Stillbirths: the vision for 2020

The Lancet, 2016

There were an estimated 2.7 million third trimester stillbirths in 2015 (uncertainty range: 2.5-3.0 million). Stillbirths have reduced more slowly than maternal or child mortality, which were explicitly targeted in the Millennium Development Goals. The Every Newborn Action Plan targets ≤12 stillbirths per 1000 births in every country by 2030. Ninety-two mainly high-income countries have already met this target, although with marked disparities. At least 67 countries, particularly in Africa and conflict affected areas will have to double current progress. Most (98%) stillbirths are in low and middle-income countries. Improved care at birth is essential to prevent 1.3 million intrapartum stillbirths, end preventable maternal and neonatal deaths, and also improve child development. Estimates for stillbirth causation are impeded by multiple classification systems, but for 18 countries with reliable data, congenital abnormalities account for a median of only 7.4%. Many conditions associated with stillbirths are potentially modifiable, and often co-exist such as maternal infections (population attributable fraction (PAF): malaria 8.2%, syphilis 7.7%), non-communicable diseases, nutrition and lifestyle factors (PAF around 10%) and age>35yrs (PAF: 6.7%). Common causal pathways are through impaired placental function, either leading to fetal growth restriction and/or preterm labour, or secondary to prolonged pregnancy (PAF: 14.2%). Two-thirds of newborns have their birth registered. However, less than 5% of neonatal deaths have death registration, and even fewer stillbirths. Recording and registering all facility births, stillbirths, neonatal, and maternal deaths would substantially increase data availability. Improved data alone will not save lives, but provide a tool for targeting interventions to reach >7500 women every day all over the world who experience the reality of stillbirth. Words 266 CONFIDENTIAL-DO NOT PASS ON OR CITE 3 Key messages  What is happening to stillbirth rates? At the end of the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) era there are 2.7 million (uncertainty range: 2.5-3.0 million) third trimester stillbirths annually. Stillbirth rates have declined more slowly since 2000 (Average Annual Rate of Reduction (ARR), 1.8%), than either maternal (ARR=3.4%) or post-neonatal child mortality (ARR=4.5%) which had MDG targets and consequently received more global and country level attention. Better data are essential to accelerate progress towards the target of ≤12 stillbirths per 1000 births in every country by 2030 as outlined in the Every Newborn Action Plan (ENAP), linked to United Nations Secretary General's Every Woman Every Child.  Where to focus? 10 countries account for two-thirds of stillbirths and most neonatal (60%) and maternal (58%) deaths estimated in 2015. Sixty-seven countries need to at least double current progress in reducing stillbirths, many of these in Africa. The highest stillbirth rates (SBR) are in conflict and emergency areas. Over 60% of stillbirths are in rural areas, affecting the poorest families. However, even in the 92 countries with a SBR less than 12 per 1000 marked disparities remain between and within countries.  When and where in the health system to focus? Each year there are an estimated 1.3 million intrapartum stillbirths (deaths during labour), despite two-thirds of births worldwide now being in health facilities. High coverage of good quality care during labour and birth is key, and would also reduce maternal and neonatal deaths, prevent disability and improve child development, giving a high return on investment. Improved quality antenatal care is also important to maximise maternal and fetal well-being, to detect and manage underlying conditions, and to promote healthy behaviours and birth planning.  Which conditions to focus on? There is a myth that most stillbirths are inevitable due to non-preventable congenital abnormalities, yet for countries with reliable data congenital abnormalities account for a median of only 7.4% of stillbirths. Conditions where population attributable fraction (PAF) could be estimated at global level include: maternal age>35yrs (PAF 6.7%), maternal infections (PAF malaria 8.2%, syphilis 7.7%), non-communicable diseases, nutrition and lifestyle factors, many of which co-exist (PAF each around 10%) and prolonged pregnancy (PAF 14.2%). Stillbirths commonly occur via fetal growth restriction and/or preterm labour.  Which data are required for action? Two-thirds of the world's newborns have birth certificate, but death registration coverage is even lower at <5% of neonatal deaths and even fewer stillbirths. Recording and registering all facility births, stillbirths, neonatal deaths, and maternal deaths would substantially increase data availability. Reliable measurement of stillbirths outside facilities using household surveys remains problematic, yet no research is addressing this issue. Little has been invested in improving coverage data for maternal and newborn health interventions including those specific to stillbirths. The ENAP measurement improvement roadmap, includes coverage indicator validation, and development of tools such as a minimum perinatal dataset and perinatal audit, offering opportunities to improve data availability and use.

Reproductive Health, 2020

Background Stillbirth rates are high and represent a substantial proportion of the under-5 mortality in low and middle-income countries (LMIC). In LMIC, where nearly 98% of stillbirths worldwide occur, few population-based studies have documented cause of stillbirths or the trends in rate of stillbirth over time. Methods We undertook a prospective, population-based multi-country research study of all pregnant women in defined geographic areas across 7 sites in low-resource settings (Kenya, Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo, India, Pakistan, and Guatemala). Staff collected demographic and health care characteristics with outcomes obtained at delivery. Cause of stillbirth was assigned by algorithm. Results From 2010 through 2018, 573,148 women were enrolled with delivery data obtained. Of the 552,547 births that reached 500 g or 20 weeks gestation, 15,604 were stillbirths; a rate of 28.2 stillbirths per 1000 births. The stillbirth rates were 19.3 in the Guatemala site, 23.8 in the ...

Variation in stillbirth rates across high-income countries and large equity gaps within high-income countries persist. If all high-income countries achieved stillbirth rates equal to the best performing countries, 19 439 late gestation (28 weeks or more) stillbirths could have been avoided in 2015. The proportion of unexplained stillbirths is high and can be addressed through improvements in data collection, investigation, and classification, and with a better understanding of causal pathways. Substandard care contributes to 20–30% of all stillbirths and the contribution is even higher for late gestation intrapartum stillbirths. National perinatal mortality audit programmes need to be implemented in all high-income countries. The need to reduce stigma and fatalism related to stillbirth and to improve bereavement care are also clear, persisting priorities for action. In high-income countries, a woman living under adverse socioeconomic circumstances has twice the risk of having a stillborn child when compared to her more advantaged counterparts. Programmes at community and country level need to improve health in disadvantaged families to address these inequities.

Lancet, 2011

for The Lancet's Stillbirths Series steering committee* Stillbirth rates in high-income countries declined dramatically from about 1940, but this decline has slowed or stalled over recent times. The present variation in stillbirth rates across and within high-income countries indicates that further reduction in stillbirth is possible. Large disparities (linked to disadvantage such as poverty) in stillbirth rates need to be addressed by providing more educational opportunities and improving living conditions for women. Placental pathologies and infection associated with preterm birth are linked to a substantial proportion of stillbirths. The proportion of unexplained stillbirths associated with under investigation continues to impede eff orts in stillbirth prevention. Overweight, obesity, and smoking are important modifi able risk factors for stillbirth, and advanced maternal age is also an increasingly prevalent risk factor. Intensifi ed eff orts are needed to ameliorate the eff ects of these factors on stillbirth rates. Culturally appropriate preconception care and quality antenatal care that is accessible to all women has the potential to reduce stillbirth rates in high-income countries. Implementation of national perinatal mortality audit programmes aimed at improving the quality of care could substantially reduce stillbirths. Better data on numbers and causes of stillbirth are needed, and international consensus on defi nition and classifi cation related to stillbirth is a priority. All parents should be off ered a thorough investigation including a high-quality autopsy and placental histopathology. Parent organisations are powerful change agents and could have an important role in raising awareness to prevent stillbirth. Future research must focus on screening and interventions to reduce antepartum stillbirth as a result of placental dysfunction. Identifi cation of ways to reduce maternal overweight and obesity is a high priority for high-income countries.

Lancet, 2011

for The Lancet's Stillbirths Series steering committee* Stillbirth rates in high-income countries declined dramatically from about 1940, but this decline has slowed or stalled over recent times. The present variation in stillbirth rates across and within high-income countries indicates that further reduction in stillbirth is possible. Large disparities (linked to disadvantage such as poverty) in stillbirth rates need to be addressed by providing more educational opportunities and improving living conditions for women. Placental pathologies and infection associated with preterm birth are linked to a substantial proportion of stillbirths. The proportion of unexplained stillbirths associated with under investigation continues to impede eff orts in stillbirth prevention. Overweight, obesity, and smoking are important modifi able risk factors for stillbirth, and advanced maternal age is also an increasingly prevalent risk factor. Intensifi ed eff orts are needed to ameliorate the eff ects of these factors on stillbirth rates. Culturally appropriate preconception care and quality antenatal care that is accessible to all women has the potential to reduce stillbirth rates in high-income countries. Implementation of national perinatal mortality audit programmes aimed at improving the quality of care could substantially reduce stillbirths. Better data on numbers and causes of stillbirth are needed, and international consensus on defi nition and classifi cation related to stillbirth is a priority. All parents should be off ered a thorough investigation including a high-quality autopsy and placental histopathology. Parent organisations are powerful change agents and could have an important role in raising awareness to prevent stillbirth. Future research must focus on screening and interventions to reduce antepartum stillbirth as a result of placental dysfunction. Identifi cation of ways to reduce maternal overweight and obesity is a high priority for high-income countries.

Lancet (London, England), 2016

Variation in stillbirth rates across high-income countries and large equity gaps within high-income countries persist. If all high-income countries achieved stillbirth rates equal to the best performing countries, 19 439 late gestation (28 weeks or more) stillbirths could have been avoided in 2015. The proportion of unexplained stillbirths is high and can be addressed through improvements in data collection, investigation, and classification, and with a better understanding of causal pathways. Substandard care contributes to 20-30% of all stillbirths and the contribution is even higher for late gestation intrapartum stillbirths. National perinatal mortality audit programmes need to be implemented in all high-income countries. The need to reduce stigma and fatalism related to stillbirth and to improve bereavement care are also clear, persisting priorities for action. In high-income countries, a woman living under adverse socioeconomic circumstances has twice the risk of having a stil...

Reproductive Health, 2015

Background: Stillbirth rates remain nearly ten times higher in low-middle income countries (LMIC) than high income countries. In LMIC, where nearly 98% of stillbirths worldwide occur, few population-based studies have documented characteristics or care for mothers with stillbirths. Non-macerated stillbirths, those occurring around delivery, are generally considered preventable with appropriate obstetric care. Methods: We undertook a prospective, population-based observational study of all pregnant women in defined geographic areas across 7 sites in low-resource settings (Kenya, Zambia, India, Pakistan, Guatemala and Argentina). Staff collected demographic and health care characteristics with outcomes obtained at delivery. Results: From 2010 through 2013, 269,614 enrolled women had 272,089 births, including 7,865 stillbirths. The overall stillbirth rate was 28.9/1000 births, ranging from 13.6/1000 births in Argentina to 56.5/1000 births in Pakistan. Stillbirth rates were stable or declined in 6 of the 7 sites from 2010-2013, only increasing in Pakistan. Less educated, older and women with less access to antenatal care were at increased risk of stillbirth. Furthermore, women not delivered by a skilled attendant were more likely to have a stillbirth (RR 2.8, 95% CI 2.2, 3.5). Compared to live births, stillbirths were more likely to be preterm (RR 12.4, 95% CI 11.2, 13.6). Infants with major congenital anomalies were at increased risk of stillbirth (RR 9.1, 95% CI 7.3, 11.4), as were multiple gestations (RR 2.8, 95% CI 2.4, 3.2) and breech (RR 3.0, 95% CI 2.6, 3.5). Altogether, 67.4% of the stillbirths were non-macerated. 7.6% of women with stillbirths had cesarean sections, with obstructed labor the primary indication (36.9%). Conclusions: Stillbirth rates were high, but with reductions in most sites during the study period. Disadvantaged women, those with less antenatal care and those delivered without a skilled birth attendant were at increased risk of delivering a stillbirth. More than two-thirds of all stillbirths were non-macerated, suggesting potentially preventable stillbirth. Additionally, 8% of women with stillbirths were delivered by cesarean section. The relatively high rate of cesarean section among those with stillbirths suggested that this care was too late or not of quality to prevent the stillbirth; however, further research is needed to evaluate the quality of obstetric care, including cesarean section, on stillbirth in these low resource settings. Study registration: Clinicaltrials.gov (ID# NCT01073475)

Int Health, 2019

Annually, an estimated 2.6 million stillbirths occur worldwide.1 With five deaths every single minute, stillbirth is the fifth leading global cause of death when compared with causes of death in all age categories—outranking diarrhoea, HIV/AIDS, TB, road traffic accidents and any form of cancer.2 The vast majority (98%) of stillbirths occur in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This has also been referred to as the ‘silent epidemic’. Sadly, there is an increased risk of experiencing another stillbirth in subsequent pregnancies for women who have given birth to a stillborn baby before compared with those who have not.3 Furthermore, in most LMIC settings, bereavement care for parents is either not available at all or substandard.4 There is also still a paucity of information from LMICs regarding what causes stillbirth. To achieve the global target of reducing the stillbirth rate to 12 per 1000 births in every country by the year 2035, as proposed by the World Health Assembly (2014), the current annual reduction rate of 2% will need to be more than doubled. Several factors impede progress in the efforts to reduce the burden of preventable stillbirths. We highlight where and how focused interventions and implementation research is needed and would be effective.

Lancet

Background Stillbirth is a devastating and often avoidable adverse pregnancy outcome. Monitoring stillbirth levels and trends-in a comprehensive manner that leaves no one uncounted-is imperative for continuing progress in pregnancy loss reduction. This analysis, completed as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, methodically accounted for different stillbirth definitions with the aim of comprehensively estimating all stillbirths at 20 weeks or longer for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021. Methods We extracted data on stillbirths from 11 412 sources across 185 of 204 countries and territories, including 234 surveys, 231 published studies, 1633 vital statistics reports, and 10 585 unique location-year combinations from vital registration systems. Our final dataset comprised 11 different definitions, which were adjusted to match two gestational age thresholds: 20 weeks or longer (reference) and 28 weeks or longer (for comparisons). We modelled the ratio of stillbirth rate to neonatal mortality rate with spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression for each location and year, and then used final GBD 2021 assessments of fertility and all-cause neonatal mortality to calculate total stillbirths. Secondary analyses evaluated the number of stillbirths missed with the more restrictive gestational age definition, trends in stillbirths as a function of Socio-demographic Index, and progress in reducing stillbirths relative to neonatal deaths. Findings In 2021, the global stillbirth rate was 23•0 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 19•7-27•2) per 1000 births (stillbirths plus livebirths) at 20 weeks' gestation or longer, compared to 16•1 (13•9-19•0) per 1000 births at 28 weeks' gestation or longer. The global neonatal mortality rate in 2021 was 17•1 (14•8-19•9) per 1000 livebirths, corresponding to 2•19 million (1•90-2•55) neonatal deaths. The estimated number of stillbirths occurring at 20 weeks' gestation or longer decreased from 5•08 million (95% UI 4•07-6•35) in 1990 to 3•04 million (2•61-3•62) in 2021, corresponding to a 39•8% (31•8-48•0) reduction, which lagged behind a global improvement in neonatal deaths of 45•6% (36•3-53•1) for the same period (down from 4•03 million [3•86-4•22] neonatal deaths in 1990). Stillbirths in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa comprised 77•4% (2•35 million of 3•04 million) of the global total, an increase from 60•3% (3•07 million of 5•08 million) in 1990. In 2021, 0•926 million (0•792-1•10) stillbirths, corresponding to 30•5% of the global total (3•04 million), occurred between 20 weeks' gestation and 28 weeks' gestation, with substantial variation at the country level. Interpretation Despite the gradual global decline in stillbirths between 1990 and 2021, the overall number of stillbirths remains substantially high. Counting all stillbirths is paramount to progress, as nearly a third-close to 1 million in total-are left uncounted at the 28 weeks or longer threshold. Our findings draw attention to the differential progress in reducing stillbirths, with a high burden concentrated in countries with low development status. Scarce data availability and poor data quality constrain our capacity to precisely account for stillbirths in many locations. Addressing inequities in universal maternal health coverage, strengthening the quality of maternal health care, and improving the robustness of data systems are urgently needed to reduce the global burden of stillbirths. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Lancet, 2011

Worldwide, 2·65 million (uncertainty range 2·08 million to 3·79 million) stillbirths occur yearly, of which 98% occur in countries of low and middle income. Despite the fact that more than 45% of the global burden of stillbirths occur intrapartum, the perception is that little is known about eff ective interventions, especially those that can be implemented in low-resource settings. We undertook a systematic review of randomised trials and observational studies of interventions which could reduce the burden of stillbirths, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries. We identifi ed several interventions with suffi cient evidence to recommend implementation in health systems, including periconceptional folic acid supplementation or fortifi cation, prevention of malaria, and improved detection and management of syphilis during pregnancy in endemic areas. Basic and comprehensive emergency obstetric care were identifi ed as key eff ective interventions to reduce intrapartum stillbirths. Broad-scale implementation of intervention packages across 68 countries listed as priorities in the Countdown to 2015 report could avert up to 45% of stillbirths according to a model generated from the Lives Saved Tool. The overall costs for these interventions are within the general estimates of cost-eff ective interventions for maternal care, especially in view of the eff ects on outcomes across maternal, fetal, and neonatal health.