris Gamble, Car (4) 171 13. DE Osi Umenyiora, NYG (10) 126 13. MLB London Fletcher, Was (8) 208
14. FS Oshiomogho Atogwe, Stl (9) 170 14. DT Albert Haynesworth, Was (8) 125 14. MLB E.J. Henderson, Min (9) 207
15. SS Antoine Bethea, Ind (6) 169 15. DE Darryl Tapp, Sea (7) 124 15. ILB Stephen Cooper, SD (5) 205
16. SS Sabby Piscitelli, TB (8) 169 16. DE Patrick Kerney, Sea (7) 124 16. OLB Demarcus Ware, Dal (6) 203
17. SS Michael Lewis, SF (6) 168 17. NT Shaun Rogers, Cle (9) 123 17. MLB DeMeco Ryans, Hou (10) 202
18. SS Patrick Chung, NE (8) 166 18. DE Chris Long, Stl (9) 123 18. MLB Paul Posluszny, Buf (9) 200
19. FS Kenny Phillips, NYG (10) 164 19. DE Derrick Burgess, Oak (9) 122 19. ILB D'Qwell Jackson, Cle (9) 200
20. CB Cedric Griffin, Min (9) 163 20. DE Antonio Smith, Hou (10) 121 20. ILB Bart Scott, NYJ (9) 199
21. SS William Moore, Atl (4) 159 21. DT Kevin Williams, Min (9) 120 21. MLB Stewart Bradley, Phi (4) 198
22. FS Eugene Wilson, Hou (10) 158 22. DE Gaines Adams, TB (8) 118 22. MLB Gary Brackett, Ind (6) 198
23. CB Corey Graham, Chi (5) 158 23. DT Tommy Kelly, Oak (9) 117 23. MLB Lofa Tatupu, Sea (7) 197
24. CB DeAngelo Hall, Was (8) 158 24. DE Shaun Ellis, NYJ (9) 115 24. MLB James Laurinaitis, Stl (9) 194
25. FS Kerry Rhodes, NYJ (9) 158 25. DE Cliff Avril, Det (7) 113 25. WLB Justin Durant, Jac (7) 193
26. SS Louis Delmas, Det (7) 157 26. DE Charles Grant, NO (5) 113 26. WLB Lance Briggs, Chi (5) 192
27. CB Brandon Flowers, KC (8) 157 27. DE Will Smith, NO (5) 113 27. ILB Jerod Mayo, NE (8) 192
28. CB Ronde Barber, TB (8) 155 28. DE Richard Seymour, NE (8) 111 28. ILB David Harris, NYJ (9) 189
29. CB Ronald Bartell, Stl (9) 155 29. DT Jason Jones, Ten (7) 111 29. ILB Nick Barnett, GB (5) 187
30. CB Terrence McGee, Buf (9) 153 30. DE Darnell Dockett, Ari (4) 110 30. WLB Thomas Davis, Car (4) 187
31. CB Aqib Talib, TB (8) 153 31. DE Trevor Scott, Oak (9) 109 31. MLB Brian Urlacher, Chi (5) 185
32. CB Quentin Jammer, SD (5) 153 32. DE Aaron Smith, Pit (8) 107 32. ILB Derrick Johnson, KC (8) 184
33. SS Roman Harper, NO (5) 151 33. DE Dewayne White, Det (7) 106 33. MLB Rey Maualuga, Cin (8) 184
34. CB Rashean Mathis, Jac (7) 151 34. DE Darren Howard, Phi (4) 105 34. WLB Will Witherspoon, Stl (9) 184
35. FS Bob Sanders, Ind (6) 151 35. DE Alex Brown, Chi (5) 103 35. ILB James Farrior, Pit (8) 183
36. CB Terence Newman, Dal (6) 149 36. DE Andre Carter, Was (8) 103 36. SLB Chad Greenway, Min (9) 181
37. SS Chinedum Ndukwe, Cin (8) 149 37. DE Antwan Odom, Cin (8) 103 37. OLB Shawne Merriman, SD (5) 180
38. FS Nick Collins, GB (5) 148 38. NT Jay Ratliff, Dal (6) 102 38. WLB Keith Rivers, Cin (8) 178
39. FS Antrel Rolle, Ari (4) 148 39. NT Kelly Gregg, Bal (7) 102 39. ILB Channing Crowder, Mia (6) 177
40. CB Leon Hall, Cin (8) 147 40. DT Kyle Williams, Buf (9) 99 40. WLB Keith Bulluck, Ten (7) 177
41. SS Michael Mitchell, Oak (9) 147 41. DE Marques Douglas, NYJ (9) 98 41. WLB Clint Session, Ind (6) 177
42. CB Brandon McDonald, Cle (9) 147 42. DE Ray Edwards, Min (9) 98 42. WLB Ernie Sims, Det (7) 174
43. FS Brandon Meriweather, NE (8) 146 43. DE Derrick Harvey, Jac (7) 97 43. ILB A.J. Hawk, GB (5) 174
44. CB Dunta Robinson, Hou (10) 146 44. DT Tony Brown, Ten (7) 96 44. WLB Thomas Howard, Oak (9) 173
45. CB Brian Williams, Jac (7) 146 45. DT Tommie Harris, Chi (5) 95 45. ILB Gerald Hayes, Ari (4) 173
46. SS Chris Hope, Ten (7) 145 46. DE Mathias Kiwanuka, NYG (10) 95 46. MLB Antonio Pierce, NYG (10) 170
47. CB Darrelle Revis, NYJ (9) 145 47. NT Kris Jenkins, NYJ (9) 94 47. WLB Mike Peterson, Atl (4) 170
48. CB Cortland Finnegan, Ten (7) 144 48. DE Greg White, TB (8) 93 48. MLB Larry Foote, Det (7) 164
49. CB Tracy Porter, NO (5) 144 49. NT Jamal Williams, SD (5) 92 49. ILB Kevin Burnett, SD (5) 163
50. FS Erik Coleman, Atl (4) 144 50. NT B.J. Ragi, GB (5) 91 50. ILB Keith Brooking, Dal (6) 163
51. SS Tyrell Johnson, Min (9) 144 51. NT Vince Wilfork, NE (8) 91 51. ILB Takeo Spikes, SF (6) 162
52. FS Madieu Williams, Min (9) 144 52. OLB Matt Roth, Mia (6) 90 52. OLB Terrell Suggs, Bal (7) 162
53. FS Ken Hamlin, Dal (6) 143 53. DT Damione Lewis, Car (4) 90 53. SLB Brian Cushing, Hou (10) 160
54. CB Marcus Trufant, Sea (7) 143 54. DE Aaron Maybin, Buf (9) 89 54. WLB Akeem Jordan, Phi (4) 160
55. SS Ed Reed, Bal (7) 143 55. DE Dwight Freeney, Ind (6) 89 55. WLB Jermaine Phillips, TB (8) 160
56. FS Michael Griffin, Ten (7) 142 56. DE Leonard Little, Stl (9) 89 56. OLB Calvin Pace, NYJ (9) 160
57. FS Dawan Landry, Bal (7) 142 57. DT Grady Jackson, Det (7) 88 57. SLB Julian Peterson, Det (7) 158
58. SS Sean Jones, Phi (4) 141 58. DT Cory Redding, Sea (7) 88 58. ILB Eric Barton, Cle (9) 157
59. CB Charles Woodson, GB (5) 140 59. DE Michael Johnson , Cin (8) 87 59. WLB Leroy Hill , Sea (7) 156
60. SS Mike Adams, Cle (9) 138 60. DT John Henderson, Jac (7) 87 60. OLB Adalius Thomas, NE (8) 155
61. CB Kelvin Hayden, Ind (6) 138 61. NT Haloti Ngata, Bal (7) 87 61. ILB Tavares Gooden, Bal (7) 150
62. SS Chris Harris, Car (4) 137 62. DT Sedrick Ellis, NO (5) 86 62. WLB Kawika Mitchell, Buf (9) 150
63. SS Renaldo Hill, Den (7) 137 63. DT Jonathan Babineaux, Atl (4) 86 63. WLB Rocky McIntosh, Was (8) 148
64. CB Nick Harper, Ten (7) 135 64. DT Rocky Bernard, NYG (10) 84 64. ILB Andra Davis, Den (7) 147
65. CB Brandon Carr, KC (8) 135 65. DE Glenn Dorsey, KC (8) 83 65. SLB Aaron Curry, Sea (7) 146
1.5 points per solo tackle, .75 points per assisted tackle, 4 points per sack • 4 points per forced fumble, 4 points per fumble recovery
4 points per interception, 1.5 points per pass defensed • 6 points per touchdown, 2 points per safety
DYNASTY
QUARTERBACKS (BYE) BACKS (BYE) RECEIVERS (BYE) DEFENSES (BYE)
1. Drew Brees, NO (5) 1. Adrian Peterson, Min (9) 1. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari (4) 1. Pittsburgh Steelers, Pit (8)
2. Tom Brady, NE (8) 2. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac (7) 2. Calvin Johnson, Det (7) 2. New York Giants, NYG (10)
3. Peyton Manning, Ind (6) 3. Steven Jackson, StL (9) 3. Reggie Wayne, Ind (6) 3. Minnesota Vikings, Min (9)
4. Aaron Rodgers, GB (5) 4. Michael Turner, Atl (4) 4. Andre Johnson, Hou (10) 4. Baltimore Ravens, Bal (7)
5. Jay Cutler, Chi (5) 5. Chris Johnson, Ten (7) 5. Steve Smith, Car (4) 5. New England Patriots, NE (8)
6. Tony Romo, Dal (6) 6. Matt Forte, Chi (5) 6. Randy Moss, NE (8) 6. Chicago Bears, Chi (5)
7. Philip Rivers, SD (5) 7. Frank Gore, SF (6) 7. Anquan Boldin, Ari (4) 7. San Diego Chargers, SD (5)
8. Matt Ryan, Atl (4) 8. Marion Barber, Dal (6) 8. Greg Jennings, GB (5) 8. Dallas Cowboys, Dal (6)
9. Donovan McNabb, Phi (4) 9. DeAngelo Williams, Car (4) 9. Dwayne Bowe, KC (8) 9. New York Jets, NYJ (9)
10. Carson Palmer, Cin (8) 10. Brandon Jacobs, NYG (10) 10. Roddy White, Atl (4) 10. Philadelphia Eagles, Phi (4)
11. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit (8) 11. Reggie Bush, NO (5) 11. Brandon Marshall, Den (7) 11. Tennessee Titans, Ten (7)
12. Matt Schaub, Hou (10) 12. Knowshon Moreno, Den (7) 12. Marques Colston, NO (5) 12. Carolina Panthers, Car (4)
13. Eli Manning, NYG (10) 13. Jonathan Stewart, Car (4) 13. Michael Crabtree, SF (6) 13. Green Bay Packers, GB (5)
14. Kurt Warner, Ari (4) 14. Marshawn Lynch, Buf (9) 14. Wes Welker, NE (8) 14. Jacksonville Jaguars, Jac (7)
15. David Garrard, Jac (7) 15. Steve Slaton, Hou (10) 15. Braylon Edwards, Cle (9) 15. Arizona Cardinals, Ari (4)
16. Matt Cassel, KC (8) 16. Clinton Portis, Was (8) 16. Santonio Holmes, Pit (8) 16. Houston Texans, Hou (10)
17. Mark Sanchez, NYJ (9) 17. Brian Westbrook, Phi (4) 17. Eddie Royal, Den (7) 17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, TB (8)
18. Matthew Stafford, Det (7) 18. LaDainian Tomlinson, SD (5) 18. Chad Ochocinco, Cin (8) 18. Indianapolis Colts, Ind (6)
19. Joe Flacco, Bal (7) 19. Ronnie Brown, Mia (6) 19. Santana Moss, Was (8) 19. Oakland Raiders, Oak (9)
20. Brady Quinn, Cle (9) 20. Darren McFadden, Oak (9) 20. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea (7) 20. Atlanta Falcons, Atl (4)
21. Matt Hasselbeck, Sea (7) 21. Kevin Smith, Det (7) 21. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ (9) 21. Buffalo Bills, Buf (9)
22. Kyle Orton, Den (7) 22. Pierre Thomas, NO (5) 22. Lee Evans, Buf (9) 22. Miami Dolphins, Mia (6)
23. Jason Campbell, Was (8) 23. Joseph Addai, Ind (6) 23. Anthony Gonzalez, Ind (6) 23. Seattle Seahawks, Sea (7)
24. JaMarcus Russell, Oak (9) 24. Chris Wells, Ari (4) 24. Hakeem Nicks, NYG (10) 24. Washington Redskins, Was (8)
25. Jake Delhomme, Car (4) 25. Donald Brown, Ind (6) 25. Roy Williams, Dal (6) 25. San Francisco 49ers, SF (6)
26. Shaun Hill, SF (6) 26. Ryan Grant, GB (5) 26. DeSean Jackson, Phi (4) 26. New Orleans Saints, NO (5)
27. Trent Edwards, Buf (9) 27. Felix Jones, Dal (6) 27. Donnie Avery, StL (9) 27. Cleveland Browns, Cle (9)
28. Marc Bulger, StL (9) 28. Ray Rice, Bal (7) 28. Jeremy Maclin, Phi (4) 28. Denver Broncos, Den (7)
29. Josh Freeman, TB (8) 29. Shonn Greene, NYJ (9) 29. Vincent Jackson, SD (5) 29. Cincinnati Bengals, Cin (8)
30. Chad Pennington, Mia (6) 30. Rashard Mendenhall, Pit (8) 30. Lance Moore, NO (5) 30. St. Louis Rams, StL (9)
31. Chad Henne, Mia (6) 31. LeSean McCoy, Phi (4) 31. Steve Breaston, Ari (4) 31. Kansas City Chiefs, KC (8)
32. Derek Anderson, Cle (9) 32. Thomas Jones, NYJ (9) 32. Laveranues Coles, Cin (8) 32. Detroit Lions, Det (7)
33. Matt Leinart, Ari (4) 33. Willie Parker, Pit (8) 33. Antonio Bryant, TB (8) KICKERS (BYE)
34. Sage Rosenfels, Min (9) 34. Larry Johnson, KC (8) 34. Bernard Berrian, Min (9) 1. Nate Kaeding, SD (5)
35. Kevin Kolb, Phi (4) 35. Derrick Ward, TB (8) 35. Darrius Heyward-Bey, Oak (9) 2. Rob Bironas, Ten (7)
TIGHT ENDS (BYE) 36. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG (10) 36. Terrell Owens, Buf (9) 3. Nick Folk, Dal (6)
1. Jason Witten, Dal (6) 37. Darren Sproles, SD (5) 37. Percy Harvin, Min (9) 4. Stephen Gostkowski, NE (8)
2. Antonio Gates, SD (5) 38. Leon Washington, NYJ (9) 38. Hines Ward, Pit (8) 5. Garrett Hartley, NO (5)
3. Kellen Winslow, TB (8) 39. Jerious Norwood, Atl (4) 39. Donald Driver, GB (5) 6. Kris Brown, Hou (10)
4. Dallas Clark, Ind (6) 40. Earnest Graham, TB (8) 40. Josh Morgan, SF (6) 7. Mason Crosby, GB (5)
5. Tony Gonzalez, Atl (4) 41. Willis McGahee, Bal (7) 41. Kevin Walter, Hou (10) 8. Neil Rackers, Ari (4)
6. Chris Cooley, Was (8) 42. Cedric Benson, Cin (8) 42. Brian Robiskie, Cle (9) 9. Robbie Gould, Chi (5)
7. Owen Daniels, Hou (10) 43. LenDale White, Ten (7) 43. Kenny Britt, Ten (7) 10. Shayne Graham, Cin (8)
8. Zach Miller, Oak (9) 44. Tashard Choice, Dal (6) 44. Steve Smith, NYG (10) 11. Jeff Reed, Pit (8)
9. Greg Olsen, Chi (5) 45. Jamal Lewis, Cle (9) 45. Chris Chambers, SD (5) 12. Josh Scobee, Jac (7)
10. Dustin Keller, NYJ (9) 46. Tim Hightower, Ari (4) 46. Mike Thomas, Jac (7) 13. Jason Elam, Atl (4)
11. John Carlson, Sea (7) 47. Chester Taylor, Min (9) 47. Sidney Rice, Min (9) 14. Adam Vinatieri, Ind (6)
12. Tony Scheffler, Den (7) 48. Fred Jackson, Buf (9) 48. Miles Austin, Dal (6) 15. Lawrence Tynes, NYG (10)
13. Brandon Pettigrew, Det (7) 49. LeRon McClain, Bal (7) 49. Brandon Tate, NE (8) 16. David Akers, Phi (4)
14. Heath Miller, Pit (8) 50. Michael Bush, Oak (9) 50. Ted Ginn, Mia (6) 17. Ryan Longwell, Min (9)
15. Jeremy Shockey, NO (5) 51. Andre Brown, NYG (10) 51. Devin Hester, Chi (5) 18. Dan Carpenter, Mia (6)
16. Shawn Nelson, Buf (9) 52. Justin Fargas, Oak (9) 52. Jordy Nelson, GB (5) 19. John Kasay, Car (4)
17. Vernon Davis, SF (6) 53. Gartrell Johnson, SD (5) 53. Torry Holt, Jac (7) 20. Joe Nedney, SF (6)
18. Jared Cook, Ten (7) 54. Jamaal Charles, KC (8) 54. Derrick Mason, Bal (7) 21. Josh Brown, StL (9)
19. Visanthe Shiancoe, Min (9) 55. Julius Jones, Sea (7) 55. Juaquin Iglesias, Chi (5) 22. Rian Lindell, Buf (9)
20. Bo Scaife, Ten (7) 56. Laurence Maroney, NE (8) 56. Domenik Hixon, NYG (10) 23. Sebastian Janikowski, Oak (9)
21. Travis Beckum, NYG (10) 57. Javon Ringer, Ten (7) 57. Deion Branch, Sea (7) 24. Phil Dawson, Cle (9)
22. Kevin Boss, NYG (10) 58. Rashad Jennings, Jac (7) 58. Mark Clayton, Bal (7) 25. Jay Feely, NYJ (9)
23. Brent Celek, Phi (4) 59. Bernard Scott, Cin (8) 59. Kevin Curtis, Phi (4) 26. Mike Nugent, TB (8)
24. Todd Heap, Bal (7) 60. Glen Coffee, SF (6) 60. James Jones, GB (5) 27. Jason Hanson, Det (7)
25. Anthony Fasano, Mia (6) 61. Mike Goodson, Car (4) 61. Plaxico Burress, NYG (10) 28. John Carney, FA
26. Chase Coffman, Cin (8) 62. Brandon Jackson, GB (5) 62. Devin Thomas, Was (8) 29. Olindo Mare, Sea (7)
27. James Casey, Hou (10) 63. Cedric Peerman, Bal (7) 63. Matt Jones, Jac (7) 30. Matt Prater, Den (7)
28. Cornelius Ingram, Phi (4) 64. Mewelde Moore, Pit (8) 64. Nate Burleson, Sea (7) 31. Steve Hauschka, Bal (7)
29. Donald Lee, GB (5)RUNNING 65. Ricky Williams, Mia (6)WIDE 65. Mike Wallace, Pit (8) 32. Shaun Suisham, Was (8)
A twelve-team league where each team starts one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one PK, and one Team Defense/ST.
Passing: 1 point per 20 yards, 4 points per TD, -1 point per interception thrown • Rushing/Receiving: 1 point per 10 yards, 6 points per TD
B
ased on the Expert Rankings (pages (Diff) refers to the difference between our rank
49-62), we have constructed an Expert and the ADP list. A positive Diff value indicates
Top 220 List. This list is ordered by our staff expectations to exceed drafted position
consensus rank. Average Draft Position (ADP) (value). A negative Diff value indicates staff
has been added as a reference to indicate when expectations to fall short of drafted position
these players will likely be drafted. Difference (over-valued/reach).
PROJECTIONS
Offense by David Dodds
IDP by John Norton
A
ll fantasy football magazines
rank players. We are no excep-
tion. In fact, we have provided
Expert Rankings starting on
page 42. But we also project player stats. We
do this because projections are the lifeblood of
everything we do at Footballguys.com. These
numbers drive our Value Based Drafting
applications like the Draft Dominator.
By the time you are picking up this maga-
zine, we will have likely changed these pro-
jections 40 times.
Look carefully at the detail of the data. We
are projecting completion percentages, yards
per attempt, etc. We aren’t regurgitating last
year’s numbers. We look at what changed
within each team and project accordingly.
We spent over 40 hours doing this set of
offensive projections alone. Why does it take us
that long? Because we make sure our numbers
add up to historical norms for the league. We
also factor in Strength of Schedule differences,
three-year weighted team stat averages, player’s
age, situation, and a host of other variables.
Aaron Rodgers
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
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RECEIVING STATS
Tight Ends REC YDS TDS
FANTASY
PTS
1. Antonio Gates, SD 68 836 8 131.6
2. Jason Witten, Dal 80 936 6 129.6
3. Tony Gonzalez, Atl 73 810 7 123.0
4. Dallas Clark, Ind 72 785 6 114.5
5. Kellen Winslow, TB 66 792 5 109.2
6. Owen Daniels, Hou 66 759 4 99.9
7. Greg Olsen, Chi 60 666 5 96.6
8. Chris Cooley, Was 65 663 5 96.3
9. Zach Miller, Oak 55 644 4 88.4
10. John Carlson, Sea 52 572 5 87.2
11. Dustin Keller, NYJ 54 621 4 86.1
12. Jeremy Shockey, NO 46 529 4 76.9
13. Visanthe Shiancoe, Min 45 513 4 75.3
14. Bo Scaife, Ten 50 505 4 74.5
15. Heath Miller, Pit 45 482 4 72.2
16. Tony Scheffler, Den 38 464 4 70.4
17. Anthony Fasano, Mia 38 460 4 70.0
18. Vernon Davis, SF 34 408 4 65.4
19. Kevin Boss, NYG 36 364 4 60.4
ICON/SMI
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2009 Player
PROJECTIONS
Running Backs
RUSHING STATS RECEIVING STATS FANTASY
ATT YDS TDS REC YDS TDS PTS
1. Adrian Peterson, Min 325 1,528 13 25 165 1 253.3
2. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac 240 1,104 12 55 462 2 240.6
3. Michael Turner, Atl 335 1,508 13 8 51 0 233.9
4. Ladainian Tomlinson, SD 275 1,155 12 42 315 2 231.7
5. Steven Jackson, StL 280 1,162 9 48 413 3 229.5
6. Matt Forte, Chi 280 1,106 9 60 432 3 225.8
7. Clinton Portis, Was 315 1,339 10 34 258 1 225.7
8. DeAngelo Williams, Car 260 1,300 12 23 138 1 221.8
9. Steve Slaton, Hou 265 1,179 9 44 321 1 210.0
10. Frank Gore, SF 245 1,054 8 49 407 2 206.0
11. Brian Westbrook, Phi 215 935 7 57 450 4 204.6
12. Chris Johnson, Ten 230 1,081 8 45 324 2 200.5
ICON/SMI
13. Brandon Jacobs, NYG 245 1,139 11 18 117 1 197.6
Adrian Peterson
14. Ronnie Brown, Mia 225 956 9 39 296 1 186.6
15. Marion Barber, Dal 230 966 7 50 350 2 185.6
16. Darren McFadden, Oak 225 990 7 40 320 2 185.0
17. Pierre Thomas, NO 200 910 10 35 277 1 184.7
18. Reggie Bush, NO 145 595 5 75 608 5 180.2
19. Kevin Smith, Det 235 975 8 40 280 1 179.5
20. Ryan Grant, GB 280 1,148 7 21 137 0 170.5
21. Marshawn Lynch, Buf 220 924 7 41 291 1 169.5
22. Thomas Jones, NYJ 220 968 8 28 179 0 162.7
23. Cedric Benson, Cin 240 900 8 23 173 1 161.3
24. Derrick Ward, TB 200 890 5 42 328 1 157.8
25. Larry Johnson, KC 215 914 9 16 110 0 156.4
26. Knowshon Moreno, Den 200 900 7 25 168 1 154.8
27. Chris Wells, Ari 220 869 8 5 33 0 138.2
28. Joseph Addai, Ind 190 732 6 27 211 1 136.2
29. LenDale White, Ten 165 693 10 8 50 0 134.3
30. Jamal Lewis, Cle 220 814 7 12 78 0 131.2
ICON SMI
31. Jonathan Stewart, Car 165 759 8 10 60 0 129.9
32. Willie Parker, Pit 215 871 5 16 112 0 128.3 Michael Turner
33. Julius Jones, Sea 205 882 4 24 161 0 128.2
34. Leon Washington, NYJ 120 588 3 51 383 2 127.1
35. Donald Brown, Ind 160 640 6 23 168 1 122.8
36. Darren Sproles, SD 115 552 3 37 329 2 118.1
37. Chester Taylor, Min 110 462 4 45 356 2 117.8
38. Ray Rice, Bal 160 656 3 35 273 1 116.9
39. Fred Taylor, NE 150 645 6 14 98 0 110.3
40. Ricky Williams, Mia 130 527 4 34 238 1 106.5
41. Earnest Graham, TB 150 623 4 23 170 0 103.3
42. Fred Jackson, Buf 125 525 3 33 251 1 101.6
43. Le'Ron McClain, Bal 115 437 8 15 98 0 101.5
44. Jerious Norwood, Atl 90 473 3 32 262 1 97.5
45. Willis McGahee, Bal 135 527 4 20 140 1 96.7
46. Kevin Faulk, NE 75 368 2 47 357 2 96.5
47. Sammy Morris, NE 110 484 6 15 110 0 95.4
48. Rashard Mendenhall, Pit 125 494 6 12 83 0 93.7
49. Felix Jones, Dal 100 490 4 18 133 1 92.3
ICON SMI
PROJECTIONS
Defensive Backs FANTASY
TCK AST SACK INT FF FR PD TD PTS
1. SS Adrian Wilson, Ari 75 21 3 3 2 2 15 1 192.8
2. FS Eric Weddle, SD 88 21 2 2 2 1 6 1 182.8
3. CB Charles Tillman, Chi 77 12 0 4 1 1 19 1 181.0
4. SS Yeremiah Bell, Mia 89 20 0 1 2 2 10 0 180.7
5. CB Antoine Winfield, Min 80 13 2 3 2 1 13 0 178.3
6. FS Gibril Wilson, Mia 78 18 0 4 2 1 11 1 175.0
7. SS Chris Horton, Was 76 24 1 4 2 1 7 1 174.5
8. SS Troy Polamalu, Pit 61 21 1 6 2 2 14 1 174.3
9. SS Kevin Payne, Chi 77 17 1 3 2 1 10 1 174.3
10. SS Quintin Mikell, Phi 71 25 2 2 2 2 9 1 172.8
11. CB Richard Marshall, Car 76 10 1 3 1 0 19 1 172.0
12. SS Bernard Pollard, KC 82 26 1 1 2 1 6 1 171.5
13. CB Chris Gamble, Car 74 9 0 4 0 0 21 1 171.3
ICON SMI
14. FS Oshiomogho Atogwe, Stl 76 9 0 6 2 1 9 1 170.3
Adrian Wilson
15. SS Antoine Bethea, Ind 70 29 2 3 2 1 7 1 169.3
16. SS Sabby Piscitelli, TB 73 22 1 3 1 1 12 1 169.0
17. SS Michael Lewis, SF 78 23 2 1 2 1 7 0 167.6
18. SS Patrick Chung, NE 78 28 1 1 2 1 5 1 165.5
19. FS Kenny Phillips, NYG 71 17 0 4 2 1 9 1 163.8
20. CB Cedric Griffin, Min 78 10 0 2 2 1 14 0 162.5
21. SS William Moore, Atl 78 21 0 1 2 1 7 0 158.7
22. FS Eugene Wilson, Hou 73 21 0 3 1 1 8 1 158.3
23. CB Corey Graham, Chi 74 13 0 3 0 0 13 1 158.3
24. CB DeAngelo Hall, Was 61 12 1 4 2 0 19 1 158.0
25. FS Kerry Rhodes, NYJ 64 25 1 3 2 2 8 1 157.8
26. SS Louis Delmas, Det 75 33 0 1 2 1 4 0 157.5
27. CB Brandon Flowers, KC 74 11 0 2 2 1 13 1 157.3
28. CB Ronde Barber, TB 64 8 2 3 2 1 14 1 155.0
29. CB Ronald Bartell, Stl 65 4 1 4 1 1 15 1 155.0
30. CB Terrence McGee, Buf 63 7 0 4 1 0 19 1 153.3
31. CB Aqib Talib, TB 58 10 0 6 1 0 17 1 153.0
ICON/SMI
32. CB Quentin Jammer, SD 69 11 0 2 1 1 18 0 152.8
Eric Weddle
33. SS Roman Harper, NO 79 8 0 1 2 1 9 0 151.0
34. CB Rashean Mathis, Jac 59 5 1 5 1 0 17 1 150.8
35. FS Bob Sanders, Ind 65 28 0 2 2 2 6 1 150.5
36. CB Terence Newman, Dal 55 9 0 6 1 1 16 1 149.3
37. SS Chinedum Ndukwe, Cin 62 28 0 3 1 1 9 1 148.5
38. FS Nick Collins, GB 62 14 0 4 2 0 13 1 148.0
39. FS Antrel Rolle, Ari 66 15 0 3 1 1 13 0 147.8
40. CB Leon Hall, Cin 54 13 0 4 1 0 21 1 147.3
41. SS Michael Mitchell, Oak 76 24 0 1 1 0 5 0 146.5
42. CB Brandon McDonald, Cle 59 10 0 4 0 1 17 1 146.5
43. FS Brandon Meriweather, NE 60 18 1 4 1 1 9 1 146.0
44. CB Dunta Robinson, Hou 56 10 0 5 1 1 15 1 146.0
45. CB Brian Williams, Jac 67 6 0 3 2 1 11 1 145.5
46. SS Chris Hope, Ten 67 17 0 3 1 1 9 0 144.8
47. CB Darrelle Revis, NYJ 50 13 1 5 1 1 17 1 144.8
48. CB Cortland Finnegan, Ten 60 13 1 3 1 1 15 0 144.3
49. CB Tracy Porter, NO 65 6 0 3 1 1 16 0 144.0
ICON/SMI
PROJECTIONS
Linebackers FANTASY
TCK AST SACK INT FF FR PD TD PTS
1. MLB Barrett Ruud, TB 105 39 3 2 2 1 8 1 233.8
2. ILB Karlos Dansby, Ari 93 33 5 2 3 3 11 1 232.8
3. MLB Jon Beason, Car 106 30 0 4 3 1 9 1 226.0
4. ILB Patrick Willis, SF 105 31 2 2 3 1 10 1 224.8
5. MLB Curtis Lofton, Atl 102 39 3 1 2 2 7 1 223.8
6. ILB D.J. Williams, Den 105 48 2 1 2 1 6 0 223.5
7. ILB Ray Lewis, Bal 88 35 4 3 3 2 10 1 220.3
8. OLB James Harrison, Pit 63 32 15 1 5 2 4 1 215.5
9. MLB Kirk Morrison, Oak 101 37 1 2 1 1 7 1 210.8
10. ILB Bradie James, Dal 85 40 7 1 2 2 6 0 210.5
11. MLB Jonathan Vilma, NO 100 36 1 2 2 1 7 0 208.5
12. ILB Lawrence Timmons, Pit 86 46 5 1 1 1 6 1 208.5
13. MLB London Fletcher, Was 94 41 1 2 2 1 8 1 207.8
ICON/SMI
14. MLB E.J. Henderson, Min 93 37 5 1 3 1 4 0 207.3
Barrett Ruud
15. ILB Stephen Cooper, SD 93 32 1 3 2 1 7 1 205.0
16. OLB Demarcus Ware, Dal 63 15 16 0 5 2 4 1 202.8
17. MLB DeMeco Ryans, Hou 92 31 1 2 3 2 7 1 201.8
18. MLB Paul Posluszny, Buf 92 30 1 2 3 1 8 1 200.1
19. ILB D'Qwell Jackson, Cle 88 43 2 2 1 1 7 1 199.8
20. ILB Bart Scott, NYJ 91 37 4 1 2 1 5 0 198.8
21. MLB Stewart Bradley, Phi 93 27 2 1 3 1 7 1 197.9
22. MLB Gary Brackett, Ind 95 38 0 1 2 1 7 1 197.5
23. MLB Lofa Tatupu, Sea 90 28 1 2 2 2 9 1 196.5
24. MLB James Laurinaitis, Stl 97 27 2 1 2 1 5 0 194.3
25. WLB Justin Durant, Jac 93 19 1 2 2 2 8 1 192.8
26. WLB Lance Briggs, Chi 90 18 1 2 2 2 11 1 192.0
27. ILB Jerod Mayo, NE 95 31 1 1 2 2 4 0 191.8
28. ILB David Harris, NYJ 88 36 2 1 2 2 4 0 189.0
29. ILB Nick Barnett, GB 92 32 2 0 1 1 6 0 186.8
30. WLB Thomas Davis, Car 90 23 3 1 1 1 7 0 186.6
31. MLB Brian Urlacher, Chi 85 20 1 2 1 2 12 1 184.5
ICON/SMI
32. ILB Derrick Johnson, KC 87 28 2 1 2 1 7 1 184.0
Patrick Willis
33. MLB Rey Maualuga, Cin 82 48 1 1 2 1 3 1 183.5
34. OLB Will Witherspoon, Stl 84 20 4 1 2 1 7 1 183.5
35. ILB James Farrior, Pit 80 42 3 1 1 1 6 0 182.5
36. SLB Chad Greenway, Min 80 24 6 1 2 1 5 0 180.5
37. OLB Shawne Merriman, SD 55 18 14 1 3 1 5 1 179.5
38. WLB Keith Rivers, Cin 80 40 1 1 2 1 5 1 177.5
39. ILB Channing Crowder, Mia 90 25 1 1 1 1 6 0 177.4
40. WLB Keith Bulluck, Ten 82 26 1 2 2 2 7 0 177.0
41. WLB Clint Session, Ind 92 32 0 0 2 1 4 0 177.0
42. WLB Ernie Sims, Det 85 43 1 0 1 1 3 0 174.3
43. ILB A.J. Hawk, GB 85 34 3 0 1 0 4 0 173.8
44. WLB Thomas Howard, Oak 81 19 1 3 1 1 8 1 172.8
45. ILB Gerald Hayes, Ari 78 28 3 0 2 2 7 0 172.5
46. MLB Antonio Pierce, NYG 81 28 1 1 1 1 7 1 170.0
47. WLB Mike Peterson, Atl 82 29 1 1 1 1 6 0 169.6
48. MLB Larry Foote, Det 82 38 0 0 1 1 4 0 163.5
49. ILB Kevin Burnett, SD 80 29 1 1 1 0 6 0 163.0
ICON/SMI
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VBD By Joe Bryant and David Dodds
ICON ?SMI
ICON ?SMI
But like most popular things, neither of these choices is the 15 quarterbacks, 36 running backs, 38 wide receivers, 8 tight
ideal baseline. After years of experimenting, we have found that ends, 2 defenses and 1 place kicker.
the best baseline is based on the number of players that will be These represent our baseline players for each position.
taken at a given point in a draft. We personally use 100 players Here’s how to get the X number. Simply compare the fantasy
as this basis, but you can play around with other points if you points each player will score to the corresponding baseline
like. After nine years, we’ve settled on using 100 players for player. In our example, let’s assume that our 15th quarterback
most leagues. A rather complex formula has been developed will score 138 fantasy points. His X number by definition is 0.
to estimate how many players by position will be taken at the All players above him will have a positive X number based on
100th pick of the draft, but suffice it to say it is based on scoring the difference in fantasy points of that player and the baseline
criteria, number of teams, number of required starters, number player. Assume Aaron Rodgers projects to 200 fantasy points.
of rounds of the draft and number of flex positions. His X number will be 62 (200-138).
There are three easy ways to calculate the number by position In essence, that X number tells you how that player stacks up
that will be selected based on all of these factors. against the other players at his position. It tells you how about
1. Look at last year’s draft and count the positions. the “peer pressure” that player sees. This is the number that
2. Compare to a mock draft / average draft list with similar determines value.
league structure
3. Let the VBD App calculate this for you.
Using our baseline, we need to value each player. As stated, 4. SORTING YOUR X NUMBERS
we do that by measuring how much better or worse we expect Up to this point, we have just lists of players at each position.
that player to perform when measured against the baseline Pretty much the standard fare “cheatsheets” you see every-
player at his position. Keep in mind, at this point we’re still talk- where. But as we said earlier, there’s a problem with position
ing about keeping all the positions in their own lists. We only lists: If your league is like our leagues, we don’t conduct our
care right now about how one quarterback compares to another draft by saying, “OK Guys, now we’re going to draft all the
quarterback. quarterbacks. And when we’re done with that, we’ll draft all the
In our sample league consisting of 18 rounds, 12 teams with running backs…” Doesn’t work that way does it? You need to
the following starters (1 quarterback, 2 running backs, 3 wide know how all the different players are valued not just among
receivers, 1 tight end, 1 place kicker and 1 defense), our pro- their position peers but among each other. We do that by sorting
gram tells us approximately the following positions (on average) the X numbers.
will be taken in the first 100 picks: It’s a very simple matter of throwing all the players (and their
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78 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
X numbers) in one heap and ranking by the X number. What Have Start 1 Start 2 Start 3 Start 4 Start 5+
you’ll see will likely surprise you. Depending on your league, 0 of a position 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
don’t be shocked to see some players sort out much higher than 1 of a position 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
“conventional wisdom” says. 2 of a position 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0
You’ll most likely find that your kickers all have fairly low X 3 of a position 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0
numbers and are usually bunched tightly. This reinforces what 4 of a position 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
you already know. Even though they may score a lot of points,
they’re all just about the same and you can afford to wait and So as an example, if you have a quarterback already and you
snag a good one later. start only 1, then the need factor is 0.8 for your next QB. Multi-
And there you have it. All the players are ranked by their X plying this need factor by the X number will yield the relative X
number which means they’re ranked by their value. A key point value for that player for your fantasy team.
is to understand what the list is telling you. It’s ranking the This is a major distinction from previous written works
players by their value, or where they deserve to be drafted. This regarding Value Based Drafting. It attempts to translate math-
is not necessarily the order in which you should draft them (see ematically what we have all done in drafts. You aren’t going to
items 6-8 below). keep drafting quarterbacks if you can only play 1 each week.
Additional quarterbacks represent value still (for trades, etc), but
5. DETERMINE THE AVERAGE DRAFT for your particular team it is reduced (based on the table above).
POSITION OF ALL THE PLAYERS Most serious VBD owners have always done this intuitively but
Up to now, everything is based on your value. And this is now we’re putting the math behind it.
good, because you want to draft a team that you solidly believe
will perform. But to ignore all the opinions of the rest of the 15 7. KNOW WHEN TO DEVIATE
million people that play fantasy football could have you over- FROM VBD PRINCIPLES
paying for a few players if you are not careful. One of the biggest misconceptions with Value-Based princi-
Remember the goal is to maximize value with every single ples is that you should use them for the entire draft. This simply
pick. isn’t true. Sure you would like to get value throughout your
An excellent source for average draft value is draft, but after approximately half of your roster is filled, you
fantasyfootballcalculator.com. will generally end up with your best team by using your position
They compile many mock drafts by date and allow you to lists to address your unique needs. Always look at the best avail-
customize a list based on a few variables. Myfantasyleague.com able player by position, but also make sure that person fills bye
also produces lists based on actual league drafts using their soft- week needs, etc for your roster.
ware. If this sounds like too much work, do not fret - our VBD This includes (but is not limited to) the following not based
App contains all of this data based on the number of teams and on X Value:
how you score the tight end position. • Covering bye weeks
The reason this data is important is it can provide the right • Handcuffing the backup to a key player on your roster
clues when a player might get selected. If Jerricho Cotchery • Looking for favorable match ups for certain tough weeks
projects to number 60 on your overall list (as sorted by absolute For these reasons, we believe the perfect draft will often
X numbers), but is being drafted at pick 75 on average, you abandon strict VBD drafting after all baselines have been passed
would be smart to wait on him with your sixth pick. If the aver- (this is generally around pick 120 or so). What exactly does this
age draft info also tells you Anthony Gonzalez and Laveranues mean? It just means that later in the draft, you’ll likely draft
Coles (who you rate as very similar to Jerricho Cotchery) are from your positional lists and not from your overall list.
also expected to go around pick 75, you may be able to use this In Summary, if you only remember three things, make it these three:
to your advantage and squeeze out additional value by watching 1. The object of the game is not to score a ton of points, but to
when they get drafted. outscore your opponent. You must fill a roster with a specified
Remember your absolute X numbers represent worth to you. number of players at specified positions. The surest way to out-
But if you draft everyone at worth, your draft will be average. score your opponent is to build a team of players that outscore
The goal is to squeeze value with every single pick. And that is their peers. The players who most distance themselves from the
done by keeping a pulse on what an average draft is likely to do. other players at their respective positions are therefore the most
valuable. Remember the eight-player draft example where you
6. MULTIPLY X VALUES BY NEED FACTOR can’t lose after drafting the 20-point wide receiver.
TO DETERMINE RELATIVE VALUE 2. Factors such as the specific number of teams, starting
With your first round pick, absolute need and relative need lineup requirements, frozen players, and scoring system for your
are the same. You need all positions equally. But as the draft league dramatically affect the values of each player. These fac-
continues, this is not the case. If you start two running backs tors can cause the same player in two different leagues to have
and you have taken a running back with your first three picks, dramatically different values.
it stands to reason that your immediate need is likely not at run- 3. If this seems like a lot of work (and it is) we will do all of
ning back. You’ll likely want to veer from your VBD list if it’s the math for you at Footballguys.com
showing your next pick should be a running back. Think about these principles. Play around with them and see
Again for simplicity, we are going to give a formula that how they work for you. Once you understand the concepts be-
should work for most leagues. To determine the need factor of a hind the Value Based Draft System, you’ll be well on your way
position at any time in the draft, use the following table: to dominating your league.
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FOOTBALLGUYS.COM 79
A
fantasy draft is all about
obtaining the most value with ADP - 7.11 / QB13 / #83 Overall
Selected by Baker, Bloom, Borbely, Dowling, Grant, ADP - 5.1 / QB8 / #58 Overall
each selection. There is value Selected by Bloom, Dodds, Henry, Hicks, Wimer,
available throughout a draft, and grabbing Haseley, Magaw, and Waldman
Waldman - Tom Brady is the most popu- and Wood
it is one of the most important keys to a Wimer - Donovan McNabb enjoyed a
lar rebound QB this year, but the best bar-
successful fantasy team. In an attempt to renaissance season last year, and he enters
gain will be Palmer, who told the media in
point out this value, we asked our staff 2009 happy, healthy, and with a reloaded
March that his elbow is 100 percent and took
to look through the Top 150 players and roster of pass receivers. The Eagles’ offense
steps to prove it on the practice field. From
identify players that should outperform 2005-2007 he was ranked No. 1, No. 6, and is pass-happy as Andy Reid has plenty of tar-
their draft position. For each player No. 9 among his fantasy brethren. The team gets for McNabb to utilize. Plus, Philadelphia
chosen by at least two writers, we list their will be cautious with Palmer’s elbow during boasts the premier dual-threat RB in the
Average Draft Position (ADP) in a 12- the preseason, but Chad Ochocinco’s return league in Brian Westbrook. McNabb figures
team league, their rank at their position to health, the addition of versatile running to be among the Top 5 at his position by sea-
and their overall rank. For each player mates Laveranues Coles, TE Chase Coffman, sons’ end – he’s a bargain at QB #8.
listed, we asked a writer to offer reasoning and FB Brian Leonard should help the
as to why value was present. Bengals return to a higher level of productiv- WR Chad Ochocinco, Cin
ity in 2009.
The following writers contributed to ADP - 6.05 / WR23 / #65 Overall
this feature: Dave Baker, Sigmund Player Receiving 7 Votes Selected by Borbely, Dodds, Dowling, Grant, Levin,
Bloom, Anthony Borbely, Michael and Waldman
Brown, David Dodds, Colin Dowling, RB Knowshon Moreno, Den Levin - Regardless of whether the Bengals
Will Grant, Clayton Gray, Jeff Haseley, improve or decline as a team, one thing is
Bob Henry, Andy Hicks, Marc Levin, ADP - 6.02 / RB27 / #62 Overall clear – Carson Palmer will be throwing a
Bob Magaw, Jeff Pasquino, Aaron Selected by Haseley, Henry, Hicks, Pasquino, significantly greater number of passes to
Rudnicki, Jeff Tefertiller, Maurile Tefertiller, Tremblay, and Wimer Chad Ochocinco in 2009 than last year. The
Tremblay, Matt Waldman, Mark Wimer, Tremblay - Talented rookie RBs can loss of T.J. Houshmandzadeh, replaced by
Jason Wood, and David Yudkin. often be productive in the NFL right away. Laveranues Coles, means Ochocinco is vir-
putably the most gifted pure RUSHER on the QB Trent Edwards, Buf than his 2008 tally of 14 carries per game.
roster. In the last six regular season games, Miami is a run-heavy offense, Brown is in
he rattled off 475 yards and six TDs rush- ADP - 10.08 / QB18 / #116 Overall the final year of his contract, and in the six
ing (chipping in 200+ yards and three TDs Selected by Gray, Pasquino, Waldman, and Wood games before his ACL tear in 2007, he was
receiving). Prorated over 16 games = com- Gray - Trent Edwards must have stolen the leading fantasy RB. Of backs that have at
bined 1,800 yards and 24 TDs. While highly lunch money from some of my colleagues least one 370-carry season, their first one is
unlikely to approach those lofty proration- because this is borderline ridiculous. The (on average) in their fifth season. This is Year
fuelled numbers, he is the top rushing option guy played in only 14 games last season, 5 for Brown. Coincidence? Probably, but I’ll
on the most potent, explosive offense in the yet he finished as the #23 fantasy QB. In the bite because of his skill, the track record for a
league, and the Saints didn’t bring in a chal- offseason, he loses no significant receiver Parcells-style team, and his full recovery.
lenger to usurp his de facto feature role. and adds the fairly productive Terrell Owens,
but the fantasy community only consid- WR Anthony Gonzalez, Ind
RB Chris Wells, Ari ers Edwards to be an average backup?
Considering that, over the last decade, the ADP - 7.02 / WR29 / #74 Overall
ADP - 6.07 / RB29 / #67 Overall average starting passer throwing to Owens Selected by Brown, Dowling, and Pasquino
Selected by Bloom, Henry, Magaw, and Tremblay finished as the #7.3 fantasy QB (and no Dowling - Gonzalez at WR29, after play-
Henry - Wells is a physically gifted run- starting QB ranked lower than #20), and this ers like Bernard Berrian and Santana Moss,
ner joining a team of physically gifted skill draft position for Edwards has to be consid- borders on insanity. With Marvin Harrison
players. He should excel as long as he stays ered the low end of his 2009 range. no longer in the picture, Anthony Gonzalez
healthy and outperforms Tim Hightower in is going to have plenty of chances to put up
training camp. Hightower won’t go away QB Kyle Orton, Den great numbers. And while Gonzalez has a
and he’ll get plenty of touches, but Wells long way to go before we compare him to the
has much more big play potential on a ADP - 10.11 / QB19 / #119 Overall man he’s replacing, it’s an undeniable reality
team loaded with playmakers. With an ADP Selected by Haseley, Rudnicki, Tefertiller, and that whoever is catching passes in one of the
around RB29, Wells has starter potential but Yudkin NFL’s most prolific offenses is going to put
you can draft him as your third RB. Rudnicki - After spending several years up some great numbers.
developing on the bench, Orton emerged
QB Matt Schaub, Hou as an effective starting QB in 2008. He did RB Cedric Benson, Cin
this despite playing in a rather conservative
ADP - 6.08 / QB11 / #68 Overall offense with some of the worst WRs in the ADP - 7.05 / RB32 / #77 Overall
Selected by Dowling, Gray, Henry, and Tremblay league to throw to. After the trade to Denver, Selected by Dowling, Tefertiller, and Yudkin
Tremblay - Schaub leads what I think will he’s likely to take over an offense that has a Yudkin - Benson was part of the Bengals
be one of the more dynamic offenses in the much better collection of offensive weapons late season surge, amassing 462 yards
league this season. Andre Johnson has grown and an aggressive coach who got the most from scrimmage in Cincinnati’s three-game
into a Top notch receiver, and Schaub was out of Matt Cassel. At this point in the draft, winning streak to end the season. With the
on pace to finish as the No. 4 fantasy QB Orton is a relatively low-risk selection with a offense having some key figures healthy
last season if he hadn’t gotten injured. Some potential high reward. again, Benson should be the beneficiary of
are discounting Schaub based on durability starting on an above average offense. Rudi
concerns, but I think he’s just suffered some TE Zach Miller, Oak Johnson ranked in the Top 10 three times
bad luck in each of the past two seasons and in recent years, which illustrates that the
is no more of an injury risk this season than ADP - 11.08 / TE12 / #128 Overall Bengals can support a decent ground game.
the next QB. Selected by Bloom, Dodds, Tefertiller, and Yudkin
Bloom - Miller still had a respectable Players Receiving 2 Votes
WR Bernard Berrian, Min low-end fantasy starter type season last
year, and that was with him often marooned RB Steve Slaton, Hou
ADP - 6.12 / WR28 / #72 Overall at the line of scrimmage to give help to a
Selected by Haseley, Magaw, Waldman, and Wood feeble pass blocking offensive line. This year, ADP - 2.01 / RB10 / #13 Overall
Waldman - Receivers with high yards- JaMarcus Russell and the Raiders pass- Selected by Wimer and Wood
per-catch averages on low reception-counts ing offense is sure to continue the trend of Wood - Fantasy success is about ability
understandably make fantasy owners ner- improvement started in December of last and opportunity. Slaton proved last year
vous, but Berrian doesn’t fit the mold of season, and Miller should be the main ben- he has plenty of ability (1,659 yards from
one-season wonders. He has increased his eficiary. It’s a no brainer to wait on TE if you scrimmage and 10 TDs) and this offseason
productivity for three consecutive seasons can get Miller in the 11th round. provided him a world of opportunity. The
and last year he lacked the continuity of only other backs on the roster are Chris
one starting QB. Expect Sage Rosenfels to Players Receiving 3 Votes Brown, Ryan Moats and a pair of street free
bring more stability and productivity to the agents. In other words, Slaton is going to get
Vikings offense and the addition of rookie RB Ronnie Brown, Mia a boatload of touches week in, week out and
Percy Harvin will make it more difficult for that means he’s a great bet for elite fantasy
opposing defenses to limit Berrian’s produc- ADP - 3.1 / RB17 / #34 Overall numbers.
tivity. Berrian ended last year as WR 18, and Selected by Brown, Haseley, and Waldman
I think he should have at least as good of a Waldman - All signs point to a breakout RB Brandon Jacobs, NYG
year in 2009. year for Brown. He will be two years removed
from his ACL injury and should average more ADP - 2.07 / RB14 / #19 Overall
Selected by Pasquino and Wood hard not to get a little excited about his production, only to disappear for even longer
Pasquino - Jacobs is in line to have the chances. He came into the league highly stretches. The arrival of Terrell Owens sig-
lion’s share of the workload for the Giants. regarded as the fourth overall pick in 2007, nals a possible return to the fantasy elite for
New York had two 1,000-yard rushers last but injuries derailed his game from the start. Evans because defenses can no longer gear
season (Derrick Ward and Jacobs), and they He did manage 164 yards against the Chiefs their coverage to Evans with impunity. His
love to control the game on the ground. The in Week 2 though to show he belongs in this Top 10 potential is more than worth it in the
passing game for the Giants will suffer with league. At RB23, he represents a goldmine if sixth round.
inexperienced options at wide receiver after he can stay healthy all year.
the Plaxico Burress adventures of 2008, so WR Laveranues Coles, NYJ
expect New York to try to win games running WR Braylon Edwards, Cle
the ball and playing solid defense. As long as ADP - 7.07 / WR31 / #79 Overall
Jacobs remains healthy, he is a strong RB1 ADP - 5.04 / WR19 / #52 Overall Selected by Pasquino and Tefertiller
candidate that can be had on the cheap. Selected by Brown and Dodds Pasquino - The Bengals need receivers,
Brown - Yes, he had some problems with so welcome Laveranues Coles into the mix.
WR Dwayne Bowe, KC the drops a year ago. But the fact is, he was With T.J. Houshmandzadeh gone to Seattle in
able to drop all those long passes because free agency and few options to catch the ball
ADP - 3.04 / WR11 / #28 Overall he was very open. What that tells me is that outside of Chad Ochocinco and head case
Selected by Brown and Haseley his route-running and burst off the line are Chris Henry, Coles is instantly a top option
Haseley - I have a definite interest fine, and if he can reduce the drops even by for the Bengals passing game. Cincinnati
in Dwayne Bowe this year. He and Tony a small amount, then a Top 10 WR ranking will welcome back Carson Palmer at quar-
Gonzalez shared the offensive load in the is all but a given. Kellen Winslow is also terback, and he will be asked to throw early
passing game for the Chiefs last season gone, meaning Edwards’ targets will likely and often with a below average defense.
(150+ targets each). The trade that sent increase. Coles finds himself in a great spot to post
Gonzalez to the Falcons leaves a gaping hole big fantasy numbers.
in the Chiefs receiving corps. As of now there WR Eddie Royal, Den
is nobody else who will pick up that slack QB Ben Roethlisberger, Pit
except Bowe. Bowe should easily see the ADP - 5.09 / WR21 / #57 Overall
same, if not more production than last year. Selected by Tremblay and Wimer ADP - 8.01 / QB14 / #85 Overall
If Matt Cassel shows he’s for real, Bowe Tremblay - Rookie WRs often struggle ini- Selected by Hicks and Pasquino
could be a very nice Top 5 fantasy surprise. tially, but Royal showed excellent quickness, Hicks - Ben Roethlisberger was progress-
If Cassel struggles, the Chiefs still have Tyler route-running, and hands from the first time ing nicely as a fantasy quarterback, moving
Thigpen who would play with a chip on his he took an NFL field. He is also an excellent from 20th, to 18th, 12th & fifth in his first
shoulder. I can’t find a reason to think that runner after the catch and should be a great four seasons. Last year he dropped to 17th
Bowe won’t be a huge fantasy producer in fit for Josh McDaniels’ offense. Kyle Orton as the Steelers imposed their authority on
2009. may not have Jay Cutler’s arm, but Royal games. If they repeat last year’s success, then
excels at getting open underneath the cover- Roethlisberger will still be a fantasy option,
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea age (similar to Wes Welker) and turning short but history rarely repeats in the NFL. If the
passes into worthwhile gains. Steelers show any signs of regressing in the
ADP - 3.11 / WR15 / #35 Overall areas in which they excelled in 2008 or other
Selected by Baker and Wimer RB Derrick Ward, TB NFL teams are better equipped to match
Baker – T.J. Houshmandzadeh may be them, then it will be Big Ben to the rescue.
on the wrong side of 30, but the guy can ADP - 6.03 / RB28 / #63 Overall Expect results closer to 2007 than 2008.
still play, as evidenced by his 92 receptions Selected by Haseley and Tefertiller
in that thing they called an offense last Tefertiller - Derrick Ward played very WR Michael Crabtree, SF
year in Cincinnati. This season, though, well for the New York Giants the last couple
Houshmandzadeh gets a real passer again of seasons. The Buccaneers invested a good ADP - 8.03 / WR34 / #87 Overall
in Matt Hasselbeck, and a change of scenery amount of money in the former unknown Selected by Magaw and Wood
could be just what the doctor ordered for from Ottawa University in Kansas. Tampa Wood - Michael Crabtree is arguably the
another 1,000+ receiving yards and double- Bay has few options in the backfield and most polished receiver to enter the league
digit touchdowns. That should easily make should rely on Ward to carry the load. His in years. Few prospects can match his col-
him better than a Top 15 WR. ability in the passing game will also be a legiate production, and he actually landed in
big asset to the Buccaneers offense. Derrick an attractive situation where he should start
RB Darren McFadden, Oak Ward is a bargain at this ADP, running immediately. While the QB situation is in
behind the young, talented Buccaneers flux, Crabtree isn’t the typical rookie receiver
ADP - 4.11 / RB23 / #47 Overall offensive line. and shouldn’t be drafted as such. As long as
Selected by Dodds and Gray he is signed and in camp on time, Crabtree
Dodds - The Oakland RBs accounted WR Lee Evans, Buf should have little trouble finishing as a Top
for 2,389 rushing/receiving yards in 2008. 25 receiver.
In 2007 they amassed 2,394 rushing and ADP - 6.06 / WR24 / #66 Overall
receiving yards. Oakland’s offensive line Selected by Bloom and Magaw WR Devin Hester, Chi
is an above average unit and excels at run Bloom - It’s understandable to be frus-
blocking. So when I hear about McFadden trated with Lee Evans. After a breakout ADP - 9.02 / WR40 / #98 Overall
turning heads in camp this offseason, it’s 2006, he’s had sporadic stretches of good Selected by Henry and Tefertiller
Henry - As the 40th WR off the board Top 5 fantasy season on tap – he’s a steal at
around the eighth or ninth round, Hester his current ADP of TE #13. WR Lance Moore, NO
is just the type of player you can swing for ADP - 6.1 / WR26 / #70 Overall
the fences if he’s your fourth WR. With Jay Players Receiving 1 Vote Selected by Tremblay
Cutler throwing to him, he could easily
finish among the Top 30 or so WRs. Just RB Steven Jackson, StL RB LenDale White, Ten
don’t reach for him as anything more than a ADP - 1.05 / RB5 / #5 Overall ADP - 7.03 / RB31 / #75 Overall
high potential player with designs on being Selected by Gray Selected by Dowling
your super sub – he could end up being a
consistent player in lineups this year. RB DeAngelo Williams, Car RB Jamal Lewis, Cle
ADP - 1.06 / RB6 / #6 Overall ADP - 7.08 / RB33 / #80 Overall
RB Ray Rice, Bal Selected by Magaw Selected by Henry
ADP - 9.1 / RB41 / #106 Overall WR Anquan Boldin, Ari RB Donald Brown, Ind
Selected by Bloom and Haseley ADP - 3.02 / WR9 / #26 Overall ADP - 7.12 / RB34 / #84 Overall
Haseley - At first glance the Ravens back- Selected by Gray Selected by Bloom
field is a crowded mess that includes Willis
McGahee, Le’Ron McClain, Ray Rice and WR Wes Welker, NE WR Kevin Walter, Hou
rookie RB Cedric Peerman, who I really like. ADP - 3.08 / WR13 / #32 Overall ADP - 8.09 / WR36 / #93 Overall
However, a second, more detailed look sug- Selected by Gray Selected by Tefertiller
gests that McClain will see plenty of duties
as the team’s fullback and Willis McGahee WR Terrell Owens, Buf RB Willis McGahee, Bal
may be one or two injuries past being as ADP - 3.09 / WR14 / #33 Overall ADP - 8.1 / RB37 / #94 Overall
effective as he once was. That leaves Rice Selected by Hicks Selected by Levin
and Peerman. I like Peerman, but he doesn’t
have the total package that Rice has, not to QB Aaron Rodgers, GB RB Tim Hightower, Ari
mention Rice has a year of experience under ADP - 3.12 / QB4 / #36 Overall ADP - 9.05 / RB39 / #101 Overall
his belt. He knows the offense and knows Selected by Wimer Selected by Levin
how to protect his QB. This could be the year
Rice is given the opportunity to carry the RB Marshawn Lynch, Buf RB Julius Jones, Sea
team. If given that chance, I have no doubts ADP - 4.03 / RB19 / #39 Overall ADP - 9.06 / RB40 / #102 Overall
that he’ll have success. The best part – Rice Selected by Baker Selected by Rudnicki
could be doing this as your RB4.
QB Philip Rivers, SD TE John Carlson, Sea
QB Joe Flacco, Bal ADP - 4.05 / QB6 / #41 Overall ADP - 9.08 / TE9 / #104 Overall
Selected by Brown Selected by Yudkin
ADP - 10.06 / QB17 / #114 Overall
Selected by Grant and Tefertiller QB Tony Romo, Dal WR Chris Chambers, SD
Tefertiller - Flacco finished as QB20 last ADP - 4.1 / QB7 / #46 Overall ADP - 10.01 / WR42 / #109 Overall
season. His development should take a giant Selected by Wimer Selected by Grant
step forward with another offseason to work
with Coach Harbaugh and company. Many RB Jonathan Stewart, Car RB Jerious Norwood, Atl
young passers improve dramatically in year ADP - 5.01 / RB24 / #49 Overall ADP - 10.1 / RB47 / #118 Overall
two. The Ravens will rely heavily on their Selected by Borbely Selected by Rudnicki
big quarterback in 2009. Derrick Mason and
Mark Clayton are adequate options. Plus, WR Vincent Jackson, SD WR Justin Gage, Ten
Flacco has the mobility to pull the ball down ADP - 5.02 / WR18 / #50 Overall ADP - 11.03 / WR44 / #123 Overall
and make a play on the ground. He is agile Selected by Gray Selected by Rudnicki
for a big guy.
WR Antonio Bryant, TB RB Fred Taylor, NE
TE Visanthe Shiancoe, Min ADP - 5.05 / WR20 / #53 Overall ADP - 11.04 / RB48 / #124 Overall
Selected by Haseley Selected by Rudnicki
ADP - 11.1 / TE13 / #130 Overall
Selected by Magaw and Wimer QB Matt Ryan, Atl WR Jeremy Maclin, Phi
Wimer - Visanthe Shiancoe hauled in ADP - 5.12 / QB9 / #60 Overall ADP - 11.11 / WR46 / #131 Overall
42/596/7 last season, ending up as the #5 Selected by Brown Selected by Pasquino
fantasy TE in the land - while catching balls
from the likes of Gus Frerotte and Tarvaris QB Jay Cutler, Chi WR Josh Morgan, SF
Jackson. This year, the team brought in ADP - 6.04 / QB10 / #64 Overall ADP - 12.09 / WR50 / #141 Overall
Sage Rosenfels to compete for the top job in Selected by Wood Selected by Bloom
Minnesota, and I think Rosenfels will win the
job and substantially upgrade the Minnesota WR Hines Ward, Pit RB Sammy Morris, NE
passing attack. Shiancoe stands to benefit ADP - 6.09 / WR25 / #69 Overall ADP - 13.02 / RB53 / #146 Overall
from better QB play, and may have another Selected by Wimer Selected by Yudkin
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84 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
T
he flip side of succeeding with value Player Receiving 8 Votes keep games low scoring. I can’t believe I’m
players is failing with overvalued
saying this, but LenDale White appears moti-
players. These are players that will QB Tony Romo, Dal vated to make amends for his sloppy work
not put up stats commensurate to their draft
habits and fumbling away the Titans playoff
spot, and avoiding them is another of the ADP - 4.1 / QB7 / #46 Overall victory. Johnson will remain a fantasy starter
important keys to a successful fantasy team. Selected by Brown, Dodds, Henry, Pasquino, but not a No. 1 RB.
In an attempt to point out these players, we Rudnicki, Tremblay, Wood, and Yudkin
asked our staff to look through the Top 150
players and identify players that should under
Brown - Romo already had a couple of WR Brandon Marshall, Den
strikes against him going into this season,
perform their draft position. For each player and that was before the release of Terrell ADP - 3.05 / WR12 / #29 Overall
chosen by at least two writers, we list their Owens and his subsequent signing in Selected by Brown, Dowling, Henry, Levin,
Average Draft Position (ADP) in a 12-team Buffalo. Romo, for all of his stardom, hasn’t Waldman, and Wimer
league, their rank at their position and their played terribly well in some of the more cru- Henry - While I love Marshall’s game and
overall rank. For each player listed, we asked cial moments of his career to this point. The abilities, he’s recovering from offseason hip
a writer to offer reasoning as to why this Cowboys have gone from Super Bowl favor- surgery and on a short leash due to his legal
player was overvalued. ites to also-rans in their own division under woes. Take Jay Cutler away and replace
his watch, and he has presided over one of him with Kyle Orton or Chris Simms, and
The following writers contributed to the biggest turnarounds in recent memory as Marshall’s just not worth the risk with an
this feature: Dave Baker, Sigmund America weeps that Jessica Simpson fills out ADP of WR12 – in the third round range.
Bloom, Anthony Borbely, Michael her Daisy Dukes a bit too well these days. You’re better off taking your chances with
Brown, David Dodds, Colin Dowling,
Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe or even Braylon
Will Grant, Clayton Gray, Jeff Haseley, Player Receiving 7 Votes Edwards. Edwards’ hands maybe suspect,
Bob Henry, Andy Hicks, Marc Levin,
but at least he’s healthy and not a suspension
Jeff Pasquino, Aaron Rudnicki, Jeff QB Matt Cassel, KC risk.
Tefertiller, Maurile Tremblay, Matt
Waldman, Mark Wimer, Jason Wood, ADP - 7.09 / QB12 / #81 Overall
and David Yudkin.
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Players Receiving 5 Votes season. Even if he takes that next step this QB Kurt Warner, Ari
season, his ADP of QB9 going around the
RB Matt Forte, Chi 5/6 turn assumes that he will, so there’s noth- ADP - 4.02 / QB5 / #38 Overall
ing to gain by taking him there. Selected by Dodds, Grant, Hicks, and Tefertiller
ADP - 1.04 / RB4 / #4 Overall Grant - I love Kurt Warner as much as
Selected by Gray, Haseley, Henry, Pasquino, and RB Le’Ron McClain, Bal the next guy. I like seeing him succeed when
Tremblay everyone is expecting him to fail. I even
Henry - While I love Forte’s game, I don’t ADP - 7.01 / RB30 / #73 Overall thought that Leinart would be the guy in
think he’ll get the ball as often as he did last Selected by Bloom, Dodds, Dowling, Pasquino, and Arizona last year. That being said, Warner
year. The Bears offensive line lost some pop Rudnicki is 38 this season. Expecting him to have
when John Tait retired, and Kevin Jones has Rudnicki - McClain was a surprise another 4500 yard passing season is asking
looked great in minicamps now that he’s a breakout player last year, leading the Ravens a lot. Maybe he has one more year in the
year removed from a torn ACL. The Bears in rushing and finishing as a Top 20 fantasy tank. Maybe he can do it again. But at the
won’t go away from Forte, but it’s unlikely RB. This year, however, the team has moved top of the fourth round, there are plenty of
that he will get 316 carries and 63 catches him to fullback to replace Lorenzo Neal, and other options that will have great production
again. Still a solid RB1 in fantasy terms, I’d the team has two perfectly capable feature and value for your team and will not be as
prefer taking Forte late in Round 1. backs in Willis McGahee and Ray Rice. risky as taking Warner.
McClain may wind up as a short yardage
RB Joseph Addai, Ind back and steal some TDs, but people drafting WR Vincent Jackson, SD
him this high and expecting a repeat of last
ADP - 4.04 / RB20 / #40 Overall year’s performance are probably going to be ADP - 5.02 / WR18 / #50 Overall
Selected by Haseley, Hicks, Pasquino, Tefertiller, disappointed. Selected by Baker, Bloom, Pasquino, and Wimer
and Wood Bloom - Jackson benefitted from a lot of
Pasquino - The Colts’ actions speak TE Tony Scheffler, Den factors coming together last year – a career
louder than their words, and no action is year from Philip Rivers, the banged up trio
bigger than their drafting of another tailback ADP - 11.02 / TE11 / #122 Overall of Chris Chambers, LaDainian Tomlinson,
in the first round in April. Donald Brown Selected by Brown, Dodds, Tefertiller, Tremblay, and Antonio Gates, and an offense tilted
from UCONN joins Indianapolis and will at and Wimer towards the pass. Surely there will be more
a bare minimum take the role of former Colt Tremblay - Scheffler is one of the more competition for targets this season, and
Dominic Rhodes. Addai was a disappoint- athletic pass-receiving tight ends in the Jackson still could face a suspension after
ment last year, and with both the offensive league. But even athletic tight ends are no his second DUI arrest in January. Count
line coach and the offensive coordinator sure bet to produce strong fantasy num- on someone else to be your WR2 in the fifth
leaving the Colts may underperform across bers in a Josh McDaniels offense. Ask round.
the board this year. Look for Addai to share Ben Watson. Moreover, it appears that the
the workload and drop out of the Top 25 fan- Broncos will try to run the ball more this QB Jay Cutler, Chi
tasy rushers for 2009. season; and with Scheffler relatively ineffec-
tive as a blocker, he may lose playing time to ADP - 6.04 / QB10 / #64 Overall
WR Roy Williams, Dal the Broncos’ blocking TEs, Daniel Graham Selected by Levin, Pasquino, Waldman, and Yudkin
and Richard Quinn. Levin - Sure, Cutler finished as the #11
ADP - 4.08 / WR16 / #44 Overall QB in 2007 and the #5 QB in 2008, but that
Selected by Bloom, Dodds, Tefertiller, Wood, and Players Receiving 4 Votes was with WR Brandon Marshall grabbing
Yudkin 100+ catches, 1,200+ yards and a handful of
Yudkin - Williams just did not click at all QB Drew Brees, NO TDs. Devin Hester, as Chicago’s #1 receiver,
with Tony Romo last season, and Williams’ will be a poor substitute. Expecting QB10
production numbers were terrible. He should ADP - 1.11 / QB1 / #11 Overall numbers from a QB in this offense is grossly
have been aided by defenders cheating to Selected by Bloom, Dodds, Grant, and Gray overestimating Cutler’s ability to make those
cover Terrell Owens, but this year Williams Dodds - It’s hard not to like Brees. He around him better.
will be the one seeing double coverage. gets the most out of his body and has always
Unless things change dramatically, Williams over-achieved. And when you could get him WR Lee Evans, Buf
won’t approach the Top 15 receivers. as the fifth best QB, he was a safe selection
that still had some potential to outperform ADP - 6.06 / WR24 / #66 Overall
QB Matt Ryan, Atl his ADP. At QB1 (and an ADP of 11 over- Selected by Dodds, Gray, Pasquino, and Tefertiller
all), all Brees can do is underperform. This Dodds - In four of his five seasons as a
ADP - 5.12 / QB9 / #60 Overall year the quarterbacks are deeper than ever starter in Buffalo, he has finished 24th or
Selected by Baker, Bloom, Hicks, Tefertiller, and (Garrard has an ADP of QB20), so even if worse as a wide receiver. This is despite him
Wimer Brees was guaranteed to throw for 4,000 not missing a single game during these five
Bloom - Matt Ryan was a fantastic story yards and 40 TDs, he likely could not justify years. In the offseason, the Bills brought in
last year, but the league seemed to catch up an 11th overall selection. Let others reach in Terrell Owens making Lee Evans the clear
to him in December. Not only did he finish the early rounds for QBs that overachieved WR2 on the team now. Owens is a target,
the season with some of his worst football of in 2008. Use those early rounds to stockpile reception and TD hound which will likely cut
the year, Ryan is also subject to sophomore RBs and WRs (the positions that will win considerably into Lee Evans opportunities in
slump that seems to bring down so many your fantasy league). 2009. There simply aren’t enough passes to
rookie QBs that saw success in their first go around for Lee Evans to catapult much
ICON SMI
in the Top 5 exactly once, and that was three
Steve Breaston
seasons ago. His yards per carry average
has now dropped in each of the last three
year, and it’s not as if the Rams made whole- sixth overall pick. Let someone else be disap- for the struggling Seattle Seahawks. He goes
sale changes across the board that suggest pointed. from playing across from Chad Ochocinco
a turnaround is imminent. Jackson’s final with Carson Palmer tossing the ball to being
season ranking in the last four years is 11th, WR Reggie Wayne, Ind the only legitimate receiver with the oft-
third, 14th, 13th. The trend is for him to fin- injured Matt Hasselbeck under center. The
ish outside the Top 10; don’t pay for him as ADP - 2.08 / WR5 / #20 Overall Seahawk offense struggles without much of
if it’s common. Selected by Gray, Haseley, and Wood a run game and few options in the passing
Haseley - Reggie Wayne had only six TDs game. There are several pass receivers that
RB DeAngelo Williams, Car last year with just two after Week 6. He has offer more upside and value as a high-end
only had two multiple TD games since 2004 fantasy WR2 at this ADP.
ADP - 1.06 / RB6 / #6 Overall and only one since Week 1 of 2007. The
Selected by Brown, Grant, and Gray Colts have a new coach this year, and while
Grant - After two seasons of obscurity I’m not predicting this, Manning eventually WR Santonio Holmes, Pit
an ineffectiveness, it seemed as if Williams is going to slow down. Reggie Wayne is a
was about to be replaced by rookie Jonathan good WR, but is he still an elite one? Since ADP - 4.12 / WR17 / #48 Overall
Stewart. Instead, Stewart took the backseat Week 11 last year, he had as many fantasy Selected by Hicks, Tefertiller, and Wood
and Williams exploded for almost 1,700 points as the slumping Torry Holt. Tefertiller - Holmes played great down
yards and 20 TDs. This season, will it be the stretch last season and gave the Steelers
more of the same? Stewart was a 13th over- WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Sea a huge boost in the Super Bowl. But, we
all pick. To expect him to sit on the sidelines need to remember that Hines Ward was the
again is pretty silly. Stewart is going to push ADP - 3.11 / WR15 / #35 Overall team’s WR1 during the season. The former
hard for more carries. Williams and Stewart Selected by Brown, Gray, and Tefertiller Buckeye only accumulated 821 receiving
will be the best 1-2 punch in the league. But Tefertiller - Houshmandzadeh left the yards and five scores on the season. This was
it will mean Williams will not be worth the high octane offense of the Cincinnati Bengals good for a WR32 finish. And now, after a
great Super Bowl, we are drafting Santonio Selected by Gray and Haseley people still want to take Lynch as their start-
Holmes higher than he has ever finished? Haseley - It’s hard to even consider er? If you want to use a second-round pick
This is curious with Ward being drafted eight overvaluing the future Hall of Famer, but on a guy who misses the first three weeks
spots later as WR25. eventually he’ll have to slow down. Last of the season, then you are already starting
season, Peyton Manning finished as the sixth behind the 8-ball.
Players Receiving 2 Votes ranked QB, which is his lowest finish since a
ninth place campaign during his rookie year. QB Philip Rivers, SD
RB Michael Turner, Atl Reggie Wayne had a down year, Marvin
Harrison is gone, there are some question ADP - 4.05 / QB6 / #41 Overall
ADP - 1.02 / RB2 / #2 Overall marks at the RB position, and oh by the way, Selected by Pasquino and Wimer
Selected by Baker and Waldman the Colts have a new head coach and offen- Wimer - Philip Rivers was a Top 5 fan-
Baker - While it may be hard to discount sive coordinator. I am not saying the Colts tasy QB last season, largely due to throwing
Michael Turner’s numbers last year, I’m not are going to struggle, but they could. Last 34 TDs and also crossing the 4000 yards-
nearly as hyped on him this year as many. Yes year there were times well past Manning’s passing barrier. However, the Chargers
– 17 touchdowns and nearly 1,700 rushing recovery from knee surgery, where he just are planning on emphasizing the running
yards are eye-opening, but I personally doubt didn’t look like his old self. He’ll probably game this year with a healthy LaDainian
he carries the ball 377 times again in 2009. still be the third QB taken in drafts this year, Tomlinson, and Rivers’ #1 receiver last year,
And while adding Tony Gonzalez may help but something tells me he won’t finish in that Vincent Jackson, is in legal trouble (DUI
the offense, it also could mean less carries for spot. arrest while serving probation on a DUI
Turner. As great as last season was for Turner, conviction). Antonio Gates is struggling with
it smells like a peak year to me, and I think he WR Wes Welker, NE his chronically injured toe. I don’t see Rivers
has nowhere to go but down. Do I still like the repeating a Top 10 finish this season.
guy? Sure. But I can’t see myself drafting him ADP - 3.08 / WR13 / #32 Overall
with the second overall pick. Selected by Brown and Wood RB Larry Johnson, KC
Brown - Two seasons ago, Welker caught
RB Marion Barber, Dal 112 passes and was the 11th-ranked wide- ADP - 5.03 / RB25 / #51 Overall
out. A year ago, with Tom Brady out, Welker Selected by Bloom and Dowling
ADP - 2.04 / RB12 / #16 Overall still managed to snag 111 passes but was Dowling - As a Larry Johnson fan it pains
Selected by Wimer and Wood only WR21 on fantasy lists. The problem was me to admit it, but the bloom is off the rose.
Wood - I like Marion Barber, but I worry that his scores dropped from eight to three. He turns 30 during the upcoming season
about his ability to perform as a fantasy RB1 Now he’s being taken as the 13th receiver off and has been a shell of himself for the last
this year, which is what his current ADP the board. Unless you think Brady is going to two years. As much as we try not to convince
assumes. The league is embracing a commit- step back in and toss another 45-50 scores, ourselves otherwise, 400-rush seasons (like
tee system, and the Cowboys have not one, Welker will be hard-pressed to crack the top Johnson had in 2006) are great predictors of
but two compelling alternatives. Felix Jones 13 with his dreadful YPC and lack of scor- things going downhill, in a hurry, in future
was a big-play threat every time he touched ing. seasons. Toss in that Johnson is playing for a
the ball last year and is healthy. Tashard new coach who has rarely shown a fondness
Choice proved equally capable of handling RB Reggie Bush, NO for rushing the ball in the past, and Johnson
a large role. Expect all three to help Dallas, simply isn’t worth the gamble this year.
but in turn be less-than-ideal fantasy options. ADP - 4.01 / RB18 / #37 Overall
Selected by Tefertiller and Yudkin TE Antonio Gates, SD
QB Tom Brady, NE Yudkin - Bush has battled the injury bug
so far in his career, and he ended last year ADP - 5.06 / TE2 / #54 Overall
ADP - 2.09 / QB2 / #21 Overall with a knee injury that may have some lin- Selected by Brown and Wood
Selected by Brown and Wimer gering effects. His games played, touches, Wood - Antonio Gates is going to be the
Wimer - Tom Brady had a career year and fantasy scoring have dropped each sea- first TE off the board in many drafts, and
two seasons ago (398/578 for 4,806 yards, son. Bush will need a bigger workload, more almost certainly will be drafted shortly after
50 TDs and eight interceptions), but he TDs, and to play in a lot more games to rank someone takes Jason Witten in most others.
missed almost an entire year of football in the Top 20 in a standard scoring fantasy While Gates is a viable fantasy starter, it’s
due to his torn ACL – and he is reportedly league. risky to draft him at projected ADP. Gates
expected to wear the knee brace for the rest admitted to lingering soreness in his ankle
of his career. Throwing a ball takes a whole RB Marshawn Lynch, Buf during May mini-camp; and that has to
body motion - we have yet to see what effect worry anyone who plans on using an early
the devastating knee injury has had on ADP - 4.03 / RB19 / #39 Overall round pick on him.
Brady’s passes. I think QB2 is wildly optimis- Selected by Hicks and Wood
tic for a player coming off a serious injury Hicks - In case you have missed the news, WR Eddie Royal, Den
and who’ll also do without the offensive Marshawn Lynch will be suspended for the ADP - 5.09 / WR21 / #57 Overall
coordinator, Josh McDaniels, who helped first three games of the 2009 season, yet Selected by Hicks and Pasquino
craft the phenomenal 2007 season. he is still rated as a fantasy starter? The Hicks - According to his ADP, Eddie
rap sheet for Lynch is getting longer every Royal is expected to duplicate his phenom-
QB Peyton Manning, Ind season and people will still take him as their enal rookie season. This is despite losing his
starter? The Bills signed Dominic Rhodes head coach & quarterback. The Broncos will
ADP - 2.1 / QB3 / #22 Overall and Fred Jackson continues to impress, yet have a more than likely rejuvenated running
game following the drafting of first-round Players Receiving 1 Vote WR Laveranues Coles, Cin
pick Knowshon Moreno and the addition of ADP - 7.07 / WR31 / #79 Overall
a slew of capable assistants in free agency. RB Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac Selected by Gray
With the QB battle between Kyle Orton and ADP - 1.03 / RB3 / #3 Overall
Chris Simms likely to be a huge fantasy Selected by Grant QB Ben Roethlisberger, Pit
regression from Jay Cutler, expect one of the ADP - 8.01 / QB14 / #85 Overall
prime fantasy casualties to be Eddie Royal. RB Steve Slaton, Hou Selected by Gray
ADP - 2.01 / RB10 / #13 Overall
WR Lance Moore, NO Selected by Hicks WR Michael Crabtree, SF
ADP - 8.03 / WR34 / #87 Overall
ADP - 6.1 / WR26 / #70 Overall WR Calvin Johnson, Det Selected by Tremblay
Selected by Borbely and Hicks ADP - 2.02 / WR3 / #14 Overall
Borbely - Moore came out of nowhere last Selected by Rudnicki TE Chris Cooley, Was
year and became a favorite target of Drew ADP - 8.04 / TE6 / #88 Overall
Brees, finishing with over 900 yards and WR Roddy White, Atl Selected by Gray
10 TDs. But last year, Reggie Bush missed ADP - 2.12 / WR7 / #24 Overall
six games, Marques Colston missed five, Selected by Haseley TE Owen Daniels, Hou
and Jeremy Shockey missed four. That adds ADP - 8.06 / TE7 / #90 Overall
up to a load of targets that Moore got last WR Dwayne Bowe, KC Selected by Bloom
year. I expect his numbers to decline sharply ADP - 3.04 / WR11 / #28 Overall
because he will likely be the fourth target in Selected by Tremblay RB Willis McGahee, Bal
the passing game. That is just too risky when ADP - 8.1 / RB37 / #94 Overall
compared to his ADP of WR26. I would RB Kevin Smith, Det Selected by Dodds
rather let another owner draft him. ADP - 3.07 / RB16 / #31 Overall
Selected by Levin RB Tim Hightower, Ari
TE John Carlson, Sea ADP - 9.05 / RB39 / #101 Overall
WR Terrell Owens, Buf Selected by Yudkin
ADP - 9.08 / TE9 / #104 Overall ADP - 3.09 / WR14 / #33 Overall
Selected by Haseley and Pasquino Selected by Bloom QB Matt Hasselbeck, Sea
Pasquino - Carlson was one of very few ADP - 9.09 / QB16 / #105 Overall
glimmers of hope for Seattle last year. The RB Ronnie Brown, Mia Selected by Hicks
team was decimated with wide receiver ADP - 3.1 / RB17 / #34 Overall
injuries along with Matt Hasselbeck missing Selected by Gray WR Deion Branch, Sea
time, so Carlson had to step up and con- ADP - 9.12 / WR41 / #108 Overall
tribute much more than expected in his first RB Thomas Jones, NYJ Selected by Rudnicki
year. Carlson was a Top 10 fantasy tight end ADP - 4.06 / RB21 / #42 Overall
with 55 catches and seven scores, but the Selected by Borbely RB Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG
Seahawks now have TJ Houshmandzadeh, ADP - 10.03 / RB43 / #111 Overall
Nate Burleson and Deion Branch ready to RB Jonathan Stewart, Car Selected by Henry
take more targets. Carlson will have a tough ADP - 5.01 / RB24 / #49 Overall
time getting that many catches and scores Selected by Brown QB Kyle Orton, Den
in his second year with so many other pass ADP - 10.11 / QB19 / #119 Overall
catchers available. WR Braylon Edwards, Cle Selected by Wood
ADP - 5.04 / WR19 / #52 Overall
TE Dustin Keller, NYJ Selected by Wimer WR Percy Harvin, Min
ADP - 10.12 / WR43 / #120 Overall
ADP - 10.05 / TE10 / #113 Overall WR Antonio Bryant, TB Selected by Dodds
Selected by Rudnicki and Wimer ADP - 5.05 / WR20 / #53 Overall
Rudnicki - Keller had an impressive Selected by Pasquino WR Jeremy Maclin, Phi
rookie season and finished as a pretty decent ADP - 11.11 / WR46 / #131 Overall
starter in most leagues. While it would be TE Tony Gonzalez, Atl Selected by Yudkin
reasonable to expect improvement from him ADP - 5.07 / TE3 / #55 Overall
in his second year, the Jets passing game Selected by Grant WR Patrick Crayton, Dal
is a potential disaster. Brett Favre is gone ADP - 12.02 / WR48 / #134 Overall
so the team will be forced to rely on Kellen TE Dallas Clark, Ind Selected by Dodds
Clemens or the rookie Mark Sanchez at QB. ADP - 5.08 / TE4 / #56 Overall
Laveranues Coles has also moved on to the Selected by Pasquino TE Heath Miller, Pit
Bengals, which means Keller should see a lot ADP - 12.05 / TE14 / #137 Overall
more defensive attention. The Jets are going WR Chad Ochocinco, Cin Selected by Gray
to rely heavily on their running game and ADP - 6.05 / WR23 / #65 Overall
defense this year, resulting in fewer quality Selected by Wimer TE Jeremy Shockey, NO
targets for Keller. ADP - 12.06 / TE15 / #138 Overall
Selected by Tefertiller
DRAFTED RUNNING BACKS Dynasty Outlook: Top 10-25 WR with bust risk
Pos Pick Player Ht Wt College Team NFL Comparison: Bigger and faster Chris Chambers
RB 1.12 Moreno, Knowshon 5’11 217 Georgia Broncos
RB 1.27 Brown, Donald 5’10 210 Connecticut Colts 4. Jeremy Maclin - Philadelphia Eagles - 6’0, 198
RB 1.31 Wells, Chris 6’1 235 Ohio State Cardinals Scouting Report: Maclin will bring world-class speed and
RB 2.21 McCoy, LeSean 5’10 198 Pittsburgh Eagles decent size to an offense already stocked with burners at wide
RB 3.01 Greene, Shonn 5’11 227 Iowa Jets
receiver. He’ll be one of the most dangerous return threats in
RB 3.10 Coffee, Glen 6’0 209 Alabama 49ers
RB 4.11 Goodson, Mike 6’0 208 Texas A&M Panthers the league. He’ll need to learn the route tree because he played
FB 4.28 Fiammetta, Tony 6’0 245 Syracuse Panthers in a spread offense at Mizzou.
RB 4.29 Brown, Andre 6’0 224 N. C. St. Giants 2009 Outlook: In on passing downs and returns; pushing
RB 4.34 Johnson, Gartrell 5’10 219 Colorado State Chargers Kevin Curtis soon
FB 5.09 Johnson, Quinn 6’1 246 LSU Packers Dynasty Outlook: Top 15-40 WR
RB 5.33 Summers, Frank 5’9 241 UNLV Steelers
NFL Comparison: Bigger Ted Ginn
RB 5.37 Ringer, Javon 5’9 205 Michigan State Titans
RB 6.12 Peerman, Cedric 5’10 216 Virginia Ravens
RB 6.19 Brown, Aaron 6’1 196 TCU Lions 5. Percy Harvin - Minnesota Vikings - 5’11, 192
RB 6.22 Davis, James 5’11 218 Clemson Browns
Scouting Report: Few college players were more dangerous
RB 6.36 Scott, Bernard 5’10 200 Abilene Christian Bengals
RB 7.02 Ogbonnaya, Chris 6’0 220 Texas Rams
with the ball in their hands than Harvin, but even fewer had his
RB 7.03 Williams, Javarris 5’10 223 Tennessee St. Chiefs terrible off the field reputation. Harvin is a work in progress
RB 7.06 Vakapuna, Fui 5’11 244 BYU Bengals as a wide receiver, but he runs like Chris Johnson in the open
RB 7.31 Stephens-Howling, LaRod 5’7 180 Pittsburgh Cardinals field.
RB 7.41 Jennings, Rashad 6’1 231 Liberty Jaguars 2009 Outlook: Wildcat QB and novelty player with some
work in 3- and 4-WR sets
Dynasty Outlook: Top 15-40 WR with bust risk
WIDE RECEIVERS NFL Comparison: Laveranues Coles
by Sigmund Bloom
1. Michael Crabtree - San Francisco 49ers - 6’2, 215 6. Brian Robiskie - Cleveland Browns - 6’3, 209
Scouting Report: Unlike most WRs that go in the Top 10 of Scouting Report: Robiskie plays exactly the way you’d
the draft, Crabtree isn’t a burner nor does he tower over most expect a WR coach’s son would. He runs crisp routes, catches
NFL corners. What he does do is attack the ball in the air like a everything thrown his way, and uses his big frame naturally to
DB and run angry after the catch like an RB. His ball skills and block out. He won’t win footraces or break ankles in the open
hands are so good that it seems like he was born to play WR. field, but Robiskie should be a terrific #2 possession receiver.
He’ll have to get over a broken foot and character concerns to 2009 Outlook: Competing with a host of players to start
fulfill his potential. opposite Braylon Edwards
2009 Outlook: Competing with Josh Morgan and Brandon Dynasty Outlook: Top 20-50 WR
Jones to start NFL Comparison: Muhsin Muhammad with less strength
Dynasty Outlook: Top 5-15 WR
NFL Comparison: Shorter Brandon Marshall
7. Kenny Britt - Tennessee Titans - 6’3, 218
Scouting Report: Britt is big, fast, strong, and a whale of a
2. Hakeem Nicks - New York Giants - 6’1, 212 blocker for a wide receiver. He doesn’t routinely hands-catch
Scouting Report: The Giants have found their future #1 WR and lets the ball get to his body too often, but he still is the best
in Hakeem Nicks. He has extraordinarily soft hands that allow talent the Titans have had at wide receiver since Derrick Mason
him to make circus catches, and he’s surprisingly elusive and left town.
strong running after the catch. Nicks plays with a “my ball” 2009 Outlook: Competing to start and push Nate Washington
mentality that should help him overcome a lack of great speed to the slot
or size. Dynasty Outlook: Top 25-50 WR
2009 Outlook: Competing with Domenik Hixon to start NFL Comparison: Bigger and stronger Derek Hagan before
Dynasty Outlook: Top 10-25 WR his hands turned into skillets
NFL Comparison: Thinner Dwayne Bowe
8. Jarett Dillard - Jacksonville Jaguars - 5’10, 191
3. Darrius Heyward-Bey - Oakland Raiders - 6’2, 210 Scouting Report: Dillard fell to the fifth round because he
Scouting Report: Everyone laughed at Al Davis when he doesn’t run in the 4.4s, and he’s less than six feet tall. He’ll be
selected Heyward-Bey #7, but the Raiders could have the last one of the steals of the draft because his precise routes will cre-
laugh. His 4.3 speed is legit, and his ability to track and adjust ate separation and his pillow soft hands and 40+ inch vertical
to the deep ball will make him lethal when JaMarcus Russell will allow him to make plays that most WRs can’t.
lets one fly. He has inconsistent hands and his game needs some 2009 Outlook: Competing for WR2 with Mike Walker and
polish, but Heyward-Bey will be one of the best deep threats in Mike Thomas
the league. Dynasty Outlook: Top 25-75 WR
2009 Outlook: In on passing downs; pushing Javon Walker/ NFL Comparison: Slower Greg Jennings
Johnnie Lee Higgins soon
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92 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
DRAFTED WIDE RECEIVERS as a receiver. He’s not a supreme athlete, but he was still under-
Pos Pick Player Ht Wt College Team used in the passing game at Oklahoma State.
WR 1.07 Heyward-Bey, Darrius 6’2 210 Maryland Raiders 2009 Outlook: Should start from day one
WR 1.10 Crabtree, Michael 6’2 215 Texas Tech 49ers Dynasty Outlook: Top 10-20 TE
WR 1.19 Maclin, Jeremy 6’0 198 Missouri Eagles NFL Comparison: Daniel Graham with more reliable mitts
WR 1.22 Harvin, Percy 5’11 192 Florida Vikings
WR 1.29 Nicks, Hakeem 6’1 212 North Carolina Giants
WR 1.30 Britt, Kenny 6’3 218 Rutgers Titans 4. Shawn Nelson - Buffalo Bills - 6’5, 240
WR 2.04 Robiskie, Brian 6’3 209 Ohio State Browns Scouting Report: Nelson spent a lot of time split out wide at
WR 2.18 Massaquoi, Mohamed 6’2 210 Georgia Browns Southern Miss, so his prowess as a blocker was a pleasant sur-
WR 3.18 Williams, Derrick 6’0 194 Penn State Lions prise at the Senior Bowl. He’s a fluid athlete with a long frame,
WR 3.19 Tate, Brandon 6’0 183 North Carolina Patriots
and he’s terrific at catching the ball outside of his frame.
WR 3.20 Wallace, Mike 6’0 199 Mississippi Steelers
WR 3.21 Barden, Ramses 6’6 229 Cal Poly Giants
2009 Outlook: Will compete to start on opening weekend
WR 3.23 Turner, Patrick 6’5 223 Southern Cal Dolphins Dynasty Outlook: Top 10-20 TE
WR 3.27 Butler, Deon 5’10 182 Penn State Seahawks NFL Comparison: Shorter Marcedes Lewis
WR 3.35 Iglesias, Juaquin 6’1 210 Oklahoma Bears
WR 4.07 Thomas, Mike 5’8 195 Arizona Jaguars
WR 4.08 Hartline, Brian 6’2 195 Ohio State Dolphins 5. Chase Coffman - Cincinnati Bengals - 6’6, 250
WR 4.24 Murphy, Louis 6’2 203 Florida Raiders Scouting Report: He won’t be useful as an inline TE, or
WR 4.27 Collie, Austin 6’1 200 BYU Colts even an H-back, but Coffman’s hands, ball skills, and toughness
WR 5.04 Knox, Johnny 6’0 185 Abilene Christian Bears catching balls over the middle are tops in this unique class. He
WR 5.05 McKinley, Kenny 6’0 189 South Carolina Broncos is coming off a broken foot and will need to overcome a lack of
WR 5.08 Dillard, Jarett 5’10 191 Rice Jaguars
burst off the line and speed in his routes.
WR 5.24 Foster, Brooks 6’1 211 North Carolina Rams
WR 6.02 Lawrence, Quinten 6’0 184 McNeese State Chiefs
2009 Outlook: Pushing Ben Utecht for snaps on passing
WR 6.21 Gibson, Brandon 6’1 206 Washington St. Eagles downs
WR 6.33 Edison, Dominique 6’2 204 Stephen F Austin Titans Dynasty Outlook: Top 10-20 TE with bust risk
WR 7.15 Byrd, Demetrius 6’0 199 LSU Chargers NFL Comparison: Less athletic Todd Heap
WR 7.20 Johnson, Manuel 5’11 189 Oklahoma Cowboys
WR 7.24 Stroughter, Sammie 5’9 189 Oregon State Buccaneers
WR 7.28 O’Connell, Jake 6’3 250 Miami (OHIO) Chiefs 6. Cornelius Ingram - Philadelphia Eagles - 6’4, 245
WR 7.34 Mitchell, Marko 6’4 218 Nevada Redskins Scouting Report: Like most Florida players, Ingram is a ter-
WR 7.42 Kinder, Derek 6’0 202 Pittsburgh Bears rific athlete and playmaker, but what he did in Gainesville is
WR 7.43 Brown, Freddie 6’3 215 Utah Bengals nothing like what he’ll be asked to do in the NFL. He’s coming
WR 7.44 Underwood, Tiquan 6’1 184 Rutgers Jaguars
off an ACL tear, but he should be a good fit in the Philly pass-
ing offense once he’s healthy.
2009 Outlook: Pushing Brent Celek for snaps on passing
TIGHT ENDS downs
by Sigmund Bloom Dynasty Outlook: Top 10-20 TE with bust risk
NFL Comparison: Randy McMichael
1. Travis Beckum - New York Giants - 6’3, 239
Scouting Report: The Giants got themselves a supersized
slot receiver at the end of the third round. Beckum has eerie
accurate ball tracking and runs strong after the catch. He’s com-
ing off a broken leg, and he’ll need to be more consistent in his
routes and off the field work ethic to hit it big in the Big Apple. DRAFTED TIGHT ENDS
2009 Outlook: Worked into passing sets as the year goes on Pos Pick Player Ht Wt College Team
Dynasty Outlook: Top 5-15 TE TE 1.20 Pettigrew, Brandon 6’5 263 Oklahoma State Lions
NFL Comparison: Dustin Keller TE 2.32 Quinn, Richard 6’4 264 North Carolina Broncos
TE 3.25 Cook, Jared 6’5 246 South Carolina Titans
TE 3.34 Coffman, Chase 6’6 244 Missouri Bengals
2. Jared Cook - Tennessee Titans - 6’5, 246 TE 3.36 Beckum, Travis 6’3 243 Wisconsin Giants
Scouting Report: The most athletically gifted of this strong TE 4.21 Nelson, Shawn 6’5 240 Southern Miss Bills
class of receiving TEs, Cook runs, leaps, and adjusts to the ball TE 4.22 Hill, Anthony 6’5 262 N. C. St. Texans
TE 5.13 Drew, Davon 6’4 256 East Carolina Ravens
in the air like a wide receiver. Questions about his coachabil-
TE 5.16 Casey, James 6’3 246 Rice Texans
ity and one-dimensional game caused him to fall to the third TE 5.17 Ingram, Cornelius 6’4 245 Florida Eagles
rounds. TE 5.25 Nalbone, John 6’4 251 Monmouth (NJ) Dolphins
2009 Outlook: Mixed in on passing downs TE 6.07 Miller, Zach 6’4 233 Nebraska-Omaha Jaguars
Dynasty Outlook: Top 5-15 TE with bust risk TE 6.11 Pascoe, Bear 6’5 251 Fresno State 49ers
NFL Comparison: Slightly less freakish Vernon Davis TE 6.29 Myers, Brandon 6’4 250 Iowa Raiders
TE 6.35 Phillips, John 6’5 251 Virginia Cowboys
TE 7.12 Williams, Eddie 6’1 239 Idaho Redskins
3. Brandon Pettigrew - Detroit Lions - 6’6, 263 TE 7.32 Johnson, David 6’2 260 Arkansas State Steelers
Scouting Report: Pettigrew is like a third offensive tackle as TE 7.39 Morrah, Cameron 6’3 244 California Seahawks
a run and pass blocker, and he has a big frame and great hands TE 7.46 Gronkowski, Dan 6’6 255 Maryland Lions
LINEBACKERS Drafted In First Four Rounds 5. Malcolm Jenkins - New Orleans Saints - 6’0, 204
Pos Pick Player Ht Wt College Team Scouting Report: Jenkins has the size, physicality, and men-
OLB 1.04 Curry, Aaron 6’2 254 Wake Forest Seahawks
tality to be a shutdown corner, the only thing missing is elite
OLB 1.15 Cushing, Brian 6’3 243 Southern Cal Texans
OLB 1.18 Ayers, Robert 6’3 272 Tennessee Broncos
speed. He played some free safety at Ohio State, so there is a
OLB 1.26 Matthews, Clay 6’3 240 Southern Cal Packers plan B, but the Saints plan on keeping him at corner.
ILB 2.03 Laurinaitis, James 6’2 244 Ohio State Rams 2009 Outlook: Competing with Randall Gay and Tracy Porter to start
ILB 2.06 Maualuga, Rey 6’2 249 Southern Cal Bengals Dynasty Outlook: Top 15-50 DB
OLB 2.13 Sintim, Clint 6’3 256 Virginia Giants NFL Comparison: Antrel Rolle
OLB 3.05 Williams, Jason 6’1 241 Western Illinois Cowboys
OLB 3.12 Levy, DeAndre 6’2 236 Wisconsin Lions DEFENSIVE BACKS Drafted In First Four Rounds
OLB 3.33 McKenzie, Tyrone 6’2 243 South Florida Patriots Pos Pick Player Ht Wt College Team
ILB 4.04 Maiava, Kaluka 5’11 229 Southern Cal Browns CB 1.14 Jenkins, Malcolm 6’0 204 Ohio State Saints
ILB 4.18 Arnoux, Stanley 6’0 232 Wake Forest Saints CB 1.25 Davis, Vontae 5’11 203 Illinois Dolphins
LB 4.30 McRath, Gerald 6’2 231 Southern Miss Titans CB 2.01 Delmas, Louis 6’0 202 W. Michigan Lions
SS 2.02 Chung, Patrick 5’11 212 Oregon Patriots
DEFENSIVE BACKS CB
CB
2.05
2.09
Smith, Alphonso
Butler, Darius
5’9
5’11
193
183
Wake Forest
Connecticut
Broncos
Patriots
by Sigmund Bloom
CB 2.10 Byrd, Jairus 5’10 207 Oregon Bills
SS 2.15 Mitchell, Mike 6’0 220 Ohio Raiders
1. William Moore - Atlanta Falcons - 6’0, 221 CB 2.16 McBath, Darcel 6’0 198 Texas Tech Broncos
S 2.23 Moore, William 6’0 221 Missouri Falcons
Scouting Report: Moore played like a franchise safety in
S 2.27 Martin, Sherrod 6’1 198 Troy Panthers
2007, and then he got posterized by deep throws way too often CB 2.29 Smith, Sean 6’4 214 Utah Dolphins
in 2008. He’s an instinctive player who blows up receivers who CB 3.02 Fletcher, Bradley 6’0 196 Iowa Rams
come into his zone with a ballhawk mentality, but sometimes he CB 3.09 Cox, Derek 6’1 189 William & Mary Jaguars
looks like a linebacker miscast in the secondary. CB 3.16 Barnes, Kevin 6’0 187 Maryland Redskins
2009 Outlook: Starting SS CB 3.22 Allen, Asher 5’10 194 Georgia Vikings
Dynasty Outlook: Top 5-20 DB with bust risk CB 3.24 Webb, Lardarius 5’10 179 Nicholls State Ravens
CB 3.26 Owens, Christopher 5’10 181 San Jose State Falcons
NFL Comparison: Roy Williams, both the good and the bad
CB 3.28 Powers, Jerraud 5’9 188 Auburn Colts
CB 3.30 Mouton, Ryan 5’9 187 Hawaii Titans
2. Patrick Chung - New England Patriots - 5’11, 212 S 3.31 Johnson, Rashad 5’11 203 Alabama Cardinals
CB 3.32 Lewis, Keenan 6’0 208 Oregon State Steelers
Scouting Report: Chung is a classic intimidator who punishes
CB 4.02 Washington, Donald 6’0 197 Ohio State Chiefs
wide receivers and running backs alike. He’s at his best playing CB 4.12 Quin, Glover 5’11 204 New Mexico Texans
downhill versus the pass and lining up in the box against the run. FS 4.14 Bruton, David 6’2 219 Notre Dame Broncos
He can be exposed if he’s left on an island in deep coverage. S 4.16 Vaughn, Chip 6’1 221 Wake Forest Saints
2009 Outlook: Competing with James Sanders and Brandon CB 4.19 Moore, D.J. 5’9 192 Vanderbilt Bears
McGowan to start CB 4.31 Toler, Greg 5’11 191 St Pauls Cardinals
L
ast year, Drew Brees became only the second QB in of T.J. Houshmandzadeh. Tony Romo has to prove he can
NFL history to throw for more than 5,000 yards en deliver without Terrell Owens. Jay Cutler has to prove that he
route to the top fantasy ranking. Few were surprised can excel in a new city with a more conservative offensive
to hear that Brees was one of three QBs to throw for at least approach.
4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns last season, but they may be The next group of QBs is really a case of the eye of the
surprised to know the other two were Philip Rivers and Kurt beholder. Some will target Matt Ryan because of his youth and
Warner. This year, Brees, Rivers and Warner are part of a breakout potential. Others may view the steady veteran hand
seven-QB tier atop the QB rankings. Peyton Manning is in of Eli Manning or Big Ben Roethlisberger as the smart play.
his usual spot as a Top 3 option, and Tom Brady will join him You don’t want to reach for the QBs beyond the Top 7, focus
as long as his knee is 100 percent. Aaron Rodgers, last year’s on building your WR and RB depth and then target one or two
breakout star, and veteran Donovan McNabb, who has his mid-level QBs in the seventh to 10th rounds.
deepest arsenal ever, round out the top slots. Cutler isn’t the only projected starter to change teams this
The next tier of QBs could put up numbers rivaling the offseason. The Chiefs acquired Matt Cassel from the Patriots,
the Broncos will start either Kyle Orton or Chris Simms,
Byron Leftwich will compete for PT in Tampa Bay, and Brett
QUARTERBACKS
1. Drew Brees - NO
6-1, 220, age: 30
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
2009 PROJ 595 380 4373 31 18 11 0 326 1
2008 NO 635 413 5069 34 17 -1 0 372 1
2007 NO 655 443 4428 28 18 52 1 328 4
2006 NO 554 356 4418 26 11 32 0 317 2
The Good - Drew Brees is coming off one of the finest
fantasy seasons ever for a quarterback. More than 5,000 yards
and 30 TDs put Brees in statistical territory only occupied
previously by Dan Marino. He achieved these figures despite
missing his top WR, top RB, and top TE for significant peri-
ods of time throughout the season. With the supporting cast in
New Orleans largely intact and all key players at 100 percent,
there is no logical reason why Brees cannot continue his fanta-
sy success again this season. Having just turned 30, he should
be at the top of his game, and the attack minded Saints offense
is unlikely to change a successful formula.
The Bad - It is often difficult to replicate or even get close
to a year of fantasy excellence. Some of the more recent great
ICON SMI
QUARTERBACKS
The Good - “It was the best of times” - in 2007. We’ve of his first 11 seasons - and he’s hit the 4,000 yard mark in
already seen Tom Brady set the single-season TD passing nine of those seasons. He’s finished as a Top 10 fantasy QB in
record with 50 TDs to go along with 4,800 passing yards. all 11 seasons, and has finished outside the Top 5 only twice:
That translated into an NFL-record 589 points scored for New his rookie year, and last year when a knee injury slowed him
England and an undefeated regular season. The key cogs in the initially. In other words, Manning’s realistic “worst case” sce-
offense are still in place, and New England has added some nario is better than most QBs’ realistic “best case” scenario.
proven veterans to the mix. If collectively the offense stays Expect a Top 5 season out of Manning even if it’s a down year
healthy, opposing defensive coordinators will again be losing for him.
sleep and loading up on Maalox. Pick your poison on who to The Bottom Line - Manning got off to a slow start last
cover - Moss, Welker, Galloway, one of the TEs, or stick guys season after undergoing knee surgery in July. He skipped the
in the box to thwart the run – there are just too many options preseason and wasn’t quite himself during the first few games.
to worry about. After averaging just 15.8 fantasy points per game during the
The Bad - “It was the worst of times” - in 2008. On the sec- first three games, he averaged a much more Manning-like
ond drive of the year, Brady went down for the season with a 20.9 fantasy points per game over the remaining 13 games.
knee injury. It doesn’t get any worse than that. Brady may for- Manning will be drafted as a Top 3 fantasy QB in most
ever hold a dubious record that may not ever be broken: big- leagues and is a decent bet to live up to his draft position.
gest drop-off in TD passes from one season to the next. Given
that Brady is coming back from a serious injury and hasn’t 4. Kurt Warner - ARI
played much since the Pats loss to the Giants in the Super 6-2, 220, age: 38
Bowl (he barely participated in camp last year), he could be year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
rusty and not completely healed. He may have to permanently 2009 PROJ 540 344 3888 28 16 4 0 291 7
wear a knee brace which could hamper his mobility, limit his 2008 ARI 599 402 4582 30 14 -2 0 335 4
scrambling, and reduce his rushing attempts. 2007 ARI 452 282 3409 27 17 15 1 269 10
The Bottom Line - It’s unlikely the Patriots offense will 2006 ARI 168 108 1377 6 5 3 0 88 37
take a nosedive with Brady coming back. Given the arsenal The Good - If Kurt Warner fully recovers from his hip inju-
Brady has to work with, he should be in for another Top 5 ry, receives adequate protection from his offensive line, and
fantasy season if healthy. He has already displayed what could receives sufficient run support to force eight men in the box
happen if all the planets align properly and could lap many on occasion, he is destined for another Top 5 fantasy season.
other QBs in fantasy scoring. However, the Pats have bulked The Bad - Though we rarely predict injury when making
up their running attack and may try to implement more of a projections, acknowledging an existing injury is reasonable.
ball-control offense in order to keep their defense off the field In a worst-case scenario, Warner would struggle in his recov-
more than in recent seasons. That could also lead to a lot of ery, and the Cardinals offensive line and running game would
dink and dunk passes - something Matt Cassel made a living struggle as they did for much of 2008. It is difficult to imagine
on last year and a scheme the Patriots have used at times with Warner, who is nearing the end of his career, overcoming those
Brady. obstacles to repeat as an elite fantasy QB. That said, even if all
goes wrong, he is unlikely to lose his starting spot. The team
invested too much money in him to bench him. He would still
Rodgers barring injuries. The only possible risk is if the the Chargers continue the transition from running team to
offensive line regresses and doesn’t allow him as much time passing team and Rivers gets over 500 attempts in 2009, he
to throw. If the rushing attack does better this season, he may could improve on his 2008 fantasy stats. Vincent Jackson has
throw 50 fewer passes for 400 fewer passing yards. That would established himself as a solid NFL WR1, and Antonio Gates
put him around 3,600 yards and 24 touchdowns as his worst- should be healthy (after struggling through toe and hip injuries
case scenario. in 2008.
The Bottom Line - Rodgers had a wonderful season last The Bad - Rivers had his best year as a pro in 2008, but it
year, and he has a great group of receivers. His numbers could have been an aberration rather than a sign of things to
may take a slight downtick if the rushing attack improves, as come. He lacks the arm strength of many of the other upper-
expected, this season, but he is still likely to throw for 3,800 tier QBs. While Vincent Jackson appears to be coming into
yards and 26+ touchdowns this season. He was the third-best his own, Chris Chambers disappeared over the second half of
fantasy quarterback in 2008 and should finish Top 5 once 2008 and the other WRs (Malcom Floyd and Buster Davis) are
again in 2009. unproven. Antonio Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson have been
nagged by injuries and may never be the players they were ear-
6. Donovan McNabb - PHI lier in their careers. If the offense around him regresses, Rivers
6-2, 226, age: 33 could regress to his 2007 season level.
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank The Bottom Line - Rivers is an underdog to repeat his Top
2009 PROJ 555 338 3774 25 15 176 2 303 5 5 performance of a year ago, but is a favorite to finish in the
2008 PHI 571 345 3916 23 11 147 2 304 7 Top 10. The Chargers still have a high-powered offense that
2007 PHI 473 291 3324 19 7 236 0 259 13 should score a lot of points, and QBs on high-scoring offenses
2006 PHI 316 180 2647 18 6 212 3 238 13 are nearly always good fantasy bets. In particular, the Chargers
The Good -McNabb is one of a handful of veteran QBs should continue to enjoy success in the red zone with their
capable of finishing atop the fantasy rankings under ideal bevy of large receivers (Gates, Jackson, and Floyd are like a
circumstances. He’s coming off his best fantasy season since basketball team’s front court), so Rivers should comfortably
2004, throwing for almost 4,000 yards to go along with 23 toss 25+ TDs again. Expect a fantasy finish somewhere in the
TDs and just 11 interceptions. With a strong arm, a rebuilt 4-9 range.
offensive line and complete mastery of the playbook, McNabb
is positioned for a big year. DeSean Jackson should emerge 8. Tony Romo - DAL
as a 1,000-yard threat in his second season. If rookie Jeremy 6-2, 219, age: 29
Maclin can provide an explosive after-the-catch option, year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
McNabb could deliver Top 5 numbers including 4,000 yards 2009 PROJ 525 333 3712 23 18 96 1 275 8
passing and 25+ touchdowns. 2008 DAL 450 276 3448 26 14 41 0 266 10
The Bad - If either Stacy Andrews or Jason Peters struggle 2007 DAL 520 335 4211 36 19 129 2 360 2
as the Eagles’ new tackles, McNabb could suffer undue pres- 2006 DAL 337 220 2903 19 13 102 0 218 19
sure - something that affected his play in 2007. If Brian The Good -To hear some people tell it, Tony Romo flopped
Westbrook suffers further decline, the entire cohesion of the in 2008. Yet, in 13 games he threw for 3,448 yards and 26
Eagles offense could grind to a halt, particularly given the lack touchdowns. He was a Top 10 fantasy passer in spite of miss-
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98 FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
QB Jay Cutler
Chicago Bears
ICON SMI
by Jason Wood – Senior Writer, Footballguys.com
J
ay Cutler grew up a Chicago Bears best Chicago QB in genera-
fan, but he never had reason to tions doesn’t mean he’s a great
think his NFL fortunes would ever bet to lead your fantasy team
coincide with his childhood fandom. to a championship. In fact,
After all, teams simply don’t let fran- there are a lot of reasons to
chise passers go. It’s so rare to find a think that Jay Cutler will be
true franchise cornerstone that no organi- more valuable to the Bears
zation would be foolish enough to let one than he will be to fantasy
go in his prime. Cutler will be a Denver owners.
Bronco for life. Right? The Offensive Line – The
Yikes, if you’re a Broncos fan read- Bears offensive line only
ing this let me apologize for the flippant allowed 29 sacks last year
recap but let’s be honest, this offseason (13th best) and signed Orlando
was shocking. Regardless of where you Pace to improve the left tackle
place the blame, the simple truth is Josh position this offseason, but
McDaniels and Jay Cutler couldn’t co- that can’t compare to the
exist. The Bears traded two 1sts, a 3rd, a Broncos OL, which allowed a
5th and Kyle Orton for the 26-year old league-low 12 sacks. accomplished. Turner is infamous for
star. In Chicago expectations are sky Receiving Corps – It’s fair to say being an ultra-conservative play-caller
high. For years, Bears fans have thought the Bears receivers will look better which doesn’t play into Jay Cutler’s
they were only a QB away from Super with Jay Cutler throwing to them, and strengths.
Bowl contention. Earl Bennett and the pair of rookies are
Jay Cutler is the best quarterback particularly attractive sleepers. But it’s Final Thoughts
in modern Bears history. Sid Luckman equally fair to say that Brandon Marshall Jay Cutler is one of the best young
is a Hall of Famer, and I’m not going to is demonstrably better than any Bears quarterbacks in the league. The fact the
try to compare his achievements in the receiver and Eddie Royal may be, too. Bears were able to acquire him, in his
1940s to offensive numbers of today’s Run/Pass Balance – The Broncos prime, was a coup and sets the Bears up
game. But Luckman’s career ended in threw 620 passes last year while the as a title contender for years to come. But
1950, which means Jay Cutler is the best Bears have averaged 500 pass attempts is what’s good for Bears fans necessarily
QB the Windy City has seen in almost during Lovie Smith’s tenure. It’s easier what’s good for fantasy owners? Even
60 years. Don’t believe me? Take a look to think the Bears will throw more with though Cutler should win more games in
at the Bears Top 5 passers of the modern Cutler under center, but realistically he’ll Chicago than he did in Denver, it’s not
era: still throw fewer than 550 passes. clear he’s going to be a better fantasy
Offensive Coaching – Mike Shanahan player. The Bears run a more conserva-
1. Jim Harbaugh (’87-’93) – 89 games, 58.2% is a two-time Super Bowl champion and
completion, 11,567 yards, 50 TDs, 56 INTs
tive offense, maintain a more balanced
offensive guru, while Bears OC Ron run/pass ratio, have a less imposing
2. Jim McMahon (’82-’88) – 66 games, 57.8%
Turner is, shall we say, decidedly less offensive line, and don’t have proven
completion, 11,203 yards, 67 TDs, 56 INTs
3. Erik Kramer (’94-’98) – 49 games, 58.6% WRs on the roster. Cutler should ele-
completion, 10,582 yards, 63 TDs, 45 INTs Positives vate the Bears offense to new levels,
4. Billy Wade (’61-’66) – 59 games, 54.5% • Jay Cutler is a strong-armed, accurate passer but the aforementioned factors should
completion, 9,958 yards, 68 TDs, 66 INTs in his prime
crimp his upside. Cutler could be a
5. Ed Brown (’54-’61) – 98 games, 48.7% • The Bears have above average receiving options
completion, 9,698 yards, 63 TDs, 88 INTs at TE and RB
Top 5 fantasy passer on talent alone,
• The Bears offensive line is above average, with depth but more likely slots as a rock solid
Compare that to Jay Cutler’s career QB2 who should finish in the 10-12
numbers: Negatives range this year.
• Ron Turner is a conservative play-caller
• Jay Cutler (’06-’08) – 37 games, 62.5% • The Bears wide receivers aren’t as good as the If you’d like access to more than
Broncos
completion, 9,024 yards, 54 TDs, 37 INTs 120 other detailed Player Spotlights,
• Expect the Bears to have a more balanced
run/pass ratio be sure to visit Footballguys.com
But just because Jay Cutler is the and become a subscriber.
for Top 10 production. Don’t pay Top 5 prices for Romo, but if throw less (the Falcons’ rushing attack is pretty awesome). If
he falls into the QB10-12 range, he’s not only worth rostering, Roddy White were to miss some time due to injury, there isn’t
he offers tremendous upside. another top-tier receiver on the squad that could fill in.
The Bottom Line - Ryan exploded onto the scene last year,
9. Jay Cutler - CHI leading the Falcons to the playoffs. He had one of the most
6-4, 225, age: 26 impressive rookie seasons in history, completing 61 percent
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank of his passes for 3,440 yards and 16 TDs. The team has added
2009 PROJ 530 321 3498 23 16 162 1 273 9 Gonzalez at the TE position, boasts Roddy White and Michael
2008 DEN 616 384 4526 25 18 200 2 340 3 Jenkins at WR, and has a good pass-catching back in Jerious
2007 DEN 467 297 3497 20 14 205 1 267 11 Norwood. Ryan has a wide array of targets that should allow
2006 DEN 137 81 1001 9 5 18 0 83 40 him to far exceed last year’s 16th-place fantasy ranking.
See Cutler’s full-page Spotlight on Page 99.
12. Matt Schaub - HOU
10. Carson Palmer - CIN 6-5, 237, age: 28
6-5, 230, age: 30 year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank 2009 PROJ 485 311 3676 20 18 92 1 261 12
2009 PROJ 505 313 3560 22 15 20 0 253 14 2008 HOU 380 251 3043 15 10 68 2 221 21
2008 CIN 129 75 731 3 4 38 0 48 41 2007 HOU 289 192 2241 9 9 52 0 144 22
2007 CIN 575 373 4131 26 20 10 0 292 9 2006 ATL 27 18 208 1 2 21 0 14 55
2006 CIN 520 324 4035 28 13 37 0 304 5 The Good - When healthy, Matt Schaub, RB Steve Slaton,
The Good - Palmer returns with a vengeance this season. and WR Andre Johnson form one of the most dangerous trios
All reports from the summer are true and he’s healthier than in the league. Schaub threw for over 3,000 yards last season
ever. Although T.J. Houshmandzadeh is no longer with the in just 10.5 games. He was the No. 5 fantasy QB in terms
team, the Bengals added veteran Laveranues Coles during the of points per game. With another year of starting experience
offseason to make up for the receiving gap. Coles is a solid under his belt, Schaub could reasonably be a Top 5 fantasy QB
veteran who knows how to break apart opposing defenses. this season if he plays 16 games.
This frees up Chad Ochocinco to do what he does best: make The Bad - Schaub is not the safest pick. He missed five
big plays. With the addition of a big OT in No. 6 overall games with a shoulder injury and concussion in 2007 and
rookie pick Andre Smith, Palmer gets some much needed pro- another five with an intestinal illness and a knee injury in
tection. 2008. Moreover, his production depends not only on his own
The Bad - If Palmer is healthy, he’ll be on the field. If he’s health but also on that of Andre Johnson and Steve Slaton. The
on the field, he’ll be throwing. Yet setting the league on fire Texans lack depth at the offensive skill positions, so an injury
with attempts and incompletions isn’t going to win you any to any of its primary weapons will set the whole offense back
fantasy games. In a ‘how bad could it get?’ scenario, Palmer quite a bit.
could try his best, but fail to make a bad team good by him- The Bottom Line - If Schaub stays healthy, he’ll be a
self. The Bengals running game flames out and defenses stack fantasy starter. Andre Johnson has developed into a topnotch
five and six DBs against Palmer. He finishes the season as a offensive weapon, and Schaub can make all the throws asked
QUARTERBACKS
The Bad - Pittsburgh is not known for an awesome air 2006 NYG 522 301 3244 24 18 21 0 242 11
attack. With their stifling defense they only need their offense The Good - Eli Manning had almost no chance of matching
to move the ball and eat up the clock. Big Ben has only had his 2007 achievements last year. After all, how do you follow
more than 18 TD passes once (32 in 2007) and usually throws up a Super Bowl win and marrying your long-time sweet-
17 TDs on the season. The Steelers will once again be mak- heart? But last year was hardly a disappointment. Manning
ing a championship run, and with that tremendous defense it led his team to a personal-best 12 wins, completed 60 percent
should be more of the same for the passing attack in 2009. of his passes for the first time, and threw at least 21 TDs
The Bottom Line - The Steelers want to win games with for the fourth consecutive season. Perhaps most impressive,
a tough defense and a clock-chewing ground game which Manning cut his interception total in half, throwing just 10
leaves little room for Roethlisberger to put up big numbers picks. Manning’s best case is a Top 5 fantasy finish, some-
unless the team gets in a shootout. Big Ben needs a better thing he accomplished in 2005. In order for that to happen,
offensive line because he took a beating week in and week the group of young receivers led by Domenik Hixon, Steve
out in 2008. Sure, he can make big plays when the called play Smith, Hakeem Nicks and Ramses Barden will need to replace
breaks down, but too often he was running for his life behind Plaxico Burress’ incomparable productivity.
a porous line. Throwing for 20 TDs would be an improvement The Bad - Another season, another December swoon.
for Roethlisberger, and on this Steelers team that could be his Manning may have had legitimate reasons to struggle in
ceiling. December, but that’s little solace for fantasy owners who had
to start him in their league’s playoffs. Without Plaxico Burress
14. David Garrard - JAX to win jump balls, it’s hard to believe Manning won’t regress a
6-1, 237, age: 31 bit in 2009 and that means sub-60 percent passing and 15-20
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank interceptions. That also means Manning is, once again, a qual-
2009 PROJ 500 312 3375 19 14 264 2 269 10 ity fantasy backup but not a worthwhile fantasy starter.
2008 JAX 535 335 3620 15 13 322 2 272 9 The Bottom Line - Manning has the experience and track
2007 JAX 325 208 2509 18 3 182 1 219 16 record to comfortably expect Top 12 to 15 numbers at the
2006 JAX 241 145 1735 10 9 250 0 143 28 worst. The question fantasy owners must ask themselves is
The Good - Since David Garrard took the reins in whether the youth movement at WR can overcome the loss
Jacksonville midway through the 2006 season, his top receiv- of Burress and whether any of that matters in December.
ers have been Matt Jones, Reggie Williams, Dennis Northcutt, Manning should be viewed as an excellent QB2 because he
and Ernest Wilford - not exactly an all-star cast. This season could put up QB1 numbers in any given week, but don’t reach
he’ll have seven-time Pro Bowler Torry Holt in the mix. Holt for him expecting QB1 production.
had a down year in 2008, but he still outperformed each of
Jacksonville’s WRs. If Holt can bounce back and give Garrard 16. Matt Hasselbeck - SEA
a legitimate playmaker to throw to on the outside (and if the 6-4, 220, age: 34
Jaguars’ offensive line can offer him some protection), Garrard year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
possibly could challenge for a spot among the Top 5 fantasy 2009 PROJ 510 298 3188 22 14 88 1 248 15
QBs. 2008 SEA 209 109 1216 5 10 69 0 78 36
The Bad - One might think that, barring injury, 2009 could 2007 SEA 562 352 3966 28 12 79 0 306 7
not be any worse for Garrard than was 2008. The Jaguars’ 2006 SEA 371 210 2442 18 15 110 0 190 22
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FOOTBALLGUYS.COM 101
3,300 yards and 22 touchdowns, and perhaps substantially bet- and suddenly finds himself surrounded by superior talent. The
ter than that. But his frequent assortment of injuries over the Broncos have a better offensive line, better wide receivers,
past eight season make him difficult to count on as a starter. and arguably a better ground game than the Bears which could
mean that Orton is primed for a banner year. Add in the fact
17. Matt Cassel - KC that he will now be coached by QB guru Josh McDaniels and
6-5, 230, age: 27 it only enhances his potential production. In 2008 Jay Cutler
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank had a phenomenal season in Denver, but Orton is no Cutler.
2009 PROJ 515 287 3116 20 15 198 1 247 16 While he may not throw for as many yards (Denver could fea-
2008 NE 516 327 3693 21 11 271 2 297 8 ture Knowshon Moreno more than expected) Orton could be a
2007 NE 7 4 38 0 1 12 1 8 70 more efficient QB - especially in the red zone.
2006 NE 8 5 32 0 0 4 0 2 64 The Bad - The Broncos brought in Chris Simms to compete
See Cassel’s full-page Face-off on Page 103. for the QB position and it could be a battle that goes back
and forth throughout the season. Simms has reportedly looked
18. Trent Edwards - BUF very good in mini camp and he has a much stronger arm than
6-4, 220, age: 26 Orton. Head Coach Josh McDaniels may vacillate back and
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank forth between the two until one emerges. Orton looked good
2009 PROJ 450 280 3128 20 15 106 1 238 17 in the first half of the 2008 season, but after an ankle injury
2008 BUF 374 245 2699 11 10 117 3 199 22 (that he, perhaps mistakenly, played through) he looked like
2007 BUF 269 151 1630 7 8 49 0 106 30 a below average QB. Orton should be better protected behind
The Good - Entering his third year in the NFL, Trent the Denver offensive line, but if the pressure gets to him he
Edwards has already started 23 games, but he is still a young usually falters.
QB who should continue to improve as he gains more experi- The Bottom Line - We expect Orton to win the starting job
ence. The Bills have not given him a lot to work with in the in Denver, although it could take him until the end of training
past as they had Lee Evans at WR and not a whole lot else. camp to do so. We’ve seen what Orton can do with average
This year, however, the Bills made one of the offseason’s big- weapons and average protection, so it’s not out of the question
gest headlines when they signed Terrell Owens to a one-year to expect his numbers to match - or perhaps improve upon -
contract. Adding one of the league’s elite receivers should have his 2008 performance.
a dramatic impact on the Bills offense. With two of the best
WRs in the league at his disposal along with a deep group 20. Jake Delhomme - CAR
of RBs to keep the chains moving, Edwards could be on the 6-2, 205, age: 34
verge of a breakout season. year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
The Bad - Although Edwards has shown some promise as a 2009 PROJ 436 250 3008 19 14 28 0 215 23
game manager and has a high completion percentage, he does 2008 CAR 414 246 3288 15 12 21 2 226 20
not take a lot of chances and frequently looks for a checkdown 2007 CAR 86 55 626 8 1 26 0 65 43
when a bigger play might be available. He’s also limited by 2006 CAR 431 263 2805 17 11 12 0 198 21
the conservative nature of the Bills coaching staff. Owens The Good - Jake Delhomme is certainly capable of a big
doesn’t have a great history of getting along with his QBs and season – he threw for 3,800+ yards and 29 TDs in 2004. In his
M M
att Cassel will be one of the more polarizing players in att Cassel has backed up some of the best QBs in
fantasy drafts this year. There will be many people in every the game today – Carson Palmer while at USC and
draft who do not want to touch him. This is to your advan- Tom Brady during his time in New England. Many
tage. The case against Cassel is relatively easy to make: wondered how he would perform if he was forced into the start-
1) Cassel is a system QB. ing lineup, and in 2008 we got to see that after Tom Brady went
2) He had Randy Moss & Wes Welker among others to account for down in Week 1. This offseason Cassel was given the franchise
his “successful” season. tag by the Patriots, traded to Kansas City for a second round
3) He moves from an 11-5 team to a 2-14 team. pick, and is now the main man for the Chiefs as they begin the
4) His new team lost their best receiver. rebuilding process.
5) Tyler Thigpen is ready to start at a moment’s notice. Last season Cassel finished as the No. 8 fantasy QB,
I’m sure that there are more issues that could be dredged and many people are expecting him to do the same
up, particularly from a statistical point of view, but his – or even more – this year. As Joe Bryant likes
passer rating was Top 10 in the league and all of this to say, things change fast around here so
was achieved by a player who hadn’t started since you have to stay on top of the happenings
high school. Despite a slow start last year, Cassel in the NFL. First off, Cassel likely had a
found his groove and ended the season as the career year in 2008, and as history tells
eighth ranked fantasy QB. He threw back-to- us repeatedly, very few players repeat
back 400-yard games and passed for at least or improve on their numbers after such
three touchdowns in five games. His touch- a performance. So why wouldn’t Matt
down to interception ratio was impressive and Cassel at least come close to those num-
his ability to run the ball added an additional bers again? Let’s look into this a little
two touchdowns and almost 300 yards. In short further.
Cassel did more than was expected of him. Last season Cassel struggled in the pre-
Let’s look at the move to Kansas City and season and some thought that he might lose
remove the fear factor. his roster spot to the Patriots 2008 third-round
Last year despite a conservative offense, and let’s verify pick Kevin O’Connell. The Patriots didn’t feel they
that by quoting former coach Herm Edwards “If we score 21 points, I’ll could trust a rookie behind Tom Brady and kept Cassel on the
say, ‘Whoa, we scored a lot of points.’ Twenty-one points – that’s a lot of roster which proved to be their saving grace when Bernard
points.” Kansas City still ranked in the Top 10 in pass attempts and pass- Pollard rolled up on Brady’s knee. He looked rough the first
ing TDs, higher than New England. The introduction of new head coach, several weeks of the season, but Josh McDaniels started to
former Arizona offensive coordinator Todd Haley, should give a boost to open things up and by the middle of the year he was running
the offense, particularly the passing game. The Cardinals ranked third in the offense effectively. However, even with elite talent sur-
points scored, with 136 more than Kansas City. rounding him, too often Cassel looked painfully average.
The departure of Tony Gonzalez to the Falcons will hurt, but they He likes to lock on to his receivers and tends to hold on to
have plenty of other options for Cassel. Dwayne Bowe is quickly mak- the ball too long which was evident because he was sacked
ing a name for himself as one of the best young receivers in the game, 47 times in 2008. Now he goes to a team in Kansas City that
and Mark Bradley came from the scrap heap to become an excellent doesn’t have the same type of weapons as New England, let
complement to Bowe. The Chiefs have good pass-catching backs in Larry alone the same type of offensive line. He goes from throwing
Johnson & Jamaal Charles, and they also have high hopes for the probable to Randy Moss and Wes Welker to throwing to Dwayne Bowe
replacement of Tony Gonzalez, last year’s third-round pick Brad Cottam. and Mark Bradley. That is a huge difference that will show up
A lot of people when rating Cassel don’t seem to account for possible in his final numbers. Todd Haley is his new head coach and he
improvement in a guy who hadn’t played competitively for seven years. did great things with the Arizona offense – but Cassel is not
Cassel’s first season as a starter is as good if not better than almost any Kurt Warner. What is the biggest difference between Cassel
other quarterback ever to play the game. His pass completion percentage and Warner (or Tom Brady)? It’s quickness when going through
was Top 10 all-time for a first season starting quarterback, with mainly reads and decisiveness when throwing the football. Being with
established greats such as Joe Montana, Brett Favre and Tom Brady a new team, with less dangerous weapons, and more pressure
ahead of him. Drafting Matt Cassel to be your starting QB would be on his shoulders = Matt Cassel struggling to match his numbers
ICON/SMI
risky, but as your backup or part of a committee he’ll be very useful. from 2008.
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FOOTBALLGUYS.COM 103
QUARTERBACKS
to the Martz playbook and it wasn’t until Mike Singletary unquestioned starter in Tennessee. He proved last year that he
took over the head coaching role that Hill was given an could run this offense effectively and may be asked to do more
extended run to close out 2008. As for Hill’s fantasy pros- in 2009. However, the Titans are a run-first team so Collins’
pects this year, with the arrival of Jimmy Raye expect the pri- production will be very limited by the system.
mary focus to be the running game. The drafting of Michael
Crabtree gives him a big play weapon, but is Crabtree going 29. Brady Quinn - CLE
6-4, 225, age: 25
to be a big contributor in his rookie season? There are a lot
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
of questions marks surrounding Hill, but the promise of his
2009 PROJ 295 157 1859 11 9 80 1 142 31
upside is tantalizing.
2008 CLE 89 45 518 2 2 21 0 34 42
2007 CLE 8 3 45 0 0 0 0 2 74
25. JaMarcus Russell - OAK The Bottom Line - Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson will
6-6, 255, age: 24
battle in training camp for the starting job. Even if Quinn
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
wins the job, he’ll spend part of the season looking over his
2009 PROJ 420 241 2667 14 10 94 1 195 26
2008 OAK 368 198 2423 13 8 127 1 184 24
shoulder. This offense may be one of the NFL’s worst and lacks
2007 OAK 66 36 373 2 4 4 0 23 60
playmakers.
The Bottom Line - This is the year that JaMarcus Russell
starts to earn that No. 1 overall draft pick. He started to “get 30. Mark Sanchez - NYJ
6-2, 227, age: 23
it” at the end of the 2008 season, and now with better WRs
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
he should have the best season of his career. Over 3,000 yards
2009 PROJ 438 267 2738 15 14 68 1 196 25
passing with around 15 passing TDs certainly isn’t out of the
The Bottom Line - Mark Sanchez will more than likely
question for the big signal caller.
win the job in training camp. And just as likely, he will proba-
bly fail to wow many people in Year 1. There are precious few
26. Marc Bulger - STL rookie quarterbacks who stepped into starting roles and pro-
6-3, 210, age: 32
year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
duced. Barring injury, Sanchez will likely start the majority of
2009 PROJ 445 246 2715 14 14 34 0 181 29 the season and if all goes according to plan he will start show-
2008 STL 440 251 2720 11 13 41 0 173 26 ing signs of progress towards the latter stages of December.
2007 STL 378 221 2392 11 15 13 0 150 21
2006 STL 588 370 4301 24 8 44 0 307 3 31. Byron Leftwich - TB
The Bottom Line - Based on Marc Bulger’s previous 6-5, 240, age: 29
accomplishments, he is worth considering as a low-end QB2 year team patt pcmp pyds ptds int ryds rtds FP FP Rank
in 12-team fantasy leagues. But with so many unproven play- 2009 PROJ 305 173 1983 9 8 51 0 132 32
2008 PIT 36 21 303 2 0 7 1 30 44
ers he’ll have to rely on, playing in a new system that may take
2007 ATL 58 32 279 1 2 7 0 17 64
a while to jell; he is no better than a late-round flyer.
2006 JAX 183 108 1159 7 5 41 2 97 34
The Bottom Line - Despite a very impressive performance
by rookie Josh Freeman in the preseason, the Bucs should<