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Climate Change Impacts and Evidence of Migration in Colombia

Abstract

The international literature shows a polarised debate on the impacts of climate change on migration. Some studies find a positive linkage, whereas others find a negative one. It is, without a doubt, a complex process better considered case-specific. There is no available information on the relationship between climate change and migration in Colombia, despite past research exploring each of these subjects independently. This study intends explicitly to investigate this linkage gap. Consequently, this paper's essential contribution is that it builds a bridge between climate change scenarios and migratory science for the first time in Colombia. Despite their limitations, the theoretical and methodological framework suggested by IOM (2009b pp. 86, Section B, Chapter II) is demonstrated in this study to be very valid since it provides a methodology to predict where future flows will occur (based on past evidence). The methodological approaches of SLA and NELM explained in section A ...

Key takeaways

  • Apart from forced migration related to violence, finding the reasons for internal migration in Colombia is challenging.
  • Source: Adapted from Ratha y Shaw, 2007 p. 52 in IOM 2010 Various studies on Colombian migration conclude that international migration is driven mainly by economic factors, with migrants looking for improved employment prospects and financial stability.
  • Regarding other causes, such as economic migration, Guatiqui (2009) concludes that most economic research on internal migration in Colombia gives an incomplete or skewed impression of the overall economic environment that influences migratory activities.
  • also considers the education factor on migration flows in Colombia and states that the probability of migration increases with higher education levels.
  • The land property trends indicate that these are structural factors determining forced migration in Colombia.