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2006, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management
This paper examines the relationship between various quantitative measures of urban centralization and urban housing prices through the use of a 2000 data set from the 452 Census designated urbanized areas in the United States. An empirical study of this type is necessary because: ( 1) the theoretical influence of creating more centralized urban areas-or what many would consider less "sprawl"-on what people pay for housing is indeterminate, (2) now popular "Smart Growth" policies advocate more centralized urban areas, and (3) some have argued that a cost of this centralization is an increase in the price of homes. After controlling for differences across United States urbanized areas in residents' economic status and demographics, number and type of households, climate, household growth, non residential land uses, and the structural characteristics of houses, we find that a more centralized area exhibits a lower median home value and percentage of homes in an upper-end price category. Therefore, we offer no evidence to support the contention that a successful effort to further centralize an urban area raises the price of homes in that urban area. ·
The centralization of housing units in 56 large urban areas from 1970 to 2020 is measured using an index based on the ratio of the mean distance housing units are located from the center to the mean distance if the housing units were uniformly distributed across the urban area. Mean centralization declines from 1970 to 2010 and then increases in 2020. Highest levels of centralization tend to occur in old large urban areas, especially in the Northeast. Centralization increases with urban area size and declines as areas grow more rapidly. Measures based on units in the urban core and suburban periphery, and the central density from the negative exponential model are reasonable measures of centralization. The negative exponential density gradient is not. Several of these measures show patterns over time similar to the centralization index, first declining and then increasing in recent decades. This raises the possibility that long-standing trends in urban decentralization may be ending.
1997
This paper examines the role of U.S. housing-related tax expenditures in creating incentives for decentralization and encouraging residential sorting by income and central city decline. Tax expenditures associated with the deductibility of mortgage interest and property taxes make housing less expensive relative to other goods and, hence, increase the quantity of housing and residential land purchased and lower the density of urban areas. Because the tax expenditures increase with income and the consumption of housing services, they lower the cost of geographic sorting by income typically associated with exclusionary zoning and other landmarket imperfections. A direct consequence of this sorting process is that housing-related tax expenditures are concentrated on communities with the highest incomes and house values. These effects do not arise simply because of housing-tax policies alone, but rather from the interaction of these policies and other factors that affect local real estate markets, such as zoning or fixed housing capital stocks.
Levels of centralization of population and housing and the phenomenon of decentralization are an important aspect of large urban areas. A measure of centralization called the centralization ratio is developed that reflects the proportional reduction in the mean distance housing units are located from the center compared to a uniform distribution in the urban area. Values for this measure are computed using data on numbers of housing units by census tracts for 59 large urban areas defined for each census from 1950 to 2010. The results show that mean levels of centralization have declined steadily and significantly over the period. This decline was not universal, however, with 14 areas showing increases. Centralization varied by region of the country, highest in the Northeast and lowest in the South. Mean levels of centralization were also higher for the largest urban areas.
Journal of Housing Economics, 2005
Many older American cities lost population during the last three decades of the twentieth century, but while cities such as Boston or New York saw numbers of dwelling units remain stable or even increase, others such as Buffalo, St. Louis, Cleveland, Detroit, and Pittsburgh lost large fractions of their dwelling units. This study decomposes decadal population changes from 1970 through 2000 for 351 US cities into household size, housing unit, and occupancy rate effects and finds substantial stock declines (as high as 50%) in many cities. It then develops a supply and demand model to model central city housing unit supply elasticities, with special emphasis on ''kinked supply''-inelastic in the negative direction and elastic in the positive directions. Supply elasticities for housing unit decreases were between +0.03 and +0.13. For housing unit increases the elasticities were between +1.05 and +1.08.
2001
The land-value surface in suburban Washington, D.C., changed dramatically over the decade of the 1980s. This article explains these changes in terms of the decentralization of jobs versus socioeconomic trends. Contemporaneous correlation among selected variables needs to be controlled with reduced forms and SES techniques. But all explanatory variables except distance from some unchanged point are determined simultaneously. Predetermined variables control for this double-endogeneity issue. Land values in 1990 have a U-shape with respect to distance from the U.S. Capitol Building after controlling for other variables. The data indicate that this is the result of demographic changes rather than the development of suburban employment nodes: polycentric SUE theory is rejected. Land values are an increasing function of lagged land values, a decreasing function of work at home. Moreover, work at home is attracted by low structural density and high socioeconomic status as well as low land values. This supports the argument that demographics and technological innovations have shaped the land-value surface; baby boomers are seeking low-density housing for work and family life.
Urban Studies, 2009
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effects of high-density zoning on multifamily housing construction from 1990 to 2000 in the suburbs of six US metropolitan areas. Zoning constraints are measured as the total number of high-density units allowed by right in each suburban jurisdiction obtained from local zoning ordinances and geographical information data. Using two-stage least squares, the analysis provides two important results: zoning as practised by suburban governments in the six metropolitan areas limits the construction of multifamily housing below market determined levels; and, multifamily zoning constraints are not exogenous but vary systematically with distance from the central city and with the racial composition of the community in 1960.
Economic Development Quarterly, 2007
This study explores the extent to which richer central cities are associated with slower suburban sprawl. The authors use a unique approach to categorizing municipalities in urbanized areas based on their relative densities. Richness is measured in terms of the central city's relative share of high-income households. The central finding (both for the decade from 1990 to 2000 and for 2000 to 2004) is that although metropolitan areas with rich central cities sprawl somewhat less, the pace of suburban sprawl is primarily driven by metropolitan growth.
Journal of Urban Economics, 1997
Recognition of the existence of nonlinear land prices has an impact on the measurement of the rate at which land price declines with distance from the urban center. It is hypothesized that concave parcel prices have given rise to overly large estimates of the rate of price decline with distance, because parcel sizes increase with distance and increased parcel sizes would be associated with lower unit prices as a result of the concavity of the land price function. This hypothesis is empirically tested using vacant residential, commercial, and industrial land sales from within Cook County, Illinois. An important finding is that allowing for concavity greatly reduces, although it does not eliminate, measured rates of price decline with distance.
Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 2011
This paper examines the driving forces for residential location choice of households in an urban area. It describes a two-region computable general equilibrium model of the core-periphery type , in which residents are mobile between an urban core and its hinterland. We extend these models to integrate interregional housing market interactions and local environmental quality effects, thereby opening up for an analysis of the choice of residence and commuting. Both real income and environmental quality are endogenous variables determining the long run allocation of economic activities across the two regions. In the empirical part of the paper, we solve the model for an urban centre and its hinterland, which are symmetric except for environmental quality. In addition to this baseline, we construct an urban sprawl scenario as a reference scenario to investigate the consequences of two policy instruments. A congestion charge and a spatial planning instrument are implemented to internalize the negative environmental consequences of urban sprawl (relative to the baseline level). Simulation results explain the need for a spatial restructuring of urban areas in order to change transport related pollution. We find that both instruments generally reduce urban sprawl, though they do so through different channels (change in the share of commuters and non-commuters). Regarding environmental impacts, both policies lead to desirable effects for the overall region, yet with different effects for ambient levels of pollution per region. JEL: D58, Q53, R14, R23, R41
Economic Geography, 1978
Neighborhood correlates of house price changes for the San Francisco Bay area are analyzed for the metropolitan area as a whole, and also for sub-markets defined on the basis of real estate board jurisdictions, the racial-ethnic composition of neighborhoods, and the average ...
Journal of Urban Economics, 2006
This article attempts a formal analysis of the connection between property tax and urban sprawl in U.S. cities. We develop a theoretical model that includes households (who are also landlords) and land developers in a regional land market. We then test the model empirically based on a national sample of urbanized areas. The results we obtained from both theoretical and empirical analyses indicate that increasing property tax rates reduces the size of urbanized areas.
Government Intervention and Suburban Sprawl
The chapter explains how government regulation prices Americans out of the most desirable cities, causing some households who prefer city living to choose cheaper suburbs. The chapter goes on to suggest zoning reforms that would reduce urban housing costs. Keywords NIMBY Á Housing Prices Á Housing Costs Á Rent Á Rezoning The last chapter focused on why American cities became less desirable in the late twentieth century. However, a few cities now suffer from a very different problem: as they have recovered, their most desirable neighborhoods have become so expensive that some people feel priced out of cities and instead chosen suburbia. Population-losing cities tend to be cheaper than their suburban neighbors. For example, the median gross rent in St. Louis is $720, almost 30 percent lower than the $985 median rent in University City (a suburb bordering that city). 1 But in more prosperous cities, there is not enough housing to go around. For example, in San Francisco, the rental vacancy rate 1 See City Data, www.city-data.com. For City Data facts on an individual city, county, zip code or neighborhood, go to the main City Data page and enter the place name or zip code on the website's individual search engine.
Journal of Regional Science, 2006
A hybrid conditional logit choice model is estimated using data on the characteristics and destination of homeowners who engaged in intrametropolitan moves among 17 school districts within the Columbus, Ohio area in 1995. The model is used to test the relative influence of local fiscal and public goods versus household-level characteristics in determining household location choices across central city and suburban school districts. Results provide evidence of both a ''natural evolution'' of households to the suburbs, due to job location, residential filtering, and household income and lifecycle effects, and ''flight from blight,'' due to lower school quality, higher crime levels, and lower average income levels in the city. In comparing the magnitudes of these variables, we find that school quality exerts the strongest influence: a 1-percent increase in the school quality of the city district increases the probability of choosing a city residence by 3.7 percent. In contrast, the effects of household income and other individual characteristics are relatively modest. The findings provide support for a ''flight from blight'' suburbanization process that is dominated by differences in neighborhood quality between the city and suburbs. An implication is that investments that promote central city development and reduce suburbanization are justified on efficiency grounds if negative externalities are generated by increased concentration of poverty, crime, and low school quality.
Journal of Housing Economics, 2012
This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the author for internal non-commercial research and education use, including for instruction at the authors institution and sharing with colleagues. Other uses, including reproduction and distribution, or selling or licensing copies, or posting to personal, institutional or third party websites are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier's archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: http://www.elsevier.com/copyright
Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2002
We investigate the impact of the tax treatment of owner-occupied housing on urban form in an economy in which high-and low-income households choose between city and suburban communities. Because housing tax policies differentially affect the relative after-tax price of housing for high-and low-income households, and because the extent of capitalization of housing tax policies can differ across city and suburban communities, our analysis finds that housing tax policies can affect not only the density of the metropolitan area but also can influence where rich and poor households choose to live.
2011
Property owners often resist the idea of siting public or subsidized housing in their neighborhood. The notion that subsidized housing exerts a negative externality effect on adjacent properties has been investigated elsewhere in the US, particularly in the Northeast, with inconclusive findings. In the first two chapters of this dissertation,
2009
The tyranny of distance in terms of its effect on median earnings and housing costs is examined for rural and urban US counties. First, we develop a series of distance metrics for an area's remoteness from multiple tiers of the urban hierarchy. Second, we consider geographical access of buyers and sellers through market potential measures typical of those used in empirical studies of the New Economic Geography.
Journal of Urban Economics, 1983
Economic Development Quarterly, 2021
The price of a new home is greater if the land to put it on costs more. In many U.S. metropolitan areas, this generates the widely acknowledged equity concern that low-to moderate-income households spend disproportionately on housing. But high residential land prices translating into high single-family home prices may also generate the efficiency concern of discouraging new workers' entry into such areas or encouraging existing workers' exit. The result could be a decrease in economic activity. This research offers panel-data regression evidence in support of the existence of this adverse outcome. Perhaps these findings can raise the saliency of the needed state or federal government intervention to curtail the stringency of local residential land-use regulations. NIMBYs see these land-use regulations as in their jurisdiction's best interest, but as demonstrated here, such restrictions impose additional metro-wide economic concerns.
2005
We primarily focus on explaining housing prices and predicting housing price gradients in a Norwegian region with one dominating center (Stavanger). For such a geography spatial separation can be represented in a hedonic regression equation by a function of traveling distance from the city center. Several functions are tested, and some alternatives provide both a satisfying goodness-to-fit, consistent coefficient estimates, and intuitively reasonable predictions of housing price gradients. Still, not all commonly used functions are recommended. Spatial autocorrelation is removed when the hedonic function is properly specified.
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