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ILA White Paper Final 2022 Eng

2022, ILA White Paper

Abstract

The war in Ukraine threatens millions of people with the risk of starvation. What is the third major food crisis in 15 years, however, began long before the conflict. Hunger in the world, which had stabilized since 2014, and food insecurity are increasing again and the causes are not to be found on the side of a shortage of food. They lie in poverty and inequality, global warming, hyper-specialization of land, speculation on agricultural raw materials, market dysfunctions. The conflict in Ukraine cannot hide the observation of the structural weakness of the agricultural and food systems. What will the world look like in 2050 if it did not meet the challenges posed by agriculture and food? The first part of the white paper presents the texts of international law applicable, directly or indirectly, to the agricultural and food sectors. It provides a fairly complete idea of the law as it exists today, whose abundance has failed to prevent food crises, chronic food insecurity, or the deleterious effects of agricultural and food systems on the environment and climate. The second part presents in a synthetic way the main challenges that, according to a selection of prospective studies, the world will have to face between now and 2050. Three scenarios developed by the FAO then provide an illustration of what the world could look like according to whether or not public policies will be adopted to respond to these challenges and whether the actors of the agricultural and food systems will modify their practices or not. The third part asks questions which are, in a way, the result of a comparison of the first two parts. This is to fuel the future reflection on the international law that we will need by 2050 if we want to prevent the most apocalyptic scenarios from happening.