New Zealand looked sharp in their 2-2 draw with Iran and they could pull off a shock win over Egypt. The Pharaohs looked vulnerable against Belgium and may struggle to break down New Zealand's stout defense and then be caught on the counter. There looks to be some value in backing the All Whites to pull off a shock win at +470 odds.

New York starter David Peterson sits in the 25th percentile or worse in xERA, xBA and pitching run value. On the contrary, Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler is in the 82nd percentile or better in the same three categories. The Mets have been worse off against right-handed pitching, ranking bottom-5 in MLB in wRC+ and OBP when facing RHP.

Cape Verde’s approach will be much the same as their 0-0 draw with Spain, and the Blue Sharks now have the belief of being able to upset the odds on the World Cup stage. Uruguay had tons of possession against Saudi Arabia but struggled to find the net in their 1-1 draw. Expect similar games to these teams' opener, with under 2.5 goals looking the right approach.

The Mariners will be sending veteran Logan Gilbert to the mound who has been dominant in his recent stretch of starts. In his last 30.0 innings, he has only given up five earned runs.

Emmet Sheehan is due for positive regression, posting a 3.44 SIERA and a 20.3% K-BB% despite a 4.76 ERA to this point. Brandon Young is the opposite, posting a 4.88 SIERA despite a 3.18 ERA. Young relies on chases but the Dodgers are a stubborn unit with the 2nd lowest chase rate across the last 30 days. Look for Los Angeles to win this game by margin.

Angels LHP Reid Detmers takes the ball, looking to handle the A's. The Athletics are 11-11 vs left-handed starting pitchers so far this season. The A's turn to RHP Jack Perkins (2-3, 6.15 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), who has made 3 starts and 20 appearances so far. As a starter in June, he is 0-1 with a 7.62 ERA while serving up 4 homers and 16 hits in just 13 IP.

The Angels have RHP Walbert Urena, who has been a godsend for the team this season. He's a new, fresh arm, and the rookie is providing some promise for the future. Urena is 0-4 on the road this season, but he does have a respectable 3.86 ERA. Meanwhile, RHP J.T. Ginn goes for the A's, and he has a 5-3 record, 2.91 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, while going 2-0 with a 3.06 ERA in 3 June outings, with 3 quality starts in the past 4 outings. Let's back the Athletics to get the job done.

The Twins are tearing the cover off the ball against right-handed pitching, ranking 4th in wOBA with a 128 wRC+ against them in the last 30 days. They face an MLB debut from Jose Cabrera, and I look for their offensive form to continue. Arizona has not been in good offensive form, and I side with the underdog Twins.

Pittsburgh looks to avoid the sweep to the team holding the worst record in baseball, and I believe they do so on Sunday. Michael Lorenzen is a weak starter and has struggled at home with an ERA over 8 in 32 innings of work. Jared Jones has struggled as well but has the superior lineup behind him.

Belgium have more than enough quality in attack to get 3 points against Iran, but given that Iran found the net twice against New Zealand and have scored 13 goals in their last 5 games, betting on goals seems the right move in this one.

The Padres are 30th in the MLB, averaging 3.9 runs per game, while the Rangers are averaging 4.0 runs per game. The teams are averaging 4.0 and 4.2 runs allowed per game, respectively.

The Cubs have been red hot offensively and that could spell trouble for Dylan Cease taking the mound in Sunday's matchup. While he is a strikeout machine, the Blue jays haven't necessarily given him the run support. Look for the Cubs to score just enough against Cease and hold on late in the game to secure the series win at home.

Astros RHP Kai-Wai Teng (3-6, 4.31 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) gets the nod Sunday. Unlike Cleveland's Slade Cecconi, who has improved each month, Teng has been horrific in June -- going 0-3 with a 10.22 ERA (12.1 IP, 14 ER) with 4 homers allowed, and teams are hitting .351 against him.

The Cardinals have been the better team all season, but I like the way the Royals are playing right now. Kolek has been terrific for the Royals and Kansas City has just won 3 in a row while the Cardinals have dropped their last 3. Look for Kansas City to rally behind their home crowd and complete the sweep.

While the Nats winning each of the past 5 road series is impressive, RHP Nick Martinez (6-2, 2.60 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) has been a beast for the Rays -- putting up all-star caliber numbers at age 35. He is 4-1 in 7 home starts while allowing just 3 home runs. Let's back the Rays at home behind Martinez, but expect to sweat out the result for most of the game.

The Marlins will hand the ball to RHP Ryan Gusto (0-2, 7.24 ERA, 1.76 WHIP) to try and grab the sweep. Gusto has been very giving in June, especially last time out when he served up his first 2 homers of the season -- allowing 5 runs, 8 hits and 3 walks in just 4. IP in Philadelphia on Monday. Logan Webb is far more consistent for the Giants.

Davis Martin looks to rebound from poor outings in 2 of his last 3 starts, but I believe he does against a Tigers lineup that has yet to face him this season. Keider Montero faces this White Sox lineup for the 2nd time in 2026, and I believe they make the necessary adjustments to grab a road win at a nice price.

The Brewers' offense is overdue. Jackson Chourio has been hot for a couple of weeks, and they can stack a lot of lefties into the lineup against Bryce Elder. This is a bounce-back spot for the Brewers.

The Reds' offense came to life against the Yankees on Saturday and they could potentially have the same output against the rookie Elmer Rodriguez. Rodriguez will be making his fourth start of the season, but looking at this pitching matchup, the Reds have a significant edge with Chase Burns on the mound.