Post-Trump Diplomacy Outlook

With a contradictory speech Donald Trump is leading to a new debate under different basis: a real new era on international relations much more similar to old patterns of political behavior and with a shortsighted view of what means global management in a world threaten by multiple crisis. International relations cannot be measured through the old perspective of the realism theories but under the use of the big tool of diplomacy with a strong and creative global leadership. So, what is the future under “Trump ́s stage”? Europe ́s fragmentation? US- Russia in a big alliance against China and emerging countries (mainly BRICS? The Muslim world boycotted for any agreement or involvement in a cultural or economic exchange? America transformed in a nearly isolated Nation? A go back to a Ku Klux Klan project? Millions of foreign residents in U.S. out of the country?

The election of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States paved the way to a period of uncertainty about whether the US continue to play the role of main supporter and operator of the current rule-based international order. On the one hand, the 2016 elections signalled a fundamental erosion of the bipartisan consensus on the American postwar grand strategy, based on free trade, advancement of democracy and military primacy. On the other hand, Trump's victory represents a moment of sudden and largely unexpected eclipse for liberal internationalism and a rejection of Wilsonian ideas. Writing a year and a half after Trump's inauguration, this special issue analyses the main elements, discourses and values that are characterising the American foreign policy after 2016, proposing a preliminary evaluation of the potential effects of the Trump administration on the international order, looking at different regional theatres.

Orbis, 2016

ISTORIYA, 2021

In the course of the election campaign, a heated contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden revolved around the most acute problems of the United States. However, some foreign policy issues, primarily linked with Russia and China, occasionally emerged in their debates. The outcome of the presidential election of 2020 marked a watershed in the political fight for the White House between Republicans and Democrats, and it will have a tremendous impact on international affairs. The election campaign was unfolding amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Responding to the challenge has revealed a discord between the United States and the European Union on how to tackle the crisis and their opposite perceptions of the WHO's role. President-elect J. Biden is about to cancel D. Trump's dubious decisions on U.S. withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal, the Paris accord on climate, the World Health Organization. This reversal may lead to a more alignment between the United States and the European Union, but it can't prevent ongoing erosion of the U.S.A global hegemony. Biden's election is in no way a guarantor for overcoming of transatlantic disagreements. American presidents come and go but diverging and conflicting interests of the United States and the EU remain.

Abstract: Evaluating international political strategy includes critiquing the desired future implied in the strategy. Political strategy focuses on trend alteration regarding prevailing polity perceptions, elite composition, polity attitudes, and polity values to actualize a desired political future regarding the nature of the target of the strategy. Critical evaluation of a strategy focuses on the assumptions and capabilities underpinning this effort by the initiator state at trend alteration. US security challenges in Eurasia are legacy issues from the Cold War. The Cold War containment strategy instruments and interests originally targeting the Soviet threat that the US created and developed continue to shape the political discourse regarding security challenges in the region. Comprehension of the political values institutionalized in these bureaucratic, military, and economic vested interests is useful for understanding the political communication topography today. These vested interests embody the international political trends that set the global political framework for what is today, called globalization. The US Trump administration’s conservative populism politically compels it to maintain and intensify the post-Cold War general thrust of US foreign policy in Eurasia and the world: defense and expansion of unilateral US global hegemonic political predominance. It is manifested in the intensification of pressure against perceived challengers to US global influence. Trump’s populist rhetoric of radical change serves essentially a legitimation function to reinforce the primacy of these vested interests in the US foreign policy making process, thus intensifying this general thrust.

Rome, IAI, January 2020, 9 p. (IAI Papers ; 20|02), ISBN 978-88-9368-122-3, 2020

The Trump presidency has brought an extraordinary measure of uncertainty to US international policy, from trade to security. The outcome of the 2020 elections may change a great deal, not least in terms of style. But there is a risk that key aspects of the Trump policy agenda may outlast his presidency. Even under a new administration, a “reset” may be hard to achieve as others international actors have adjusted their own policies. Structural shifts are also part of the equation, both domestically and internationally. In key respects, the Trump presidency has likely “given history a shove”, with troubling implications for global stability.

Battler, Alex. Contemporary international relations. Great power politics. Theory and practice. Lectures. SCHOLARICA., 2023

This chapter discusses the configuration of international relations after the collapse of bipolarity and examines the discernible trends that emerged in the post-Cold War era. The exploration of this structure encompasses the concepts of "geoeconomics" and "geostrategy," and is grounded in the framework of the Three-World Theory. The chapter also delineates the developmental stages within the structure of international relations.

Zeitschrift für Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik

President Trump has created turmoil in the transatlantic relationship. Biden has taken a conciliatory tone towards allies and promised to return the US to multilateral cooperation as president. But the transatlantic relationship will never return to its heyday. Three long-term trends will shape the future of US foreign policy and the transatlantic relationship: the global shift in the distribution of power, and especially what the US-China rivalry means for Europe; the US’ ambivalence towards multilateralism and why it will likely endure; and changing domestic coalitions within the US that might be a harbinger of a foreign policy revolution.

Global Affairs, 2020