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Probability and Statistics Assignment Solutions

This document provides solutions to an assignment on probability and statistics. It includes: 1) Calculating the probability of a specific outcome occurring in drawing balls from an urn. 2) Using definitions of probability to calculate the probability of an event occurring. 3) Using the addition rule of probability and the definition of conditional probability to calculate the probability of the first ball drawn being a specific number.

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75 views2 pages

Probability and Statistics Assignment Solutions

This document provides solutions to an assignment on probability and statistics. It includes: 1) Calculating the probability of a specific outcome occurring in drawing balls from an urn. 2) Using definitions of probability to calculate the probability of an event occurring. 3) Using the addition rule of probability and the definition of conditional probability to calculate the probability of the first ball drawn being a specific number.

Uploaded by

maimslap
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Probability and Statistics

Hints/Solutions to Assignment No. 1


5
5 4 3!
2 = 48
1. Required probability
=
= 0.384.
55
125
2. Use definitions.
3. Let A 5 appears, B even number appears. Then
A = {(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)}. Also B will have 18 elements. So
2

1
1
1 14 1 14 1
2
=
P(A) =
, P(B)
. Now the P(5 appears first) = + . + . + .... = .
9
2
9 36 9 36 9
11
4. Given
=
P(C) 0.6,
=
P(H) 0.3, P(C
=
H) 0.2.

The required probability


= P(C H C ) + P(CC H)
= P(C) P(C H) + P(H) P(C H) = 0.5
5. Let A person is smoker, D death due to lung cancer. Given P(A) = 0.2, P(D)
= 0.006 and P(D|A) = 10 P(D|AC) = 10 x, say. Use theorem of total probability to
get 10 x = 3/140 = 0.0214.
6. Use addition rule and the definition of the conditional probability.
7. 0.25.

2(1 )
.
2(1 ) + 2 + 3
(ii) Use theorem of total probability. Reqd prob. = ( + 2 + 3)/6.
(iii) Use theorem of total probability,
P( digit 1 was received) = (2 - 2 + 2 + 3)/ 12,
P( digit 2 was received) = ( + 4 - 4 + 3)/ 12,
P( digit 3 was received) = ( + 2 + 6 - 6)/ 12.

8. (i) Use Bayes theorem, Reqd prob. =

9. Let C an automobile policyholder makes a claim,


M automobile policyholder is male
F automobile policyholder is female
Given P(M) = , P(F) = 1 ., 0 < < 1. P(C|M) = pm, P(C|F) = pf .
Now P(A1) = P(C | M) P(M) + P(C | F) P(F) = pm + (1 ) pf .
P(A 2 A1 ) p m2 + (1 )p f2
=
P(A 2 | A1 ) =
.
P(A1 )
p m + (1 )p f
10. (i) False (ii) True (iii) False (iv) False
13 52
11. .
4 4
12. Count the cases to find the required probability as 43/216.

10

13. P( getting all Ex in one semester) =

1
1
31
. Reqd. prob. =
=
1 =
0.272 .
5
2
32
32

14. Use definition.


n
n n
3
in
15. P(X= i)= 2 , i= 0, 1, ..., n. P(A B | X =
i) =
2 . P(A B) =
.
4
i
Also P(A B =) =P(A BC ).
16. P(student scores at least 8 marks) = P(scores 8 marks) + P(scores 9 marks) +
P(scores 10 marks) = 5/512.
17. 7/17, 6/17, 4/17.
18. Let X number of girls qualifying, Y number of boys qualifying.

p=
P(X > Y) =
P(X =
n + 1) + P(X =
n + 2) + ... + P(X =
2n)
2n
2n
2n 1 2n
2n
1 2n
=
+ + ... +
+ ...=

2 n + 1
2n 2 0
n 1
= P(Y > X)

2n 1
=
r P(X
= Y)
= .
n 2
2n
1 1 2n
As 2p + r =
1 , we get=
p
1 .
2 2 n
2n

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