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Reliable Methods of Judgment Aggregation

2010, Journal of Logic and Computation

https://doi.org/10.1093/logcom/exp079

Abstract

The aggregation of consistent individual judgments on logically interconnected propositions into a collective judgment on the same propositions has recently drawn much attention. Seemingly reasonable aggregation procedures, such as propositionwise majority voting, cannot ensure an equally consistent collective conclusion. The literature on judgment aggregation refers to such a problem as the discursive dilemma. In this paper we assume that the decision which the group is trying to reach is factually right or wrong. Hence, we address the question of how good various approaches are at selecting the right conclusion. We focus on two approaches: distance-based procedures and a Bayesian analysis. They correspond to group-internal and group-external decision-making, respectively. We compare those methods in a probabilistic model whose assumptions are subsequently relaxed. The findings vindicate that in judgment aggregation problems, (i) reasons should carry higher weight in the voting procedure than the conclusion, and (ii) considering members of an advisory board to be highly competent is a better strategy than to underestimate their advice.