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2006, SSRN Electronic Journal
As European countries move towards complete unbundling in electricity markets, some issues regarding market design are still under discussion. In particular, which market configuration would give the right incentives to promote efficiency and reduce final prices. In this paper we analyze a design in which prices are binding for more than one market period (like in the former British system or in the Australian system) and we compare price equilibria and collusive incentives under proportional and efficient rationing. To do so, we build on Le Coq (2002) and Crampes and Creti (2003) framework to account for stochastic demand. Our results suggest that with stochastic demand, incentives for strategically withholding capacity are still present but incentives to agree on market share are mitigated by efficient rationing.
2001
This paper is a quantitative study of the capacity withholding incentives in the deregulated wholesale electricity markets and resulting price spikes. For the analysis we used an N-player Nash equilibrium model based on marginal cost functions of the generating firms assuming completely inelastic industry demand and complete information. The current results show that in the case of continuous marginal costs the withholding incentive always exists and the total withholding increases with the increase of the curvature of marginal cost functions and the extent of heterogeneity of the generating firms. The discrete form of real marginal cost functions imposes certain restrictions on the withholding. The analysis shows that there exists a threshold level of market demand below which no withholding occurs and above which the withholding becomes beneficial. The curvature and heterogeneity of marginal cost functions also affect the level of this threshold. The model is applied to the power ...
2003
We develop game theoretic models to evaluate strategic behavior in deregulated electricity markets, with particular attention given to the market rules in place in California through the summer of 2000. We prove existence of a Nash equilibrium under two particular sets of market rules used by the CALPX and CAISO respectively. Next we derive a lower bound (strictly above marginal cost) on average equilibrium prices when there is a positive probability that at least one generator is capacity-constrained. Finally, we compare two competing methods for modelling competition in power markets: supply function equilibrium and discrete, multi-unit auctions and illustrate shortcomings of both approaches.
In this paper we consider an oligopolistic market in which one firm can be monopolist on her residual demand function and derive implications on the shape of her profit function, which we show may not be concave in price. We propose a simple price-capping rule that induce the pivotal operator to compete for quantity instead of taking advantage of her monopoly. Then, we analyze the bidding behaviour of the dominant electricity producer oper- ating in the Italian wholesale power market (IPEX). This firm is vertically integrated and in many instances she acts as a monopolist on the residual demand. We find that, contrary to expectations, this pivotal firm refrains to exploit totally her unilateral market power and, therefore, bids at levels well below the cap. We discuss such a behaviour and derive implications for the setting of the price cap.
Energy Policy, 2013
c We show the profit function of pivotal operators to be non-concave and unbounded. c We propose a price-cap policy that foster pivotal operators to compete for quantity. c We apply our methodology to Enel and derive a price-cap for Italy. c We find that vertical integration can be beneficial for moderating wholesale prices.
Finnish Economic Papers, 2003
The main motivation to deregulate Finnish electricity markets and introduce competition to the industry was to improve efficiency and obtain lower prices. In this paper we use a numerical simulation model in order to analyse the impact of market structure to the wholesale price of electricity. We solve Cournot equilibrium and Bertrand equilibrium. The results indicate that in some circumstances deregulation might actually lead to higher prices instead of lower ones. This happens if Cournot competition is realised and consumers do not react to the competition by becoming more price sensitive. If, however, price elasticity of demand increases deregulation will lead to the lower prices and higher production regardless of the market structure.
Energy Policy, 2011
The theoretical framework developed in this study allows development of a model of deregulated electricity markets that explains two familiar empirical findings; the existence of forward premiums and price-cost markups in the spot market. This is a significant contribution because electricity forward premiums have been previously explained exclusively by the assumptions of perfect competition and risk-averse behavior while spot markups are generally the outcome of a body of literature assuming oligopolistic competition. Our theoretical framework indicates that a certain premium for forward contracting is required for efficient allocation of generation capacity. However, due to the uniqueness of electricity and the design of deregulated electricity markets this premium might be substantially higher than its optimal level.
Economics Working Papers, 2006
This study of the wholesale electricity market compares the efficiency performance of the auction mechanism currently in place in U.S. markets with the performance of a proposed mechanism. The analysis highlights the importance of considering strategic behavior when comparing different institutional systems. We find that in concentrated markets, neither auction mechanism can guarantee an efficient allocation. The advantage of the current mechanism increases with increased price competition if market demand is perfectly inelastic. However, if market demand has some responsiveness to price, the superiority of the current auction with respect to efficiency is not that obvious. We present a case where the proposed auction outperforms the current mechanism on efficiency even if all offers reflect true production costs. We also find that a market designer might face a choice problem with a tradeoff between lower electricity cost and production efficiency. Some implications for social welfare are discussed as well.
European Journal of Operational Research, 2007
We compare two alternative mechanisms for capping prices in two-settlement electricity markets. With sufficient lead time, forward market prices are implicitly capped by competitive pressure of potential entry that will occur when forward prices rise above some backstop price. Another more direct approach is to cap spot prices through a performance-based regulatory intervention. In this paper we explore the implications of these two alternative mechanisms in a two-settlement Cournot equilibrium framework. We formulate the market equilibrium as a stochastic equilibrium problem with equilibrium constraints (EPEC) capturing congestion effects, probabilistic contingencies and horizontal market power. As an illustrative test case, we use the 53-bus Belgian electricity network with representative generator costs but hypothetical demand and ownership structure. Compared to a price-uncapped two-settlement system, a forward cap increases firms' incentives for forward contracting, whereas a spot cap reduces such incentives. Moreover, in both cases, more forward contracts are committed as the generation resource ownership structure becomes more diversified. keyword: OR in energy, Electricity Markets, Cournot Equilibrium, Mathematical Program with Equilibrium Constraints, Equilibrium Problem with Equilibrium Constraints.
2005
This thesis consists of three self-contained papers on the analysis of electricity auctions written over a period of twelve years. The first paper models price competition in a decentralized wholesale market for electricity as a first-price, sealed-bid, multi-unit auction. In both the pure and mixed-strategy equilibria of the model, above marginal cost pricing and inefficient despatch of generating units occur. An alternative regulatory pricing rule is considered and it is shown that offering to supply at marginal cost can be induced as a dominant strategy for all firms. The second paper analyses strategic interaction between long-term contracts and price competition in the British electricity wholesale market, and confirms that forward contracts will tend to put downward pressure on spot market prices. A 'strategic commitment' motive for selling forward contracts is also identified: a generator may commit itself to bidding lower prices into the spot market in order to ensur...
The Electricity Journal, 2003
The SMD proposal focuses on wholesale markets and transmission in isolation, not on ways to encourage a more market-based retail approach. As long as it remains so supply-focused, policy will be like one hand clapping, leading to potential overinvestment in transmission and costly future revisions of institutions.
Energy Policy, 1997
A normative structure for the European electricity industry is discussed. This model builds upon proposals and experiences in several European nations (in particular the Netherlands and the UK). Two rivalling structures (vertical integration versus open competition) are compared. Our 'open structure' is specific in not allowing TPA (third party access) to the grid, and in making the necessary distinction among 'independent generators' and Independent Generators of Own Power IGOPS. Cost economies (scale, scope and density) are related to the three major functions of a power system (generation, transport, distribution). The performance of the rival models is assessed for five criteria: sustainability, economic efficiency, regulatory efficiency, equity, and institutional feasibility.
2015
Traditionally, electricity suppliers charge their customers, in the most cases, through a bionomial function. One part is related to the consumed electric energy while the other part refers to the (usually maximum) power recorded (or contracted) at consumer’s metering point during a certain period. At the beginning of the liberalization era in the electricity markets, it was proposed that energy-only markets would be sufficient to attract the necessary investments because, through the marginal pricing of the energy, medium and peak load generators would cover their fixed costs by receiving higher-than-variable-cost revenues from the market at times of scarcity [1]. Indeed, energy-only market have been the main market design in the first years of the market liberalization and remains so in many regions worldwide. However, the original assumption about the sufficiency of the energy-only markets has been
11th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM14), 2014
Electricity market designs that allow multi-part bids and consider the technical characteristics of the generation units are characterized by non-convexities. Such market designs, when operated under marginal pricing, may result in losses for the market participants, and for this reason they are usually supplemented by some sort of side payments or uplifts, as they are often called. In this paper, we study pricing mechanisms that generate revenues to the market participants that are adequate to cover any losses arising from the non-convexities without the need for external uplift payments. We provide the formulations for a stylized Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch problem, and we introduce a new pricing mechanism, which we call "Minimum Zero-sum Uplift". We compare the different schemes on a common numerical example and study their behavior. The findings allow us to obtain useful insights on the performance and the mechanics of each mechanism.
Land Economics, 1976
A framework is developed which facilitates comparisons of alternative pricing schemes: declining block, high tailed, and rate inversion. A givenaggregai~demand is assumed to be composed of six different comb~nations of three individual demand curves. Each individual curve is a faction of the constant elasticity aggregate q"e man d ..~The ,,,;c 0 mbin a t ion s /h ave ditferent standard deviations 'arid varying oegrees of skewness. We examine the impact of the pricing schemes on total quantity demanded, consumers surplus, and total revenue; the relative contributions from and benefits to each of the components of the aggregate demand are also explored.
The Energy Journal, 2016
We analyse vertical integration between generators and retailers in electricity markets and we discuss the implications for price decisions of the presence of asymmetric (cost) information in a simple P-A framework. We analyze a situation in which generators post supply bids taking into account the profit of the entire vertically integrated group they belong to. We then discuss the way in which the degree of vertical integration affects this bidding strategy. Using Italian electricity auction data we show how bid prices posted by a pivotal producer are significantly influenced by variables incorporating vertical integration into the econometric model.
2003
The standard economic model of efficient competitive markets relies on the ability of sellers to charge prices that vary as their costs change. Yet, there is no restructured electricity market in which most retail customers can be charged realtime prices (RTP), prices that can change as frequently as wholesale costs. We analyze the impact of having some share of customers on time-invariant pricing in competitive electricity markets. Not only does time-invariant pricing in competitive markets lead to outcomes (prices and investment) that are not first-best, it even fails to achieve the second-best optimum given the constraint of time-invariant pricing. We then show that attempts to correct the level of investment through taxes or subsidies on electricity or capacity are unlikely to succeed, because these interventions create new inefficiencies. In contrast, increasing the share of customers on RTP is likely to improve efficiency, though surprisingly, it does not necessarily reduce capacity investment, and it is likely to harm customers that are already on RTP.
IDEI/GREMAQ Working Paper, 2001
This paper analyses o¤er prices and capacity choice by two asym-metric and capacity-constrained rms competing in a spot market for electricity with uniform auctions. We nd that the scope for Bertrand competition is limited to the case of very low demand levels. For higher levels ...
System Sciences, 2005. …, 2005
We compare two alternative mechanisms for capping prices in two-settlement electricity markets. With sufficient lead time and competitive entry opportunities, forward market prices are implicitly capped by competitive pressure of potential entry that will occur when forward prices rise above a certain level. Another more direct approach is to cap spot prices through regulatory intervention. In this paper we explore the implications of the two alternative mechanisms in a two settlement Cournot equilibrium framework. We formulate the market equilibrium as a stochastic equilibrium problem with equilibrium constraints (EPEC) capturing congestion effects, probabilistic contingencies and market power. As an illustrative test case we use the 53bus Belgian electricity network with representative generator cost but hypothetical demand and ownership assumptions. When compared to two-settlement systems without price caps we find that either of the price capping alternatives results in reduced forward contracting. Furthermore the reduction in spot prices due to forward contracting is smaller.
Research Papers in Economics, 2020
Increasing shares of intermittent renewable energies challenge the dominant way to trade electricity ex-ante in forward, day-ahead, and intraday markets: Coal power plants and consumers cannot react to the stochastic element of renewables, whereas gas turbines can. We use a theoretical model to analyze consumer behavior and incentives of perfectly competitive firms to invest in different types of technologies under ex-ante pricing. Curtailed consumers need to get subsidized in high of their disruption cost. Coal power firms recover cost. Renewables and gas turbine firms fail to do so. We identify imperfections that arise from the delay in price setting and market clearing. Do real-time prices induce an efficient outcome? Consumers need to get taxed in high of rationing cost. Support is redundant for gas turbine firms, but renewables firms still fail to recover cost because they cannot ensure against their price risk.
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2019
Highlights Develop a new market design for wholesale electricity competition Document the design's solution for missing money and price manipulation Document the design's efficient planning, pricing and operation Document the design's practical implementation Recommend the design for reliability differentiation and market competition
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