DEPARTMENT
OF ENERGY
Presentation Outline
Current Energy Situation
2
3
4
Policy Thrusts Energy Supply and Demand Outlook
Sectoral Targets / Plans and Programs
Current Energy Situation
Primary Energy Mix
2010 2011
2010 Total Energy (MTOE) Self-sufficiency Shares (%) Renewable Energy (RE) Green Energy (RE + Natural Gas) 39.8 47.8 39.29 58.5
2011 39.40 60.0 40.7 48.7
Current Energy Situation
Fuel Input Mix for Power Generation
2010 2011
2010 Total Energy (MTOE) Self-sufficiency Shares (%) Renewable Energy (RE) Green Energy (RE + Natural Gas) 52.61 67.12 19.97 67.12
2011 20.63 68.11 53.07 68.11
Current Energy Situation
(As of 31 December 2011) Household Electrification Level 70.18% Sitio Electrification Level 70.15% No. of Service Contracts (SCs) Oil and Gas - 27 Coal - 52 Awarded Renewable Energy (RE) 46 Energy Savings PhP 220 Billion
Policy Thrusts
Ensure Energy Security Expand use of renewable energy Accelerate exploration of petroleum and coal Expand Energy Access Promote Low-Carbon Future Make energy efficiency a way of life for Filipinos Promote use of clean alternative fuels and technologies Climate proof the energy sector Develop Regional Energy Plans Promote Investment in the Energy Sector Identify and implement energy sector reforms
ENERGY SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK
Total Primary Energy
Actual vs. Low Carbon Scenario (LCS)
Total Primary Energy, by Fuel
Total Renewable Energy
Total Final Energy Consumption, by Fuel
Total Final Energy Consumption, by Sector
Transport Energy Demand, by Fuel
Transport Energy Demand, by Subsector Total
Land Transport Energy Demand, by Fuel Type
Industry Energy Demand, by Fuel
Residential Energy Demand, By Fuel
Commercial Energy Demand, By Fuel
AFF Energy Demand, by Fuel
Energy Indicators (on a per capita basis)
1.0
0.9
0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 Electricity (TOE/person) Oil (TOE/person)
0.4
0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Energy (TOE/person)
2011
2016
2020
2025
2030
Includes forecast for 2012-2030 for PHL
*Other ASEAN only for 1990-2011
Includes forecast 2012-2030 for PHL
for
Includes forecast for 2012-2030 for PHL
*Other ASEAN only for 1990-2011
Plans and Programs
Reforms in the Power Sector Retail Competition and Open Access (RCOA)
Adapt Smart Grid Technologies Grid Interconnection
Electricity Spot Market
RE Market
Accelerated Rural Electrification
Power Sector Situation
Overview of the Power System
Installed Capacity 11,739 Dependable Capacity 10,824
GRID
LUZON
VISAYAS
MINDANAO TOTAL
2,402
2,022 16,162
2,037
1,616 14,477
Interconnection Line Capacity Leyte-Luzon (440 MW) Leyte-Cebu (400 MW) Cebu-Negros (200 MW) Negros Panay (100 MW) Leyte-Bohol (100 MW)
Power Supply and Demand Outlook
Binga Uprating P1 (5 MW) 2012 Bacman Geo (130 MW) 2013 Binga Uprating P2 (5 MW) 2013 GN Power (600 MW) 2013 CIP 2 Bunker (21 MW) 2013 Pililia Wind (67.5 MW) 2013 Payatas LFG (1.2 MW) 2013 Green Future (13 MW) 2013 Binga Uprating P3 (5 MW) 2014 Maibarara Geo (20 MW) 2014 Binga Uprating P3 (5 MW) 2015 Putting Bato (150 MW) 2015 SCJI Power (11 MW) 2015
Required Reserve Margin
Projected Demand AAGR % = 4.79
Luzon grid needs a total additional capacity of 10,500 MW onwards to 2030
A 600 MW new capacity is needed starting 2016 to meet the demand and required reserve
Plans and Programs
Rural Electrification
Achieve 90.0 percent household electrification by 2017 and 100 percent sitio electrification by 2015 Formulate Household Electrification Development Plan Pursue development and implementation of innovative service delivery mechanisms to increase household connections
Measurable Targets
Rural Electrification
YEAR 2011 HOUSEHOLDS 39,773 SITIOS 1,520
2012
2013 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL
142,110
228,300 612,100 532,250 5,400 1,559,833
4,487
3,783 12,114 10,537 32,441
Note: Based on the targets of DOEs Household Electrification Program (HEP) using RE and NEAs Sitio Electrification Program (SEP)
Measurable Targets Rural Electrification
Luzon CAR Number of Sitios/Puroks 180
Region I
Region II Region III Region IV-A Region IV-B Region V
126
157 284 211 257 204
TOTAL
NEAs Sitio Electrification Program for 2012
1,419
Plans and Programs
Indigenous Energy Development
Continue the conduct of Contracting Rounds to offer prospective areas Promote use, development and localization of appropriate and clean technologies coal liquefaction, coal gasification and CBM Continue international cooperation on energy resources e.g. establishment of ASEAN Coal Supply Security Agreement Encourage further investment on resource development Establish one-stop shop for investors
Develop a framework for pricing of local resources
Measurable Targets
Coal
2012
Production (@10,000 BTU/lb MMMT) LUZON II IV V VISAYAS VI VII MINDANAO IX
2015
11.12 0.30 0.18 0.03 0.10 8.85 8.14 0.71 1.96 0.74 0.02 0.68 0.53 5.87
2020
12.59 0.47 0.31 0.05 0.11 9.13 0.98 0.00 3.00 0.96 0.02 1.28 0.75 5.62
2025
13.03 0.49 0.33 0.05 0.12 9.27 8.16 1.11 3.27 1.08 0.02 1.41 0.76 6.29
2030
13.31 0.50 0.33 0.05 0.13 9.28 8.16 1.11 3.53 1.08 0.02 1.62 0.82 6.38
X
XII CARAGA Fuel Oil Displacement (KTOE)
8.33 0.12 0.04 0.01 0.07 7.48 7.22 0.26 0.73 0.43 0.13 0.17 4.40
Measurable Targets
Oil and Gas
FIELD
Awarding of Service Contracts Acquisition of 2D Data (line-kms.) Acquisition of 3D Data (line-kms.)
2012-2015
10
2016-2020
23 9,500 950
2021-2025 2026-2030
19 14 9,000 1,150
7,000
800
7,000
700
Exploration Well Drilling
Production Oil (MMB) Gas (BCF) Condensate (MMB)
20
25
25
25
27.73 585.29 20.99
19.53 747.87 25.61
14.77 1,190.85 21.44
15.94 751.73 2.75
Plans and Programs
Renewable Energy Promote the National Renewable Energy Program (NREP)
Triple installed capacity by 2030
Implement the RE law policy mechanisms
Continuous assessment of RE resources Evaluate new and emerging technologies Develop / Tap local capacity and expertise
Measurable Targets
Renewable Energy
Target Capacity Addition (in MW)
Sector
Luzon
Committed
Visayas Mindanao Luzon
Indicative
Visayas Mindanao Luzon
TOTAL
Visayas Mindanao
Geothermal Hydropower
20 -
20 8
50 8
120 150
80 -
257
140 150
100 8
50 265
Biomass
Wind Solar Ocean TOTAL
13
68 101
4
32
58
43
466 779
112
54 246
35
5 35 332
56
534 880
116
54 278
35
5 35 390
PHILIPPINES
191 MW
1,357 MW
1,548 MW
Measurable Targets
Renewable Energy 2011-2030 Potential RE Resource (in MW) - Philippines
Sector Geothermal Hydropower Biomass 2012-2015 50 310 81 678 269 2016-2020 940 3,125 865 5 2021-2030 175 1,892 432 10 TOTAL 1,165 5,326 81 1,975 284
Wind
Solar Ocean TOTAL
1,388
36 4,970
35 2,544
71 8,902
Measurable Targets
Renewable Energy 2011-2030 Potential RE Resource (in MW) - Luzon
Sector Geothermal Hydropower Biomass 2012-2015 172 45 515 230 2016-2020 680 2,170 840 2021-2030 1,510 432 TOTAL 680 3,852 45 1,787 230
Wind
Solar Ocean TOTAL
963
36 3,725
1,942
36 6,630
Plans and Programs
Downstream Oil Industry
Promote development and upgrade of downstream infrastructure oil refineries, regional depots and distribution stations Update Oil Supply Contingency Plan emergency preparedness mechanisms develop/establish Oil Stockpile
Mitigate impacts of high oil price promote fuel discounts and direct subsidies to public utility jeepney and tricycle drivers
Plans and Programs
Downstream Natural Gas
Develop strategic infrastructure for receiving, storage, transmission and distribution Promote use of natural gas beyond power Serve as major alternative fuel for transport especially public transport
BATMAN 2 (Bataan - Manila) 140 kms. (2020) ET LOOP (EDSA Taft Loop) 40 kms. (2020) SU-MA (Sucat - Malaya) 35 kms. (2017) BATCAVE (Batangas Cavite) 40 kms (2022)
BATMAN 1 (Batangas Manila) 80-100 kms. (2015-17)
Plans and Programs
Natural Gas
Luzon Critical Infrastructure Projects
Pipeline Projects
105 k.m. Batangas-Manila (BatMan 1) Pipeline 15-k.m. Sucat-Fort Bonifacio Pipeline
35-k.m. Sucat-Malaya (Su-Ma) Pipeline 38-k.m. Sucat-Quirino Pipeline 140-k.m. Bataan-Manila (BatMan2) Pipeline 40-k.m. Metro Manila/EDSA-Taft Gas Pipeline ET Loop
Target Year
2015-2017 2017
2017 2020 2020 2020
40-k.m. Subic Pipeline (from proposed BatMan2 to Subic) 25-k.m. Clark Pipeline (from proposed BatMan2 to Clark)
40-k.m. Bataan-Cavite (BatCave) Pipeline
2021 2022
2022
Plans and Programs
Natural Gas
Luzon Critical Infrastructure Projects
Refilling Stations
CNG Refilling Stations in Metro
Target Year
2013-2015
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Terminals
LNG Hub Terminal in Pagbilao, Quezon
Target Year
2013-2014
LNG Terminal in Batangas
LNG Terminal in Bataan
2021-2030
2025
Plans and Programs
Natural Gas
LNG Terminal (Bataan) 2025 LNG Hub Terminal (Pagbilao, Quezon) 2013-2014 LNG Terminal (Batangas) 2021-2030
Plans and Programs
Alternative Fuels for Transport
Create market awareness and collaboration with industry stakeholders Establish funding mechanisms to develop market Strengthen partnership with the academe and research
30 by 2030
30 percent of all public utility vehicles running on alternative fuels nationwide by 2030
institutions
conduct of on-road performance and durability tests for higher biofuels blend establish the Natural Gas Institute build manpower capability
Target Number of Vehicles on Alternative Fuels
Type CNG
Bus Taxi AutoLPG E-trikes Biofuel Blending Ethanol CME 10% 2% 10% 5% 10% 5% 20% 10% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19,052 630 20,200 50,170 61 1,000 5,000 100 20,500 80,730 6,900 1,000 21,700 106,000 9,200 6,000 23,200 150,000 15,000 16,000 23,000 230,000
2011
2015
2016
2020
2025
2030
Number of Vehicles
Alternative Vehicles for Transport
300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 CNG Taxi CNG Bus Auto-LPG Taxis
E-trikes
84
Plans and Programs
Energy Efficiency as a Way of Life
Advocate passage of Energy Efficiency and Conservation Bill Promote private Energy Service Companies (ESCO) as a new business market industry model Continue implementation of the National Energy Efficiency and Conservation Program (NEECP):
Information Education and Communication (IEC) Campaign
Government Energy Management Program (GEMP)
Demand Side Management Program (DSM) Expand coverage of energy labeling and standardization
Measurable Targets
Energy Efficiency as a Way of Life
Sectoral Target : 10% energy savings on the total annual energy demand of all economic sectors Cumulative Target Energy Savings by Sector (KTOE)
Sector Agriculture Industrial 2012 16 2015 17 2020 20 2025 25 2030 30
157
127 140 408 848
197
164 179 516 1,073
283
241 265 689 1,499
408
345 401 894 2,072
583
482 588 1,169 2,850
Commercial
Residential Transport TOTAL MW Deferred Capacity
384
1,413,303
486
1,786,955
679
2,496,928
938
1,291
CO2 Equivalent, tons CO2
3,451,188 4,747,802
