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Probability and Statistics Test Solutions

1. The document provides solutions to probability and statistics test problems. It uses definitions, formulas, and theorems to calculate probabilities. Examples include using the binomial distribution to calculate the probability of getting a 7 as the first number drawn, and using Bayes' theorem to find conditional probabilities.

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ravi.btech20023935
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32 views2 pages

Probability and Statistics Test Solutions

1. The document provides solutions to probability and statistics test problems. It uses definitions, formulas, and theorems to calculate probabilities. Examples include using the binomial distribution to calculate the probability of getting a 7 as the first number drawn, and using Bayes' theorem to find conditional probabilities.

Uploaded by

ravi.btech20023935
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Probability and Statistics

Hints/Solutions to Test Set 2


6
6 5 4!
25
2

.
1. Required probability
6
6
108
2. Use definitions.
3. Let A 7 appears, B even number appears. Then
A = {(1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)}. Also B will have 18 elements. So
2

1
1
1 1 1 1 1
1
P(A) , P(B) . Now the P(7 appears first) . . .... . .
6
2
6 3 6 3 6
4
4. Given P(Car) 0.65, P(Computer) 0.35, and P(Car Computer) 0.25.
The required probability P(Car Comp C ) P(Car C Comp)
P(Car) P(Car Comp) P(Comp) P(Car Comp) 0.5
5. Let A person drank regularly, D death due to liver disease. Given P(A) =
0.25, P(D) = 0.005 and P(D|A) = 6 P(D|AC) = 6 p, say. Use theorem of total
probability to get 6 p = 1/ 75.
6. Use addition rule and the definition of the conditional probability.
7. 0.3.
5
8. (i) Use Bayes theorem, Reqd prob. = .
8
(ii) Use theorem of total probability. Reqd prob. =

23
.
120

(iii) Use theorem of total probability,


1
P( digit 1 was received) = ,
5
79
,
P( digit 2 was received) =
240
113
.
P( digit 3 was received) =
240
9. Let C an automobile policyholder makes a claim,
M automobile policyholder is male
F automobile policyholder is female
Given P(M) = , P(F) = 1 ., 0 < < 1. P(C|M) = pm, P(C|F) = pf .
Now P(A1) = P(C | M) P(M) + P(C | F) P(F) = pm + (1 ) pf .
P(A 2 A1 ) p 2m (1 )pf2

P(A 2 | A1 )
.
p m (1 )p f
P(A1 )
10. (i) False (ii) True (iii) False (iv) False

13 52
11. .
4 4
12. Count the cases to find the required probability as 43/216.
10

1
1
31
. Reqd. prob. 1 0.272 .
13. P( getting all Ex in one semester) = 5
2
32
32
14. Use definition.
n
n n
3
in
15. P(X i) 2 , i 0, 1, ..., n. P(A B | X i) 2 . P(A B) .
4
i

Also P(A B ) P(A BC ).


16. P(student scores at least 9 marks) = P(scores 9 marks) + P(scores 10 marks) =
17. 7/17, 6/17, 4/17.
18. Let X number of tails, Y number of heads.
p P(X Y) P(X n 1) P(X n 2) ... P(X 2n)
2n
2n
2n 1 2n
2n
1 2n

... ...

2 n 1
2n 2 0
n 1
P(Y X)
2n

2n 1
r P(X Y) .
n 2
2n
1 1 2n
As 2p r 1 , we get p 1 .
2 2 n

7
211

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