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2019, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems

This paper proposes a new framework for predicting arrival sequences of aircraft based on a preference learning approach that emulates the sequencing strategies of human air traffic controllers by learning from historical data. The proposed algorithm works in two stages: it first learns the probabilistic preferences between each pair of arriving aircraft, and the overall sequence for a new set of aircraft is then determined by combining the pairwise probabilities. The proposed model is validated using historical traffic data at Incheon International Airport, and its performance is evaluated using Spearman's rank correlation and dynamic simulation analysis. A possible application for the proposed method in decision support for arrival sequencing is also suggested.