Weekly Commodity Price Report Summary
Weekly Commodity Price Report Summary
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TD Economics
Weekly Commodity Price Report
May 19, 2009
HIGHLIGHTS
• Crude oil prices hovered around US$58 per barrel Shanghai Futures Exchange soared by 28% on the
last week. The extremely bullish U.S. inventory report week, while industrial production in China advanced
was offset by another round of downward demand at a slower-than-expected pace in April. Weak eco-
revisions from the EIA, OPEC and the IEA, with the nomic data out of the U.S. also weighed on prices.
latter forecasting the sharpest drop in consumption • An uptick in demand drove uranium prices up 11%
since 1981. last week, breaching the US$50 mark for the first time
• Extending the rally from the week prior, natural gas since January. Over the past year, uranium prices
prices shot up 11.8% last week. While the uptrend have experienced a similar jump in prices three times,
was largely due to spillover from other markets, before resuming a downward trend. Hence, it is too
the fundamentals in the natural gas market remain early to determine whether this 5-week uptrend will
extremely weak. Once again, the EIA downgraded be sustained.
their demand forecast, and U.S. inventories continue • Hog prices were up 9.3% on the week, driven largely
to build steadily. Furthermore, the massive reduction by gains seen early in the week as concerns re-
in global demand will force LNG imports to rise as garding the relationship between the H1N1 flu and
Storage capacity is limited elsewhere. pork consumption eased. Prices were relatively flat
• Copper prices slid 4.7% last week, on signs that the throughout the rest of the week, and are down 21.3%
Chinese market is well supplied. Inventories on the from year-ago levels.
380 600
Overall TDCI
330
500
280
400
230
300
180
TDCI Ex. Energy
130 200
80 100
May-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 May-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Apr-09
Last week plotted: May 15, 2008. Source: TD Economics. Last week plotted: May 15, 2008. Source: GlobalCoal, WSJ / Haver Analytics.
Last week plotted: May 15, 2008. Source: FT / Haver Analytics, Ux Weekly. Last week plotted: May 15, 2008. Source: WSJ / Haver Analytics.
240
105
220
100
200
95 180
160
90
140
85
120
80 100
May-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 May-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Apr-09
Last week plotted: May 15, 2008. Source: Random Lengths, Pulp & Paper Weekly. Last week plotted: May 15, 2008. Source: WCE, WSJ / Haver Analytics.
WEEKLY AVG
05-Dec-08 188.1 130.7 99.1 240.2 228.2 145.1 133.3 236.6 164.4 124.6 302.1 286.9 182.5 167.6 1.26
12-Dec-08 178.4 129.3 97.0 223.1 237.5 140.2 134.0 222.6 161.3 121.0 278.2 296.2 174.9 167.2 1.25
19-Dec-08 172.6 129.8 95.5 211.5 251.7 137.0 139.6 210.2 158.1 116.3 257.5 306.4 166.8 170.0 1.22
26-Dec-08 162.2 130.8 95.1 190.6 256.0 138.0 142.5 197.3 159.2 115.7 232.0 311.5 168.0 173.4 1.22
02-Jan-09 176.8 132.0 94.4 217.5 260.3 141.3 142.9 215.3 160.7 114.9 264.9 317.0 172.1 174.0 1.22
09-Jan-09 182.6 134.7 93.7 226.1 253.6 151.7 146.1 217.0 160.1 111.3 268.6 301.3 180.2 173.6 1.19
16-Jan-09 166.6 129.6 92.6 200.2 245.7 141.6 140.7 206.1 160.3 114.6 247.7 304.0 175.2 174.0 1.24
23-Jan-09 166.3 129.5 91.7 199.7 255.4 139.5 140.7 209.6 163.2 115.6 251.7 322.0 175.9 177.3 1.26
30-Jan-09 166.2 130.1 91.2 199.0 270.2 137.8 140.8 203.3 159.1 111.5 243.4 330.4 168.5 172.2 1.22
06-Feb-09 164.9 130.6 89.7 196.0 273.6 140.6 140.3 203.5 161.1 110.7 241.9 337.6 173.6 173.2 1.23
13-Feb-09 159.3 130.3 89.9 185.7 278.5 138.6 138.7 197.1 161.2 111.3 229.7 344.5 171.5 171.5 1.24
20-Feb-09 154.0 128.3 89.8 177.3 292.5 131.6 132.0 193.6 161.3 112.9 222.9 367.7 165.4 166.0 1.26
27-Feb-09 157.0 127.7 89.6 183.6 291.0 130.3 131.8 196.8 160.1 112.3 230.2 364.9 163.4 165.2 1.25
06-Mar-09 158.7 126.2 87.8 188.3 277.0 131.9 132.6 204.2 162.3 113.0 242.2 356.5 169.7 170.6 1.29
13-Mar-09 157.5 126.1 87.4 185.9 275.3 132.5 133.5 202.4 162.1 112.3 239.0 353.9 170.2 171.6 1.29
20-Mar-09 161.9 127.7 86.5 193.0 278.7 136.1 136.8 203.6 160.6 108.8 242.6 350.3 171.1 172.0 1.26
27-Mar-09 167.3 128.1 86.4 203.0 281.4 137.4 135.1 206.0 157.6 106.3 249.9 346.3 169.2 166.3 1.23
03-Apr-09 160.5 126.9 84.7 191.1 274.9 137.8 135.8 200.8 158.7 105.9 239.0 343.8 172.4 169.9 1.25
10-Apr-09 161.0 128.3 85.1 190.7 263.6 144.1 138.1 198.6 158.3 105.0 235.2 325.0 177.7 170.3 1.23
17-Apr-09 161.1 131.4 85.4 188.1 265.5 153.4 137.3 195.1 159.1 103.4 227.8 321.6 185.8 166.3 1.21
24-Apr-09 157.6 130.9 85.9 181.7 267.5 149.0 140.5 193.7 160.9 105.6 223.4 328.8 183.2 172.7 1.23
01-May-09 159.5 130.9 85.7 185.5 268.4 148.5 141.2 191.9 157.5 103.1 223.1 323.0 178.6 169.9 1.20
08-May-09 172.4 134.7 85.2 206.6 273.8 160.1 141.1 201.9 157.8 99.8 241.9 320.6 187.5 165.2 1.17
15-May-09 180.1 135.7 84.3 220.4 279.4 160.9 145.0 210.4 158.6 98.5 257.6 326.5 188.0 169.4 1.17
WEEKLY AVG
05-Dec-08 225.00 793.64 765.00 45.50 6.44 76.09 769.30 9.49
12-Dec-08 221.00 758.90 765.00 44.71 5.69 78.25 798.30 10.17
19-Dec-08 213.00 743.75 765.00 39.65 5.67 77.81 845.05 10.87
26-Dec-08 210.00 742.21 765.00 32.37 5.42 80.56 859.94 11.01
02-Jan-09 209.00 740.01 755.00 42.50 5.66 79.19 874.83 11.15
09-Jan-09 207.00 728.77 755.00 44.51 5.85 81.44 850.65 11.06
16-Jan-09 203.00 715.50 755.00 36.91 5.40 81.46 823.75 10.77
23-Jan-09 197.00 709.84 755.00 42.18 4.80 88.19 854.25 11.45
30-Jan-09 193.00 707.25 755.00 42.52 4.75 83.15 902.95 12.21
06-Feb-09 191.00 701.11 735.00 40.50 4.84 78.17 912.15 12.62
13-Feb-09 199.00 688.09 735.00 36.91 4.71 80.28 924.30 13.34
20-Feb-09 200.00 682.27 735.00 36.99 4.32 76.34 968.80 14.25
27-Feb-09 199.00 680.37 735.00 41.81 4.16 65.32 967.40 13.74
06-Mar-09 197.00 679.34 705.00 43.26 4.24 61.70 921.70 13.00
13-Mar-09 198.00 667.67 705.00 45.68 3.88 62.10 915.60 12.97
20-Mar-09 193.00 661.14 705.00 49.46 3.83 60.30 927.75 13.00
27-Mar-09 192.00 660.23 705.00 53.09 3.92 61.39 932.85 13.59
03-Apr-09 196.00 657.17 665.00 50.32 3.64 60.79 914.35 12.92
10-Apr-09 202.00 652.70 665.00 50.46 3.60 63.24 877.63 12.28
17-Apr-09 208.00 645.38 665.00 49.80 3.55 63.12 882.38 12.59
24-Apr-09 212.00 646.00 665.00 47.83 3.45 63.11 891.35 12.41
01-May-09 210.00 647.15 665.00 51.07 3.29 62.26 892.90 12.61
08-May-09 206.00 646.06 665.00 56.00 3.78 63.70 904.75 13.58
15-May-09 200.00 639.45 665.00 58.07 4.23 63.33 921.75 14.06
WEEKLY AVG
5-Dec-08 71.74 153.85 4.24 51.93 55.00 316.95 127.71 309.23 84.47 58.14
12-Dec-08 66.96 142.00 4.40 48.90 54.00 319.99 127.01 319.83 83.19 58.12
19-Dec-08 64.99 134.31 4.41 48.17 53.00 332.63 136.66 334.59 85.00 62.50
26-Dec-08 67.71 128.93 4.41 50.81 53.00 341.82 140.85 344.95 86.33 61.08
2-Jan-09 66.34 131.84 4.89 51.44 53.00 344.04 139.60 351.23 86.13 59.73
9-Jan-09 69.81 147.63 5.55 56.73 53.00 347.34 144.44 375.80 86.47 63.59
16-Jan-09 65.73 146.38 4.74 55.47 51.00 334.71 133.03 363.14 83.59 60.96
23-Jan-09 60.57 145.25 4.98 52.57 51.00 336.73 133.12 362.15 83.30 59.79
30-Jan-09 59.51 146.38 5.11 50.31 48.00 341.01 136.24 365.24 81.93 57.20
6-Feb-09 62.27 149.27 5.18 51.36 48.00 337.61 131.11 364.10 83.26 57.50
13-Feb-09 62.22 155.31 4.85 51.72 47.00 326.44 129.34 371.61 84.45 57.36
20-Feb-09 58.65 146.34 4.45 49.19 47.00 301.13 126.33 352.11 81.96 61.18
27-Feb-09 58.14 150.37 4.40 49.44 45.00 304.26 125.20 349.03 81.80 58.34
6-Mar-09 58.52 160.41 4.41 52.07 43.75 303.07 121.86 342.64 84.46 61.17
13-Mar-09 58.79 163.58 4.37 54.78 43.50 307.88 124.49 345.02 83.10 61.64
20-Mar-09 61.69 172.60 4.49 55.30 42.50 314.53 130.29 362.29 84.51 62.47
27-Mar-09 62.80 179.89 4.37 57.19 42.50 304.72 135.50 366.63 85.26 60.89
3-Apr-09 62.19 182.39 4.44 58.57 42.00 312.31 133.03 362.77 84.02 60.21
10-Apr-09 65.09 197.41 4.84 60.35 40.00 318.05 130.22 373.21 86.47 59.16
17-Apr-09 66.19 213.41 5.49 66.36 40.50 305.02 131.46 383.20 87.72 63.44
24-Apr-09 64.13 203.09 5.22 64.35 42.00 310.86 129.52 389.14 87.79 70.64
1-May-09 64.57 197.80 5.08 62.37 44.00 323.21 134.64 398.39 85.46 62.46
8-May-09 68.43 212.52 5.69 69.75 46.00 327.07 139.10 420.09 82.13 57.37
15-May-09 67.43 202.45 5.72 66.93 51.00 333.84 143.42 432.45 83.03 62.70
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