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2021, Ukraine Analytica
In a realistic analysis of the status of national sovereignty of Ukraine and other post-Soviet states, the author argues that Russian aggression against Ukraine, post-Soviet frozen conflicts, and the U.S.-Russia antagonism have established the political, legal and military macrocontext in which Ukraine can develop for the foreseeable future. In this context, Ukraine can maintain its existing and even regain its pre-2014 level of sovereignty if it develops either as a buffer zone between the EU/West and Russia, or as NATO’s battering ram. The author concludes that the new Eastern Europe will remain a region of damaged national sovereignties with a high chance for new conflicts and poor chances for stable peace and socio-economic prosperity.
Journal of European Studies (JES)
The security-insecurity paradox in a geopolitical struggle between Russia and its ex-territory; Ukraine along with the politics of the influences between great powers has made the Russian invasion a reality. Russian intervention in its periphery in February 2022 has sent shockwaves to the European Union and NATO members, and posed various challenges to the Eurasian states. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a protracted one, but this new phase is more complex and multi-layered. Russia’s annexation of Crimea and Sevastopol in 2014, and support to the militant separatists in Donbas, undermined Ukrainian sovereignty. A series of border skirmishes occurred during 2014-2021, which led to thousands of people dead and injured.[1] The tension converted into a humanitarian crisis with millions of refugees and collateral damages after the 2022 war. This recent situation can be termed as a geopolitical warfare, which is based on the politics of security to assert political advantages i...
Ukraine experiences unarguably the most challenging times in its modern history. The, so- called, “Ukraine crisis” has turned due to the projection of Russia´s military force in Crimea and the East of the country from an internal political conflict into a multi-level global crisis with significant consequences for Europe. The combination of domestic political challenges, severe deterioration of Ukraine`s oligarchic type of economy, war in the East of the country as well as the need for securing international financing and diplomatic support, put Ukraine in an extremely difficult position and on the top of the global political agenda. The authors also analyse Russia`s hybrid warfare showing how it justifies its actions and revealing the striking divergence in the reality on the ground and official Russian statements. In order to secure its national interests, Russia violated international law, broke its multilateral and bilateral commitments to Ukraine and took adversary stance towards the West blaming it to for the eruption of the crisis. This newly emerged situation in Eastern Europe significantly increases the insecurity of the former post-soviet republics as well as the possibility of a larger military collision. The paper also aims to provide a brief overview of EU policies preceding the Ukrainian crisis, and offers an analysis of responses of key actors (including Germany) involved in the Ukrainian crisis. Furthermore, the authors also put emphasis on the analysis of the current domestic developments in Ukraine, formulate implications specifically for Slovakia, as well as make short-term predictions regarding the future of political cooperation in Europe.
2009
Master thesis elaborates on the introduction, theoretical, methodological framework and empirical analysis parts that investigate the role of Ukraine in geopolitical strategies of the European Union and the Russian Federation, as a critically important geopolitical pivot. The importance of such pivot, like Ukraine, is derived not from it power and motivation but from it sensitive location on the geopolitical map and from the consequences of it potentially vulnerable condition for the conducting of the main geostrategic players. The main aim of the research is to find out interests of Russia and Europe in Ukraine that aggravate their relations, as such common interests between the geopolitical empires often can lead to the confrontation between them and to a tension situation in their coexistence. The inescapable actual and the same time alarming conclusion is that newly democratic Ukraine inhabits a betraying neighbours-powerful geopolitical players that pursue their own interests. With the indifference of the EU and not so covert enmity of the RF, the danger is today that it will end up stranded between two worlds, neither in East nor in West.
As the 20 th anniversary of the fall of communism and disintegration of the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republic (USSR) is approaching, Ukraine's position from some perspectives can still be considered as unsettled or being shaped. After two decades of independence as a non-aligned country, it struggles on the principles of self-determination to find a better and longer term of alignment, two of which are at the core of its geopolitics: i) the intention to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO); and ii) the goal to become a European Union (EU) member. Regardless which one is to come into being, both have embarrassed Russia that has a sizeable Russian minority living in Ukraine. Russia as the sole recognized successor of the USSR and a great power is concerned about the spheres of influence by NATO to its doorstep in potentially absorbing the second largest country of the former USSR which may curtail Russia's geopolitics in the Black Sea. While this assumed prospect for the time being has, first of all, a strong psychological (and to some extent real) impact on geopolitics, this article attempts to identify the most critical interdependent factors shaping Ukraine's long term position between Russia and the West with e reference to geopolitics, geoeconomy, and geomilitary.
This article aims to present the causes of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and its future evolution scenarios. In addition to Russia and Ukraine, the United States, European Union countries and NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization), a Western military alliance, are involved in this conflict. With the end of the Soviet Union in 1989, NATO was expanded to meet the geopolitical interests of the United States. During the Cold War between the States and the Soviet Union, NATO had 16 countries until 1989, attracting in 1997 another 14 countries that were part of the Eastern European socialist system. More recently, Finland and Sweden joined NATO. All of this is part of the strategy of the United States and its European allies to get closer to the borders of Russia, which is considered, along with China, an enemy of Western powers. The facts of life demonstrate that, for centuries, humanity has been faced with conflicts between great powers that are not resolved through diplomatic means but through military means because we live in a world without a world government and without international law that is respected by all countries, especially by the great powers that seek to impose their will on the world level. Without a world government and a world parliament democratically elected by the world's population, as well as without the existence of a world Supreme Court, there is no way for international law to be effectively applied and respected by all countries. It is urgent for humanity to equip itself as urgently as possible with the instruments necessary to build a world of peace.
Geopolitics, 2024
The Russia-Ukraine war, which erupted in 2022, is more than a bilateral conflict; it is a central element in the broader geopolitical struggle between Russia and the West. This paper examines the war's significance within the context of global power dynamics, Ukraine's strategic position in European security, and the long-term implications for global politics. By analyzing Russia's motivations, including its desire to reshape Europe's security architecture, prevent Ukraine's integration into NATO and the EU, and assert its influence in Eastern Europe, this study highlights the multifaceted nature of the conflict. The paper also explores the role of international organizations, such as NATO, the EU, and the UN, in shaping the response to the crisis and in post-conflict reconstruction efforts. Finally, it considers the broader global consequences of the war, from shifting alliances and economic sanctions to the future of hybrid warfare and international law. Through a comprehensive analysis of these issues, the paper argues that the war is not only a pivotal moment in the Russia-West standoff but also a critical turning point in the reshaping of the global order.
Actual Problems of International Relations, 2018
The article deals with the strategic approaches and interests of Ukraine in the context of the crisis of the European security system in connection with the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Russian aggression against Ukraine from 2014, including the annexation of Crimea and deployment of a major war in Donbas, further aggressive and unpredictable actions of a large nuclear power have sharply increased instability of global security environment, greatly exacerbated the effect of negative factors aimed at destruction of the existing world order. Recent threats arise from the very nature of contemporary international relations and have become an objective phenomenon. The authors focuse on the causes of the current crisis of the European security system. The factors of formation and essence of the political position of the EU and NATO concerning the military-political aggression of Russia against Ukraine in 2014, are revealed. The peculiarities of the European security policy, strategic inte...
This paper presents a critique of the European Union's flagship Eastern Partnership Initiative (EaP) within the context of its geopolitical ramifications on the political crisis in Ukraine. It particularly highlights the role of the Russian Federation as the principal protagonists and its quest to counter the EU's normative power within their shared neighborhood. The EaP has among its goals promoting a broad range of political and economic reforms with the partner states with the view to help them deepen liberal democratic values and enhanced security and stability within the framework of an enhanced Association Agreement. The Kremlin believes the EaP undermines Russian interest in the region. This paper therefore presents a critical analysis of the contending dynamics of the competing efforts to use Ukraine as the launching pad to reshape the post-Cold War regional order.
2016
Since the end of the Cold War, Europe has never been so peacefully consolidated. However, its vulnerability still exists in a context of increasing globalization, where societies are facing security threats and challenges that are growing in size and sophistication, as Ukraine highlights. To protect freedom, security, human rights, political stability, democracy and cultural identity, the EU developed effective tools within which research and innovation can play a fundamental role of support to understand, identify, prevent and discourage security threats. Horizon 2020 programme section “Secure societies: Protecting freedom and security of Europe and Its Citizens” designed to improve border security through conflict prevention and peace-building, will contribute to the implementation of Europe 2020 strategy. The aim of this paper is to define the advancement degree of the functional change on EU Eastern borders and to understand the value and the future geopolitical implications of ...
Wschód Europy. Studia humanistyczno-społeczne
Independent Ukraine will soon turn 30, but the country in the heart of Europe cannot boast a predictable and stable security position. The conflict with Russia after the regime change in 2014 proved, that a prolonged conventional war in Europe is still a probability. In order to install a durable peace, the all-European security arrangement shall have no low-profile security positions of those European countries, which do not enjoy membership in military unions. The Cold-war legacy of perception of security as a divisible notion is a contradiction to the idea of security for Europe. As long as there are divergences in the level of security, there would be a temptation to test the opponent’s readiness and strength on the territory of a weaker country. This is what happened in Georgia in 2008 and has been happening in Ukraine since 2014. In search for a solution, a special attention shall be paid to the issues of status and perception of security. For a small power, which is not a mem...
Anahit Shirinyan and Louisa Slavkova (eds.), Unrewarding crossroads? The Black Sea Region amidst the European Union and Russia, Sofia Platform 2015
This paper presents a critique of the European Union’s flagship Eastern Partnership Initiative (EaP) within the context of its geopolitical ramifications on the political crisis in Ukraine. It particularly highlights the role of the Russian Federation as the principal protagonists and its quest to counter the EU’s normative power within their shared neighborhood. The EaP has among its goals promoting a broad range of political and economic reforms with the partner states with the view to help them deepen liberal democratic values and enhanced security and stability within the framework of an enhanced Association Agreement. The Kremlin believes the EaP undermines Russian interest in the region. This paper therefore presents a critical analysis of the contending dynamics of the competing efforts to use Ukraine as the launching pad to reshape the post-Cold War regional order
Polish Political Science Yearbook, 2018
Studia Politica; Romanian Political Science Review, 2016
How Ukraine became the center for geopolitics in Europe after the Cold War, 2021
During the last decade, Ukraine has become the host-country of a serious security crisis on the European continent. It will be argued that this complex conflict is partly a result of a longstanding power struggle between Russia and the West (NATO and the EU) in the region, where the EU and NATO have underestimated the importance of Ukraine to Russia and the Russian willingness to act by use of military force.
Over the last years, relations between Russia and Ukraine deteriorated rapidly. Russia’s attitude towards Ukraine has changed radically after the establishment of pro-western regime in Ukraine. Russia views Ukraine as its zone of influence or as part of the new Eurasian State. Therefore, Ukraine’s European orientation is perceived as a major threat that can put an end to Russia’s ambitions to establish a new empire, the so called “Eurasian Union”. Ukraine’s pro-western path and its ambition to integrate into Euro-Atlantic structures is the main factor that strains relations between the two Slavic nations. The aim of this article is to analyze the impact of the Ukraine crisis on Russia, European Union and Ukraine.
Territory Politics Governance, 2023
The full-scale invasion and partial occupation of Ukraine by Russian forces in February 2022 onwards is a tragedy first and foremost for the people of Ukraine. The invasion illustrates the importance of intersecting and diverse interdisciplinary perspectives on territory, politics and governance within and beyond Ukraine and Russia. Our editorial initially addresses some of the more localised and nationalised consequences of the invasion. Thereafter, the focus shifts towards the realignment of extraterritorial flows of people, money and objects, including grain and oil. The territorialised of agency of states and non-state actors alike continues to vary revealing in turn opportunities for competitive or geopolitical advantage. Longer term, the mixed reactions to the Ukrainian crisis reveal both the potential for solidarity but also the difficulties in store for those seeking forms of climate and food justice.
2015
All rights reserved The Cicero Foundation is an independent pro-Atlantic and pro-EU think tank. www.cicerofoundation.org The views expressed in Cicero Foundation Great Debate Papers do not necessarily express the opinion of the Cicero Foundation, but they are considered interesting and thought-provoking enough to be published. Permission to make digital or hard copies of any information contained in these web publications is granted for personal use,
T. Stępniewski, A. Szabaciuk, The Challenges of Ukraine's European Choice in the Context of the Kremlin's Neo-Imperialist Policies During Volodymyr Zelenskyy's Presidency, “Studia Europejskie – Studies in European Affairs” 2021, no 4, pp. 51-56, 2021
This article attempts to analyse the situation in Ukraine in the face of ongoing Russian aggression and increasing pressure from the Kremlin towards Eastern European states. The armed confl ict taking place in Ukraine means that the geostrategic situation of Eastern Europe has changed. In this context, the Eastern Partnership, which was meant to be one of the key instruments shaping international relations with the states neighbouring the EU in the East, is quite often seen as an ineffective or even obsolete tool. There can be no doubt that the greatest problem for the Eastern Partnership is that the project is seen in geopolitical categories-thinking of the countries of the Eastern Partnership in the context of the necessity for them to choose between the European Union and Russia (listening to statements by the EU's political decision-makers, it can often seem that those states have no other option). The key research question is whether we will be dealing with an assertive EU policy in tandem with current US policy, or whether there will be another reset in relations between the West and the Russian Federation.
Abs t r a c t. The article determines the meaning of confrontation between the leading centers of international pressure. According to the geographical status, Ukraine can be the main confrontation object between the USA, Russia, and the EU in order to show their presence in the Eurasian region. Nowadays Ukraine is considered to be one of the key countries that can transform the world order. Ke ywords: Ukraine, Russia, the USA, EU, world order, world geopolitical centers, confrontation of great powers
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