Lecture 10: The Goods Market
and the Exchange Rate
Devaluations (static and dynamic responses) Exchange rate determination (capital markets) The open economy IS-LM
The Goods Market
Z = C + I + G + X - eQ C(Y-T) + I(Y,I) + G Q = Q(Y,e) +X = X(Y*,e) + +
Figures
Figs 19-4, 19-5
Increase in foreign demand
games countries play depreciation
The J-Curve
eQ(Y,e) : increase or decrease with e?
In the very short run: it may increase!
And if strong enough: X(Y*,e) - eQ(Y,e) may do the same. Dynamics of NX in response to a depreciation; fig 19-6
The Exchange Rate
The Goods Market Y = C(Y-T) + I(Y,i) + G + NX(Y,Y*, E P*/P) constant Financial Markets M/P = YL(i) e i(t) = i*(t) + E(t+1) - E(t) E(t)
Cont. The Exchange Rate
i i*
e E
e i = i* + E - E E given E e and i*
The Open Economy IS-LM
Y = C(Y-T) + I(Y,i) + G + NX(Y,Y*,E) M = Y L(i)
P
e E = E
1+i-i* e IS : Y = C(Y-T) + I(Y,i) + G + NX(Y,Y*, E / (1+i-i*))
Interest parity i LM
IS E
Two IS caveats:
a) Multiplier is smaller b) Interest rate affects aggregate demand through the E as well. * Fiscal and Monetary policy